Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 17 April 2015 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 13 April 2015, Liverpool 2 0 Newcastle; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Chelsea          31   73  +38       8.64    87.69     3.50    87.34     3.22    45.46    97.22    99.76    99.98   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          32   66  +31       4.91    72.53     3.94    77.54     2.99    36.30     2.19    59.38    85.05    99.27   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          32   65  +29       3.54    66.52     1.72    75.27     3.11    32.11     0.55    25.18    59.96    96.35    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         32   61  +31      -4.67    26.79    -4.96    74.20     2.85    39.48     0.03    15.60    53.66    93.91    99.94     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        32   57  +11       0.55    52.08    -8.29    67.72     3.03    14.89     0.00     0.06     0.92     6.95    94.61     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      32   56  +22       4.94    72.55    11.72    65.43     3.14    23.61     0.00     0.01     0.41     3.26    80.36     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        32   54   +4       5.30    73.96    -2.25    62.07     3.17     3.68     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.26    24.94     0.00     0.00  
Swansea          32   47   -2       4.26    70.37     0.49    54.15     3.10    -3.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         32   43   +2       1.37    57.21     5.96    51.06     3.12     1.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            32   43   -4       3.35    66.82     2.73    51.05     3.17    -4.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   32   42   -1       4.75    72.87     9.39    48.68     2.94    -3.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Everton          32   38   -3      -9.45    12.36    -7.69    48.04     3.17    -0.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        32   35  -18       0.64    54.13    -1.56    43.14     3.29   -18.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10R    0.00  
West_Brom        32   33  -16      -3.74    32.26    -4.19    37.73     2.79   -21.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.60R    0.03  
Aston_Villa      33   32  -21      -1.60    43.08    -3.11    36.96     2.57   -24.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.95R    0.38  
Sunderland       32   29  -23      -4.32    29.35    -6.57    33.88     2.71   -28.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.33R    9.02  
Hull             32   28  -16      -4.92    26.39     0.77    33.74     2.90   -19.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.13R    7.62  
QPR              33   26  -21      -6.14    22.48     1.22    30.39     2.54   -25.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.29R   46.55  
Burnley          32   26  -24      -4.13    30.07    -1.89    32.37     3.02   -26.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.09R   23.31  
Leicester        31   25  -19      -7.02    18.45    -0.91    33.85     3.44   -20.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.51R   13.10  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Friday 17 April 2015, Norwich 0 1 Middlesbrough; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Middlesbrough   44   84  +32      10.12    84.42    12.36    87.41     1.83    32.92    14.61    39.52   100.00    55.12P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     43   83  +47       7.23    76.67    20.78    88.70     2.21    49.39    54.23    77.48   100.00    83.69P    0.00     0.00  
Watford         43   82  +38       5.71    71.54    10.76    87.71     2.18    40.51    25.20    55.76   100.00    68.03P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich         44   82  +38       0.91    52.80     6.42    86.21     1.73    40.32     5.97    27.22   100.00    51.57P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           43   75  +32      -0.67    47.39     6.39    80.82     2.21    34.58     0.00     0.02    95.41    25.00P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         43   74  +18       8.11    79.17     7.85    78.11     2.26    18.01     0.00     0.00    63.02    10.05P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       43   71  +14       8.89    80.84     9.67    75.82     2.29    15.03     0.00     0.00    19.47     2.67P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   43   71  +11       4.90    68.60     0.59    76.15     2.22    12.53     0.00     0.00    22.10     3.87P    0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       42   59   +4      -1.12    45.88     0.54    65.61     2.63     5.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   43   58   +4      -3.28    37.55     1.21    61.79     2.24     3.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       43   58   -5       3.04    63.05    -0.11    61.07     2.05    -6.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Charlton        43   57   -3       2.97    62.61     4.11    60.89     2.24    -3.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cardiff         43   55   -6      -2.57    40.19    -3.76    60.18     2.17    -4.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Birmingham      42   54  -12       2.72    61.59    -1.69    58.33     2.49   -13.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    43   52  -11      -0.52    48.59    -1.09    56.08     2.21   -10.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    43   52  -17       2.32    60.23    -1.90    55.81     2.24   -17.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bolton          43   50   -9      -6.51    25.69    -5.04    53.47     2.15   -10.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Reading         42   47  -20      -6.52    25.54   -13.52    52.22     2.57   -20.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05R    0.00  
Brighton        43   46   -7     -13.75     7.84    -8.75    49.43     2.14    -7.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.18R    0.00  
Fulham          43   46  -21      -8.33    20.79   -12.45    49.36     2.13   -22.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.37R    0.00  
Rotherham       43   44  -22       0.20    51.85     2.17    47.04     2.13   -23.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.87R    0.00  
Millwall        42   39  -30      -2.13    41.42    -4.87    41.99     2.24   -33.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.43R    0.00  
Wigan           43   36  -22     -17.95     2.80   -15.08    39.66     2.18   -22.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.11R    0.00  
Blackpool       43   25  -53     -10.40    11.21   -14.59    28.02     2.13   -54.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Friday 17 April 2015, Port_Vale 2 2 Preston; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Bristol_City     43   92  +50      10.99    87.02    16.24    97.58     2.23    52.18    99.99   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          43   83  +35       5.42    70.66     7.70    88.36     2.25    36.82     0.01    59.19   100.00    73.51P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          42   79  +44       1.92    57.21    14.40    86.68     2.56    47.36     0.00    31.78   100.00    56.89P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          41   76  +23       7.06    76.16     4.14    84.41     2.90    25.30     0.00     9.03   100.00    33.77P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        43   68  +13       0.82    53.20     1.03    72.61     2.26    13.73     0.00     0.00    97.90    19.98P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield     43   67  +15       2.44    59.22     6.94    70.81     2.24    14.55     0.00     0.00    93.25    14.63P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale         42   60  +12       0.43    52.14     9.69    65.10     2.65    11.32     0.00     0.00     7.81     1.09P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   43   59   -3       7.63    78.05     7.42    62.88     2.22    -3.28     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Barnsley         43   58   -3      -2.38    41.17    -4.82    62.25     2.31    -2.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Peterborough     43   58   -4      -4.13    34.29    -8.66    62.63     2.27    -3.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Bradford         42   57   -2       2.18    59.32     1.77    62.36     2.60    -2.12     0.00     0.00     0.42     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        42   57   -3      -1.11    46.01    -3.89    62.55     2.59    -2.95     0.00     0.00     0.39     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham       43   56   -3       1.87    57.89     5.05    60.18     2.32    -2.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oldham           43   55  -11       3.00    62.64    -0.62    58.52     2.19   -11.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Walsall          42   54   +0      -3.71    35.42    -1.07    59.14     2.52    -0.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Port_Vale        44   51  -10      -2.25    41.66     1.00    53.94     1.85    -9.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.78R    0.00  
Coventry         43   51  -10      -4.84    32.14    -5.27    55.02     2.19   -10.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.30R    0.00  
Scunthorpe       42   51  -11       0.01    50.75    -0.21    56.30     2.66   -11.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.10R    0.00  
Crewe            43   48  -33       6.34    75.86    -5.88    51.16     2.15   -34.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.95R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient    42   47   -4     -15.96     5.52   -11.77    51.74     2.59    -5.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.91R    0.00  
Notts_County     42   47  -13      -4.86    31.40    -4.67    51.87     2.57   -13.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.38R    0.00  
Crawley_Town     43   47  -26      -0.60    48.24    -8.64    50.56     2.22   -26.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.88R    0.00  
Colchester       42   44  -21      -3.69    35.63    -5.20    48.38     2.53   -22.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.70R    0.12  
Yeovil           43   37  -35      -7.91    20.64   -14.68    39.55     1.99   -37.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   99.88  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 15 April 2015, Burton_Albion 1 1 Carlisle; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Burton_Albion        43   85  +26      15.55    94.37    10.64    89.88     2.25    27.11    56.99    99.54   100.00    99.70P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           43   83  +36       4.09    65.92     7.48    88.69     2.16    38.16    41.09    98.97   100.00    99.33P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              43   80  +22      13.87    92.03    11.18    84.58     2.28    22.68     1.70    70.56   100.00    77.91P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 42   76  +17       9.11    82.24     3.28    82.25     2.61    18.14     0.21    21.54   100.00    43.48P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             42   75  +15       7.30    77.57     0.33    80.81     2.59    15.52     0.01     9.39   100.00    35.92P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            43   68   +9       1.50    55.99    -2.35    72.73     2.26     9.96     0.00     0.00    96.39    22.92P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             43   65  +17       1.62    56.72     9.91    68.98     2.15    16.89     0.00     0.00    72.81    15.58P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                43   62   +6       1.46    56.23     3.00    66.25     2.19     6.26     0.00     0.00    14.12     2.74P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       43   62   -3       8.21    79.96     3.84    66.11     2.23    -2.95     0.00     0.00     9.94     1.34P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               43   61   -3       3.03    62.40    -1.55    65.35     2.27    -2.61     0.00     0.00     6.48     1.04P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          43   58   +6      -1.05    46.05     5.64    62.14     2.21     6.07     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            43   57   -1       0.81    53.78     2.36    60.41     2.16    -1.91     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        43   56   -4       1.91    58.34     2.87    59.86     2.19    -4.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Portsmouth           43   53   -2      -6.15    26.90    -2.71    57.34     2.25    -1.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            43   53   -5      -2.02    42.15     0.25    56.95     2.25    -5.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           43   52   -5      -5.22    29.82    -3.52    56.14     2.23    -4.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   43   52  -16       0.79    53.87    -4.12    55.97     2.25   -16.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
York                 43   51   -2      -7.15    23.21    -2.07    54.52     2.10    -2.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd        43   48   -4      -3.61    36.51     6.53    51.86     2.21    -4.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            43   48  -20       0.62    53.39    -4.51    51.41     2.19   -20.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Carlisle             43   46  -19      -7.23    24.24   -10.26    49.88     2.20   -19.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.76R    0.04  
Hartlepool           43   41  -29      -6.68    24.23   -13.81    44.25     2.15   -30.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.40R   20.76  
Cheltenham           43   40  -24      -8.78    18.13    -9.67    42.81     2.09   -25.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.50R   43.48  
Tranmere             43   39  -17     -16.63     4.49   -12.73    42.76     2.20   -17.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.32R   35.72  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 14 April 2015, Halifax 0 2 Eastleigh; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barnet           44   88  +46       6.32    73.64    12.78    91.56     1.84    47.22    63.31   100.00    76.17P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   44   87  +32       4.49    67.06    -0.37    91.05     1.69    34.04    36.69   100.00    61.03P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          44   82  +32       4.21    66.46     6.27    85.79     1.78    33.50     0.00   100.00    30.85P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     44   78  +24       5.33    70.02     5.08    81.16     1.86    24.64     0.00    95.56    17.26P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        44   76  +24       7.66    76.61    11.78    79.18     1.89    24.65     0.00    78.33    11.08P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     44   74  +12       9.43    82.75     5.51    77.11     1.78    12.55     0.00    18.39     2.48P    0.00     0.00  
Woking           44   72  +24       3.82    64.82    12.12    75.35     1.86    24.88     0.00     7.72     1.12P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   44   66  +11       3.79    64.09     8.45    67.98     1.74     9.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Halifax          44   66   +9      -0.99    46.30    -1.04    68.68     1.84     8.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        44   66   +8      -0.29    48.99    -0.94    68.28     1.77     7.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          43   59   +0      -2.45    40.50    -4.03    63.39     2.26     0.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Torquay          44   57   +2     -11.20    13.77    -9.81    59.81     1.84     2.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     44   57   -8       0.68    53.32    -1.29    59.78     1.88    -7.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          44   57  -15       8.34    80.15     3.85    59.62     1.78   -15.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   44   56   +0      -5.41    29.75    -2.06    58.98     1.79     0.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster    44   56   -8      -4.75    32.11    -8.88    58.13     1.78    -8.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Altrincham       44   56  -16       7.73    78.44     2.76    58.58     1.79   -16.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Aldershot        43   52   -7      -7.58    22.65    -8.07    56.15     2.17    -6.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport        44   47  -26       0.57    53.22    -4.14    48.94     1.71   -27.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Welling          44   44  -20      -5.87    27.93    -3.63    46.95     1.87   -19.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10R    0.00  
Alfreton_Town    44   44  -34      -1.88    43.15    -9.73    45.93     1.62   -35.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.21R    0.00  
Dartford         44   38  -28      -7.01    23.34    -4.14    40.07     1.73   -29.01     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.26R   17.27  
Nuneaton         44   38  -36      -5.36    28.56   -11.13    40.05     1.74   -37.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.42R   24.53  
AFC_Telford      44   36  -26      -8.71    19.04     0.67    38.23     1.80   -26.78     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R   58.20