Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 18 May 2015 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 18 May 2015, West_Brom 3 0 Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Chelsea          37   84  +39       9.13    86.31     1.74    86.46     1.00    40.74   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         37   76  +43      -2.39    37.72    -3.60    78.12     1.21    44.18     0.00    91.73   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          36   71  +32       3.36    64.94     3.61    75.67     1.56    35.07     0.00     8.27    99.36   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          37   69  +25       1.38    55.66    -0.74    70.90     1.26    25.75     0.00     0.00     0.64   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        37   62   +9      -1.45    43.01   -10.12    63.54     1.31     9.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.36     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        37   61   +4       5.31    72.08    -2.49    62.10     1.26     3.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.24     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      37   60  +23       0.73    53.18    10.64    60.68     1.08    21.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.40     0.00     0.00  
Swansea          37   56   -2       6.71    77.70     1.21    57.31     1.29    -2.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            37   51   -2       3.84    67.49     3.60    52.19     1.27    -2.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          37   47   -1      -8.59    16.75    -7.61    48.66     1.32    -0.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         37   47   -1      -0.40    48.80     4.59    48.37     1.30    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   37   45   -5       2.82    63.63     8.58    46.41     1.30    -4.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        37   44  -10      -0.55    48.24    -0.08    44.53     0.96   -11.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        37   38  -13      -3.73    34.40     2.14    39.84     1.29   -12.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa      37   38  -25       1.17    56.70    -2.78    39.64     1.28   -24.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       36   37  -20      -1.72    42.67    -3.88    37.83     1.22   -23.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.64R    0.00  
Newcastle        37   36  -25      -2.74    38.05    -4.28    37.36     1.30   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.90R    0.00  
Hull             37   34  -18      -4.07    31.96     1.07    34.84     1.14   -18.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.45R    0.00  
Burnley          37   30  -26      -5.19    26.96    -2.32    31.07     1.22   -26.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   35.16  
QPR              37   30  -27      -4.69    29.27     0.73    30.92     1.20   -27.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   64.84  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 May 2015, Blackburn 3 2 Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Bournemouth     46   90  +53       7.18    75.74    22.24    90.00     0.00    53.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Watford         46   89  +41       6.83    74.31    11.21    89.00     0.00    41.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich         46   86  +40       0.95    52.92     6.50    86.00     0.00    40.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    38.56P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   46   85  +31       8.47    79.64    11.53    85.00     0.00    31.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    29.35P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       46   78  +19       9.30    80.93    11.03    78.00     0.00    19.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    16.36P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         46   78  +18       8.07    78.29     8.05    78.00     0.00    18.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    15.73P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   46   78  +14       5.93    71.23     0.84    78.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby           46   77  +29      -2.32    40.98     4.03    77.00     0.00    29.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       46   67   +7      -0.41    48.81     0.95    67.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      46   63  -10       6.04    72.72    -0.21    63.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         46   62   -4      -0.88    47.06    -3.53    62.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Charlton        46   60   -6       2.95    62.14     2.76    60.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       46   60   -6       1.42    56.21    -0.02    60.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   46   59   +2      -5.29    30.72     1.10    59.00     0.00     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    46   56  -11      -0.43    48.63    -0.88    56.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    46   55  -17       1.36    55.89    -1.36    55.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          46   52  -21      -6.33    27.47   -11.86    52.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          46   51  -13      -7.81    22.40    -6.02    51.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Reading         46   50  -21      -8.51    20.45   -13.66    50.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rotherham       46   49  -21       0.94    54.85     2.61    49.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brighton        46   47  -10     -15.42     6.17    -9.85    47.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Millwall        46   41  -34      -3.27    37.52    -4.86    41.00     0.00   -34.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Wigan           46   39  -25     -17.48     3.69   -15.74    39.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Blackpool       46   26  -55     -12.24     8.19   -14.87    26.00     0.00   -55.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 3 May 2015, Barnsley 5 0 Rochdale; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Bristol_City     46   99  +58      10.07    83.90    17.93    99.00     0.00    58.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          46   91  +57       2.41    58.67    17.19    91.00     0.00    57.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          46   89  +39       5.20    69.26     8.55    89.00     0.00    39.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    39.41P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          46   79  +19       4.20    65.60     1.80    79.00     0.00    19.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    24.52P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        46   71  +13      -0.65    47.47     0.56    71.00     0.00    13.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    21.35P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield     46   69  +13       1.38    55.31     6.55    69.00     0.00    13.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    14.71P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         46   65   +0       3.98    65.32     2.75    65.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         46   63   +6       0.88    53.41     8.47    63.00     0.00     6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     46   63   -3      -3.90    35.69    -8.50    63.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   46   63   -3       7.30    76.23     7.33    63.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         46   62   +1      -4.54    33.86    -3.83    62.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       46   62   -1       2.64    60.37     5.53    62.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        46   61   -4      -2.18    42.28    -4.01    61.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall          46   59   -4      -2.65    40.22    -2.47    59.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           46   57  -13       1.67    57.28    -1.54    57.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       46   56  -13       0.17    51.16    -0.74    56.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         46   55  -11      -4.61    33.13    -5.54    55.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        46   54  -10      -1.99    42.79     1.20    54.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Colchester       46   52  -19      -1.42    45.13    -3.44    52.00     0.00   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe            46   52  -32       6.26    74.46    -4.80    52.00     0.00   -32.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     46   50  -18      -5.33    30.48    -6.33    50.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Crawley_Town     46   50  -26      -1.53    44.62    -7.91    50.00     0.00   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    46   49  -10     -16.84     5.27   -13.65    49.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Yeovil           46   40  -39      -7.04    24.57   -15.08    40.00     0.00   -39.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 May 2015, AFC_Wimbledon 1 1 Cheltenham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Burton_Albion        46   94  +30      18.36    96.58    11.52    94.00     0.00    30.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           46   89  +36       5.34    69.99     6.74    89.00     0.00    36.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 46   85  +20      11.19    86.13     4.14    85.00     0.00    20.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              46   84  +22      13.59    90.58    10.84    84.00     0.00    22.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    24.90P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             46   84  +16      10.51    84.87     0.71    84.00     0.00    16.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    29.54P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            46   72   +8       1.37    55.12    -3.41    72.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    22.82P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             46   71  +18       2.89    60.95     9.99    71.00     0.00    18.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    22.74P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                46   68  +10       1.59    56.45     4.36    68.00     0.00    10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       46   65   -3       7.02    75.91     3.69    65.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Exeter               46   64   -4       1.96    57.87    -2.58    64.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            46   63   +1       2.17    58.92     3.54    63.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton          46   61   +5      -1.54    44.40     5.63    61.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           46   61   +1      -2.45    40.67    -0.52    61.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            46   59   -1      -1.83    43.35     1.91    59.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        46   58   -6       0.68    53.07     1.97    58.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           46   57   -2      -6.27    27.47    -2.82    57.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   46   56  -19       1.93    58.04    -5.06    56.00     0.00   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
York                 46   52   -5      -8.89    19.10    -3.26    52.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        46   51   -5      -4.40    34.08     6.21    51.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             46   50  -18      -7.76    23.05    -9.87    50.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            46   48  -24      -1.64    44.11    -5.67    48.00     0.00   -24.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool           46   45  -31      -5.52    29.09   -13.62    45.00     0.00   -31.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           46   41  -27     -10.00    15.56   -10.11    41.00     0.00   -27.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Tranmere             46   39  -22     -18.43     3.33   -14.34    39.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 April 2015, AFC_Telford 1 2 Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barnet           46   92  +48       6.44    73.47    13.03    92.00     0.00    48.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   46   91  +39       2.10    57.63     0.78    91.00     0.00    39.00     0.00   100.00    39.85P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          46   86  +34       4.30    66.30     6.50    86.00     0.00    34.00     0.00   100.00    30.40P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        46   82  +26      10.00    82.37    12.34    82.00     0.00    26.00     0.00   100.00    13.78P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     46   82  +26       5.56    70.33     5.45    82.00     0.00    26.00     0.00   100.00    15.97P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     46   78  +14       9.60    82.41     5.93    78.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking           46   76  +25       4.52    66.78    12.25    76.00     0.00    25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   46   68  +11       3.66    63.46     9.32    68.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax          46   66   +6      -2.48    40.73    -2.08    66.00     0.00     6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        46   66   +4      -1.29    45.34    -2.32    66.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          46   66   +4      -1.23    45.31    -2.46    66.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          46   63  -12      10.42    85.02     5.30    63.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Torquay          46   61   +4     -10.84    15.62    -9.20    61.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   46   59   -1      -5.11    30.91    -2.93    59.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     46   58   -9      -0.75    47.65    -1.86    58.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster    46   57   -9      -5.53    29.71    -8.38    57.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham       46   56  -19       5.92    72.78     1.69    56.00     0.00   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot        46   53  -10      -9.71    17.31    -9.65    53.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport        46   51  -25       1.78    58.08    -3.25    51.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Welling          46   45  -21      -7.49    22.84    -4.49    45.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town    46   45  -41      -0.78    47.76   -11.23    45.00     0.00   -41.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Telford      46   39  -26      -8.46    20.38     0.64    39.00     0.00   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Dartford         46   39  -30      -7.49    22.23    -4.40    39.00     0.00   -30.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Nuneaton         46   39  -38      -6.03    26.93   -10.97    39.00     0.00   -38.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00