Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Friday 6 March 2015 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 4 March 2015, Liverpool 2 0 Burnley; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 27 63 +35 6.89 83.99 4.56 86.31 4.08 47.71 85.56 98.66 99.85 99.97 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 28 58 +32 -1.01 43.22 -2.22 79.91 3.75 45.87 13.71 87.43 97.67 99.55 99.98 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 28 54 +23 2.04 60.37 1.84 72.98 4.12 31.16 0.59 9.69 60.75 84.19 98.81 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 28 53 +21 0.42 51.55 -0.52 69.77 4.13 25.56 0.12 3.07 24.50 58.10 94.17 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 28 51 +12 0.29 51.01 -6.89 68.25 4.09 17.52 0.02 0.94 13.01 37.42 89.14 0.00 0.00 Southampton 28 49 +19 4.80 73.20 10.72 64.34 4.03 21.15 0.00 0.10 2.11 11.00 62.87 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 27 47 +6 5.36 76.08 -0.20 63.99 4.40 8.75 0.00 0.12 2.09 9.70 51.65 0.00 0.00 Stoke 28 42 -1 6.48 80.95 3.63 54.65 4.10 -2.60 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.05 2.09 0.00 0.00 Swansea 28 40 -4 3.44 67.99 -0.40 52.99 4.18 -5.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.70 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 28 39 +5 2.02 60.87 7.55 52.95 4.09 4.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.57 0.00 0.00 Newcastle 28 35 -11 2.83 65.59 0.25 46.91 4.19 -14.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.03R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 28 30 -8 0.02 51.40 4.78 40.59 3.86 -13.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.69R 0.09 West_Brom 28 30 -10 -3.24 33.71 -1.91 40.44 3.82 -15.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.23R 0.13 Everton 28 28 -8 -11.85 5.51 -9.46 44.22 4.26 -4.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.60R 0.02 Hull 28 27 -11 -3.15 33.86 1.69 36.39 3.82 -17.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.12R 2.35 Sunderland 28 26 -16 -3.65 31.21 -2.55 36.86 3.84 -20.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 18.47R 2.05 Aston_Villa 28 25 -23 -2.06 39.70 -5.98 34.65 3.75 -29.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 41.98R 8.37 QPR 27 22 -19 -3.75 30.36 -0.24 31.87 4.02 -27.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 67.87R 24.87 Burnley 28 22 -22 -4.71 25.92 -2.37 31.15 3.82 -29.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 74.94R 31.07 Leicester 27 18 -20 -8.51 10.47 -2.27 31.03 4.34 -23.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 70.07R 31.05Championship (Latest match accounted for: Friday 6 March 2015, Fulham 1 5 Bournemouth; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Bournemouth 36 66 +35 5.36 71.78 17.68 83.14 4.21 40.45 18.93 40.25 95.84 54.03P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 35 66 +29 6.00 75.33 11.43 82.67 4.38 31.29 15.57 32.35 93.40 48.41P 0.00 0.00 Derby 35 65 +29 2.60 61.07 6.79 84.96 4.38 36.70 32.90 54.71 97.56 67.57P 0.00 0.00 Watford 35 65 +28 4.11 67.49 7.58 83.03 4.50 32.44 17.45 36.03 94.13 51.17P 0.00 0.00 Norwich 35 62 +28 -0.80 46.12 5.29 81.97 4.46 35.33 13.01 29.12 92.12 49.60P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 35 61 +12 10.84 88.19 9.01 76.52 4.48 12.50 0.89 3.11 49.22 10.18P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 35 60 +17 6.11 75.26 8.36 76.72 4.45 19.47 1.10 3.84 55.12 14.07P 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 35 57 +6 4.45 68.86 -0.67 73.08 4.45 7.53 0.15 0.59 20.57 4.61P 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 35 50 +7 -1.16 45.15 2.68 65.35 4.48 7.27 0.00 0.00 1.29 0.22P 0.00 0.00 Blackburn 35 48 +0 -0.69 47.20 -0.76 64.68 4.54 2.40 0.00 0.00 0.67 0.14P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 35 46 -3 0.94 54.99 0.52 60.23 4.30 -4.30 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 0.05R 0.00 Charlton 35 45 -5 2.44 61.83 2.79 59.55 4.44 -5.57 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.11R 0.00 Birmingham 35 45 -10 2.10 60.15 -2.10 57.86 4.27 -13.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 0.37R 0.00 Cardiff 35 44 -4 -3.38 35.89 -3.04 60.31 4.43 -2.21 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 0.06R 0.00 Leeds_United 35 44 -8 0.75 53.96 -0.56 58.05 4.41 -9.38 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 0.35R 0.00 Huddersfield 35 42 -15 1.64 58.25 -1.90 55.10 4.43 -18.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.38R 0.00 Bolton 35 41 -11 -3.73 34.12 -5.57 55.14 4.33 -12.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.82R 0.01 Reading 35 41 -16 -4.38 31.43 -11.86 55.56 4.43 -17.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.80R 0.00 Brighton 35 40 -3 -10.37 11.73 -6.60 55.10 4.42 -2.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.99R 0.00 Fulham 36 39 -17 -7.25 21.46 -11.00 52.81 4.28 -17.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.68R 0.01 Rotherham 35 37 -18 1.15 56.58 1.69 47.97 4.21 -24.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 35.38R 0.10 Wigan 35 31 -15 -14.78 4.01 -11.96 45.45 4.41 -15.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 56.64R 0.76 Millwall 35 31 -26 -3.66 33.60 -5.54 40.91 4.03 -33.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 92.44R 5.43 Blackpool 35 22 -40 -8.64 13.53 -12.24 32.15 4.04 -48.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.94R 93.69League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 3 March 2015, Barnsley 1 0 Coventry; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Bristol_City 34 73 +34 12.23 92.02 12.59 94.84 4.69 42.17 87.36 97.58 100.00 98.32P 0.00 0.00 Preston 33 63 +23 5.25 72.80 4.84 85.36 4.92 29.69 7.98 52.03 99.92 67.51P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 34 62 +33 1.30 55.40 11.62 83.18 4.75 40.06 3.53 35.58 99.80 57.05P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 34 61 +21 3.07 63.13 4.25 80.14 4.78 24.94 1.10 13.72 98.84 37.85P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 33 53 +8 2.82 63.01 0.74 74.13 4.96 12.82 0.02 1.05 83.15 19.56P 0.00 0.00 Doncaster 34 49 +1 0.13 50.82 -2.40 65.58 4.77 1.18 0.00 0.01 19.57 3.55P 0.08R 0.00 Chesterfield 34 48 +4 1.36 56.50 4.25 65.09 4.79 4.95 0.00 0.00 18.60 2.90P 0.16R 0.00 Bradford 33 48 +4 2.98 64.00 4.12 65.72 4.91 4.00 0.00 0.01 21.90 3.56P 0.12R 0.00 Peterborough 34 47 -2 -3.37 35.48 -7.41 64.92 4.78 0.18 0.00 0.00 15.67 3.06P 0.24R 0.00 Barnsley 34 47 -4 -0.83 46.68 -5.60 62.82 4.79 -4.97 0.00 0.00 7.88 1.32P 0.69R 0.00 Oldham 33 46 -6 5.03 72.57 0.28 62.12 4.90 -8.45 0.00 0.01 6.15 0.77P 1.28R 0.00 Gillingham 34 45 -1 1.82 58.94 4.76 60.12 4.73 -3.29 0.00 0.00 3.01 0.37P 2.72R 0.01 Port_Vale 34 45 -4 2.31 60.83 2.13 59.77 4.67 -6.66 0.00 0.00 1.98 0.27P 3.51R 0.02 Fleetwood_Town 34 45 -4 5.63 74.59 6.06 58.68 4.54 -7.71 0.00 0.00 1.27 0.16P 4.56R 0.03 Rochdale 32 44 +13 -1.86 41.84 10.49 64.08 5.33 14.14 0.00 0.02 16.71 2.86P 0.64R 0.00 Walsall 34 44 -2 -2.10 40.59 -1.95 59.86 4.60 -2.65 0.00 0.00 2.22 0.39P 2.58R 0.01 Scunthorpe 33 42 -4 0.22 51.67 1.78 58.79 4.99 -5.75 0.00 0.00 2.13 0.31P 5.98R 0.09 Notts_County 33 41 -6 -1.71 42.78 -2.34 57.47 4.89 -7.94 0.00 0.00 0.90 0.14P 9.19R 0.20 Crewe 34 39 -27 5.58 75.70 -6.19 50.39 4.34 -35.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 63.43R 6.03 Coventry 33 36 -11 -5.84 25.17 -5.73 53.68 4.93 -11.30 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.02P 29.92R 1.52 Leyton_Orient 33 35 -7 -13.49 6.11 -11.66 54.14 5.03 -5.15 0.00 0.00 0.20 0.04P 25.19R 1.66 Colchester 34 34 -17 -4.33 31.25 -4.30 48.17 4.65 -20.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 75.60R 14.31 Crawley_Town 34 34 -23 -2.95 36.98 -8.56 48.01 4.60 -26.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 77.75R 15.53 Yeovil 34 30 -23 -8.50 16.08 -11.77 42.94 4.51 -28.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 96.38R 60.58League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 3 March 2015, AFC_Wimbledon 0 0 Southend; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Shrewsbury 34 64 +24 3.83 66.56 4.51 85.35 4.62 31.01 54.51 90.69 99.87 93.82P 0.00 0.00 Burton_Albion 34 64 +16 11.48 90.77 7.23 82.45 4.67 19.08 21.58 72.03 98.93 78.61P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 34 63 +19 10.75 89.08 10.59 81.00 4.64 21.44 16.13 63.09 98.33 71.54P 0.00 0.00 Luton 34 58 +13 7.00 78.70 6.19 75.66 4.70 14.90 2.02 19.71 83.37 35.37P 0.00 0.00 Bury 34 58 +11 5.09 72.11 1.56 76.34 4.72 13.86 2.63 22.60 86.73 39.38P 0.00 0.00 Southend 34 58 +8 5.17 72.62 -1.29 76.89 4.62 11.57 2.82 24.65 88.92 42.38P 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 34 53 +1 9.47 86.35 5.09 68.62 4.59 -0.12 0.02 0.88 26.46 5.26P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 34 52 +14 2.78 62.88 9.59 69.57 4.63 15.78 0.10 1.93 39.75 10.86P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 34 52 +6 -0.18 49.58 -2.39 71.16 4.77 10.07 0.17 3.81 51.16 16.52P 0.00 0.00 Northampton 34 50 +11 1.26 55.83 7.79 66.72 4.68 11.46 0.02 0.57 19.40 4.70P 0.00 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 34 46 +0 2.34 61.16 4.09 61.65 4.65 -1.10 0.00 0.01 2.55 0.49P 0.04R 0.00 Morecambe 34 45 +0 0.34 52.22 2.16 59.98 4.57 -1.80 0.00 0.01 1.09 0.28P 0.13R 0.01 Portsmouth 34 44 +1 -3.93 32.87 -1.29 60.60 4.70 1.31 0.00 0.01 1.88 0.46P 0.12R 0.00 Exeter 34 44 -5 -1.11 45.46 -2.85 59.89 4.64 -5.82 0.00 0.00 0.97 0.21P 0.23R 0.01 Accrington_Stanley 34 43 -13 2.52 62.34 -3.76 58.17 4.67 -14.97 0.00 0.00 0.34 0.07P 0.78R 0.03 Cambridge_Utd 34 41 +1 -1.18 45.41 7.47 55.75 4.61 -1.49 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.03P 2.08R 0.18 Mansfield 34 41 -13 2.27 61.49 -2.33 54.83 4.53 -16.39 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 4.13R 0.39 Dag_&_Red 34 40 -7 -2.88 37.41 -1.82 54.24 4.57 -10.23 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 4.14R 0.32 Oxford_Utd 34 39 -4 -6.59 22.35 -3.17 55.05 4.55 -4.41 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.01P 2.80R 0.31 York 34 36 -6 -8.08 17.12 -3.34 52.44 4.60 -5.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.03R 1.35 Carlisle 34 36 -17 -6.24 24.29 -10.18 51.33 4.70 -18.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 15.41R 2.58 Tranmere 34 34 -10 -12.50 7.64 -10.26 49.84 4.67 -10.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 21.11R 3.53 Cheltenham 34 34 -19 -5.07 27.81 -8.36 47.45 4.49 -23.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 46.60R 9.59 Hartlepool 34 27 -31 -8.51 14.68 -15.22 40.19 4.46 -35.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 93.40R 81.70Conference (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 3 March 2015, Aldershot 3 1 Dover_Athletic; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Bristol_Rovers 37 73 +22 5.88 74.25 -1.82 89.79 3.83 28.63 43.81 99.75 62.86P 0.00 0.00 Barnet 36 71 +37 5.47 72.75 11.19 89.58 4.18 44.58 48.83 99.63 64.92P 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 36 67 +15 12.57 91.69 7.22 82.30 4.13 17.53 2.76 84.70 16.78P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 36 65 +26 1.81 57.83 5.17 82.77 4.24 31.84 3.87 89.75 30.22P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 37 65 +19 4.42 68.26 3.41 78.60 4.03 20.78 0.42 59.04 11.94P 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 34 57 +18 5.20 71.27 10.10 72.88 4.74 17.04 0.06 15.17 2.58P 0.00 0.00 Woking 36 56 +18 2.00 58.84 10.73 71.57 4.33 20.78 0.00 9.45 1.65P 0.00 0.00 Halifax 33 55 +13 2.25 60.39 1.37 74.45 4.93 15.46 0.21 23.42 4.97P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 33 53 +11 1.14 55.30 0.76 72.11 4.94 12.92 0.03 12.42 2.40P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 36 52 +3 -1.82 41.97 -3.97 66.45 4.28 4.16 0.00 0.41 0.09P 0.00 0.00 Chester 35 49 -8 9.24 86.05 5.05 61.48 4.26 -12.12 0.00 0.02 0.00P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 35 48 -6 2.53 61.62 -1.47 62.15 4.50 -7.65 0.00 0.04 0.00P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 34 47 +8 0.13 50.87 8.12 63.32 4.76 7.84 0.00 0.22 0.04P 0.00 0.00 Torquay 33 46 +8 -8.04 18.09 -5.63 69.98 4.86 17.68 0.00 5.82 1.51P 0.00 0.00 Altrincham 36 46 -13 6.16 75.88 2.30 57.45 4.14 -16.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01R 0.00 Aldershot 36 43 -8 -7.35 20.82 -9.64 55.54 4.06 -9.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04R 0.00 Braintree_Town 35 42 -2 -6.18 24.10 -2.81 57.70 4.41 -0.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03R 0.00 Wrexham 32 42 -6 -1.45 43.41 -5.86 62.80 5.09 -3.52 0.00 0.15 0.02P 0.00 0.00 Southport 35 36 -21 -0.91 46.85 -2.92 48.85 4.29 -24.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.61R 0.16 Alfreton_Town 35 34 -29 -2.35 39.84 -8.47 46.32 4.31 -33.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 21.90R 0.62 Welling 35 33 -17 -6.85 21.50 -4.48 45.42 4.30 -21.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 21.50R 0.61 Nuneaton 36 30 -34 -5.10 27.44 -12.30 39.48 3.88 -40.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 83.62R 12.31 Dartford 34 28 -26 -5.53 25.40 -4.82 40.96 4.48 -31.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 66.85R 8.02 AFC_Telford 35 23 -28 -10.26 10.81 -1.22 33.01 4.21 -36.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.44R 78.27