Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 16 August 2015 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 16 August 2015, Crystal_Palace 1 2 Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City          2    6   +6       2.04    83.41     3.93    85.81     9.19    59.90    68.75    86.64    93.84    97.20    99.33     0.00     0.00  
Leicester         2    6   +3       3.04    91.84     2.67    49.67     9.95    -7.57     0.09     0.63     2.01     4.66    13.94     7.33R    1.27  
Man_Utd           2    6   +2       2.14    84.21     0.32    71.11     9.97    26.23     9.09    30.07    50.29    66.08    85.57     0.04R    0.01  
Everton           2    4   +3       0.71    67.30     2.15    59.03    10.03    11.16     0.94     4.67    11.42    20.80    44.34     0.89R    0.10  
Swansea           2    4   +2       1.49    82.43     2.39    53.22     9.99     1.08     0.20     1.26     3.94     8.46    23.17     3.40R    0.53  
Crystal_Palace    2    3   +1       0.77    64.14     1.83    45.31     9.52   -10.34     0.03     0.15     0.54     1.52     6.28    14.16R    3.09  
West_Ham          2    3   +1       0.70    62.64     1.69    49.48     9.68    -3.75     0.07     0.52     1.64     3.88    12.87     6.98R    1.31  
Liverpool         1    3   +1       1.29    75.61     0.49    64.36    10.54    17.38     3.22    12.75    25.46    39.72    64.79     0.38R    0.05  
Norwich           2    3   +0       0.18    51.77    -0.12    42.01    10.48   -18.66     0.03     0.20     0.56     1.36     4.72    26.29R    8.17  
Aston_Villa       2    3   +0       0.98    68.31     1.12    39.33     9.09   -20.38     0.00     0.01     0.11     0.31     1.60    32.74R    9.41  
Arsenal           2    3   -1      -0.87    30.00    -2.71    68.62    10.10    24.77     6.26    22.42    40.37    57.07    79.25     0.08R    0.00  
Watford           2    2   +0      -0.18    48.01     0.89    39.93    10.50   -21.05     0.02     0.12     0.37     0.94     3.28    33.56R   12.15  
Stoke             2    1   -1      -1.26    32.10    -0.28    48.11     9.70    -4.65     0.05     0.37     1.16     2.89    10.30     9.18R    1.81  
Tottenham         2    1   -1      -1.54    26.42    -0.66    54.51    10.19     4.60     0.33     1.89     5.33    10.92    28.04     3.05R    0.51  
Newcastle         2    1   -2      -1.00    37.89    -0.83    38.53     9.61   -22.88     0.00     0.03     0.12     0.36     1.64    37.12R   12.92  
Chelsea           2    1   -3      -2.12    16.48    -3.55    72.60     9.72    32.39    10.63    36.43    57.58    72.81    89.22     0.02R    0.00  
Southampton       2    1   -3      -2.14    16.38    -3.61    54.19    10.01     2.38     0.27     1.74     4.85     9.77    25.95     2.96R    0.47  
West_Brom         2    1   -3      -0.93    37.38    -1.39    41.99     9.49   -16.04     0.00     0.06     0.23     0.70     3.21    23.49R    6.35  
Bournemouth       1    0   -1      -1.37    18.45    -1.00    37.09    10.58   -25.95     0.01     0.04     0.19     0.48     2.04    43.88R   18.68  
Sunderland        2    0   -4      -2.32     9.76    -3.36    34.39     9.07   -28.63     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.49    54.48R   23.17  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 16 August 2015, Reading 0 0 Leeds_United; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Brighton         2    6   +2       3.11    92.36     1.76    66.09    10.99     2.88     2.36     5.90    26.11    10.17P    3.26R    0.49  
Middlesbrough    2    4   +3       0.52    63.07     1.92    77.37    11.55    22.45    16.31    29.80    65.14    40.68P    0.36R    0.04  
Brentford        2    4   +2       0.96    71.51     1.56    70.40    12.25    11.31     6.86    14.22    41.81    20.94P    2.39R    0.42  
Charlton         2    4   +2       1.81    85.47     2.85    60.61    11.30    -2.74     0.93     2.51    13.96     4.64P    9.46R    2.02  
Hull             2    4   +2       0.63    66.11     1.03    77.62    12.32    21.79    18.36    31.58    65.02    41.82P    0.56R    0.07  
Birmingham       2    4   +1       1.50    81.42     1.35    59.33    11.62    -6.76     0.78     2.19    12.59     4.16P   12.54R    3.06  
Ipswich          2    4   +1       1.05    73.85     0.74    71.00    11.93    11.33     6.94    14.50    43.69    21.67P    1.92R    0.34  
Wolverhampton    2    4   +1       1.27    76.80     0.99    73.20    11.92    14.60     9.52    18.99    50.50    27.22P    1.19R    0.18  
Preston          2    4   +1       1.67    82.85     1.56    62.16    12.16    -1.55     1.80     4.33    18.99     7.46P    9.09R    2.06  
MK_Dons          2    3   +2      -0.20    43.81     1.30    62.89    13.07     0.80     2.89     6.25    22.61     9.93P    9.60R    2.41  
Sheff_Wed        2    3   +1       0.42    56.72     1.20    59.00    11.13    -4.27     0.55     1.75    11.13     3.64P   11.66R    2.76  
Nott'm_Forest    2    3   +0      -0.14    44.60    -0.66    62.88    11.93    -1.17     1.96     4.59    20.06     7.77P    7.91R    1.75  
Burnley          2    2   +0      -1.32    25.10    -0.87    70.03    12.36    11.82     6.93    13.93    40.81    21.64P    2.47R    0.44  
Cardiff          2    2   +0      -0.74    34.82     0.01    61.25    11.58    -1.30     1.17     3.11    16.18     6.00P    8.82R    2.03  
Derby            2    2   +0      -1.52    21.46    -1.17    75.05    12.10    19.86    13.19    24.48    57.50    34.19P    0.93R    0.13  
Leeds_United     2    2   +0      -0.39    44.66     0.46    55.79    11.28    -9.28     0.32     1.05     6.99     2.18P   18.93R    4.97  
Blackburn        2    1   -1      -1.87    21.39    -1.19    63.22    11.79     1.88     1.86     4.62    20.81     8.35P    7.00R    1.51  
Fulham           2    1   -1      -1.47    28.02    -0.54    55.35    12.00   -11.74     0.49     1.26     7.80     2.52P   21.89R    6.94  
Reading          2    1   -1      -1.70    23.30    -0.94    54.73    11.41   -10.70     0.31     0.87     6.08     1.86P   21.85R    6.53  
QPR              2    1   -2      -2.10    17.70    -2.56    67.42    13.00     7.43     5.32    11.13    33.58    17.20P    5.03R    1.13  
Huddersfield     2    1   -2      -1.00    37.27    -0.83    51.18    11.47   -18.25     0.17     0.46     3.62     0.99P   33.29R   11.55  
Bolton           2    1   -3      -0.92    38.85    -1.78    55.27    11.44   -12.05     0.28     0.89     6.70     2.00P   21.02R    5.93  
Bristol_City     2    0   -4      -2.44     9.45    -3.50    54.19    12.80   -14.67     0.68     1.58     7.82     2.85P   26.60R    9.61  
Rotherham        2    0   -4      -1.97    13.52    -2.69    42.94    10.89   -31.67     0.01     0.04     0.52     0.12P   62.20R   33.62  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 16 August 2015, Wigan 0 0 Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Coventry          2    6   +6       3.45    94.40     6.27    72.11    11.82    14.68     8.68    17.39    47.65    24.56P    2.44R    0.28  
Rochdale          2    6   +4       3.10    92.06     3.78    71.76    12.10    12.05     8.97    17.43    46.30    23.94P    3.04R    0.32  
Gillingham        2    4   +4       1.24    76.32     3.97    67.31    12.00     8.16     4.38     9.61    32.83    14.79P    6.24R    0.85  
Swindon           2    4   +3       0.37    60.12     1.63    79.44    12.00    26.86    24.09    38.75    71.38    48.75P    0.69R    0.06  
Walsall           2    4   +2       0.87    69.84     1.43    65.94    11.35     4.86     2.94     6.84    27.22    11.63P    6.65R    0.77  
Oldham            2    4   +1       1.38    79.59     1.13    60.16    11.42    -5.22     1.04     2.67    13.71     4.91P   16.41R    2.75  
Scunthorpe        2    3   +1      -0.11    45.66     0.45    58.67    11.78    -7.27     0.95     2.37    12.19     4.27P   20.71R    4.01  
Chesterfield      2    3   +0       0.23    52.60    -0.06    70.00    11.78    10.08     6.15    13.27    40.75    20.33P    3.84R    0.44  
Burton_Albion     2    3   +0       0.57    59.68     0.48    55.69    12.19   -11.53     0.61     1.63     8.67     3.07P   29.45R    7.59  
Barnsley          2    3   -1       0.08    49.55    -1.25    67.10    11.68     4.61     3.81     8.76    31.33    14.31P    6.20R    0.73  
Peterborough      2    3   -1      -0.02    47.59    -1.41    67.62    11.70     5.58     4.11     9.38    32.61    15.17P    5.56R    0.68  
Sheff_Utd         2    3   -2       0.08    49.59    -2.26    71.50    11.60    10.38     7.49    15.44    45.22    23.48P    2.75R    0.27  
Millwall          2    3   -3       0.23    52.76    -3.06    66.16    12.51     1.28     4.06     8.82    29.41    14.02P    8.79R    1.35  
Bury              2    2   +0      -0.02    52.59     1.12    54.51    12.24   -12.27     0.54     1.44     7.52     2.65P   33.24R    9.13  
Doncaster         2    2   +0      -0.73    34.22    -0.02    64.60    11.54     3.57     2.38     5.87    23.93    10.30P    8.69R    1.26  
Port_Vale         2    2   +0      -0.83    34.21    -0.14    57.71    11.43    -7.23     0.63     1.69     9.81     3.33P   22.04R    4.55  
Colchester        2    1   -1      -1.38    29.18    -0.40    54.34    11.60   -12.89     0.30     0.99     6.28     2.05P   32.44R    8.43  
Shrewsbury        2    1   -1      -1.66    23.69    -0.94    60.36    12.22    -1.96     1.55     3.70    15.95     6.81P   17.46R    3.45  
Fleetwood_Town    2    1   -1      -1.76    21.15    -1.06    55.04    11.10    -9.72     0.26     0.78     6.07     1.84P   29.05R    6.45  
Blackpool         2    1   -2      -1.74    23.80    -1.97    59.48    12.36    -4.92     1.34     3.34    14.42     5.99P   19.69R    4.17  
Southend          2    1   -2      -1.33    29.51    -1.50    50.46    11.81   -17.79     0.17     0.49     3.45     1.12P   45.57R   15.09  
Crewe             2    1   -2      -1.25    31.93    -1.20    46.39    10.94   -25.36     0.04     0.10     1.12     0.27P   59.88R   24.00  
Wigan             2    1   -2      -2.18    15.64    -2.65    75.45    12.22    19.02    14.59    26.70    58.90    37.47P    1.68R    0.14  
Bradford          2    1   -3      -1.37    28.46    -2.35    59.82    11.51    -4.99     0.92     2.52    13.29     4.94P   17.49R    3.25  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 August 2015, Barnet 0 2 Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Wycombe               2    6   +5       2.40    86.74     3.73    76.98    11.87    21.21     8.58    36.65    69.71    45.93P    0.21R    0.06  
Leyton_Orient         2    6   +4       1.67    78.36     1.35    93.44    12.30    47.36    59.09    84.28    96.00    88.52P    0.01R    0.00  
Portsmouth            2    6   +4       3.09    92.49     3.71    70.04    12.03     9.50     3.10    17.61    46.81    24.47P    1.12R    0.38  
Northampton           2    6   +4       2.92    90.92     3.47    69.33    12.07     8.19     2.96    16.37    44.78    22.66P    1.39R    0.53  
Hartlepool            2    6   +3       3.51    94.78     3.33    56.84    11.36   -11.67     0.20     2.17    11.17     3.72P   11.06R    5.16  
Cambridge_Utd         2    4   +3       1.14    75.08     2.88    59.57    11.98    -5.58     0.53     4.18    17.57     6.85P    8.07R    3.58  
Mansfield             2    4   +2       1.83    86.26     2.88    54.19    11.11   -12.97     0.09     1.17     7.25     2.20P   15.21R    7.36  
Plymouth              2    3   +1      -0.04    47.29     0.56    69.05    11.54     9.76     2.31    14.78    43.86    22.56P    1.18R    0.42  
Notts_County          2    3   +0      -0.44    38.65    -1.03    77.43    12.75    21.34    10.56    39.26    69.78    49.04P    0.38R    0.12  
Bristol_Rovers        2    3   +0       0.62    61.17     0.44    58.56    11.90    -5.90     0.39     3.30    15.30     6.01P    9.12R    4.16  
AFC_Wimbledon         2    3   -1       0.87    66.13    -0.06    58.06    11.74    -9.58     0.30     2.91    14.02     4.98P    9.84R    4.61  
Morecambe             2    3   -1      -0.03    47.28    -1.45    59.86    11.58    -6.19     0.43     3.88    17.30     6.63P    6.90R    3.08  
Exeter                2    3   -2       0.55    59.30    -1.49    60.79    12.11    -6.95     0.60     4.99    20.15     8.08P    7.05R    3.18  
Carlisle              2    2   +0      -0.86    33.15    -0.16    56.44    12.07   -11.13     0.25     2.54    12.18     4.52P   13.12R    6.55  
Luton                 2    2   +0      -1.06    30.12    -0.48    65.43    11.69     4.76     1.32     9.28    32.22    15.24P    2.73R    1.01  
Oxford_Utd            2    2   +0      -0.49    42.07     0.33    63.70    11.61     2.29     0.91     6.92    26.86    11.72P    3.66R    1.51  
Crawley_Town          2    1   -1      -2.29    14.94    -1.84    71.26    12.77    14.10     4.69    22.47    51.43    31.26P    1.47R    0.62  
Accrington_Stanley    2    1   -1      -1.32    30.97    -0.35    52.25    11.75   -16.63     0.08     1.10     6.47     2.09P   21.49R   11.52  
Stevenage             2    1   -2      -1.82    21.96    -2.12    66.78    12.02     6.14     1.81    11.74    36.97    18.32P    2.33R    0.90  
Newport_County        2    1   -3      -1.40    29.80    -2.44    54.01    11.43   -14.58     0.10     1.25     7.61     2.55P   16.55R    8.37  
Yeovil                2    0   -2      -3.04     4.85    -2.43    64.09    12.74     3.78     1.45     9.43    30.20    15.11P    4.79R    2.15  
York                  2    0   -4      -2.48     7.57    -3.63    54.91    11.22   -11.44     0.09     1.29     8.29     2.82P   13.96R    6.58  
Barnet                2    0   -4      -1.47    18.38    -1.75    48.20    12.10   -22.90     0.04     0.49     3.65     1.06P   33.75R   20.83  
Dag_&_Red             2    0   -5      -1.82    14.81    -3.45    55.59    11.90   -12.90     0.10     1.93    10.44     3.66P   14.62R    7.32  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 August 2015, Braintree_Town 0 0 Tranmere; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Forest_Green      3    9   +6       2.73    87.94     2.45    79.85    11.25    24.54     9.43    59.04    21.52P    0.10R    0.00  
Grimsby           3    7   +6       0.60    62.60     2.10    83.68    10.94    33.06    15.91    72.29    33.36P    0.03R    0.00  
Eastleigh         3    7   +5       1.23    71.03     2.35    74.44    11.49    18.33     4.54    40.38    12.26P    0.45R    0.04  
Tranmere          3    7   +4       1.58    75.53     2.01    92.41    11.44    46.93    47.44    90.14    62.82P    0.00R    0.00  
Chester           3    7   +2       3.61    94.55     3.13    59.49    10.81    -8.47     0.16     5.32     0.82P    7.49R    1.39  
Wrexham           3    6   +3       1.03    63.87     1.75    69.79    10.90    10.53     1.49    24.02     6.13P    0.94R    0.10  
Woking            3    6   +3       0.97    64.38     1.58    72.64    11.20    14.93     2.56    33.56     9.03P    0.50R    0.05  
Guiseley          3    6   +1       1.94    77.65     1.03    52.15    11.80   -18.66     0.07     2.35     0.43P   24.77R    7.28  
Torquay           3    6   +0       1.94    77.63     0.07    73.09    11.26    12.53     3.19    34.64     9.77P    0.52R    0.06  
Gateshead         3    6   -1       1.73    75.09    -1.26    67.17    11.07     2.01     0.86    17.55     3.76P    1.88R    0.31  
Cheltenham        3    5   +3      -0.98    31.72     0.08    81.11    11.66    29.53    12.30    63.55    28.42P    0.08R    0.01  
Lincoln_City      3    5   +2       1.88    80.26     3.57    63.73    11.22     1.18     0.51    11.18     2.27P    3.98R    0.73  
Dover_Athletic    3    4   +0      -1.02    35.19    -1.35    61.84    11.00    -2.14     0.28     8.47     1.64P    5.00R    0.82  
Macclesfield      3    4   +0      -0.96    34.77    -1.22    65.08    10.84     3.68     0.54    12.72     3.00P    2.56R    0.40  
Boreham_Wood      3    3   +0       0.09    52.29     2.08    52.33    12.33   -15.64     0.12     2.69     0.53P   24.90R    8.20  
Welling           3    3   -1      -0.18    46.59     0.49    53.30    10.61   -14.60     0.02     1.56     0.21P   18.63R    4.47  
Bromley           3    3   -3       0.70    63.80     0.25    49.79    12.58   -24.14     0.08     1.93     0.37P   33.37R   12.76  
Barrow            3    3   -6       0.92    67.50    -2.05    44.74    12.06   -36.11     0.02     0.67     0.10P   49.73R   23.01  
Kidderminster     3    1   -2      -2.53    15.26    -1.20    58.78    10.94    -3.93     0.16     4.97     0.98P    8.52R    1.66  
Braintree_Town    3    1   -3      -2.86    11.58    -2.70    58.15    10.64    -5.28     0.07     3.91     0.74P    8.99R    1.71  
Aldershot         3    1   -4      -2.12    18.90    -2.54    57.49    10.78    -7.48     0.07     3.74     0.74P   10.18R    2.05  
Southport         3    1   -7      -1.25    33.11    -3.95    45.21    10.36   -30.97     0.00     0.20     0.03P   46.07R   17.64  
Halifax           3    0   -4      -4.63     1.53    -4.78    58.39    11.14    -5.21     0.16     4.84     1.03P    9.24R    2.12  
Altrincham        3    0   -4      -2.75     7.37    -1.89    46.12    10.51   -24.63     0.00     0.29     0.03P   42.08R   15.18