Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 17 May 2015 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 17 May 2015, Man_Utd 1 1 Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Chelsea          36   84  +42      10.08    89.34     3.85    88.52     1.58    44.76   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         37   76  +43      -2.26    38.14    -3.32    78.12     1.21    44.17     0.00    91.51   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          36   71  +32       3.29    64.45     3.52    75.68     1.55    35.10     0.00     8.49    99.43   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          37   69  +25       1.38    55.88    -0.72    70.92     1.25    25.78     0.00     0.00     0.57   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        37   62   +9      -1.46    43.18   -10.16    63.54     1.31     9.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.33     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        37   61   +4       5.21    71.93    -2.63    62.10     1.27     3.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.24     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      37   60  +23       0.78    53.52    10.77    60.68     1.09    21.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.44     0.00     0.00  
Swansea          37   56   -2       6.50    76.90     0.87    57.32     1.29    -2.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            37   51   -2       3.92    67.88     3.74    52.18     1.27    -2.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          37   47   -1      -8.52    17.26    -7.42    48.65     1.32    -0.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         37   47   -1      -0.33    48.99     4.64    48.36     1.30    -1.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   37   45   -5       2.90    63.96     8.73    46.40     1.30    -4.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        36   41  -13      -1.47    43.72    -1.97    42.24     1.45   -15.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leicester        37   38  -13      -3.86    33.71     1.97    39.84     1.29   -12.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa      37   38  -25       1.18    56.60    -2.71    39.62     1.28   -24.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sunderland       36   37  -20      -1.77    42.40    -3.96    37.81     1.20   -23.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.66R    0.00  
Newcastle        37   36  -25      -2.93    37.20    -4.50    37.37     1.30   -24.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.57R    0.00  
Hull             37   34  -18      -4.09    31.86     0.97    34.83     1.14   -18.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.77R    0.00  
Burnley          37   30  -26      -5.17    26.79    -2.28    31.08     1.22   -26.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   34.79  
QPR              37   30  -27      -4.75    29.11     0.60    30.92     1.20   -27.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   65.21  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 May 2015, Blackburn 3 2 Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Bournemouth     46   90  +53       7.22    75.58    22.22    90.00     0.00    53.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Watford         46   89  +41       6.69    73.79    11.10    89.00     0.00    41.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich         46   86  +40       0.81    52.60     6.33    86.00     0.00    40.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    38.84P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   46   85  +31       8.46    79.64    11.55    85.00     0.00    31.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    29.51P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       46   78  +19       9.36    80.96    11.13    78.00     0.00    19.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    15.93P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         46   78  +18       7.98    77.78     7.93    78.00     0.00    18.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    15.72P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   46   78  +14       6.13    71.87     1.16    78.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby           46   77  +29      -2.26    41.10     4.18    77.00     0.00    29.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       46   67   +7      -0.41    48.71     1.02    67.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      46   63  -10       5.86    72.00    -0.51    63.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         46   62   -4      -0.90    46.95    -3.51    62.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Charlton        46   60   -6       2.97    62.20     2.78    60.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       46   60   -6       1.58    56.85     0.14    60.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   46   59   +2      -5.68    29.61     0.46    59.00     0.00     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    46   56  -11      -0.47    48.78    -0.95    56.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    46   55  -17       1.41    56.14    -1.29    55.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          46   52  -21      -6.21    28.08   -11.62    52.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          46   51  -13      -7.82    22.38    -6.07    51.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Reading         46   50  -21      -8.33    20.69   -13.45    50.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rotherham       46   49  -21       1.02    55.20     2.69    49.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brighton        46   47  -10     -15.26     6.23    -9.67    47.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Millwall        46   41  -34      -3.46    36.88    -5.21    41.00     0.00   -34.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Wigan           46   39  -25     -17.41     3.82   -15.69    39.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Blackpool       46   26  -55     -12.20     8.20   -14.71    26.00     0.00   -55.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 3 May 2015, Barnsley 5 0 Rochdale; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Bristol_City     46   99  +58      10.03    83.83    17.90    99.00     0.00    58.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          46   91  +57       2.47    58.84    17.32    91.00     0.00    57.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          46   89  +39       5.21    68.92     8.59    89.00     0.00    39.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    39.03P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          46   79  +19       4.11    65.17     1.58    79.00     0.00    19.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    24.42P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        46   71  +13      -0.51    48.07     0.77    71.00     0.00    13.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    21.35P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield     46   69  +13       0.94    53.69     5.92    69.00     0.00    13.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    15.21P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         46   65   +0       4.11    65.62     2.92    65.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         46   63   +6       0.75    53.11     8.31    63.00     0.00     6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     46   63   -3      -4.10    35.15    -8.78    63.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   46   63   -3       7.61    77.11     7.71    63.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         46   62   +1      -4.35    34.48    -3.58    62.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       46   62   -1       2.78    60.81     5.77    62.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        46   61   -4      -2.28    41.86    -4.16    61.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall          46   59   -4      -2.58    40.56    -2.38    59.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           46   57  -13       1.65    57.20    -1.56    57.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       46   56  -13       0.46    52.28    -0.24    56.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         46   55  -11      -4.39    34.06    -5.21    55.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        46   54  -10      -2.36    41.35     0.69    54.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Colchester       46   52  -19      -1.44    45.09    -3.49    52.00     0.00   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe            46   52  -32       6.12    74.11    -5.07    52.00     0.00   -32.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     46   50  -18      -5.25    30.76    -6.19    50.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Crawley_Town     46   50  -26      -1.77    43.62    -8.23    50.00     0.00   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    46   49  -10     -16.99     5.05   -13.90    49.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Yeovil           46   40  -39      -6.80    25.36   -14.68    40.00     0.00   -39.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 May 2015, AFC_Wimbledon 1 1 Cheltenham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Burton_Albion        46   94  +30      18.48    96.42    11.69    94.00     0.00    30.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           46   89  +36       5.36    69.90     6.72    89.00     0.00    36.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 46   85  +20      11.32    86.80     4.32    85.00     0.00    20.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              46   84  +22      13.55    90.53    10.77    84.00     0.00    22.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.40P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             46   84  +16      10.32    84.37     0.53    84.00     0.00    16.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    29.97P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            46   72   +8       1.75    56.63    -2.84    72.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    22.16P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             46   71  +18       2.95    61.50    10.05    71.00     0.00    18.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    22.47P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                46   68  +10       1.48    55.97     4.30    68.00     0.00    10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       46   65   -3       6.99    75.70     3.67    65.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Exeter               46   64   -4       1.92    57.63    -2.64    64.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            46   63   +1       1.91    57.48     3.17    63.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton          46   61   +5      -1.70    44.00     5.32    61.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           46   61   +1      -2.89    38.95    -1.09    61.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            46   59   -1      -1.84    43.31     1.90    59.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        46   58   -6       0.51    52.62     1.73    58.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           46   57   -2      -6.34    27.02    -2.92    57.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   46   56  -19       1.87    57.92    -5.11    56.00     0.00   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
York                 46   52   -5      -8.70    19.36    -3.06    52.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        46   51   -5      -4.46    33.68     6.07    51.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             46   50  -18      -7.58    23.77    -9.53    50.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            46   48  -24      -1.53    44.55    -5.49    48.00     0.00   -24.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool           46   45  -31      -5.39    29.58   -13.43    45.00     0.00   -31.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           46   41  -27      -9.91    15.85    -9.97    41.00     0.00   -27.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Tranmere             46   39  -22     -18.28     3.59   -14.17    39.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 April 2015, AFC_Telford 1 2 Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barnet           46   92  +48       6.85    74.81    13.67    92.00     0.00    48.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   46   91  +39       2.44    59.18     1.28    91.00     0.00    39.00     0.00   100.00    39.18P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          46   86  +34       4.14    65.52     6.27    86.00     0.00    34.00     0.00   100.00    30.81P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        46   82  +26       9.65    81.13    11.78    82.00     0.00    26.00     0.00   100.00    13.92P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     46   82  +26       5.56    70.34     5.46    82.00     0.00    26.00     0.00   100.00    16.08P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     46   78  +14       9.75    82.87     6.10    78.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking           46   76  +25       4.46    66.60    12.18    76.00     0.00    25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   46   68  +11       3.37    62.34     8.85    68.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax          46   66   +6      -2.43    41.05    -2.03    66.00     0.00     6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        46   66   +4      -1.48    44.48    -2.54    66.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          46   66   +4      -1.56    44.11    -2.94    66.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          46   63  -12      10.17    84.37     4.87    63.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Torquay          46   61   +4     -10.75    15.47    -9.08    61.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   46   59   -1      -4.84    32.19    -2.50    59.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     46   58   -9      -0.89    46.85    -2.14    58.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster    46   57   -9      -5.52    29.59    -8.44    57.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham       46   56  -19       6.03    72.71     1.85    56.00     0.00   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot        46   53  -10      -9.48    17.93    -9.29    53.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport        46   51  -25       1.84    58.19    -3.08    51.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Welling          46   45  -21      -7.12    24.24    -3.94    45.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town    46   45  -41      -0.79    47.74   -11.17    45.00     0.00   -41.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Telford      46   39  -26      -8.40    20.95     0.72    39.00     0.00   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Dartford         46   39  -30      -7.70    21.52    -4.76    39.00     0.00   -30.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Nuneaton         46   39  -38      -6.12    26.40   -11.13    39.00     0.00   -38.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00