Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 8 June 2015 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 24 May 2015, Arsenal 4 1 West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Chelsea          38   87  +41       9.86    87.79     2.03    87.00     0.00    41.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         38   79  +45      -1.58    41.56    -3.00    79.00     0.00    45.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          38   75  +35       2.88    62.32     3.82    75.00     0.00    35.00     0.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          38   70  +25       0.86    53.53    -0.87    70.00     0.00    25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        38   64   +5       6.85    77.37    -1.68    64.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        38   62   +4      -0.96    45.50   -12.24    62.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      38   60  +21       0.32    51.18    10.23    60.00     0.00    21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea          38   56   -3       5.61    73.44     0.51    56.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            38   54   +3       3.77    66.73     6.21    54.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   38   48   -4       4.21    68.84     9.12    48.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          38   47   -2      -9.75    14.19    -8.29    47.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         38   47   -3      -1.14    45.30     3.56    47.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        38   44  -13      -0.61    47.95    -0.67    44.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        38   41   -9      -4.26    32.47     2.95    41.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        38   39  -23      -1.88    42.10    -3.60    39.00     0.00   -23.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       38   38  -22      -2.07    41.07    -3.46    38.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa      38   38  -26      -0.05    50.75    -3.55    38.00     0.00   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hull             38   35  -18      -4.10    31.62     1.31    35.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Burnley          38   33  -25      -3.61    34.08    -1.70    33.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
QPR              38   30  -31      -4.80    29.18    -0.66    30.00     0.00   -31.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 May 2015, Blackburn 3 2 Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Bournemouth     46   90  +53       7.30    75.73    22.43    90.00     0.00    53.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Watford         46   89  +41       6.61    73.73    10.88    89.00     0.00    41.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich         46   86  +40       1.29    54.45     7.08    86.00     0.00    40.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    38.86P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   46   85  +31       8.38    79.41    11.38    85.00     0.00    31.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    29.18P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       46   78  +19       9.52    81.53    11.37    78.00     0.00    19.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    15.85P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         46   78  +18       8.05    77.86     8.02    78.00     0.00    18.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    16.11P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   46   78  +14       6.20    72.25     1.22    78.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby           46   77  +29      -2.44    40.37     3.94    77.00     0.00    29.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       46   67   +7      -0.43    48.40     0.94    67.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      46   63  -10       6.11    72.73    -0.02    63.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         46   62   -4      -0.94    46.83    -3.59    62.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Charlton        46   60   -6       2.95    61.81     2.72    60.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       46   60   -6       1.56    56.68     0.16    60.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   46   59   +2      -5.42    30.66     0.88    59.00     0.00     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    46   56  -11      -0.62    48.11    -1.17    56.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    46   55  -17       1.49    56.52    -1.17    55.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          46   52  -21      -6.32    27.85   -11.84    52.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          46   51  -13      -7.81    22.50    -6.15    51.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Reading         46   50  -21      -8.48    20.29   -13.72    50.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rotherham       46   49  -21       0.82    54.24     2.40    49.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brighton        46   47  -10     -15.38     6.25    -9.78    47.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Millwall        46   41  -34      -3.37    37.14    -5.11    41.00     0.00   -34.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Wigan           46   39  -25     -17.72     3.68   -16.12    39.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Blackpool       46   26  -55     -12.15     8.23   -14.75    26.00     0.00   -55.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 3 May 2015, Barnsley 5 0 Rochdale; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Bristol_City     46   99  +58      10.10    84.44    18.04    99.00     0.00    58.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          46   91  +57       2.62    59.37    17.49    91.00     0.00    57.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          46   89  +39       5.19    69.06     8.59    89.00     0.00    39.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    39.52P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          46   79  +19       4.40    66.29     2.00    79.00     0.00    19.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    23.96P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        46   71  +13      -0.79    46.97     0.44    71.00     0.00    13.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    21.74P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield     46   69  +13       1.35    55.13     6.50    69.00     0.00    13.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    14.78P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         46   65   +0       3.95    65.12     2.65    65.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         46   63   +6       0.56    52.56     8.06    63.00     0.00     6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     46   63   -3      -3.69    36.18    -8.21    63.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   46   63   -3       7.51    76.93     7.55    63.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         46   62   +1      -4.58    33.37    -3.87    62.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       46   62   -1       2.69    60.46     5.63    62.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        46   61   -4      -2.14    42.59    -4.02    61.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall          46   59   -4      -2.61    40.70    -2.38    59.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           46   57  -13       1.60    56.92    -1.62    57.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       46   56  -13       0.36    51.80    -0.42    56.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         46   55  -11      -4.83    32.05    -5.85    55.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        46   54  -10      -2.21    41.94     0.83    54.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Colchester       46   52  -19      -1.46    44.86    -3.55    52.00     0.00   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe            46   52  -32       6.23    74.41    -4.91    52.00     0.00   -32.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     46   50  -18      -5.14    31.23    -6.03    50.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Crawley_Town     46   50  -26      -1.73    43.96    -8.18    50.00     0.00   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    46   49  -10     -16.71     5.41   -13.49    49.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Yeovil           46   40  -39      -7.16    23.98   -15.24    40.00     0.00   -39.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 May 2015, AFC_Wimbledon 1 1 Cheltenham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Burton_Albion        46   94  +30      18.44    96.61    11.63    94.00     0.00    30.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           46   89  +36       5.45    70.04     6.84    89.00     0.00    36.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 46   85  +20      11.00    85.70     3.85    85.00     0.00    20.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              46   84  +22      13.41    90.23    10.64    84.00     0.00    22.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.21P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             46   84  +16      10.27    84.59     0.45    84.00     0.00    16.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    30.05P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            46   72   +8       1.60    55.93    -3.06    72.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    22.25P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             46   71  +18       3.00    61.58    10.10    71.00     0.00    18.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    22.49P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                46   68  +10       1.55    56.36     4.39    68.00     0.00    10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       46   65   -3       7.07    75.93     3.74    65.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Exeter               46   64   -4       2.17    58.45    -2.24    64.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            46   63   +1       2.05    58.32     3.35    63.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton          46   61   +5      -1.71    43.82     5.35    61.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           46   61   +1      -2.84    39.48    -1.07    61.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            46   59   -1      -1.96    42.92     1.74    59.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        46   58   -6       0.87    53.84     2.27    58.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           46   57   -2      -6.43    26.70    -3.07    57.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   46   56  -19       1.97    58.28    -4.96    56.00     0.00   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
York                 46   52   -5      -8.52    20.05    -2.84    52.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        46   51   -5      -4.42    33.88     6.13    51.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             46   50  -18      -7.59    23.56    -9.57    50.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            46   48  -24      -1.50    44.84    -5.45    48.00     0.00   -24.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool           46   45  -31      -5.63    28.84   -13.83    45.00     0.00   -31.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           46   41  -27     -10.09    15.38   -10.25    41.00     0.00   -27.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Tranmere             46   39  -22     -18.30     3.62   -14.15    39.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 April 2015, AFC_Telford 1 2 Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barnet           46   92  +48       6.58    73.89    13.20    92.00     0.00    48.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   46   91  +39       2.35    58.55     1.19    91.00     0.00    39.00     0.00   100.00    39.52P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          46   86  +34       4.31    66.21     6.43    86.00     0.00    34.00     0.00   100.00    30.50P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        46   82  +26       9.94    82.06    12.23    82.00     0.00    26.00     0.00   100.00    13.86P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     46   82  +26       5.74    70.64     5.62    82.00     0.00    26.00     0.00   100.00    16.11P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     46   78  +14       9.65    82.42     5.97    78.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking           46   76  +25       4.57    66.96    12.33    76.00     0.00    25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   46   68  +11       3.34    62.14     8.80    68.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax          46   66   +6      -2.35    41.12    -1.93    66.00     0.00     6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        46   66   +4      -1.76    43.62    -2.97    66.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          46   66   +4      -1.29    44.97    -2.50    66.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          46   63  -12      10.48    85.16     5.36    63.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Torquay          46   61   +4     -10.92    15.31    -9.34    61.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   46   59   -1      -4.96    31.68    -2.65    59.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     46   58   -9      -0.93    47.03    -2.16    58.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster    46   57   -9      -5.71    29.10    -8.74    57.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham       46   56  -19       6.22    73.37     2.16    56.00     0.00   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot        46   53  -10      -9.58    17.45    -9.47    53.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport        46   51  -25       1.72    57.48    -3.31    51.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Welling          46   45  -21      -7.37    23.24    -4.31    45.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town    46   45  -41      -0.71    47.99   -10.99    45.00     0.00   -41.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Telford      46   39  -26      -8.34    20.86     0.81    39.00     0.00   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Dartford         46   39  -30      -7.56    22.12    -4.56    39.00     0.00   -30.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Nuneaton         46   39  -38      -6.20    26.13   -11.20    39.00     0.00   -38.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00