Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 14 June 2015 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 24 May 2015, Arsenal 4 1 West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Chelsea          38   87  +41       9.72    87.67     1.79    87.00     0.00    41.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         38   79  +45      -1.67    41.12    -3.20    79.00     0.00    45.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          38   75  +35       2.97    62.70     3.93    75.00     0.00    35.00     0.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          38   70  +25       0.94    53.65    -0.76    70.00     0.00    25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        38   64   +5       6.61    76.59    -2.10    64.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        38   62   +4      -1.10    45.10   -12.40    62.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      38   60  +21       0.45    51.89    10.41    60.00     0.00    21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea          38   56   -3       5.75    74.16     0.69    56.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            38   54   +3       3.56    65.99     5.92    54.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   38   48   -4       4.18    68.78     9.07    48.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          38   47   -2      -9.70    13.86    -8.25    47.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         38   47   -3      -1.14    45.37     3.50    47.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        38   44  -13      -0.69    47.59    -0.79    44.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        38   41   -9      -4.04    33.10     3.39    41.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        38   39  -23      -1.91    42.05    -3.63    39.00     0.00   -23.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       38   38  -22      -2.00    41.44    -3.35    38.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa      38   38  -26      -0.03    51.17    -3.45    38.00     0.00   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hull             38   35  -18      -4.14    31.84     1.31    35.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Burnley          38   33  -25      -3.58    34.16    -1.63    33.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
QPR              38   30  -31      -4.68    29.48    -0.46    30.00     0.00   -31.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 May 2015, Blackburn 3 2 Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Bournemouth     46   90  +53       7.28    75.74    22.37    90.00     0.00    53.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Watford         46   89  +41       6.67    74.02    11.06    89.00     0.00    41.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich         46   86  +40       1.00    53.36     6.59    86.00     0.00    40.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    38.84P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   46   85  +31       8.47    79.43    11.48    85.00     0.00    31.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    29.11P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       46   78  +19       9.37    81.30    11.16    78.00     0.00    19.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    15.96P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         46   78  +18       8.00    77.68     7.94    78.00     0.00    18.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    16.09P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   46   78  +14       6.10    71.91     1.08    78.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby           46   77  +29      -2.52    40.34     3.78    77.00     0.00    29.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       46   67   +7      -0.59    47.73     0.70    67.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      46   63  -10       5.89    72.13    -0.41    63.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         46   62   -4      -0.82    47.43    -3.37    62.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Charlton        46   60   -6       3.09    62.55     3.00    60.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       46   60   -6       1.72    57.44     0.36    60.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   46   59   +2      -5.36    30.73     1.00    59.00     0.00     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    46   56  -11      -0.57    48.39    -1.10    56.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    46   55  -17       1.31    55.80    -1.46    55.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          46   52  -21      -6.14    28.41   -11.51    52.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          46   51  -13      -7.76    22.50    -6.05    51.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Reading         46   50  -21      -8.42    20.81   -13.58    50.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rotherham       46   49  -21       0.97    54.66     2.63    49.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brighton        46   47  -10     -15.34     6.11    -9.71    47.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Millwall        46   41  -34      -3.34    37.25    -5.07    41.00     0.00   -34.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Wigan           46   39  -25     -17.52     3.76   -15.86    39.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Blackpool       46   26  -55     -12.36     8.20   -15.03    26.00     0.00   -55.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 3 May 2015, Barnsley 5 0 Rochdale; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Bristol_City     46   99  +58      10.31    84.56    18.30    99.00     0.00    58.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          46   91  +57       2.45    58.87    17.30    91.00     0.00    57.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          46   89  +39       5.08    68.77     8.35    89.00     0.00    39.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    39.60P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          46   79  +19       4.19    65.38     1.73    79.00     0.00    19.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    24.25P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        46   71  +13      -0.78    47.30     0.37    71.00     0.00    13.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    21.44P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield     46   69  +13       1.33    54.88     6.48    69.00     0.00    13.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    14.71P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         46   65   +0       3.93    65.35     2.68    65.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         46   63   +6       0.75    53.18     8.32    63.00     0.00     6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     46   63   -3      -3.87    35.78    -8.42    63.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   46   63   -3       7.50    76.86     7.54    63.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         46   62   +1      -4.46    33.88    -3.70    62.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       46   62   -1       2.86    61.40     5.90    62.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        46   61   -4      -2.43    41.18    -4.46    61.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall          46   59   -4      -2.82    39.65    -2.70    59.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           46   57  -13       1.89    58.08    -1.17    57.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       46   56  -13       0.54    52.80    -0.15    56.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         46   55  -11      -4.49    33.67    -5.32    55.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        46   54  -10      -2.16    42.35     0.93    54.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Colchester       46   52  -19      -1.59    44.38    -3.66    52.00     0.00   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe            46   52  -32       6.29    74.59    -4.75    52.00     0.00   -32.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     46   50  -18      -5.15    30.97    -6.11    50.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Crawley_Town     46   50  -26      -1.63    44.45    -8.11    50.00     0.00   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    46   49  -10     -16.99     5.14   -13.91    49.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Yeovil           46   40  -39      -7.23    23.57   -15.42    40.00     0.00   -39.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 May 2015, AFC_Wimbledon 1 1 Cheltenham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Burton_Albion        46   94  +30      18.31    96.27    11.51    94.00     0.00    30.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           46   89  +36       5.29    69.54     6.60    89.00     0.00    36.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 46   85  +20      11.31    86.58     4.31    85.00     0.00    20.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              46   84  +22      13.36    90.27    10.64    84.00     0.00    22.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.03P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             46   84  +16      10.27    84.56     0.40    84.00     0.00    16.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    29.81P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            46   72   +8       1.65    56.24    -3.05    72.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    22.39P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             46   71  +18       3.19    62.34    10.37    71.00     0.00    18.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    22.77P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                46   68  +10       1.61    56.41     4.41    68.00     0.00    10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       46   65   -3       7.18    76.18     3.90    65.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Exeter               46   64   -4       2.13    58.38    -2.26    64.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            46   63   +1       2.11    58.59     3.49    63.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton          46   61   +5      -1.84    43.27     5.16    61.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           46   61   +1      -2.54    40.58    -0.67    61.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            46   59   -1      -1.91    43.34     1.74    59.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        46   58   -6       0.75    53.41     2.13    58.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           46   57   -2      -6.16    27.82    -2.66    57.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   46   56  -19       1.75    57.49    -5.30    56.00     0.00   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
York                 46   52   -5      -8.86    19.29    -3.31    52.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        46   51   -5      -4.52    33.51     6.01    51.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             46   50  -18      -7.61    23.49    -9.62    50.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            46   48  -24      -1.79    43.57    -5.91    48.00     0.00   -24.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool           46   45  -31      -5.67    28.77   -13.85    45.00     0.00   -31.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           46   41  -27      -9.97    15.66   -10.06    41.00     0.00   -27.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Tranmere             46   39  -22     -18.16     3.53   -14.00    39.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 April 2015, AFC_Telford 1 2 Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barnet           46   92  +48       6.54    73.84    13.20    92.00     0.00    48.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   46   91  +39       2.26    58.17     1.01    91.00     0.00    39.00     0.00   100.00    39.65P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          46   86  +34       3.97    65.01     6.00    86.00     0.00    34.00     0.00   100.00    31.01P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        46   82  +26      10.01    82.12    12.28    82.00     0.00    26.00     0.00   100.00    13.38P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     46   82  +26       5.63    70.38     5.52    82.00     0.00    26.00     0.00   100.00    15.96P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     46   78  +14       9.99    83.19     6.44    78.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking           46   76  +25       4.63    66.82    12.45    76.00     0.00    25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   46   68  +11       3.35    62.56     8.82    68.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax          46   66   +6      -2.54    40.84    -2.17    66.00     0.00     6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        46   66   +4      -1.40    44.79    -2.45    66.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          46   66   +4      -1.07    46.03    -2.26    66.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          46   63  -12      10.27    84.46     5.09    63.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Torquay          46   61   +4     -10.89    15.18    -9.26    61.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   46   59   -1      -4.84    32.24    -2.55    59.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     46   58   -9      -0.82    47.36    -1.99    58.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster    46   57   -9      -5.81    28.79    -8.88    57.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham       46   56  -19       6.06    72.89     1.96    56.00     0.00   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot        46   53  -10      -9.65    17.49    -9.49    53.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport        46   51  -25       1.70    57.58    -3.35    51.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Welling          46   45  -21      -7.43    23.23    -4.40    45.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town    46   45  -41      -0.71    48.00   -11.06    45.00     0.00   -41.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Telford      46   39  -26      -8.37    20.98     0.72    39.00     0.00   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Dartford         46   39  -30      -7.48    22.45    -4.38    39.00     0.00   -30.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Nuneaton         46   39  -38      -6.19    26.10   -11.26    39.00     0.00   -38.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00