Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 25 April 2015 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 April 2015, Burnley 0 1 Leicester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Chelsea          32   76  +39       9.61    89.84     3.66    88.48     2.93    45.74    99.13    99.96   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         34   67  +34      -3.63    31.58    -5.57    75.36     2.41    38.86     0.02    25.64    72.97    99.38   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          32   66  +31       4.99    72.98     4.15    77.48     3.01    36.16     0.83    58.53    84.01    99.73   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          33   65  +28       2.67    62.04     1.65    74.30     2.87    31.67     0.02    15.87    42.87    97.53    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        33   58  +11      -0.07    49.36    -8.43    66.91     2.72    14.17     0.00     0.00     0.15     3.04    92.30     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        34   58   +6       5.77    74.86    -1.59    63.63     2.57     6.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.16    53.37     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      34   57  +21       3.38    65.53    11.02    63.12     2.48    21.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.16    54.27     0.00     0.00  
Swansea          34   50   -3       4.73    71.49    -0.11    54.43     2.45    -4.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            34   47   -3       4.26    69.90     3.25    52.02     2.55    -3.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         34   44   +0       0.52    53.09     5.38    50.09     2.60     0.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   34   42   -5       3.07    65.23     7.06    45.19     2.21    -8.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          33   41   -2      -8.47    15.53    -7.64    48.86     2.92    -0.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        34   37  -14      -2.75    37.36    -2.89    39.87     2.16   -18.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11R    0.00  
Newcastle        34   35  -21      -1.14    45.41    -2.65    40.34     2.62   -21.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.95R    0.00  
Aston_Villa      34   32  -22      -2.30    39.69    -2.62    36.69     2.45   -23.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.49R    0.48  
Hull             33   31  -14      -3.58    32.85     2.17    35.79     2.63   -17.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.26R    0.82  
Leicester        33   31  -16      -4.52    29.73     0.52    37.37     2.85   -16.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.88R    0.39  
Sunderland       33   30  -23      -4.36    29.59    -6.22    33.97     2.43   -27.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.95R    5.35  
QPR              34   27  -21      -6.30    22.02     1.11    30.20     2.19   -25.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.59R   42.37  
Burnley          34   26  -26      -5.52    24.07    -2.25    30.17     2.43   -27.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.76R   50.60  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 April 2015, Birmingham 1 0 Charlton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Watford         45   88  +41       7.40    76.31    11.34    90.04     1.23    41.99    84.59   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     44   84  +47       6.64    74.20    20.57    87.66     1.82    48.41    15.41    83.55   100.00    88.07P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   45   84  +31       8.85    80.88    11.48    85.79     1.26    31.57     0.00    11.19   100.00    34.40P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich         45   83  +38       0.52    51.68     6.47    85.17     1.20    39.31     0.00     5.26   100.00    37.89P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         45   78  +19       8.82    80.58     8.09    79.26     1.29    18.84     0.00     0.00    87.01    14.08P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           45   77  +32      -1.85    42.71     5.49    79.08     1.23    33.11     0.00     0.00    86.31    21.56P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       45   75  +16       9.35    81.28    10.57    76.75     1.29    16.55     0.00     0.00    20.89     2.91P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   45   75  +12       5.88    70.98     1.17    77.10     1.20    13.08     0.00     0.00     5.79     1.09P    0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       45   64   +6      -1.63    44.08     0.48    65.48     1.31     6.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Charlton        45   60   -3       3.08    62.64     3.87    61.11     1.26    -3.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      45   60  -11       4.39    67.26    -1.13    61.10     1.26   -11.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   45   59   +3      -4.61    32.96     0.92    60.63     1.32     3.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         45   59   -5      -2.16    41.96    -4.01    60.12     1.27    -5.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       45   59   -6       1.87    57.81    -0.04    59.74     1.11    -6.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    45   55  -11      -0.10    50.26    -0.80    56.77     1.30   -10.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    45   54  -17       1.78    57.62    -1.10    55.55     1.32   -16.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          45   52  -19      -5.87    28.85   -11.60    52.65     1.07   -20.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          44   51   -9      -6.88    24.98    -4.93    53.43     1.75    -9.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Reading         44   47  -23      -7.90    21.15   -14.52    49.10     1.71   -24.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brighton        45   46  -10     -15.11     6.20    -9.87    46.91     1.15   -10.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rotherham       44   45  -22      -0.25    49.86     2.06    47.33     1.79   -22.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Millwall        45   41  -32      -2.99    38.23    -5.00    41.67     1.06   -33.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Wigan           45   39  -22     -17.52     3.59   -14.85    39.99     1.22   -22.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Blackpool       45   25  -55     -12.02     8.37   -14.68    26.20     1.29   -55.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 April 2015, Bradford 1 0 Barnsley; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Bristol_City     45   96  +52      11.13    86.62    16.71    97.89     1.26    52.73   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          45   89  +40       6.03    72.18     8.75    90.97     1.26    40.90     0.00    67.61   100.00    80.40P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          45   88  +53       2.97    60.75    17.02    90.26     1.14    54.41     0.00    32.39   100.00    60.43P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          44   77  +19       5.22    69.69     2.19    80.45     1.86    20.07     0.00     0.00   100.00    24.61P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        45   70  +13      -0.21    49.16     0.64    71.57     1.30    13.29     0.00     0.00   100.00    19.90P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield     45   68  +13       1.78    56.95     6.57    69.16     1.26    12.71     0.00     0.00   100.00    14.66P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         45   63  +11      -0.05    50.10     9.72    64.27     1.31    10.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford         45   62   -1       3.05    62.24     2.64    63.58     1.30    -0.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     45   62   -3      -3.67    36.59    -8.72    63.50     1.31    -2.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   45   60   -4       6.32    73.76     7.11    61.23     1.28    -4.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall          45   59   +2      -3.69    36.01    -0.16    59.86     1.16     1.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       45   59   -3       2.06    58.36     4.98    60.53     1.32    -2.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         45   59   -4      -3.65    36.99    -5.20    60.49     1.33    -3.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        45   58   -7      -2.31    41.59    -5.14    59.59     1.31    -6.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       45   56  -10       0.29    51.54    -0.03    57.15     1.27   -10.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           45   56  -13       1.93    58.17    -1.77    57.23     1.28   -13.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale        45   54   -9      -1.03    46.45     1.44    55.49     1.31    -8.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Coventry         45   52  -12      -5.81    28.81    -5.97    53.44     1.31   -11.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.20R    0.00  
Crewe            45   52  -31       7.05    77.18    -4.75    53.15     1.26   -31.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.48R    0.00  
Notts_County     45   50  -16      -4.70    32.36    -5.65    51.22     1.29   -16.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.63R    0.00  
Crawley_Town     45   50  -25      -0.26    49.92    -7.28    51.30     1.30   -25.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.68R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    45   48  -10     -16.60     5.34   -14.01    49.07     1.26   -10.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.52R    0.00  
Colchester       44   48  -20      -2.86    39.31    -4.66    49.80     1.69   -21.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.48R    0.00  
Yeovil           45   40  -35      -7.41    22.90   -14.42    40.55     0.99   -36.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 April 2015, Burton_Albion 3 1 Northampton; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Burton_Albion        45   91  +29      17.43    95.94    11.58    92.58     1.30    29.30    70.19   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           45   89  +38       6.12    72.57     7.88    90.88     1.24    38.68    29.81   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             45   84  +18      11.00    86.60     1.64    85.48     1.28    18.17     0.00    68.68   100.00    78.25P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 45   82  +19      10.11    84.05     3.88    83.50     1.30    19.20     0.00    25.03   100.00    46.88P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              45   81  +21      12.33    88.95    10.44    82.33     1.30    20.94     0.00     6.29   100.00    29.52P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            45   72  +10       2.12    58.00    -2.27    73.27     1.28     9.88     0.00     0.00   100.00    24.60P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             45   68  +16       2.16    58.73     9.22    68.83     1.11    15.32     0.00     0.00    99.83    20.74P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                45   65   +8       0.82    53.25     3.59    66.45     1.30     8.12     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       45   65   -2       7.93    78.56     4.09    66.44     1.29    -1.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Northampton          45   61   +6      -0.73    47.47     5.74    62.41     1.31     6.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Exeter               45   61   -5       0.94    53.70    -2.66    62.60     1.32    -4.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            45   60   -1       1.31    55.75     2.62    61.21     1.25    -1.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            45   59   +0      -0.97    46.52     2.11    60.16     1.28    -0.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           45   58   +0      -4.17    34.11    -1.57    59.27     1.27    -0.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        45   57   -6       1.39    56.22     2.49    58.73     1.30    -5.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           45   56   -2      -5.96    28.03    -2.84    57.60     1.29    -1.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   45   53  -20       0.82    54.05    -5.28    54.68     1.31   -19.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        45   51   -4      -3.74    36.34     6.03    52.15     1.26    -4.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
York                 45   51   -5      -8.35    20.62    -2.98    52.12     1.24    -5.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             45   49  -18      -7.11    24.73    -9.65    50.75     1.30   -17.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            45   48  -23      -0.80    47.50    -5.51    49.06     1.25   -23.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool           45   44  -31      -5.25    29.88   -14.03    44.99     1.22   -31.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           45   40  -27     -10.03    15.09   -10.62    41.02     1.22   -27.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   37.07  
Tranmere             45   39  -21     -17.48     4.09   -13.88    40.22     1.27   -21.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   62.93  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 April 2015, AFC_Telford 1 2 Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barnet           46   92  +48       6.50    73.73    13.18    92.00     0.00    48.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   46   91  +39       2.42    58.76     1.24    91.00     0.00    39.00     0.00   100.00    39.29P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          46   86  +34       4.13    65.58     6.24    86.00     0.00    34.00     0.00   100.00    30.58P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        46   82  +26       9.78    81.55    11.92    82.00     0.00    26.00     0.00   100.00    13.91P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     46   82  +26       5.58    69.91     5.41    82.00     0.00    26.00     0.00   100.00    16.22P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     46   78  +14       9.73    82.75     6.12    78.00     0.00    14.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking           46   76  +25       4.56    66.78    12.31    76.00     0.00    25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   46   68  +11       3.50    62.87     9.06    68.00     0.00    11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax          46   66   +6      -2.55    40.45    -2.17    66.00     0.00     6.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        46   66   +4      -1.58    44.26    -2.69    66.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          46   66   +4      -1.35    44.98    -2.65    66.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          46   63  -12      10.43    85.01     5.37    63.00     0.00   -12.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Torquay          46   61   +4     -10.60    15.80    -8.87    61.00     0.00     4.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   46   59   -1      -5.20    30.79    -2.96    59.00     0.00    -1.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     46   58   -9      -0.71    47.73    -1.79    58.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster    46   57   -9      -5.69    29.49    -8.67    57.00     0.00    -9.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham       46   56  -19       6.15    72.94     2.01    56.00     0.00   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot        46   53  -10      -9.55    17.52    -9.42    53.00     0.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport        46   51  -25       1.78    57.82    -3.18    51.00     0.00   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Welling          46   45  -21      -7.33    23.10    -4.26    45.00     0.00   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town    46   45  -41      -0.58    48.63   -10.81    45.00     0.00   -41.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Telford      46   39  -26      -8.38    20.44     0.68    39.00     0.00   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Dartford         46   39  -30      -7.77    21.15    -4.86    39.00     0.00   -30.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R    0.00  
Nuneaton         46   39  -38      -6.23    26.21   -11.22    39.00     0.00   -38.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00