Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 10 August 2015 at 21:13:57 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 10 August 2015, West_Brom 0 3 Man_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_City          1    3   +3       0.68    64.14     1.37    82.42     9.63    53.73    53.88    76.49    87.88    93.69    98.32     0.00     0.00  
Leicester         1    3   +2       1.38    77.29     1.63    47.54    10.20    -9.56     0.06     0.45     1.33     3.20    10.34    11.54R    2.64  
Crystal_Palace    1    3   +2       1.54    80.08     1.87    46.07     9.74   -10.49     0.03     0.24     0.79     1.97     7.18    13.23R    2.86  
West_Ham          1    3   +2       2.12    89.34     2.76    51.93    10.02    -1.16     0.23     1.00     3.00     6.42    18.96     4.92R    0.84  
Aston_Villa       1    3   +1       1.67    82.12     1.06    39.92     9.37   -21.26     0.01     0.03     0.15     0.45     2.02    31.65R    9.28  
Liverpool         1    3   +1       1.34    76.53     0.55    64.46    10.56    17.78     4.10    13.04    25.45    39.55    64.53     0.35R    0.04  
Man_Utd           1    3   +1       1.24    74.68     0.41    70.58    10.21    27.52    10.45    28.27    48.07    63.86    83.74     0.06R    0.00  
Chelsea           1    1   +0      -1.07    27.60    -1.09    75.67     9.86    38.96    22.36    50.02    69.14    81.41    93.21     0.00R    0.00  
Everton           1    1   +0      -0.86    34.25    -0.78    55.11    10.29     4.69     0.47     2.29     6.06    12.01    29.49     2.73R    0.46  
Newcastle         1    1   +0       0.06    64.65     0.69    40.86     9.99   -19.66     0.01     0.07     0.27     0.71     2.95    29.50R    9.38  
Southampton       1    1   +0      -0.82    35.35    -0.69    58.04    10.29     9.31     0.97     4.10     9.68    18.31    40.01     1.51R    0.19  
Swansea           1    1   +0       0.28    72.40     1.09    50.93    10.19    -1.96     0.17     0.83     2.57     5.68    16.93     6.42R    1.17  
Watford           1    1   +0       0.08    65.75     0.78    39.79    10.82   -23.13     0.02     0.14     0.42     0.97     3.45    35.32R   13.40  
Bournemouth       1    0   -1      -1.41    17.88    -1.06    36.88    10.54   -26.57     0.01     0.04     0.15     0.42     1.79    45.25R   19.58  
Stoke             1    0   -1      -1.08    23.47    -0.55    48.31     9.94    -4.85     0.07     0.44     1.39     3.33    11.12     9.25R    1.95  
Tottenham         1    0   -1      -1.00    25.32    -0.41    55.58    10.42     5.84     0.60     2.65     6.67    12.98    31.53     2.77R    0.47  
Sunderland        1    0   -2      -1.13    22.71    -1.63    36.91     9.48   -24.61     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.19     1.06    44.32R   16.49  
Norwich           1    0   -2      -1.28    19.93    -1.87    38.89    10.59   -23.39     0.01     0.08     0.25     0.71     2.69    37.85R   14.60  
Arsenal           1    0   -2      -1.87    10.66    -2.76    67.72    10.21    25.14     6.54    19.71    36.38    53.18    76.67     0.13R    0.02  
West_Brom         1    0   -3      -0.52    35.86    -1.37    42.55     9.83   -16.34     0.01     0.08     0.30     0.95     4.01    23.19R    6.61  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 9 August 2015, Preston 0 0 Middlesbrough; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

MK_Dons          1    3   +3       1.41    77.49     2.68    66.48    13.37     5.32     5.52    10.92    32.04    15.76P    6.65R    1.63  
Charlton         1    3   +2       1.63    81.62     1.99    59.89    11.34    -4.44     0.95     2.48    13.30     4.43P   11.70R    2.88  
Hull             1    3   +2       0.90    68.75     0.90    77.50    12.45    21.26    19.13    32.51    65.20    42.75P    0.66R    0.09  
Sheff_Wed        1    3   +2       1.39    77.69     1.65    60.79    11.20    -2.62     1.09     2.73    14.87     5.14P    9.65R    2.26  
Birmingham       1    3   +1       1.38    77.17     0.63    58.64    11.50    -8.36     0.75     2.05    11.45     3.83P   14.79R    3.96  
Wolverhampton    1    3   +1       1.73    83.22     1.16    73.19    12.01    14.19    10.27    20.18    51.75    28.28P    1.36R    0.21  
Brighton         1    3   +1       1.41    78.30     0.68    63.16    11.01     0.21     1.43     3.74    19.43     7.20P    6.24R    1.21  
Brentford        1    1   +0      -0.58    43.08    -0.32    66.51    12.05     5.87     3.78     8.55    30.29    13.71P    4.81R    1.07  
Ipswich          1    1   +0      -0.17    56.92     0.32    68.60    11.94     9.23     5.13    11.21    36.42    17.50P    3.15R    0.62  
Burnley          1    1   +0      -0.48    45.59    -0.18    71.63    12.36    13.72     8.86    17.36    46.59    25.80P    2.01R    0.33  
Cardiff          1    1   +0      -0.71    39.06    -0.51    60.66    11.58    -2.65     1.14     3.04    15.57     5.79P   10.99R    2.75  
Fulham           1    1   +0      -0.05    60.94     0.51    58.07    12.05    -8.44     0.89     2.34    11.69     4.10P   17.09R    5.02  
Leeds_United     1    1   +0      -0.22    54.41     0.18    55.64    11.46   -10.38     0.44     1.24     7.40     2.36P   21.16R    6.36  
Bolton           1    1   +0      -0.22    54.93     0.22    57.93    11.53    -6.92     0.64     1.77    10.50     3.42P   15.99R    4.39  
Derby            1    1   +0      -0.52    45.07    -0.22    76.41    12.00    21.61    16.11    28.91    62.66    38.82P    0.68R    0.09  
Middlesbrough    1    1   +0      -0.47    46.07    -0.16    74.22    11.50    17.40    10.90    21.60    55.32    31.72P    0.79R    0.10  
Preston          1    1   +0      -0.23    53.93     0.16    58.17    12.34    -6.21     1.00     2.60    12.55     4.85P   17.25R    5.04  
Blackburn        1    0   -1      -1.48    16.78    -1.16    63.57    12.02     1.81     2.29     5.33    22.58     9.57P    7.84R    1.75  
Reading          1    0   -1      -1.12    22.84    -0.63    55.79    11.58    -9.99     0.40     1.19     7.76     2.48P   20.97R    6.40  
Nott'm_Forest    1    0   -1      -1.13    21.70    -0.68    61.48    12.02    -1.71     1.63     3.98    17.83     7.00P   10.71R    2.90  
Bristol_City     1    0   -2      -1.12    22.31    -1.65    58.15    12.90    -8.07     1.34     3.13    13.37     5.38P   18.36R    6.07  
Huddersfield     1    0   -2      -0.67    31.25    -0.90    51.99    11.54   -17.68     0.17     0.52     4.22     1.13P   32.17R   11.61  
QPR              1    0   -2      -1.35    18.38    -1.99    68.09    13.01     8.00     6.13    12.55    36.47    18.82P    4.78R    1.12  
Rotherham        1    0   -3      -1.18    22.51    -2.68    44.13    10.86   -31.14     0.01     0.07     0.72     0.16P   60.20R   32.14  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 August 2015, Burton_Albion 2 1 Scunthorpe; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Gillingham        1    3   +4       1.36    76.69     3.59    67.38    12.19     7.30     4.11     9.14    31.99    14.09P    7.17R    1.07  
Swindon           1    3   +3       0.89    68.19     1.82    80.39    12.10    28.95    24.28    39.87    72.82    49.89P    0.62R    0.05  
Chesterfield      1    3   +2       1.16    73.03     1.26    72.64    12.01    14.34     8.52    17.49    48.43    25.65P    2.80R    0.29  
Coventry          1    3   +2       1.63    81.67     2.00    65.93    11.89     3.19     2.91     6.88    27.04    11.23P    8.38R    1.30  
Rochdale          1    3   +2       1.27    74.93     1.44    68.14    12.31     6.42     4.66    10.36    34.11    15.70P    6.61R    0.93  
Burton_Albion     1    3   +1       1.30    75.56     0.50    56.53    12.51   -13.40     0.73     1.86     9.94     3.38P   29.44R    7.98  
Millwall          1    3   +1       1.77    84.07     1.20    73.46    13.05    14.81    11.48    21.50    50.99    29.64P    3.34R    0.48  
Blackpool         1    1   +0      -0.20    55.94     0.28    64.31    13.07     1.94     3.26     7.42    25.22    11.74P   12.60R    2.68  
Colchester        1    1   +0      -0.56    44.06    -0.28    55.66    11.86   -13.72     0.40     1.19     7.67     2.46P   30.72R    8.04  
Bury              1    1   +0       0.18    68.85     0.88    54.42    12.42   -14.33     0.44     1.22     7.22     2.43P   35.00R   10.72  
Doncaster         1    1   +0      -0.95    31.15    -0.88    63.87    11.84     1.34     1.96     5.03    22.15     9.20P   11.12R    1.79  
Fleetwood_Town    1    1   +0      -0.74    37.43    -0.54    56.80    11.36    -9.50     0.43     1.18     8.04     2.50P   25.94R    5.75  
Oldham            1    1   +0       0.07    64.76     0.64    58.67    11.64    -7.21     0.73     2.00    11.16     3.78P   21.42R    4.51  
Southend          1    1   +0       0.01    62.57     0.54    54.78    12.38   -12.62     0.46     1.29     7.45     2.52P   33.62R    9.95  
Walsall           1    1   +0      -0.81    35.24    -0.64    62.77    11.54     0.17     1.51     3.79    18.57     7.37P   12.29R    1.98  
Crewe             1    1   +0      -0.49    46.22    -0.17    48.06    11.12   -25.46     0.03     0.17     1.73     0.41P   55.95R   21.75  
Port_Vale         1    1   +0      -0.26    53.78     0.17    59.08    11.71    -6.86     0.76     2.06    12.11     4.11P   20.62R    4.21  
Scunthorpe        1    0   -1      -1.08    24.44    -0.50    57.01    12.13   -10.74     0.67     1.70     9.82     3.39P   27.00R    6.64  
Shrewsbury        1    0   -1      -1.50    15.93    -1.20    60.76    12.39    -2.70     1.39     3.60    16.12     6.49P   17.92R    3.96  
Barnsley          1    0   -2      -0.93    26.97    -1.26    66.70    12.13     5.43     3.37     8.08    29.80    13.37P    7.95R    1.20  
Peterborough      1    0   -2      -1.04    25.07    -1.44    66.86    11.96     5.89     3.43     8.06    30.09    13.70P    7.32R    1.08  
Wigan             1    0   -2      -1.37    18.33    -2.00    77.83    12.57    23.39    18.59    32.18    65.01    43.37P    1.37R    0.15  
Bradford          1    0   -3      -0.70    31.81    -1.82    61.07    11.73    -4.32     1.09     3.07    15.31     5.77P   16.13R    2.91  
Sheff_Utd         1    0   -4      -1.13    23.31    -3.59    69.28    11.80     7.71     4.78    10.87    37.22    17.81P    4.69R    0.61  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 August 2015, AFC_Wimbledon 0 2 Plymouth; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Cambridge_Utd         1    3   +3       1.25    74.95     2.44    59.05    11.47    -6.45     0.45     3.40    15.64     5.69P    8.07R    3.63  
Portsmouth            1    3   +3       1.16    73.34     2.29    66.65    11.60     5.88     2.04    11.14    36.07    16.72P    2.08R    0.79  
Wycombe               1    3   +3       1.07    72.17     2.20    73.45    11.54    16.57     5.84    25.73    59.30    34.92P    0.43R    0.18  
Hartlepool            1    3   +2       1.47    79.18     1.76    54.34    11.02   -13.83     0.12     1.06     7.32     2.15P   15.47R    7.55  
Leyton_Orient         1    3   +2       0.60    62.68     0.23    89.03    12.44    41.05    44.37    75.39    92.48    81.51P    0.01R    0.00  
Notts_County          1    3   +2       1.67    82.39     2.04    82.37    12.55    29.41    22.51    55.54    82.21    64.14P    0.09R    0.03  
Plymouth              1    3   +2       1.64    82.21     2.00    71.01    11.19    11.91     3.48    18.43    50.89    27.00P    0.64R    0.18  
Exeter                1    3   +1       1.47    78.73     0.76    63.73    11.72    -1.36     1.14     7.37    27.33    11.59P    4.07R    1.77  
Northampton           1    3   +1       1.78    84.47     1.19    65.48    11.70     1.83     1.61     9.67    32.47    14.77P    2.79R    1.13  
Accrington_Stanley    1    1   +0      -0.42    48.38    -0.07    54.11    11.47   -15.28     0.15     1.34     7.84     2.43P   16.85R    8.67  
Carlisle              1    1   +0      -0.24    54.47     0.20    57.67    11.66    -9.19     0.38     2.85    13.41     4.96P   10.39R    4.99  
Crawley_Town          1    1   +0      -0.29    52.33     0.09    74.89    12.56    19.03     8.80    31.73    63.58    41.16P    0.65R    0.25  
Luton                 1    1   +0      -0.32    51.62     0.07    65.74    11.44     5.00     1.49     9.48    32.97    15.31P    2.24R    0.87  
Mansfield             1    1   +0      -0.50    45.53    -0.20    49.37    10.76   -20.24     0.04     0.38     2.92     0.77P   28.54R   15.95  
Oxford_Utd            1    1   +0      -0.43    47.67    -0.09    63.25    11.27     1.28     0.87     6.14    25.13    10.56P    3.66R    1.57  
Yeovil                1    0   -1      -1.21    21.27    -0.76    68.19    12.63     9.20     3.30    15.67    42.30    23.17P    2.33R    0.98  
Bristol_Rovers        1    0   -1      -1.49    15.53    -1.19    54.51    11.70   -10.44     0.18     1.54     8.94     3.28P   16.18R    8.39  
AFC_Wimbledon         1    0   -2      -1.35    17.79    -2.00    54.38    11.48   -13.88     0.12     1.42     8.12     2.74P   16.11R    8.23  
Barnet                1    0   -2      -0.43    37.32    -0.23    51.64    12.23   -17.76     0.16     1.23     6.46     2.21P   24.53R   14.14  
Morecambe             1    0   -2      -1.19    20.82    -1.76    58.07    11.43    -7.53     0.36     2.77    13.56     5.08P    9.29R    4.16  
Stevenage             1    0   -2      -1.39    17.61    -2.04    66.63    11.69     5.59     1.88    11.28    36.21    17.68P    2.19R    0.88  
Dag_&_Red             1    0   -3      -0.92    26.66    -2.29    58.08    11.63    -9.11     0.37     2.97    14.11     5.28P    9.89R    4.57  
Newport_County        1    0   -3      -1.00    25.05    -2.44    54.75    11.26   -13.85     0.13     1.30     8.30     2.64P   14.77R    7.41  
York                  1    0   -3      -0.81    27.82    -2.20    57.96    10.98    -7.82     0.23     2.16    12.41     4.24P    8.73R    3.68  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 August 2015, Aldershot 1 2 Gateshead; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Eastleigh         1    3   +4       1.24    74.42     3.40    75.80    12.27    22.10     7.51    46.05    16.35P    0.56R    0.08  
Boreham_Wood      1    3   +2       1.69    82.39     2.09    53.13    13.68   -18.30     0.38     4.56     1.09P   26.31R    9.44  
Bromley           1    3   +2       1.67    82.33     2.05    53.51    13.78   -17.60     0.42     5.13     1.24P   25.59R    8.85  
Barrow            1    3   +1       1.66    81.96     1.06    51.38    13.29   -21.73     0.20     3.39     0.75P   30.09R   11.32  
Gateshead         1    3   +1       1.75    83.48     1.17    69.78    11.94     8.75     2.68    26.30     7.33P    1.69R    0.25  
Chester           1    3   +1       1.58    80.77     0.91    55.19    11.57   -15.46     0.11     3.34     0.55P   17.10R    4.40  
Forest_Green      1    3   +1       1.32    76.17     0.54    77.03    12.15    20.65     8.63    49.37    19.03P    0.40R    0.05  
Torquay           1    3   +1       1.31    76.22     0.54    72.97    11.82    13.86     4.28    35.78    11.29P    0.81R    0.10  
Tranmere          1    3   +1       0.95    69.40    -0.07    89.58    12.60    41.47    40.31    83.59    55.27P    0.04R    0.00  
Welling           1    3   +1       1.24    74.78     0.42    54.49    11.45   -15.62     0.12     2.93     0.50P   18.49R    4.53  
Grimsby           1    1   +0      -0.49    45.49    -0.19    80.13    11.45    26.89    11.66    60.53    26.38P    0.12R    0.01  
Kidderminster     1    1   +0      -0.22    54.51     0.19    62.54    11.71    -0.30     0.61    11.02     2.48P    5.58R    1.06  
Cheltenham        1    1   +0      -0.62    41.84    -0.38    81.11    12.75    29.38    16.17    62.83    30.84P    0.25R    0.02  
Lincoln_City      1    1   +0      -0.13    58.16     0.38    58.99    11.71    -6.61     0.30     6.36     1.26P   10.25R    2.33  
Aldershot         1    0   -1      -1.48    16.52    -1.17    59.76    11.75    -4.09     0.38     7.36     1.70P    9.00R    1.90  
Dover_Athletic    1    0   -1      -1.41    18.04    -1.06    61.62    11.83    -1.62     0.49     9.73     2.24P    6.93R    1.36  
Altrincham        1    0   -1      -1.08    23.83    -0.54    48.76    11.12   -22.49     0.02     0.83     0.10P   34.50R   11.08  
Braintree_Town    1    0   -1      -1.30    19.23    -0.91    61.46    11.46    -1.01     0.43     8.89     2.09P    6.38R    1.14  
Guiseley          1    0   -1      -0.99    25.22    -0.42    45.87    13.01   -27.32     0.04     1.18     0.26P   45.93R   21.41  
Macclesfield      1    0   -1      -1.04    23.78    -0.54    66.18    11.67     6.04     1.22    17.36     4.69P    2.95R    0.51  
Woking            1    0   -1      -0.74    30.60     0.07    69.89    12.01    11.89     2.44    27.16     7.95P    1.74R    0.25  
Halifax           1    0   -2      -1.44    17.61    -2.09    64.41    11.79     1.95     0.92    14.19     3.60P    4.12R    0.70  
Wrexham           1    0   -2      -1.40    17.67    -2.05    63.37    11.48     0.74     0.68    11.66     2.93P    4.49R    0.74  
Southport         1    0   -4      -1.02    25.58    -3.40    45.44    11.02   -31.56     0.01     0.45     0.06P   46.67R   18.45