Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Tuesday 24 February 2015 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 22 February 2015, Everton 2 2 Leicester; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 26 60 +34 5.94 80.73 4.53 85.22 4.32 47.56 72.83 98.39 99.84 99.97 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 26 55 +31 -0.31 46.78 -1.68 81.23 4.14 47.80 26.62 94.03 98.96 99.78 100.00 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 26 48 +20 0.20 50.59 0.96 70.95 4.55 30.06 0.41 4.95 54.97 77.96 96.73 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 26 47 +18 -1.36 42.27 -1.34 67.80 4.56 24.54 0.10 1.62 23.19 52.04 89.18 0.00 0.00 Southampton 26 46 +19 4.96 75.08 11.30 65.17 4.50 22.73 0.02 0.40 8.58 27.28 76.27 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 26 45 +9 -1.63 40.81 -7.76 65.86 4.50 15.99 0.01 0.50 11.30 30.61 79.19 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 26 44 +5 4.37 72.39 -0.27 62.75 4.64 8.30 0.00 0.11 3.06 11.64 48.49 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 26 39 +8 3.73 69.72 8.97 56.06 4.52 8.37 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.60 7.16 0.00 0.00 Swansea 26 37 -4 3.04 67.01 -0.65 52.47 4.63 -5.77 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.09 1.71 0.00R 0.00 Stoke 26 36 -4 3.97 71.79 1.93 51.47 4.57 -5.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 1.09 0.00R 0.00 Newcastle 26 32 -11 2.48 64.53 0.28 46.58 4.64 -14.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.30R 0.00 Everton 26 28 -4 -10.47 7.35 -7.55 46.73 4.67 -0.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.27R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 26 27 -9 -0.61 47.52 3.36 38.84 4.19 -16.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.01R 0.83 West_Brom 26 27 -10 -3.40 32.23 -1.67 39.93 4.32 -16.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.40R 0.79 Hull 26 26 -10 -1.81 40.39 2.31 37.97 4.28 -16.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.81R 1.75 Sunderland 26 25 -14 -3.28 32.64 -2.53 37.66 4.25 -20.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 17.62R 2.41 QPR 26 22 -18 -2.98 34.15 -0.30 32.50 4.21 -28.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 64.08R 23.74 Burnley 26 22 -19 -3.36 31.92 -1.51 32.87 4.27 -28.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 61.18R 21.57 Aston_Villa 26 22 -23 -2.53 36.32 -6.15 33.78 4.20 -30.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 54.08R 16.01 Leicester 26 18 -18 -8.16 11.90 -2.24 31.23 4.44 -23.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 70.24R 32.89Championship (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 24 February 2015, Blackburn 1 2 Norwich; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Derby 33 65 +33 4.10 68.10 8.72 88.51 4.83 41.96 54.16 75.62 99.21 83.01P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 33 63 +28 6.66 78.28 11.86 83.37 4.80 31.65 12.57 32.06 93.18 48.38P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 33 60 +20 7.70 81.34 9.66 79.36 4.88 22.31 2.74 10.09 73.67 23.15P 0.00 0.00 Bournemouth 32 59 +31 5.77 74.91 16.74 82.53 5.19 37.76 11.54 30.29 90.36 44.72P 0.00 0.00 Norwich 33 59 +27 -0.34 47.88 5.25 82.90 4.96 36.16 12.60 31.62 92.20 51.65P 0.00 0.00 Watford 33 59 +26 1.91 58.20 7.47 80.61 4.96 31.84 5.53 16.70 83.38 34.47P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 33 58 +10 11.53 90.18 8.47 76.55 4.95 10.90 0.76 3.14 48.45 10.33P 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 33 54 +6 3.98 67.39 -0.93 72.25 4.90 6.62 0.09 0.48 18.17 4.05P 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 32 44 +4 -2.28 39.72 0.98 62.92 5.16 3.39 0.00 0.00 0.76 0.14P 0.01R 0.00 Blackburn 33 44 -1 -1.79 42.09 -1.42 62.60 4.95 0.08 0.00 0.00 0.37 0.06P 0.02R 0.00 Sheff_Wed 33 43 -4 1.05 55.71 0.14 59.77 4.78 -5.53 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.02P 0.07R 0.00 Huddersfield 33 42 -9 2.14 60.58 0.35 57.61 4.87 -12.47 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 0.50R 0.00 Cardiff 33 41 -5 -3.20 35.97 -3.32 60.19 4.93 -3.00 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.02P 0.14R 0.00 Leeds_United 33 41 -8 0.40 52.46 -0.79 57.53 4.87 -9.79 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 0.50R 0.00 Reading 33 40 -13 -3.75 33.40 -10.61 57.75 4.93 -13.39 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 0.54R 0.00 Charlton 33 39 -9 0.82 54.89 1.22 56.10 4.88 -9.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.10R 0.01 Birmingham 33 39 -12 -0.30 49.54 -2.51 55.07 4.77 -15.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.80R 0.01 Brighton 33 37 -4 -10.37 10.69 -7.23 54.47 4.86 -4.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.59R 0.02 Bolton 33 37 -12 -4.50 30.59 -5.71 54.14 4.84 -13.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.20R 0.03 Fulham 33 36 -14 -7.64 19.39 -10.58 53.07 4.99 -15.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.60R 0.07 Rotherham 33 34 -17 0.59 54.19 1.97 48.01 4.71 -22.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 27.71R 0.59 Millwall 33 31 -22 -2.56 38.62 -4.08 42.91 4.43 -30.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 76.62R 5.65 Wigan 33 25 -18 -17.46 1.55 -14.12 41.31 4.81 -20.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 80.46R 12.18 Blackpool 33 22 -37 -7.34 17.34 -11.50 34.30 4.50 -46.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.13R 81.45League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 24 February 2015, Doncaster 1 3 Bristol_City; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Bristol_City 32 67 +31 10.07 87.93 11.24 92.28 5.16 40.36 62.51 85.79 100.00 90.21P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 32 62 +35 3.73 66.53 13.01 87.25 5.15 44.11 20.90 57.05 99.98 71.38P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 32 60 +24 4.13 68.31 6.07 83.91 5.19 31.06 7.85 26.74 99.76 48.70P 0.00 0.00 Preston 31 59 +19 5.66 75.01 3.29 84.37 5.39 26.04 8.51 28.27 99.71 50.18P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 31 52 +9 4.38 70.10 1.52 76.71 5.38 14.99 0.23 2.12 92.22 22.59P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 31 45 +5 2.51 62.30 4.83 65.85 5.38 5.56 0.00 0.02 28.08 4.39P 0.26R 0.00 Doncaster 32 45 -1 -0.49 48.08 -3.53 63.89 5.16 -1.36 0.00 0.01 15.13 2.69P 0.73R 0.01 Fleetwood_Town 32 44 -1 5.94 76.16 6.98 60.68 5.05 -4.30 0.00 0.00 5.40 0.64P 2.92R 0.05 Oldham 31 43 -3 3.63 67.43 1.63 61.81 5.30 -5.50 0.00 0.00 8.04 1.04P 2.50R 0.05 Chesterfield 32 42 +0 -0.61 47.81 2.04 60.99 5.20 -0.38 0.00 0.00 6.66 1.06P 3.01R 0.07 Gillingham 32 42 -3 2.08 60.31 3.60 59.06 5.17 -6.69 0.00 0.00 3.26 0.39P 6.62R 0.16 Port_Vale 32 42 -4 2.01 60.14 2.14 59.31 5.14 -6.99 0.00 0.00 3.11 0.42P 6.03R 0.21 Rochdale 30 41 +10 -0.77 46.77 9.58 63.21 5.73 10.09 0.00 0.01 16.81 2.73P 1.73R 0.06 Walsall 32 41 -1 -2.63 37.96 -1.29 59.74 5.02 -1.43 0.00 0.00 3.57 0.65P 4.27R 0.11 Peterborough 32 41 -5 -5.61 25.89 -8.84 61.21 5.19 -3.49 0.00 0.00 6.55 1.20P 2.97R 0.07 Barnsley 32 41 -6 -3.13 36.58 -6.10 59.59 5.27 -6.95 0.00 0.00 4.05 0.59P 5.86R 0.13 Scunthorpe 31 40 -4 0.93 55.06 1.66 59.85 5.46 -5.23 0.00 0.00 5.15 0.76P 5.89R 0.23 Notts_County 31 38 -6 -1.88 41.56 -2.12 57.54 5.34 -7.55 0.00 0.00 1.87 0.29P 12.23R 0.65 Crewe 32 38 -23 5.55 75.86 -4.83 51.30 4.78 -32.49 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.00P 56.29R 7.73 Colchester 32 34 -14 -2.84 37.68 -3.03 50.98 5.16 -17.46 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.00P 54.22R 8.95 Coventry 31 33 -11 -6.48 22.26 -6.28 52.77 5.40 -12.32 0.00 0.00 0.17 0.04P 39.41R 4.63 Crawley_Town 32 33 -22 -1.67 42.82 -7.96 48.89 5.06 -26.86 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 71.60R 17.72 Leyton_Orient 31 32 -7 -14.04 4.78 -12.10 53.72 5.40 -5.39 0.00 0.00 0.37 0.07P 30.86R 3.55 Yeovil 32 29 -22 -7.41 18.98 -11.50 44.21 4.95 -27.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 92.61R 55.62League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 24 February 2015, Accrington_Stanley 1 0 Burton_Albion; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Burton_Albion 33 64 +17 12.66 93.12 7.94 84.50 4.88 21.04 30.96 84.71 99.62 88.42P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 32 61 +24 4.35 69.47 5.62 86.23 5.02 32.59 53.83 92.43 99.89 94.99P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 32 59 +18 9.89 88.10 10.22 79.73 5.05 20.47 9.50 53.91 96.40 64.20P 0.00 0.00 Luton 32 55 +12 7.27 80.01 6.02 75.51 5.16 14.11 2.03 21.42 82.25 35.75P 0.00 0.00 Southend 32 54 +6 4.70 71.62 -2.19 76.10 5.04 10.30 2.19 22.71 84.84 39.99P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 32 52 +17 4.21 69.34 10.86 72.63 5.02 19.24 0.66 9.67 67.84 24.44P 0.00 0.00 Bury 32 52 +8 2.68 62.52 -0.23 72.89 5.13 10.62 0.63 9.74 66.49 24.63P 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 32 50 +1 9.20 86.44 5.22 68.27 4.99 -0.27 0.05 1.44 28.50 6.13P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 32 48 +5 -1.07 45.21 -2.88 69.72 5.23 8.84 0.15 3.46 42.69 14.26P 0.00 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 32 45 +1 3.53 66.87 4.51 63.60 5.13 0.16 0.00 0.16 8.54 1.80P 0.02R 0.00 Northampton 32 44 +9 -1.46 43.31 6.60 62.73 5.05 8.29 0.01 0.13 7.11 1.76P 0.03R 0.00 Morecambe 32 44 +2 1.42 57.29 3.36 62.00 5.01 0.61 0.00 0.08 4.59 1.06P 0.04R 0.00 Portsmouth 32 43 +2 -2.49 38.47 -0.67 62.61 5.14 2.61 0.00 0.09 6.58 1.65P 0.05R 0.00 Exeter 33 43 -5 -0.96 45.92 -3.06 60.10 4.88 -6.07 0.00 0.01 1.87 0.36P 0.21R 0.01 Accrington_Stanley 32 43 -10 3.77 67.94 -2.75 60.32 5.04 -12.81 0.00 0.03 2.05 0.38P 0.23R 0.01 Cambridge_Utd 32 38 +2 -1.86 41.91 7.85 55.39 5.06 -0.59 0.00 0.00 0.29 0.07P 2.41R 0.31 Oxford_Utd 32 37 -4 -5.95 23.89 -3.17 55.69 5.01 -4.54 0.00 0.00 0.24 0.05P 2.04R 0.24 Dag_&_Red 32 37 -8 -2.53 38.36 -1.87 54.06 5.00 -11.11 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.02P 4.45R 0.61 Mansfield 32 35 -15 -0.75 47.07 -3.84 51.03 4.89 -19.15 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 14.71R 2.58 Tranmere 32 34 -7 -11.13 9.61 -9.24 53.22 5.14 -6.75 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.03P 6.52R 0.86 Carlisle 32 33 -16 -6.82 21.56 -9.53 50.96 5.13 -18.11 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 15.69R 3.30 York 32 32 -9 -8.32 15.37 -4.82 50.84 4.99 -9.26 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 14.08R 2.70 Cheltenham 32 31 -20 -5.25 26.25 -9.08 46.66 4.90 -25.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 48.15R 11.91 Hartlepool 32 24 -30 -9.35 11.41 -14.86 39.57 4.91 -35.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 91.36R 77.46Conference (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 24 February 2015, Bristol_Rovers 2 1 Braintree_Town; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Bristol_Rovers 36 70 +21 4.58 69.11 -2.45 88.23 4.09 27.81 39.90 99.13 59.68P 0.00 0.00 Barnet 35 68 +35 4.92 70.85 10.95 88.24 4.43 42.99 47.19 98.97 62.92P 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 34 64 +18 11.19 89.74 8.62 82.04 4.57 20.60 5.85 82.63 19.81P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 35 62 +25 0.84 53.41 5.00 81.69 4.44 31.60 4.73 86.03 28.95P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 36 62 +17 3.76 65.89 3.14 77.70 4.27 19.87 0.65 52.83 11.27P 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 33 54 +14 5.27 71.95 8.89 70.79 4.96 12.22 0.04 9.52 1.54P 0.00 0.00 Halifax 31 54 +14 3.66 67.04 1.74 76.70 5.38 17.21 1.50 43.08 9.87P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 35 51 +3 -1.18 44.84 -3.61 66.96 4.52 4.35 0.00 1.08 0.18P 0.00 0.00 Woking 34 50 +14 0.17 50.82 8.97 68.13 4.84 16.46 0.00 3.68 0.65P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 31 50 +10 1.29 56.09 0.39 71.86 5.32 11.93 0.13 14.47 2.95P 0.00 0.00 Chester 35 49 -8 9.13 85.40 4.85 61.53 4.27 -12.02 0.00 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 34 48 -4 3.12 64.48 -0.79 63.91 4.75 -5.11 0.00 0.28 0.04P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 33 47 +10 0.50 52.77 8.48 64.86 5.00 10.16 0.00 0.99 0.16P 0.00 0.00 Torquay 33 46 +8 -8.15 17.84 -5.84 69.98 4.85 17.64 0.01 6.71 1.87P 0.00 0.00 Altrincham 35 46 -11 6.55 77.53 2.54 58.46 4.34 -15.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01R 0.00 Braintree_Town 33 42 +0 -4.39 30.33 -2.04 60.16 4.80 0.74 0.00 0.03 0.01P 0.01R 0.00 Wrexham 31 42 -4 -0.89 45.91 -5.06 63.95 5.25 -1.76 0.00 0.53 0.11P 0.00R 0.00 Aldershot 34 39 -10 -7.52 19.42 -10.02 54.85 4.52 -10.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.25R 0.00 Welling 34 33 -16 -5.93 24.45 -4.09 46.99 4.52 -19.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 13.03R 0.46 Southport 33 33 -20 -1.85 41.97 -3.28 47.46 4.65 -25.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 13.09R 0.66 Alfreton_Town 34 31 -30 -3.56 34.34 -8.67 44.39 4.58 -35.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 35.57R 3.08 Dartford 32 27 -24 -4.77 27.83 -4.47 41.97 4.91 -30.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 54.90R 7.83 Nuneaton 35 27 -35 -6.39 21.97 -12.57 37.73 4.17 -41.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 88.48R 28.68 AFC_Telford 34 23 -27 -9.21 13.34 -0.69 34.63 4.53 -35.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 94.65R 59.29