Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 2 June 2015 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 24 May 2015, Arsenal 4 1 West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Chelsea          38   87  +41       9.75    87.69     1.81    87.00     0.00    41.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         38   79  +45      -1.67    40.98    -3.14    79.00     0.00    45.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          38   75  +35       2.84    62.24     3.79    75.00     0.00    35.00     0.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          38   70  +25       0.92    53.48    -0.79    70.00     0.00    25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        38   64   +5       6.82    77.41    -1.73    64.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        38   62   +4      -1.17    44.52   -12.60    62.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      38   60  +21       0.44    51.92    10.45    60.00     0.00    21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea          38   56   -3       5.89    74.67     0.92    56.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            38   54   +3       3.75    66.49     6.17    54.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   38   48   -4       4.11    68.72     8.94    48.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          38   47   -2      -9.66    14.31    -8.15    47.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         38   47   -3      -0.98    46.25     3.75    47.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        38   44  -13      -0.65    47.65    -0.82    44.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        38   41   -9      -4.13    32.68     3.27    41.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        38   39  -23      -1.73    42.73    -3.26    39.00     0.00   -23.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       38   38  -22      -2.25    40.47    -3.73    38.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa      38   38  -26      -0.17    50.00    -3.74    38.00     0.00   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hull             38   35  -18      -4.12    31.81     1.26    35.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Burnley          38   33  -25      -3.74    33.64    -1.82    33.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
QPR              38   30  -31      -4.77    29.20    -0.59    30.00     0.00   -31.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 May 2015, Blackburn 3 2 Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Bournemouth     46   90  +53       7.07    75.48    22.05    90.00     0.00    53.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Watford         46   89  +41       6.94    74.62    11.36    89.00     0.00    41.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich         46   86  +40       1.03    53.59     6.61    86.00     0.00    40.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    38.47P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   46   85  +31       8.42    79.19    11.46    85.00     0.00    31.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    29.24P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       46   78  +19       9.33    80.86    11.06    78.00     0.00    19.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    16.20P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         46   78  +18       8.16    78.27     8.22    78.00     0.00    18.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    16.08P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   46   78  +14       6.24    72.02     1.33    78.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby           46   77  +29      -2.40    40.88     3.98    77.00     0.00    29.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       46   67   +7      -0.38    48.82     0.98    67.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      46   63  -10       5.99    72.31    -0.30    63.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         46   62   -4      -0.87    46.89    -3.47    62.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Charlton        46   60   -6       3.16    62.78     3.06    60.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       46   60   -6       1.34    55.67    -0.25    60.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   46   59   +2      -5.68    29.79     0.51    59.00     0.00     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    46   56  -11      -0.43    49.08    -0.83    56.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    46   55  -17       1.50    56.58    -1.08    55.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          46   52  -21      -6.43    27.71   -11.92    52.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          46   51  -13      -7.68    22.80    -5.95    51.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Reading         46   50  -21      -8.38    20.91   -13.55    50.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rotherham       46   49  -21       1.04    54.98     2.77    49.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brighton        46   47  -10     -15.42     6.22    -9.86    47.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Millwall        46   41  -34      -3.37    36.97    -5.10    41.00     0.00   -34.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Wigan           46   39  -25     -17.59     3.65   -15.99    39.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Blackpool       46   26  -55     -12.38     8.02   -15.09    26.00     0.00   -55.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 3 May 2015, Barnsley 5 0 Rochdale; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Bristol_City     46   99  +58      10.06    84.07    17.89    99.00     0.00    58.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          46   91  +57       2.24    58.06    16.89    91.00     0.00    57.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          46   89  +39       5.06    68.67     8.34    89.00     0.00    39.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    39.35P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          46   79  +19       4.12    65.13     1.60    79.00     0.00    19.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    24.62P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        46   71  +13      -0.57    48.00     0.70    71.00     0.00    13.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    20.95P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield     46   69  +13       1.21    54.62     6.28    69.00     0.00    13.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    15.09P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         46   65   +0       3.97    65.31     2.71    65.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         46   63   +6       0.79    53.16     8.34    63.00     0.00     6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     46   63   -3      -3.77    36.15    -8.31    63.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   46   63   -3       7.61    77.52     7.64    63.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         46   62   +1      -4.60    33.44    -3.87    62.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       46   62   -1       2.74    60.72     5.70    62.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        46   61   -4      -2.33    41.80    -4.26    61.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall          46   59   -4      -2.71    39.96    -2.54    59.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           46   57  -13       1.86    57.94    -1.22    57.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       46   56  -13       0.46    52.45    -0.25    56.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         46   55  -11      -4.56    33.39    -5.47    55.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        46   54  -10      -2.35    41.68     0.75    54.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Colchester       46   52  -19      -1.56    44.57    -3.63    52.00     0.00   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe            46   52  -32       6.17    74.36    -4.91    52.00     0.00   -32.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     46   50  -18      -5.33    30.68    -6.36    50.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Crawley_Town     46   50  -26      -1.37    45.37    -7.70    50.00     0.00   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    46   49  -10     -16.70     5.39   -13.51    49.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Yeovil           46   40  -39      -6.90    24.76   -14.82    40.00     0.00   -39.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 May 2015, AFC_Wimbledon 1 1 Cheltenham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Burton_Albion        46   94  +30      18.12    96.29    11.25    94.00     0.00    30.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           46   89  +36       5.61    70.53     7.01    89.00     0.00    36.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 46   85  +20      11.21    86.21     4.18    85.00     0.00    20.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              46   84  +22      13.38    90.39    10.63    84.00     0.00    22.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.44P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             46   84  +16      10.17    84.04     0.29    84.00     0.00    16.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    30.09P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            46   72   +8       1.40    55.33    -3.36    72.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    22.38P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             46   71  +18       3.08    62.14    10.23    71.00     0.00    18.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    22.09P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                46   68  +10       1.63    56.40     4.50    68.00     0.00    10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       46   65   -3       7.04    75.73     3.73    65.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Exeter               46   64   -4       2.13    58.68    -2.34    64.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            46   63   +1       2.07    58.36     3.38    63.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton          46   61   +5      -1.77    43.55     5.31    61.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           46   61   +1      -2.66    39.97    -0.86    61.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            46   59   -1      -1.99    42.88     1.66    59.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        46   58   -6       0.80    53.78     2.14    58.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           46   57   -2      -6.19    27.61    -2.69    57.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   46   56  -19       1.77    57.48    -5.25    56.00     0.00   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
York                 46   52   -5      -8.78    19.19    -3.12    52.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        46   51   -5      -4.38    33.86     6.17    51.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             46   50  -18      -7.38    24.52    -9.23    50.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            46   48  -24      -1.65    43.94    -5.70    48.00     0.00   -24.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool           46   45  -31      -5.58    29.02   -13.78    45.00     0.00   -31.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           46   41  -27      -9.97    15.70   -10.08    41.00     0.00   -27.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Tranmere             46   39  -22     -18.20     3.51   -14.07    39.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 April 2015, AFC_Telford 1 2 Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barnet           46   92  +48       6.21    72.92    12.67    92.00     0.00    48.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   46   91  +39       2.30    58.27     1.14    91.00     0.00    39.00     0.00   100.00    39.69P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          46   86  +34       4.23    66.06     6.33    86.00     0.00    34.00     0.00   100.00    30.76P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        46   82  +26      10.05    82.37    12.37    82.00     0.00    26.00     0.00   100.00    13.61P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     46   82  +26       5.63    70.35     5.50    82.00     0.00    26.00     0.00   100.00    15.94P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     46   78  +14       9.76    83.00     6.12    78.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking           46   76  +25       4.53    66.63    12.25    76.00     0.00    25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   46   68  +11       3.49    62.98     9.06    68.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax          46   66   +6      -2.40    41.01    -1.97    66.00     0.00     6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        46   66   +4      -1.41    44.74    -2.44    66.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          46   66   +4      -1.28    45.36    -2.51    66.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          46   63  -12      10.33    84.99     5.17    63.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Torquay          46   61   +4     -10.78    15.43    -9.11    61.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   46   59   -1      -5.13    31.15    -2.95    59.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     46   58   -9      -0.97    46.83    -2.15    58.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster    46   57   -9      -5.48    29.99    -8.36    57.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham       46   56  -19       6.13    72.99     2.01    56.00     0.00   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot        46   53  -10      -9.45    17.75    -9.31    53.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport        46   51  -25       1.82    58.08    -3.20    51.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Welling          46   45  -21      -7.42    23.27    -4.44    45.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town    46   45  -41      -0.65    48.19   -10.98    45.00     0.00   -41.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Telford      46   39  -26      -8.34    20.85     0.79    39.00     0.00   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Dartford         46   39  -30      -7.65    21.74    -4.69    39.00     0.00   -30.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Nuneaton         46   39  -38      -6.25    26.03   -11.30    39.00     0.00   -38.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00