Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Thursday 19 March 2015 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 16 March 2015, Swansea 0 1 Liverpool; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 28 64 +35 6.14 80.72 4.13 85.16 3.86 46.55 90.40 98.26 99.74 99.95 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 29 58 +31 -2.59 35.00 -3.23 77.37 3.57 42.84 7.37 69.26 91.07 97.67 99.93 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 29 57 +26 2.45 62.05 2.79 74.02 3.84 33.29 1.69 21.75 64.26 86.45 99.52 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 29 56 +24 0.74 53.21 0.38 70.93 3.90 27.88 0.44 7.52 27.32 61.72 96.88 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 29 54 +13 1.61 57.71 -6.29 69.67 3.79 18.28 0.10 2.91 15.27 41.95 93.98 0.00 0.00 Southampton 29 50 +19 4.70 72.63 11.14 64.75 3.85 22.34 0.00 0.18 1.48 7.65 62.22 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 29 50 +4 6.11 78.53 -1.35 64.11 3.94 6.61 0.00 0.12 0.86 4.61 46.63 0.00 0.00 Stoke 29 42 -2 5.48 76.85 3.06 53.32 3.82 -3.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.54 0.00 0.00 Swansea 29 40 -5 2.59 63.71 -0.67 51.70 3.91 -6.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 29 39 +2 1.92 60.43 6.48 52.19 3.93 2.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.18 0.00 0.00 Newcastle 29 35 -14 2.78 65.19 -0.69 45.94 3.93 -16.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.09R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 29 33 -6 0.83 55.49 5.65 42.08 3.59 -11.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.63R 0.00 West_Brom 29 33 -9 -2.05 40.13 -1.70 42.16 3.58 -14.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.77R 0.02 Everton 29 31 -5 -11.37 6.97 -8.26 45.52 3.99 -1.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.18R 0.00 Hull 29 28 -11 -3.32 32.93 1.79 36.17 3.57 -16.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 21.67R 1.31 Aston_Villa 29 28 -19 -1.40 43.52 -3.45 37.01 3.54 -24.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 19.75R 1.61 Sunderland 29 26 -20 -4.23 28.75 -5.19 34.88 3.56 -25.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 39.51R 5.30 Burnley 29 25 -21 -3.08 34.51 -1.54 33.83 3.68 -26.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 52.24R 9.41 QPR 29 22 -22 -4.99 25.06 -0.76 29.61 3.50 -30.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 88.09R 48.16 Leicester 28 19 -20 -8.78 10.46 -2.30 30.47 4.08 -23.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 77.07R 34.18Championship (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 18 March 2015, Fulham 0 3 Leeds_United; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Watford 38 72 +33 4.95 69.94 9.28 85.52 3.76 36.88 36.43 60.36 99.09 70.69P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 38 72 +32 6.86 77.11 12.97 84.64 3.67 34.41 26.03 48.61 98.64 61.85P 0.00 0.00 Bournemouth 38 70 +39 4.66 68.80 18.52 83.52 3.76 42.89 20.61 43.32 97.28 56.88P 0.00 0.00 Norwich 38 67 +31 -1.75 42.06 5.47 81.58 3.74 36.50 7.89 22.18 93.31 45.06P 0.00 0.00 Derby 38 67 +28 0.72 52.87 6.42 81.82 3.68 34.08 8.44 22.64 93.10 43.15P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 38 65 +12 10.76 87.04 9.17 76.85 3.77 13.21 0.34 1.59 51.12 8.98P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 38 64 +15 6.65 76.21 7.34 75.84 3.75 16.27 0.23 1.05 42.62 8.39P 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 38 62 +9 3.86 65.90 0.20 73.96 3.74 10.48 0.03 0.25 22.27 4.53P 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 38 57 +10 0.23 51.24 3.32 67.78 3.75 9.54 0.00 0.00 2.18 0.41P 0.00 0.00 Blackburn 38 54 +2 0.35 51.79 -0.01 66.06 3.80 3.62 0.00 0.00 0.38 0.05P 0.00 0.00 Charlton 38 51 -3 3.58 65.84 3.73 61.87 3.73 -3.04 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 38 51 -4 2.38 60.85 1.27 61.80 3.70 -4.13 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 38 50 -5 1.63 57.46 -0.49 59.84 3.57 -6.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Cardiff 38 48 -4 -3.48 35.83 -2.99 60.18 3.69 -2.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00R 0.00 Birmingham 37 47 -10 1.49 57.32 -1.69 57.50 3.88 -13.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06R 0.00 Bolton 38 44 -11 -4.84 30.57 -5.73 54.39 3.65 -11.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.63R 0.00 Huddersfield 38 44 -17 0.50 52.99 -2.44 53.33 3.70 -19.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.44R 0.00 Reading 37 44 -18 -3.39 35.91 -12.55 56.28 4.01 -18.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.35R 0.00 Brighton 38 42 -4 -12.17 8.87 -7.24 52.55 3.68 -4.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.15R 0.00 Rotherham 38 40 -19 0.86 54.92 1.81 48.00 3.53 -23.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 21.68R 0.00 Fulham 38 40 -20 -7.69 20.95 -11.93 50.77 3.76 -20.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.48R 0.00 Wigan 38 34 -17 -15.26 4.22 -13.11 44.01 3.67 -18.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 67.40R 0.05 Millwall 38 32 -31 -4.14 31.71 -6.61 38.84 3.31 -37.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 97.81R 1.37 Blackpool 38 22 -48 -9.56 11.63 -14.72 28.91 3.35 -54.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 98.58League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 17 March 2015, Bristol_City 3 0 Crewe; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Bristol_City 38 83 +41 12.78 91.98 13.47 96.82 3.80 45.24 86.99 99.00 100.00 99.34P 0.00 0.00 Preston 36 72 +31 6.61 76.94 7.48 89.76 4.24 36.90 11.81 75.63 100.00 84.03P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 37 70 +26 5.63 72.69 5.76 84.41 4.03 29.02 1.00 17.16 100.00 42.29P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 37 66 +33 0.72 52.50 10.96 82.24 4.01 38.88 0.20 8.21 99.96 38.40P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 36 55 +7 0.70 53.10 -0.31 71.28 4.25 10.74 0.00 0.00 72.10 14.68P 0.00 0.00 Barnsley 37 54 +1 -0.15 49.91 -3.90 66.16 4.06 0.70 0.00 0.00 23.70 4.15P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 37 53 -1 -1.81 42.64 -6.92 67.12 4.05 1.62 0.00 0.00 30.22 5.57P 0.00R 0.00 Chesterfield 36 51 +6 0.56 52.57 4.65 65.27 4.29 6.82 0.00 0.00 21.02 3.33P 0.02R 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 37 51 -4 7.75 80.54 6.28 61.51 3.90 -6.41 0.00 0.00 2.69 0.27P 0.29R 0.00 Rochdale 35 50 +14 -0.56 47.75 10.61 65.35 4.61 14.21 0.00 0.00 23.26 3.76P 0.05R 0.00 Bradford 35 50 +4 2.18 60.20 3.96 64.95 4.46 3.96 0.00 0.00 18.49 2.84P 0.05R 0.00 Doncaster 37 50 -2 -1.74 43.00 -3.62 62.25 4.02 -2.09 0.00 0.00 5.10 0.89P 0.23R 0.00 Port_Vale 37 48 -5 1.80 58.40 2.15 58.89 3.97 -7.34 0.00 0.00 0.84 0.09P 2.61R 0.00 Gillingham 37 47 -4 1.36 56.47 4.30 58.62 4.03 -5.22 0.00 0.00 0.78 0.10P 3.63R 0.00 Walsall 37 46 -5 -2.84 37.88 -3.12 58.05 3.89 -5.30 0.00 0.00 0.39 0.06P 4.30R 0.01 Oldham 36 46 -11 2.98 63.77 -1.46 57.94 4.19 -13.57 0.00 0.00 0.65 0.08P 6.30R 0.02 Scunthorpe 35 43 -6 -0.65 47.81 1.03 56.80 4.52 -8.07 0.00 0.00 0.63 0.09P 10.85R 0.06 Coventry 37 43 -9 -5.22 28.92 -4.90 55.47 4.05 -8.92 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.01P 16.18R 0.10 Notts_County 36 42 -10 -3.07 37.28 -3.73 54.57 4.21 -11.65 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 22.11R 0.33 Crewe 37 42 -32 6.92 79.61 -6.71 50.86 3.78 -37.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 62.73R 1.97 Crawley_Town 37 40 -22 -0.93 46.74 -6.99 51.15 4.01 -23.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 56.77R 1.81 Leyton_Orient 36 39 -5 -14.55 5.60 -11.09 53.68 4.33 -3.64 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 27.13R 0.42 Colchester 37 37 -17 -5.60 26.90 -4.30 47.05 3.93 -20.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 87.00R 10.13 Yeovil 38 33 -30 -7.58 20.31 -13.59 41.06 3.51 -34.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.75R 85.15League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 18 March 2015, Burton_Albion 2 1 Southend; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Burton_Albion 37 73 +21 13.89 93.84 8.76 86.88 3.99 23.36 56.13 95.46 100.00 96.62P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 37 68 +26 2.79 61.67 5.23 84.17 3.92 31.42 29.11 88.27 99.98 92.53P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 37 68 +20 11.37 89.40 11.12 81.75 3.99 22.11 12.31 70.97 99.81 77.99P 0.00 0.00 Bury 37 64 +12 6.29 75.37 1.57 77.85 4.02 14.27 1.78 25.48 96.64 44.48P 0.00 0.00 Southend 37 62 +9 4.57 69.16 -1.01 76.70 3.97 12.38 0.65 15.98 93.91 38.08P 0.00 0.00 Luton 37 58 +9 4.37 68.16 4.27 70.76 4.00 9.76 0.01 1.42 55.23 13.20P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 37 57 +7 -0.03 49.88 -2.43 71.49 4.02 10.23 0.01 1.54 63.16 17.87P 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 37 57 +1 9.36 84.75 5.09 68.59 3.93 0.07 0.00 0.30 29.74 4.94P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 37 56 +14 2.44 61.10 9.20 69.28 3.94 15.47 0.01 0.57 44.08 10.64P 0.00 0.00 Northampton 37 53 +8 1.10 54.90 6.08 64.87 3.93 7.36 0.00 0.03 10.58 2.28P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 37 51 -2 0.42 52.02 -1.87 62.98 3.93 -2.51 0.00 0.00 3.54 0.71P 0.00 0.00 Portsmouth 37 49 +3 -3.94 33.63 -0.60 61.14 3.98 2.78 0.00 0.00 1.75 0.40P 0.00R 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 37 49 -1 1.71 57.80 3.92 60.66 3.94 -1.96 0.00 0.00 1.07 0.20P 0.01R 0.00 Morecambe 37 48 -3 0.36 52.09 0.92 58.80 3.89 -5.04 0.00 0.00 0.32 0.05P 0.04R 0.00 Dag_&_Red 37 46 -6 -1.03 46.23 -0.83 56.84 3.91 -8.28 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.01P 0.32R 0.02 Mansfield 37 45 -13 2.49 61.83 -2.02 55.07 3.80 -15.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.66R 0.20 Accrington_Stanley 37 45 -16 2.00 59.52 -4.23 56.88 4.02 -16.73 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.00P 0.80R 0.10 Cambridge_Utd 37 43 +0 -2.58 40.03 7.45 54.23 3.96 -1.54 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00 2.21R 0.41 Oxford_Utd 37 43 -5 -6.18 24.81 -3.60 54.70 3.89 -5.75 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 1.83R 0.21 Carlisle 37 40 -17 -5.90 26.54 -9.61 51.66 3.99 -18.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.58R 2.81 York 37 37 -8 -10.31 12.10 -4.40 49.05 3.88 -8.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 24.20R 8.22 Tranmere 37 37 -11 -13.40 7.32 -10.95 48.72 3.93 -11.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 26.57R 8.09 Cheltenham 37 37 -19 -5.98 25.34 -8.06 47.07 3.85 -22.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 49.71R 17.79 Hartlepool 37 33 -29 -6.84 21.86 -13.99 43.64 3.87 -31.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 82.07R 62.15Conference (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 17 March 2015, AFC_Telford 0 1 Gateshead; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Barnet 39 75 +36 5.34 71.11 10.65 88.61 3.42 42.19 59.28 99.87 71.91P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 39 74 +21 4.30 67.49 -2.53 87.23 3.35 26.36 30.15 99.49 53.42P 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 39 71 +15 12.07 89.86 6.69 81.22 3.41 15.97 1.76 82.04 14.84P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 38 69 +27 2.37 59.77 5.37 83.52 3.74 32.08 7.73 94.09 34.39P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 39 69 +21 4.97 69.91 4.62 80.09 3.56 23.19 0.99 74.81 16.29P 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 38 64 +20 5.76 71.92 10.64 75.59 3.82 20.95 0.06 26.22 4.51P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 37 60 +12 1.66 57.20 0.50 72.46 3.99 12.19 0.01 8.26 1.60P 0.00 0.00 Woking 38 59 +19 1.45 56.20 10.57 71.58 3.84 21.31 0.00 6.16 1.13P 0.00 0.00 Halifax 37 59 +13 0.58 52.39 1.26 72.46 4.05 14.58 0.01 8.81 1.88P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 37 53 +10 0.91 54.29 8.26 64.67 4.03 8.96 0.00 0.16 0.02P 0.00 0.00 Chester 39 53 -9 8.51 82.62 4.97 61.19 3.41 -11.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 39 52 -3 -3.82 34.49 -6.79 61.04 3.46 -3.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 38 52 -7 2.93 62.69 -1.80 61.83 3.79 -8.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 36 50 -2 -0.67 47.36 -4.36 64.74 4.21 -0.32 0.00 0.08 0.02P 0.00 0.00 Braintree_Town 38 49 +3 -4.91 29.91 -0.06 61.96 3.71 6.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Altrincham 39 49 -16 6.64 76.26 1.76 57.07 3.40 -18.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00R 0.00 Torquay 37 47 +2 -10.67 13.09 -8.58 61.78 4.02 5.70 0.00 0.00 0.00P 0.00 0.00 Aldershot 39 45 -9 -8.72 17.90 -9.62 53.17 3.33 -10.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.11R 0.00 Southport 38 41 -20 0.10 51.51 -2.31 50.40 3.60 -22.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.92R 0.01 Alfreton_Town 38 41 -26 -0.10 50.26 -7.47 49.52 3.54 -30.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.20R 0.00 Welling 38 37 -16 -6.94 22.26 -3.77 46.01 3.63 -19.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 21.08R 0.09 Dartford 37 32 -26 -5.00 28.33 -4.45 41.86 3.83 -29.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 75.32R 3.50 Nuneaton 38 32 -34 -5.18 27.68 -12.00 39.50 3.42 -39.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 92.53R 9.73 AFC_Telford 39 26 -31 -10.64 11.56 -1.54 32.95 3.36 -35.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.83R 86.67