Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 11 August 2015 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 10 August 2015, West_Brom 0 3 Man_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City          1    3   +3       0.69    64.28     1.38    82.27     9.67    53.47    53.51    76.27    87.46    93.30    98.20     0.00R    0.00  
Leicester         1    3   +2       1.40    77.60     1.66    47.32    10.19    -9.97     0.06     0.40     1.37     3.08    10.04    12.10R    2.69  
Crystal_Palace    1    3   +2       1.52    79.70     1.83    46.16     9.82   -10.35     0.05     0.27     0.87     2.12     7.65    13.27R    2.82  
West_Ham          1    3   +2       2.11    89.23     2.76    51.89    10.10    -1.21     0.20     1.03     3.09     6.70    19.12     5.07R    0.89  
Aston_Villa       1    3   +1       1.66    82.01     1.04    39.83     9.42   -21.37     0.01     0.03     0.11     0.36     1.91    31.95R    9.57  
Liverpool         1    3   +1       1.31    76.01     0.52    64.53    10.53    17.95     4.06    12.91    25.36    39.62    64.55     0.35R    0.02  
Man_Utd           1    3   +1       1.25    74.75     0.41    70.48    10.16    27.27    10.39    27.79    47.25    63.38    83.40     0.05R    0.01  
Chelsea           1    1   +0      -1.06    27.64    -1.08    75.69     9.86    39.02    22.69    50.58    69.31    81.43    93.18     0.00R    0.00  
Everton           1    1   +0      -0.84    34.90    -0.75    55.21    10.27     4.80     0.46     2.28     6.10    12.12    29.77     2.74R    0.43  
Newcastle         1    1   +0       0.07    65.10     0.71    40.80     9.91   -19.69     0.01     0.05     0.24     0.66     2.88    29.64R    9.20  
Southampton       1    1   +0      -0.83    34.90    -0.71    57.88    10.29     9.07     0.95     3.92     9.48    17.92    39.41     1.45R    0.24  
Swansea           1    1   +0       0.28    72.36     1.08    51.04    10.31    -1.84     0.20     1.03     2.90     6.20    17.50     6.31R    1.19  
Watford           1    1   +0       0.06    65.10     0.75    39.85    10.77   -22.92     0.01     0.08     0.35     0.91     3.46    34.95R   13.28  
Bournemouth       1    0   -1      -1.40    17.99    -1.04    36.72    10.73   -26.95     0.01     0.06     0.21     0.53     1.98    46.18R   20.51  
Stoke             1    0   -1      -1.06    23.99    -0.52    48.38     9.98    -4.84     0.08     0.43     1.40     3.35    11.39     9.47R    1.95  
Tottenham         1    0   -1      -1.01    25.25    -0.41    55.51    10.48     5.76     0.61     2.62     6.66    13.01    31.13     2.77R    0.46  
Sunderland        1    0   -2      -1.14    22.40    -1.66    37.30     9.55   -23.97     0.00     0.02     0.08     0.21     1.23    42.63R   15.73  
Norwich           1    0   -2      -1.25    20.30    -1.83    38.89    10.59   -23.38     0.01     0.09     0.30     0.75     2.74    37.67R   14.72  
Arsenal           1    0   -2      -1.88    10.77    -2.76    67.82    10.29    25.39     6.70    20.04    37.13    53.39    76.47     0.14R    0.02  
West_Brom         1    0   -3      -0.52    35.72    -1.38    42.57     9.83   -16.24     0.01     0.09     0.34     0.96     4.01    23.26R    6.27  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 9 August 2015, Preston 0 0 Middlesbrough; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

MK_Dons          1    3   +3       1.41    77.48     2.67    66.61    13.48     5.51     5.59    11.19    33.10    16.20P    6.94R    1.67  
Charlton         1    3   +2       1.61    81.46     1.97    59.75    11.39    -4.70     0.85     2.27    13.03     4.45P   12.16R    3.02  
Hull             1    3   +2       0.88    68.34     0.87    77.90    12.53    21.83    19.93    33.35    65.93    43.43P    0.63R    0.11  
Sheff_Wed        1    3   +2       1.39    77.75     1.64    60.66    11.22    -2.80     0.99     2.51    14.20     4.97P   10.05R    2.39  
Birmingham       1    3   +1       1.39    77.42     0.64    58.51    11.67    -8.64     0.86     2.29    11.49     3.97P   15.15R    4.09  
Wolverhampton    1    3   +1       1.74    83.22     1.16    73.07    11.88    14.05     9.79    19.37    50.90    27.43P    1.31R    0.19  
Brighton         1    3   +1       1.40    78.10     0.67    63.51    11.11     0.65     1.55     4.12    20.21     7.70P    6.02R    1.14  
Brentford        1    1   +0      -0.58    43.13    -0.31    66.45    12.00     5.67     3.63     8.38    30.16    13.59P    4.84R    1.08  
Ipswich          1    1   +0      -0.17    56.87     0.31    69.12    12.00    10.04     5.67    12.20    38.31    18.69P    2.95R    0.54  
Burnley          1    1   +0      -0.47    46.12    -0.16    71.49    12.41    13.56     8.75    17.10    45.83    25.57P    2.05R    0.39  
Cardiff          1    1   +0      -0.72    38.58    -0.54    60.87    11.56    -2.40     1.23     3.10    15.61     5.63P   10.56R    2.33  
Fulham           1    1   +0      -0.04    61.42     0.54    58.03    11.97    -8.48     0.83     2.25    11.54     3.89P   16.84R    4.90  
Leeds_United     1    1   +0      -0.23    53.88     0.16    55.60    11.47   -10.48     0.37     1.10     7.32     2.27P   21.29R    6.35  
Bolton           1    1   +0      -0.24    54.39     0.20    58.05    11.44    -6.69     0.67     1.80    10.33     3.50P   15.41R    4.12  
Derby            1    1   +0      -0.50    45.61    -0.20    76.28    12.14    21.50    15.84    28.67    62.01    38.56P    0.85R    0.13  
Middlesbrough    1    1   +0      -0.46    46.25    -0.16    74.13    11.54    17.24    10.75    21.21    55.10    31.23P    0.90R    0.13  
Preston          1    1   +0      -0.24    53.75     0.16    58.32    12.25    -5.99     0.99     2.53    12.47     4.69P   16.65R    4.86  
Blackburn        1    0   -1      -1.48    16.78    -1.16    63.75    11.82     2.11     2.11     5.36    22.90     9.44P    7.10R    1.64  
Reading          1    0   -1      -1.13    22.58    -0.64    55.95    11.59    -9.80     0.41     1.28     7.85     2.59P   20.38R    6.07  
Nott'm_Forest    1    0   -1      -1.12    21.90    -0.67    61.54    12.03    -1.65     1.71     4.03    17.97     7.06P   10.30R    2.57  
Bristol_City     1    0   -2      -1.12    22.25    -1.64    57.98    13.11    -8.32     1.33     3.12    13.42     5.36P   19.01R    6.40  
Huddersfield     1    0   -2      -0.66    31.66    -0.87    51.58    11.53   -18.43     0.16     0.49     3.94     1.03P   33.37R   12.32  
QPR              1    0   -2      -1.34    18.54    -1.97    67.96    13.02     7.81     5.98    12.20    35.64    18.60P    4.89R    1.14  
Rotherham        1    0   -3      -1.17    22.52    -2.67    44.00    10.94   -31.60     0.03     0.08     0.74     0.15P   60.36R   32.43  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 August 2015, Burton_Albion 2 1 Scunthorpe; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Gillingham        1    3   +4       1.37    76.82     3.61    67.22    12.26     6.94     3.98     9.14    31.68    14.22P    7.66R    1.19  
Swindon           1    3   +3       0.92    68.68     1.86    79.77    12.21    27.88    22.61    37.86    70.92    47.94P    0.74R    0.07  
Chesterfield      1    3   +2       1.15    72.95     1.25    72.59    11.98    14.28     8.58    17.44    48.64    25.62P    2.94R    0.35  
Coventry          1    3   +2       1.64    81.69     2.01    66.00    11.93     3.35     2.90     6.87    27.40    11.38P    8.54R    1.33  
Rochdale          1    3   +2       1.27    74.98     1.45    67.72    12.29     5.70     4.40     9.95    32.96    15.11P    6.97R    0.99  
Burton_Albion     1    3   +1       1.30    75.59     0.49    56.83    12.48   -12.86     0.81     1.94    10.09     3.53P   28.37R    7.90  
Millwall          1    3   +1       1.76    83.83     1.18    74.22    13.02    16.00    12.61    23.19    53.31    31.50P    2.96R    0.38  
Blackpool         1    1   +0      -0.19    56.30     0.31    64.18    13.01     1.71     3.15     7.08    24.95    11.36P   12.73R    2.67  
Colchester        1    1   +0      -0.57    43.70    -0.31    55.62    11.87   -13.71     0.44     1.25     7.65     2.39P   30.66R    8.25  
Bury              1    1   +0       0.18    68.85     0.88    54.44    12.47   -14.27     0.47     1.30     7.51     2.61P   35.23R   10.83  
Doncaster         1    1   +0      -0.95    31.15    -0.88    63.88    11.68     1.31     1.87     4.71    21.58     8.57P   10.87R    1.73  
Fleetwood_Town    1    1   +0      -0.73    37.61    -0.53    56.87    11.36    -9.34     0.39     1.19     8.11     2.56P   25.95R    5.71  
Oldham            1    1   +0       0.07    64.78     0.65    58.63    11.59    -7.25     0.68     1.84    10.92     3.68P   21.30R    4.47  
Southend          1    1   +0       0.01    62.39     0.53    54.77    12.26   -12.58     0.47     1.21     7.37     2.43P   33.67R    9.54  
Walsall           1    1   +0      -0.81    35.22    -0.65    62.91    11.43     0.38     1.49     3.83    18.95     7.31P   11.90R    1.85  
Crewe             1    1   +0      -0.48    46.37    -0.17    48.20    11.17   -25.12     0.05     0.17     1.81     0.42P   55.49R   21.34  
Port_Vale         1    1   +0      -0.26    53.63     0.17    59.15    11.83    -6.69     0.85     2.29    12.32     4.28P   20.51R    4.37  
Scunthorpe        1    0   -1      -1.07    24.41    -0.49    56.87    12.01   -10.99     0.61     1.60     9.43     3.20P   27.16R    6.76  
Shrewsbury        1    0   -1      -1.49    16.17    -1.18    60.50    12.48    -3.15     1.44     3.56    16.01     6.57P   18.77R    4.15  
Barnsley          1    0   -2      -0.93    27.05    -1.25    66.60    12.12     5.32     3.57     8.09    29.66    13.37P    7.81R    1.22  
Peterborough      1    0   -2      -1.05    25.02    -1.45    66.69    11.96     5.57     3.41     8.05    29.74    13.70P    7.50R    1.08  
Wigan             1    0   -2      -1.37    18.31    -2.01    78.22    12.51    23.98    19.19    33.26    66.22    44.24P    1.24R    0.13  
Bradford          1    0   -3      -0.71    31.32    -1.86    61.05    11.69    -4.30     1.11     2.96    15.28     5.66P   16.13R    3.08  
Sheff_Utd         1    0   -4      -1.14    23.18    -3.61    69.35    11.86     7.85     4.92    11.20    37.48    18.35P    4.90R    0.62  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 August 2015, AFC_Wimbledon 0 2 Plymouth; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Cambridge_Utd         1    3   +3       1.24    74.85     2.42    59.53    11.60    -5.79     0.54     3.75    16.73     6.19P    7.60R    3.39  
Portsmouth            1    3   +3       1.14    72.95     2.25    66.52    11.52     5.74     1.97    10.71    35.56    16.27P    2.08R    0.83  
Wycombe               1    3   +3       1.07    72.21     2.21    73.55    11.58    16.78     6.17    26.08    59.94    35.60P    0.44R    0.17  
Hartlepool            1    3   +2       1.47    79.20     1.75    54.19    10.98   -14.11     0.14     1.24     7.27     2.30P   15.45R    7.45  
Leyton_Orient         1    3   +2       0.60    62.64     0.24    88.67    12.41    40.49    43.58    74.21    92.16    80.91P    0.01R    0.01  
Notts_County          1    3   +2       1.67    82.39     2.03    82.24    12.47    29.30    22.30    55.32    82.08    64.03P    0.14R    0.04  
Plymouth              1    3   +2       1.64    82.23     1.99    71.09    11.30    12.00     3.71    19.09    50.85    27.43P    0.66R    0.22  
Exeter                1    3   +1       1.46    78.51     0.74    64.24    11.62    -0.51     1.30     8.00    28.02    12.28P    3.49R    1.42  
Northampton           1    3   +1       1.78    84.47     1.19    65.77    11.60     2.31     1.69     9.88    33.06    14.89P    2.52R    0.98  
Accrington_Stanley    1    1   +0      -0.43    47.93    -0.09    54.04    11.51   -15.38     0.13     1.31     7.83     2.46P   17.25R    8.87  
Carlisle              1    1   +0      -0.22    54.92     0.21    57.81    11.67    -8.88     0.40     2.86    13.61     4.93P   10.28R    4.78  
Crawley_Town          1    1   +0      -0.28    52.41     0.10    75.02    12.55    19.19     9.14    32.15    63.77    41.61P    0.61R    0.23  
Luton                 1    1   +0      -0.31    52.07     0.09    65.61    11.32     4.86     1.41     9.24    32.57    14.96P    2.27R    0.89  
Mansfield             1    1   +0      -0.52    45.08    -0.21    49.33    10.81   -20.24     0.04     0.38     3.07     0.84P   28.55R   16.11  
Oxford_Utd            1    1   +0      -0.43    47.59    -0.10    63.31    11.30     1.35     0.83     6.33    25.59    10.69P    3.63R    1.49  
Yeovil                1    0   -1      -1.20    21.49    -0.74    68.09    12.43     9.03     3.23    15.38    41.54    22.61P    2.14R    0.85  
Bristol_Rovers        1    0   -1      -1.49    15.53    -1.19    54.47    11.68   -10.49     0.20     1.63     8.85     3.21P   16.13R    8.41  
AFC_Wimbledon         1    0   -2      -1.35    17.77    -1.99    53.90    11.32   -14.67     0.14     1.23     7.50     2.41P   16.98R    8.65  
Barnet                1    0   -2      -0.44    37.36    -0.24    51.64    12.34   -17.85     0.13     1.22     6.78     2.32P   24.81R   14.44  
Morecambe             1    0   -2      -1.19    20.80    -1.75    57.90    11.32    -7.80     0.34     2.55    13.10     4.70P    9.24R    4.11  
Stevenage             1    0   -2      -1.39    17.61    -2.03    66.50    11.67     5.32     1.86    10.97    35.35    17.06P    2.27R    0.93  
Dag_&_Red             1    0   -3      -0.90    27.05    -2.25    58.04    11.48    -9.19     0.35     2.72    13.64     5.00P    9.56R    4.42  
Newport_County        1    0   -3      -0.99    25.15    -2.42    54.95    11.33   -13.54     0.16     1.52     8.65     2.91P   14.75R    7.16  
York                  1    0   -3      -0.81    27.79    -2.21    57.85    11.15    -7.92     0.27     2.22    12.49     4.41P    9.13R    4.15  



National League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 11 August 2015, Braintree_Town 1 3 Lincoln_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Eastleigh         2    6   +5       2.15    84.07     3.23    76.78    11.97    21.24     6.79    50.31    16.57P    0.38R    0.06  
Tranmere          2    6   +4       2.18    84.16     2.33    94.40    11.94    49.58    54.75    92.56    68.75P    0.01R    0.00  
Chester           2    6   +2       3.58    95.18     2.50    58.75    11.32   -10.34     0.19     5.93     0.97P   10.08R    2.20  
Forest_Green      2    6   +2       2.24    85.09     0.47    77.47    11.71    19.16     6.84    52.13    17.79P    0.24R    0.03  
Grimsby           2    4   +3       0.11    55.42     1.15    82.11    11.33    29.76    12.93    68.65    30.68P    0.07R    0.00  
Lincoln_City      2    4   +2       1.67    82.89     2.61    62.97    11.60    -0.66     0.51    11.69     2.31P    5.18R    0.95  
Boreham_Wood      2    3   +1       0.98    68.28     2.24    52.66    12.78   -15.92     0.17     3.66     0.74P   25.91R    8.85  
Woking            2    3   +1       0.23    52.85     1.02    71.47    11.76    13.43     2.57    32.33     9.27P    1.10R    0.14  
Dover_Athletic    2    3   +0      -0.14    45.18    -0.58    63.10    11.62    -0.91     0.56    12.03     2.69P    5.04R    0.93  
Wrexham           2    3   +0      -0.02    47.62    -0.42    66.17    11.28     4.45     0.84    16.97     3.96P    2.58R    0.43  
Bromley           2    3   +0       1.03    69.43     1.27    51.27    13.06   -19.95     0.15     3.24     0.63P   30.31R   11.36  
Guiseley          2    3   +0       0.40    56.46     0.17    48.80    12.50   -22.52     0.06     1.89     0.34P   36.28R   13.97  
Welling           2    3   +0       0.61    60.91     0.59    53.56    11.01   -14.89     0.05     2.14     0.34P   19.77R    5.01  
Torquay           2    3   -1       0.15    51.11    -1.17    69.88    11.63     8.97     1.95    27.22     7.27P    1.45R    0.20  
Barrow            2    3   -2       1.26    73.73    -0.23    48.19    12.97   -27.81     0.08     1.93     0.36P   39.52R   17.24  
Gateshead         2    3   -2       0.77    64.13    -1.20    66.15    11.76     2.03     0.85    18.09     4.13P    3.15R    0.56  
Cheltenham        2    2   +0      -1.49    22.01    -1.10    78.65    12.39    24.98     9.20    56.46    23.92P    0.33R    0.04  
Kidderminster     2    1   -1      -1.28    31.54    -0.34    60.92    11.43    -1.73     0.33     8.60     1.89P    6.88R    1.41  
Aldershot         2    1   -1      -1.33    29.45    -0.40    60.45    11.25    -1.97     0.21     7.55     1.53P    7.27R    1.44  
Macclesfield      2    1   -1      -2.03    16.62    -1.44    63.56    11.20     2.82     0.50    12.05     2.76P    3.98R    0.67  
Southport         2    1   -4      -0.81    41.57    -2.58    46.62    10.80   -27.47     0.00     0.49     0.06P   42.43R   15.80  
Altrincham        2    0   -2      -2.22    10.20    -1.23    47.09    10.92   -23.02     0.01     0.57     0.08P   39.57R   14.57  
Braintree_Town    2    0   -3      -2.85     5.79    -3.19    57.62    11.24    -6.63     0.14     4.85     1.02P   11.20R    2.61  
Halifax           2    0   -3      -3.19     4.16    -3.69    60.73    11.58    -2.58     0.31     8.68     1.96P    7.28R    1.53