Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Sunday 1 March 2015 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 1 March 2015, Arsenal 2 0 Everton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1
Chelsea 26 60 +34 5.84 80.22 4.36 85.25 4.32 47.58 81.29 98.08 99.76 99.97 100.00 0.00 0.00
Man_City 27 55 +30 -1.55 40.16 -2.31 79.53 3.90 46.22 17.67 88.18 97.74 99.51 99.99 0.00 0.00
Arsenal 27 51 +22 1.06 55.26 1.87 72.08 4.32 31.26 0.86 9.44 59.86 82.78 98.49 0.00 0.00
Man_Utd 27 50 +20 -0.69 45.69 -0.79 68.58 4.39 25.19 0.14 2.84 22.76 54.50 92.69 0.00 0.00
Liverpool 27 48 +10 -0.30 48.00 -7.19 67.73 4.28 17.37 0.03 1.14 15.02 41.64 89.60 0.00 0.00
Southampton 27 46 +18 3.76 69.10 10.52 63.44 4.26 21.17 0.01 0.17 2.54 11.70 62.94 0.00 0.00
Tottenham 26 44 +5 4.34 72.03 -0.30 62.81 4.66 8.40 0.00 0.14 2.30 9.65 49.63 0.00 0.00
Swansea 27 40 -3 4.37 72.60 -0.23 54.01 4.39 -4.85 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.13 2.69 0.00 0.00
West_Ham 27 39 +6 2.69 64.25 7.58 53.93 4.33 5.24 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.08 2.35 0.00 0.00
Stoke 27 39 -3 5.35 77.35 2.47 52.70 4.31 -5.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 1.52 0.00 0.00
Newcastle 27 35 -10 3.69 70.10 0.63 47.80 4.38 -13.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.02R 0.00
Crystal_Palace 27 30 -7 0.75 55.22 4.98 41.27 4.01 -13.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.19R 0.07
West_Brom 27 30 -9 -2.08 39.45 -1.27 41.96 4.10 -14.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.96R 0.10
Everton 27 28 -6 -11.01 6.62 -8.19 45.78 4.49 -2.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.26R 0.01
Hull 27 26 -11 -2.59 36.36 2.02 36.87 4.08 -17.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 18.39R 2.21
Sunderland 27 25 -16 -3.60 31.14 -2.87 37.05 4.10 -20.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 18.63R 2.46
QPR 26 22 -18 -2.87 34.81 -0.14 32.44 4.20 -28.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 62.14R 21.37
Burnley 27 22 -20 -4.38 27.41 -2.07 31.64 3.99 -28.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 69.30R 26.38
Aston_Villa 27 22 -24 -3.49 31.23 -6.76 32.87 3.99 -30.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 59.87R 18.57
Leicester 26 18 -18 -8.19 11.60 -2.30 31.28 4.47 -23.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 67.23R 28.84
Championship (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 1 March 2015, Norwich 2 0 Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1
Derby 34 65 +31 3.43 64.84 7.94 86.63 4.63 39.19 45.47 68.32 98.74 77.95P 0.00 0.00
Middlesbrough 34 63 +26 5.96 75.10 10.75 81.55 4.57 28.98 9.30 24.25 89.15 41.14P 0.00 0.00
Norwich 34 62 +29 0.33 51.05 5.76 84.21 4.67 37.66 24.51 49.49 96.61 65.16P 0.00 0.00
Watford 34 62 +27 3.11 63.71 7.65 82.06 4.71 32.57 11.93 29.34 90.99 46.04P 0.00 0.00
Bournemouth 34 60 +30 4.10 67.82 15.97 79.97 4.68 35.49 5.53 16.92 83.13 33.22P 0.00 0.00
Ipswich 34 60 +18 7.20 79.41 8.97 78.38 4.69 20.89 2.51 8.27 69.67 20.74P 0.00 0.00
Brentford 34 58 +9 10.74 88.46 8.31 74.95 4.72 9.60 0.42 1.96 36.98 7.57P 0.00 0.00
Wolverhampton 34 57 +7 5.16 72.01 -0.64 74.19 4.69 8.10 0.31 1.43 30.91 7.47P 0.00 0.00
Nott'm_Forest 34 50 +8 -0.28 49.12 2.93 66.92 4.69 8.57 0.00 0.02 3.30 0.62P 0.00 0.00
Sheff_Wed 34 46 -2 2.05 59.87 1.13 61.78 4.56 -3.02 0.00 0.00 0.19 0.03P 0.01R 0.00
Blackburn 34 45 -1 -2.02 41.42 -1.22 62.77 4.74 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.30 0.05P 0.02R 0.00
Charlton 34 42 -6 1.09 55.89 2.20 57.88 4.66 -6.60 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.40R 0.00
Birmingham 34 42 -11 1.11 55.80 -2.00 56.80 4.51 -14.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 0.74R 0.00
Huddersfield 34 42 -12 1.87 59.40 -0.89 56.12 4.61 -15.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.25R 0.00
Cardiff 34 41 -6 -3.91 33.25 -3.44 58.49 4.66 -4.48 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.01P 0.35R 0.00
Leeds_United 34 41 -9 -0.40 48.85 -0.83 56.10 4.63 -10.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.33R 0.00
Bolton 34 40 -11 -3.38 35.28 -5.54 55.92 4.58 -11.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.51R 0.00
Reading 34 40 -16 -4.34 30.80 -12.38 55.85 4.65 -17.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.63R 0.00
Fulham 34 39 -12 -6.54 23.66 -9.52 55.28 4.72 -12.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.28R 0.01
Brighton 34 37 -5 -11.43 8.70 -7.77 53.15 4.65 -5.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.89R 0.01
Rotherham 34 37 -16 1.73 58.91 2.32 49.39 4.49 -22.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.98R 0.09
Millwall 34 31 -23 -3.39 34.45 -4.28 41.72 4.19 -31.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 88.42R 5.55
Wigan 34 28 -16 -16.60 2.32 -13.21 42.99 4.58 -18.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 76.38R 3.90
Blackpool 34 22 -39 -7.93 15.22 -12.20 32.96 4.23 -48.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.81R 90.44
League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 February 2015, Bristol_City 1 0 Rochdale; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1
Bristol_City 33 70 +32 11.28 90.63 11.63 93.27 4.90 40.28 72.87 91.24 100.00 93.92P 0.00 0.00
MK_Dons 33 62 +34 2.66 61.74 12.53 85.15 4.92 42.00 9.64 40.72 99.93 60.42P 0.00 0.00
Preston 32 62 +23 5.73 75.14 4.95 86.23 5.14 30.41 13.10 45.90 99.96 63.28P 0.00 0.00
Swindon 33 61 +24 3.58 65.73 5.87 82.69 4.95 29.72 4.27 20.60 99.77 44.05P 0.00 0.00
Sheff_Utd 32 53 +9 3.81 67.53 1.19 75.95 5.15 14.40 0.13 1.52 91.71 21.41P 0.00 0.00
Doncaster 33 48 +1 0.49 52.67 -2.43 65.41 4.94 0.48 0.00 0.00 23.48 4.02P 0.19R 0.00
Chesterfield 33 45 +3 -0.27 49.29 3.11 62.90 4.98 3.06 0.00 0.00 12.62 1.95P 0.96R 0.01
Bradford 32 45 +3 2.06 60.05 4.13 64.30 5.13 3.25 0.00 0.00 19.19 2.79P 0.61R 0.01
Port_Vale 33 45 -3 3.34 65.56 2.73 61.28 4.91 -5.47 0.00 0.00 5.81 0.72P 2.48R 0.02
Peterborough 33 44 -3 -4.74 29.77 -7.97 62.81 4.95 -1.51 0.00 0.00 11.02 1.96P 1.20R 0.01
Fleetwood_Town 33 44 -4 5.74 75.56 5.60 59.15 4.80 -7.55 0.00 0.00 2.63 0.30P 5.67R 0.10
Barnsley 33 44 -5 -1.89 41.91 -5.76 61.25 5.03 -5.89 0.00 0.00 6.65 1.06P 2.76R 0.04
Oldham 32 43 -7 3.78 68.02 -0.11 60.23 5.09 -9.85 0.00 0.00 4.50 0.54P 4.65R 0.11
Gillingham 33 42 -4 1.06 55.54 3.01 57.60 4.88 -7.77 0.00 0.00 1.43 0.17P 10.46R 0.27
Rochdale 31 41 +9 -1.60 43.10 9.40 62.31 5.52 9.90 0.00 0.01 13.31 2.17P 2.28R 0.05
Walsall 33 41 -3 -3.32 35.05 -2.31 58.18 4.80 -3.68 0.00 0.00 1.67 0.24P 7.75R 0.22
Scunthorpe 32 41 -4 0.52 52.92 1.59 59.23 5.25 -5.59 0.00 0.00 3.93 0.50P 7.16R 0.20
Crewe 33 39 -23 5.57 75.69 -4.53 51.63 4.62 -31.25 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.00P 55.43R 6.62
Notts_County 32 38 -7 -2.91 37.28 -2.63 55.83 5.13 -8.99 0.00 0.00 0.84 0.15P 19.93R 1.28
Coventry 32 36 -10 -4.93 28.37 -5.33 55.09 5.19 -10.29 0.00 0.00 0.63 0.13P 24.95R 1.77
Leyton_Orient 32 35 -5 -12.94 6.64 -10.91 55.48 5.25 -3.21 0.00 0.00 0.85 0.22P 20.75R 1.69
Colchester 33 34 -16 -3.59 34.29 -4.09 49.69 4.90 -19.32 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 66.67R 13.54
Crawley_Town 33 34 -22 -2.09 40.96 -8.16 49.11 4.88 -25.99 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 72.20R 16.80
Yeovil 33 30 -22 -7.76 18.00 -11.54 44.28 4.72 -27.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 93.89R 57.28
League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 February 2015, Burton_Albion 0 1 Newport_County; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1
Burton_Albion 34 64 +16 11.32 90.38 6.95 82.51 4.69 19.15 27.64 74.52 98.95 80.68P 0.00 0.00
Shrewsbury 33 61 +23 2.88 62.77 4.51 84.00 4.84 30.35 47.10 85.74 99.54 90.36P 0.00 0.00
Wycombe 33 60 +18 9.74 87.31 10.47 79.04 4.86 19.99 11.74 48.59 95.09 59.69P 0.00 0.00
Luton 33 58 +14 7.77 81.70 6.46 76.91 4.92 15.73 5.12 30.67 87.34 44.73P 0.00 0.00
Southend 33 57 +8 5.53 74.49 -1.29 77.23 4.85 11.55 5.18 30.74 88.47 46.84P 0.00 0.00
Bury 33 55 +10 3.80 67.00 1.03 74.94 4.94 13.14 2.39 18.28 77.68 33.95P 0.00 0.00
Newport_County 33 53 +2 10.50 88.84 5.69 70.60 4.82 1.75 0.25 3.34 41.29 9.98P 0.00 0.00
Plymouth 33 52 +15 3.58 66.40 9.85 70.78 4.83 16.58 0.38 4.61 49.02 15.32P 0.00 0.00
Stevenage 33 49 +5 -1.39 43.92 -2.74 69.62 5.03 9.19 0.16 2.97 38.05 12.56P 0.00R 0.00
Northampton 33 47 +10 -0.02 50.37 7.29 65.30 4.92 10.72 0.01 0.43 13.32 3.41P 0.00R 0.00
AFC_Wimbledon 33 45 +0 2.74 63.15 4.22 61.99 4.89 -1.16 0.00 0.06 3.56 0.72P 0.05R 0.01
Portsmouth 33 44 +2 -3.06 36.53 -0.97 61.93 4.92 2.18 0.00 0.03 3.76 0.96P 0.06R 0.00
Morecambe 33 44 +0 0.66 53.95 2.20 60.09 4.73 -2.16 0.00 0.02 1.31 0.25P 0.12R 0.01
Exeter 34 44 -5 -1.08 45.52 -2.86 59.96 4.67 -5.73 0.00 0.01 1.05 0.25P 0.18R 0.02
Accrington_Stanley 33 43 -12 3.33 65.92 -3.39 59.29 4.85 -14.33 0.00 0.00 0.80 0.13P 0.44R 0.04
Cambridge_Utd 33 41 +4 -1.10 45.56 8.48 57.79 4.87 2.50 0.00 0.00 0.59 0.13P 0.81R 0.08
Oxford_Utd 33 38 -4 -6.03 24.07 -2.85 55.62 4.81 -4.11 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.02P 2.35R 0.38
Mansfield 33 38 -14 0.58 53.66 -3.27 52.62 4.71 -18.21 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 9.79R 1.81
Dag_&_Red 33 37 -9 -3.68 33.72 -2.56 52.83 4.79 -11.93 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 8.14R 1.65
Tranmere 33 34 -9 -11.41 9.44 -9.65 51.36 4.90 -9.49 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01P 12.90R 2.77
Cheltenham 33 34 -18 -4.16 31.23 -7.97 48.54 4.74 -22.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 34.72R 9.13
York 33 33 -9 -8.68 14.72 -4.97 50.16 4.75 -9.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 19.19R 4.95
Carlisle 33 33 -18 -7.05 20.94 -9.79 49.89 4.91 -19.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 23.92R 6.73
Hartlepool 33 27 -29 -8.29 15.35 -14.83 41.42 4.70 -33.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 87.33R 72.41
Conference (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 28 February 2015, AFC_Telford 0 1 Alfreton_Town; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1
Bristol_Rovers 37 73 +22 5.76 73.54 -2.05 89.80 3.82 28.71 45.37 99.74 64.10P 0.00 0.00
Barnet 36 71 +37 5.65 73.42 11.56 89.43 4.20 44.34 47.89 99.58 64.30P 0.00 0.00
Grimsby 36 65 +26 1.95 58.69 5.38 82.77 4.23 31.82 4.05 90.28 30.10P 0.00 0.00
Forest_Green 37 65 +19 4.28 67.92 3.29 78.69 4.04 20.89 0.47 60.57 12.52P 0.00 0.00
Macclesfield 35 64 +14 11.18 89.55 6.65 80.37 4.34 16.14 1.41 71.04 12.86P 0.00 0.00
Eastleigh 34 57 +18 5.26 71.55 10.26 72.84 4.76 16.96 0.06 16.19 2.82P 0.00 0.00
Halifax 32 55 +14 3.52 66.17 2.15 76.42 5.21 17.33 0.73 39.57 8.50P 0.00 0.00
Woking 35 53 +16 1.24 55.55 10.09 70.00 4.57 18.86 0.00 6.14 1.10P 0.00 0.00
Kidderminster 36 52 +3 -1.68 42.76 -3.77 66.35 4.29 3.98 0.00 0.48 0.09P 0.00 0.00
Gateshead 32 50 +9 0.22 50.96 -0.13 70.57 5.13 11.01 0.02 8.72 1.78P 0.00 0.00
Chester 35 49 -8 9.04 85.42 4.73 61.50 4.27 -12.01 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00
Lincoln_City 35 48 -6 2.45 61.38 -1.66 62.08 4.51 -7.75 0.00 0.05 0.01P 0.00 0.00
Dover_Athletic 33 47 +10 0.42 52.23 8.38 64.86 5.01 10.11 0.00 0.89 0.13P 0.00 0.00
Torquay 33 46 +8 -7.87 18.27 -5.39 70.01 4.84 17.67 0.00 6.14 1.58P 0.00 0.00
Altrincham 36 46 -13 6.29 76.13 2.48 57.36 4.13 -16.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02R 0.00
Braintree_Town 34 42 -1 -5.09 27.81 -2.16 59.35 4.62 0.51 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.01R 0.00
Wrexham 31 42 -4 -1.00 45.55 -5.21 64.06 5.29 -1.61 0.00 0.58 0.12P 0.00R 0.00
Aldershot 35 40 -10 -8.00 18.43 -10.25 53.88 4.33 -11.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.34R 0.00
Alfreton_Town 35 34 -29 -2.43 39.56 -8.66 46.26 4.30 -33.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 23.02R 0.69
Welling 35 33 -17 -6.98 21.03 -4.69 45.51 4.32 -21.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 21.83R 0.64
Southport 34 33 -22 -2.33 39.92 -3.43 46.75 4.51 -26.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 17.85R 0.79
Nuneaton 36 30 -34 -5.06 27.39 -12.21 39.46 3.90 -40.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 83.13R 13.00
Dartford 33 28 -24 -4.75 28.32 -3.98 42.23 4.73 -29.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 55.67R 5.49
AFC_Telford 35 23 -28 -10.32 11.02 -1.37 33.04 4.23 -36.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.12R 79.39
