Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Monday 17 August 2015 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 17 August 2015, Liverpool 1 0 Bournemouth; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_City 2 6 +6 2.06 83.59 3.99 85.24 9.26 58.32 68.00 85.92 93.59 96.97 99.27 0.00 0.00 Leicester 2 6 +3 3.02 91.69 2.64 50.15 9.84 -6.61 0.09 0.68 2.05 4.75 14.49 6.62R 1.17 Liverpool 2 6 +2 2.29 85.61 0.49 65.09 10.21 16.75 3.78 14.12 27.63 41.96 67.28 0.23R 0.03 Man_Utd 2 6 +2 2.17 84.52 0.37 70.69 9.86 25.35 9.20 29.30 49.16 65.28 84.77 0.03R 0.00 Everton 2 4 +3 0.73 67.59 2.18 58.95 10.07 11.06 1.01 4.87 11.52 20.96 43.95 0.93R 0.14 Swansea 2 4 +2 1.48 82.26 2.36 53.30 9.96 1.33 0.20 1.47 4.05 8.57 23.09 3.57R 0.56 Crystal_Palace 2 3 +1 0.77 64.11 1.83 45.45 9.54 -9.90 0.03 0.24 0.66 1.56 6.26 13.69R 2.97 West_Ham 2 3 +1 0.71 62.70 1.69 49.39 9.65 -3.73 0.08 0.49 1.61 3.92 12.65 6.77R 1.17 Norwich 2 3 +0 0.19 51.92 -0.11 42.22 10.35 -18.04 0.03 0.19 0.57 1.31 4.54 25.04R 7.60 Aston_Villa 2 3 +0 0.99 68.91 1.12 39.03 9.12 -20.64 0.01 0.03 0.08 0.27 1.48 34.13R 10.18 Arsenal 2 3 -1 -0.86 30.36 -2.68 68.51 9.93 24.36 6.23 22.28 40.20 56.58 79.39 0.06R 0.01 Watford 2 2 +0 -0.20 48.07 0.87 39.75 10.29 -21.04 0.01 0.09 0.30 0.78 3.01 33.49R 11.70 Stoke 2 1 -1 -1.26 31.94 -0.29 48.11 9.60 -4.61 0.04 0.31 1.09 2.81 10.01 8.79R 1.78 Tottenham 2 1 -1 -1.56 25.73 -0.71 54.60 10.27 4.73 0.40 2.09 5.73 11.37 28.43 2.97R 0.51 Newcastle 2 1 -2 -0.99 37.72 -0.82 38.57 9.50 -22.52 0.00 0.03 0.13 0.35 1.56 36.72R 12.72 Chelsea 2 1 -3 -2.11 16.46 -3.53 72.12 9.71 31.26 10.56 35.90 56.12 71.25 88.44 0.02R 0.00 Southampton 2 1 -3 -2.15 16.17 -3.63 54.31 10.04 2.63 0.32 1.90 5.11 10.18 26.44 2.90R 0.42 West_Brom 2 1 -3 -0.92 37.40 -1.42 42.04 9.38 -15.63 0.01 0.07 0.26 0.74 3.18 23.05R 6.01 Bournemouth 2 0 -2 -2.14 10.88 -0.98 36.14 10.06 -25.00 0.00 0.03 0.13 0.30 1.34 47.22R 20.31 Sunderland 2 0 -4 -2.32 9.76 -3.37 34.55 8.98 -28.04 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.09 0.43 53.76R 22.73Championship (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 16 August 2015, Reading 0 0 Leeds_United; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Brighton 2 6 +2 3.11 92.42 1.76 66.15 11.05 3.00 2.60 6.18 26.54 10.59P 3.26R 0.56 Middlesbrough 2 4 +3 0.52 62.98 1.93 77.37 11.44 22.41 16.34 29.92 65.28 40.55P 0.31R 0.05 Brentford 2 4 +2 0.99 72.13 1.61 70.26 12.07 11.01 6.82 13.79 41.61 20.65P 2.22R 0.39 Charlton 2 4 +2 1.79 85.06 2.81 60.69 11.32 -2.56 1.00 2.60 14.15 4.91P 9.55R 1.99 Hull 2 4 +2 0.61 65.76 1.01 77.59 12.29 21.75 18.26 31.60 64.91 41.83P 0.55R 0.10 Birmingham 2 4 +1 1.52 81.81 1.38 59.29 11.70 -6.86 0.93 2.43 12.44 4.43P 12.61R 3.06 Ipswich 2 4 +1 1.03 73.47 0.71 70.89 11.79 11.13 6.71 14.11 43.37 21.06P 1.86R 0.30 Wolverhampton 2 4 +1 1.29 77.00 1.02 73.01 11.70 14.25 9.04 18.20 50.10 26.57P 1.14R 0.16 Preston 2 4 +1 1.68 83.19 1.56 61.72 12.23 -2.09 1.76 4.15 18.05 7.09P 9.76R 2.30 MK_Dons 2 3 +2 -0.20 43.66 1.30 62.70 12.96 0.48 2.77 6.09 21.91 9.63P 9.58R 2.36 Sheff_Wed 2 3 +1 0.42 56.76 1.20 59.30 11.20 -3.81 0.73 1.98 11.70 3.95P 11.38R 2.68 Nott'm_Forest 2 3 +0 -0.13 44.90 -0.66 62.80 12.03 -1.27 1.90 4.67 20.03 7.87P 8.11R 1.69 Burnley 2 2 +0 -1.33 24.80 -0.88 70.24 12.38 12.15 7.17 14.33 41.58 22.26P 2.41R 0.43 Cardiff 2 2 +0 -0.76 34.66 -0.00 61.53 11.49 -0.85 1.32 3.30 16.38 6.07P 8.62R 1.82 Derby 2 2 +0 -1.51 21.45 -1.16 75.04 12.01 19.87 13.03 24.31 57.52 34.04P 0.85R 0.15 Leeds_United 2 2 +0 -0.39 44.45 0.46 55.75 11.34 -9.33 0.41 1.07 7.06 2.28P 18.97R 5.34 Blackburn 2 1 -1 -1.88 21.22 -1.21 63.17 11.90 1.85 2.00 4.90 20.83 8.60P 7.25R 1.58 Fulham 2 1 -1 -1.46 28.15 -0.55 55.58 12.01 -11.28 0.51 1.35 8.06 2.61P 21.48R 6.70 Reading 2 1 -1 -1.71 23.30 -0.95 55.08 11.41 -10.21 0.29 0.94 6.55 2.07P 21.08R 6.15 QPR 2 1 -2 -2.09 17.95 -2.53 67.22 13.08 7.09 5.30 10.94 33.34 16.85P 5.34R 1.25 Huddersfield 2 1 -2 -0.98 37.42 -0.82 51.04 11.50 -18.41 0.14 0.45 3.41 0.94P 33.48R 11.76 Bolton 2 1 -3 -0.92 39.04 -1.78 55.34 11.46 -11.93 0.29 0.95 6.67 2.07P 20.85R 5.76 Bristol_City 2 0 -4 -2.44 9.31 -3.53 54.25 12.89 -14.54 0.65 1.69 8.04 2.97P 26.45R 9.67 Rotherham 2 0 -4 -1.97 13.37 -2.70 42.77 10.78 -31.86 0.01 0.04 0.47 0.11P 62.91R 33.76League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 16 August 2015, Wigan 0 0 Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Coventry 2 6 +6 3.46 94.38 6.28 72.00 11.86 14.49 8.63 17.27 47.39 24.31P 2.78R 0.28 Rochdale 2 6 +4 3.09 91.94 3.78 71.82 12.09 12.16 8.74 17.78 46.81 24.37P 3.05R 0.35 Gillingham 2 4 +4 1.26 76.87 4.01 67.19 11.92 7.95 4.28 9.56 32.14 14.73P 6.25R 0.83 Swindon 2 4 +3 0.36 59.84 1.61 79.26 11.97 26.59 23.77 38.28 70.99 48.16P 0.64R 0.05 Walsall 2 4 +2 0.87 69.80 1.42 66.03 11.31 5.03 2.95 7.10 27.49 12.08P 6.33R 0.74 Oldham 2 4 +1 1.37 79.45 1.13 60.26 11.26 -4.97 0.90 2.51 13.66 4.71P 15.73R 2.57 Scunthorpe 2 3 +1 -0.08 46.11 0.48 58.70 11.88 -7.17 1.00 2.47 12.41 4.44P 20.74R 4.13 Chesterfield 2 3 +0 0.24 52.88 -0.04 69.79 11.87 9.81 6.20 13.14 40.08 20.06P 4.04R 0.46 Burton_Albion 2 3 +0 0.57 59.92 0.50 55.68 11.91 -11.50 0.59 1.44 8.28 2.85P 29.12R 7.09 Barnsley 2 3 -1 0.05 49.10 -1.29 67.28 11.73 4.91 4.13 9.09 31.87 14.65P 5.91R 0.82 Peterborough 2 3 -1 -0.02 47.40 -1.43 67.75 11.54 5.73 4.14 9.30 32.70 15.29P 5.07R 0.64 Sheff_Utd 2 3 -2 0.08 49.60 -2.26 71.29 11.47 10.08 6.90 14.84 44.56 22.89P 2.71R 0.30 Millwall 2 3 -3 0.24 52.94 -3.06 66.03 12.68 1.03 4.19 9.03 29.26 14.00P 9.20R 1.50 Bury 2 2 +0 -0.01 52.73 1.13 54.30 12.21 -12.61 0.50 1.25 7.24 2.44P 33.46R 9.30 Doncaster 2 2 +0 -0.72 34.09 -0.02 64.66 11.58 3.65 2.67 6.18 24.32 10.49P 8.42R 1.09 Port_Vale 2 2 +0 -0.88 33.55 -0.20 57.88 11.44 -6.93 0.70 1.82 10.20 3.60P 21.96R 4.31 Colchester 2 1 -1 -1.37 29.66 -0.37 54.43 11.60 -12.73 0.36 0.96 6.37 1.95P 32.50R 8.44 Shrewsbury 2 1 -1 -1.69 23.53 -0.96 60.42 12.31 -1.97 1.57 3.82 16.10 6.80P 17.46R 3.67 Fleetwood_Town 2 1 -1 -1.77 21.11 -1.07 55.12 11.08 -9.56 0.29 0.86 6.12 1.95P 28.83R 6.44 Blackpool 2 1 -2 -1.74 23.76 -1.98 59.75 12.40 -4.45 1.36 3.44 15.31 6.22P 19.49R 4.11 Southend 2 1 -2 -1.31 29.60 -1.48 50.02 11.75 -18.33 0.15 0.49 3.37 1.08P 47.21R 15.96 Crewe 2 1 -2 -1.25 31.97 -1.21 46.44 10.81 -25.27 0.02 0.11 1.20 0.29P 60.19R 23.69 Wigan 2 1 -2 -2.19 15.43 -2.66 75.53 12.39 19.13 15.14 27.00 59.26 38.09P 1.76R 0.15 Bradford 2 1 -3 -1.35 28.75 -2.33 59.73 11.34 -5.05 0.83 2.26 12.86 4.55P 17.17R 3.06League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 August 2015, Barnet 0 2 Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Wycombe 2 6 +5 2.40 86.66 3.74 77.26 11.87 21.62 9.10 37.68 70.63 47.04P 0.21R 0.06 Leyton_Orient 2 6 +4 1.65 78.27 1.32 93.66 12.20 47.77 59.52 85.10 96.34 89.22P 0.00R 0.00 Portsmouth 2 6 +4 3.07 92.44 3.68 70.31 11.96 9.81 3.12 18.19 48.10 25.05P 1.10R 0.36 Northampton 2 6 +4 2.95 91.20 3.51 69.25 12.03 8.05 2.83 16.42 44.47 22.82P 1.49R 0.53 Hartlepool 2 6 +3 3.45 94.55 3.24 57.23 11.44 -10.94 0.25 2.31 11.90 4.08P 10.28R 4.82 Cambridge_Utd 2 4 +3 1.17 75.42 2.91 59.25 11.92 -6.08 0.43 3.83 17.03 6.40P 8.20R 3.66 Mansfield 2 4 +2 1.84 86.62 2.89 54.12 11.26 -13.18 0.12 1.23 7.57 2.33P 15.69R 7.57 Plymouth 2 3 +1 -0.01 47.67 0.59 68.55 11.52 9.06 1.94 13.77 42.07 21.03P 1.35R 0.46 Notts_County 2 3 +0 -0.45 38.52 -1.05 77.35 12.63 21.22 10.41 38.59 69.57 48.55P 0.41R 0.13 Bristol_Rovers 2 3 +0 0.61 60.97 0.43 58.44 11.95 -6.04 0.38 3.47 15.19 6.04P 9.23R 4.30 AFC_Wimbledon 2 3 -1 0.84 65.54 -0.10 58.18 11.75 -9.38 0.32 3.03 14.08 5.23P 9.60R 4.48 Morecambe 2 3 -1 0.01 48.16 -1.39 59.55 11.47 -6.57 0.37 3.38 16.35 6.16P 7.01R 3.08 Exeter 2 3 -2 0.55 59.34 -1.49 61.05 11.99 -6.52 0.67 5.21 20.62 8.47P 6.54R 2.88 Carlisle 2 2 +0 -0.87 32.93 -0.18 56.25 12.11 -11.39 0.31 2.56 11.80 4.42P 13.50R 6.64 Luton 2 2 +0 -1.03 30.55 -0.43 65.18 11.61 4.42 1.18 8.71 31.37 14.44P 2.75R 1.04 Oxford_Utd 2 2 +0 -0.53 41.06 0.28 63.86 11.54 2.44 0.87 7.13 27.23 11.99P 3.47R 1.36 Crawley_Town 2 1 -1 -2.26 15.14 -1.80 71.15 12.86 14.01 4.50 22.14 51.43 30.92P 1.47R 0.55 Accrington_Stanley 2 1 -1 -1.35 30.51 -0.38 52.52 11.87 -16.25 0.11 1.11 6.74 2.23P 21.06R 11.36 Stevenage 2 1 -2 -1.81 22.09 -2.10 66.85 11.90 6.27 1.71 11.87 36.94 18.45P 2.27R 0.86 Newport_County 2 1 -3 -1.42 29.38 -2.48 54.08 11.55 -14.53 0.10 1.26 7.83 2.50P 16.75R 8.23 Yeovil 2 0 -2 -3.06 4.70 -2.45 64.35 12.61 4.21 1.48 9.44 30.59 15.23P 4.37R 1.89 York 2 0 -4 -2.46 7.90 -3.60 54.69 11.29 -11.77 0.12 1.23 8.23 2.75P 14.40R 7.10 Barnet 2 0 -4 -1.47 18.59 -1.73 48.18 12.12 -23.00 0.03 0.55 3.90 1.19P 33.91R 21.25 Dag_&_Red 2 0 -5 -1.81 14.90 -3.43 55.38 11.85 -13.25 0.11 1.77 10.01 3.45P 14.94R 7.36National League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 August 2015, Braintree_Town 0 0 Tranmere; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Forest_Green 3 9 +6 2.78 88.43 2.54 79.88 11.19 24.56 9.68 59.27 21.57P 0.07R 0.01 Grimsby 3 7 +6 0.61 62.92 2.12 83.47 10.93 32.76 15.75 72.16 33.33P 0.04R 0.00 Eastleigh 3 7 +5 1.21 70.70 2.32 74.60 11.44 18.58 4.63 40.93 12.42P 0.41R 0.05 Tranmere 3 7 +4 1.57 75.60 2.01 92.37 11.35 46.85 47.64 90.60 63.29P 0.00 0.00 Chester 3 7 +2 3.60 94.50 3.11 59.84 10.80 -7.90 0.19 5.89 0.95P 7.25R 1.34 Wrexham 3 6 +3 1.03 64.27 1.77 69.27 10.83 9.70 1.26 22.81 5.59P 0.98R 0.11 Woking 3 6 +3 0.97 64.72 1.58 72.58 11.29 14.77 2.83 33.57 9.58P 0.60R 0.08 Guiseley 3 6 +1 1.91 76.84 0.99 52.51 12.01 -18.02 0.08 2.54 0.43P 24.41R 7.40 Torquay 3 6 +0 1.93 77.76 0.07 72.82 11.18 12.14 3.14 33.98 9.52P 0.61R 0.06 Gateshead 3 6 -1 1.74 75.35 -1.26 67.40 11.20 2.36 1.04 18.57 4.16P 1.81R 0.23 Cheltenham 3 5 +3 -0.95 32.06 0.16 80.49 11.72 28.64 11.69 61.32 27.43P 0.11R 0.01 Lincoln_City 3 5 +2 1.88 80.32 3.55 64.02 11.14 1.60 0.51 11.99 2.23P 3.59R 0.59 Dover_Athletic 3 4 +0 -1.01 35.46 -1.32 61.66 10.97 -2.40 0.32 8.21 1.62P 5.25R 0.87 Macclesfield 3 4 +0 -0.96 34.72 -1.23 64.96 10.87 3.45 0.57 12.92 3.03P 2.64R 0.39 Boreham_Wood 3 3 +0 0.11 52.73 2.13 52.27 12.38 -15.67 0.11 2.75 0.55P 25.25R 8.33 Welling 3 3 -1 -0.16 47.11 0.54 53.21 10.65 -14.70 0.03 1.60 0.20P 19.47R 4.89 Bromley 3 3 -3 0.74 64.47 0.32 48.88 12.29 -25.52 0.05 1.55 0.24P 35.96R 13.91 Barrow 3 3 -6 0.88 66.86 -2.17 45.42 12.06 -35.04 0.01 0.78 0.11P 47.63R 21.70 Kidderminster 3 1 -2 -2.53 15.39 -1.19 58.82 10.81 -3.89 0.16 4.84 1.03P 8.28R 1.67 Braintree_Town 3 1 -3 -2.87 11.62 -2.72 58.22 10.70 -5.19 0.10 4.23 0.86P 9.09R 1.77 Aldershot 3 1 -4 -2.16 18.49 -2.59 57.75 10.88 -7.15 0.10 4.00 0.74P 10.15R 2.18 Southport 3 1 -7 -1.26 33.54 -3.96 45.16 10.37 -31.04 0.00 0.22 0.03P 46.94R 18.38 Halifax 3 0 -4 -4.65 1.47 -4.82 58.46 11.05 -5.14 0.12 4.94 1.02P 9.39R 1.97 Altrincham 3 0 -4 -2.76 7.22 -1.94 46.59 10.39 -23.73 0.00 0.33 0.04P 40.07R 14.07