Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 27 February 2015 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 22 February 2015, Everton 2 2 Leicester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Chelsea          26   60  +34       5.73    80.22     4.15    85.32     4.30    47.73    73.32    98.53    99.83    99.96   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         26   55  +31      -0.33    46.68    -1.75    81.21     4.13    47.73    26.18    94.02    99.03    99.77    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          26   48  +20       0.42    51.88     1.34    70.87     4.55    29.91     0.36     4.66    54.07    77.54    96.73     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          26   47  +18      -1.31    42.24    -1.23    67.77     4.59    24.49     0.11     1.66    23.82    51.77    88.77     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      26   46  +19       4.86    74.42    11.15    65.21     4.48    22.78     0.01     0.45     8.61    27.61    76.47     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        26   45   +9      -1.64    40.43    -7.74    65.87     4.52    16.00     0.01     0.56    11.49    30.96    78.80     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        26   44   +5       4.31    71.75    -0.31    62.76     4.64     8.31     0.00     0.12     3.06    11.70    48.93     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         26   39   +8       3.82    70.13     9.07    56.08     4.55     8.40     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.57     7.40     0.00     0.00  
Swansea          26   37   -4       3.18    67.47    -0.42    52.44     4.59    -5.81     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.08     1.65     0.00R    0.00  
Stoke            26   36   -4       4.20    72.77     2.20    51.38     4.55    -5.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     1.09     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        26   32  -11       2.58    65.08     0.46    46.49     4.59   -14.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.29R    0.01  
Everton          26   28   -4     -10.42     7.42    -7.48    46.75     4.67    -0.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.26R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   26   27   -9      -0.62    47.52     3.35    38.83     4.20   -16.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.21R    0.84  
West_Brom        26   27  -10      -3.65    30.94    -2.02    40.05     4.33   -15.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.00R    0.69  
Hull             26   26  -10      -1.75    40.93     2.37    37.97     4.30   -16.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.06R    1.93  
Sunderland       26   25  -14      -3.31    32.32    -2.56    37.68     4.27   -20.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.99R    2.38  
QPR              26   22  -18      -2.88    34.78    -0.18    32.50     4.22   -28.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.34R   23.87  
Burnley          26   22  -19      -3.40    32.23    -1.60    32.88     4.28   -28.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.11R   21.55  
Aston_Villa      26   22  -23      -2.66    35.33    -6.31    33.84     4.20   -30.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.54R   15.84  
Leicester        26   18  -18      -8.31    11.32    -2.49    31.25     4.45   -23.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.20R   32.89  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 25 February 2015, Nott'm_Forest 2 1 Bournemouth; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Derby           33   65  +33       4.23    68.53     8.91    88.51     4.83    42.00    57.03    77.52    99.30    84.37P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   33   63  +28       6.53    77.66    11.65    83.44     4.82    31.73    13.79    35.32    93.59    50.98P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         33   60  +20       7.54    80.77     9.46    79.41     4.88    22.40     2.97    11.30    74.66    24.70P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     33   59  +30       4.69    70.35    16.21    80.98     4.94    36.49     6.73    21.30    86.15    37.05P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich         33   59  +27      -0.30    48.31     5.33    82.87     4.91    36.08    12.80    33.20    92.78    53.11P    0.00     0.00  
Watford         33   59  +26       2.07    58.94     7.74    80.52     4.93    31.64     5.75    17.34    83.63    34.52P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       33   58  +10      11.60    90.65     8.61    76.50     4.96    10.82     0.84     3.45    48.95    10.64P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   33   54   +6       3.75    66.50    -1.27    72.30     4.88     6.73     0.10     0.56    18.81     4.23P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   33   47   +5      -0.88    46.24     1.53    64.68     4.94     4.59     0.00     0.00     1.48     0.27P    0.00R    0.00  
Blackburn       33   44   -1      -1.70    42.58    -1.25    62.55     4.94     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.39     0.08P    0.02R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed       33   43   -4       0.95    55.26    -0.03    59.81     4.75    -5.45     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P    0.10R    0.00  
Huddersfield    33   42   -9       2.05    60.12     0.18    57.69     4.87   -12.36     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     0.51R    0.00  
Cardiff         33   41   -5      -3.31    35.54    -3.52    60.27     4.94    -2.89     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P    0.13R    0.00  
Leeds_United    33   41   -8       0.42    52.93    -0.76    57.53     4.87    -9.76     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.55R    0.00  
Reading         33   40  -13      -3.84    33.10   -10.67    57.76     4.96   -13.39     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.61R    0.00  
Charlton        33   39   -9       0.71    54.41     1.01    56.09     4.89    -9.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.09R    0.00  
Birmingham      33   39  -12      -0.12    50.43    -2.42    55.09     4.76   -15.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.71R    0.01  
Brighton        33   37   -4     -10.49    10.44    -7.31    54.48     4.85    -4.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.38R    0.02  
Bolton          33   37  -12      -4.64    29.65    -5.92    54.18     4.80   -13.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.98R    0.04  
Fulham          33   36  -14      -7.42    20.00   -10.20    53.02     4.92   -15.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.30R    0.04  
Rotherham       33   34  -17       0.81    55.11     2.42    47.85     4.71   -23.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.80R    0.58  
Millwall        33   31  -22      -2.59    38.20    -4.21    42.89     4.44   -30.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.06R    5.58  
Wigan           33   25  -18     -17.42     1.55   -14.09    41.29     4.77   -20.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.45R   11.97  
Blackpool       33   22  -37      -7.21    17.61   -11.39    34.26     4.46   -46.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.30R   81.75  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 24 February 2015, Doncaster 1 3 Bristol_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Bristol_City     32   67  +31      10.17    88.22    11.39    92.25     5.16    40.31    62.33    85.88   100.00    90.07P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          32   62  +35       3.71    66.49    12.96    87.25     5.14    44.14    20.98    57.32    99.95    71.74P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          32   60  +24       3.99    67.73     5.89    83.91     5.19    31.07     7.82    26.45    99.74    48.97P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          31   59  +19       5.81    75.26     3.47    84.34     5.35    25.98     8.56    28.10    99.73    49.86P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        31   52   +9       4.33    69.67     1.41    76.71     5.37    14.98     0.31     2.24    92.15    22.57P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         31   45   +5       2.54    62.19     4.93    65.84     5.38     5.55     0.00     0.00    28.06     4.46P    0.27R    0.00  
Doncaster        32   45   -1      -0.51    47.86    -3.54    63.92     5.22    -1.31     0.00     0.00    15.34     2.63P    0.72R    0.01  
Fleetwood_Town   32   44   -1       5.99    76.27     7.04    60.63     5.04    -4.39     0.00     0.00     5.18     0.60P    3.02R    0.04  
Oldham           31   43   -3       3.57    67.04     1.53    61.86     5.31    -5.41     0.00     0.00     8.39     1.15P    2.36R    0.05  
Chesterfield     32   42   +0      -0.43    48.80     2.33    60.89     5.21    -0.51     0.00     0.00     6.48     1.02P    3.06R    0.07  
Gillingham       32   42   -3       2.10    60.30     3.67    59.04     5.16    -6.71     0.00     0.00     3.03     0.35P    6.67R    0.16  
Port_Vale        32   42   -4       1.88    59.02     2.01    59.38     5.13    -6.90     0.00     0.00     3.14     0.40P    6.08R    0.18  
Rochdale         30   41  +10      -0.81    46.23     9.45    63.23     5.71    10.09     0.00     0.01    16.73     2.54P    1.57R    0.03  
Walsall          32   41   -1      -2.72    37.74    -1.36    59.78     5.05    -1.37     0.00     0.00     3.75     0.58P    4.36R    0.12  
Peterborough     32   41   -5      -5.56    26.13    -8.79    61.20     5.18    -3.48     0.00     0.00     6.71     1.25P    3.00R    0.04  
Barnsley         32   41   -6      -3.45    34.96    -6.57    59.73     5.26    -6.78     0.00     0.00     4.00     0.70P    5.64R    0.13  
Scunthorpe       31   40   -4       1.01    55.28     1.78    59.81     5.47    -5.32     0.00     0.00     5.09     0.72P    5.94R    0.24  
Notts_County     31   38   -6      -1.77    42.21    -1.90    57.49     5.37    -7.64     0.00     0.00     1.84     0.25P   12.67R    0.71  
Crewe            32   38  -23       5.73    76.65    -4.54    51.25     4.79   -32.59     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00    56.40R    7.68  
Colchester       32   34  -14      -3.02    36.57    -3.33    51.01     5.15   -17.38     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   54.14R    8.81  
Coventry         31   33  -11      -6.44    22.19    -6.24    52.82     5.38   -12.28     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.03P   39.03R    4.67  
Crawley_Town     32   33  -22      -1.78    42.37    -8.12    48.98     5.04   -26.74     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   71.02R   17.27  
Leyton_Orient    31   32   -7     -14.04     4.87   -12.08    53.66     5.43    -5.50     0.00     0.00     0.37     0.08P   31.31R    3.68  
Yeovil           32   29  -22      -7.31    19.24   -11.39    44.19     4.97   -27.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.74R   56.11  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 24 February 2015, Accrington_Stanley 1 0 Burton_Albion; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Burton_Albion        33   64  +17      12.70    93.45     7.99    84.44     4.87    20.98    31.00    84.47    99.60    88.30P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           32   61  +24       4.40    69.60     5.64    86.21     5.04    32.57    54.14    92.62    99.87    95.18P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              32   59  +18       9.99    88.42    10.33    79.69     5.05    20.41     9.44    53.73    96.36    63.87P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                32   55  +12       7.11    79.87     5.77    75.52     5.10    14.12     1.86    21.73    82.49    36.41P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             32   54   +6       4.92    72.69    -1.94    76.01     5.05    10.13     2.03    22.38    84.38    39.43P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             32   52  +17       4.26    69.75    10.87    72.65     5.03    19.28     0.70     9.85    68.39    24.51P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 32   52   +8       2.61    62.09    -0.24    72.86     5.11    10.58     0.64     9.62    66.33    24.24P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       32   50   +1       9.08    86.30     5.12    68.34     5.01    -0.19     0.05     1.50    28.82     6.23P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            32   48   +5      -1.18    44.87    -3.02    69.72     5.21     8.84     0.13     3.59    42.95    14.83P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        32   45   +1       3.89    68.21     5.00    63.48     5.11    -0.02     0.00     0.15     7.92     1.63P    0.03R    0.00  
Northampton          32   44   +9      -1.39    43.66     6.66    62.70     5.05     8.28     0.00     0.14     7.03     1.71P    0.03R    0.00  
Morecambe            32   44   +2       1.32    56.87     3.23    62.00     4.99     0.61     0.00     0.07     4.55     1.04P    0.04R    0.00  
Portsmouth           32   43   +2      -2.56    38.31    -0.75    62.65     5.14     2.67     0.00     0.10     6.83     1.72P    0.07R    0.00  
Exeter               33   43   -5      -0.98    46.12    -3.04    60.13     4.87    -6.03     0.00     0.02     1.77     0.38P    0.19R    0.01  
Accrington_Stanley   32   43  -10       3.84    68.16    -2.70    60.27     5.03   -12.86     0.00     0.02     1.97     0.35P    0.25R    0.01  
Cambridge_Utd        32   38   +2      -1.99    41.49     7.66    55.48     5.06    -0.47     0.00     0.00     0.30     0.07P    2.31R    0.34  
Oxford_Utd           32   37   -4      -5.94    24.00    -3.15    55.65     5.01    -4.63     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.06P    2.02R    0.25  
Dag_&_Red            32   37   -8      -2.75    37.74    -2.21    54.17     5.00   -10.92     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P    4.12R    0.53  
Mansfield            32   35  -15      -0.51    48.24    -3.55    50.97     4.91   -19.25     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   15.10R    2.91  
Tranmere             32   34   -7     -11.09     9.52    -9.17    53.28     5.13    -6.70     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.03P    6.36R    0.90  
Carlisle             32   33  -16      -6.80    21.59    -9.49    50.98     5.13   -18.08     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   15.31R    3.29  
York                 32   32   -9      -8.25    15.50    -4.79    50.85     5.04    -9.26     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   14.42R    2.80  
Cheltenham           32   31  -20      -5.20    26.69    -9.03    46.63     4.94   -25.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.44R   12.35  
Hartlepool           32   24  -30      -9.59    10.97   -15.19    39.69     4.89   -34.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.30R   76.61  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 24 February 2015, Bristol_Rovers 2 1 Braintree_Town; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Bristol_Rovers   36   70  +21       4.78    70.14    -2.19    88.17     4.11    27.68    39.39    99.02    59.14P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet           35   68  +35       4.84    70.80    10.79    88.28     4.42    43.06    47.48    99.05    62.97P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     34   64  +18      11.09    89.73     8.48    82.13     4.60    20.70     6.18    83.25    20.08P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          35   62  +25       0.86    53.67     5.03    81.67     4.44    31.59     4.67    85.91    29.16P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     36   62  +17       3.91    66.37     3.31    77.62     4.25    19.78     0.58    52.25    11.12P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        33   54  +14       5.59    73.44     9.34    70.66     4.94    12.05     0.03     8.96     1.47P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax          31   54  +14       3.64    67.27     1.75    76.72     5.39    17.20     1.50    43.23     9.98P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster    35   51   +3      -1.17    44.84    -3.58    66.95     4.54     4.37     0.00     1.09     0.25P    0.00     0.00  
Woking           34   50  +14       0.16    50.99     8.94    68.17     4.81    16.51     0.00     3.83     0.68P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        31   50  +10       1.09    55.17     0.09    71.91     5.36    12.07     0.16    14.86     3.08P    0.00     0.00  
Chester          35   49   -8       9.20    85.58     4.93    61.50     4.27   -12.03     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     34   48   -4       3.28    65.27    -0.55    63.79     4.77    -5.24     0.00     0.34     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   33   47  +10       0.55    52.90     8.58    64.87     5.02    10.16     0.00     1.03     0.16P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay          33   46   +8      -8.05    18.06    -5.64    69.96     4.86    17.61     0.00     6.63     1.76P    0.00     0.00  
Altrincham       35   46  -11       6.56    77.29     2.57    58.43     4.35   -15.25     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Braintree_Town   33   42   +0      -4.57    29.76    -2.35    60.21     4.80     0.82     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.01R    0.00  
Wrexham          31   42   -4      -0.84    46.26    -4.96    63.91     5.27    -1.83     0.00     0.50     0.09P    0.00R    0.00  
Aldershot        34   39  -10      -7.49    19.42    -9.98    54.85     4.55   -10.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.27R    0.00  
Welling          34   33  -16      -6.00    24.10    -4.16    47.02     4.55   -19.94     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.04R    0.52  
Southport        33   33  -20      -1.96    41.59    -3.44    47.49     4.68   -25.13     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.93R    0.69  
Alfreton_Town    34   31  -30      -3.87    32.80    -9.22    44.53     4.56   -35.21     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.33R    2.89  
Dartford         32   27  -24      -4.75    28.07    -4.49    41.93     4.87   -31.04     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.00R    7.79  
Nuneaton         35   27  -35      -6.41    21.89   -12.60    37.75     4.14   -41.57     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.55R   28.44  
AFC_Telford      34   23  -27      -9.21    13.42    -0.67    34.63     4.50   -35.66     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.86R   59.68