Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Tuesday 12 May 2015 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 11 May 2015, Arsenal 0 1 Swansea; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 36 84 +42 10.01 89.23 3.76 88.53 1.57 44.80 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 36 73 +41 -3.09 34.19 -3.72 77.04 1.76 42.98 0.00 75.83 99.42 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 35 70 +32 3.75 66.61 3.69 75.87 2.01 34.82 0.00 23.93 93.16 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 36 68 +25 1.79 57.51 -0.68 71.48 1.83 26.06 0.00 0.24 7.42 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 36 62 +11 -0.42 47.59 -8.80 65.79 1.75 12.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.80 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 36 58 +2 4.66 70.21 -2.89 61.15 1.76 2.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 64.31 0.00 0.00 Southampton 36 57 +18 1.47 56.85 9.13 59.70 1.62 17.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 28.99 0.00 0.00 Swansea 36 56 +0 7.18 79.93 1.54 58.25 1.76 -0.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.89 0.00 0.00 Stoke 36 50 -2 4.21 69.31 3.71 52.59 1.79 -2.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 36 47 +0 0.81 54.14 5.29 49.74 1.84 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Everton 36 44 -2 -9.88 12.79 -8.11 46.98 1.86 -1.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Crystal_Palace 36 42 -7 1.86 59.62 7.35 43.93 1.65 -8.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 West_Brom 36 41 -13 -1.37 44.49 -1.86 42.25 1.46 -15.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Aston_Villa 36 38 -20 0.60 53.83 -1.24 40.37 1.68 -20.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.66R 0.00 Leicester 36 37 -13 -3.59 34.67 1.95 40.08 1.82 -12.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.29R 0.00 Sunderland 35 36 -20 -1.55 43.49 -4.07 38.29 1.78 -23.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.86R 0.00 Newcastle 36 36 -24 -1.86 42.20 -4.02 38.66 1.85 -24.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.79R 0.00 Hull 36 34 -16 -3.71 33.36 1.51 35.56 1.59 -17.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 74.40R 0.00 Burnley 36 29 -26 -5.10 27.16 -2.51 31.29 1.75 -26.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 24.67 QPR 36 27 -28 -6.08 23.00 -0.02 29.38 1.80 -28.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 75.33Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 May 2015, Blackburn 3 2 Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Bournemouth 46 90 +53 7.03 75.13 22.03 90.00 0.00 53.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Watford 46 89 +41 6.62 73.61 10.92 89.00 0.00 41.00 0.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Norwich 46 86 +40 1.07 53.68 6.71 86.00 0.00 40.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 38.93P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 46 85 +31 8.59 79.95 11.76 85.00 0.00 31.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 28.99P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 46 78 +19 9.47 81.06 11.27 78.00 0.00 19.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 16.17P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 46 78 +18 8.05 78.17 7.95 78.00 0.00 18.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 15.91P 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 46 78 +14 5.89 71.05 0.84 78.00 0.00 14.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Derby 46 77 +29 -2.43 40.76 3.94 77.00 0.00 29.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Blackburn 46 67 +7 -0.38 48.95 1.02 67.00 0.00 7.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 46 63 -10 5.87 72.17 -0.44 63.00 0.00 -10.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 46 62 -4 -0.81 47.56 -3.41 62.00 0.00 -4.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Charlton 46 60 -6 3.11 62.87 2.96 60.00 0.00 -6.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 46 60 -6 1.70 57.19 0.29 60.00 0.00 -6.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 46 59 +2 -5.72 29.34 0.46 59.00 0.00 2.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 46 56 -11 -0.67 47.94 -1.27 56.00 0.00 -11.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 45 54 -17 1.49 56.53 -1.53 55.55 1.32 -16.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fulham 46 52 -21 -6.25 28.15 -11.74 52.00 0.00 -21.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bolton 46 51 -13 -7.81 22.73 -6.02 51.00 0.00 -13.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Reading 46 50 -21 -8.29 20.91 -13.39 50.00 0.00 -21.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 46 49 -21 1.03 55.12 2.78 49.00 0.00 -21.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Brighton 46 47 -10 -15.05 6.44 -9.40 47.00 0.00 -10.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Millwall 46 41 -34 -3.32 37.26 -4.97 41.00 0.00 -34.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Wigan 46 39 -25 -17.36 3.69 -15.71 39.00 0.00 -25.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Blackpool 45 25 -55 -12.16 7.93 -15.06 26.19 1.28 -55.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 3 May 2015, Barnsley 5 0 Rochdale; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Bristol_City 46 99 +58 10.04 83.91 17.86 99.00 0.00 58.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 46 91 +57 2.36 58.56 17.12 91.00 0.00 57.00 0.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Preston 46 89 +39 5.22 69.42 8.55 89.00 0.00 39.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 39.63P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 46 79 +19 4.15 65.41 1.70 79.00 0.00 19.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 24.21P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 46 71 +13 -0.44 48.33 0.87 71.00 0.00 13.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 21.15P 0.00 0.00 Chesterfield 46 69 +13 1.38 55.37 6.52 69.00 0.00 13.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 15.01P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 46 65 +0 3.67 64.38 2.28 65.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 46 63 +6 0.65 52.70 8.16 63.00 0.00 6.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 46 63 -3 -3.85 35.82 -8.38 63.00 0.00 -3.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 46 63 -3 7.67 77.48 7.79 63.00 0.00 -3.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Barnsley 46 62 +1 -4.45 34.22 -3.70 62.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 46 62 -1 2.78 60.92 5.77 62.00 0.00 -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Doncaster 46 61 -4 -2.21 42.14 -4.08 61.00 0.00 -4.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Walsall 46 59 -4 -2.59 40.45 -2.37 59.00 0.00 -4.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Oldham 46 57 -13 1.78 57.59 -1.30 57.00 0.00 -13.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Scunthorpe 46 56 -13 0.42 52.65 -0.35 56.00 0.00 -13.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Coventry 46 55 -11 -4.67 32.87 -5.61 55.00 0.00 -11.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Port_Vale 46 54 -10 -2.32 41.51 0.74 54.00 0.00 -10.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Colchester 46 52 -19 -1.62 44.31 -3.74 52.00 0.00 -19.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Crewe 46 52 -32 6.02 73.69 -5.23 52.00 0.00 -32.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Notts_County 46 50 -18 -5.19 30.91 -6.11 50.00 0.00 -18.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Crawley_Town 46 50 -26 -1.45 44.99 -7.82 50.00 0.00 -26.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Leyton_Orient 46 49 -10 -16.79 5.35 -13.63 49.00 0.00 -10.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Yeovil 46 40 -39 -7.01 24.65 -15.02 40.00 0.00 -39.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 May 2015, AFC_Wimbledon 1 1 Cheltenham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Burton_Albion 46 94 +30 18.27 96.39 11.43 94.00 0.00 30.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 46 89 +36 5.34 69.71 6.78 89.00 0.00 36.00 0.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Bury 46 85 +20 11.14 86.01 4.08 85.00 0.00 20.00 0.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 46 84 +22 13.41 90.39 10.71 84.00 0.00 22.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 25.15P 0.00 0.00 Southend 46 84 +16 10.44 84.96 0.65 84.00 0.00 16.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 30.00P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 46 72 +8 1.61 56.28 -3.05 72.00 0.00 8.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 22.75P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 46 71 +18 3.12 62.22 10.28 71.00 0.00 18.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 22.10P 0.00 0.00 Luton 46 68 +10 1.61 56.24 4.43 68.00 0.00 10.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 46 65 -3 6.98 75.55 3.63 65.00 0.00 -3.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Exeter 46 64 -4 2.03 58.07 -2.46 64.00 0.00 -4.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Morecambe 46 63 +1 2.06 58.67 3.41 63.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Northampton 46 61 +5 -1.93 42.85 5.05 61.00 0.00 5.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 46 61 +1 -2.70 39.67 -0.85 61.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 46 59 -1 -1.81 43.43 1.93 59.00 0.00 -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 46 58 -6 0.72 53.42 1.99 58.00 0.00 -6.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 46 57 -2 -6.38 26.64 -2.96 57.00 0.00 -2.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 46 56 -19 2.13 58.82 -4.74 56.00 0.00 -19.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 York 46 52 -5 -8.81 19.04 -3.19 52.00 0.00 -5.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 46 51 -5 -4.34 34.02 6.26 51.00 0.00 -5.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 46 50 -18 -7.82 22.91 -9.95 50.00 0.00 -18.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 46 48 -24 -1.52 44.91 -5.52 48.00 0.00 -24.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Hartlepool 46 45 -31 -5.38 29.52 -13.44 45.00 0.00 -31.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Cheltenham 46 41 -27 -9.85 15.72 -9.88 41.00 0.00 -27.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Tranmere 46 39 -22 -18.53 3.24 -14.57 39.00 0.00 -22.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00Conference (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 April 2015, AFC_Telford 1 2 Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Barnet 46 92 +48 6.33 73.06 12.90 92.00 0.00 48.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 46 91 +39 2.38 58.62 1.14 91.00 0.00 39.00 0.00 100.00 39.43P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 46 86 +34 4.14 65.64 6.22 86.00 0.00 34.00 0.00 100.00 31.00P 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 46 82 +26 9.85 81.73 12.06 82.00 0.00 26.00 0.00 100.00 13.94P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 46 82 +26 5.68 70.61 5.58 82.00 0.00 26.00 0.00 100.00 15.64P 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 46 78 +14 9.88 82.92 6.33 78.00 0.00 14.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Woking 46 76 +25 4.52 66.57 12.22 76.00 0.00 25.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 46 68 +11 3.53 63.21 9.11 68.00 0.00 11.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Halifax 46 66 +6 -2.35 41.15 -1.91 66.00 0.00 6.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 46 66 +4 -1.52 44.34 -2.63 66.00 0.00 4.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 46 66 +4 -1.13 45.78 -2.28 66.00 0.00 4.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Chester 46 63 -12 10.46 84.99 5.29 63.00 0.00 -12.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Torquay 46 61 +4 -11.05 14.91 -9.59 61.00 0.00 4.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Braintree_Town 46 59 -1 -5.03 31.20 -2.75 59.00 0.00 -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 46 58 -9 -0.73 47.46 -1.78 58.00 0.00 -9.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 46 57 -9 -5.55 29.73 -8.44 57.00 0.00 -9.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Altrincham 46 56 -19 6.36 73.75 2.44 56.00 0.00 -19.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 46 53 -10 -9.65 17.44 -9.50 53.00 0.00 -10.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Southport 46 51 -25 1.86 58.41 -3.13 51.00 0.00 -25.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Welling 46 45 -21 -7.50 23.08 -4.48 45.00 0.00 -21.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Alfreton_Town 46 45 -41 -0.69 48.36 -10.99 45.00 0.00 -41.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 AFC_Telford 46 39 -26 -8.52 20.19 0.56 39.00 0.00 -26.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Dartford 46 39 -30 -7.77 21.58 -4.87 39.00 0.00 -30.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 0.00 Nuneaton 46 39 -38 -6.35 25.69 -11.49 39.00 0.00 -38.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00