Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 26 April 2015 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 26 April 2015, Arsenal 0 0 Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Chelsea          33   77  +39       9.29    88.47     3.99    88.15     2.57    45.75    99.80    99.99   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         34   67  +34      -3.52    32.01    -5.47    75.34     2.41    38.84     0.03    32.69    84.13    99.49   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          33   67  +31       4.59    70.88     4.27    77.10     2.67    36.13     0.18    61.44    90.03    99.77   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          34   65  +25       2.15    59.70     0.09    72.65     2.52    28.24     0.00     5.88    25.60    94.85    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        33   58  +11       0.02    49.88    -8.36    66.86     2.71    14.12     0.00     0.01     0.23     5.21    92.32     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        34   58   +6       5.92    75.58    -1.39    63.57     2.56     6.04     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.30    52.60     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      34   57  +21       3.40    65.72    10.98    63.13     2.48    21.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.38    55.03     0.00     0.00  
Swansea          34   50   -3       4.79    71.90    -0.11    54.44     2.45    -4.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            34   47   -3       4.16    69.62     3.06    52.04     2.58    -3.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00  
Everton          34   44   +1      -7.65    18.37    -5.90    50.77     2.59     2.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         34   44   +0       0.60    53.39     5.43    50.02     2.60     0.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   34   42   -5       3.13    65.64     7.04    45.24     2.21    -8.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        34   37  -14      -2.80    37.45    -2.97    39.88     2.17   -18.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15R    0.00  
Newcastle        34   35  -21      -1.22    45.17    -2.88    40.39     2.63   -21.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.89R    0.00  
Aston_Villa      34   32  -22      -2.22    39.91    -2.48    36.67     2.45   -23.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.62R    0.47  
Hull             33   31  -14      -3.68    32.47     1.97    35.84     2.64   -17.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.60R    0.90  
Leicester        33   31  -16      -4.55    29.23     0.41    37.41     2.85   -16.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.54R    0.46  
Sunderland       33   30  -23      -4.35    29.61    -6.19    33.92     2.41   -27.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.98R    5.26  
QPR              34   27  -21      -6.29    21.95     1.05    30.16     2.18   -25.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.67R   42.67  
Burnley          34   26  -26      -5.76    23.44    -2.55    30.19     2.45   -27.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.55R   50.24  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 April 2015, Birmingham 1 0 Charlton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Watford         45   88  +41       7.46    76.81    11.40    90.03     1.23    41.98    84.48   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     44   84  +47       6.70    74.47    20.64    87.66     1.82    48.41    15.52    83.33   100.00    87.92P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   45   84  +31       8.90    80.86    11.51    85.79     1.26    31.56     0.00    10.99   100.00    34.28P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich         45   83  +38       0.50    51.57     6.48    85.18     1.19    39.33     0.00     5.68   100.00    38.43P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         45   78  +19       9.04    81.10     8.41    79.25     1.29    18.83     0.00     0.00    86.88    13.93P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           45   77  +32      -1.84    42.64     5.56    79.07     1.23    33.10     0.00     0.00    85.92    21.28P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       45   75  +16       9.21    80.92    10.37    76.76     1.29    16.55     0.00     0.00    21.30     3.13P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   45   75  +12       5.83    71.14     1.06    77.10     1.20    13.08     0.00     0.00     5.89     1.03P    0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       45   64   +6      -1.46    44.59     0.80    65.49     1.32     6.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Charlton        45   60   -3       2.95    62.08     3.69    61.11     1.26    -3.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      45   60  -11       4.53    67.46    -0.88    61.10     1.26   -11.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   45   59   +3      -4.51    33.17     1.09    60.62     1.32     3.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         45   59   -5      -2.08    42.46    -3.91    60.13     1.27    -5.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       45   59   -6       1.65    57.04    -0.36    59.75     1.11    -6.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    45   55  -11      -0.08    50.16    -0.83    56.77     1.29   -10.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    45   54  -17       1.68    57.42    -1.27    55.55     1.32   -16.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          45   52  -19      -5.92    28.90   -11.64    52.63     1.06   -20.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          44   51   -9      -6.79    25.24    -4.79    53.42     1.75    -9.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Reading         44   47  -23      -8.08    21.00   -14.79    49.12     1.73   -24.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brighton        45   46  -10     -15.25     6.31   -10.10    46.92     1.15   -10.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rotherham       44   45  -22      -0.02    50.90     2.28    47.32     1.78   -22.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Millwall        45   41  -32      -3.00    38.50    -4.86    41.67     1.06   -33.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Wigan           45   39  -22     -17.54     3.58   -14.89    39.98     1.21   -22.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Blackpool       45   25  -55     -12.20     7.88   -14.97    26.20     1.29   -55.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 April 2015, Bradford 1 0 Barnsley; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Bristol_City     45   96  +52      10.88    86.02    16.36    97.89     1.26    52.73   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          45   89  +40       6.30    73.27     9.08    90.96     1.26    40.89     0.00    67.14   100.00    80.11P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          45   88  +53       2.86    60.33    16.83    90.26     1.14    54.42     0.00    32.86   100.00    60.60P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          44   77  +19       5.27    69.78     2.18    80.47     1.86    20.08     0.00     0.00   100.00    24.62P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        45   70  +13      -0.28    48.90     0.58    71.58     1.31    13.30     0.00     0.00   100.00    19.75P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield     45   68  +13       1.77    56.97     6.53    69.15     1.26    12.70     0.00     0.00   100.00    14.92P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         45   63  +11       0.34    51.49    10.27    64.26     1.31    10.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford         45   62   -1       3.00    62.01     2.63    63.58     1.31    -0.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     45   62   -3      -3.47    37.01    -8.43    63.51     1.31    -2.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   45   60   -4       6.18    73.08     6.90    61.24     1.28    -4.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall          45   59   +2      -3.86    35.41    -0.41    59.86     1.15     1.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       45   59   -3       1.88    58.09     4.69    60.55     1.32    -2.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         45   59   -4      -3.70    36.44    -5.28    60.50     1.33    -3.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        45   58   -7      -2.58    40.62    -5.43    59.59     1.32    -6.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       45   56  -10       0.55    52.72     0.34    57.16     1.28   -10.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           45   56  -13       2.08    58.78    -1.56    57.22     1.28   -13.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        45   54   -9      -0.92    47.07     1.59    55.49     1.30    -8.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         45   52  -12      -5.91    28.41    -6.15    53.42     1.31   -11.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.00R    0.00  
Crewe            45   52  -31       7.10    77.29    -4.70    53.15     1.26   -31.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.39R    0.00  
Notts_County     45   50  -16      -4.47    33.19    -5.34    51.20     1.29   -16.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.44R    0.00  
Crawley_Town     45   50  -25      -0.64    47.99    -7.84    51.32     1.30   -25.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.73R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    45   48  -10     -16.33     5.52   -13.59    49.06     1.25   -10.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.01R    0.00  
Colchester       44   48  -20      -3.00    38.84    -4.86    49.81     1.69   -21.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.43R    0.00  
Yeovil           45   40  -35      -7.44    22.64   -14.39    40.55     0.99   -36.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 April 2015, Burton_Albion 3 1 Northampton; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Burton_Albion        45   91  +29      17.18    95.70    11.24    92.60     1.30    29.33    70.63   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           45   89  +38       6.23    73.05     7.96    90.87     1.24    38.67    29.37   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             45   84  +18      11.06    86.63     1.72    85.46     1.28    18.15     0.00    68.42   100.00    77.94P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 45   82  +19       9.98    83.56     3.76    83.51     1.30    19.20     0.00    25.28   100.00    46.61P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              45   81  +21      12.46    89.08    10.59    82.32     1.30    20.93     0.00     6.30   100.00    29.68P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            45   72  +10       1.80    56.93    -2.76    73.28     1.28     9.90     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.36P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             45   68  +16       2.16    58.71     9.28    68.84     1.11    15.33     0.00     0.00    99.87    20.38P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                45   65   +8       1.19    54.89     4.12    66.44     1.29     8.10     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       45   65   -2       8.08    79.04     4.38    66.43     1.29    -1.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton          45   61   +6      -0.66    47.88     5.89    62.42     1.31     6.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Exeter               45   61   -5       0.99    54.32    -2.58    62.59     1.32    -4.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            45   60   -1       0.87    53.73     1.97    61.23     1.25    -1.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            45   59   +0      -1.03    46.37     2.05    60.16     1.28    -0.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           45   58   +0      -4.07    34.48    -1.44    59.28     1.27    -0.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        45   57   -6       1.30    55.75     2.33    58.72     1.30    -5.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           45   56   -2      -5.75    28.57    -2.60    57.60     1.29    -1.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   45   53  -20       0.77    53.73    -5.36    54.69     1.31   -19.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        45   51   -4      -3.68    36.48     6.05    52.13     1.25    -4.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
York                 45   51   -5      -8.34    20.23    -3.02    52.12     1.24    -5.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             45   49  -18      -7.04    24.94    -9.50    50.74     1.30   -17.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            45   48  -23      -0.82    47.43    -5.57    49.06     1.24   -23.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool           45   44  -31      -5.41    29.51   -14.29    45.01     1.22   -31.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           45   40  -27      -9.91    15.48   -10.44    41.03     1.23   -27.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   36.63  
Tranmere             45   39  -21     -17.42     4.01   -13.80    40.21     1.27   -21.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   63.37  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 April 2015, AFC_Telford 1 2 Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barnet           46   92  +48       6.68    74.19    13.43    92.00     0.00    48.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   46   91  +39       2.55    59.42     1.47    91.00     0.00    39.00     0.00   100.00    39.60P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          46   86  +34       4.06    65.31     6.05    86.00     0.00    34.00     0.00   100.00    30.79P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        46   82  +26       9.76    81.53    11.97    82.00     0.00    26.00     0.00   100.00    13.72P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     46   82  +26       5.54    70.37     5.36    82.00     0.00    26.00     0.00   100.00    15.89P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     46   78  +14       9.97    83.50     6.40    78.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking           46   76  +25       4.54    66.58    12.29    76.00     0.00    25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   46   68  +11       3.32    62.53     8.79    68.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax          46   66   +6      -2.45    40.95    -2.10    66.00     0.00     6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        46   66   +4      -1.29    45.26    -2.31    66.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          46   66   +4      -1.25    45.44    -2.47    66.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          46   63  -12      10.47    85.18     5.39    63.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Torquay          46   61   +4     -11.07    14.79    -9.55    61.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   46   59   -1      -4.87    32.19    -2.58    59.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     46   58   -9      -0.77    47.45    -1.88    58.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster    46   57   -9      -5.62    29.52    -8.49    57.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham       46   56  -19       6.15    73.14     2.07    56.00     0.00   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot        46   53  -10      -9.61    17.36    -9.50    53.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport        46   51  -25       1.83    58.07    -3.21    51.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Welling          46   45  -21      -7.43    23.08    -4.41    45.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town    46   45  -41      -0.73    47.88   -11.08    45.00     0.00   -41.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Telford      46   39  -26      -8.57    20.30     0.37    39.00     0.00   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Dartford         46   39  -30      -7.75    21.39    -4.76    39.00     0.00   -30.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Nuneaton         46   39  -38      -6.23    26.12   -11.25    39.00     0.00   -38.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00