Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 28 April 2015 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 28 April 2015, Hull 1 0 Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Chelsea          33   77  +39       9.37    88.68     4.16    88.14     2.57    45.73    99.80    99.98   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         34   67  +34      -3.44    32.52    -5.33    75.34     2.41    38.88     0.01    33.14    84.37    99.83   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          33   67  +31       4.44    70.11     3.98    77.09     2.68    36.15     0.19    61.08    89.97    99.97   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          34   65  +25       2.24    60.26     0.23    72.64     2.52    28.22     0.00     5.80    25.65    98.24    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        34   58  +10      -1.15    44.15    -8.85    64.95     2.38    12.35     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.98    83.12     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        34   58   +6       5.80    74.76    -1.62    63.54     2.56     5.99     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.47    56.61     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      34   57  +21       3.28    65.20    10.82    63.12     2.48    21.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.51    60.23     0.00     0.00  
Swansea          34   50   -3       4.83    71.81    -0.06    54.43     2.45    -4.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            34   47   -3       4.08    69.23     2.90    52.08     2.57    -3.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          34   44   +1      -7.73    18.18    -6.11    50.77     2.58     2.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         34   44   +0       0.60    53.51     5.40    50.04     2.60     0.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   34   42   -5       3.16    65.71     7.13    45.24     2.22    -8.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        34   37  -14      -2.90    37.12    -3.11    39.88     2.17   -18.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.29R    0.00  
Newcastle        34   35  -21      -1.07    45.57    -2.67    40.35     2.62   -21.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.38R    0.00  
Hull             34   34  -13      -2.18    40.08     2.58    38.03     2.36   -15.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.13R    0.01  
Aston_Villa      34   32  -22      -2.16    40.22    -2.38    36.67     2.46   -23.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.34R    0.55  
Leicester        33   31  -16      -4.67    28.86     0.29    37.42     2.85   -16.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.50R    0.51  
Sunderland       33   30  -23      -4.28    30.01    -6.21    33.92     2.39   -27.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.30R    5.42  
QPR              34   27  -21      -6.26    22.26     1.13    30.19     2.17   -25.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.21R   42.23  
Burnley          34   26  -26      -5.61    24.00    -2.29    30.15     2.43   -27.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.86R   51.28  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 28 April 2015, Rotherham 2 1 Reading; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Watford         45   88  +41       7.44    76.63    11.43    90.04     1.23    42.01    77.22   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     45   87  +50       7.00    74.75    21.53    88.65     1.32    50.40    22.78   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   45   84  +31       9.01    81.20    11.66    85.78     1.26    31.56     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.98P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich         45   83  +38       0.65    51.89     6.67    85.18     1.19    39.31     0.00     0.00   100.00    34.33P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         45   78  +19       8.89    80.84     8.20    79.24     1.29    18.82     0.00     0.00    86.74    14.14P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           45   77  +32      -1.82    42.61     5.56    79.09     1.23    33.12     0.00     0.00    86.07    21.62P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       45   75  +16       9.29    81.17    10.45    76.76     1.29    16.55     0.00     0.00    21.27     2.89P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   45   75  +12       5.64    70.44     0.78    77.10     1.20    13.08     0.00     0.00     5.92     1.04P    0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       45   64   +6      -1.31    45.11     1.06    65.50     1.32     6.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Charlton        45   60   -3       2.98    62.25     3.73    61.10     1.26    -3.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      45   60  -11       4.58    67.87    -0.79    61.11     1.26   -11.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   45   59   +3      -4.42    33.63     1.23    60.63     1.32     3.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         45   59   -5      -2.43    41.12    -4.42    60.12     1.27    -5.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       45   59   -6       1.66    57.25    -0.37    59.73     1.10    -7.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    45   55  -11      -0.10    50.20    -0.75    56.75     1.30   -10.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    45   54  -17       1.58    57.07    -1.44    55.55     1.32   -16.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          45   52  -19      -5.99    28.89   -11.71    52.64     1.07   -20.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          45   51  -12      -6.62    25.93    -5.31    52.64     1.31   -11.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rotherham       45   48  -21       0.98    54.95     2.38    49.00     1.22   -21.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Reading         45   47  -24      -8.94    18.91   -15.00    47.71     1.11   -25.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brighton        45   46  -10     -15.29     6.16   -10.11    46.92     1.16   -10.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Millwall        45   41  -32      -3.01    38.38    -4.97    41.67     1.06   -33.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Wigan           45   39  -22     -17.62     3.47   -15.02    39.99     1.21   -22.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Blackpool       45   25  -55     -12.11     8.02   -14.82    26.20     1.29   -55.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 28 April 2015, Colchester 1 1 Swindon; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Bristol_City     45   96  +52      11.06    86.41    16.68    97.90     1.26    52.75   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          45   89  +40       6.27    73.08     9.13    90.97     1.26    40.89     0.00    67.59   100.00    80.22P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          45   88  +53       2.82    60.39    16.78    90.26     1.14    54.41     0.00    32.41   100.00    60.89P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          45   78  +19       4.70    67.51     1.97    79.69     1.32    19.47     0.00     0.00   100.00    24.14P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        45   70  +13      -0.19    49.32     0.69    71.56     1.31    13.27     0.00     0.00   100.00    19.98P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield     45   68  +13       1.50    55.94     6.16    69.17     1.27    12.73     0.00     0.00   100.00    14.77P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         45   63  +11       0.20    51.14    10.13    64.26     1.31    10.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford         45   62   -1       2.69    60.96     2.14    63.58     1.30    -0.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     45   62   -3      -3.76    35.92    -8.83    63.51     1.31    -2.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   45   60   -4       6.40    73.96     7.18    61.23     1.27    -4.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall          45   59   +2      -3.41    37.06     0.26    59.85     1.15     1.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       45   59   -3       1.90    57.73     4.74    60.54     1.32    -2.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         45   59   -4      -3.82    36.14    -5.48    60.50     1.33    -3.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        45   58   -7      -2.53    40.66    -5.43    59.59     1.31    -6.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       45   56  -10       0.33    51.71     0.05    57.15     1.27   -10.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           45   56  -13       2.19    59.10    -1.40    57.22     1.27   -13.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        45   54   -9      -1.05    46.47     1.41    55.50     1.30    -8.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         45   52  -12      -5.65    29.63    -5.74    53.43     1.31   -11.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.19R    0.00  
Crewe            45   52  -31       6.92    76.63    -5.02    53.14     1.26   -31.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.59R    0.00  
Notts_County     45   50  -16      -4.58    33.04    -5.53    51.20     1.28   -16.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.34R    0.00  
Crawley_Town     45   50  -25      -0.43    49.18    -7.57    51.31     1.30   -25.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.37R    0.00  
Colchester       45   49  -20      -2.79    39.95    -4.02    49.80     1.15   -20.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.52R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    45   48  -10     -16.56     5.53   -13.91    49.07     1.26   -10.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.99R    0.00  
Yeovil           45   40  -35      -7.43    22.97   -14.40    40.55     0.99   -36.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 April 2015, Burton_Albion 3 1 Northampton; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Burton_Albion        45   91  +29      17.20    95.86    11.26    92.59     1.30    29.32    70.38   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           45   89  +38       6.07    72.36     7.77    90.87     1.24    38.67    29.62   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             45   84  +18      10.99    86.21     1.62    85.48     1.28    18.17     0.00    68.67   100.00    78.32P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 45   82  +19      10.06    83.98     3.86    83.51     1.30    19.20     0.00    25.31   100.00    46.80P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              45   81  +21      12.32    88.95    10.43    82.32     1.29    20.94     0.00     6.02   100.00    29.32P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            45   72  +10       1.85    57.06    -2.70    73.28     1.28     9.90     0.00     0.00   100.00    24.93P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             45   68  +16       1.96    57.88     9.01    68.84     1.11    15.33     0.00     0.00    99.88    20.60P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                45   65   +8       1.14    54.96     4.11    66.44     1.30     8.10     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       45   65   -2       8.11    79.41     4.37    66.44     1.30    -1.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton          45   61   +6      -0.82    46.98     5.60    62.41     1.30     6.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Exeter               45   61   -5       1.01    54.46    -2.60    62.59     1.32    -4.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            45   60   -1       1.20    55.02     2.44    61.21     1.25    -1.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            45   59   +0      -1.08    46.06     1.97    60.16     1.28    -0.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           45   58   +0      -4.17    34.31    -1.60    59.28     1.28    -0.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        45   57   -6       1.31    55.88     2.35    58.73     1.30    -5.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           45   56   -2      -5.66    28.95    -2.46    57.59     1.29    -1.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   45   53  -20       0.74    53.75    -5.43    54.68     1.31   -19.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        45   51   -4      -3.52    37.14     6.28    52.14     1.25    -4.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
York                 45   51   -5      -8.51    19.86    -3.26    52.12     1.24    -5.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             45   49  -18      -6.87    25.61    -9.20    50.75     1.30   -17.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            45   48  -23      -0.79    47.72    -5.47    49.07     1.24   -23.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool           45   44  -31      -5.23    29.96   -13.95    45.00     1.22   -31.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           45   40  -27      -9.89    15.44   -10.42    41.01     1.22   -27.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   37.06  
Tranmere             45   39  -21     -17.59     3.98   -13.96    40.22     1.27   -21.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   62.94  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 April 2015, AFC_Telford 1 2 Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barnet           46   92  +48       6.51    73.67    13.20    92.00     0.00    48.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   46   91  +39       2.44    59.29     1.32    91.00     0.00    39.00     0.00   100.00    39.37P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          46   86  +34       4.22    65.72     6.28    86.00     0.00    34.00     0.00   100.00    30.96P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        46   82  +26       9.78    81.77    11.93    82.00     0.00    26.00     0.00   100.00    13.75P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     46   82  +26       5.58    70.17     5.41    82.00     0.00    26.00     0.00   100.00    15.92P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     46   78  +14       9.73    82.81     6.12    78.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking           46   76  +25       4.29    65.86    11.89    76.00     0.00    25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   46   68  +11       3.50    62.93     9.02    68.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax          46   66   +6      -2.05    42.32    -1.47    66.00     0.00     6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        46   66   +4      -1.65    43.81    -2.77    66.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          46   66   +4      -1.11    45.89    -2.31    66.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          46   63  -12      10.21    84.34     4.96    63.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Torquay          46   61   +4     -10.82    15.34    -9.19    61.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   46   59   -1      -4.87    31.98    -2.54    59.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     46   58   -9      -0.80    47.09    -1.94    58.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster    46   57   -9      -5.56    29.83    -8.51    57.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham       46   56  -19       6.21    73.24     2.15    56.00     0.00   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot        46   53  -10      -9.64    17.78    -9.58    53.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport        46   51  -25       1.54    56.92    -3.59    51.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Welling          46   45  -21      -7.34    23.65    -4.28    45.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town    46   45  -41      -0.88    47.69   -11.28    45.00     0.00   -41.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Telford      46   39  -26      -8.40    20.55     0.71    39.00     0.00   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Dartford         46   39  -30      -7.61    21.85    -4.54    39.00     0.00   -30.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Nuneaton         46   39  -38      -6.04    26.79   -10.99    39.00     0.00   -38.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00