Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Wednesday 1 April 2015 at 21:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 22 March 2015, Hull 2 3 Chelsea; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 29 67 +36 7.04 83.36 3.89 86.08 3.63 46.59 92.38 98.76 99.85 99.99 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 30 61 +34 -2.34 36.52 -2.67 77.90 3.38 44.00 5.59 66.70 90.88 98.27 99.96 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 30 60 +27 3.29 65.91 2.59 75.16 3.59 33.54 1.58 23.30 68.25 91.33 99.72 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 30 59 +25 2.09 60.06 0.83 72.84 3.61 29.29 0.44 10.59 35.19 80.02 98.89 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 30 54 +12 0.36 51.46 -7.13 68.06 3.55 16.91 0.00 0.45 3.99 17.80 86.18 0.00 0.00 Southampton 30 53 +21 5.25 74.55 11.53 65.69 3.63 23.37 0.00 0.14 1.17 8.10 65.57 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 30 53 +5 7.15 81.47 -1.23 65.01 3.71 6.46 0.00 0.06 0.68 4.49 49.29 0.00 0.00 Swansea 30 43 -4 3.69 68.62 -0.56 53.40 3.64 -5.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.18 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 30 42 +3 2.90 64.97 6.62 53.34 3.68 3.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.00 0.00 Stoke 30 42 -3 4.19 70.85 2.32 51.50 3.57 -5.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.00 0.00 Crystal_Palace 30 36 -5 2.34 62.99 6.51 44.16 3.37 -9.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01R 0.00 Newcastle 30 35 -15 1.85 60.51 -0.87 45.09 3.72 -16.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03R 0.00 Everton 30 34 -4 -10.25 9.34 -7.94 46.76 3.71 -1.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01R 0.00 West_Brom 30 33 -12 -1.94 40.65 -2.03 41.64 3.44 -15.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.42R 0.00 Hull 30 28 -12 -4.09 29.59 1.91 35.52 3.37 -16.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 19.26R 0.93 Aston_Villa 30 28 -20 -2.28 38.72 -3.84 35.63 3.25 -25.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 23.09R 1.89 Sunderland 30 26 -21 -5.11 25.05 -5.51 33.99 3.34 -25.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 39.45R 4.73 Burnley 30 25 -23 -3.23 33.70 -1.67 33.13 3.49 -27.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 51.35R 8.67 QPR 30 22 -23 -5.84 21.96 -0.81 28.61 3.25 -30.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 90.10R 52.16 Leicester 29 19 -21 -9.60 8.83 -1.93 29.89 3.93 -23.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 76.29R 31.61Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 March 2015, Blackburn 0 1 Brighton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Bournemouth 39 73 +42 5.17 70.55 19.62 85.10 3.49 45.83 41.84 66.58 99.11 75.30P 0.00 0.00 Watford 39 72 +32 3.92 65.56 9.02 83.61 3.49 35.04 20.73 43.44 97.70 57.59P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 39 72 +29 6.54 75.92 11.45 83.26 3.43 31.39 16.80 36.33 96.85 51.87P 0.00 0.00 Norwich 39 70 +33 -1.24 44.35 5.61 82.73 3.47 37.75 15.29 35.63 96.15 55.52P 0.00 0.00 Derby 39 67 +26 -0.04 49.57 5.32 80.44 3.42 32.04 4.21 13.50 86.61 34.10P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 39 67 +16 7.87 79.76 7.82 77.96 3.48 18.07 0.88 3.16 61.41 13.72P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 39 66 +12 10.45 85.89 9.30 75.68 3.53 11.99 0.13 0.70 29.64 4.92P 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 39 65 +11 4.63 68.54 0.83 75.75 3.46 12.73 0.13 0.67 31.94 6.87P 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 39 57 +8 -0.13 49.58 2.93 66.84 3.54 8.30 0.00 0.00 0.55 0.10P 0.00 0.00 Blackburn 39 54 +1 -0.73 47.16 -0.60 64.48 3.54 2.30 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 0.00 0.00 Charlton 39 54 -2 4.63 69.76 3.94 63.31 3.49 -2.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 39 53 -4 2.81 62.25 -0.02 61.54 3.32 -5.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 39 52 -4 2.23 60.18 1.61 61.05 3.42 -4.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 39 51 -2 -2.82 38.78 -2.47 61.54 3.45 -0.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 38 47 -12 1.09 55.38 -2.27 56.42 3.63 -14.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.08R 0.00 Brighton 39 45 -3 -10.74 12.41 -6.63 54.52 3.44 -2.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.32R 0.00 Bolton 39 45 -11 -5.29 28.92 -5.86 54.23 3.40 -11.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.25R 0.00 Huddersfield 39 44 -19 -0.17 50.25 -3.40 51.72 3.40 -21.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.06R 0.00 Reading 38 44 -19 -4.25 32.47 -12.66 55.04 3.76 -19.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.42R 0.00 Fulham 39 43 -18 -6.72 24.63 -11.05 52.66 3.50 -18.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.09R 0.00 Rotherham 39 40 -20 0.06 51.47 2.02 46.59 3.24 -24.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 28.49R 0.00 Wigan 39 35 -17 -15.81 3.97 -13.40 43.40 3.40 -18.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 69.54R 0.03 Millwall 39 33 -31 -4.44 31.10 -6.42 39.25 3.15 -36.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 96.74R 0.72 Blackpool 39 23 -48 -9.87 10.98 -14.71 28.84 3.07 -54.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 99.25League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 1 April 2015, Coventry 0 1 Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Bristol_City 39 84 +41 12.31 90.61 13.27 95.94 3.52 44.46 90.64 98.91 100.00 99.24P 0.00 0.00 Preston 38 74 +31 5.63 72.66 7.19 88.14 3.76 35.68 7.47 63.75 100.00 76.08P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 37 70 +26 5.70 72.68 5.81 84.42 4.02 29.03 1.41 21.23 100.00 44.52P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 38 69 +36 1.06 53.80 11.82 83.51 3.77 41.39 0.49 16.12 99.99 44.47P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 39 61 +11 0.29 51.19 0.45 71.85 3.52 12.82 0.00 0.00 79.19 16.24P 0.00 0.00 Chesterfield 39 57 +7 1.73 57.07 4.51 67.25 3.53 7.98 0.00 0.00 30.69 4.83P 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 38 56 +14 0.93 54.10 10.04 66.15 3.82 12.55 0.00 0.00 24.34 3.54P 0.00 0.00 Barnsley 39 56 +1 -0.60 47.93 -3.47 66.20 3.58 1.92 0.00 0.00 21.04 3.55P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 39 56 -1 -1.46 44.30 -6.82 66.87 3.52 0.87 0.00 0.00 22.44 4.06P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 38 54 +5 1.59 57.26 4.28 64.34 3.75 4.21 0.00 0.00 10.81 1.65P 0.00 0.00 Doncaster 38 53 +0 -0.97 46.35 -2.86 64.09 3.79 0.18 0.00 0.00 8.81 1.50P 0.01R 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 39 53 -4 7.36 78.58 6.82 61.56 3.43 -5.36 0.00 0.00 1.34 0.17P 0.06R 0.00 Oldham 39 52 -9 4.36 68.66 -0.26 60.19 3.43 -11.00 0.00 0.00 0.71 0.08P 0.45R 0.00 Gillingham 39 51 -3 1.85 58.30 4.12 59.86 3.50 -4.24 0.00 0.00 0.56 0.06P 0.63R 0.00 Port_Vale 39 48 -8 0.42 52.44 1.23 56.73 3.49 -9.45 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 6.25R 0.00 Walsall 38 46 -6 -3.65 34.95 -3.41 56.76 3.66 -6.19 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 7.06R 0.00 Coventry 40 46 -11 -5.32 29.31 -5.47 54.56 3.22 -10.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 17.88R 0.02 Leyton_Orient 39 45 -3 -13.78 7.49 -10.73 54.88 3.51 -2.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.05R 0.02 Crewe 39 45 -32 7.74 81.38 -6.07 51.97 3.29 -36.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 52.70R 0.29 Scunthorpe 38 44 -12 -1.21 45.76 -0.72 54.02 3.78 -13.63 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 25.78R 0.09 Notts_County 38 43 -13 -3.59 35.49 -4.73 53.10 3.74 -14.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 34.38R 0.23 Crawley_Town 39 43 -22 -0.48 48.63 -6.78 51.77 3.50 -23.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 52.05R 0.49 Colchester 38 38 -17 -5.90 26.58 -4.12 46.94 3.68 -20.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 88.79R 6.90 Yeovil 39 33 -31 -8.61 17.40 -14.10 40.19 3.27 -34.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.92R 91.95League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Monday 30 March 2015, Burton_Albion 1 1 Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Burton_Albion 39 77 +24 13.90 93.13 9.99 88.05 3.50 26.20 45.43 97.11 100.00 97.98P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 39 74 +30 3.85 65.62 6.13 86.98 3.39 34.75 36.46 95.31 100.00 97.10P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 39 74 +22 13.66 92.80 11.67 85.22 3.46 24.38 17.35 89.48 100.00 92.21P 0.00 0.00 Bury 38 67 +13 7.40 78.62 1.85 79.07 3.75 14.68 0.74 14.86 99.10 37.82P 0.00 0.00 Southend 38 63 +9 3.76 66.13 -1.60 75.88 3.70 11.73 0.02 3.11 93.71 29.99P 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 39 61 +3 10.03 86.03 6.10 70.41 3.44 2.82 0.00 0.05 51.77 8.48P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 39 60 +17 2.48 60.69 10.47 70.27 3.45 18.09 0.00 0.08 60.01 14.26P 0.00 0.00 Luton 39 58 +7 2.58 60.80 3.60 67.90 3.48 7.56 0.00 0.01 28.99 6.29P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 39 58 +6 -1.32 44.52 -2.83 69.56 3.56 8.89 0.00 0.01 47.76 12.23P 0.00 0.00 Northampton 39 56 +8 1.56 56.82 6.37 65.43 3.49 7.76 0.00 0.00 12.00 2.39P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 39 55 -1 1.34 55.87 -1.39 63.85 3.44 -2.06 0.00 0.00 4.57 0.89P 0.00 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 39 53 +0 2.70 61.74 4.42 62.15 3.47 -0.60 0.00 0.00 1.84 0.30P 0.00 0.00 Morecambe 39 50 -3 -0.16 49.82 1.14 58.54 3.39 -4.33 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.02P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 39 49 +0 -5.42 28.40 -1.84 58.50 3.49 -0.10 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.03P 0.00R 0.00 Dag_&_Red 39 49 -6 -0.79 47.15 -0.94 57.76 3.43 -7.25 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 0.01R 0.00 Oxford_Utd 39 46 -6 -5.36 28.36 -3.86 55.19 3.45 -6.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.37R 0.03 Accrington_Stanley 39 46 -18 0.87 54.31 -5.33 54.84 3.51 -19.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.96R 0.12 Mansfield 39 45 -17 1.16 55.87 -3.96 52.32 3.28 -20.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.49R 0.51 Cambridge_Utd 39 44 -1 -3.55 36.19 7.39 53.12 3.49 -1.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.68R 0.28 York 39 41 -5 -10.12 13.42 -2.74 50.67 3.40 -4.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.18R 2.40 Carlisle 39 41 -18 -7.18 22.91 -9.98 49.91 3.46 -19.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.50R 3.97 Hartlepool 39 39 -27 -4.17 32.86 -12.94 46.79 3.35 -29.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 49.78R 21.96 Tranmere 39 38 -14 -13.79 7.35 -11.97 46.57 3.41 -15.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 43.70R 17.46 Cheltenham 39 37 -23 -7.05 22.32 -9.73 44.10 3.28 -26.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 77.33R 53.26Conference (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 31 March 2015, Dartford 1 1 Gateshead; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Barnet 41 79 +41 4.16 66.04 11.88 88.56 2.86 45.13 48.72 99.99 65.11P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 41 78 +31 5.28 71.03 6.60 87.38 2.87 34.58 25.09 99.92 49.00P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 41 78 +23 4.43 67.08 -2.12 87.81 2.77 27.38 26.02 99.93 51.85P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 41 72 +21 5.09 69.75 4.58 80.29 2.96 23.12 0.13 76.66 14.55P 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 41 72 +14 10.73 86.66 6.27 78.95 2.84 14.17 0.02 56.03 8.73P 0.00 0.00 Woking 41 68 +22 5.04 69.79 11.76 76.20 2.96 23.97 0.00 27.77 4.43P 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 40 67 +20 6.10 72.53 10.83 76.67 3.32 22.25 0.01 34.13 5.24P 0.00 0.00 Halifax 40 64 +14 0.63 52.52 1.08 72.43 3.26 14.24 0.00 5.45 1.07P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 41 62 +10 -1.39 44.27 -0.79 68.39 2.86 9.29 0.00 0.10 0.02P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 41 60 +11 2.13 58.60 8.73 65.94 2.93 9.52 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 41 55 -2 -3.93 34.55 -6.32 61.59 2.93 -2.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Chester 41 54 -10 7.45 78.75 5.13 59.64 2.78 -11.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 40 53 -8 1.77 57.75 -1.87 60.57 3.26 -9.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Altrincham 41 53 -15 7.64 78.49 2.17 58.79 2.81 -16.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 39 52 -4 -2.43 40.24 -5.80 61.69 3.44 -3.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Torquay 40 50 +1 -11.83 11.46 -9.58 60.14 3.22 3.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Braintree_Town 40 49 -1 -6.33 25.55 -2.26 58.36 3.23 0.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Southport 40 47 -17 2.42 61.00 -0.87 53.87 3.08 -18.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03R 0.00 Aldershot 40 45 -11 -9.35 16.00 -10.44 52.44 3.11 -12.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07R 0.00 Alfreton_Town 41 44 -26 -0.96 46.60 -7.19 48.57 2.64 -29.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.81R 0.00 Nuneaton 41 38 -32 -3.25 37.17 -10.22 42.90 2.69 -34.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 65.81R 1.39 Welling 40 37 -23 -6.54 24.08 -5.60 44.12 3.18 -24.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 37.12R 0.59 Dartford 41 34 -29 -7.04 22.22 -5.40 39.01 2.72 -31.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 93.56R 15.65 AFC_Telford 41 29 -30 -10.13 13.72 -0.54 34.59 2.91 -32.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.61R 82.38