Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Friday 27 February 2015 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 22 February 2015, Everton 2 2 Leicester; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 26 60 +34 5.73 80.22 4.15 85.32 4.30 47.73 73.32 98.53 99.83 99.96 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 26 55 +31 -0.33 46.68 -1.75 81.21 4.13 47.73 26.18 94.02 99.03 99.77 99.99 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 26 48 +20 0.42 51.88 1.34 70.87 4.55 29.91 0.36 4.66 54.07 77.54 96.73 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 26 47 +18 -1.31 42.24 -1.23 67.77 4.59 24.49 0.11 1.66 23.82 51.77 88.77 0.00 0.00 Southampton 26 46 +19 4.86 74.42 11.15 65.21 4.48 22.78 0.01 0.45 8.61 27.61 76.47 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 26 45 +9 -1.64 40.43 -7.74 65.87 4.52 16.00 0.01 0.56 11.49 30.96 78.80 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 26 44 +5 4.31 71.75 -0.31 62.76 4.64 8.31 0.00 0.12 3.06 11.70 48.93 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 26 39 +8 3.82 70.13 9.07 56.08 4.55 8.40 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.57 7.40 0.00 0.00 Swansea 26 37 -4 3.18 67.47 -0.42 52.44 4.59 -5.81 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.08 1.65 0.00R 0.00 Stoke 26 36 -4 4.20 72.77 2.20 51.38 4.55 -5.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 1.09 0.00 0.00 Newcastle 26 32 -11 2.58 65.08 0.46 46.49 4.59 -14.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.29R 0.01 Everton 26 28 -4 -10.42 7.42 -7.48 46.75 4.67 -0.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.26R 0.01 Crystal_Palace 26 27 -9 -0.62 47.52 3.35 38.83 4.20 -16.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.21R 0.84 West_Brom 26 27 -10 -3.65 30.94 -2.02 40.05 4.33 -15.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.00R 0.69 Hull 26 26 -10 -1.75 40.93 2.37 37.97 4.30 -16.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 15.06R 1.93 Sunderland 26 25 -14 -3.31 32.32 -2.56 37.68 4.27 -20.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 17.99R 2.38 QPR 26 22 -18 -2.88 34.78 -0.18 32.50 4.22 -28.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 64.34R 23.87 Burnley 26 22 -19 -3.40 32.23 -1.60 32.88 4.28 -28.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 61.11R 21.55 Aston_Villa 26 22 -23 -2.66 35.33 -6.31 33.84 4.20 -30.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 53.54R 15.84 Leicester 26 18 -18 -8.31 11.32 -2.49 31.25 4.45 -23.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 70.20R 32.89Championship (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 25 February 2015, Nott'm_Forest 2 1 Bournemouth; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Derby 33 65 +33 4.23 68.53 8.91 88.51 4.83 42.00 57.03 77.52 99.30 84.37P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 33 63 +28 6.53 77.66 11.65 83.44 4.82 31.73 13.79 35.32 93.59 50.98P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 33 60 +20 7.54 80.77 9.46 79.41 4.88 22.40 2.97 11.30 74.66 24.70P 0.00 0.00 Bournemouth 33 59 +30 4.69 70.35 16.21 80.98 4.94 36.49 6.73 21.30 86.15 37.05P 0.00 0.00 Norwich 33 59 +27 -0.30 48.31 5.33 82.87 4.91 36.08 12.80 33.20 92.78 53.11P 0.00 0.00 Watford 33 59 +26 2.07 58.94 7.74 80.52 4.93 31.64 5.75 17.34 83.63 34.52P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 33 58 +10 11.60 90.65 8.61 76.50 4.96 10.82 0.84 3.45 48.95 10.64P 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 33 54 +6 3.75 66.50 -1.27 72.30 4.88 6.73 0.10 0.56 18.81 4.23P 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 33 47 +5 -0.88 46.24 1.53 64.68 4.94 4.59 0.00 0.00 1.48 0.27P 0.00R 0.00 Blackburn 33 44 -1 -1.70 42.58 -1.25 62.55 4.94 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.39 0.08P 0.02R 0.00 Sheff_Wed 33 43 -4 0.95 55.26 -0.03 59.81 4.75 -5.45 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.02P 0.10R 0.00 Huddersfield 33 42 -9 2.05 60.12 0.18 57.69 4.87 -12.36 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.51R 0.00 Cardiff 33 41 -5 -3.31 35.54 -3.52 60.27 4.94 -2.89 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.02P 0.13R 0.00 Leeds_United 33 41 -8 0.42 52.93 -0.76 57.53 4.87 -9.76 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 0.55R 0.00 Reading 33 40 -13 -3.84 33.10 -10.67 57.76 4.96 -13.39 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 0.61R 0.00 Charlton 33 39 -9 0.71 54.41 1.01 56.09 4.89 -9.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.09R 0.00 Birmingham 33 39 -12 -0.12 50.43 -2.42 55.09 4.76 -15.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.71R 0.01 Brighton 33 37 -4 -10.49 10.44 -7.31 54.48 4.85 -4.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.38R 0.02 Bolton 33 37 -12 -4.64 29.65 -5.92 54.18 4.80 -13.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.98R 0.04 Fulham 33 36 -14 -7.42 20.00 -10.20 53.02 4.92 -15.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.30R 0.04 Rotherham 33 34 -17 0.81 55.11 2.42 47.85 4.71 -23.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 28.80R 0.58 Millwall 33 31 -22 -2.59 38.20 -4.21 42.89 4.44 -30.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 76.06R 5.58 Wigan 33 25 -18 -17.42 1.55 -14.09 41.29 4.77 -20.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 80.45R 11.97 Blackpool 33 22 -37 -7.21 17.61 -11.39 34.26 4.46 -46.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.30R 81.75League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 24 February 2015, Doncaster 1 3 Bristol_City; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Bristol_City 32 67 +31 10.17 88.22 11.39 92.25 5.16 40.31 62.33 85.88 100.00 90.07P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 32 62 +35 3.71 66.49 12.96 87.25 5.14 44.14 20.98 57.32 99.95 71.74P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 32 60 +24 3.99 67.73 5.89 83.91 5.19 31.07 7.82 26.45 99.74 48.97P 0.00 0.00 Preston 31 59 +19 5.81 75.26 3.47 84.34 5.35 25.98 8.56 28.10 99.73 49.86P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 31 52 +9 4.33 69.67 1.41 76.71 5.37 14.98 0.31 2.24 92.15 22.57P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 31 45 +5 2.54 62.19 4.93 65.84 5.38 5.55 0.00 0.00 28.06 4.46P 0.27R 0.00 Doncaster 32 45 -1 -0.51 47.86 -3.54 63.92 5.22 -1.31 0.00 0.00 15.34 2.63P 0.72R 0.01 Fleetwood_Town 32 44 -1 5.99 76.27 7.04 60.63 5.04 -4.39 0.00 0.00 5.18 0.60P 3.02R 0.04 Oldham 31 43 -3 3.57 67.04 1.53 61.86 5.31 -5.41 0.00 0.00 8.39 1.15P 2.36R 0.05 Chesterfield 32 42 +0 -0.43 48.80 2.33 60.89 5.21 -0.51 0.00 0.00 6.48 1.02P 3.06R 0.07 Gillingham 32 42 -3 2.10 60.30 3.67 59.04 5.16 -6.71 0.00 0.00 3.03 0.35P 6.67R 0.16 Port_Vale 32 42 -4 1.88 59.02 2.01 59.38 5.13 -6.90 0.00 0.00 3.14 0.40P 6.08R 0.18 Rochdale 30 41 +10 -0.81 46.23 9.45 63.23 5.71 10.09 0.00 0.01 16.73 2.54P 1.57R 0.03 Walsall 32 41 -1 -2.72 37.74 -1.36 59.78 5.05 -1.37 0.00 0.00 3.75 0.58P 4.36R 0.12 Peterborough 32 41 -5 -5.56 26.13 -8.79 61.20 5.18 -3.48 0.00 0.00 6.71 1.25P 3.00R 0.04 Barnsley 32 41 -6 -3.45 34.96 -6.57 59.73 5.26 -6.78 0.00 0.00 4.00 0.70P 5.64R 0.13 Scunthorpe 31 40 -4 1.01 55.28 1.78 59.81 5.47 -5.32 0.00 0.00 5.09 0.72P 5.94R 0.24 Notts_County 31 38 -6 -1.77 42.21 -1.90 57.49 5.37 -7.64 0.00 0.00 1.84 0.25P 12.67R 0.71 Crewe 32 38 -23 5.73 76.65 -4.54 51.25 4.79 -32.59 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.00 56.40R 7.68 Colchester 32 34 -14 -3.02 36.57 -3.33 51.01 5.15 -17.38 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 54.14R 8.81 Coventry 31 33 -11 -6.44 22.19 -6.24 52.82 5.38 -12.28 0.00 0.00 0.22 0.03P 39.03R 4.67 Crawley_Town 32 33 -22 -1.78 42.37 -8.12 48.98 5.04 -26.74 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 71.02R 17.27 Leyton_Orient 31 32 -7 -14.04 4.87 -12.08 53.66 5.43 -5.50 0.00 0.00 0.37 0.08P 31.31R 3.68 Yeovil 32 29 -22 -7.31 19.24 -11.39 44.19 4.97 -27.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 92.74R 56.11League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 24 February 2015, Accrington_Stanley 1 0 Burton_Albion; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Burton_Albion 33 64 +17 12.70 93.45 7.99 84.44 4.87 20.98 31.00 84.47 99.60 88.30P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 32 61 +24 4.40 69.60 5.64 86.21 5.04 32.57 54.14 92.62 99.87 95.18P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 32 59 +18 9.99 88.42 10.33 79.69 5.05 20.41 9.44 53.73 96.36 63.87P 0.00 0.00 Luton 32 55 +12 7.11 79.87 5.77 75.52 5.10 14.12 1.86 21.73 82.49 36.41P 0.00 0.00 Southend 32 54 +6 4.92 72.69 -1.94 76.01 5.05 10.13 2.03 22.38 84.38 39.43P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 32 52 +17 4.26 69.75 10.87 72.65 5.03 19.28 0.70 9.85 68.39 24.51P 0.00 0.00 Bury 32 52 +8 2.61 62.09 -0.24 72.86 5.11 10.58 0.64 9.62 66.33 24.24P 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 32 50 +1 9.08 86.30 5.12 68.34 5.01 -0.19 0.05 1.50 28.82 6.23P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 32 48 +5 -1.18 44.87 -3.02 69.72 5.21 8.84 0.13 3.59 42.95 14.83P 0.00 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 32 45 +1 3.89 68.21 5.00 63.48 5.11 -0.02 0.00 0.15 7.92 1.63P 0.03R 0.00 Northampton 32 44 +9 -1.39 43.66 6.66 62.70 5.05 8.28 0.00 0.14 7.03 1.71P 0.03R 0.00 Morecambe 32 44 +2 1.32 56.87 3.23 62.00 4.99 0.61 0.00 0.07 4.55 1.04P 0.04R 0.00 Portsmouth 32 43 +2 -2.56 38.31 -0.75 62.65 5.14 2.67 0.00 0.10 6.83 1.72P 0.07R 0.00 Exeter 33 43 -5 -0.98 46.12 -3.04 60.13 4.87 -6.03 0.00 0.02 1.77 0.38P 0.19R 0.01 Accrington_Stanley 32 43 -10 3.84 68.16 -2.70 60.27 5.03 -12.86 0.00 0.02 1.97 0.35P 0.25R 0.01 Cambridge_Utd 32 38 +2 -1.99 41.49 7.66 55.48 5.06 -0.47 0.00 0.00 0.30 0.07P 2.31R 0.34 Oxford_Utd 32 37 -4 -5.94 24.00 -3.15 55.65 5.01 -4.63 0.00 0.00 0.24 0.06P 2.02R 0.25 Dag_&_Red 32 37 -8 -2.75 37.74 -2.21 54.17 5.00 -10.92 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.02P 4.12R 0.53 Mansfield 32 35 -15 -0.51 48.24 -3.55 50.97 4.91 -19.25 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 15.10R 2.91 Tranmere 32 34 -7 -11.09 9.52 -9.17 53.28 5.13 -6.70 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.03P 6.36R 0.90 Carlisle 32 33 -16 -6.80 21.59 -9.49 50.98 5.13 -18.08 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 15.31R 3.29 York 32 32 -9 -8.25 15.50 -4.79 50.85 5.04 -9.26 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 14.42R 2.80 Cheltenham 32 31 -20 -5.20 26.69 -9.03 46.63 4.94 -25.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 48.44R 12.35 Hartlepool 32 24 -30 -9.59 10.97 -15.19 39.69 4.89 -34.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 91.30R 76.61Conference (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 24 February 2015, Bristol_Rovers 2 1 Braintree_Town; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Bristol_Rovers 36 70 +21 4.78 70.14 -2.19 88.17 4.11 27.68 39.39 99.02 59.14P 0.00 0.00 Barnet 35 68 +35 4.84 70.80 10.79 88.28 4.42 43.06 47.48 99.05 62.97P 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 34 64 +18 11.09 89.73 8.48 82.13 4.60 20.70 6.18 83.25 20.08P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 35 62 +25 0.86 53.67 5.03 81.67 4.44 31.59 4.67 85.91 29.16P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 36 62 +17 3.91 66.37 3.31 77.62 4.25 19.78 0.58 52.25 11.12P 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 33 54 +14 5.59 73.44 9.34 70.66 4.94 12.05 0.03 8.96 1.47P 0.00 0.00 Halifax 31 54 +14 3.64 67.27 1.75 76.72 5.39 17.20 1.50 43.23 9.98P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 35 51 +3 -1.17 44.84 -3.58 66.95 4.54 4.37 0.00 1.09 0.25P 0.00 0.00 Woking 34 50 +14 0.16 50.99 8.94 68.17 4.81 16.51 0.00 3.83 0.68P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 31 50 +10 1.09 55.17 0.09 71.91 5.36 12.07 0.16 14.86 3.08P 0.00 0.00 Chester 35 49 -8 9.20 85.58 4.93 61.50 4.27 -12.03 0.00 0.03 0.00P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 34 48 -4 3.28 65.27 -0.55 63.79 4.77 -5.24 0.00 0.34 0.04P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 33 47 +10 0.55 52.90 8.58 64.87 5.02 10.16 0.00 1.03 0.16P 0.00 0.00 Torquay 33 46 +8 -8.05 18.06 -5.64 69.96 4.86 17.61 0.00 6.63 1.76P 0.00 0.00 Altrincham 35 46 -11 6.56 77.29 2.57 58.43 4.35 -15.25 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00R 0.00 Braintree_Town 33 42 +0 -4.57 29.76 -2.35 60.21 4.80 0.82 0.00 0.03 0.00P 0.01R 0.00 Wrexham 31 42 -4 -0.84 46.26 -4.96 63.91 5.27 -1.83 0.00 0.50 0.09P 0.00R 0.00 Aldershot 34 39 -10 -7.49 19.42 -9.98 54.85 4.55 -10.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.27R 0.00 Welling 34 33 -16 -6.00 24.10 -4.16 47.02 4.55 -19.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 13.04R 0.52 Southport 33 33 -20 -1.96 41.59 -3.44 47.49 4.68 -25.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.93R 0.69 Alfreton_Town 34 31 -30 -3.87 32.80 -9.22 44.53 4.56 -35.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 34.33R 2.89 Dartford 32 27 -24 -4.75 28.07 -4.49 41.93 4.87 -31.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 56.00R 7.79 Nuneaton 35 27 -35 -6.41 21.89 -12.60 37.75 4.14 -41.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 88.55R 28.44 AFC_Telford 34 23 -27 -9.21 13.42 -0.67 34.63 4.50 -35.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 94.86R 59.68