Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 24 February 2015 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 22 February 2015, Everton 2 2 Leicester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Chelsea          26   60  +34       5.94    80.73     4.53    85.22     4.32    47.56    72.83    98.39    99.84    99.97   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         26   55  +31      -0.31    46.78    -1.68    81.23     4.14    47.80    26.62    94.03    98.96    99.78   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          26   48  +20       0.20    50.59     0.96    70.95     4.55    30.06     0.41     4.95    54.97    77.96    96.73     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          26   47  +18      -1.36    42.27    -1.34    67.80     4.56    24.54     0.10     1.62    23.19    52.04    89.18     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      26   46  +19       4.96    75.08    11.30    65.17     4.50    22.73     0.02     0.40     8.58    27.28    76.27     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        26   45   +9      -1.63    40.81    -7.76    65.86     4.50    15.99     0.01     0.50    11.30    30.61    79.19     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        26   44   +5       4.37    72.39    -0.27    62.75     4.64     8.30     0.00     0.11     3.06    11.64    48.49     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         26   39   +8       3.73    69.72     8.97    56.06     4.52     8.37     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.60     7.16     0.00     0.00  
Swansea          26   37   -4       3.04    67.01    -0.65    52.47     4.63    -5.77     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.09     1.71     0.00R    0.00  
Stoke            26   36   -4       3.97    71.79     1.93    51.47     4.57    -5.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     1.09     0.00R    0.00  
Newcastle        26   32  -11       2.48    64.53     0.28    46.58     4.64   -14.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.30R    0.00  
Everton          26   28   -4     -10.47     7.35    -7.55    46.73     4.67    -0.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.27R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   26   27   -9      -0.61    47.52     3.36    38.84     4.19   -16.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.01R    0.83  
West_Brom        26   27  -10      -3.40    32.23    -1.67    39.93     4.32   -16.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.40R    0.79  
Hull             26   26  -10      -1.81    40.39     2.31    37.97     4.28   -16.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.81R    1.75  
Sunderland       26   25  -14      -3.28    32.64    -2.53    37.66     4.25   -20.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.62R    2.41  
QPR              26   22  -18      -2.98    34.15    -0.30    32.50     4.21   -28.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.08R   23.74  
Burnley          26   22  -19      -3.36    31.92    -1.51    32.87     4.27   -28.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.18R   21.57  
Aston_Villa      26   22  -23      -2.53    36.32    -6.15    33.78     4.20   -30.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.08R   16.01  
Leicester        26   18  -18      -8.16    11.90    -2.24    31.23     4.44   -23.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.24R   32.89  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 24 February 2015, Blackburn 1 2 Norwich; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Derby           33   65  +33       4.10    68.10     8.72    88.51     4.83    41.96    54.16    75.62    99.21    83.01P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   33   63  +28       6.66    78.28    11.86    83.37     4.80    31.65    12.57    32.06    93.18    48.38P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         33   60  +20       7.70    81.34     9.66    79.36     4.88    22.31     2.74    10.09    73.67    23.15P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     32   59  +31       5.77    74.91    16.74    82.53     5.19    37.76    11.54    30.29    90.36    44.72P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich         33   59  +27      -0.34    47.88     5.25    82.90     4.96    36.16    12.60    31.62    92.20    51.65P    0.00     0.00  
Watford         33   59  +26       1.91    58.20     7.47    80.61     4.96    31.84     5.53    16.70    83.38    34.47P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       33   58  +10      11.53    90.18     8.47    76.55     4.95    10.90     0.76     3.14    48.45    10.33P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   33   54   +6       3.98    67.39    -0.93    72.25     4.90     6.62     0.09     0.48    18.17     4.05P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   32   44   +4      -2.28    39.72     0.98    62.92     5.16     3.39     0.00     0.00     0.76     0.14P    0.01R    0.00  
Blackburn       33   44   -1      -1.79    42.09    -1.42    62.60     4.95     0.08     0.00     0.00     0.37     0.06P    0.02R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed       33   43   -4       1.05    55.71     0.14    59.77     4.78    -5.53     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P    0.07R    0.00  
Huddersfield    33   42   -9       2.14    60.58     0.35    57.61     4.87   -12.47     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.50R    0.00  
Cardiff         33   41   -5      -3.20    35.97    -3.32    60.19     4.93    -3.00     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P    0.14R    0.00  
Leeds_United    33   41   -8       0.40    52.46    -0.79    57.53     4.87    -9.79     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.50R    0.00  
Reading         33   40  -13      -3.75    33.40   -10.61    57.75     4.93   -13.39     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.54R    0.00  
Charlton        33   39   -9       0.82    54.89     1.22    56.10     4.88    -9.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.10R    0.01  
Birmingham      33   39  -12      -0.30    49.54    -2.51    55.07     4.77   -15.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.80R    0.01  
Brighton        33   37   -4     -10.37    10.69    -7.23    54.47     4.86    -4.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.59R    0.02  
Bolton          33   37  -12      -4.50    30.59    -5.71    54.14     4.84   -13.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.20R    0.03  
Fulham          33   36  -14      -7.64    19.39   -10.58    53.07     4.99   -15.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.60R    0.07  
Rotherham       33   34  -17       0.59    54.19     1.97    48.01     4.71   -22.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.71R    0.59  
Millwall        33   31  -22      -2.56    38.62    -4.08    42.91     4.43   -30.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.62R    5.65  
Wigan           33   25  -18     -17.46     1.55   -14.12    41.31     4.81   -20.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.46R   12.18  
Blackpool       33   22  -37      -7.34    17.34   -11.50    34.30     4.50   -46.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.13R   81.45  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 24 February 2015, Doncaster 1 3 Bristol_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Bristol_City     32   67  +31      10.07    87.93    11.24    92.28     5.16    40.36    62.51    85.79   100.00    90.21P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          32   62  +35       3.73    66.53    13.01    87.25     5.15    44.11    20.90    57.05    99.98    71.38P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          32   60  +24       4.13    68.31     6.07    83.91     5.19    31.06     7.85    26.74    99.76    48.70P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          31   59  +19       5.66    75.01     3.29    84.37     5.39    26.04     8.51    28.27    99.71    50.18P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        31   52   +9       4.38    70.10     1.52    76.71     5.38    14.99     0.23     2.12    92.22    22.59P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         31   45   +5       2.51    62.30     4.83    65.85     5.38     5.56     0.00     0.02    28.08     4.39P    0.26R    0.00  
Doncaster        32   45   -1      -0.49    48.08    -3.53    63.89     5.16    -1.36     0.00     0.01    15.13     2.69P    0.73R    0.01  
Fleetwood_Town   32   44   -1       5.94    76.16     6.98    60.68     5.05    -4.30     0.00     0.00     5.40     0.64P    2.92R    0.05  
Oldham           31   43   -3       3.63    67.43     1.63    61.81     5.30    -5.50     0.00     0.00     8.04     1.04P    2.50R    0.05  
Chesterfield     32   42   +0      -0.61    47.81     2.04    60.99     5.20    -0.38     0.00     0.00     6.66     1.06P    3.01R    0.07  
Gillingham       32   42   -3       2.08    60.31     3.60    59.06     5.17    -6.69     0.00     0.00     3.26     0.39P    6.62R    0.16  
Port_Vale        32   42   -4       2.01    60.14     2.14    59.31     5.14    -6.99     0.00     0.00     3.11     0.42P    6.03R    0.21  
Rochdale         30   41  +10      -0.77    46.77     9.58    63.21     5.73    10.09     0.00     0.01    16.81     2.73P    1.73R    0.06  
Walsall          32   41   -1      -2.63    37.96    -1.29    59.74     5.02    -1.43     0.00     0.00     3.57     0.65P    4.27R    0.11  
Peterborough     32   41   -5      -5.61    25.89    -8.84    61.21     5.19    -3.49     0.00     0.00     6.55     1.20P    2.97R    0.07  
Barnsley         32   41   -6      -3.13    36.58    -6.10    59.59     5.27    -6.95     0.00     0.00     4.05     0.59P    5.86R    0.13  
Scunthorpe       31   40   -4       0.93    55.06     1.66    59.85     5.46    -5.23     0.00     0.00     5.15     0.76P    5.89R    0.23  
Notts_County     31   38   -6      -1.88    41.56    -2.12    57.54     5.34    -7.55     0.00     0.00     1.87     0.29P   12.23R    0.65  
Crewe            32   38  -23       5.55    75.86    -4.83    51.30     4.78   -32.49     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   56.29R    7.73  
Colchester       32   34  -14      -2.84    37.68    -3.03    50.98     5.16   -17.46     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   54.22R    8.95  
Coventry         31   33  -11      -6.48    22.26    -6.28    52.77     5.40   -12.32     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.04P   39.41R    4.63  
Crawley_Town     32   33  -22      -1.67    42.82    -7.96    48.89     5.06   -26.86     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    71.60R   17.72  
Leyton_Orient    31   32   -7     -14.04     4.78   -12.10    53.72     5.40    -5.39     0.00     0.00     0.37     0.07P   30.86R    3.55  
Yeovil           32   29  -22      -7.41    18.98   -11.50    44.21     4.95   -27.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.61R   55.62  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 24 February 2015, Accrington_Stanley 1 0 Burton_Albion; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Burton_Albion        33   64  +17      12.66    93.12     7.94    84.50     4.88    21.04    30.96    84.71    99.62    88.42P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           32   61  +24       4.35    69.47     5.62    86.23     5.02    32.59    53.83    92.43    99.89    94.99P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              32   59  +18       9.89    88.10    10.22    79.73     5.05    20.47     9.50    53.91    96.40    64.20P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                32   55  +12       7.27    80.01     6.02    75.51     5.16    14.11     2.03    21.42    82.25    35.75P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             32   54   +6       4.70    71.62    -2.19    76.10     5.04    10.30     2.19    22.71    84.84    39.99P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             32   52  +17       4.21    69.34    10.86    72.63     5.02    19.24     0.66     9.67    67.84    24.44P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 32   52   +8       2.68    62.52    -0.23    72.89     5.13    10.62     0.63     9.74    66.49    24.63P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       32   50   +1       9.20    86.44     5.22    68.27     4.99    -0.27     0.05     1.44    28.50     6.13P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            32   48   +5      -1.07    45.21    -2.88    69.72     5.23     8.84     0.15     3.46    42.69    14.26P    0.00     0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        32   45   +1       3.53    66.87     4.51    63.60     5.13     0.16     0.00     0.16     8.54     1.80P    0.02R    0.00  
Northampton          32   44   +9      -1.46    43.31     6.60    62.73     5.05     8.29     0.01     0.13     7.11     1.76P    0.03R    0.00  
Morecambe            32   44   +2       1.42    57.29     3.36    62.00     5.01     0.61     0.00     0.08     4.59     1.06P    0.04R    0.00  
Portsmouth           32   43   +2      -2.49    38.47    -0.67    62.61     5.14     2.61     0.00     0.09     6.58     1.65P    0.05R    0.00  
Exeter               33   43   -5      -0.96    45.92    -3.06    60.10     4.88    -6.07     0.00     0.01     1.87     0.36P    0.21R    0.01  
Accrington_Stanley   32   43  -10       3.77    67.94    -2.75    60.32     5.04   -12.81     0.00     0.03     2.05     0.38P    0.23R    0.01  
Cambridge_Utd        32   38   +2      -1.86    41.91     7.85    55.39     5.06    -0.59     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.07P    2.41R    0.31  
Oxford_Utd           32   37   -4      -5.95    23.89    -3.17    55.69     5.01    -4.54     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.05P    2.04R    0.24  
Dag_&_Red            32   37   -8      -2.53    38.36    -1.87    54.06     5.00   -11.11     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P    4.45R    0.61  
Mansfield            32   35  -15      -0.75    47.07    -3.84    51.03     4.89   -19.15     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    14.71R    2.58  
Tranmere             32   34   -7     -11.13     9.61    -9.24    53.22     5.14    -6.75     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.03P    6.52R    0.86  
Carlisle             32   33  -16      -6.82    21.56    -9.53    50.96     5.13   -18.11     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   15.69R    3.30  
York                 32   32   -9      -8.32    15.37    -4.82    50.84     4.99    -9.26     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   14.08R    2.70  
Cheltenham           32   31  -20      -5.25    26.25    -9.08    46.66     4.90   -25.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.15R   11.91  
Hartlepool           32   24  -30      -9.35    11.41   -14.86    39.57     4.91   -35.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.36R   77.46  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 24 February 2015, Bristol_Rovers 2 1 Braintree_Town; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Bristol_Rovers   36   70  +21       4.58    69.11    -2.45    88.23     4.09    27.81    39.90    99.13    59.68P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet           35   68  +35       4.92    70.85    10.95    88.24     4.43    42.99    47.19    98.97    62.92P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     34   64  +18      11.19    89.74     8.62    82.04     4.57    20.60     5.85    82.63    19.81P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          35   62  +25       0.84    53.41     5.00    81.69     4.44    31.60     4.73    86.03    28.95P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     36   62  +17       3.76    65.89     3.14    77.70     4.27    19.87     0.65    52.83    11.27P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        33   54  +14       5.27    71.95     8.89    70.79     4.96    12.22     0.04     9.52     1.54P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax          31   54  +14       3.66    67.04     1.74    76.70     5.38    17.21     1.50    43.08     9.87P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster    35   51   +3      -1.18    44.84    -3.61    66.96     4.52     4.35     0.00     1.08     0.18P    0.00     0.00  
Woking           34   50  +14       0.17    50.82     8.97    68.13     4.84    16.46     0.00     3.68     0.65P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        31   50  +10       1.29    56.09     0.39    71.86     5.32    11.93     0.13    14.47     2.95P    0.00     0.00  
Chester          35   49   -8       9.13    85.40     4.85    61.53     4.27   -12.02     0.00     0.03     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     34   48   -4       3.12    64.48    -0.79    63.91     4.75    -5.11     0.00     0.28     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   33   47  +10       0.50    52.77     8.48    64.86     5.00    10.16     0.00     0.99     0.16P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay          33   46   +8      -8.15    17.84    -5.84    69.98     4.85    17.64     0.01     6.71     1.87P    0.00     0.00  
Altrincham       35   46  -11       6.55    77.53     2.54    58.46     4.34   -15.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Braintree_Town   33   42   +0      -4.39    30.33    -2.04    60.16     4.80     0.74     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Wrexham          31   42   -4      -0.89    45.91    -5.06    63.95     5.25    -1.76     0.00     0.53     0.11P    0.00R    0.00  
Aldershot        34   39  -10      -7.52    19.42   -10.02    54.85     4.52   -10.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.25R    0.00  
Welling          34   33  -16      -5.93    24.45    -4.09    46.99     4.52   -19.98     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.03R    0.46  
Southport        33   33  -20      -1.85    41.97    -3.28    47.46     4.65   -25.21     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.09R    0.66  
Alfreton_Town    34   31  -30      -3.56    34.34    -8.67    44.39     4.58   -35.44     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.57R    3.08  
Dartford         32   27  -24      -4.77    27.83    -4.47    41.97     4.91   -30.97     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.90R    7.83  
Nuneaton         35   27  -35      -6.39    21.97   -12.57    37.73     4.17   -41.58     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.48R   28.68  
AFC_Telford      34   23  -27      -9.21    13.34    -0.69    34.63     4.53   -35.63     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.65R   59.29