Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 12 August 2015 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 10 August 2015, West_Brom 0 3 Man_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City          1    3   +3       0.68    64.22     1.37    82.50     9.66    53.90    54.40    76.93    88.04    93.84    98.31     0.00R    0.00  
Leicester         1    3   +2       1.39    77.45     1.64    47.48    10.13    -9.71     0.09     0.43     1.34     3.13    10.10    11.74R    2.51  
Crystal_Palace    1    3   +2       1.54    80.00     1.86    46.13     9.86   -10.38     0.06     0.27     0.90     2.24     7.68    13.66R    2.94  
West_Ham          1    3   +2       2.12    89.31     2.78    52.02    10.04    -1.08     0.24     1.08     3.11     6.76    19.49     4.87R    0.86  
Aston_Villa       1    3   +1       1.67    82.17     1.06    39.76     9.46   -21.59     0.01     0.05     0.16     0.41     2.03    32.65R   10.22  
Liverpool         1    3   +1       1.32    76.17     0.53    64.58    10.51    17.93     4.10    13.10    25.63    40.25    65.21     0.34R    0.05  
Man_Utd           1    3   +1       1.24    74.65     0.42    70.22    10.28    26.89     9.93    27.15    46.55    62.55    82.76     0.06R    0.01  
Chelsea           1    1   +0      -1.05    28.12    -1.05    75.51     9.95    38.63    22.19    49.92    68.56    80.72    92.87     0.01R    0.00  
Everton           1    1   +0      -0.84    35.08    -0.74    54.96    10.28     4.39     0.47     2.33     5.92    11.88    29.21     2.90R    0.46  
Newcastle         1    1   +0       0.06    64.72     0.69    40.86     9.84   -19.57     0.00     0.08     0.27     0.76     2.84    29.43R    9.02  
Southampton       1    1   +0      -0.82    35.28    -0.69    58.00    10.34     9.27     0.92     4.07     9.97    18.47    39.98     1.39R    0.24  
Swansea           1    1   +0       0.27    71.88     1.05    51.05    10.25    -1.78     0.18     0.89     2.77     6.00    17.69     6.32R    1.31  
Watford           1    1   +0       0.06    64.92     0.74    40.04    10.97   -22.63     0.01     0.13     0.42     1.10     3.84    34.47R   13.34  
Bournemouth       1    0   -1      -1.41    17.83    -1.06    37.13    10.59   -26.14     0.01     0.06     0.21     0.55     2.10    44.58R   19.01  
Stoke             1    0   -1      -1.07    23.83    -0.53    48.29     9.95    -4.93     0.08     0.42     1.30     3.24    11.08     9.53R    2.02  
Tottenham         1    0   -1      -1.01    25.35    -0.42    55.30    10.49     5.45     0.60     2.54     6.55    12.79    30.61     2.93R    0.51  
Sunderland        1    0   -2      -1.13    22.55    -1.64    36.98     9.40   -24.50     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.16     1.01    44.03R   16.49  
Norwich           1    0   -2      -1.27    20.00    -1.86    39.06    10.64   -23.00     0.02     0.11     0.30     0.72     2.78    37.17R   14.50  
Arsenal           1    0   -2      -1.89    10.69    -2.78    67.86    10.21    25.49     6.68    20.34    37.55    53.54    76.65     0.13R    0.01  
West_Brom         1    0   -3      -0.51    35.78    -1.37    42.35     9.79   -16.62     0.01     0.11     0.35     0.89     3.74    23.78R    6.48  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 9 August 2015, Preston 0 0 Middlesbrough; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

MK_Dons          1    3   +3       1.41    77.48     2.66    66.56    13.32     5.50     5.60    11.05    31.91    15.89P    6.28R    1.47  
Charlton         1    3   +2       1.63    81.74     2.00    59.83    11.38    -4.60     0.94     2.40    13.07     4.39P   11.83R    2.91  
Hull             1    3   +2       0.92    69.07     0.91    77.17    12.44    20.72    18.01    30.89    63.91    41.04P    0.76R    0.12  
Sheff_Wed        1    3   +2       1.40    77.77     1.66    60.70    11.31    -2.79     0.97     2.71    14.54     5.21P   10.28R    2.36  
Birmingham       1    3   +1       1.39    77.44     0.64    58.48    11.52    -8.70     0.73     2.04    11.01     3.72P   14.84R    3.87  
Wolverhampton    1    3   +1       1.72    82.87     1.14    73.31    12.01    14.37    10.23    20.14    51.74    28.28P    1.34R    0.21  
Brighton         1    3   +1       1.40    78.08     0.68    63.47    11.15     0.61     1.63     4.15    19.87     7.59P    6.10R    1.24  
Brentford        1    1   +0      -0.58    43.31    -0.32    66.78    12.19     6.25     3.94     8.98    31.21    14.23P    4.73R    0.99  
Ipswich          1    1   +0      -0.17    56.69     0.32    68.98    11.87     9.77     5.22    11.34    37.72    18.06P    2.93R    0.55  
Burnley          1    1   +0      -0.47    45.94    -0.17    71.64    12.42    13.75     8.82    17.29    46.65    25.89P    2.17R    0.39  
Cardiff          1    1   +0      -0.71    39.05    -0.52    60.78    11.63    -2.55     1.14     3.05    15.56     5.66P   10.61R    2.66  
Fulham           1    1   +0      -0.05    60.95     0.52    57.98    12.02    -8.59     0.83     2.15    11.36     3.91P   16.90R    5.02  
Leeds_United     1    1   +0      -0.23    54.06     0.17    55.75    11.49   -10.33     0.42     1.16     7.38     2.37P   20.95R    6.14  
Bolton           1    1   +0      -0.23    54.68     0.21    58.11    11.60    -6.70     0.69     1.80    10.77     3.59P   15.55R    4.19  
Derby            1    1   +0      -0.51    45.32    -0.21    76.45    12.07    21.78    16.17    28.78    62.48    38.52P    0.69R    0.10  
Middlesbrough    1    1   +0      -0.47    45.85    -0.17    74.22    11.52    17.42    11.01    21.66    55.30    31.62P    0.82R    0.10  
Preston          1    1   +0      -0.22    54.15     0.17    58.29    12.46    -6.06     1.13     2.69    12.76     4.85P   16.92R    4.94  
Blackburn        1    0   -1      -1.46    17.13    -1.14    63.48    11.94     1.68     2.22     5.39    21.96     9.33P    7.83R    1.69  
Reading          1    0   -1      -1.13    22.56    -0.64    55.91    11.58    -9.86     0.45     1.33     7.91     2.55P   20.40R    5.97  
Nott'm_Forest    1    0   -1      -1.12    21.92    -0.68    61.96    12.12    -1.03     1.78     4.32    18.92     7.62P    9.96R    2.51  
Bristol_City     1    0   -2      -1.13    22.23    -1.66    57.88    13.10    -8.59     1.36     3.18    13.15     5.33P   19.14R    6.36  
Huddersfield     1    0   -2      -0.69    30.93    -0.91    51.77    11.65   -18.16     0.19     0.62     4.22     1.25P   33.03R   12.10  
QPR              1    0   -2      -1.36    18.26    -2.00    68.10    13.23     8.00     6.52    12.82    35.94    18.96P    5.10R    1.20  
Rotherham        1    0   -3      -1.17    22.52    -2.66    43.77    10.85   -31.90     0.01     0.05     0.67     0.13P   60.82R   32.92  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 August 2015, Burton_Albion 2 1 Scunthorpe; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Gillingham        1    3   +4       1.38    76.99     3.61    67.25    12.20     6.90     3.96     8.94    31.77    14.11P    7.48R    1.10  
Swindon           1    3   +3       0.90    68.38     1.82    80.01    12.21    28.31    23.32    38.72    71.49    48.79P    0.68R    0.05  
Chesterfield      1    3   +2       1.16    72.96     1.25    72.68    12.10    14.55     8.85    17.95    48.51    25.92P    2.94R    0.32  
Coventry          1    3   +2       1.63    81.63     1.99    65.98    11.88     3.19     2.97     7.01    27.31    11.42P    8.42R    1.22  
Rochdale          1    3   +2       1.27    74.90     1.44    67.88    12.28     6.03     4.51     9.99    33.47    15.39P    6.93R    1.04  
Burton_Albion     1    3   +1       1.28    75.21     0.47    56.52    12.58   -13.51     0.74     1.92     9.96     3.47P   29.68R    8.14  
Millwall          1    3   +1       1.78    84.20     1.21    73.90    13.01    15.49    12.08    22.63    52.32    30.80P    3.10R    0.42  
Blackpool         1    1   +0      -0.19    56.38     0.31    64.14    12.92     1.73     3.07     6.76    24.69    11.02P   12.79R    2.61  
Colchester        1    1   +0      -0.57    43.62    -0.31    55.73    11.80   -13.49     0.42     1.14     7.53     2.46P   30.31R    8.06  
Bury              1    1   +0       0.17    68.60     0.89    54.38    12.53   -14.46     0.50     1.42     7.57     2.68P   35.29R   10.68  
Doncaster         1    1   +0      -0.94    31.40    -0.89    63.67    11.79     1.02     1.90     4.84    21.29     8.63P   11.33R    1.88  
Fleetwood_Town    1    1   +0      -0.74    37.60    -0.52    56.75    11.39    -9.52     0.41     1.19     8.15     2.57P   26.25R    5.83  
Oldham            1    1   +0       0.07    64.71     0.65    58.69    11.61    -7.08     0.72     1.92    11.08     3.74P   21.30R    4.49  
Southend          1    1   +0       0.01    62.40     0.52    54.90    12.36   -12.43     0.57     1.43     7.81     2.77P   33.71R    9.62  
Walsall           1    1   +0      -0.81    35.29    -0.65    62.76    11.48     0.08     1.45     3.72    18.67     7.19P   12.06R    1.99  
Crewe             1    1   +0      -0.50    45.73    -0.19    48.37    11.12   -24.86     0.07     0.19     1.84     0.45P   54.76R   21.03  
Port_Vale         1    1   +0      -0.25    54.27     0.19    58.93    11.81    -7.05     0.80     2.13    12.09     4.26P   21.27R    4.50  
Scunthorpe        1    0   -1      -1.06    24.79    -0.47    56.96    12.05   -10.81     0.59     1.70     9.42     3.20P   26.55R    6.82  
Shrewsbury        1    0   -1      -1.51    15.80    -1.21    61.04    12.69    -2.25     1.81     4.15    17.45     7.35P   18.27R    4.11  
Barnsley          1    0   -2      -0.93    27.04    -1.25    66.72    12.00     5.45     3.46     8.06    29.98    13.36P    7.71R    1.23  
Peterborough      1    0   -2      -1.05    25.10    -1.44    66.63    11.80     5.49     3.14     7.48    29.19    12.96P    7.29R    1.11  
Wigan             1    0   -2      -1.36    18.37    -1.99    78.04    12.61    23.75    18.89    33.00    65.73    43.94P    1.38R    0.16  
Bradford          1    0   -3      -0.70    31.62    -1.82    61.19    11.66    -4.20     1.12     2.89    15.71     5.74P   15.74R    3.03  
Sheff_Utd         1    0   -4      -1.13    23.01    -3.61    69.24    11.75     7.66     4.64    10.82    36.98    17.79P    4.76R    0.56  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 August 2015, AFC_Wimbledon 0 2 Plymouth; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Cambridge_Utd         1    3   +3       1.25    74.94     2.44    59.26    11.44    -6.23     0.41     3.51    16.07     5.88P    7.87R    3.51  
Portsmouth            1    3   +3       1.16    73.37     2.28    66.36    11.58     5.44     1.67    10.50    35.33    16.28P    2.26R    0.92  
Wycombe               1    3   +3       1.07    72.23     2.21    73.50    11.54    16.65     5.69    25.95    59.98    35.38P    0.45R    0.13  
Hartlepool            1    3   +2       1.47    79.14     1.76    54.02    10.98   -14.37     0.09     1.00     6.92     2.03P   16.20R    8.01  
Leyton_Orient         1    3   +2       0.59    62.59     0.23    89.44    12.38    41.69    45.81    76.65    92.98    82.57P    0.03R    0.01  
Notts_County          1    3   +2       1.66    82.26     2.02    82.54    12.49    29.64    22.12    55.87    82.65    64.84P    0.09R    0.03  
Plymouth              1    3   +2       1.64    82.23     2.00    70.96    11.27    11.85     3.62    18.76    50.88    27.29P    0.61R    0.18  
Exeter                1    3   +1       1.46    78.53     0.73    64.21    11.79    -0.67     1.28     8.06    28.67    12.25P    3.81R    1.55  
Northampton           1    3   +1       1.80    84.77     1.21    65.45    11.76     1.75     1.55     9.73    32.53    14.61P    2.93R    1.21  
Accrington_Stanley    1    1   +0      -0.44    47.48    -0.10    54.19    11.62   -15.15     0.17     1.45     8.29     2.65P   17.06R    9.05  
Carlisle              1    1   +0      -0.23    54.66     0.20    58.03    11.61    -8.64     0.36     2.85    14.31     5.14P    9.88R    4.69  
Crawley_Town          1    1   +0      -0.28    52.60     0.11    74.90    12.68    19.01     8.82    32.05    63.26    41.50P    0.65R    0.23  
Luton                 1    1   +0      -0.29    52.52     0.10    65.65    11.27     4.87     1.33     9.05    32.66    14.90P    2.28R    0.86  
Mansfield             1    1   +0      -0.51    45.34    -0.20    49.44    10.62   -20.05     0.02     0.31     2.83     0.72P   28.00R   15.59  
Oxford_Utd            1    1   +0      -0.44    47.40    -0.11    63.18    11.35     1.20     0.93     6.03    25.43    10.49P    3.76R    1.49  
Yeovil                1    0   -1      -1.20    21.47    -0.73    67.88    12.45     8.66     3.07    14.90    41.10    22.03P    2.27R    0.90  
Bristol_Rovers        1    0   -1      -1.51    15.23    -1.21    54.28    11.55   -10.73     0.16     1.51     8.42     2.90P   16.22R    8.32  
AFC_Wimbledon         1    0   -2      -1.35    17.77    -2.00    54.12    11.23   -14.28     0.12     1.22     7.39     2.35P   16.47R    8.44  
Barnet                1    0   -2      -0.43    37.41    -0.23    51.82    12.03   -17.40     0.13     1.26     6.46     2.25P   23.90R   13.57  
Morecambe             1    0   -2      -1.19    20.86    -1.76    58.18    11.39    -7.41     0.31     2.69    13.87     5.06P    9.02R    4.14  
Stevenage             1    0   -2      -1.38    17.74    -2.02    66.45    11.57     5.29     1.64    10.45    35.62    16.99P    2.32R    0.83  
Dag_&_Red             1    0   -3      -0.92    26.63    -2.28    57.80    11.45    -9.51     0.30     2.58    13.01     4.68P   10.01R    4.73  
Newport_County        1    0   -3      -1.00    25.07    -2.44    54.72    11.25   -14.02     0.15     1.34     8.33     2.69P   15.10R    7.60  
York                  1    0   -3      -0.81    27.77    -2.21    58.09    11.14    -7.60     0.27     2.30    12.99     4.51P    8.83R    4.01  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 11 August 2015, Braintree_Town 1 3 Lincoln_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Eastleigh         2    6   +5       2.16    83.98     3.24    76.53    12.03    21.03     6.71    49.36    16.40P    0.35R    0.02  
Tranmere          2    6   +4       2.21    84.61     2.37    94.13    12.05    49.05    54.31    92.02    67.94P    0.01R    0.00  
Chester           2    6   +2       3.59    95.22     2.51    58.62    11.42   -10.63     0.19     6.04     0.98P   10.38R    2.23  
Forest_Green      2    6   +2       2.22    84.89     0.43    77.55    11.72    19.31     7.14    52.22    18.26P    0.26R    0.04  
Grimsby           2    4   +3       0.12    55.58     1.15    82.09    11.30    29.80    12.94    68.40    30.36P    0.06R    0.01  
Lincoln_City      2    4   +2       1.68    83.54     2.61    62.88    11.66    -0.94     0.53    11.67     2.38P    5.54R    1.11  
Boreham_Wood      2    3   +1       0.97    68.11     2.25    52.97    12.80   -15.47     0.17     3.81     0.84P   25.07R    8.30  
Woking            2    3   +1       0.22    52.35     0.99    71.63    11.66    13.69     2.48    32.73     9.33P    0.98R    0.12  
Dover_Athletic    2    3   +0      -0.16    44.83    -0.62    63.26    11.63    -0.56     0.57    12.47     2.78P    4.92R    0.88  
Wrexham           2    3   +0      -0.01    47.88    -0.40    66.33    11.33     4.66     0.95    17.53     4.42P    2.58R    0.41  
Bromley           2    3   +0       1.04    69.66     1.28    51.31    13.16   -19.78     0.13     3.12     0.61P   30.09R   11.62  
Guiseley          2    3   +0       0.41    56.71     0.18    48.87    12.52   -22.47     0.08     1.85     0.34P   36.24R   14.23  
Welling           2    3   +0       0.60    60.77     0.60    53.87    11.06   -14.49     0.04     2.33     0.33P   18.91R    5.00  
Torquay           2    3   -1       0.15    51.25    -1.17    70.01    11.60     9.17     1.89    27.71     7.38P    1.41R    0.22  
Barrow            2    3   -2       1.26    73.73    -0.20    48.18    12.83   -28.03     0.05     1.79     0.30P   39.32R   16.87  
Gateshead         2    3   -2       0.77    63.99    -1.22    66.35    11.72     2.34     0.99    18.39     4.18P    2.90R    0.50  
Cheltenham        2    2   +0      -1.52    21.38    -1.15    78.71    12.29    25.12     9.39    56.41    24.07P    0.28R    0.03  
Kidderminster     2    1   -1      -1.28    31.49    -0.32    60.67    11.48    -2.15     0.29     8.33     1.58P    7.56R    1.45  
Aldershot         2    1   -1      -1.32    29.41    -0.38    60.38    11.33    -2.08     0.25     7.70     1.57P    7.31R    1.52  
Macclesfield      2    1   -1      -2.06    16.28    -1.48    63.66    11.12     2.95     0.46    11.85     2.85P    3.96R    0.60  
Southport         2    1   -4      -0.79    41.98    -2.56    46.17    10.72   -28.23     0.01     0.43     0.05P   43.90R   16.53  
Altrincham        2    0   -2      -2.20    10.42    -1.22    47.08    10.89   -23.04     0.01     0.56     0.07P   39.70R   14.26  
Braintree_Town    2    0   -3      -2.84     5.91    -3.17    57.46    11.17    -6.88     0.12     4.67     0.98P   11.17R    2.59  
Halifax           2    0   -3      -3.22     4.13    -3.72    60.83    11.51    -2.38     0.34     8.60     2.02P    7.12R    1.45