Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Monday 8 June 2015 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 24 May 2015, Arsenal 4 1 West_Brom; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 38 87 +41 9.86 87.79 2.03 87.00 0.00 41.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 38 79 +45 -1.58 41.56 -3.00 79.00 0.00 45.00 0.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 38 75 +35 2.88 62.32 3.82 75.00 0.00 35.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 38 70 +25 0.86 53.53 -0.87 70.00 0.00 25.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 38 64 +5 6.85 77.37 -1.68 64.00 0.00 5.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 38 62 +4 -0.96 45.50 -12.24 62.00 0.00 4.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Southampton 38 60 +21 0.32 51.18 10.23 60.00 0.00 21.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Swansea 38 56 -3 5.61 73.44 0.51 56.00 0.00 -3.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Stoke 38 54 +3 3.77 66.73 6.21 54.00 0.00 3.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Crystal_Palace 38 48 -4 4.21 68.84 9.12 48.00 0.00 -4.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Everton 38 47 -2 -9.75 14.19 -8.29 47.00 0.00 -2.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 38 47 -3 -1.14 45.30 3.56 47.00 0.00 -3.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 West_Brom 38 44 -13 -0.61 47.95 -0.67 44.00 0.00 -13.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Leicester 38 41 -9 -4.26 32.47 2.95 41.00 0.00 -9.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Newcastle 38 39 -23 -1.88 42.10 -3.60 39.00 0.00 -23.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sunderland 38 38 -22 -2.07 41.07 -3.46 38.00 0.00 -22.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Aston_Villa 38 38 -26 -0.05 50.75 -3.55 38.00 0.00 -26.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Hull 38 35 -18 -4.10 31.62 1.31 35.00 0.00 -18.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Burnley 38 33 -25 -3.61 34.08 -1.70 33.00 0.00 -25.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 QPR 38 30 -31 -4.80 29.18 -0.66 30.00 0.00 -31.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 May 2015, Blackburn 3 2 Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Bournemouth 46 90 +53 7.30 75.73 22.43 90.00 0.00 53.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Watford 46 89 +41 6.61 73.73 10.88 89.00 0.00 41.00 0.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Norwich 46 86 +40 1.29 54.45 7.08 86.00 0.00 40.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 38.86P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 46 85 +31 8.38 79.41 11.38 85.00 0.00 31.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 29.18P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 46 78 +19 9.52 81.53 11.37 78.00 0.00 19.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 15.85P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 46 78 +18 8.05 77.86 8.02 78.00 0.00 18.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 16.11P 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 46 78 +14 6.20 72.25 1.22 78.00 0.00 14.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Derby 46 77 +29 -2.44 40.37 3.94 77.00 0.00 29.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Blackburn 46 67 +7 -0.43 48.40 0.94 67.00 0.00 7.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 46 63 -10 6.11 72.73 -0.02 63.00 0.00 -10.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 46 62 -4 -0.94 46.83 -3.59 62.00 0.00 -4.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Charlton 46 60 -6 2.95 61.81 2.72 60.00 0.00 -6.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 46 60 -6 1.56 56.68 0.16 60.00 0.00 -6.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 46 59 +2 -5.42 30.66 0.88 59.00 0.00 2.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 46 56 -11 -0.62 48.11 -1.17 56.00 0.00 -11.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 46 55 -17 1.49 56.52 -1.17 55.00 0.00 -17.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fulham 46 52 -21 -6.32 27.85 -11.84 52.00 0.00 -21.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bolton 46 51 -13 -7.81 22.50 -6.15 51.00 0.00 -13.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Reading 46 50 -21 -8.48 20.29 -13.72 50.00 0.00 -21.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 46 49 -21 0.82 54.24 2.40 49.00 0.00 -21.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Brighton 46 47 -10 -15.38 6.25 -9.78 47.00 0.00 -10.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Millwall 46 41 -34 -3.37 37.14 -5.11 41.00 0.00 -34.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Wigan 46 39 -25 -17.72 3.68 -16.12 39.00 0.00 -25.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Blackpool 46 26 -55 -12.15 8.23 -14.75 26.00 0.00 -55.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 3 May 2015, Barnsley 5 0 Rochdale; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Bristol_City 46 99 +58 10.10 84.44 18.04 99.00 0.00 58.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 46 91 +57 2.62 59.37 17.49 91.00 0.00 57.00 0.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Preston 46 89 +39 5.19 69.06 8.59 89.00 0.00 39.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 39.52P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 46 79 +19 4.40 66.29 2.00 79.00 0.00 19.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 23.96P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 46 71 +13 -0.79 46.97 0.44 71.00 0.00 13.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 21.74P 0.00 0.00 Chesterfield 46 69 +13 1.35 55.13 6.50 69.00 0.00 13.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 14.78P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 46 65 +0 3.95 65.12 2.65 65.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 46 63 +6 0.56 52.56 8.06 63.00 0.00 6.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 46 63 -3 -3.69 36.18 -8.21 63.00 0.00 -3.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 46 63 -3 7.51 76.93 7.55 63.00 0.00 -3.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Barnsley 46 62 +1 -4.58 33.37 -3.87 62.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 46 62 -1 2.69 60.46 5.63 62.00 0.00 -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Doncaster 46 61 -4 -2.14 42.59 -4.02 61.00 0.00 -4.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Walsall 46 59 -4 -2.61 40.70 -2.38 59.00 0.00 -4.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Oldham 46 57 -13 1.60 56.92 -1.62 57.00 0.00 -13.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Scunthorpe 46 56 -13 0.36 51.80 -0.42 56.00 0.00 -13.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Coventry 46 55 -11 -4.83 32.05 -5.85 55.00 0.00 -11.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Port_Vale 46 54 -10 -2.21 41.94 0.83 54.00 0.00 -10.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Colchester 46 52 -19 -1.46 44.86 -3.55 52.00 0.00 -19.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Crewe 46 52 -32 6.23 74.41 -4.91 52.00 0.00 -32.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Notts_County 46 50 -18 -5.14 31.23 -6.03 50.00 0.00 -18.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Crawley_Town 46 50 -26 -1.73 43.96 -8.18 50.00 0.00 -26.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Leyton_Orient 46 49 -10 -16.71 5.41 -13.49 49.00 0.00 -10.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Yeovil 46 40 -39 -7.16 23.98 -15.24 40.00 0.00 -39.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 May 2015, AFC_Wimbledon 1 1 Cheltenham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Burton_Albion 46 94 +30 18.44 96.61 11.63 94.00 0.00 30.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 46 89 +36 5.45 70.04 6.84 89.00 0.00 36.00 0.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Bury 46 85 +20 11.00 85.70 3.85 85.00 0.00 20.00 0.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 46 84 +22 13.41 90.23 10.64 84.00 0.00 22.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 25.21P 0.00 0.00 Southend 46 84 +16 10.27 84.59 0.45 84.00 0.00 16.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 30.05P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 46 72 +8 1.60 55.93 -3.06 72.00 0.00 8.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 22.25P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 46 71 +18 3.00 61.58 10.10 71.00 0.00 18.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 22.49P 0.00 0.00 Luton 46 68 +10 1.55 56.36 4.39 68.00 0.00 10.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 46 65 -3 7.07 75.93 3.74 65.00 0.00 -3.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Exeter 46 64 -4 2.17 58.45 -2.24 64.00 0.00 -4.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Morecambe 46 63 +1 2.05 58.32 3.35 63.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Northampton 46 61 +5 -1.71 43.82 5.35 61.00 0.00 5.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 46 61 +1 -2.84 39.48 -1.07 61.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 46 59 -1 -1.96 42.92 1.74 59.00 0.00 -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 46 58 -6 0.87 53.84 2.27 58.00 0.00 -6.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 46 57 -2 -6.43 26.70 -3.07 57.00 0.00 -2.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 46 56 -19 1.97 58.28 -4.96 56.00 0.00 -19.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 York 46 52 -5 -8.52 20.05 -2.84 52.00 0.00 -5.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 46 51 -5 -4.42 33.88 6.13 51.00 0.00 -5.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 46 50 -18 -7.59 23.56 -9.57 50.00 0.00 -18.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 46 48 -24 -1.50 44.84 -5.45 48.00 0.00 -24.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Hartlepool 46 45 -31 -5.63 28.84 -13.83 45.00 0.00 -31.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Cheltenham 46 41 -27 -10.09 15.38 -10.25 41.00 0.00 -27.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Tranmere 46 39 -22 -18.30 3.62 -14.15 39.00 0.00 -22.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00Conference (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 April 2015, AFC_Telford 1 2 Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Barnet 46 92 +48 6.58 73.89 13.20 92.00 0.00 48.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 46 91 +39 2.35 58.55 1.19 91.00 0.00 39.00 0.00 100.00 39.52P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 46 86 +34 4.31 66.21 6.43 86.00 0.00 34.00 0.00 100.00 30.50P 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 46 82 +26 9.94 82.06 12.23 82.00 0.00 26.00 0.00 100.00 13.86P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 46 82 +26 5.74 70.64 5.62 82.00 0.00 26.00 0.00 100.00 16.11P 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 46 78 +14 9.65 82.42 5.97 78.00 0.00 14.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Woking 46 76 +25 4.57 66.96 12.33 76.00 0.00 25.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 46 68 +11 3.34 62.14 8.80 68.00 0.00 11.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Halifax 46 66 +6 -2.35 41.12 -1.93 66.00 0.00 6.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 46 66 +4 -1.76 43.62 -2.97 66.00 0.00 4.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 46 66 +4 -1.29 44.97 -2.50 66.00 0.00 4.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Chester 46 63 -12 10.48 85.16 5.36 63.00 0.00 -12.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Torquay 46 61 +4 -10.92 15.31 -9.34 61.00 0.00 4.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Braintree_Town 46 59 -1 -4.96 31.68 -2.65 59.00 0.00 -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 46 58 -9 -0.93 47.03 -2.16 58.00 0.00 -9.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 46 57 -9 -5.71 29.10 -8.74 57.00 0.00 -9.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Altrincham 46 56 -19 6.22 73.37 2.16 56.00 0.00 -19.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 46 53 -10 -9.58 17.45 -9.47 53.00 0.00 -10.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Southport 46 51 -25 1.72 57.48 -3.31 51.00 0.00 -25.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Welling 46 45 -21 -7.37 23.24 -4.31 45.00 0.00 -21.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Alfreton_Town 46 45 -41 -0.71 47.99 -10.99 45.00 0.00 -41.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 AFC_Telford 46 39 -26 -8.34 20.86 0.81 39.00 0.00 -26.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Dartford 46 39 -30 -7.56 22.12 -4.56 39.00 0.00 -30.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Nuneaton 46 39 -38 -6.20 26.13 -11.20 39.00 0.00 -38.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00