Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Thursday 23 April 2015 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 19 April 2015, Man_City 2 0 West_Ham; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 32 76 +39 9.68 89.99 3.73 88.51 2.92 45.78 99.09 99.98 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 32 66 +31 4.86 72.50 3.92 77.52 3.00 36.26 0.88 61.02 85.23 99.32 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 33 65 +28 2.78 63.05 1.76 74.29 2.86 31.67 0.02 16.67 46.29 95.47 99.99 0.00 0.00 Man_City 33 64 +33 -4.09 29.52 -4.57 74.87 2.60 39.90 0.01 22.30 67.58 97.20 99.98 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 32 57 +11 0.59 52.30 -8.13 67.67 3.04 14.83 0.00 0.03 0.83 6.80 93.56 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 33 57 +6 6.01 76.18 -1.76 63.65 2.87 5.63 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.46 46.24 0.00 0.00 Southampton 33 56 +21 3.85 67.79 11.09 63.88 2.84 22.33 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.75 60.20 0.00 0.00 Swansea 33 47 -4 3.34 66.05 -0.88 52.72 2.78 -5.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 Stoke 33 46 -3 4.68 72.30 3.32 52.90 2.90 -2.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 33 43 +0 1.06 55.71 5.74 50.59 2.94 1.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Crystal_Palace 33 42 -3 3.99 69.53 8.26 46.96 2.58 -6.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Everton 33 41 -2 -8.38 15.80 -7.56 48.90 2.92 -0.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 West_Brom 33 36 -14 -2.80 37.08 -3.38 39.82 2.51 -19.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.17R 0.00 Newcastle 33 35 -20 -0.04 50.64 -2.27 41.78 2.96 -20.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.22R 0.00 Aston_Villa 33 32 -21 -1.50 43.17 -3.01 36.94 2.58 -24.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 11.83R 0.51 Sunderland 32 29 -23 -4.15 30.19 -6.29 33.82 2.69 -28.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 54.38R 9.09 Hull 32 28 -16 -4.82 26.96 0.88 33.75 2.93 -19.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 45.41R 8.53 Leicester 32 28 -17 -5.93 23.06 0.03 35.66 3.13 -17.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 24.25R 4.32 QPR 33 26 -21 -6.16 22.32 1.07 30.40 2.55 -25.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 87.97R 47.10 Burnley 33 26 -25 -4.74 27.45 -1.95 31.67 2.80 -26.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 75.78R 30.47Championship (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 22 April 2015, Reading 0 1 Birmingham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Watford 44 85 +39 6.59 73.72 10.67 88.52 1.81 40.17 45.62 71.50 100.00 79.55P 0.00 0.00 Bournemouth 44 84 +47 6.61 74.19 20.49 87.68 1.81 48.44 32.79 63.81 100.00 73.87P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 44 84 +32 10.21 84.72 12.52 87.39 1.83 32.91 14.48 37.32 100.00 53.66P 0.00 0.00 Norwich 44 82 +38 1.07 53.62 6.67 86.19 1.73 40.27 7.11 27.37 100.00 52.04P 0.00 0.00 Derby 44 76 +32 -1.25 44.85 5.94 80.03 1.76 33.96 0.00 0.00 96.99 24.44P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 44 75 +18 7.76 77.61 7.97 77.94 1.86 18.29 0.00 0.00 78.72 12.78P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 44 72 +14 8.46 79.46 9.72 75.07 1.85 14.47 0.00 0.00 13.27 1.75P 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 44 72 +11 4.62 67.20 0.70 75.54 1.77 12.18 0.00 0.00 11.02 1.91P 0.00 0.00 Blackburn 44 63 +6 -0.96 46.35 0.87 65.95 1.87 6.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Charlton 44 60 -2 4.10 66.63 4.42 62.34 1.81 -2.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 44 59 +4 -3.87 35.60 0.88 61.71 1.84 3.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 44 59 -5 2.82 61.83 0.24 61.35 1.72 -5.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 44 57 -12 3.38 63.97 -1.15 59.60 1.82 -12.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 44 56 -6 -3.08 38.46 -4.08 59.19 1.76 -5.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 44 53 -17 2.06 58.91 -1.37 55.84 1.86 -16.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 44 52 -12 -1.39 44.99 -1.31 54.89 1.80 -11.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bolton 44 51 -9 -6.55 25.88 -4.42 53.41 1.74 -9.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fulham 44 49 -20 -7.12 24.88 -12.18 50.76 1.65 -21.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Reading 43 47 -21 -7.66 22.11 -14.24 50.55 2.18 -21.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Brighton 44 46 -8 -14.68 6.74 -9.11 48.14 1.72 -8.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 43 44 -22 -0.04 50.77 1.84 47.07 2.13 -23.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.58R 0.00 Millwall 44 40 -32 -2.75 39.11 -5.42 41.48 1.57 -33.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.01R 0.00 Wigan 44 39 -21 -16.95 3.98 -14.89 41.31 1.79 -21.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 97.42R 0.00 Blackpool 44 25 -54 -11.18 9.71 -14.73 26.89 1.68 -55.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 21 April 2015, MK_Dons 3 0 Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Bristol_City 44 93 +50 10.48 85.42 16.24 96.52 1.83 51.12 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Preston 44 86 +37 6.07 72.55 8.26 89.60 1.83 38.26 0.00 54.63 100.00 71.60P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 44 85 +52 1.59 55.94 16.58 89.05 1.74 54.06 0.00 45.37 100.00 67.69P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 43 77 +22 5.18 69.38 3.00 81.63 2.26 22.78 0.00 0.00 100.00 25.23P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 44 69 +13 0.15 50.39 0.64 71.96 1.85 13.33 0.00 0.00 99.02 19.92P 0.00 0.00 Chesterfield 44 68 +15 1.91 57.41 6.71 70.29 1.81 14.34 0.00 0.00 96.17 14.93P 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 44 63 +12 0.73 53.01 9.75 65.25 1.81 11.16 0.00 0.00 4.81 0.63P 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 44 60 -3 7.66 78.18 7.88 62.76 1.83 -2.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 44 59 -2 3.04 62.02 5.31 61.86 1.88 -1.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bradford 44 59 -2 1.72 57.37 2.19 61.98 1.85 -1.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Barnsley 44 59 -3 -2.77 39.69 -4.89 61.85 1.86 -2.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 44 59 -4 -4.68 32.42 -8.86 62.28 1.85 -3.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Doncaster 44 58 -6 -1.42 44.73 -4.77 61.03 1.86 -5.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Walsall 44 56 +0 -4.43 33.25 -0.93 58.46 1.74 -0.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Oldham 44 56 -11 2.59 60.68 -0.82 58.34 1.79 -11.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Scunthorpe 44 53 -11 -0.74 47.65 -0.12 55.57 1.84 -11.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04R 0.00 Coventry 44 52 -10 -5.02 31.25 -4.90 55.25 1.84 -9.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.95R 0.00 Port_Vale 44 51 -10 -2.10 42.50 1.24 53.92 1.85 -9.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.63R 0.00 Crawley_Town 44 50 -24 0.30 52.04 -7.72 52.26 1.78 -24.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.73R 0.00 Crewe 44 49 -33 6.14 74.85 -5.73 51.08 1.75 -33.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 48.75R 0.00 Leyton_Orient 44 47 -10 -16.20 5.55 -13.92 49.37 1.81 -10.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 68.63R 0.00 Notts_County 44 47 -17 -5.90 27.78 -6.07 49.51 1.83 -17.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 70.76R 0.00 Colchester 43 45 -21 -4.06 34.57 -5.12 47.99 2.13 -22.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 88.51R 0.47 Yeovil 44 40 -34 -6.37 26.25 -13.93 41.84 1.63 -35.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 99.53League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 21 April 2015, Bury 0 1 Southend; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Burton_Albion 44 88 +27 16.41 95.09 10.52 91.40 1.84 27.94 65.80 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 44 86 +37 4.99 68.89 7.53 89.74 1.77 38.36 34.20 99.89 100.00 99.92P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 44 81 +22 13.44 90.82 11.09 84.12 1.83 22.55 0.00 52.18 100.00 64.39P 0.00 0.00 Southend 44 81 +17 10.01 84.28 1.52 84.19 1.82 17.63 0.00 34.82 100.00 54.79P 0.00 0.00 Bury 44 79 +17 9.61 83.13 3.55 82.37 1.82 17.91 0.00 13.11 100.00 36.88P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 44 69 +9 0.88 53.37 -2.67 72.17 1.82 9.66 0.00 0.00 98.46 23.49P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 44 65 +15 0.86 53.87 8.67 67.57 1.69 14.82 0.00 0.00 58.51 12.21P 0.00 0.00 Luton 44 65 +9 1.57 56.22 3.90 67.45 1.77 8.67 0.00 0.00 37.29 7.48P 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 44 62 -4 6.86 75.97 2.96 64.52 1.79 -4.25 0.00 0.00 2.43 0.30P 0.00 0.00 Northampton 44 61 +8 -0.31 49.11 6.31 63.32 1.77 7.40 0.00 0.00 1.30 0.23P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 44 61 -4 2.14 59.00 -1.92 64.08 1.87 -3.52 0.00 0.00 2.01 0.31P 0.00 0.00 Morecambe 44 57 -2 -0.15 49.98 1.96 59.16 1.73 -2.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 44 57 -4 1.65 57.36 2.89 59.58 1.75 -4.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 44 56 -4 -0.72 47.58 0.87 58.81 1.83 -3.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 44 55 -2 -4.64 32.14 -1.95 57.98 1.83 -1.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 44 53 -3 -6.94 24.71 -2.94 56.00 1.83 -2.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 44 53 -16 0.60 53.13 -3.83 55.74 1.83 -16.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 44 51 -2 -3.03 38.80 7.01 53.19 1.77 -2.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 York 44 51 -3 -7.74 21.80 -2.09 53.78 1.80 -2.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Carlisle 44 49 -17 -6.28 27.49 -9.38 51.63 1.76 -17.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 44 48 -22 0.16 51.50 -5.13 50.34 1.79 -22.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Hartlepool 44 41 -32 -6.61 24.72 -14.68 43.29 1.79 -32.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 45.82R 14.46 Cheltenham 44 40 -26 -9.23 17.22 -10.41 41.88 1.68 -27.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 74.26R 38.12 Tranmere 44 39 -20 -16.66 4.61 -13.77 41.23 1.75 -20.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 79.91R 47.42Conference (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 21 April 2015, Aldershot 1 1 Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Barnet 45 89 +46 5.70 71.01 12.47 90.92 1.27 46.84 68.70 100.00 79.69P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 45 88 +32 3.93 64.86 -0.56 90.34 1.09 33.55 31.30 100.00 57.97P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 45 83 +32 3.73 64.22 6.11 84.89 1.26 32.73 0.00 100.00 29.53P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 45 81 +26 6.22 72.54 5.77 82.85 1.30 26.74 0.00 100.00 18.86P 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 45 79 +25 8.80 79.55 11.98 80.74 1.31 25.56 0.00 92.56 12.90P 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 45 77 +14 10.27 84.36 6.37 78.12 1.26 13.65 0.00 7.44 1.05P 0.00 0.00 Woking 45 73 +24 3.45 63.16 12.15 74.61 1.32 24.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 45 67 +11 3.97 64.83 9.25 67.93 1.22 10.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Halifax 45 66 +7 -1.44 44.56 -1.54 67.14 1.28 6.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 45 66 +6 -1.20 45.52 -2.22 66.85 1.17 5.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 45 63 +3 -2.55 40.33 -2.96 64.62 1.31 3.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Torquay 45 60 +4 -10.65 15.51 -9.47 61.62 1.31 4.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Chester 45 60 -14 9.84 84.02 4.44 61.68 1.30 -13.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 45 57 -8 -5.06 31.27 -8.81 58.02 1.24 -8.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 45 57 -9 -0.40 48.96 -1.86 58.47 1.32 -8.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Braintree_Town 45 56 -3 -5.47 29.87 -3.20 57.81 1.28 -2.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Altrincham 45 56 -17 6.88 75.80 2.61 56.93 1.19 -17.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 45 53 -8 -9.21 18.10 -9.02 53.85 1.14 -8.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Southport 45 48 -26 0.31 52.25 -3.78 49.10 1.26 -26.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Welling 45 45 -20 -6.22 26.78 -3.63 46.65 1.31 -19.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Alfreton_Town 45 45 -34 -2.15 42.47 -9.37 45.48 0.93 -35.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 AFC_Telford 45 39 -25 -7.45 23.38 0.93 40.12 1.26 -25.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 10.58 Nuneaton 45 39 -36 -5.54 28.37 -10.95 40.05 1.23 -36.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 32.97 Dartford 45 38 -30 -7.42 22.21 -4.74 39.28 1.30 -30.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 56.45