Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Friday 15 May 2015 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 11 May 2015, Arsenal 0 1 Swansea; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 36 84 +42 10.07 89.39 3.85 88.52 1.58 44.78 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 36 73 +41 -3.22 33.23 -3.94 77.03 1.75 42.97 0.00 75.19 99.36 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 35 70 +32 3.61 66.01 3.40 75.91 2.02 34.89 0.00 24.63 93.45 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 36 68 +25 1.95 58.17 -0.50 71.46 1.84 26.03 0.00 0.18 7.19 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 36 62 +11 -0.33 48.16 -8.60 65.77 1.76 12.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.79 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 36 58 +2 4.78 70.60 -2.75 61.15 1.76 2.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 64.57 0.00 0.00 Southampton 36 57 +18 1.42 56.44 9.07 59.70 1.62 17.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 28.91 0.00 0.00 Swansea 36 56 +0 7.08 79.30 1.51 58.24 1.76 -0.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.73 0.00 0.00 Stoke 36 50 -2 4.14 68.93 3.56 52.63 1.81 -2.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 36 47 +0 0.83 54.27 5.34 49.75 1.84 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Everton 36 44 -2 -9.83 13.25 -7.97 46.97 1.85 -1.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Crystal_Palace 36 42 -7 1.84 59.49 7.37 43.95 1.65 -8.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 West_Brom 36 41 -13 -1.48 43.90 -2.04 42.24 1.45 -15.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Aston_Villa 36 38 -20 0.69 54.44 -1.13 40.37 1.68 -20.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.66R 0.00 Leicester 36 37 -13 -3.82 33.56 1.58 40.12 1.82 -12.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.39R 0.00 Sunderland 35 36 -20 -1.48 43.77 -3.99 38.27 1.78 -23.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 13.16R 0.00 Newcastle 36 36 -24 -1.89 41.76 -4.13 38.64 1.84 -24.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.65R 0.00 Hull 36 34 -16 -3.61 33.38 1.60 35.56 1.59 -17.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 74.15R 0.00 Burnley 36 29 -26 -5.05 27.25 -2.42 31.27 1.75 -26.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 24.46 QPR 36 27 -28 -6.00 23.45 0.18 29.37 1.79 -28.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 75.54Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 May 2015, Blackburn 3 2 Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Bournemouth 46 90 +53 7.12 75.33 22.14 90.00 0.00 53.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Watford 46 89 +41 6.55 73.61 10.84 89.00 0.00 41.00 0.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Norwich 46 86 +40 0.91 52.90 6.39 86.00 0.00 40.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 39.32P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 46 85 +31 8.48 79.63 11.57 85.00 0.00 31.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 28.88P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 46 78 +19 9.34 81.03 11.03 78.00 0.00 19.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 16.08P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 46 78 +18 7.97 77.72 7.96 78.00 0.00 18.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 15.72P 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 46 78 +14 5.84 70.75 0.77 78.00 0.00 14.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Derby 46 77 +29 -2.14 41.72 4.32 77.00 0.00 29.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Blackburn 46 67 +7 -0.22 49.44 1.26 67.00 0.00 7.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 46 63 -10 6.00 72.33 -0.23 63.00 0.00 -10.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 46 62 -4 -0.74 47.70 -3.26 62.00 0.00 -4.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Charlton 46 60 -6 2.91 61.70 2.71 60.00 0.00 -6.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 46 60 -6 1.46 56.34 -0.01 60.00 0.00 -6.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 46 59 +2 -5.69 29.48 0.48 59.00 0.00 2.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 46 56 -11 -0.57 48.12 -1.04 56.00 0.00 -11.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 46 55 -17 1.15 55.21 -1.69 55.00 0.00 -17.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fulham 46 52 -21 -6.19 28.57 -11.55 52.00 0.00 -21.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bolton 46 51 -13 -7.82 22.35 -6.07 51.00 0.00 -13.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Reading 46 50 -21 -8.19 21.09 -13.29 50.00 0.00 -21.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 46 49 -21 1.11 55.47 2.75 49.00 0.00 -21.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Brighton 46 47 -10 -15.44 5.90 -9.90 47.00 0.00 -10.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Millwall 46 41 -34 -3.26 37.39 -4.86 41.00 0.00 -34.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Wigan 46 39 -25 -17.33 3.88 -15.57 39.00 0.00 -25.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Blackpool 46 26 -55 -12.21 8.17 -14.72 26.00 0.00 -55.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 3 May 2015, Barnsley 5 0 Rochdale; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Bristol_City 46 99 +58 10.10 84.03 18.02 99.00 0.00 58.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 46 91 +57 2.66 59.55 17.67 91.00 0.00 57.00 0.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Preston 46 89 +39 5.01 68.68 8.25 89.00 0.00 39.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 39.04P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 46 79 +19 4.08 64.91 1.56 79.00 0.00 19.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 24.65P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 46 71 +13 -0.56 48.11 0.74 71.00 0.00 13.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 21.48P 0.00 0.00 Chesterfield 46 69 +13 1.31 55.04 6.43 69.00 0.00 13.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 14.83P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 46 65 +0 4.30 66.42 3.18 65.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 46 63 +6 0.88 53.72 8.49 63.00 0.00 6.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 46 63 -3 -3.74 36.18 -8.28 63.00 0.00 -3.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 46 63 -3 7.50 76.89 7.55 63.00 0.00 -3.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Barnsley 46 62 +1 -4.71 32.96 -4.08 62.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 46 62 -1 2.78 60.92 5.75 62.00 0.00 -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Doncaster 46 61 -4 -2.04 42.66 -3.82 61.00 0.00 -4.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Walsall 46 59 -4 -2.80 39.47 -2.67 59.00 0.00 -4.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Oldham 46 57 -13 1.60 56.88 -1.63 57.00 0.00 -13.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Scunthorpe 46 56 -13 0.31 51.83 -0.51 56.00 0.00 -13.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Coventry 46 55 -11 -4.82 32.73 -5.82 55.00 0.00 -11.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Port_Vale 46 54 -10 -2.23 41.93 0.86 54.00 0.00 -10.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Colchester 46 52 -19 -1.59 44.27 -3.65 52.00 0.00 -19.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Crewe 46 52 -32 6.18 74.17 -5.00 52.00 0.00 -32.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Notts_County 46 50 -18 -5.20 31.04 -6.17 50.00 0.00 -18.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Crawley_Town 46 50 -26 -1.60 44.52 -8.08 50.00 0.00 -26.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Leyton_Orient 46 49 -10 -16.79 5.50 -13.60 49.00 0.00 -10.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Yeovil 46 40 -39 -7.12 24.20 -15.19 40.00 0.00 -39.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 May 2015, AFC_Wimbledon 1 1 Cheltenham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Burton_Albion 46 94 +30 18.26 96.39 11.42 94.00 0.00 30.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 46 89 +36 5.47 70.39 6.86 89.00 0.00 36.00 0.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Bury 46 85 +20 11.29 86.58 4.25 85.00 0.00 20.00 0.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 46 84 +22 13.51 90.47 10.76 84.00 0.00 22.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 25.69P 0.00 0.00 Southend 46 84 +16 10.48 84.90 0.69 84.00 0.00 16.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 29.45P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 46 72 +8 1.65 55.93 -3.02 72.00 0.00 8.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 22.62P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 46 71 +18 3.14 61.94 10.34 71.00 0.00 18.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 22.24P 0.00 0.00 Luton 46 68 +10 1.59 56.27 4.41 68.00 0.00 10.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 46 65 -3 7.14 76.06 3.87 65.00 0.00 -3.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Exeter 46 64 -4 1.99 57.89 -2.50 64.00 0.00 -4.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Morecambe 46 63 +1 2.23 59.16 3.55 63.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Northampton 46 61 +5 -1.97 42.82 4.96 61.00 0.00 5.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 46 61 +1 -2.78 39.56 -0.98 61.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 46 59 -1 -1.99 42.68 1.62 59.00 0.00 -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 46 58 -6 0.84 53.76 2.23 58.00 0.00 -6.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 46 57 -2 -6.12 28.12 -2.61 57.00 0.00 -2.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 46 56 -19 1.91 58.01 -5.02 56.00 0.00 -19.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 York 46 52 -5 -8.71 19.43 -3.03 52.00 0.00 -5.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 46 51 -5 -4.56 33.41 5.95 51.00 0.00 -5.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 46 50 -18 -7.85 22.93 -9.95 50.00 0.00 -18.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 46 48 -24 -1.87 43.26 -6.03 48.00 0.00 -24.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Hartlepool 46 45 -31 -5.40 29.52 -13.46 45.00 0.00 -31.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Cheltenham 46 41 -27 -10.05 15.26 -10.17 41.00 0.00 -27.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Tranmere 46 39 -22 -18.33 3.42 -14.14 39.00 0.00 -22.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00Conference (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 April 2015, AFC_Telford 1 2 Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Barnet 46 92 +48 6.52 73.75 13.15 92.00 0.00 48.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 46 91 +39 2.19 57.98 0.96 91.00 0.00 39.00 0.00 100.00 39.89P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 46 86 +34 4.24 65.83 6.38 86.00 0.00 34.00 0.00 100.00 30.29P 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 46 82 +26 9.86 81.63 12.07 82.00 0.00 26.00 0.00 100.00 14.05P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 46 82 +26 5.63 70.26 5.49 82.00 0.00 26.00 0.00 100.00 15.77P 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 46 78 +14 9.64 82.30 5.98 78.00 0.00 14.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Woking 46 76 +25 4.61 67.11 12.46 76.00 0.00 25.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 46 68 +11 3.47 62.84 8.99 68.00 0.00 11.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Halifax 46 66 +6 -2.23 41.65 -1.74 66.00 0.00 6.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 46 66 +4 -1.47 44.58 -2.57 66.00 0.00 4.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 46 66 +4 -1.42 44.80 -2.70 66.00 0.00 4.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Chester 46 63 -12 10.52 85.05 5.48 63.00 0.00 -12.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Torquay 46 61 +4 -10.94 14.93 -9.37 61.00 0.00 4.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Braintree_Town 46 59 -1 -4.98 31.69 -2.76 59.00 0.00 -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 46 58 -9 -0.77 47.49 -1.92 58.00 0.00 -9.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 46 57 -9 -5.82 28.90 -8.83 57.00 0.00 -9.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Altrincham 46 56 -19 6.25 73.39 2.25 56.00 0.00 -19.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 46 53 -10 -9.51 17.95 -9.37 53.00 0.00 -10.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Southport 46 51 -25 1.88 58.42 -3.08 51.00 0.00 -25.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Welling 46 45 -21 -7.32 23.32 -4.25 45.00 0.00 -21.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Alfreton_Town 46 45 -41 -0.79 47.89 -11.16 45.00 0.00 -41.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 AFC_Telford 46 39 -26 -8.46 20.19 0.62 39.00 0.00 -26.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Dartford 46 39 -30 -7.68 21.60 -4.75 39.00 0.00 -30.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Nuneaton 46 39 -38 -6.22 25.99 -11.32 39.00 0.00 -38.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00