Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Friday 20 March 2015 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 16 March 2015, Swansea 0 1 Liverpool; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 28 64 +35 6.21 80.78 4.29 85.13 3.86 46.49 90.10 98.15 99.67 99.95 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 29 58 +31 -2.71 34.52 -3.41 77.42 3.56 42.94 7.55 69.75 91.28 97.80 99.93 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 29 57 +26 2.40 61.78 2.73 74.05 3.82 33.33 1.84 21.51 64.39 86.72 99.46 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 29 56 +24 0.76 53.25 0.39 70.94 3.91 27.88 0.40 7.43 27.14 61.33 97.02 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 29 54 +13 1.52 57.43 -6.48 69.69 3.80 18.28 0.10 2.89 15.29 42.07 94.12 0.00 0.00 Southampton 29 50 +19 4.63 72.39 11.00 64.76 3.85 22.35 0.00 0.18 1.41 7.63 62.18 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 29 50 +4 6.24 78.76 -1.20 64.10 3.93 6.57 0.00 0.08 0.80 4.49 46.42 0.00 0.00 Stoke 29 42 -2 5.47 76.97 3.06 53.35 3.84 -3.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.60 0.00 0.00 Swansea 29 40 -5 2.63 64.03 -0.65 51.70 3.90 -6.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 29 39 +2 1.87 60.42 6.51 52.10 3.91 2.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.17 0.00 0.00 Newcastle 29 35 -14 2.80 65.67 -0.70 45.94 3.91 -16.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 29 33 -6 0.85 55.41 5.65 42.06 3.61 -11.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.74R 0.00 West_Brom 29 33 -9 -1.87 40.96 -1.43 42.11 3.57 -14.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.76R 0.01 Everton 29 31 -5 -11.29 7.08 -8.12 45.53 3.99 -1.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.15R 0.00 Hull 29 28 -11 -3.44 32.69 1.58 36.23 3.56 -16.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 21.34R 1.37 Aston_Villa 29 28 -19 -1.47 43.08 -3.60 37.04 3.54 -24.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 19.47R 1.61 Sunderland 29 26 -20 -4.19 29.10 -5.06 34.86 3.56 -25.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 39.83R 5.20 Burnley 29 25 -21 -3.00 34.94 -1.40 33.80 3.68 -26.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 52.76R 9.83 QPR 29 22 -22 -5.08 24.46 -0.81 29.60 3.49 -30.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 88.18R 48.37 Leicester 28 19 -20 -8.82 10.23 -2.35 30.54 4.10 -23.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 76.72R 33.61Championship (Latest match accounted for: Friday 20 March 2015, Wolverhampton 2 0 Derby; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Watford 38 72 +33 5.06 70.37 9.48 85.52 3.75 36.86 37.69 62.99 99.03 72.56P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 38 72 +32 6.77 76.66 12.83 84.66 3.68 34.39 27.70 51.11 98.38 63.94P 0.00 0.00 Bournemouth 38 70 +39 4.77 69.11 18.63 83.51 3.76 42.89 22.01 46.16 96.99 58.87P 0.00 0.00 Norwich 38 67 +31 -1.73 42.37 5.51 81.60 3.73 36.52 8.60 24.15 92.52 46.38P 0.00 0.00 Derby 39 67 +26 -0.01 49.74 5.37 80.38 3.41 31.94 3.33 12.02 87.60 33.08P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 38 65 +12 10.73 87.07 9.10 76.91 3.75 13.29 0.35 1.80 48.58 8.84P 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 39 65 +11 4.53 68.07 0.72 75.71 3.48 12.68 0.08 0.65 35.02 7.81P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 38 64 +15 6.40 75.31 6.99 75.83 3.71 16.28 0.24 1.12 39.83 8.12P 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 38 57 +10 0.30 51.56 3.42 67.71 3.78 9.44 0.00 0.00 1.75 0.32P 0.00 0.00 Blackburn 38 54 +2 0.35 51.71 0.04 66.07 3.82 3.63 0.00 0.00 0.29 0.06P 0.00 0.00 Charlton 38 51 -3 3.77 66.57 4.01 61.77 3.75 -3.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 38 51 -4 2.41 61.07 1.32 61.76 3.71 -4.18 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 38 50 -5 1.68 58.02 -0.34 59.82 3.59 -6.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 38 48 -4 -3.55 35.65 -3.08 60.22 3.70 -2.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00R 0.00 Birmingham 37 47 -10 1.48 57.13 -1.69 57.52 3.87 -13.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06R 0.00 Bolton 38 44 -11 -4.85 30.23 -5.71 54.38 3.67 -11.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.66R 0.00 Huddersfield 38 44 -17 0.67 54.07 -2.18 53.30 3.69 -19.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.50R 0.00 Reading 37 44 -18 -3.23 36.59 -12.32 56.27 3.99 -18.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.37R 0.00 Brighton 38 42 -4 -12.05 9.18 -7.13 52.58 3.69 -4.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.04R 0.00 Rotherham 38 40 -19 0.99 55.53 2.02 48.01 3.55 -23.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 21.45R 0.00 Fulham 38 40 -20 -7.92 20.41 -12.26 50.78 3.77 -20.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.37R 0.00 Wigan 38 34 -17 -15.34 4.19 -13.21 44.00 3.67 -18.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 67.79R 0.08 Millwall 38 32 -31 -4.17 31.75 -6.65 38.84 3.34 -37.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 97.76R 1.49 Blackpool 38 22 -48 -9.65 11.16 -14.87 28.97 3.36 -54.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 98.43League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 17 March 2015, Bristol_City 3 0 Crewe; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Bristol_City 38 83 +41 12.91 92.04 13.73 96.86 3.78 45.27 87.56 99.11 100.00 99.39P 0.00 0.00 Preston 36 72 +31 6.66 76.88 7.52 89.69 4.24 36.84 11.28 75.16 100.00 83.85P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 37 70 +26 5.46 72.00 5.48 84.40 4.04 29.00 0.99 17.48 99.99 42.37P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 37 66 +33 0.94 53.70 11.29 82.16 4.03 38.75 0.17 8.24 99.94 38.72P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 36 55 +7 0.83 53.69 -0.07 71.21 4.26 10.63 0.00 0.00 71.43 14.20P 0.00 0.00 Barnsley 37 54 +1 -0.03 49.85 -3.74 66.11 4.07 0.65 0.00 0.00 23.69 3.98P 0.00R 0.00 Peterborough 37 53 -1 -1.77 42.51 -6.84 67.12 4.06 1.62 0.00 0.00 30.26 5.68P 0.00R 0.00 Chesterfield 36 51 +6 0.57 52.75 4.71 65.25 4.31 6.81 0.00 0.00 21.28 3.53P 0.04R 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 37 51 -4 7.78 80.58 6.33 61.50 3.88 -6.44 0.00 0.00 2.65 0.29P 0.25R 0.00 Rochdale 35 50 +14 -0.65 47.47 10.43 65.33 4.58 14.20 0.00 0.00 23.40 3.88P 0.05R 0.00 Bradford 35 50 +4 2.33 60.50 4.20 64.96 4.46 3.93 0.00 0.00 18.60 2.73P 0.04R 0.00 Doncaster 37 50 -2 -1.76 42.77 -3.71 62.25 4.03 -2.07 0.00 0.00 5.13 0.86P 0.25R 0.00 Port_Vale 37 48 -5 1.70 57.85 2.00 58.87 3.94 -7.34 0.00 0.00 0.79 0.08P 2.68R 0.00 Gillingham 37 47 -4 1.12 55.38 3.87 58.71 4.04 -5.06 0.00 0.00 0.85 0.13P 3.48R 0.01 Walsall 37 46 -5 -2.73 38.73 -3.01 58.06 3.91 -5.29 0.00 0.00 0.46 0.09P 4.34R 0.01 Oldham 36 46 -11 2.97 63.53 -1.45 57.98 4.21 -13.53 0.00 0.00 0.74 0.08P 6.36R 0.02 Scunthorpe 35 43 -6 -0.85 46.91 0.76 56.85 4.54 -8.01 0.00 0.00 0.64 0.09P 10.87R 0.09 Coventry 37 43 -9 -5.03 29.63 -4.65 55.45 4.04 -8.96 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.00P 16.29R 0.09 Notts_County 36 42 -10 -3.11 37.33 -3.80 54.56 4.20 -11.64 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.00P 22.31R 0.32 Crewe 37 42 -32 6.96 79.44 -6.67 50.87 3.78 -37.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 62.61R 2.08 Crawley_Town 37 40 -22 -0.93 46.68 -6.99 51.06 3.99 -23.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 57.46R 2.05 Leyton_Orient 36 39 -5 -14.82 5.08 -11.45 53.76 4.33 -3.50 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 26.34R 0.47 Colchester 37 37 -17 -5.43 27.80 -4.06 47.05 3.93 -20.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 86.92R 10.21 Yeovil 38 33 -30 -7.77 19.61 -13.88 41.17 3.54 -34.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.70R 84.65League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 18 March 2015, Burton_Albion 2 1 Southend; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Burton_Albion 37 73 +21 13.84 93.77 8.70 86.87 4.01 23.36 55.37 95.39 100.00 96.62P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 37 68 +26 2.66 61.07 4.97 84.28 3.92 31.57 29.98 88.80 99.98 92.88P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 37 68 +20 11.32 89.34 11.05 81.75 3.97 22.12 12.06 70.67 99.81 77.90P 0.00 0.00 Bury 37 64 +12 6.34 75.62 1.67 77.85 4.02 14.25 1.85 25.16 96.75 44.01P 0.00 0.00 Southend 37 62 +9 4.50 69.15 -1.15 76.75 3.95 12.47 0.70 16.25 94.09 38.34P 0.00 0.00 Luton 37 58 +9 4.45 68.37 4.37 70.75 3.99 9.74 0.03 1.35 54.97 13.28P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 37 57 +7 -0.04 49.73 -2.46 71.53 4.04 10.28 0.02 1.62 63.79 18.17P 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 37 57 +1 9.36 84.93 5.06 68.57 3.92 0.03 0.00 0.24 29.09 4.88P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 37 56 +14 2.67 61.88 9.46 69.26 3.91 15.44 0.00 0.47 44.05 10.38P 0.00 0.00 Northampton 37 53 +8 1.13 55.11 6.12 64.89 3.94 7.35 0.00 0.04 10.45 2.19P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 37 51 -2 0.37 52.01 -1.95 62.99 3.92 -2.49 0.00 0.01 3.57 0.66P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 37 49 +3 -4.02 33.19 -0.68 61.13 3.98 2.75 0.00 0.00 1.88 0.42P 0.01R 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 37 49 -1 1.85 58.39 4.14 60.64 3.97 -1.99 0.00 0.00 1.07 0.20P 0.02R 0.00 Morecambe 37 48 -3 0.49 52.73 1.06 58.79 3.90 -5.07 0.00 0.00 0.33 0.05P 0.05R 0.00 Dag_&_Red 37 46 -6 -1.00 46.17 -0.77 56.78 3.91 -8.37 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.01P 0.31R 0.02 Mansfield 37 45 -13 2.40 61.22 -2.14 55.08 3.80 -15.91 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 1.68R 0.25 Accrington_Stanley 37 45 -16 1.89 58.94 -4.41 56.91 4.04 -16.69 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.01P 0.79R 0.10 Cambridge_Utd 37 43 +0 -2.81 38.63 7.12 54.27 3.98 -1.48 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 2.13R 0.31 Oxford_Utd 37 43 -5 -6.29 24.70 -3.72 54.69 3.91 -5.75 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.01P 1.79R 0.23 Carlisle 37 40 -17 -5.83 26.80 -9.51 51.66 4.01 -18.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.41R 2.82 York 37 37 -8 -10.30 12.05 -4.35 49.04 3.87 -8.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 23.85R 7.98 Tranmere 37 37 -11 -13.18 7.51 -10.61 48.68 3.96 -11.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 26.93R 8.36 Cheltenham 37 37 -19 -5.79 25.71 -7.88 47.02 3.82 -22.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 49.72R 17.69 Hartlepool 37 33 -29 -6.90 21.54 -14.07 43.63 3.85 -31.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 82.33R 62.23Conference (Latest match accounted for: Friday 20 March 2015, Bristol_Rovers 3 1 Aldershot; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Bristol_Rovers 40 77 +23 4.71 68.55 -2.38 88.36 3.08 27.67 39.17 99.86 60.06P 0.00 0.00 Barnet 39 75 +36 5.26 71.16 10.51 88.57 3.42 42.15 52.03 99.85 66.96P 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 39 71 +15 12.11 90.04 6.73 81.18 3.41 15.92 1.39 81.57 14.45P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 38 69 +27 2.27 59.48 5.24 83.54 3.73 32.11 6.59 94.24 33.43P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 39 69 +21 4.71 68.84 4.27 80.19 3.57 23.34 0.76 75.17 16.18P 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 38 64 +20 5.88 72.67 10.87 75.58 3.80 20.92 0.04 26.21 4.38P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 37 60 +12 1.68 57.04 0.49 72.46 4.03 12.20 0.00 8.45 1.65P 0.00 0.00 Woking 38 59 +19 1.45 56.32 10.66 71.55 3.84 21.30 0.00 5.91 1.14P 0.00 0.00 Halifax 37 59 +13 0.61 52.37 1.26 72.47 4.08 14.58 0.01 8.55 1.70P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 37 53 +10 0.93 54.12 8.37 64.68 4.04 8.95 0.00 0.13 0.02P 0.00 0.00 Chester 39 53 -9 8.47 82.26 4.81 61.16 3.40 -11.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 39 52 -3 -3.83 34.42 -6.78 61.08 3.46 -3.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 38 52 -7 2.82 62.25 -1.89 61.82 3.76 -8.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 36 50 -2 -0.66 47.49 -4.29 64.75 4.21 -0.31 0.00 0.06 0.01P 0.00 0.00 Braintree_Town 38 49 +3 -4.62 31.19 0.36 61.91 3.73 5.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Altrincham 39 49 -16 6.84 77.15 2.02 57.05 3.40 -18.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00R 0.00 Torquay 37 47 +2 -10.92 12.18 -8.92 61.87 4.02 5.85 0.00 0.00 0.00P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 40 45 -11 -9.37 16.23 -10.46 52.33 3.11 -12.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.20R 0.00 Southport 38 41 -20 0.19 51.86 -2.22 50.37 3.61 -22.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.00R 0.01 Alfreton_Town 38 41 -26 -0.13 49.95 -7.42 49.52 3.55 -30.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.31R 0.00 Welling 38 37 -16 -6.93 22.31 -3.72 46.02 3.63 -19.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.74R 0.09 Dartford 37 32 -26 -5.00 28.95 -4.38 41.88 3.82 -29.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 75.36R 3.49 Nuneaton 38 32 -34 -5.18 27.64 -11.99 39.50 3.42 -39.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 92.56R 9.49 AFC_Telford 39 26 -31 -10.39 12.38 -1.12 32.92 3.36 -35.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.82R 86.92