Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 30 May 2015 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 24 May 2015, Arsenal 4 1 West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Chelsea          38   87  +41       9.64    87.62     1.64    87.00     0.00    41.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         38   79  +45      -1.56    41.56    -2.91    79.00     0.00    45.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          38   75  +35       2.88    62.47     3.81    75.00     0.00    35.00     0.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          38   70  +25       0.80    53.16    -0.95    70.00     0.00    25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        38   64   +5       6.72    76.82    -1.86    64.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        38   62   +4      -1.30    44.12   -12.75    62.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      38   60  +21       0.53    52.09    10.59    60.00     0.00    21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea          38   56   -3       5.64    73.77     0.52    56.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            38   54   +3       3.64    65.96     6.04    54.00     0.00     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   38   48   -4       4.33    69.44     9.29    48.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          38   47   -2      -9.55    14.61    -7.99    47.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         38   47   -3      -1.07    45.93     3.60    47.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        38   44  -13      -0.55    48.20    -0.68    44.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        38   41   -9      -4.20    32.56     3.12    41.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        38   39  -23      -1.89    42.11    -3.60    39.00     0.00   -23.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       38   38  -22      -2.11    40.96    -3.55    38.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa      38   38  -26      -0.12    50.63    -3.60    38.00     0.00   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hull             38   35  -18      -4.08    31.97     1.30    35.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Burnley          38   33  -25      -3.49    34.77    -1.42    33.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
QPR              38   30  -31      -4.77    29.32    -0.59    30.00     0.00   -31.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 May 2015, Blackburn 3 2 Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Bournemouth     46   90  +53       7.10    75.07    22.14    90.00     0.00    53.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Watford         46   89  +41       6.75    73.99    11.10    89.00     0.00    41.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich         46   86  +40       1.28    54.43     6.98    86.00     0.00    40.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    38.18P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   46   85  +31       8.25    78.89    11.25    85.00     0.00    31.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    29.44P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       46   78  +19       9.67    81.75    11.57    78.00     0.00    19.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    16.08P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         46   78  +18       7.71    76.93     7.56    78.00     0.00    18.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    16.30P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   46   78  +14       5.93    71.32     0.87    78.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby           46   77  +29      -2.35    40.90     4.00    77.00     0.00    29.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       46   67   +7      -0.15    49.73     1.37    67.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      46   63  -10       5.83    71.85    -0.53    63.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         46   62   -4      -0.87    47.09    -3.38    62.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Charlton        46   60   -6       3.10    62.72     2.90    60.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       46   60   -6       1.68    57.47     0.21    60.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   46   59   +2      -5.69    29.66     0.45    59.00     0.00     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    46   56  -11      -0.31    49.26    -0.71    56.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    46   55  -17       1.50    56.21    -1.14    55.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          46   52  -21      -6.24    27.80   -11.66    52.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          46   51  -13      -7.62    23.13    -5.84    51.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Reading         46   50  -21      -8.44    20.59   -13.60    50.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rotherham       46   49  -21       0.95    54.78     2.62    49.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brighton        46   47  -10     -15.41     6.03    -9.83    47.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Millwall        46   41  -34      -3.36    36.82    -5.08    41.00     0.00   -34.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Wigan           46   39  -25     -17.69     3.45   -16.08    39.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Blackpool       46   26  -55     -12.43     7.79   -15.18    26.00     0.00   -55.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 3 May 2015, Barnsley 5 0 Rochdale; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Bristol_City     46   99  +58      10.15    84.08    18.07    99.00     0.00    58.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          46   91  +57       2.38    58.73    17.20    91.00     0.00    57.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          46   89  +39       5.29    69.23     8.66    89.00     0.00    39.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    39.70P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          46   79  +19       4.25    65.74     1.78    79.00     0.00    19.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    24.35P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        46   71  +13      -0.73    47.33     0.46    71.00     0.00    13.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    21.05P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield     46   69  +13       1.30    55.11     6.43    69.00     0.00    13.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    14.91P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         46   65   +0       3.92    64.93     2.64    65.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         46   63   +6       0.89    53.55     8.54    63.00     0.00     6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     46   63   -3      -3.69    36.34    -8.15    63.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   46   63   -3       7.86    78.01     8.11    63.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         46   62   +1      -4.55    33.54    -3.85    62.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       46   62   -1       2.82    60.91     5.75    62.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        46   61   -4      -2.61    40.44    -4.74    61.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall          46   59   -4      -2.92    38.96    -2.84    59.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           46   57  -13       2.06    58.68    -0.89    57.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       46   56  -13       0.35    51.88    -0.45    56.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         46   55  -11      -4.81    32.30    -5.83    55.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        46   54  -10      -2.22    42.02     0.82    54.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Colchester       46   52  -19      -1.41    45.31    -3.43    52.00     0.00   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe            46   52  -32       6.05    73.67    -5.20    52.00     0.00   -32.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     46   50  -18      -5.28    30.83    -6.30    50.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Crawley_Town     46   50  -26      -1.42    45.02    -7.75    50.00     0.00   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    46   49  -10     -16.83     5.27   -13.66    49.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Yeovil           46   40  -39      -7.23    23.66   -15.39    40.00     0.00   -39.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 May 2015, AFC_Wimbledon 1 1 Cheltenham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Burton_Albion        46   94  +30      18.16    96.32    11.28    94.00     0.00    30.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           46   89  +36       5.32    69.75     6.74    89.00     0.00    36.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 46   85  +20      11.18    86.25     4.14    85.00     0.00    20.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              46   84  +22      13.45    90.50    10.76    84.00     0.00    22.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.08P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             46   84  +16      10.30    84.47     0.49    84.00     0.00    16.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    29.97P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            46   72   +8       1.46    55.26    -3.28    72.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    22.32P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             46   71  +18       3.07    62.02    10.21    71.00     0.00    18.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    22.62P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                46   68  +10       1.67    56.57     4.50    68.00     0.00    10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       46   65   -3       7.06    76.06     3.70    65.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Exeter               46   64   -4       2.45    59.52    -1.84    64.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            46   63   +1       1.88    57.92     3.15    63.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton          46   61   +5      -1.82    43.50     5.17    61.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           46   61   +1      -2.86    39.59    -1.06    61.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            46   59   -1      -1.71    43.72     2.04    59.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        46   58   -6       0.89    54.20     2.27    58.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           46   57   -2      -6.31    27.37    -2.87    57.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   46   56  -19       1.82    57.87    -5.24    56.00     0.00   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
York                 46   52   -5      -8.60    19.79    -2.96    52.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        46   51   -5      -4.24    34.78     6.45    51.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             46   50  -18      -7.67    23.41    -9.66    50.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            46   48  -24      -1.65    44.08    -5.70    48.00     0.00   -24.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool           46   45  -31      -5.73    28.51   -13.91    45.00     0.00   -31.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           46   41  -27     -10.04    15.29   -10.18    41.00     0.00   -27.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Tranmere             46   39  -22     -18.28     3.49   -14.20    39.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 April 2015, AFC_Telford 1 2 Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barnet           46   92  +48       6.44    73.36    13.05    92.00     0.00    48.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   46   91  +39       2.47    59.09     1.28    91.00     0.00    39.00     0.00   100.00    39.20P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          46   86  +34       4.23    66.07     6.28    86.00     0.00    34.00     0.00   100.00    30.87P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        46   82  +26       9.91    81.97    12.11    82.00     0.00    26.00     0.00   100.00    13.69P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     46   82  +26       5.68    70.62     5.65    82.00     0.00    26.00     0.00   100.00    16.24P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     46   78  +14       9.89    83.33     6.26    78.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking           46   76  +25       4.49    66.77    12.16    76.00     0.00    25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   46   68  +11       3.53    63.02     9.12    68.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax          46   66   +6      -2.42    41.04    -1.99    66.00     0.00     6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        46   66   +4      -1.48    44.69    -2.55    66.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          46   66   +4      -1.43    44.37    -2.74    66.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          46   63  -12      10.49    85.11     5.40    63.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Torquay          46   61   +4     -10.80    15.48    -9.19    61.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   46   59   -1      -5.03    31.45    -2.72    59.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     46   58   -9      -0.83    47.24    -1.98    58.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster    46   57   -9      -5.67    29.18    -8.61    57.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham       46   56  -19       5.92    72.30     1.72    56.00     0.00   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot        46   53  -10      -9.77    17.16    -9.72    53.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport        46   51  -25       1.77    57.93    -3.22    51.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Welling          46   45  -21      -7.39    23.28    -4.31    45.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town    46   45  -41      -0.55    48.89   -10.77    45.00     0.00   -41.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Telford      46   39  -26      -8.60    19.98     0.34    39.00     0.00   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Dartford         46   39  -30      -7.67    21.79    -4.63    39.00     0.00   -30.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Nuneaton         46   39  -38      -5.98    26.66   -10.92    39.00     0.00   -38.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00