Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Saturday 28 March 2015 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 22 March 2015, Hull 2 3 Chelsea; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 29 67 +36 7.01 83.23 3.84 86.03 3.64 46.56 92.20 98.52 99.85 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 30 61 +34 -2.46 35.65 -2.82 77.95 3.36 44.08 5.71 67.25 91.13 98.38 99.96 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 30 60 +27 3.36 66.38 2.73 75.16 3.59 33.52 1.60 22.95 67.93 91.27 99.71 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 30 59 +25 2.16 60.37 1.02 72.81 3.62 29.24 0.47 10.64 35.03 79.29 98.89 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 30 54 +12 0.31 51.17 -7.17 68.12 3.55 16.96 0.01 0.47 4.10 18.63 86.35 0.00 0.00 Southampton 30 53 +21 5.41 75.25 11.77 65.64 3.65 23.29 0.00 0.12 1.29 7.86 65.17 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 30 53 +5 7.08 81.54 -1.38 65.02 3.74 6.46 0.00 0.05 0.67 4.58 49.58 0.00 0.00 Swansea 30 43 -4 3.95 69.68 -0.16 53.37 3.66 -5.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 30 42 +3 2.90 64.72 6.61 53.32 3.68 3.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.16 0.00 0.00 Stoke 30 42 -3 4.15 70.76 2.22 51.51 3.59 -5.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.00 0.00 Crystal_Palace 30 36 -5 2.43 63.47 6.55 44.15 3.36 -9.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01R 0.00 Newcastle 30 35 -15 1.99 61.10 -0.76 45.05 3.71 -16.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03R 0.00 Everton 30 34 -4 -10.27 9.36 -8.00 46.78 3.75 -1.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02R 0.00 West_Brom 30 33 -12 -2.07 40.37 -2.20 41.64 3.43 -15.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.44R 0.00 Hull 30 28 -12 -4.08 29.50 1.88 35.53 3.38 -16.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 19.27R 0.94 Aston_Villa 30 28 -20 -2.35 38.68 -4.00 35.66 3.27 -25.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 22.92R 1.86 Sunderland 30 26 -21 -4.99 25.36 -5.30 33.94 3.32 -25.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 40.19R 4.73 Burnley 30 25 -23 -3.40 33.07 -1.83 33.16 3.51 -27.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 51.23R 8.76 QPR 30 22 -23 -5.83 21.78 -0.89 28.60 3.25 -30.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 90.30R 52.28 Leicester 29 19 -21 -9.69 8.67 -2.11 29.95 3.94 -23.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 75.59R 31.43Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 March 2015, Blackburn 0 1 Brighton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Bournemouth 39 73 +42 5.17 70.51 19.68 85.11 3.46 45.87 42.23 66.86 99.14 75.38P 0.00 0.00 Watford 39 72 +32 3.60 64.24 8.46 83.66 3.50 35.12 21.32 43.81 97.62 58.06P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 39 72 +29 6.49 75.31 11.43 83.26 3.42 31.36 16.65 36.44 96.75 51.84P 0.00 0.00 Norwich 39 70 +33 -1.08 45.10 5.89 82.71 3.46 37.71 14.75 35.26 96.17 54.97P 0.00 0.00 Derby 39 67 +26 -0.06 49.55 5.28 80.40 3.42 31.99 4.01 13.20 86.17 33.88P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 39 67 +16 8.13 80.43 8.16 77.95 3.49 18.07 0.81 3.15 61.29 13.63P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 39 66 +12 10.08 85.23 8.71 75.75 3.54 12.10 0.12 0.63 30.84 5.09P 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 39 65 +11 4.64 68.36 0.81 75.72 3.48 12.68 0.12 0.65 31.43 7.04P 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 39 57 +8 -0.31 48.74 2.66 66.89 3.54 8.39 0.00 0.00 0.55 0.10P 0.00 0.00 Blackburn 39 54 +1 -0.85 46.42 -0.73 64.50 3.54 2.32 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 0.00 0.00 Charlton 39 54 -2 4.88 70.87 4.39 63.28 3.48 -2.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 39 53 -4 3.04 63.67 0.30 61.51 3.31 -5.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 39 52 -4 2.05 59.15 1.31 61.10 3.43 -4.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 39 51 -2 -2.68 39.20 -2.25 61.48 3.43 -0.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Birmingham 38 47 -12 1.04 55.30 -2.35 56.38 3.62 -14.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07R 0.00 Brighton 39 45 -3 -10.86 12.00 -6.81 54.53 3.46 -2.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.29R 0.00 Bolton 39 45 -11 -5.13 29.39 -5.67 54.23 3.39 -11.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.26R 0.00 Huddersfield 39 44 -19 -0.13 50.37 -3.27 51.68 3.39 -21.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.03R 0.00 Reading 38 44 -19 -4.18 32.63 -12.61 55.02 3.79 -19.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.45R 0.00 Fulham 39 43 -18 -6.62 24.85 -10.92 52.60 3.48 -18.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.32R 0.00 Rotherham 39 40 -20 -0.07 50.89 1.87 46.65 3.26 -24.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 28.12R 0.00 Wigan 39 35 -17 -15.83 4.13 -13.43 43.42 3.41 -18.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 69.61R 0.03 Millwall 39 33 -31 -4.31 31.54 -6.14 39.22 3.13 -36.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 96.84R 0.70 Blackpool 39 23 -48 -9.88 11.31 -14.76 28.89 3.08 -54.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 99.27League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 March 2015, Bradford 2 0 Oldham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Bristol_City 39 84 +41 12.40 90.66 13.39 95.86 3.52 44.34 86.87 98.66 100.00 99.09P 0.00 0.00 Preston 37 73 +31 6.28 75.35 7.54 89.10 4.02 36.51 11.27 69.23 100.00 79.79P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 37 70 +26 5.43 71.89 5.44 84.49 4.04 29.12 1.41 18.69 100.00 43.06P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 38 69 +36 0.84 53.24 11.60 83.54 3.75 41.45 0.44 13.41 99.99 43.17P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 39 61 +11 0.42 51.67 0.55 71.88 3.51 12.84 0.00 0.00 79.86 16.15P 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 38 56 +14 0.98 54.15 10.16 66.11 3.82 12.48 0.00 0.00 24.36 3.53P 0.00 0.00 Barnsley 39 56 +1 -0.65 47.46 -3.48 66.22 3.60 1.94 0.00 0.00 21.92 3.65P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 39 56 -1 -1.43 44.31 -6.75 66.83 3.51 0.83 0.00 0.00 22.48 3.93P 0.00 0.00 Chesterfield 38 54 +6 0.63 52.95 4.34 65.49 3.79 6.78 0.00 0.00 18.59 2.78P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 37 54 +6 2.80 62.47 5.13 65.78 3.97 5.33 0.00 0.00 20.51 2.98P 0.00 0.00 Doncaster 38 53 +0 -0.86 46.70 -2.73 64.05 3.77 0.13 0.00 0.00 9.10 1.57P 0.01R 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 38 52 -4 7.68 79.90 6.75 61.37 3.64 -6.18 0.00 0.00 1.70 0.16P 0.13R 0.00 Oldham 39 52 -9 4.16 67.88 -0.56 60.25 3.45 -10.92 0.00 0.00 0.74 0.07P 0.37R 0.00 Gillingham 39 51 -3 2.00 58.73 4.40 59.87 3.51 -4.24 0.00 0.00 0.64 0.06P 0.63R 0.00 Port_Vale 39 48 -8 0.20 51.23 0.89 56.78 3.48 -9.39 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 5.64R 0.00 Walsall 38 46 -6 -3.80 34.54 -3.64 56.81 3.67 -6.13 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.01P 6.56R 0.00 Coventry 39 46 -10 -4.27 32.92 -4.90 55.91 3.53 -9.64 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 11.38R 0.01 Crewe 39 45 -32 7.64 81.04 -6.22 51.98 3.32 -35.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 50.86R 0.34 Scunthorpe 38 44 -12 -1.42 44.76 -1.07 54.04 3.77 -13.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 24.36R 0.10 Notts_County 38 43 -13 -3.65 35.04 -4.80 53.10 3.76 -14.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 32.87R 0.24 Crawley_Town 39 43 -22 -0.56 48.44 -6.85 51.73 3.46 -23.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 51.09R 0.46 Leyton_Orient 38 42 -4 -15.10 5.48 -11.28 53.29 3.80 -3.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 27.79R 0.14 Colchester 38 38 -17 -5.76 26.71 -3.88 46.91 3.68 -20.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 88.37R 6.91 Yeovil 39 33 -31 -8.60 17.36 -14.04 40.18 3.28 -34.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.94R 91.79League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 March 2015, Cheltenham 0 3 Plymouth; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Burton_Albion 38 76 +24 14.47 94.21 10.22 88.71 3.76 26.58 50.81 97.42 100.00 98.17P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 39 74 +30 4.04 66.30 6.36 86.94 3.41 34.71 32.64 95.04 100.00 96.90P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 39 74 +22 13.68 92.60 11.71 85.23 3.49 24.35 15.82 89.12 100.00 91.97P 0.00 0.00 Bury 38 67 +13 7.39 78.72 1.84 79.12 3.76 14.73 0.71 15.24 99.13 38.55P 0.00 0.00 Southend 38 63 +9 3.89 66.46 -1.44 75.82 3.71 11.67 0.02 3.00 93.33 29.04P 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 39 61 +3 10.13 86.15 6.17 70.40 3.45 2.83 0.00 0.06 51.95 8.57P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 39 60 +17 2.44 60.33 10.43 70.28 3.41 18.09 0.00 0.07 60.19 14.42P 0.00 0.00 Luton 39 58 +7 2.51 60.63 3.51 67.96 3.49 7.62 0.00 0.00 29.48 6.59P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 38 57 +6 -1.12 45.60 -3.06 69.62 3.79 8.47 0.00 0.06 47.80 12.36P 0.00 0.00 Northampton 39 56 +8 1.60 56.92 6.42 65.44 3.48 7.78 0.00 0.00 11.61 2.27P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 39 55 -1 1.50 56.67 -1.19 63.81 3.42 -2.11 0.00 0.00 4.47 0.85P 0.00 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 39 53 +0 2.85 62.40 4.56 62.12 3.46 -0.62 0.00 0.00 1.76 0.28P 0.00 0.00 Morecambe 39 50 -3 -0.15 49.77 1.15 58.50 3.41 -4.38 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.01P 0.01R 0.00 Portsmouth 39 49 +0 -5.52 27.90 -1.97 58.50 3.49 -0.06 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.02P 0.00R 0.00 Dag_&_Red 39 49 -6 -0.62 47.77 -0.76 57.74 3.43 -7.27 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.01P 0.01R 0.00 Oxford_Utd 39 46 -6 -5.40 28.51 -3.90 55.18 3.44 -6.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 0.36R 0.02 Accrington_Stanley 39 46 -18 0.86 54.34 -5.24 54.88 3.50 -19.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.82R 0.12 Mansfield 39 45 -17 1.16 55.86 -4.01 52.33 3.28 -20.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.51R 0.54 Cambridge_Utd 39 44 -1 -3.68 35.65 7.24 53.14 3.49 -1.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.79R 0.31 York 39 41 -5 -10.25 13.16 -2.89 50.68 3.40 -4.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.39R 2.24 Carlisle 39 41 -18 -7.44 22.00 -10.38 49.92 3.46 -19.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.27R 4.10 Hartlepool 39 39 -27 -4.22 32.78 -12.97 46.82 3.36 -29.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 49.51R 22.12 Tranmere 39 38 -14 -13.84 7.27 -11.97 46.55 3.41 -15.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 44.15R 17.70 Cheltenham 39 37 -23 -7.15 21.70 -9.84 44.15 3.29 -26.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 77.18R 52.85Conference (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 March 2015, Alfreton_Town 1 1 Barnet; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Barnet 41 79 +41 4.16 66.33 11.82 88.58 2.86 45.18 48.58 99.98 65.57P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 41 78 +31 5.19 70.56 6.47 87.38 2.87 34.57 24.94 99.92 49.37P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 41 78 +23 4.02 65.96 -2.61 87.85 2.76 27.43 26.34 99.93 51.81P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 41 72 +21 5.25 70.19 4.87 80.25 2.97 23.05 0.11 76.27 14.30P 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 41 72 +14 10.71 86.72 6.20 78.96 2.85 14.19 0.03 56.87 8.55P 0.00 0.00 Woking 41 68 +22 5.17 69.91 11.93 76.15 2.96 23.92 0.00 27.31 4.44P 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 40 67 +20 6.30 73.41 11.19 76.63 3.31 22.18 0.00 33.86 4.96P 0.00 0.00 Halifax 40 64 +14 0.65 52.68 1.12 72.43 3.26 14.24 0.00 5.41 0.93P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 40 61 +10 -0.84 46.47 -0.58 69.21 3.17 9.92 0.00 0.41 0.06P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 40 59 +11 2.35 59.38 8.52 66.13 3.21 9.26 0.00 0.06 0.01P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 41 55 -2 -3.96 34.23 -6.29 61.57 2.93 -2.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Chester 41 54 -10 7.46 78.67 5.17 59.66 2.79 -11.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 40 53 -8 1.63 57.12 -2.11 60.59 3.25 -9.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Altrincham 41 53 -15 7.79 79.10 2.35 58.77 2.81 -16.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 38 51 -4 -1.94 42.08 -5.61 62.21 3.71 -3.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Torquay 40 50 +1 -11.87 11.29 -9.56 60.15 3.20 3.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Braintree_Town 40 49 -1 -6.21 25.71 -2.02 58.34 3.22 0.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Southport 40 47 -17 2.28 60.35 -1.04 53.90 3.06 -18.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02R 0.00 Aldershot 40 45 -11 -9.39 16.39 -10.56 52.42 3.11 -12.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07R 0.00 Alfreton_Town 41 44 -26 -1.09 46.23 -7.39 48.61 2.67 -29.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.07R 0.00 Nuneaton 41 38 -32 -3.13 37.23 -10.07 42.91 2.70 -34.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 66.37R 1.35 Welling 40 37 -23 -6.67 23.20 -5.84 44.11 3.17 -24.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 37.46R 0.61 Dartford 40 33 -29 -6.80 22.89 -5.54 39.01 3.00 -32.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 92.35R 16.34 AFC_Telford 41 29 -30 -10.04 13.70 -0.42 34.57 2.91 -32.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.66R 81.70