Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 12 May 2015 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 11 May 2015, Arsenal 0 1 Swansea; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Chelsea          36   84  +42      10.01    89.23     3.76    88.53     1.57    44.80   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         36   73  +41      -3.09    34.19    -3.72    77.04     1.76    42.98     0.00    75.83    99.42   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          35   70  +32       3.75    66.61     3.69    75.87     2.01    34.82     0.00    23.93    93.16   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          36   68  +25       1.79    57.51    -0.68    71.48     1.83    26.06     0.00     0.24     7.42   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        36   62  +11      -0.42    47.59    -8.80    65.79     1.75    12.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.80     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        36   58   +2       4.66    70.21    -2.89    61.15     1.76     2.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.31     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      36   57  +18       1.47    56.85     9.13    59.70     1.62    17.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.99     0.00     0.00  
Swansea          36   56   +0       7.18    79.93     1.54    58.25     1.76    -0.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.89     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            36   50   -2       4.21    69.31     3.71    52.59     1.79    -2.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         36   47   +0       0.81    54.14     5.29    49.74     1.84     0.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          36   44   -2      -9.88    12.79    -8.11    46.98     1.86    -1.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   36   42   -7       1.86    59.62     7.35    43.93     1.65    -8.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        36   41  -13      -1.37    44.49    -1.86    42.25     1.46   -15.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa      36   38  -20       0.60    53.83    -1.24    40.37     1.68   -20.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.66R    0.00  
Leicester        36   37  -13      -3.59    34.67     1.95    40.08     1.82   -12.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.29R    0.00  
Sunderland       35   36  -20      -1.55    43.49    -4.07    38.29     1.78   -23.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.86R    0.00  
Newcastle        36   36  -24      -1.86    42.20    -4.02    38.66     1.85   -24.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.79R    0.00  
Hull             36   34  -16      -3.71    33.36     1.51    35.56     1.59   -17.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.40R    0.00  
Burnley          36   29  -26      -5.10    27.16    -2.51    31.29     1.75   -26.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   24.67  
QPR              36   27  -28      -6.08    23.00    -0.02    29.38     1.80   -28.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   75.33  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 May 2015, Blackburn 3 2 Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Bournemouth     46   90  +53       7.03    75.13    22.03    90.00     0.00    53.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Watford         46   89  +41       6.62    73.61    10.92    89.00     0.00    41.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich         46   86  +40       1.07    53.68     6.71    86.00     0.00    40.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    38.93P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   46   85  +31       8.59    79.95    11.76    85.00     0.00    31.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    28.99P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       46   78  +19       9.47    81.06    11.27    78.00     0.00    19.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    16.17P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         46   78  +18       8.05    78.17     7.95    78.00     0.00    18.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    15.91P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   46   78  +14       5.89    71.05     0.84    78.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Derby           46   77  +29      -2.43    40.76     3.94    77.00     0.00    29.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       46   67   +7      -0.38    48.95     1.02    67.00     0.00     7.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      46   63  -10       5.87    72.17    -0.44    63.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         46   62   -4      -0.81    47.56    -3.41    62.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Charlton        46   60   -6       3.11    62.87     2.96    60.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       46   60   -6       1.70    57.19     0.29    60.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   46   59   +2      -5.72    29.34     0.46    59.00     0.00     2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    46   56  -11      -0.67    47.94    -1.27    56.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    45   54  -17       1.49    56.53    -1.53    55.55     1.32   -16.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          46   52  -21      -6.25    28.15   -11.74    52.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          46   51  -13      -7.81    22.73    -6.02    51.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Reading         46   50  -21      -8.29    20.91   -13.39    50.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rotherham       46   49  -21       1.03    55.12     2.78    49.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brighton        46   47  -10     -15.05     6.44    -9.40    47.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Millwall        46   41  -34      -3.32    37.26    -4.97    41.00     0.00   -34.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Wigan           46   39  -25     -17.36     3.69   -15.71    39.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Blackpool       45   25  -55     -12.16     7.93   -15.06    26.19     1.28   -55.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 3 May 2015, Barnsley 5 0 Rochdale; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Bristol_City     46   99  +58      10.04    83.91    17.86    99.00     0.00    58.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          46   91  +57       2.36    58.56    17.12    91.00     0.00    57.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          46   89  +39       5.22    69.42     8.55    89.00     0.00    39.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    39.63P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          46   79  +19       4.15    65.41     1.70    79.00     0.00    19.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    24.21P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        46   71  +13      -0.44    48.33     0.87    71.00     0.00    13.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    21.15P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield     46   69  +13       1.38    55.37     6.52    69.00     0.00    13.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    15.01P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         46   65   +0       3.67    64.38     2.28    65.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         46   63   +6       0.65    52.70     8.16    63.00     0.00     6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     46   63   -3      -3.85    35.82    -8.38    63.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   46   63   -3       7.67    77.48     7.79    63.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         46   62   +1      -4.45    34.22    -3.70    62.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       46   62   -1       2.78    60.92     5.77    62.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        46   61   -4      -2.21    42.14    -4.08    61.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall          46   59   -4      -2.59    40.45    -2.37    59.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           46   57  -13       1.78    57.59    -1.30    57.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       46   56  -13       0.42    52.65    -0.35    56.00     0.00   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         46   55  -11      -4.67    32.87    -5.61    55.00     0.00   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        46   54  -10      -2.32    41.51     0.74    54.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Colchester       46   52  -19      -1.62    44.31    -3.74    52.00     0.00   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crewe            46   52  -32       6.02    73.69    -5.23    52.00     0.00   -32.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Notts_County     46   50  -18      -5.19    30.91    -6.11    50.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Crawley_Town     46   50  -26      -1.45    44.99    -7.82    50.00     0.00   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    46   49  -10     -16.79     5.35   -13.63    49.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Yeovil           46   40  -39      -7.01    24.65   -15.02    40.00     0.00   -39.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 May 2015, AFC_Wimbledon 1 1 Cheltenham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Burton_Albion        46   94  +30      18.27    96.39    11.43    94.00     0.00    30.00   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           46   89  +36       5.34    69.71     6.78    89.00     0.00    36.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 46   85  +20      11.14    86.01     4.08    85.00     0.00    20.00     0.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              46   84  +22      13.41    90.39    10.71    84.00     0.00    22.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.15P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             46   84  +16      10.44    84.96     0.65    84.00     0.00    16.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    30.00P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            46   72   +8       1.61    56.28    -3.05    72.00     0.00     8.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    22.75P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             46   71  +18       3.12    62.22    10.28    71.00     0.00    18.00     0.00     0.00   100.00    22.10P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                46   68  +10       1.61    56.24     4.43    68.00     0.00    10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       46   65   -3       6.98    75.55     3.63    65.00     0.00    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Exeter               46   64   -4       2.03    58.07    -2.46    64.00     0.00    -4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            46   63   +1       2.06    58.67     3.41    63.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton          46   61   +5      -1.93    42.85     5.05    61.00     0.00     5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           46   61   +1      -2.70    39.67    -0.85    61.00     0.00     1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            46   59   -1      -1.81    43.43     1.93    59.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        46   58   -6       0.72    53.42     1.99    58.00     0.00    -6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           46   57   -2      -6.38    26.64    -2.96    57.00     0.00    -2.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   46   56  -19       2.13    58.82    -4.74    56.00     0.00   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
York                 46   52   -5      -8.81    19.04    -3.19    52.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        46   51   -5      -4.34    34.02     6.26    51.00     0.00    -5.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             46   50  -18      -7.82    22.91    -9.95    50.00     0.00   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            46   48  -24      -1.52    44.91    -5.52    48.00     0.00   -24.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool           46   45  -31      -5.38    29.52   -13.44    45.00     0.00   -31.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           46   41  -27      -9.85    15.72    -9.88    41.00     0.00   -27.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Tranmere             46   39  -22     -18.53     3.24   -14.57    39.00     0.00   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 April 2015, AFC_Telford 1 2 Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barnet           46   92  +48       6.33    73.06    12.90    92.00     0.00    48.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   46   91  +39       2.38    58.62     1.14    91.00     0.00    39.00     0.00   100.00    39.43P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          46   86  +34       4.14    65.64     6.22    86.00     0.00    34.00     0.00   100.00    31.00P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        46   82  +26       9.85    81.73    12.06    82.00     0.00    26.00     0.00   100.00    13.94P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     46   82  +26       5.68    70.61     5.58    82.00     0.00    26.00     0.00   100.00    15.64P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     46   78  +14       9.88    82.92     6.33    78.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking           46   76  +25       4.52    66.57    12.22    76.00     0.00    25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   46   68  +11       3.53    63.21     9.11    68.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax          46   66   +6      -2.35    41.15    -1.91    66.00     0.00     6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        46   66   +4      -1.52    44.34    -2.63    66.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          46   66   +4      -1.13    45.78    -2.28    66.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          46   63  -12      10.46    84.99     5.29    63.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Torquay          46   61   +4     -11.05    14.91    -9.59    61.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   46   59   -1      -5.03    31.20    -2.75    59.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     46   58   -9      -0.73    47.46    -1.78    58.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster    46   57   -9      -5.55    29.73    -8.44    57.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham       46   56  -19       6.36    73.75     2.44    56.00     0.00   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot        46   53  -10      -9.65    17.44    -9.50    53.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport        46   51  -25       1.86    58.41    -3.13    51.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Welling          46   45  -21      -7.50    23.08    -4.48    45.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town    46   45  -41      -0.69    48.36   -10.99    45.00     0.00   -41.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Telford      46   39  -26      -8.52    20.19     0.56    39.00     0.00   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Dartford         46   39  -30      -7.77    21.58    -4.87    39.00     0.00   -30.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Nuneaton         46   39  -38      -6.35    25.69   -11.49    39.00     0.00   -38.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00