Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 6 June 2015 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 24 May 2015, Arsenal 4 1 West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Chelsea          38   87  +41       9.75    87.41     1.84    87.00     0.00    41.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         38   79  +45      -1.62    41.35    -3.06    79.00     0.00    45.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          38   75  +35       2.77    61.89     3.64    75.00     0.00    35.00     0.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          38   70  +25       0.88    53.52    -0.79    70.00     0.00    25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        38   64   +5       6.81    77.20    -1.73    64.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        38   62   +4      -1.22    44.52   -12.64    62.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      38   60  +21       0.37    51.56    10.25    60.00     0.00    21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea          38   56   -3       5.71    73.76     0.64    56.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            38   54   +3       3.71    66.47     6.11    54.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   38   48   -4       4.31    69.51     9.22    48.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          38   47   -2      -9.69    14.22    -8.21    47.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         38   47   -3      -1.09    45.91     3.53    47.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        38   44  -13      -0.61    48.13    -0.69    44.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        38   41   -9      -4.03    33.29     3.43    41.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        38   39  -23      -1.82    42.55    -3.46    39.00     0.00   -23.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       38   38  -22      -2.23    40.51    -3.65    38.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa      38   38  -26      -0.05    50.77    -3.57    38.00     0.00   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hull             38   35  -18      -4.11    32.01     1.35    35.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Burnley          38   33  -25      -3.71    33.77    -1.72    33.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
QPR              38   30  -31      -4.69    29.80    -0.48    30.00     0.00   -31.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 May 2015, Blackburn 3 2 Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Bournemouth     46   90  +53       7.03    74.98    22.02    90.00     0.00    53.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Watford         46   89  +41       6.68    73.66    10.98    89.00     0.00    41.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich         46   86  +40       1.06    53.52     6.68    86.00     0.00    40.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    38.50P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   46   85  +31       8.44    79.58    11.54    85.00     0.00    31.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    29.46P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       46   78  +19       9.39    80.86    11.18    78.00     0.00    19.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    15.82P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         46   78  +18       8.02    77.96     8.02    78.00     0.00    18.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    16.21P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   46   78  +14       6.07    71.91     1.07    78.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby           46   77  +29      -2.57    40.07     3.65    77.00     0.00    29.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       46   67   +7      -0.18    49.68     1.28    67.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      46   63  -10       5.80    71.83    -0.56    63.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         46   62   -4      -0.70    47.87    -3.16    62.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Charlton        46   60   -6       2.75    61.12     2.47    60.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       46   60   -6       1.57    56.58     0.07    60.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   46   59   +2      -5.55    30.05     0.65    59.00     0.00     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    46   56  -11      -0.57    48.46    -1.13    56.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    46   55  -17       1.31    55.86    -1.46    55.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          46   52  -21      -6.00    28.77   -11.29    52.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          46   51  -13      -7.82    22.63    -6.13    51.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Reading         46   50  -21      -8.35    20.87   -13.48    50.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rotherham       46   49  -21       1.08    55.29     2.84    49.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brighton        46   47  -10     -15.17     6.49    -9.51    47.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Millwall        46   41  -34      -3.37    37.01    -5.05    41.00     0.00   -34.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Wigan           46   39  -25     -17.61     3.67   -15.90    39.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Blackpool       46   26  -55     -12.23     8.34   -14.77    26.00     0.00   -55.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 3 May 2015, Barnsley 5 0 Rochdale; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Bristol_City     46   99  +58      10.16    84.45    18.14    99.00     0.00    58.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          46   91  +57       2.49    59.02    17.33    91.00     0.00    57.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          46   89  +39       5.21    69.13     8.59    89.00     0.00    39.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    39.17P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          46   79  +19       4.09    65.14     1.54    79.00     0.00    19.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    24.38P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        46   71  +13      -0.76    47.34     0.42    71.00     0.00    13.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    21.53P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield     46   69  +13       1.31    55.03     6.46    69.00     0.00    13.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    14.92P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         46   65   +0       4.08    66.06     2.87    65.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         46   63   +6       0.69    52.85     8.24    63.00     0.00     6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     46   63   -3      -3.87    35.92    -8.41    63.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   46   63   -3       7.72    77.79     7.80    63.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         46   62   +1      -4.62    33.46    -3.96    62.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       46   62   -1       2.65    60.50     5.58    62.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        46   61   -4      -2.45    41.14    -4.46    61.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall          46   59   -4      -2.56    40.47    -2.36    59.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           46   57  -13       1.96    58.33    -1.11    57.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       46   56  -13       0.34    51.96    -0.44    56.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         46   55  -11      -4.69    32.84    -5.65    55.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        46   54  -10      -2.33    41.68     0.73    54.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Colchester       46   52  -19      -1.66    44.46    -3.80    52.00     0.00   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe            46   52  -32       6.34    74.80    -4.68    52.00     0.00   -32.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     46   50  -18      -5.29    30.39    -6.24    50.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Crawley_Town     46   50  -26      -1.47    44.99    -7.86    50.00     0.00   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    46   49  -10     -16.79     5.27   -13.60    49.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Yeovil           46   40  -39      -7.09    24.15   -15.16    40.00     0.00   -39.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 May 2015, AFC_Wimbledon 1 1 Cheltenham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Burton_Albion        46   94  +30      18.13    96.43    11.26    94.00     0.00    30.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           46   89  +36       5.44    69.98     6.86    89.00     0.00    36.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 46   85  +20      11.28    86.55     4.23    85.00     0.00    20.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              46   84  +22      13.38    90.16    10.66    84.00     0.00    22.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.51P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             46   84  +16      10.35    84.53     0.54    84.00     0.00    16.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    29.88P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            46   72   +8       1.56    56.05    -3.15    72.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    22.42P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             46   71  +18       3.06    61.97    10.20    71.00     0.00    18.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    22.19P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                46   68  +10       1.58    56.37     4.44    68.00     0.00    10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       46   65   -3       7.14    76.34     3.86    65.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Exeter               46   64   -4       2.28    59.02    -2.09    64.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            46   63   +1       2.11    58.55     3.44    63.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton          46   61   +5      -2.00    42.66     4.94    61.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           46   61   +1      -2.68    39.84    -0.85    61.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            46   59   -1      -1.85    43.24     1.82    59.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        46   58   -6       0.88    54.21     2.28    58.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           46   57   -2      -6.37    27.02    -2.94    57.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   46   56  -19       1.84    57.89    -5.12    56.00     0.00   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
York                 46   52   -5      -8.57    19.75    -2.88    52.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        46   51   -5      -4.46    33.82     6.08    51.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             46   50  -18      -7.60    23.78    -9.57    50.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            46   48  -24      -1.79    43.56    -5.90    48.00     0.00   -24.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool           46   45  -31      -5.62    28.98   -13.73    45.00     0.00   -31.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           46   41  -27      -9.96    15.80   -10.04    41.00     0.00   -27.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Tranmere             46   39  -22     -18.37     3.33   -14.35    39.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 April 2015, AFC_Telford 1 2 Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barnet           46   92  +48       6.57    73.86    13.21    92.00     0.00    48.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   46   91  +39       2.32    58.60     1.12    91.00     0.00    39.00     0.00   100.00    39.66P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          46   86  +34       4.17    65.72     6.29    86.00     0.00    34.00     0.00   100.00    30.35P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        46   82  +26       9.76    81.98    11.86    82.00     0.00    26.00     0.00   100.00    13.73P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     46   82  +26       5.66    70.66     5.58    82.00     0.00    26.00     0.00   100.00    16.26P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     46   78  +14       9.89    82.90     6.32    78.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking           46   76  +25       4.70    67.34    12.55    76.00     0.00    25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   46   68  +11       3.39    62.68     8.84    68.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax          46   66   +6      -2.24    41.81    -1.72    66.00     0.00     6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        46   66   +4      -1.49    44.55    -2.60    66.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          46   66   +4      -1.26    45.23    -2.54    66.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          46   63  -12      10.36    84.76     5.22    63.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Torquay          46   61   +4     -10.95    14.89    -9.35    61.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   46   59   -1      -5.00    31.61    -2.72    59.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     46   58   -9      -0.99    46.77    -2.21    58.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster    46   57   -9      -5.79    28.90    -8.80    57.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham       46   56  -19       6.07    72.61     1.94    56.00     0.00   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot        46   53  -10      -9.53    17.65    -9.44    53.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport        46   51  -25       1.87    58.29    -3.06    51.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Welling          46   45  -21      -7.33    23.38    -4.23    45.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town    46   45  -41      -0.73    48.05   -11.18    45.00     0.00   -41.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Telford      46   39  -26      -8.20    20.84     1.02    39.00     0.00   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Dartford         46   39  -30      -7.67    21.58    -4.66    39.00     0.00   -30.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Nuneaton         46   39  -38      -6.35    25.50   -11.46    39.00     0.00   -38.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00