Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Friday 17 April 2015 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 13 April 2015, Liverpool 2 0 Newcastle; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 31 73 +38 8.64 87.69 3.50 87.34 3.22 45.46 97.22 99.76 99.98 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 32 66 +31 4.91 72.53 3.94 77.54 2.99 36.30 2.19 59.38 85.05 99.27 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 32 65 +29 3.54 66.52 1.72 75.27 3.11 32.11 0.55 25.18 59.96 96.35 99.99 0.00 0.00 Man_City 32 61 +31 -4.67 26.79 -4.96 74.20 2.85 39.48 0.03 15.60 53.66 93.91 99.94 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 32 57 +11 0.55 52.08 -8.29 67.72 3.03 14.89 0.00 0.06 0.92 6.95 94.61 0.00 0.00 Southampton 32 56 +22 4.94 72.55 11.72 65.43 3.14 23.61 0.00 0.01 0.41 3.26 80.36 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 32 54 +4 5.30 73.96 -2.25 62.07 3.17 3.68 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.26 24.94 0.00 0.00 Swansea 32 47 -2 4.26 70.37 0.49 54.15 3.10 -3.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 32 43 +2 1.37 57.21 5.96 51.06 3.12 1.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Stoke 32 43 -4 3.35 66.82 2.73 51.05 3.17 -4.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.00 Crystal_Palace 32 42 -1 4.75 72.87 9.39 48.68 2.94 -3.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Everton 32 38 -3 -9.45 12.36 -7.69 48.04 3.17 -0.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Newcastle 32 35 -18 0.64 54.13 -1.56 43.14 3.29 -18.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.10R 0.00 West_Brom 32 33 -16 -3.74 32.26 -4.19 37.73 2.79 -21.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.60R 0.03 Aston_Villa 33 32 -21 -1.60 43.08 -3.11 36.96 2.57 -24.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.95R 0.38 Sunderland 32 29 -23 -4.32 29.35 -6.57 33.88 2.71 -28.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 49.33R 9.02 Hull 32 28 -16 -4.92 26.39 0.77 33.74 2.90 -19.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 42.13R 7.62 QPR 33 26 -21 -6.14 22.48 1.22 30.39 2.54 -25.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 86.29R 46.55 Burnley 32 26 -24 -4.13 30.07 -1.89 32.37 3.02 -26.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 65.09R 23.31 Leicester 31 25 -19 -7.02 18.45 -0.91 33.85 3.44 -20.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 42.51R 13.10Championship (Latest match accounted for: Friday 17 April 2015, Norwich 0 1 Middlesbrough; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Middlesbrough 44 84 +32 10.12 84.42 12.36 87.41 1.83 32.92 14.61 39.52 100.00 55.12P 0.00 0.00 Bournemouth 43 83 +47 7.23 76.67 20.78 88.70 2.21 49.39 54.23 77.48 100.00 83.69P 0.00 0.00 Watford 43 82 +38 5.71 71.54 10.76 87.71 2.18 40.51 25.20 55.76 100.00 68.03P 0.00 0.00 Norwich 44 82 +38 0.91 52.80 6.42 86.21 1.73 40.32 5.97 27.22 100.00 51.57P 0.00 0.00 Derby 43 75 +32 -0.67 47.39 6.39 80.82 2.21 34.58 0.00 0.02 95.41 25.00P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 43 74 +18 8.11 79.17 7.85 78.11 2.26 18.01 0.00 0.00 63.02 10.05P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 43 71 +14 8.89 80.84 9.67 75.82 2.29 15.03 0.00 0.00 19.47 2.67P 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 43 71 +11 4.90 68.60 0.59 76.15 2.22 12.53 0.00 0.00 22.10 3.87P 0.00 0.00 Blackburn 42 59 +4 -1.12 45.88 0.54 65.61 2.63 5.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 43 58 +4 -3.28 37.55 1.21 61.79 2.24 3.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 43 58 -5 3.04 63.05 -0.11 61.07 2.05 -6.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Charlton 43 57 -3 2.97 62.61 4.11 60.89 2.24 -3.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 43 55 -6 -2.57 40.19 -3.76 60.18 2.17 -4.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 42 54 -12 2.72 61.59 -1.69 58.33 2.49 -13.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 43 52 -11 -0.52 48.59 -1.09 56.08 2.21 -10.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 43 52 -17 2.32 60.23 -1.90 55.81 2.24 -17.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bolton 43 50 -9 -6.51 25.69 -5.04 53.47 2.15 -10.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00R 0.00 Reading 42 47 -20 -6.52 25.54 -13.52 52.22 2.57 -20.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05R 0.00 Brighton 43 46 -7 -13.75 7.84 -8.75 49.43 2.14 -7.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.18R 0.00 Fulham 43 46 -21 -8.33 20.79 -12.45 49.36 2.13 -22.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.37R 0.00 Rotherham 43 44 -22 0.20 51.85 2.17 47.04 2.13 -23.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.87R 0.00 Millwall 42 39 -30 -2.13 41.42 -4.87 41.99 2.24 -33.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 95.43R 0.00 Wigan 43 36 -22 -17.95 2.80 -15.08 39.66 2.18 -22.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.11R 0.00 Blackpool 43 25 -53 -10.40 11.21 -14.59 28.02 2.13 -54.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Friday 17 April 2015, Port_Vale 2 2 Preston; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Bristol_City 43 92 +50 10.99 87.02 16.24 97.58 2.23 52.18 99.99 100.00 100.00 100.00P 0.00 0.00 Preston 43 83 +35 5.42 70.66 7.70 88.36 2.25 36.82 0.01 59.19 100.00 73.51P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 42 79 +44 1.92 57.21 14.40 86.68 2.56 47.36 0.00 31.78 100.00 56.89P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 41 76 +23 7.06 76.16 4.14 84.41 2.90 25.30 0.00 9.03 100.00 33.77P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 43 68 +13 0.82 53.20 1.03 72.61 2.26 13.73 0.00 0.00 97.90 19.98P 0.00 0.00 Chesterfield 43 67 +15 2.44 59.22 6.94 70.81 2.24 14.55 0.00 0.00 93.25 14.63P 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 42 60 +12 0.43 52.14 9.69 65.10 2.65 11.32 0.00 0.00 7.81 1.09P 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 43 59 -3 7.63 78.05 7.42 62.88 2.22 -3.28 0.00 0.00 0.23 0.02P 0.00 0.00 Barnsley 43 58 -3 -2.38 41.17 -4.82 62.25 2.31 -2.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 43 58 -4 -4.13 34.29 -8.66 62.63 2.27 -3.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Bradford 42 57 -2 2.18 59.32 1.77 62.36 2.60 -2.12 0.00 0.00 0.42 0.05P 0.00 0.00 Doncaster 42 57 -3 -1.11 46.01 -3.89 62.55 2.59 -2.95 0.00 0.00 0.39 0.06P 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 43 56 -3 1.87 57.89 5.05 60.18 2.32 -2.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Oldham 43 55 -11 3.00 62.64 -0.62 58.52 2.19 -11.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Walsall 42 54 +0 -3.71 35.42 -1.07 59.14 2.52 -0.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00R 0.00 Port_Vale 44 51 -10 -2.25 41.66 1.00 53.94 1.85 -9.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.78R 0.00 Coventry 43 51 -10 -4.84 32.14 -5.27 55.02 2.19 -10.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.30R 0.00 Scunthorpe 42 51 -11 0.01 50.75 -0.21 56.30 2.66 -11.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.10R 0.00 Crewe 43 48 -33 6.34 75.86 -5.88 51.16 2.15 -34.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 59.95R 0.00 Leyton_Orient 42 47 -4 -15.96 5.52 -11.77 51.74 2.59 -5.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 35.91R 0.00 Notts_County 42 47 -13 -4.86 31.40 -4.67 51.87 2.57 -13.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 38.38R 0.00 Crawley_Town 43 47 -26 -0.60 48.24 -8.64 50.56 2.22 -26.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 65.88R 0.00 Colchester 42 44 -21 -3.69 35.63 -5.20 48.38 2.53 -22.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 87.70R 0.12 Yeovil 43 37 -35 -7.91 20.64 -14.68 39.55 1.99 -37.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 99.88League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 15 April 2015, Burton_Albion 1 1 Carlisle; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Burton_Albion 43 85 +26 15.55 94.37 10.64 89.88 2.25 27.11 56.99 99.54 100.00 99.70P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 43 83 +36 4.09 65.92 7.48 88.69 2.16 38.16 41.09 98.97 100.00 99.33P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 43 80 +22 13.87 92.03 11.18 84.58 2.28 22.68 1.70 70.56 100.00 77.91P 0.00 0.00 Bury 42 76 +17 9.11 82.24 3.28 82.25 2.61 18.14 0.21 21.54 100.00 43.48P 0.00 0.00 Southend 42 75 +15 7.30 77.57 0.33 80.81 2.59 15.52 0.01 9.39 100.00 35.92P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 43 68 +9 1.50 55.99 -2.35 72.73 2.26 9.96 0.00 0.00 96.39 22.92P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 43 65 +17 1.62 56.72 9.91 68.98 2.15 16.89 0.00 0.00 72.81 15.58P 0.00 0.00 Luton 43 62 +6 1.46 56.23 3.00 66.25 2.19 6.26 0.00 0.00 14.12 2.74P 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 43 62 -3 8.21 79.96 3.84 66.11 2.23 -2.95 0.00 0.00 9.94 1.34P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 43 61 -3 3.03 62.40 -1.55 65.35 2.27 -2.61 0.00 0.00 6.48 1.04P 0.00 0.00 Northampton 43 58 +6 -1.05 46.05 5.64 62.14 2.21 6.07 0.00 0.00 0.25 0.04P 0.00 0.00 Morecambe 43 57 -1 0.81 53.78 2.36 60.41 2.16 -1.91 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 0.00 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 43 56 -4 1.91 58.34 2.87 59.86 2.19 -4.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 43 53 -2 -6.15 26.90 -2.71 57.34 2.25 -1.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 43 53 -5 -2.02 42.15 0.25 56.95 2.25 -5.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 43 52 -5 -5.22 29.82 -3.52 56.14 2.23 -4.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 43 52 -16 0.79 53.87 -4.12 55.97 2.25 -16.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 York 43 51 -2 -7.15 23.21 -2.07 54.52 2.10 -2.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 43 48 -4 -3.61 36.51 6.53 51.86 2.21 -4.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 43 48 -20 0.62 53.39 -4.51 51.41 2.19 -20.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02R 0.00 Carlisle 43 46 -19 -7.23 24.24 -10.26 49.88 2.20 -19.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.76R 0.04 Hartlepool 43 41 -29 -6.68 24.23 -13.81 44.25 2.15 -30.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 53.40R 20.76 Cheltenham 43 40 -24 -8.78 18.13 -9.67 42.81 2.09 -25.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 75.50R 43.48 Tranmere 43 39 -17 -16.63 4.49 -12.73 42.76 2.20 -17.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 70.32R 35.72Conference (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 14 April 2015, Halifax 0 2 Eastleigh; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Barnet 44 88 +46 6.32 73.64 12.78 91.56 1.84 47.22 63.31 100.00 76.17P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 44 87 +32 4.49 67.06 -0.37 91.05 1.69 34.04 36.69 100.00 61.03P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 44 82 +32 4.21 66.46 6.27 85.79 1.78 33.50 0.00 100.00 30.85P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 44 78 +24 5.33 70.02 5.08 81.16 1.86 24.64 0.00 95.56 17.26P 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 44 76 +24 7.66 76.61 11.78 79.18 1.89 24.65 0.00 78.33 11.08P 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 44 74 +12 9.43 82.75 5.51 77.11 1.78 12.55 0.00 18.39 2.48P 0.00 0.00 Woking 44 72 +24 3.82 64.82 12.12 75.35 1.86 24.88 0.00 7.72 1.12P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 44 66 +11 3.79 64.09 8.45 67.98 1.74 9.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Halifax 44 66 +9 -0.99 46.30 -1.04 68.68 1.84 8.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 44 66 +8 -0.29 48.99 -0.94 68.28 1.77 7.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 43 59 +0 -2.45 40.50 -4.03 63.39 2.26 0.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Torquay 44 57 +2 -11.20 13.77 -9.81 59.81 1.84 2.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 44 57 -8 0.68 53.32 -1.29 59.78 1.88 -7.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Chester 44 57 -15 8.34 80.15 3.85 59.62 1.78 -15.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Braintree_Town 44 56 +0 -5.41 29.75 -2.06 58.98 1.79 0.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 44 56 -8 -4.75 32.11 -8.88 58.13 1.78 -8.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Altrincham 44 56 -16 7.73 78.44 2.76 58.58 1.79 -16.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 43 52 -7 -7.58 22.65 -8.07 56.15 2.17 -6.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Southport 44 47 -26 0.57 53.22 -4.14 48.94 1.71 -27.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Welling 44 44 -20 -5.87 27.93 -3.63 46.95 1.87 -19.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.10R 0.00 Alfreton_Town 44 44 -34 -1.88 43.15 -9.73 45.93 1.62 -35.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.21R 0.00 Dartford 44 38 -28 -7.01 23.34 -4.14 40.07 1.73 -29.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.26R 17.27 Nuneaton 44 38 -36 -5.36 28.56 -11.13 40.05 1.74 -37.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.42R 24.53 AFC_Telford 44 36 -26 -8.71 19.04 0.67 38.23 1.80 -26.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 58.20