Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Thursday 2 April 2015 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 22 March 2015, Hull 2 3 Chelsea; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 29 67 +36 6.94 83.41 3.71 86.08 3.61 46.62 92.59 98.68 99.83 99.99 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 30 61 +34 -2.50 35.58 -2.91 77.91 3.39 43.99 5.47 67.14 91.03 98.44 99.96 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 30 60 +27 3.47 66.90 2.88 75.15 3.58 33.49 1.47 23.11 68.25 91.38 99.71 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 30 59 +25 2.24 60.90 1.15 72.76 3.62 29.17 0.46 10.43 34.82 79.08 98.89 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 30 54 +12 0.40 51.49 -7.07 68.09 3.55 16.92 0.00 0.44 4.10 18.32 86.23 0.00 0.00 Southampton 30 53 +21 5.26 74.52 11.51 65.71 3.62 23.38 0.00 0.12 1.25 8.12 65.78 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 30 53 +5 7.16 81.51 -1.21 65.02 3.73 6.46 0.00 0.09 0.71 4.67 49.07 0.00 0.00 Swansea 30 43 -4 3.71 68.78 -0.52 53.39 3.66 -5.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 30 42 +3 2.91 65.02 6.58 53.35 3.67 3.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.00 0.00 Stoke 30 42 -3 4.21 71.41 2.32 51.50 3.57 -5.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.00 0.00 Crystal_Palace 30 36 -5 2.25 62.43 6.35 44.19 3.40 -9.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02R 0.00 Newcastle 30 35 -15 1.97 60.99 -0.72 45.05 3.71 -16.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05R 0.00 Everton 30 34 -4 -10.21 9.78 -7.92 46.82 3.74 -1.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01R 0.00 West_Brom 30 33 -12 -2.05 40.26 -2.25 41.64 3.42 -15.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.39R 0.00 Hull 30 28 -12 -4.18 29.10 1.77 35.53 3.39 -16.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 19.09R 0.93 Aston_Villa 30 28 -20 -2.39 38.28 -4.04 35.66 3.27 -25.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 22.68R 1.77 Sunderland 30 26 -21 -4.99 25.65 -5.31 33.97 3.35 -25.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 39.82R 4.68 Burnley 30 25 -23 -3.22 33.82 -1.59 33.10 3.49 -27.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 51.64R 8.73 QPR 30 22 -23 -5.83 21.62 -0.79 28.60 3.25 -30.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 90.18R 52.03 Leicester 29 19 -21 -9.56 9.06 -1.93 29.89 3.92 -23.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 76.12R 31.86Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 March 2015, Blackburn 0 1 Brighton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Bournemouth 39 73 +42 5.17 70.58 19.58 85.11 3.47 45.89 42.10 67.13 99.16 75.45P 0.00 0.00 Watford 39 72 +32 3.76 65.13 8.73 83.65 3.50 35.10 21.37 43.70 97.58 57.83P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 39 72 +29 6.54 75.64 11.47 83.25 3.42 31.36 16.84 36.58 96.74 52.19P 0.00 0.00 Norwich 39 70 +33 -1.05 44.90 5.91 82.68 3.47 37.67 14.65 34.78 96.07 54.64P 0.00 0.00 Derby 39 67 +26 0.02 49.71 5.42 80.41 3.40 32.01 3.98 13.35 86.67 34.01P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 39 67 +16 7.98 80.14 7.91 77.97 3.48 18.09 0.83 3.23 61.66 13.98P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 39 66 +12 10.27 85.81 9.03 75.69 3.52 12.01 0.12 0.62 30.23 4.91P 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 39 65 +11 4.66 68.64 0.94 75.71 3.47 12.70 0.10 0.61 31.30 6.86P 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 39 57 +8 -0.39 48.78 2.56 66.91 3.54 8.42 0.00 0.00 0.55 0.12P 0.00 0.00 Blackburn 39 54 +1 -0.72 47.24 -0.53 64.44 3.54 2.24 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 Charlton 39 54 -2 4.91 70.36 4.37 63.27 3.47 -2.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 39 53 -4 2.99 63.20 0.27 61.51 3.34 -5.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 39 52 -4 1.97 58.96 1.19 61.09 3.44 -4.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 39 51 -2 -2.90 38.31 -2.58 61.54 3.42 -0.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 38 47 -12 1.11 55.69 -2.29 56.41 3.63 -14.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07R 0.00 Brighton 39 45 -3 -10.96 11.36 -6.91 54.54 3.45 -2.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.28R 0.00 Bolton 39 45 -11 -5.04 29.89 -5.56 54.22 3.39 -11.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.24R 0.00 Huddersfield 39 44 -19 -0.28 49.75 -3.49 51.72 3.38 -21.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.02R 0.00 Reading 38 44 -19 -4.21 32.91 -12.63 55.04 3.78 -19.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.43R 0.00 Fulham 39 43 -18 -6.68 24.75 -11.01 52.64 3.48 -18.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.06R 0.00 Rotherham 39 40 -20 -0.30 49.85 1.43 46.66 3.25 -24.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 28.15R 0.00 Wigan 39 35 -17 -15.62 4.11 -13.10 43.39 3.39 -18.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 69.98R 0.03 Millwall 39 33 -31 -4.34 31.58 -6.17 39.23 3.16 -36.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 96.77R 0.66 Blackpool 39 23 -48 -9.79 11.48 -14.55 28.83 3.08 -54.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 99.31League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 1 April 2015, Coventry 0 1 Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Bristol_City 39 84 +41 12.31 90.52 13.22 95.88 3.51 44.39 90.23 98.81 100.00 99.18P 0.00 0.00 Preston 38 74 +31 5.34 71.55 6.77 88.26 3.75 35.82 7.73 64.32 100.00 76.90P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 37 70 +26 5.57 72.34 5.67 84.43 4.05 29.07 1.49 21.02 100.00 44.18P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 38 69 +36 1.02 53.78 11.76 83.52 3.76 41.39 0.56 15.84 99.99 44.31P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 39 61 +11 0.51 52.13 0.72 71.85 3.53 12.80 0.00 0.00 78.54 15.98P 0.00 0.00 Chesterfield 39 57 +7 2.12 58.89 5.05 67.20 3.52 7.93 0.00 0.00 30.25 4.63P 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 38 56 +14 1.04 54.34 10.19 66.11 3.82 12.52 0.00 0.00 24.30 3.53P 0.00 0.00 Barnsley 39 56 +1 -0.90 46.69 -3.94 66.27 3.59 2.01 0.00 0.00 21.88 3.73P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 39 56 -1 -1.60 43.71 -6.97 66.91 3.50 0.93 0.00 0.00 22.93 4.10P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 38 54 +5 1.54 57.00 4.27 64.32 3.72 4.18 0.00 0.00 10.53 1.56P 0.01R 0.00 Doncaster 38 53 +0 -1.02 46.00 -2.98 64.09 3.78 0.17 0.00 0.00 8.93 1.62P 0.01R 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 39 53 -4 7.18 78.30 6.54 61.57 3.43 -5.38 0.00 0.00 1.33 0.15P 0.05R 0.00 Oldham 39 52 -9 4.14 67.73 -0.57 60.23 3.42 -10.92 0.00 0.00 0.65 0.05P 0.43R 0.00 Gillingham 39 51 -3 1.99 58.91 4.39 59.88 3.51 -4.21 0.00 0.00 0.59 0.06P 0.57R 0.00 Port_Vale 39 48 -8 0.37 52.24 1.23 56.71 3.49 -9.47 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 6.20R 0.00 Walsall 38 46 -6 -3.59 35.02 -3.33 56.74 3.67 -6.23 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.00P 7.22R 0.01 Coventry 40 46 -11 -5.32 29.36 -5.51 54.59 3.23 -10.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 17.61R 0.02 Leyton_Orient 39 45 -3 -13.73 7.62 -10.65 54.87 3.54 -2.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.11R 0.02 Crewe 39 45 -32 7.79 81.34 -5.93 51.96 3.31 -36.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 52.75R 0.33 Scunthorpe 38 44 -12 -1.10 46.13 -0.59 53.97 3.77 -13.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 25.96R 0.08 Notts_County 38 43 -13 -3.54 35.59 -4.52 53.08 3.74 -14.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 34.52R 0.27 Crawley_Town 39 43 -22 -0.42 49.02 -6.74 51.76 3.48 -23.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 51.99R 0.43 Colchester 38 38 -17 -5.84 26.88 -4.04 46.94 3.67 -20.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 88.64R 6.80 Yeovil 39 33 -31 -8.60 17.29 -14.03 40.18 3.27 -34.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.94R 92.04League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Monday 30 March 2015, Burton_Albion 1 1 Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Burton_Albion 39 77 +24 13.98 93.31 10.08 88.05 3.50 26.19 45.28 97.13 100.00 97.90P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 39 74 +30 3.78 65.29 6.07 86.97 3.42 34.74 36.72 95.24 100.00 97.07P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 39 74 +22 13.69 92.58 11.74 85.22 3.49 24.37 17.33 89.20 100.00 92.09P 0.00 0.00 Bury 38 67 +13 7.43 78.71 1.86 79.06 3.75 14.66 0.64 14.96 99.17 38.49P 0.00 0.00 Southend 38 63 +9 3.90 66.42 -1.44 75.84 3.74 11.69 0.03 3.31 93.33 29.34P 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 39 61 +3 10.03 85.75 6.03 70.44 3.46 2.89 0.00 0.07 52.15 8.71P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 39 60 +17 2.45 60.59 10.49 70.29 3.41 18.10 0.00 0.08 60.52 14.30P 0.00 0.00 Luton 39 58 +7 2.45 60.36 3.42 67.92 3.49 7.58 0.00 0.00 29.03 6.36P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 39 58 +6 -1.39 44.48 -2.95 69.55 3.55 8.90 0.00 0.02 47.60 12.14P 0.00 0.00 Northampton 39 56 +8 1.62 57.16 6.48 65.44 3.48 7.77 0.00 0.00 11.82 2.40P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 39 55 -1 1.40 56.14 -1.27 63.84 3.41 -2.10 0.00 0.00 4.34 0.83P 0.00 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 39 53 +0 2.71 61.54 4.45 62.12 3.46 -0.61 0.00 0.00 1.75 0.30P 0.00 0.00 Morecambe 39 50 -3 -0.26 49.61 0.98 58.56 3.41 -4.31 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.02P 0.00R 0.00 Portsmouth 39 49 +0 -5.60 27.52 -2.11 58.51 3.49 -0.05 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.03P 0.00R 0.00 Dag_&_Red 39 49 -6 -0.37 49.12 -0.32 57.72 3.45 -7.30 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.01P 0.01R 0.00 Oxford_Utd 39 46 -6 -5.53 27.76 -4.03 55.21 3.45 -6.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.39R 0.04 Accrington_Stanley 39 46 -18 0.93 54.78 -5.22 54.87 3.51 -19.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.87R 0.10 Mansfield 39 45 -17 1.20 56.09 -3.92 52.29 3.28 -20.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.72R 0.55 Cambridge_Utd 39 44 -1 -3.52 35.96 7.39 53.10 3.49 -1.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.71R 0.30 York 39 41 -5 -10.27 13.38 -2.89 50.68 3.39 -4.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.33R 2.39 Carlisle 39 41 -18 -7.06 23.10 -9.82 49.88 3.49 -19.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.57R 4.09 Hartlepool 39 39 -27 -4.25 32.46 -13.15 46.80 3.34 -29.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 49.73R 21.76 Tranmere 39 38 -14 -13.88 7.12 -12.09 46.60 3.42 -15.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 43.45R 17.43 Cheltenham 39 37 -23 -7.09 22.09 -9.77 44.12 3.28 -26.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 77.21R 53.35Conference (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 31 March 2015, Dartford 1 1 Gateshead; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Barnet 41 79 +41 4.09 66.06 11.76 88.61 2.85 45.18 48.98 99.99 65.58P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 41 78 +31 5.25 70.51 6.55 87.41 2.88 34.61 25.30 99.91 49.37P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 41 78 +23 4.36 67.28 -2.17 87.80 2.78 27.36 25.59 99.93 51.19P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 41 72 +21 5.07 69.81 4.55 80.31 2.96 23.15 0.11 77.05 14.95P 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 41 72 +14 10.61 86.17 6.10 78.96 2.86 14.18 0.02 56.49 8.48P 0.00 0.00 Woking 41 68 +22 5.15 69.92 11.89 76.17 2.98 23.94 0.00 27.81 4.56P 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 40 67 +20 6.45 73.81 11.39 76.61 3.32 22.14 0.00 33.22 4.82P 0.00 0.00 Halifax 40 64 +14 0.79 53.47 1.35 72.42 3.27 14.23 0.00 5.51 1.03P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 41 62 +10 -1.18 45.25 -0.44 68.38 2.86 9.26 0.00 0.08 0.01P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 41 60 +11 1.87 57.52 8.34 65.97 2.92 9.55 0.00 0.01 0.00P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 41 55 -2 -3.85 34.66 -6.14 61.56 2.93 -2.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Chester 41 54 -10 7.20 77.76 4.73 59.65 2.80 -11.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 40 53 -8 1.88 58.45 -1.69 60.59 3.24 -9.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Altrincham 41 53 -15 7.86 79.36 2.49 58.77 2.81 -16.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 39 52 -4 -2.45 39.88 -5.84 61.67 3.42 -3.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Torquay 40 50 +1 -11.88 11.31 -9.63 60.17 3.22 3.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Braintree_Town 40 49 -1 -6.14 26.12 -1.94 58.33 3.22 0.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Southport 40 47 -17 2.28 60.27 -1.06 53.93 3.09 -18.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02R 0.00 Aldershot 40 45 -11 -9.32 16.38 -10.43 52.43 3.12 -12.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06R 0.00 Alfreton_Town 41 44 -26 -1.15 46.23 -7.46 48.62 2.66 -29.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.83R 0.00 Nuneaton 41 38 -32 -3.35 36.56 -10.39 42.92 2.71 -34.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 65.72R 1.37 Welling 40 37 -23 -6.71 23.47 -5.87 44.15 3.19 -24.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 36.80R 0.58 Dartford 41 34 -29 -7.07 22.30 -5.49 38.98 2.71 -31.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 93.86R 15.32 AFC_Telford 41 29 -30 -10.12 14.12 -0.62 34.54 2.92 -32.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.70R 82.72