Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Thursday 18 June 2015 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 24 May 2015, Arsenal 4 1 West_Brom; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 38 87 +41 9.81 87.71 1.92 87.00 0.00 41.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 38 79 +45 -1.65 41.06 -3.20 79.00 0.00 45.00 0.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 38 75 +35 2.83 61.95 3.71 75.00 0.00 35.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 38 70 +25 0.83 53.23 -0.89 70.00 0.00 25.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 38 64 +5 6.83 77.49 -1.66 64.00 0.00 5.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 38 62 +4 -1.25 44.13 -12.69 62.00 0.00 4.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Southampton 38 60 +21 0.38 51.85 10.28 60.00 0.00 21.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Swansea 38 56 -3 5.70 73.98 0.64 56.00 0.00 -3.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Stoke 38 54 +3 3.82 66.86 6.23 54.00 0.00 3.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Crystal_Palace 38 48 -4 4.20 69.32 9.06 48.00 0.00 -4.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Everton 38 47 -2 -9.87 13.90 -8.48 47.00 0.00 -2.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 38 47 -3 -1.03 45.69 3.70 47.00 0.00 -3.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 West_Brom 38 44 -13 -0.70 47.62 -0.78 44.00 0.00 -13.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Leicester 38 41 -9 -4.04 33.14 3.38 41.00 0.00 -9.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Newcastle 38 39 -23 -1.89 42.34 -3.48 39.00 0.00 -23.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sunderland 38 38 -22 -2.15 40.70 -3.58 38.00 0.00 -22.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Aston_Villa 38 38 -26 -0.11 50.59 -3.58 38.00 0.00 -26.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Hull 38 35 -18 -4.07 31.94 1.36 35.00 0.00 -18.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Burnley 38 33 -25 -3.70 33.96 -1.73 33.00 0.00 -25.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 QPR 38 30 -31 -4.58 30.20 -0.21 30.00 0.00 -31.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 May 2015, Blackburn 3 2 Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Bournemouth 46 90 +53 7.14 75.34 22.14 90.00 0.00 53.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Watford 46 89 +41 6.94 74.75 11.43 89.00 0.00 41.00 0.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Norwich 46 86 +40 0.87 52.95 6.42 86.00 0.00 40.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 39.07P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 46 85 +31 8.45 79.68 11.50 85.00 0.00 31.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 29.25P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 46 78 +19 9.45 81.31 11.26 78.00 0.00 19.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 15.81P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 46 78 +18 7.97 77.92 7.94 78.00 0.00 18.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 15.86P 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 46 78 +14 6.00 71.50 0.92 78.00 0.00 14.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Derby 46 77 +29 -2.47 40.41 3.82 77.00 0.00 29.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Blackburn 46 67 +7 -0.53 48.37 0.77 67.00 0.00 7.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 46 63 -10 5.72 71.42 -0.68 63.00 0.00 -10.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 46 62 -4 -0.96 46.76 -3.56 62.00 0.00 -4.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Charlton 46 60 -6 3.40 63.60 3.41 60.00 0.00 -6.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 46 60 -6 1.57 56.64 0.10 60.00 0.00 -6.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 46 59 +2 -5.54 29.95 0.66 59.00 0.00 2.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 46 56 -11 -0.61 48.06 -1.15 56.00 0.00 -11.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 46 55 -17 1.40 56.33 -1.32 55.00 0.00 -17.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fulham 46 52 -21 -6.32 27.71 -11.76 52.00 0.00 -21.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bolton 46 51 -13 -7.82 22.41 -6.12 51.00 0.00 -13.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Reading 46 50 -21 -8.18 21.36 -13.18 50.00 0.00 -21.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 46 49 -21 1.11 55.38 2.88 49.00 0.00 -21.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Brighton 46 47 -10 -15.41 5.96 -9.86 47.00 0.00 -10.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Millwall 46 41 -34 -3.16 38.00 -4.68 41.00 0.00 -34.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Wigan 46 39 -25 -17.55 3.57 -15.95 39.00 0.00 -25.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Blackpool 46 26 -55 -12.31 7.94 -14.99 26.00 0.00 -55.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 3 May 2015, Barnsley 5 0 Rochdale; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Bristol_City 46 99 +58 10.12 84.37 18.01 99.00 0.00 58.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 46 91 +57 2.41 58.54 17.28 91.00 0.00 57.00 0.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Preston 46 89 +39 5.23 69.28 8.65 89.00 0.00 39.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 39.14P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 46 79 +19 4.21 65.38 1.70 79.00 0.00 19.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 24.42P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 46 71 +13 -0.49 48.38 0.82 71.00 0.00 13.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 21.43P 0.00 0.00 Chesterfield 46 69 +13 1.32 55.00 6.49 69.00 0.00 13.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 15.01P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 46 65 +0 3.94 65.22 2.66 65.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 46 63 +6 0.67 52.59 8.24 63.00 0.00 6.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 46 63 -3 -3.95 35.66 -8.55 63.00 0.00 -3.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 46 63 -3 7.39 76.69 7.32 63.00 0.00 -3.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Barnsley 46 62 +1 -4.47 34.21 -3.76 62.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 46 62 -1 2.53 59.92 5.41 62.00 0.00 -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Doncaster 46 61 -4 -2.42 41.26 -4.36 61.00 0.00 -4.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Walsall 46 59 -4 -2.66 39.87 -2.53 59.00 0.00 -4.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Oldham 46 57 -13 1.74 57.33 -1.38 57.00 0.00 -13.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Scunthorpe 46 56 -13 0.20 51.45 -0.69 56.00 0.00 -13.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Coventry 46 55 -11 -4.59 33.45 -5.52 55.00 0.00 -11.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Port_Vale 46 54 -10 -2.20 42.02 0.93 54.00 0.00 -10.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Colchester 46 52 -19 -1.47 44.98 -3.51 52.00 0.00 -19.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Crewe 46 52 -32 6.09 73.79 -5.11 52.00 0.00 -32.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Notts_County 46 50 -18 -5.07 31.46 -5.97 50.00 0.00 -18.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Crawley_Town 46 50 -26 -1.53 44.64 -7.96 50.00 0.00 -26.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Leyton_Orient 46 49 -10 -16.55 5.43 -13.21 49.00 0.00 -10.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Yeovil 46 40 -39 -6.94 24.51 -14.93 40.00 0.00 -39.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 May 2015, AFC_Wimbledon 1 1 Cheltenham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Burton_Albion 46 94 +30 18.23 96.42 11.36 94.00 0.00 30.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 46 89 +36 5.55 70.13 7.05 89.00 0.00 36.00 0.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Bury 46 85 +20 11.06 86.06 3.97 85.00 0.00 20.00 0.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 46 84 +22 13.37 90.27 10.65 84.00 0.00 22.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 25.58P 0.00 0.00 Southend 46 84 +16 10.43 84.84 0.64 84.00 0.00 16.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 29.49P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 46 72 +8 1.65 56.41 -2.97 72.00 0.00 8.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 22.84P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 46 71 +18 3.25 62.64 10.46 71.00 0.00 18.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 22.09P 0.00 0.00 Luton 46 68 +10 1.78 56.80 4.62 68.00 0.00 10.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 46 65 -3 6.95 75.51 3.63 65.00 0.00 -3.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Exeter 46 64 -4 2.06 58.42 -2.43 64.00 0.00 -4.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Morecambe 46 63 +1 2.03 58.40 3.34 63.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Northampton 46 61 +5 -1.76 43.66 5.29 61.00 0.00 5.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 46 61 +1 -2.61 40.11 -0.76 61.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 46 59 -1 -2.17 41.96 1.40 59.00 0.00 -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 46 58 -6 0.71 53.49 1.97 58.00 0.00 -6.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 46 57 -2 -6.19 27.43 -2.70 57.00 0.00 -2.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 46 56 -19 1.91 58.05 -5.09 56.00 0.00 -19.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 York 46 52 -5 -8.81 19.29 -3.16 52.00 0.00 -5.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 46 51 -5 -4.41 34.05 6.17 51.00 0.00 -5.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 46 50 -18 -7.64 23.63 -9.67 50.00 0.00 -18.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 46 48 -24 -1.71 43.66 -5.75 48.00 0.00 -24.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Hartlepool 46 45 -31 -5.58 28.96 -13.73 45.00 0.00 -31.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Cheltenham 46 41 -27 -10.01 15.67 -10.09 41.00 0.00 -27.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Tranmere 46 39 -22 -18.32 3.58 -14.19 39.00 0.00 -22.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00Conference (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 April 2015, AFC_Telford 1 2 Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Barnet 46 92 +48 6.88 74.53 13.76 92.00 0.00 48.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 46 91 +39 2.33 58.47 1.14 91.00 0.00 39.00 0.00 100.00 39.71P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 46 86 +34 4.29 65.87 6.47 86.00 0.00 34.00 0.00 100.00 30.39P 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 46 82 +26 9.63 81.30 11.68 82.00 0.00 26.00 0.00 100.00 14.08P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 46 82 +26 5.63 70.52 5.47 82.00 0.00 26.00 0.00 100.00 15.83P 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 46 78 +14 9.74 82.85 6.15 78.00 0.00 14.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Woking 46 76 +25 4.75 67.65 12.65 76.00 0.00 25.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 46 68 +11 3.50 63.05 9.04 68.00 0.00 11.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Halifax 46 66 +6 -2.59 39.98 -2.22 66.00 0.00 6.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 46 66 +4 -1.33 45.28 -2.30 66.00 0.00 4.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 46 66 +4 -1.28 45.25 -2.54 66.00 0.00 4.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Chester 46 63 -12 10.48 85.08 5.30 63.00 0.00 -12.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Torquay 46 61 +4 -10.93 15.12 -9.37 61.00 0.00 4.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Braintree_Town 46 59 -1 -4.80 32.10 -2.45 59.00 0.00 -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 46 58 -9 -1.00 46.53 -2.23 58.00 0.00 -9.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 46 57 -9 -5.63 29.46 -8.56 57.00 0.00 -9.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Altrincham 46 56 -19 5.94 72.41 1.67 56.00 0.00 -19.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 46 53 -10 -9.60 17.51 -9.45 53.00 0.00 -10.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Southport 46 51 -25 1.78 58.11 -3.27 51.00 0.00 -25.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Welling 46 45 -21 -7.28 23.67 -4.12 45.00 0.00 -21.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Alfreton_Town 46 45 -41 -0.83 47.39 -11.31 45.00 0.00 -41.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 AFC_Telford 46 39 -26 -8.35 20.93 0.74 39.00 0.00 -26.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Dartford 46 39 -30 -7.82 21.12 -4.93 39.00 0.00 -30.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Nuneaton 46 39 -38 -6.25 26.16 -11.33 39.00 0.00 -38.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00