Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Sunday 8 March 2015 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 March 2015, QPR 1 2 Tottenham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1
Chelsea 27 63 +35 6.90 83.99 4.62 86.31 4.07 47.65 85.43 98.70 99.87 99.99 100.00 0.00 0.00
Man_City 28 58 +32 -1.16 42.17 -2.50 79.96 3.72 45.94 13.75 87.84 97.68 99.49 99.99 0.00 0.00
Arsenal 28 54 +23 2.03 60.02 1.82 73.01 4.10 31.17 0.64 9.31 60.34 83.54 98.59 0.00 0.00
Man_Utd 28 53 +21 0.36 51.07 -0.60 69.78 4.14 25.59 0.13 2.88 24.02 56.76 93.01 0.00 0.00
Liverpool 28 51 +12 0.30 50.98 -6.91 68.28 4.08 17.55 0.04 0.94 12.85 36.76 87.23 0.00 0.00
Tottenham 28 50 +7 6.43 79.71 -0.03 65.26 4.15 9.21 0.00 0.21 3.11 13.06 60.50 0.00 0.00
Southampton 28 49 +19 4.76 73.35 10.62 64.39 4.02 21.23 0.00 0.12 2.12 10.36 58.04 0.00 0.00
Stoke 28 42 -1 6.47 80.86 3.67 54.61 4.09 -2.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 1.64 0.00 0.00
Swansea 28 40 -4 3.50 68.22 -0.34 53.03 4.17 -5.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.53 0.00 0.00
West_Ham 28 39 +5 1.98 60.79 7.47 52.97 4.09 4.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.45 0.00 0.00
Newcastle 28 35 -11 2.88 66.04 0.36 46.86 4.15 -14.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.02R 0.00
Crystal_Palace 28 30 -8 -0.00 51.01 4.81 40.58 3.85 -13.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.35R 0.07
West_Brom 28 30 -10 -3.34 33.21 -2.06 40.47 3.84 -15.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.82R 0.13
Everton 28 28 -8 -11.71 6.00 -9.22 44.20 4.25 -4.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.44R 0.02
Hull 28 27 -11 -3.05 34.13 1.84 36.35 3.81 -17.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 18.74R 1.91
Sunderland 28 26 -16 -3.81 30.27 -2.80 36.87 3.87 -20.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 17.38R 1.69
Aston_Villa 28 25 -23 -1.96 39.93 -5.85 34.65 3.73 -29.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 40.28R 7.47
QPR 28 22 -20 -4.48 26.98 -0.24 30.76 3.77 -28.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 76.27R 31.46
Burnley 28 22 -22 -4.66 26.05 -2.23 31.11 3.83 -29.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 73.52R 28.97
Leicester 27 18 -20 -8.57 10.64 -2.43 31.08 4.34 -23.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 68.19R 28.27
Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 March 2015, Blackpool 0 1 Sheff_Wed; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1
Bournemouth 36 66 +35 5.27 71.66 17.60 83.21 4.17 40.47 22.45 44.63 96.44 57.66P 0.00 0.00
Derby 36 66 +29 1.96 58.21 6.42 83.65 4.19 35.16 25.09 45.93 96.49 60.97P 0.00 0.00
Watford 36 66 +28 3.81 66.09 7.83 82.74 4.23 32.61 17.20 36.15 95.09 51.38P 0.00 0.00
Middlesbrough 36 66 +28 5.15 71.53 11.23 81.09 4.16 29.94 9.89 22.66 89.78 39.93P 0.00 0.00
Norwich 36 65 +31 -0.73 46.47 5.80 83.29 4.24 37.94 23.65 44.38 96.44 62.04P 0.00 0.00
Brentford 36 62 +12 10.29 86.48 8.79 76.66 4.27 13.31 1.00 3.38 53.93 11.60P 0.00 0.00
Ipswich 36 61 +17 5.77 73.79 8.47 75.93 4.20 18.87 0.65 2.55 49.67 11.95P 0.00 0.00
Wolverhampton 36 58 +6 3.98 66.86 -0.71 72.64 4.22 7.46 0.06 0.33 18.62 3.83P 0.00 0.00
Nott'm_Forest 36 53 +8 -0.07 49.81 2.81 67.14 4.24 8.48 0.00 0.01 2.67 0.50P 0.00 0.00
Sheff_Wed 36 49 -2 2.26 60.51 0.99 61.69 4.07 -3.53 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.01P 0.01R 0.00
Blackburn 35 48 +0 -0.68 47.47 -0.67 64.63 4.53 2.29 0.00 0.00 0.72 0.12P 0.00R 0.00
Charlton 36 48 -4 4.03 68.61 3.65 61.66 4.25 -3.93 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 0.01R 0.00
Leeds_United 36 47 -7 2.32 60.78 0.19 60.01 4.19 -7.96 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 0.03R 0.00
Birmingham 36 46 -10 2.02 59.57 -1.44 58.34 4.14 -12.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.13R 0.00
Cardiff 36 44 -5 -4.61 31.18 -3.78 58.44 4.22 -3.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.12R 0.00
Huddersfield 36 42 -17 0.87 54.72 -3.03 53.07 4.15 -21.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.77R 0.00
Bolton 35 41 -11 -3.81 33.83 -5.72 55.18 4.34 -12.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.54R 0.00
Reading 35 41 -16 -4.33 31.42 -11.80 55.47 4.45 -17.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.47R 0.00
Brighton 35 40 -3 -10.22 12.14 -6.45 55.17 4.43 -2.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.52R 0.00
Rotherham 36 40 -16 2.09 60.55 2.39 50.23 4.03 -21.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.28R 0.01
Fulham 36 39 -17 -7.14 22.07 -10.85 52.72 4.27 -17.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.66R 0.00
Wigan 36 31 -16 -16.03 2.99 -12.82 43.72 4.18 -17.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 75.34R 0.71
Millwall 36 31 -29 -3.74 33.39 -6.28 39.97 3.82 -36.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 96.13R 4.20
Blackpool 36 22 -41 -9.44 11.69 -12.62 30.90 3.77 -49.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.98R 95.07
League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 March 2015, Barnsley 3 0 Walsall; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1
Bristol_City 35 76 +35 13.20 93.15 12.58 95.84 4.47 42.27 88.33 98.47 100.00 98.97P 0.00 0.00
Preston 34 66 +25 6.31 76.42 5.99 87.19 4.69 31.96 9.64 66.66 99.98 77.50P 0.00 0.00
Swindon 35 64 +24 3.26 64.00 5.10 81.65 4.55 27.76 1.20 17.35 99.62 41.95P 0.00 0.00
MK_Dons 35 62 +31 0.50 51.73 10.59 81.55 4.51 37.68 0.83 17.32 99.63 44.36P 0.00 0.00
Sheff_Utd 34 53 +7 1.67 57.72 0.09 72.23 4.73 11.04 0.00 0.17 72.35 15.65P 0.00 0.00
Doncaster 35 50 +1 -0.14 49.67 -2.24 65.06 4.52 1.07 0.00 0.00 15.69 2.71P 0.07R 0.00
Barnsley 35 50 -1 -0.56 48.02 -4.65 64.79 4.58 -1.45 0.00 0.00 14.33 2.54P 0.06R 0.00
Peterborough 35 50 -1 -2.28 40.26 -7.16 66.47 4.51 1.05 0.00 0.00 22.87 4.36P 0.04R 0.00
Chesterfield 34 48 +4 1.06 55.16 3.73 65.16 4.77 5.07 0.00 0.00 18.88 3.09P 0.09R 0.00
Bradford 33 48 +4 3.24 65.10 4.52 65.64 4.88 3.86 0.00 0.00 20.97 3.37P 0.08R 0.00
Port_Vale 35 48 -3 3.74 66.50 2.85 61.63 4.47 -5.30 0.00 0.00 3.80 0.51P 0.75R 0.00
Fleetwood_Town 35 48 -3 7.03 78.93 6.78 61.02 4.39 -5.78 0.00 0.00 2.88 0.35P 0.91R 0.00
Rochdale 33 47 +14 -0.87 46.32 10.54 65.34 5.10 14.58 0.00 0.02 22.06 3.73P 0.12R 0.00
Gillingham 35 46 -1 1.60 57.63 4.94 59.90 4.47 -3.08 0.00 0.00 1.97 0.24P 1.97R 0.01
Oldham 34 46 -7 4.06 68.61 -0.13 60.58 4.66 -9.71 0.00 0.00 3.10 0.36P 1.89R 0.01
Walsall 35 44 -5 -2.41 39.72 -3.47 58.32 4.40 -5.93 0.00 0.00 0.72 0.16P 4.11R 0.04
Scunthorpe 34 42 -6 -0.46 48.64 0.77 56.94 4.75 -8.42 0.00 0.00 0.78 0.09P 9.50R 0.22
Crewe 35 42 -25 6.83 79.15 -4.87 52.46 4.13 -32.32 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 40.99R 2.34
Notts_County 34 41 -9 -1.58 43.59 -3.07 56.20 4.70 -10.80 0.00 0.00 0.29 0.05P 12.77R 0.43
Coventry 34 36 -12 -6.88 21.70 -6.11 52.09 4.71 -12.65 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 39.61R 3.43
Leyton_Orient 34 35 -8 -14.57 4.93 -12.24 52.69 4.79 -6.28 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.00P 32.29R 2.93
Colchester 35 34 -18 -5.39 27.39 -4.76 46.97 4.41 -21.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 82.06R 23.15
Crawley_Town 35 34 -24 -3.61 34.46 -8.43 47.29 4.44 -26.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 80.17R 22.78
Yeovil 35 33 -22 -7.29 20.49 -11.34 44.80 4.28 -26.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 92.53R 44.66
League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 March 2015, AFC_Wimbledon 2 1 York; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1
Burton_Albion 35 67 +17 12.58 92.14 7.45 83.93 4.48 19.89 36.06 84.86 99.67 88.40P 0.00 0.00
Shrewsbury 35 65 +24 3.52 65.13 4.58 84.01 4.41 29.57 42.47 88.99 99.84 92.56P 0.00 0.00
Wycombe 35 64 +19 10.71 88.70 10.98 80.83 4.45 21.67 16.62 67.55 98.68 74.98P 0.00 0.00
Southend 35 59 +8 4.68 70.28 -1.53 76.24 4.42 11.16 2.18 21.72 87.25 40.01P 0.00 0.00
Luton 35 58 +12 5.67 73.64 5.34 73.77 4.50 13.16 0.88 11.58 73.68 26.57P 0.00 0.00
Bury 35 58 +10 3.70 66.33 0.54 74.53 4.51 12.20 1.12 13.61 78.56 30.45P 0.00 0.00
Plymouth 35 55 +16 3.50 65.40 10.36 71.15 4.41 17.72 0.26 4.29 55.45 16.59P 0.00 0.00
Stevenage 35 55 +7 0.62 52.65 -2.59 72.43 4.57 10.54 0.40 6.60 63.15 21.65P 0.00 0.00
Newport_County 35 53 +0 8.69 83.94 5.04 67.60 4.40 -0.53 0.01 0.50 19.74 3.63P 0.00 0.00
Northampton 35 50 +9 1.01 54.81 7.37 65.43 4.46 9.52 0.01 0.24 12.40 2.81P 0.00 0.00
AFC_Wimbledon 35 49 +1 3.63 66.28 4.63 63.12 4.44 -0.34 0.00 0.03 4.52 0.90P 0.00R 0.00
Morecambe 35 48 +1 1.81 58.72 3.04 62.19 4.38 -0.08 0.00 0.02 2.62 0.51P 0.01R 0.00
Exeter 35 47 -3 0.00 50.42 -1.62 61.90 4.44 -3.25 0.00 0.02 2.47 0.54P 0.01R 0.00
Portsmouth 35 45 +1 -4.30 31.57 -1.28 60.33 4.47 1.47 0.00 0.00 1.32 0.30P 0.08R 0.00
Accrington_Stanley 35 44 -13 2.16 60.35 -3.74 57.74 4.43 -15.09 0.00 0.00 0.19 0.02P 0.39R 0.00
Dag_&_Red 35 43 -6 -1.41 44.27 -1.00 56.41 4.37 -8.44 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.02P 0.62R 0.01
Cambridge_Utd 35 42 +1 -1.43 44.58 7.61 56.19 4.47 -0.24 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.04P 0.87R 0.05
Oxford_Utd 35 42 -3 -5.07 28.48 -2.34 57.25 4.37 -2.59 0.00 0.00 0.16 0.04P 0.48R 0.01
Mansfield 35 42 -13 1.86 59.26 -2.48 54.74 4.26 -15.99 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 1.97R 0.11
York 35 36 -7 -8.87 15.28 -3.58 51.19 4.36 -6.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.58R 1.23
Carlisle 35 36 -19 -6.83 22.92 -10.88 49.41 4.42 -21.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.91R 3.32
Cheltenham 35 35 -19 -5.55 26.25 -8.60 46.87 4.27 -23.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 42.78R 7.15
Tranmere 35 34 -11 -14.01 5.61 -11.38 47.99 4.45 -12.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 27.66R 4.40
Hartlepool 35 27 -32 -9.57 12.25 -15.95 39.13 4.23 -36.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 94.64R 83.72
Conference (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 8 March 2015, Welling 0 1 Altrincham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1
Bristol_Rovers 38 73 +21 4.84 69.69 -2.32 87.71 3.61 26.57 37.61 99.26 58.03P 0.00 0.00
Barnet 37 71 +35 4.50 68.81 10.16 87.48 3.95 41.40 42.84 98.88 60.00P 0.00 0.00
Grimsby 37 68 +27 3.04 63.14 5.66 84.44 4.00 32.86 13.67 94.91 38.87P 0.00 0.00
Forest_Green 38 68 +21 5.63 72.57 4.86 80.87 3.83 23.79 2.20 77.69 17.60P 0.00 0.00
Macclesfield 37 68 +15 12.33 91.13 7.47 81.45 3.86 16.79 3.18 78.54 15.77P 0.00 0.00
Eastleigh 35 60 +19 6.26 74.83 10.19 75.59 4.56 19.76 0.36 27.07 4.92P 0.00 0.00
Woking 37 56 +17 0.99 54.39 10.36 70.21 4.11 19.77 0.00 3.32 0.56P 0.00 0.00
Halifax 34 56 +13 1.67 57.65 1.11 73.21 4.75 14.10 0.12 13.23 2.78P 0.00 0.00
Gateshead 34 53 +10 0.21 50.88 0.51 70.66 4.70 11.78 0.01 5.83 1.16P 0.00 0.00
Kidderminster 37 52 +1 -2.43 39.82 -4.77 64.59 4.02 1.43 0.00 0.03 0.01P 0.00 0.00
Lincoln_City 36 51 -5 3.91 67.12 -0.87 64.19 4.29 -5.96 0.00 0.07 0.01P 0.00 0.00
Chester 36 49 -9 8.14 82.50 4.30 60.56 4.08 -12.37 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00
Altrincham 37 49 -12 7.60 80.08 2.69 59.50 3.91 -14.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Dover_Athletic 35 47 +7 -0.85 46.65 7.73 61.34 4.52 5.84 0.00 0.02 0.00P 0.00 0.00
Torquay 34 46 +7 -9.30 14.86 -6.44 67.22 4.69 14.19 0.00 0.99 0.26P 0.00 0.00
Braintree_Town 36 45 -1 -4.79 29.89 -2.24 59.36 4.16 0.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00R 0.00
Wrexham 33 45 -5 -0.30 49.27 -5.60 63.87 4.85 -3.33 0.00 0.15 0.03P 0.00 0.00
Aldershot 37 44 -8 -7.45 20.70 -9.29 55.56 3.87 -9.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02R 0.00
Southport 36 37 -21 -1.41 44.76 -3.32 48.06 4.03 -24.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.53R 0.32
Alfreton_Town 36 37 -27 -1.31 45.07 -7.72 48.26 4.07 -31.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.68R 0.35
Welling 36 33 -18 -8.11 17.67 -5.39 43.68 4.03 -22.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 36.35R 2.93
Nuneaton 37 31 -34 -5.15 27.62 -12.07 39.50 3.66 -39.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 84.52R 22.42
Dartford 35 29 -26 -5.43 26.07 -4.41 41.35 4.33 -30.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 64.24R 12.13
AFC_Telford 36 26 -27 -8.65 15.91 -0.59 35.83 4.07 -33.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 94.65R 61.85
