Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 17 August 2015 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 17 August 2015, Liverpool 1 0 Bournemouth; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City          2    6   +6       2.06    83.59     3.99    85.24     9.26    58.32    68.00    85.92    93.59    96.97    99.27     0.00     0.00  
Leicester         2    6   +3       3.02    91.69     2.64    50.15     9.84    -6.61     0.09     0.68     2.05     4.75    14.49     6.62R    1.17  
Liverpool         2    6   +2       2.29    85.61     0.49    65.09    10.21    16.75     3.78    14.12    27.63    41.96    67.28     0.23R    0.03  
Man_Utd           2    6   +2       2.17    84.52     0.37    70.69     9.86    25.35     9.20    29.30    49.16    65.28    84.77     0.03R    0.00  
Everton           2    4   +3       0.73    67.59     2.18    58.95    10.07    11.06     1.01     4.87    11.52    20.96    43.95     0.93R    0.14  
Swansea           2    4   +2       1.48    82.26     2.36    53.30     9.96     1.33     0.20     1.47     4.05     8.57    23.09     3.57R    0.56  
Crystal_Palace    2    3   +1       0.77    64.11     1.83    45.45     9.54    -9.90     0.03     0.24     0.66     1.56     6.26    13.69R    2.97  
West_Ham          2    3   +1       0.71    62.70     1.69    49.39     9.65    -3.73     0.08     0.49     1.61     3.92    12.65     6.77R    1.17  
Norwich           2    3   +0       0.19    51.92    -0.11    42.22    10.35   -18.04     0.03     0.19     0.57     1.31     4.54    25.04R    7.60  
Aston_Villa       2    3   +0       0.99    68.91     1.12    39.03     9.12   -20.64     0.01     0.03     0.08     0.27     1.48    34.13R   10.18  
Arsenal           2    3   -1      -0.86    30.36    -2.68    68.51     9.93    24.36     6.23    22.28    40.20    56.58    79.39     0.06R    0.01  
Watford           2    2   +0      -0.20    48.07     0.87    39.75    10.29   -21.04     0.01     0.09     0.30     0.78     3.01    33.49R   11.70  
Stoke             2    1   -1      -1.26    31.94    -0.29    48.11     9.60    -4.61     0.04     0.31     1.09     2.81    10.01     8.79R    1.78  
Tottenham         2    1   -1      -1.56    25.73    -0.71    54.60    10.27     4.73     0.40     2.09     5.73    11.37    28.43     2.97R    0.51  
Newcastle         2    1   -2      -0.99    37.72    -0.82    38.57     9.50   -22.52     0.00     0.03     0.13     0.35     1.56    36.72R   12.72  
Chelsea           2    1   -3      -2.11    16.46    -3.53    72.12     9.71    31.26    10.56    35.90    56.12    71.25    88.44     0.02R    0.00  
Southampton       2    1   -3      -2.15    16.17    -3.63    54.31    10.04     2.63     0.32     1.90     5.11    10.18    26.44     2.90R    0.42  
West_Brom         2    1   -3      -0.92    37.40    -1.42    42.04     9.38   -15.63     0.01     0.07     0.26     0.74     3.18    23.05R    6.01  
Bournemouth       2    0   -2      -2.14    10.88    -0.98    36.14    10.06   -25.00     0.00     0.03     0.13     0.30     1.34    47.22R   20.31  
Sunderland        2    0   -4      -2.32     9.76    -3.37    34.55     8.98   -28.04     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.09     0.43    53.76R   22.73  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 16 August 2015, Reading 0 0 Leeds_United; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Brighton         2    6   +2       3.11    92.42     1.76    66.15    11.05     3.00     2.60     6.18    26.54    10.59P    3.26R    0.56  
Middlesbrough    2    4   +3       0.52    62.98     1.93    77.37    11.44    22.41    16.34    29.92    65.28    40.55P    0.31R    0.05  
Brentford        2    4   +2       0.99    72.13     1.61    70.26    12.07    11.01     6.82    13.79    41.61    20.65P    2.22R    0.39  
Charlton         2    4   +2       1.79    85.06     2.81    60.69    11.32    -2.56     1.00     2.60    14.15     4.91P    9.55R    1.99  
Hull             2    4   +2       0.61    65.76     1.01    77.59    12.29    21.75    18.26    31.60    64.91    41.83P    0.55R    0.10  
Birmingham       2    4   +1       1.52    81.81     1.38    59.29    11.70    -6.86     0.93     2.43    12.44     4.43P   12.61R    3.06  
Ipswich          2    4   +1       1.03    73.47     0.71    70.89    11.79    11.13     6.71    14.11    43.37    21.06P    1.86R    0.30  
Wolverhampton    2    4   +1       1.29    77.00     1.02    73.01    11.70    14.25     9.04    18.20    50.10    26.57P    1.14R    0.16  
Preston          2    4   +1       1.68    83.19     1.56    61.72    12.23    -2.09     1.76     4.15    18.05     7.09P    9.76R    2.30  
MK_Dons          2    3   +2      -0.20    43.66     1.30    62.70    12.96     0.48     2.77     6.09    21.91     9.63P    9.58R    2.36  
Sheff_Wed        2    3   +1       0.42    56.76     1.20    59.30    11.20    -3.81     0.73     1.98    11.70     3.95P   11.38R    2.68  
Nott'm_Forest    2    3   +0      -0.13    44.90    -0.66    62.80    12.03    -1.27     1.90     4.67    20.03     7.87P    8.11R    1.69  
Burnley          2    2   +0      -1.33    24.80    -0.88    70.24    12.38    12.15     7.17    14.33    41.58    22.26P    2.41R    0.43  
Cardiff          2    2   +0      -0.76    34.66    -0.00    61.53    11.49    -0.85     1.32     3.30    16.38     6.07P    8.62R    1.82  
Derby            2    2   +0      -1.51    21.45    -1.16    75.04    12.01    19.87    13.03    24.31    57.52    34.04P    0.85R    0.15  
Leeds_United     2    2   +0      -0.39    44.45     0.46    55.75    11.34    -9.33     0.41     1.07     7.06     2.28P   18.97R    5.34  
Blackburn        2    1   -1      -1.88    21.22    -1.21    63.17    11.90     1.85     2.00     4.90    20.83     8.60P    7.25R    1.58  
Fulham           2    1   -1      -1.46    28.15    -0.55    55.58    12.01   -11.28     0.51     1.35     8.06     2.61P   21.48R    6.70  
Reading          2    1   -1      -1.71    23.30    -0.95    55.08    11.41   -10.21     0.29     0.94     6.55     2.07P   21.08R    6.15  
QPR              2    1   -2      -2.09    17.95    -2.53    67.22    13.08     7.09     5.30    10.94    33.34    16.85P    5.34R    1.25  
Huddersfield     2    1   -2      -0.98    37.42    -0.82    51.04    11.50   -18.41     0.14     0.45     3.41     0.94P   33.48R   11.76  
Bolton           2    1   -3      -0.92    39.04    -1.78    55.34    11.46   -11.93     0.29     0.95     6.67     2.07P   20.85R    5.76  
Bristol_City     2    0   -4      -2.44     9.31    -3.53    54.25    12.89   -14.54     0.65     1.69     8.04     2.97P   26.45R    9.67  
Rotherham        2    0   -4      -1.97    13.37    -2.70    42.77    10.78   -31.86     0.01     0.04     0.47     0.11P   62.91R   33.76  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 16 August 2015, Wigan 0 0 Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Coventry          2    6   +6       3.46    94.38     6.28    72.00    11.86    14.49     8.63    17.27    47.39    24.31P    2.78R    0.28  
Rochdale          2    6   +4       3.09    91.94     3.78    71.82    12.09    12.16     8.74    17.78    46.81    24.37P    3.05R    0.35  
Gillingham        2    4   +4       1.26    76.87     4.01    67.19    11.92     7.95     4.28     9.56    32.14    14.73P    6.25R    0.83  
Swindon           2    4   +3       0.36    59.84     1.61    79.26    11.97    26.59    23.77    38.28    70.99    48.16P    0.64R    0.05  
Walsall           2    4   +2       0.87    69.80     1.42    66.03    11.31     5.03     2.95     7.10    27.49    12.08P    6.33R    0.74  
Oldham            2    4   +1       1.37    79.45     1.13    60.26    11.26    -4.97     0.90     2.51    13.66     4.71P   15.73R    2.57  
Scunthorpe        2    3   +1      -0.08    46.11     0.48    58.70    11.88    -7.17     1.00     2.47    12.41     4.44P   20.74R    4.13  
Chesterfield      2    3   +0       0.24    52.88    -0.04    69.79    11.87     9.81     6.20    13.14    40.08    20.06P    4.04R    0.46  
Burton_Albion     2    3   +0       0.57    59.92     0.50    55.68    11.91   -11.50     0.59     1.44     8.28     2.85P   29.12R    7.09  
Barnsley          2    3   -1       0.05    49.10    -1.29    67.28    11.73     4.91     4.13     9.09    31.87    14.65P    5.91R    0.82  
Peterborough      2    3   -1      -0.02    47.40    -1.43    67.75    11.54     5.73     4.14     9.30    32.70    15.29P    5.07R    0.64  
Sheff_Utd         2    3   -2       0.08    49.60    -2.26    71.29    11.47    10.08     6.90    14.84    44.56    22.89P    2.71R    0.30  
Millwall          2    3   -3       0.24    52.94    -3.06    66.03    12.68     1.03     4.19     9.03    29.26    14.00P    9.20R    1.50  
Bury              2    2   +0      -0.01    52.73     1.13    54.30    12.21   -12.61     0.50     1.25     7.24     2.44P   33.46R    9.30  
Doncaster         2    2   +0      -0.72    34.09    -0.02    64.66    11.58     3.65     2.67     6.18    24.32    10.49P    8.42R    1.09  
Port_Vale         2    2   +0      -0.88    33.55    -0.20    57.88    11.44    -6.93     0.70     1.82    10.20     3.60P   21.96R    4.31  
Colchester        2    1   -1      -1.37    29.66    -0.37    54.43    11.60   -12.73     0.36     0.96     6.37     1.95P   32.50R    8.44  
Shrewsbury        2    1   -1      -1.69    23.53    -0.96    60.42    12.31    -1.97     1.57     3.82    16.10     6.80P   17.46R    3.67  
Fleetwood_Town    2    1   -1      -1.77    21.11    -1.07    55.12    11.08    -9.56     0.29     0.86     6.12     1.95P   28.83R    6.44  
Blackpool         2    1   -2      -1.74    23.76    -1.98    59.75    12.40    -4.45     1.36     3.44    15.31     6.22P   19.49R    4.11  
Southend          2    1   -2      -1.31    29.60    -1.48    50.02    11.75   -18.33     0.15     0.49     3.37     1.08P   47.21R   15.96  
Crewe             2    1   -2      -1.25    31.97    -1.21    46.44    10.81   -25.27     0.02     0.11     1.20     0.29P   60.19R   23.69  
Wigan             2    1   -2      -2.19    15.43    -2.66    75.53    12.39    19.13    15.14    27.00    59.26    38.09P    1.76R    0.15  
Bradford          2    1   -3      -1.35    28.75    -2.33    59.73    11.34    -5.05     0.83     2.26    12.86     4.55P   17.17R    3.06  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 August 2015, Barnet 0 2 Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Wycombe               2    6   +5       2.40    86.66     3.74    77.26    11.87    21.62     9.10    37.68    70.63    47.04P    0.21R    0.06  
Leyton_Orient         2    6   +4       1.65    78.27     1.32    93.66    12.20    47.77    59.52    85.10    96.34    89.22P    0.00R    0.00  
Portsmouth            2    6   +4       3.07    92.44     3.68    70.31    11.96     9.81     3.12    18.19    48.10    25.05P    1.10R    0.36  
Northampton           2    6   +4       2.95    91.20     3.51    69.25    12.03     8.05     2.83    16.42    44.47    22.82P    1.49R    0.53  
Hartlepool            2    6   +3       3.45    94.55     3.24    57.23    11.44   -10.94     0.25     2.31    11.90     4.08P   10.28R    4.82  
Cambridge_Utd         2    4   +3       1.17    75.42     2.91    59.25    11.92    -6.08     0.43     3.83    17.03     6.40P    8.20R    3.66  
Mansfield             2    4   +2       1.84    86.62     2.89    54.12    11.26   -13.18     0.12     1.23     7.57     2.33P   15.69R    7.57  
Plymouth              2    3   +1      -0.01    47.67     0.59    68.55    11.52     9.06     1.94    13.77    42.07    21.03P    1.35R    0.46  
Notts_County          2    3   +0      -0.45    38.52    -1.05    77.35    12.63    21.22    10.41    38.59    69.57    48.55P    0.41R    0.13  
Bristol_Rovers        2    3   +0       0.61    60.97     0.43    58.44    11.95    -6.04     0.38     3.47    15.19     6.04P    9.23R    4.30  
AFC_Wimbledon         2    3   -1       0.84    65.54    -0.10    58.18    11.75    -9.38     0.32     3.03    14.08     5.23P    9.60R    4.48  
Morecambe             2    3   -1       0.01    48.16    -1.39    59.55    11.47    -6.57     0.37     3.38    16.35     6.16P    7.01R    3.08  
Exeter                2    3   -2       0.55    59.34    -1.49    61.05    11.99    -6.52     0.67     5.21    20.62     8.47P    6.54R    2.88  
Carlisle              2    2   +0      -0.87    32.93    -0.18    56.25    12.11   -11.39     0.31     2.56    11.80     4.42P   13.50R    6.64  
Luton                 2    2   +0      -1.03    30.55    -0.43    65.18    11.61     4.42     1.18     8.71    31.37    14.44P    2.75R    1.04  
Oxford_Utd            2    2   +0      -0.53    41.06     0.28    63.86    11.54     2.44     0.87     7.13    27.23    11.99P    3.47R    1.36  
Crawley_Town          2    1   -1      -2.26    15.14    -1.80    71.15    12.86    14.01     4.50    22.14    51.43    30.92P    1.47R    0.55  
Accrington_Stanley    2    1   -1      -1.35    30.51    -0.38    52.52    11.87   -16.25     0.11     1.11     6.74     2.23P   21.06R   11.36  
Stevenage             2    1   -2      -1.81    22.09    -2.10    66.85    11.90     6.27     1.71    11.87    36.94    18.45P    2.27R    0.86  
Newport_County        2    1   -3      -1.42    29.38    -2.48    54.08    11.55   -14.53     0.10     1.26     7.83     2.50P   16.75R    8.23  
Yeovil                2    0   -2      -3.06     4.70    -2.45    64.35    12.61     4.21     1.48     9.44    30.59    15.23P    4.37R    1.89  
York                  2    0   -4      -2.46     7.90    -3.60    54.69    11.29   -11.77     0.12     1.23     8.23     2.75P   14.40R    7.10  
Barnet                2    0   -4      -1.47    18.59    -1.73    48.18    12.12   -23.00     0.03     0.55     3.90     1.19P   33.91R   21.25  
Dag_&_Red             2    0   -5      -1.81    14.90    -3.43    55.38    11.85   -13.25     0.11     1.77    10.01     3.45P   14.94R    7.36  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 August 2015, Braintree_Town 0 0 Tranmere; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Forest_Green      3    9   +6       2.78    88.43     2.54    79.88    11.19    24.56     9.68    59.27    21.57P    0.07R    0.01  
Grimsby           3    7   +6       0.61    62.92     2.12    83.47    10.93    32.76    15.75    72.16    33.33P    0.04R    0.00  
Eastleigh         3    7   +5       1.21    70.70     2.32    74.60    11.44    18.58     4.63    40.93    12.42P    0.41R    0.05  
Tranmere          3    7   +4       1.57    75.60     2.01    92.37    11.35    46.85    47.64    90.60    63.29P    0.00     0.00  
Chester           3    7   +2       3.60    94.50     3.11    59.84    10.80    -7.90     0.19     5.89     0.95P    7.25R    1.34  
Wrexham           3    6   +3       1.03    64.27     1.77    69.27    10.83     9.70     1.26    22.81     5.59P    0.98R    0.11  
Woking            3    6   +3       0.97    64.72     1.58    72.58    11.29    14.77     2.83    33.57     9.58P    0.60R    0.08  
Guiseley          3    6   +1       1.91    76.84     0.99    52.51    12.01   -18.02     0.08     2.54     0.43P   24.41R    7.40  
Torquay           3    6   +0       1.93    77.76     0.07    72.82    11.18    12.14     3.14    33.98     9.52P    0.61R    0.06  
Gateshead         3    6   -1       1.74    75.35    -1.26    67.40    11.20     2.36     1.04    18.57     4.16P    1.81R    0.23  
Cheltenham        3    5   +3      -0.95    32.06     0.16    80.49    11.72    28.64    11.69    61.32    27.43P    0.11R    0.01  
Lincoln_City      3    5   +2       1.88    80.32     3.55    64.02    11.14     1.60     0.51    11.99     2.23P    3.59R    0.59  
Dover_Athletic    3    4   +0      -1.01    35.46    -1.32    61.66    10.97    -2.40     0.32     8.21     1.62P    5.25R    0.87  
Macclesfield      3    4   +0      -0.96    34.72    -1.23    64.96    10.87     3.45     0.57    12.92     3.03P    2.64R    0.39  
Boreham_Wood      3    3   +0       0.11    52.73     2.13    52.27    12.38   -15.67     0.11     2.75     0.55P   25.25R    8.33  
Welling           3    3   -1      -0.16    47.11     0.54    53.21    10.65   -14.70     0.03     1.60     0.20P   19.47R    4.89  
Bromley           3    3   -3       0.74    64.47     0.32    48.88    12.29   -25.52     0.05     1.55     0.24P   35.96R   13.91  
Barrow            3    3   -6       0.88    66.86    -2.17    45.42    12.06   -35.04     0.01     0.78     0.11P   47.63R   21.70  
Kidderminster     3    1   -2      -2.53    15.39    -1.19    58.82    10.81    -3.89     0.16     4.84     1.03P    8.28R    1.67  
Braintree_Town    3    1   -3      -2.87    11.62    -2.72    58.22    10.70    -5.19     0.10     4.23     0.86P    9.09R    1.77  
Aldershot         3    1   -4      -2.16    18.49    -2.59    57.75    10.88    -7.15     0.10     4.00     0.74P   10.15R    2.18  
Southport         3    1   -7      -1.26    33.54    -3.96    45.16    10.37   -31.04     0.00     0.22     0.03P   46.94R   18.38  
Halifax           3    0   -4      -4.65     1.47    -4.82    58.46    11.05    -5.14     0.12     4.94     1.02P    9.39R    1.97  
Altrincham        3    0   -4      -2.76     7.22    -1.94    46.59    10.39   -23.73     0.00     0.33     0.04P   40.07R   14.07