Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 15 August 2015 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 August 2015, Southampton 0 3 Everton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester         2    6   +3       3.04    91.66     2.67    49.83     9.96    -7.32     0.11     0.65     2.02     4.65    14.27     7.00R    1.27  
Man_Utd           2    6   +2       2.16    84.46     0.33    71.02     9.90    26.12    11.07    29.37    49.42    65.99    85.18     0.03R    0.00  
Everton           2    4   +3       0.71    67.04     2.16    59.07    10.12    11.34     1.30     4.89    11.39    20.71    44.30     1.01R    0.12  
Swansea           2    4   +2       1.55    83.16     2.48    53.40     9.99     1.38     0.30     1.34     3.91     8.52    23.53     3.55R    0.62  
Man_City          1    3   +3       0.64    63.38     1.29    82.05     9.73    52.41    52.85    75.38    87.07    93.08    98.03     0.00R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace    1    3   +2       1.51    79.52     1.81    45.90     9.82   -10.56     0.05     0.25     0.86     2.08     7.37    13.73R    3.17  
West_Ham          2    3   +1       0.71    62.84     1.69    49.39     9.68    -3.91     0.07     0.48     1.58     3.75    12.57     7.14R    1.30  
Liverpool         1    3   +1       1.26    75.12     0.44    64.02    10.53    16.89     3.80    12.00    24.04    38.01    63.14     0.41R    0.05  
Norwich           2    3   +0       0.19    51.89    -0.10    41.84    10.42   -18.94     0.02     0.14     0.48     1.21     4.46    26.97R    8.45  
Aston_Villa       2    3   +0       0.99    68.66     1.17    39.31     9.13   -20.45     0.00     0.02     0.08     0.27     1.49    33.22R    9.84  
Watford           2    2   +0      -0.19    48.30     0.88    39.83    10.33   -21.16     0.01     0.10     0.30     0.71     2.89    33.85R   11.83  
Chelsea           1    1   +0      -0.95    31.27    -0.88    75.66     9.73    38.45    22.55    50.32    69.39    81.68    93.56     0.01R    0.00  
Stoke             2    1   -1      -1.29    31.24    -0.30    48.42     9.73    -4.17     0.08     0.40     1.30     3.16    10.89     8.51R    1.67  
Tottenham         2    1   -1      -1.54    26.50    -0.68    54.70    10.29     4.92     0.50     2.15     5.54    11.30    28.33     3.02R    0.54  
Newcastle         2    1   -2      -1.01    37.38    -0.84    38.58     9.51   -22.75     0.01     0.02     0.11     0.31     1.55    37.10R   12.57  
Southampton       2    1   -3      -2.13    16.54    -3.61    54.32     9.95     2.59     0.38     1.71     4.57     9.76    26.21     2.80R    0.45  
West_Brom         2    1   -3      -0.98    36.09    -1.49    41.92     9.48   -16.12     0.00     0.06     0.21     0.66     3.10    23.96R    6.44  
Bournemouth       1    0   -1      -1.34    18.82    -0.96    37.29    10.60   -25.53     0.02     0.06     0.21     0.53     2.11    43.71R   18.44  
Arsenal           1    0   -2      -1.83    11.39    -2.68    67.81    10.30    25.09     6.87    20.66    37.50    53.54    76.57     0.11R    0.02  
Sunderland        2    0   -4      -2.33     9.60    -3.38    34.55     9.09   -28.30     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.07     0.43    53.86R   23.22  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 August 2015, Bristol_City 2 4 Brentford; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Brighton         2    6   +2       3.10    92.38     1.75    66.47    11.13     3.30     2.36     6.05    26.67    10.53P    3.09R    0.45  
Middlesbrough    2    4   +3       0.51    62.82     1.90    77.74    11.52    23.10    16.15    29.43    65.68    40.47P    0.29R    0.03  
Brentford        2    4   +2       0.97    71.67     1.57    70.69    12.12    11.81     6.66    13.88    41.68    20.60P    2.01R    0.36  
Charlton         2    4   +2       1.79    85.27     2.84    60.84    11.38    -2.66     0.84     2.55    14.05     4.70P    9.41R    2.07  
Birmingham       2    4   +1       1.51    81.89     1.38    59.27    11.78    -7.22     0.83     2.10    12.49     4.01P   12.83R    3.07  
Ipswich          2    4   +1       1.05    73.84     0.74    70.85    12.10    11.10     6.63    14.14    41.88    20.82P    2.04R    0.40  
Preston          2    4   +1       1.68    83.01     1.58    62.11    12.29    -1.74     1.62     4.04    18.57     7.22P    9.15R    2.22  
MK_Dons          2    3   +2      -0.19    44.02     1.31    62.95    13.25     0.69     2.88     6.27    22.38     9.96P    9.89R    2.60  
Hull             1    3   +2       0.94    69.51     0.96    78.24    12.73    22.26    19.46    32.68    65.27    42.66P    0.58R    0.09  
Sheff_Wed        2    3   +1       0.41    56.50     1.20    59.10    11.21    -4.37     0.61     1.81    11.06     3.68P   11.48R    2.58  
Wolverhampton    1    3   +1       1.66    81.93     1.05    73.74    12.13    14.90    10.10    19.74    51.38    27.87P    1.16R    0.17  
Nott'm_Forest    2    3   +0      -0.15    44.46    -0.68    62.84    12.05    -1.26     1.88     4.52    19.75     7.76P    8.05R    1.76  
Burnley          2    2   +0      -1.35    24.53    -0.91    70.24    12.56    12.11     6.87    14.18    40.82    21.80P    2.55R    0.48  
Cardiff          2    2   +0      -0.74    34.87     0.02    61.33    11.69    -1.30     1.19     3.02    15.73     5.87P    9.18R    1.96  
Derby            2    2   +0      -1.50    21.74    -1.14    74.99    12.02    19.95    12.24    23.27    56.28    33.05P    0.83R    0.13  
Leeds_United     1    1   +0      -0.19    55.71     0.24    55.73    11.78   -10.52     0.47     1.24     7.52     2.39P   20.16R    5.77  
Blackburn        2    1   -1      -1.90    21.03    -1.22    63.32    11.92     1.98     1.95     4.62    20.67     8.39P    7.16R    1.55  
Fulham           2    1   -1      -1.46    28.19    -0.53    55.40    12.12   -11.88     0.46     1.22     7.70     2.50P   21.96R    6.77  
QPR              2    1   -2      -2.11    17.66    -2.56    67.50    13.27     7.56     5.37    11.12    33.79    17.16P    5.32R    1.21  
Huddersfield     2    1   -2      -0.98    37.63    -0.79    51.21    11.58   -18.61     0.15     0.45     3.52     1.04P   33.22R   11.73  
Bolton           2    1   -3      -0.94    38.41    -1.78    55.59    11.64   -11.76     0.29     0.93     6.98     2.02P   20.28R    5.93  
Reading          1    0   -1      -1.18    21.93    -0.71    55.67    11.98   -10.37     0.46     1.25     7.72     2.53P   20.68R    6.07  
Bristol_City     2    0   -4      -2.44     9.40    -3.51    54.32    12.91   -14.68     0.55     1.48     7.94     2.89P   26.30R    9.19  
Rotherham        2    0   -4      -1.97    13.53    -2.68    42.86    10.88   -32.39     0.00     0.02     0.47     0.07P   62.37R   33.42  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 August 2015, Barnsley 1 0 Burton_Albion; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Coventry          2    6   +6       3.47    94.41     6.32    72.02    11.97    14.55     8.08    16.92    47.02    24.16P    2.79R    0.33  
Rochdale          2    6   +4       3.07    91.97     3.72    71.82    12.07    12.12     8.27    16.67    46.29    23.50P    3.04R    0.39  
Gillingham        2    4   +4       1.23    76.22     3.99    67.67    12.00     8.54     4.37     9.64    33.05    14.96P    5.91R    0.84  
Swindon           2    4   +3       0.36    59.93     1.59    79.24    12.07    26.59    22.30    37.15    70.29    47.08P    0.69R    0.05  
Walsall           2    4   +2       0.88    70.03     1.44    65.80    11.24     4.62     2.53     6.10    25.88    10.60P    6.44R    0.75  
Oldham            2    4   +1       1.37    79.23     1.14    60.04    11.41    -5.58     0.87     2.38    13.21     4.51P   16.46R    2.89  
Scunthorpe        2    3   +1      -0.08    46.12     0.48    58.85    11.83    -7.28     0.82     2.32    12.26     4.40P   20.48R    4.03  
Chesterfield      2    3   +0       0.24    52.80    -0.04    70.17    11.93    10.43     6.19    13.30    40.62    20.36P    3.84R    0.40  
Burton_Albion     2    3   +0       0.55    59.39     0.47    55.92    12.17   -11.52     0.57     1.64     8.75     3.12P   28.80R    7.22  
Barnsley          2    3   -1       0.07    49.36    -1.28    67.53    11.82     5.27     3.91     9.07    31.90    14.69P    5.86R    0.71  
Peterborough      2    3   -1      -0.00    47.86    -1.37    67.32    11.66     4.99     3.69     8.39    31.21    14.01P    5.85R    0.75  
Sheff_Utd         2    3   -2       0.07    49.60    -2.27    71.69    11.56    10.70     7.03    14.88    45.18    23.31P    2.56R    0.26  
Millwall          2    3   -3       0.22    52.41    -3.08    66.50    12.72     1.69     4.17     8.99    30.01    14.09P    8.62R    1.37  
Bury              2    2   +0      -0.01    52.61     1.18    53.77    12.18   -13.81     0.36     1.01     6.43     2.13P   35.06R   10.04  
Port_Vale         2    2   +0      -0.83    34.42    -0.13    57.83    11.45    -7.29     0.58     1.72     9.72     3.36P   21.83R    4.27  
Doncaster         1    1   +0      -0.86    34.13    -0.73    64.17    11.93     2.17     2.41     5.55    23.04     9.68P   10.17R    1.48  
Colchester        2    1   -1      -1.41    28.68    -0.42    54.55    11.58   -12.79     0.32     0.90     6.16     1.86P   31.62R    8.01  
Shrewsbury        2    1   -1      -1.69    23.47    -0.95    60.71    12.43    -1.70     1.56     3.73    16.56     6.97P   17.07R    3.48  
Fleetwood_Town    2    1   -1      -1.78    21.11    -1.08    55.13    11.24    -9.82     0.31     0.92     6.32     2.07P   28.72R    6.36  
Blackpool         2    1   -2      -1.71    24.25    -1.93    59.35    12.48    -5.34     1.34     3.13    14.19     5.73P   20.25R    4.41  
Southend          2    1   -2      -1.33    29.34    -1.49    50.43    11.91   -18.13     0.16     0.49     3.59     1.07P   45.79R   15.59  
Crewe             2    1   -2      -1.28    31.41    -1.22    46.47    10.86   -25.57     0.03     0.08     1.12     0.26P   59.91R   23.33  
Bradford          2    1   -3      -1.35    28.90    -2.31    59.91    11.43    -5.01     0.74     2.21    12.72     4.51P   17.00R    2.91  
Wigan             1    0   -2      -1.37    18.16    -2.01    77.67    12.69    22.15    19.41    32.80    64.48    43.57P    1.24R    0.12  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 August 2015, Barnet 0 2 Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Wycombe               2    6   +5       2.40    86.67     3.73    77.17    11.78    21.48     8.59    37.31    70.58    46.84P    0.18R    0.05  
Leyton_Orient         2    6   +4       1.65    78.18     1.32    93.86    12.32    48.06    60.47    85.25    96.23    89.26P    0.00R    0.00  
Portsmouth            2    6   +4       3.08    92.34     3.70    70.33    11.85     9.87     3.09    18.21    48.01    25.14P    1.12R    0.38  
Northampton           2    6   +4       2.93    91.12     3.48    69.18    11.98     8.00     2.67    15.81    44.07    22.40P    1.33R    0.51  
Hartlepool            2    6   +3       3.50    94.80     3.30    56.86    11.38   -11.64     0.19     2.09    11.24     3.55P   10.91R    5.06  
Cambridge_Utd         2    4   +3       1.16    75.49     2.91    59.48    12.05    -5.81     0.51     4.27    17.89     6.93P    8.14R    3.72  
Mansfield             2    4   +2       1.84    86.52     2.90    53.96    11.06   -13.36     0.07     1.10     6.92     2.12P   15.73R    7.63  
Plymouth              2    3   +1      -0.02    47.51     0.58    68.75    11.56     9.34     2.11    14.14    42.76    21.63P    1.30R    0.42  
Notts_County          2    3   +0      -0.44    38.81    -1.03    77.10    12.58    20.87     9.86    38.00    69.19    47.82P    0.35R    0.10  
Bristol_Rovers        2    3   +0       0.61    61.01     0.44    58.53    11.95    -6.00     0.38     3.44    15.30     5.99P    9.28R    4.17  
AFC_Wimbledon         2    3   -1       0.85    65.84    -0.09    58.22    11.78    -9.34     0.32     2.97    14.32     5.22P    9.66R    4.41  
Morecambe             2    3   -1      -0.02    47.49    -1.42    59.66    11.58    -6.43     0.41     3.77    16.90     6.66P    7.13R    3.13  
Exeter                2    3   -2       0.55    59.28    -1.49    60.86    11.97    -6.87     0.56     4.85    19.99     7.90P    6.76R    2.98  
Carlisle              2    2   +0      -0.89    32.66    -0.21    56.60    11.98   -10.78     0.25     2.58    12.34     4.58P   12.55R    6.16  
Luton                 2    2   +0      -1.05    30.35    -0.46    65.47    11.74     4.85     1.18     9.41    32.24    15.14P    2.81R    1.02  
Oxford_Utd            2    2   +0      -0.51    41.57     0.30    63.89    11.63     2.47     0.94     7.25    27.36    12.07P    3.43R    1.35  
Crawley_Town          2    1   -1      -2.28    14.87    -1.82    71.32    12.81    14.25     4.76    22.51    51.88    31.23P    1.37R    0.53  
Accrington_Stanley    2    1   -1      -1.33    31.04    -0.35    52.41    11.69   -16.48     0.09     0.97     6.33     2.02P   20.70R   11.09  
Stevenage             2    1   -2      -1.81    22.05    -2.11    66.63    11.94     5.93     1.70    11.46    36.38    18.07P    2.34R    0.94  
Newport_County        2    1   -3      -1.41    29.67    -2.46    54.10    11.52   -14.45     0.12     1.27     7.90     2.60P   16.65R    8.28  
Yeovil                2    0   -2      -3.04     4.70    -2.42    64.05    12.64     3.76     1.40     9.43    29.70    15.14P    4.62R    2.00  
York                  2    0   -4      -2.49     7.60    -3.63    55.01    11.38   -11.27     0.13     1.48     8.63     3.04P   14.17R    6.85  
Barnet                2    0   -4      -1.46    18.66    -1.71    47.92    12.28   -23.51     0.06     0.63     3.82     1.21P   35.35R   22.23  
Dag_&_Red             2    0   -5      -1.82    15.00    -3.45    55.58    11.75   -12.94     0.14     1.81    10.02     3.44P   14.14R    6.99  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 August 2015, Braintree_Town 0 0 Tranmere; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Forest_Green      3    9   +6       2.75    88.22     2.49    79.91    11.15    24.66     9.73    59.37    22.00P    0.09R    0.01  
Grimsby           3    7   +6       0.63    63.20     2.14    83.55    10.89    32.91    15.84    72.27    33.56P    0.02R    0.00  
Eastleigh         3    7   +5       1.23    71.15     2.36    74.57    11.34    18.54     4.47    40.60    12.26P    0.36R    0.04  
Tranmere          3    7   +4       1.60    75.98     2.04    92.12    11.40    46.52    47.24    89.94    62.54P    0.00R    0.00  
Chester           3    7   +2       3.60    94.58     3.10    59.93    10.79    -7.69     0.17     5.77     0.93P    7.00R    1.21  
Wrexham           3    6   +3       1.04    63.93     1.77    69.38    10.93     9.86     1.42    23.00     5.63P    1.04R    0.10  
Woking            3    6   +3       0.97    64.49     1.57    72.51    11.27    14.65     2.80    33.21     9.20P    0.58R    0.06  
Guiseley          3    6   +1       1.94    77.61     1.03    51.75    11.97   -19.32     0.08     2.23     0.43P   26.20R    8.10  
Torquay           3    6   +0       1.95    77.87     0.08    72.82    11.22    12.16     3.10    34.11     9.62P    0.55R    0.05  
Gateshead         3    6   -1       1.73    75.16    -1.28    67.40    11.27     2.32     1.01    18.60     4.08P    1.90R    0.29  
Cheltenham        3    5   +3      -0.95    31.93     0.14    80.66    11.75    28.97    12.08    61.99    27.76P    0.10R    0.00  
Lincoln_City      3    5   +2       1.84    79.73     3.48    64.23    11.09     1.95     0.49    11.96     2.33P    3.35R    0.53  
Dover_Athletic    3    4   +0      -1.04    34.90    -1.37    62.03    11.02    -1.76     0.35     8.67     1.83P    4.87R    0.78  
Macclesfield      3    4   +0      -0.97    34.48    -1.25    65.26    10.93     3.88     0.60    13.42     3.06P    2.58R    0.40  
Boreham_Wood      3    3   +0       0.12    52.67     2.14    52.19    12.27   -15.82     0.07     2.59     0.52P   25.63R    8.29  
Welling           3    3   -1      -0.16    46.88     0.53    53.18    10.67   -14.78     0.03     1.54     0.23P   19.23R    4.84  
Bromley           3    3   -3       0.71    63.99     0.27    49.22    12.43   -25.03     0.07     1.75     0.33P   34.82R   13.17  
Barrow            3    3   -6       0.91    67.30    -2.10    45.10    12.05   -35.55     0.01     0.63     0.10P   48.22R   22.38  
Kidderminster     3    1   -2      -2.55    15.20    -1.22    58.88    10.94    -3.78     0.12     5.14     0.98P    8.08R    1.64  
Braintree_Town    3    1   -3      -2.85    11.87    -2.68    58.11    10.68    -5.35     0.09     3.97     0.80P    8.78R    1.77  
Aldershot         3    1   -4      -2.15    18.56    -2.58    57.97    10.82    -6.86     0.12     3.97     0.75P    9.48R    1.88  
Southport         3    1   -7      -1.26    33.18    -3.96    45.23    10.29   -30.96     0.00     0.22     0.02P   46.23R   17.61  
Halifax           3    0   -4      -4.65     1.57    -4.79    58.35    11.05    -5.27     0.13     4.76     1.01P    9.43R    2.11  
Altrincham        3    0   -4      -2.76     7.30    -1.91    46.32    10.49   -24.24     0.01     0.28     0.03P   41.43R   14.73