Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 23 April 2015 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 19 April 2015, Man_City 2 0 West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Chelsea          32   76  +39       9.68    89.99     3.73    88.51     2.92    45.78    99.09    99.98   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          32   66  +31       4.86    72.50     3.92    77.52     3.00    36.26     0.88    61.02    85.23    99.32   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          33   65  +28       2.78    63.05     1.76    74.29     2.86    31.67     0.02    16.67    46.29    95.47    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         33   64  +33      -4.09    29.52    -4.57    74.87     2.60    39.90     0.01    22.30    67.58    97.20    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        32   57  +11       0.59    52.30    -8.13    67.67     3.04    14.83     0.00     0.03     0.83     6.80    93.56     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        33   57   +6       6.01    76.18    -1.76    63.65     2.87     5.63     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.46    46.24     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      33   56  +21       3.85    67.79    11.09    63.88     2.84    22.33     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.75    60.20     0.00     0.00  
Swansea          33   47   -4       3.34    66.05    -0.88    52.72     2.78    -5.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            33   46   -3       4.68    72.30     3.32    52.90     2.90    -2.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         33   43   +0       1.06    55.71     5.74    50.59     2.94     1.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   33   42   -3       3.99    69.53     8.26    46.96     2.58    -6.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          33   41   -2      -8.38    15.80    -7.56    48.90     2.92    -0.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        33   36  -14      -2.80    37.08    -3.38    39.82     2.51   -19.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17R    0.00  
Newcastle        33   35  -20      -0.04    50.64    -2.27    41.78     2.96   -20.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.22R    0.00  
Aston_Villa      33   32  -21      -1.50    43.17    -3.01    36.94     2.58   -24.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.83R    0.51  
Sunderland       32   29  -23      -4.15    30.19    -6.29    33.82     2.69   -28.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.38R    9.09  
Hull             32   28  -16      -4.82    26.96     0.88    33.75     2.93   -19.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.41R    8.53  
Leicester        32   28  -17      -5.93    23.06     0.03    35.66     3.13   -17.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.25R    4.32  
QPR              33   26  -21      -6.16    22.32     1.07    30.40     2.55   -25.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.97R   47.10  
Burnley          33   26  -25      -4.74    27.45    -1.95    31.67     2.80   -26.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.78R   30.47  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 22 April 2015, Reading 0 1 Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Watford         44   85  +39       6.59    73.72    10.67    88.52     1.81    40.17    45.62    71.50   100.00    79.55P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     44   84  +47       6.61    74.19    20.49    87.68     1.81    48.44    32.79    63.81   100.00    73.87P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   44   84  +32      10.21    84.72    12.52    87.39     1.83    32.91    14.48    37.32   100.00    53.66P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich         44   82  +38       1.07    53.62     6.67    86.19     1.73    40.27     7.11    27.37   100.00    52.04P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           44   76  +32      -1.25    44.85     5.94    80.03     1.76    33.96     0.00     0.00    96.99    24.44P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         44   75  +18       7.76    77.61     7.97    77.94     1.86    18.29     0.00     0.00    78.72    12.78P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       44   72  +14       8.46    79.46     9.72    75.07     1.85    14.47     0.00     0.00    13.27     1.75P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   44   72  +11       4.62    67.20     0.70    75.54     1.77    12.18     0.00     0.00    11.02     1.91P    0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       44   63   +6      -0.96    46.35     0.87    65.95     1.87     6.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Charlton        44   60   -2       4.10    66.63     4.42    62.34     1.81    -2.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   44   59   +4      -3.87    35.60     0.88    61.71     1.84     3.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       44   59   -5       2.82    61.83     0.24    61.35     1.72    -5.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      44   57  -12       3.38    63.97    -1.15    59.60     1.82   -12.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         44   56   -6      -3.08    38.46    -4.08    59.19     1.76    -5.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    44   53  -17       2.06    58.91    -1.37    55.84     1.86   -16.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    44   52  -12      -1.39    44.99    -1.31    54.89     1.80   -11.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          44   51   -9      -6.55    25.88    -4.42    53.41     1.74    -9.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Fulham          44   49  -20      -7.12    24.88   -12.18    50.76     1.65   -21.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Reading         43   47  -21      -7.66    22.11   -14.24    50.55     2.18   -21.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Brighton        44   46   -8     -14.68     6.74    -9.11    48.14     1.72    -8.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Rotherham       43   44  -22      -0.04    50.77     1.84    47.07     2.13   -23.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.58R    0.00  
Millwall        44   40  -32      -2.75    39.11    -5.42    41.48     1.57   -33.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.01R    0.00  
Wigan           44   39  -21     -16.95     3.98   -14.89    41.31     1.79   -21.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.42R    0.00  
Blackpool       44   25  -54     -11.18     9.71   -14.73    26.89     1.68   -55.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 21 April 2015, MK_Dons 3 0 Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Bristol_City     44   93  +50      10.48    85.42    16.24    96.52     1.83    51.12   100.00   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          44   86  +37       6.07    72.55     8.26    89.60     1.83    38.26     0.00    54.63   100.00    71.60P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          44   85  +52       1.59    55.94    16.58    89.05     1.74    54.06     0.00    45.37   100.00    67.69P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          43   77  +22       5.18    69.38     3.00    81.63     2.26    22.78     0.00     0.00   100.00    25.23P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        44   69  +13       0.15    50.39     0.64    71.96     1.85    13.33     0.00     0.00    99.02    19.92P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield     44   68  +15       1.91    57.41     6.71    70.29     1.81    14.34     0.00     0.00    96.17    14.93P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         44   63  +12       0.73    53.01     9.75    65.25     1.81    11.16     0.00     0.00     4.81     0.63P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   44   60   -3       7.66    78.18     7.88    62.76     1.83    -2.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       44   59   -2       3.04    62.02     5.31    61.86     1.88    -1.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford         44   59   -2       1.72    57.37     2.19    61.98     1.85    -1.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         44   59   -3      -2.77    39.69    -4.89    61.85     1.86    -2.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     44   59   -4      -4.68    32.42    -8.86    62.28     1.85    -3.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        44   58   -6      -1.42    44.73    -4.77    61.03     1.86    -5.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall          44   56   +0      -4.43    33.25    -0.93    58.46     1.74    -0.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           44   56  -11       2.59    60.68    -0.82    58.34     1.79   -11.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe       44   53  -11      -0.74    47.65    -0.12    55.57     1.84   -11.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Coventry         44   52  -10      -5.02    31.25    -4.90    55.25     1.84    -9.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.95R    0.00  
Port_Vale        44   51  -10      -2.10    42.50     1.24    53.92     1.85    -9.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.63R    0.00  
Crawley_Town     44   50  -24       0.30    52.04    -7.72    52.26     1.78   -24.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.73R    0.00  
Crewe            44   49  -33       6.14    74.85    -5.73    51.08     1.75   -33.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.75R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    44   47  -10     -16.20     5.55   -13.92    49.37     1.81   -10.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.63R    0.00  
Notts_County     44   47  -17      -5.90    27.78    -6.07    49.51     1.83   -17.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.76R    0.00  
Colchester       43   45  -21      -4.06    34.57    -5.12    47.99     2.13   -22.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.51R    0.47  
Yeovil           44   40  -34      -6.37    26.25   -13.93    41.84     1.63   -35.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.53  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 21 April 2015, Bury 0 1 Southend; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Burton_Albion        44   88  +27      16.41    95.09    10.52    91.40     1.84    27.94    65.80   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           44   86  +37       4.99    68.89     7.53    89.74     1.77    38.36    34.20    99.89   100.00    99.92P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              44   81  +22      13.44    90.82    11.09    84.12     1.83    22.55     0.00    52.18   100.00    64.39P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             44   81  +17      10.01    84.28     1.52    84.19     1.82    17.63     0.00    34.82   100.00    54.79P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 44   79  +17       9.61    83.13     3.55    82.37     1.82    17.91     0.00    13.11   100.00    36.88P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            44   69   +9       0.88    53.37    -2.67    72.17     1.82     9.66     0.00     0.00    98.46    23.49P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             44   65  +15       0.86    53.87     8.67    67.57     1.69    14.82     0.00     0.00    58.51    12.21P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                44   65   +9       1.57    56.22     3.90    67.45     1.77     8.67     0.00     0.00    37.29     7.48P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       44   62   -4       6.86    75.97     2.96    64.52     1.79    -4.25     0.00     0.00     2.43     0.30P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          44   61   +8      -0.31    49.11     6.31    63.32     1.77     7.40     0.00     0.00     1.30     0.23P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               44   61   -4       2.14    59.00    -1.92    64.08     1.87    -3.52     0.00     0.00     2.01     0.31P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            44   57   -2      -0.15    49.98     1.96    59.16     1.73    -2.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        44   57   -4       1.65    57.36     2.89    59.58     1.75    -4.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            44   56   -4      -0.72    47.58     0.87    58.81     1.83    -3.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           44   55   -2      -4.64    32.14    -1.95    57.98     1.83    -1.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           44   53   -3      -6.94    24.71    -2.94    56.00     1.83    -2.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   44   53  -16       0.60    53.13    -3.83    55.74     1.83   -16.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        44   51   -2      -3.03    38.80     7.01    53.19     1.77    -2.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
York                 44   51   -3      -7.74    21.80    -2.09    53.78     1.80    -2.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Carlisle             44   49  -17      -6.28    27.49    -9.38    51.63     1.76   -17.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            44   48  -22       0.16    51.50    -5.13    50.34     1.79   -22.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Hartlepool           44   41  -32      -6.61    24.72   -14.68    43.29     1.79   -32.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.82R   14.46  
Cheltenham           44   40  -26      -9.23    17.22   -10.41    41.88     1.68   -27.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.26R   38.12  
Tranmere             44   39  -20     -16.66     4.61   -13.77    41.23     1.75   -20.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.91R   47.42  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 21 April 2015, Aldershot 1 1 Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barnet           45   89  +46       5.70    71.01    12.47    90.92     1.27    46.84    68.70   100.00    79.69P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   45   88  +32       3.93    64.86    -0.56    90.34     1.09    33.55    31.30   100.00    57.97P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          45   83  +32       3.73    64.22     6.11    84.89     1.26    32.73     0.00   100.00    29.53P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     45   81  +26       6.22    72.54     5.77    82.85     1.30    26.74     0.00   100.00    18.86P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        45   79  +25       8.80    79.55    11.98    80.74     1.31    25.56     0.00    92.56    12.90P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     45   77  +14      10.27    84.36     6.37    78.12     1.26    13.65     0.00     7.44     1.05P    0.00     0.00  
Woking           45   73  +24       3.45    63.16    12.15    74.61     1.32    24.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   45   67  +11       3.97    64.83     9.25    67.93     1.22    10.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax          45   66   +7      -1.44    44.56    -1.54    67.14     1.28     6.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        45   66   +6      -1.20    45.52    -2.22    66.85     1.17     5.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          45   63   +3      -2.55    40.33    -2.96    64.62     1.31     3.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Torquay          45   60   +4     -10.65    15.51    -9.47    61.62     1.31     4.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          45   60  -14       9.84    84.02     4.44    61.68     1.30   -13.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster    45   57   -8      -5.06    31.27    -8.81    58.02     1.24    -8.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     45   57   -9      -0.40    48.96    -1.86    58.47     1.32    -8.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   45   56   -3      -5.47    29.87    -3.20    57.81     1.28    -2.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham       45   56  -17       6.88    75.80     2.61    56.93     1.19   -17.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot        45   53   -8      -9.21    18.10    -9.02    53.85     1.14    -8.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport        45   48  -26       0.31    52.25    -3.78    49.10     1.26   -26.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Welling          45   45  -20      -6.22    26.78    -3.63    46.65     1.31   -19.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town    45   45  -34      -2.15    42.47    -9.37    45.48     0.93   -35.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
AFC_Telford      45   39  -25      -7.45    23.38     0.93    40.12     1.26   -25.36     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   10.58  
Nuneaton         45   39  -36      -5.54    28.37   -10.95    40.05     1.23   -36.44     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   32.97  
Dartford         45   38  -30      -7.42    22.21    -4.74    39.28     1.30   -30.14     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   56.45