Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 15 May 2015 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 11 May 2015, Arsenal 0 1 Swansea; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Chelsea          36   84  +42      10.07    89.39     3.85    88.52     1.58    44.78   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         36   73  +41      -3.22    33.23    -3.94    77.03     1.75    42.97     0.00    75.19    99.36   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          35   70  +32       3.61    66.01     3.40    75.91     2.02    34.89     0.00    24.63    93.45   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          36   68  +25       1.95    58.17    -0.50    71.46     1.84    26.03     0.00     0.18     7.19   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        36   62  +11      -0.33    48.16    -8.60    65.77     1.76    12.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.79     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        36   58   +2       4.78    70.60    -2.75    61.15     1.76     2.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.57     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      36   57  +18       1.42    56.44     9.07    59.70     1.62    17.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.91     0.00     0.00  
Swansea          36   56   +0       7.08    79.30     1.51    58.24     1.76    -0.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.73     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            36   50   -2       4.14    68.93     3.56    52.63     1.81    -2.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         36   47   +0       0.83    54.27     5.34    49.75     1.84     0.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          36   44   -2      -9.83    13.25    -7.97    46.97     1.85    -1.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   36   42   -7       1.84    59.49     7.37    43.95     1.65    -8.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        36   41  -13      -1.48    43.90    -2.04    42.24     1.45   -15.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa      36   38  -20       0.69    54.44    -1.13    40.37     1.68   -20.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.66R    0.00  
Leicester        36   37  -13      -3.82    33.56     1.58    40.12     1.82   -12.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.39R    0.00  
Sunderland       35   36  -20      -1.48    43.77    -3.99    38.27     1.78   -23.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.16R    0.00  
Newcastle        36   36  -24      -1.89    41.76    -4.13    38.64     1.84   -24.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.65R    0.00  
Hull             36   34  -16      -3.61    33.38     1.60    35.56     1.59   -17.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.15R    0.00  
Burnley          36   29  -26      -5.05    27.25    -2.42    31.27     1.75   -26.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   24.46  
QPR              36   27  -28      -6.00    23.45     0.18    29.37     1.79   -28.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   75.54  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 May 2015, Blackburn 3 2 Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Bournemouth     46   90  +53       7.12    75.33    22.14    90.00     0.00    53.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Watford         46   89  +41       6.55    73.61    10.84    89.00     0.00    41.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich         46   86  +40       0.91    52.90     6.39    86.00     0.00    40.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    39.32P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   46   85  +31       8.48    79.63    11.57    85.00     0.00    31.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    28.88P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       46   78  +19       9.34    81.03    11.03    78.00     0.00    19.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    16.08P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         46   78  +18       7.97    77.72     7.96    78.00     0.00    18.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    15.72P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   46   78  +14       5.84    70.75     0.77    78.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby           46   77  +29      -2.14    41.72     4.32    77.00     0.00    29.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       46   67   +7      -0.22    49.44     1.26    67.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      46   63  -10       6.00    72.33    -0.23    63.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         46   62   -4      -0.74    47.70    -3.26    62.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Charlton        46   60   -6       2.91    61.70     2.71    60.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       46   60   -6       1.46    56.34    -0.01    60.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   46   59   +2      -5.69    29.48     0.48    59.00     0.00     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    46   56  -11      -0.57    48.12    -1.04    56.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    46   55  -17       1.15    55.21    -1.69    55.00     0.00   -17.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          46   52  -21      -6.19    28.57   -11.55    52.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          46   51  -13      -7.82    22.35    -6.07    51.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Reading         46   50  -21      -8.19    21.09   -13.29    50.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rotherham       46   49  -21       1.11    55.47     2.75    49.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brighton        46   47  -10     -15.44     5.90    -9.90    47.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Millwall        46   41  -34      -3.26    37.39    -4.86    41.00     0.00   -34.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Wigan           46   39  -25     -17.33     3.88   -15.57    39.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Blackpool       46   26  -55     -12.21     8.17   -14.72    26.00     0.00   -55.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 3 May 2015, Barnsley 5 0 Rochdale; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Bristol_City     46   99  +58      10.10    84.03    18.02    99.00     0.00    58.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          46   91  +57       2.66    59.55    17.67    91.00     0.00    57.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          46   89  +39       5.01    68.68     8.25    89.00     0.00    39.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    39.04P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          46   79  +19       4.08    64.91     1.56    79.00     0.00    19.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    24.65P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        46   71  +13      -0.56    48.11     0.74    71.00     0.00    13.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    21.48P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield     46   69  +13       1.31    55.04     6.43    69.00     0.00    13.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    14.83P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         46   65   +0       4.30    66.42     3.18    65.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         46   63   +6       0.88    53.72     8.49    63.00     0.00     6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     46   63   -3      -3.74    36.18    -8.28    63.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   46   63   -3       7.50    76.89     7.55    63.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         46   62   +1      -4.71    32.96    -4.08    62.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       46   62   -1       2.78    60.92     5.75    62.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        46   61   -4      -2.04    42.66    -3.82    61.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall          46   59   -4      -2.80    39.47    -2.67    59.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           46   57  -13       1.60    56.88    -1.63    57.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       46   56  -13       0.31    51.83    -0.51    56.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         46   55  -11      -4.82    32.73    -5.82    55.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        46   54  -10      -2.23    41.93     0.86    54.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Colchester       46   52  -19      -1.59    44.27    -3.65    52.00     0.00   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe            46   52  -32       6.18    74.17    -5.00    52.00     0.00   -32.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     46   50  -18      -5.20    31.04    -6.17    50.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Crawley_Town     46   50  -26      -1.60    44.52    -8.08    50.00     0.00   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    46   49  -10     -16.79     5.50   -13.60    49.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Yeovil           46   40  -39      -7.12    24.20   -15.19    40.00     0.00   -39.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 May 2015, AFC_Wimbledon 1 1 Cheltenham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Burton_Albion        46   94  +30      18.26    96.39    11.42    94.00     0.00    30.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           46   89  +36       5.47    70.39     6.86    89.00     0.00    36.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 46   85  +20      11.29    86.58     4.25    85.00     0.00    20.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              46   84  +22      13.51    90.47    10.76    84.00     0.00    22.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.69P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             46   84  +16      10.48    84.90     0.69    84.00     0.00    16.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    29.45P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            46   72   +8       1.65    55.93    -3.02    72.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    22.62P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             46   71  +18       3.14    61.94    10.34    71.00     0.00    18.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    22.24P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                46   68  +10       1.59    56.27     4.41    68.00     0.00    10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       46   65   -3       7.14    76.06     3.87    65.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Exeter               46   64   -4       1.99    57.89    -2.50    64.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            46   63   +1       2.23    59.16     3.55    63.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton          46   61   +5      -1.97    42.82     4.96    61.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           46   61   +1      -2.78    39.56    -0.98    61.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            46   59   -1      -1.99    42.68     1.62    59.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        46   58   -6       0.84    53.76     2.23    58.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           46   57   -2      -6.12    28.12    -2.61    57.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   46   56  -19       1.91    58.01    -5.02    56.00     0.00   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
York                 46   52   -5      -8.71    19.43    -3.03    52.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        46   51   -5      -4.56    33.41     5.95    51.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             46   50  -18      -7.85    22.93    -9.95    50.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            46   48  -24      -1.87    43.26    -6.03    48.00     0.00   -24.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool           46   45  -31      -5.40    29.52   -13.46    45.00     0.00   -31.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           46   41  -27     -10.05    15.26   -10.17    41.00     0.00   -27.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Tranmere             46   39  -22     -18.33     3.42   -14.14    39.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 April 2015, AFC_Telford 1 2 Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barnet           46   92  +48       6.52    73.75    13.15    92.00     0.00    48.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   46   91  +39       2.19    57.98     0.96    91.00     0.00    39.00     0.00   100.00    39.89P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          46   86  +34       4.24    65.83     6.38    86.00     0.00    34.00     0.00   100.00    30.29P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        46   82  +26       9.86    81.63    12.07    82.00     0.00    26.00     0.00   100.00    14.05P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     46   82  +26       5.63    70.26     5.49    82.00     0.00    26.00     0.00   100.00    15.77P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     46   78  +14       9.64    82.30     5.98    78.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking           46   76  +25       4.61    67.11    12.46    76.00     0.00    25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   46   68  +11       3.47    62.84     8.99    68.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax          46   66   +6      -2.23    41.65    -1.74    66.00     0.00     6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        46   66   +4      -1.47    44.58    -2.57    66.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          46   66   +4      -1.42    44.80    -2.70    66.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          46   63  -12      10.52    85.05     5.48    63.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Torquay          46   61   +4     -10.94    14.93    -9.37    61.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   46   59   -1      -4.98    31.69    -2.76    59.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     46   58   -9      -0.77    47.49    -1.92    58.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster    46   57   -9      -5.82    28.90    -8.83    57.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham       46   56  -19       6.25    73.39     2.25    56.00     0.00   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot        46   53  -10      -9.51    17.95    -9.37    53.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport        46   51  -25       1.88    58.42    -3.08    51.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Welling          46   45  -21      -7.32    23.32    -4.25    45.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town    46   45  -41      -0.79    47.89   -11.16    45.00     0.00   -41.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Telford      46   39  -26      -8.46    20.19     0.62    39.00     0.00   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Dartford         46   39  -30      -7.68    21.60    -4.75    39.00     0.00   -30.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Nuneaton         46   39  -38      -6.22    25.99   -11.32    39.00     0.00   -38.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00