Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Saturday 21 February 2015 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 February 2015, Aston_Villa 1 2 Stoke; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 26 60 +34 5.78 80.27 4.23 85.30 4.30 47.72 73.04 98.34 99.77 99.96 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 26 55 +31 -0.29 47.02 -1.68 81.20 4.16 47.76 26.40 93.41 98.75 99.70 99.99 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 26 48 +20 0.31 51.28 1.12 70.91 4.56 30.00 0.38 5.00 52.24 75.99 96.59 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 26 47 +18 -1.19 42.69 -1.13 67.80 4.58 24.52 0.10 1.55 21.99 49.07 88.72 0.00 0.00 Southampton 25 46 +21 5.78 78.92 12.45 66.89 4.73 25.25 0.07 1.24 16.37 41.38 84.66 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 25 43 +5 4.95 75.43 0.03 63.57 4.89 8.94 0.01 0.25 4.83 15.53 56.88 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 25 42 +7 -2.74 34.67 -8.86 63.84 4.75 13.33 0.01 0.21 5.92 17.48 61.43 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 25 38 +8 3.87 70.85 8.54 56.06 4.75 7.82 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.78 8.65 0.00 0.00 Swansea 26 37 -4 3.08 67.04 -0.56 52.44 4.62 -5.79 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.08 1.68 0.00 0.00 Stoke 26 36 -4 4.27 73.05 2.30 51.39 4.56 -5.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 1.06 0.00 0.00 Newcastle 26 32 -11 2.59 65.27 0.48 46.57 4.61 -14.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.24R 0.01 Everton 25 27 -4 -9.77 8.29 -7.13 47.95 4.85 0.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.24 0.16R 0.01 Crystal_Palace 26 27 -9 -0.67 47.42 3.26 38.87 4.18 -16.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.79R 0.74 West_Brom 26 27 -10 -3.51 31.77 -1.81 39.99 4.30 -16.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.93R 0.67 Hull 26 26 -10 -1.83 40.38 2.26 37.99 4.27 -16.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.33R 1.68 Sunderland 26 25 -14 -3.25 32.88 -2.53 37.65 4.25 -20.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 17.50R 2.20 QPR 26 22 -18 -2.88 34.65 -0.12 32.47 4.23 -28.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 64.20R 23.15 Burnley 26 22 -19 -3.60 31.01 -1.85 32.98 4.23 -27.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 59.76R 19.35 Aston_Villa 26 22 -23 -2.65 35.66 -6.25 33.80 4.20 -30.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 53.53R 14.91 Leicester 25 17 -18 -8.10 11.04 -2.74 30.71 4.59 -24.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 73.56R 37.28Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 February 2015, Blackburn 1 1 Blackpool; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Derby 32 62 +31 3.54 65.94 8.41 87.65 5.04 41.06 53.27 74.66 99.12 82.39P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 32 60 +27 5.60 74.47 11.70 82.44 5.05 31.66 13.12 32.93 93.24 49.50P 0.00 0.00 Bournemouth 32 59 +31 5.53 73.89 16.43 82.49 5.13 37.66 14.23 35.88 93.59 50.09P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 32 57 +18 7.13 79.94 9.31 78.19 5.10 20.98 2.82 9.90 73.30 22.79P 0.00 0.00 Norwich 32 56 +26 -1.32 43.15 5.40 81.18 5.17 35.01 10.07 26.35 90.01 47.27P 0.00 0.00 Watford 32 56 +23 1.72 57.62 6.84 79.64 5.17 29.88 5.76 16.92 83.51 34.04P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 32 55 +6 11.78 91.27 7.29 75.10 5.15 7.19 0.65 2.85 46.09 9.31P 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 32 51 +3 3.58 66.16 -2.10 70.69 5.14 3.74 0.08 0.51 17.25 3.92P 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 32 44 +4 -2.20 40.23 1.09 63.03 5.17 3.55 0.00 0.00 1.53 0.26P 0.02R 0.00 Blackburn 32 44 +0 -1.02 45.71 -1.39 63.98 5.17 1.13 0.00 0.01 1.79 0.34P 0.02R 0.00 Leeds_United 32 41 -6 0.96 55.50 -0.03 58.73 5.05 -7.97 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.01P 0.59R 0.00 Sheff_Wed 32 40 -6 0.13 51.34 -0.98 57.89 4.96 -7.81 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.02P 0.79R 0.00 Reading 32 40 -10 -3.39 34.59 -9.12 59.44 5.14 -9.93 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.02P 0.50R 0.00 Charlton 32 39 -7 0.82 54.72 1.06 56.86 5.05 -8.85 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 1.41R 0.00 Birmingham 32 39 -10 0.32 52.16 -1.89 55.99 4.97 -13.92 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 2.35R 0.02 Huddersfield 32 39 -12 1.48 57.90 -1.21 55.73 5.07 -15.87 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 2.95R 0.03 Cardiff 32 38 -6 -4.43 30.61 -3.65 58.19 5.17 -4.54 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.02P 1.06R 0.01 Bolton 32 37 -11 -3.93 32.68 -5.87 54.97 5.00 -13.11 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 3.88R 0.05 Fulham 32 36 -11 -7.55 19.53 -9.62 54.52 5.18 -12.54 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 4.99R 0.09 Brighton 32 34 -6 -11.22 8.53 -8.10 52.93 5.10 -6.16 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 7.94R 0.12 Rotherham 32 34 -14 0.85 55.31 3.00 48.61 4.87 -21.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 31.63R 0.98 Millwall 32 31 -20 -1.72 42.47 -3.13 44.49 4.68 -28.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 69.09R 5.63 Wigan 32 25 -17 -16.30 2.14 -13.39 42.95 5.06 -18.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 74.00R 11.14 Blackpool 32 22 -33 -7.31 17.01 -10.03 35.28 4.68 -42.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.77R 81.93League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 February 2015, Barnsley 2 0 Crewe; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Bristol_City 31 64 +29 9.50 87.16 10.94 90.53 5.37 38.10 54.69 81.72 100.00 87.23P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 32 62 +35 3.70 66.34 12.92 87.23 5.15 44.08 28.19 64.74 99.95 76.84P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 31 57 +23 3.09 63.99 5.97 82.56 5.41 30.43 8.09 25.10 99.11 47.34P 0.00 0.00 Preston 30 56 +18 4.64 71.29 3.14 83.01 5.57 25.40 8.70 26.34 98.98 48.39P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 30 49 +8 3.09 64.74 0.99 75.04 5.55 13.93 0.31 1.95 83.84 20.43P 0.00R 0.00 Bradford 30 45 +6 3.33 66.00 5.04 66.99 5.55 6.20 0.01 0.06 32.04 5.28P 0.16R 0.00 Doncaster 31 45 +1 0.15 51.10 -2.59 65.27 5.42 0.67 0.00 0.02 20.13 3.89P 0.48R 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 32 44 -1 6.02 76.74 6.98 60.61 5.03 -4.37 0.00 0.00 4.33 0.49P 2.79R 0.03 Oldham 31 43 -3 3.43 66.54 1.34 61.96 5.30 -5.28 0.00 0.00 7.09 0.96P 2.32R 0.06 Chesterfield 32 42 +0 -0.48 48.45 2.23 60.98 5.21 -0.34 0.00 0.00 5.53 0.94P 2.99R 0.07 Gillingham 32 42 -3 2.12 60.22 3.70 59.00 5.15 -6.75 0.00 0.00 2.48 0.34P 6.82R 0.19 Port_Vale 32 42 -4 1.94 59.29 2.10 59.32 5.12 -6.97 0.00 0.00 2.48 0.35P 6.01R 0.19 Rochdale 29 41 +11 0.17 51.03 9.86 64.69 5.99 11.25 0.01 0.06 21.99 3.76P 1.09R 0.03 Walsall 31 41 +0 -2.07 40.84 -1.27 60.89 5.25 -0.70 0.00 0.00 5.01 0.92P 3.14R 0.08 Peterborough 32 41 -5 -5.55 26.22 -8.83 61.15 5.18 -3.54 0.00 0.00 5.31 0.96P 3.02R 0.09 Scunthorpe 30 40 -3 1.98 59.86 2.26 61.40 5.71 -4.03 0.00 0.00 7.70 1.16P 3.83R 0.17 Notts_County 31 38 -6 -1.93 41.40 -2.18 57.46 5.35 -7.69 0.00 0.00 1.54 0.26P 12.33R 0.70 Barnsley 31 38 -7 -4.45 30.40 -6.63 57.78 5.48 -8.28 0.00 0.00 1.96 0.37P 11.91R 0.57 Crewe 32 38 -23 5.70 76.37 -4.63 51.23 4.80 -32.60 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 56.34R 7.85 Colchester 32 34 -14 -2.92 37.01 -3.18 50.95 5.12 -17.44 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00 54.18R 8.90 Coventry 31 33 -11 -6.47 22.14 -6.25 52.79 5.38 -12.29 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.02P 39.00R 4.71 Crawley_Town 32 33 -22 -2.00 41.29 -8.48 49.06 5.05 -26.61 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 70.16R 17.05 Leyton_Orient 31 32 -7 -13.91 4.88 -11.97 53.72 5.44 -5.41 0.00 0.00 0.34 0.08P 30.81R 3.55 Yeovil 32 29 -22 -7.36 18.82 -11.46 44.21 4.95 -27.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 92.61R 55.75League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 February 2015, AFC_Wimbledon 3 2 Luton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Burton_Albion 32 64 +18 13.66 94.83 8.40 86.20 5.15 22.53 41.12 89.49 99.81 92.10P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 32 61 +24 4.44 69.91 5.73 86.23 5.04 32.60 46.64 92.22 99.88 94.88P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 32 59 +18 10.02 88.40 10.35 79.67 5.05 20.39 7.92 52.34 96.25 62.71P 0.00 0.00 Luton 32 55 +12 6.89 79.20 5.52 75.66 5.11 14.29 1.55 21.11 83.44 36.61P 0.00 0.00 Southend 32 54 +6 4.82 71.85 -2.07 76.00 5.07 10.16 1.64 21.45 84.24 38.49P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 32 52 +17 4.29 69.78 10.93 72.61 5.06 19.21 0.53 9.18 68.03 23.85P 0.00 0.00 Bury 32 52 +8 2.72 62.74 -0.14 72.88 5.12 10.60 0.43 8.86 66.47 24.07P 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 32 50 +1 9.05 85.85 4.98 68.32 5.02 -0.23 0.04 1.47 29.02 6.14P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 32 48 +5 -1.19 44.66 -3.01 69.75 5.24 8.87 0.13 3.37 43.36 14.55P 0.00 0.00 Northampton 32 44 +9 -1.40 43.67 6.65 62.67 5.05 8.20 0.00 0.10 7.31 1.71P 0.03R 0.00 Morecambe 32 44 +2 1.38 56.75 3.30 61.99 5.00 0.62 0.00 0.08 4.56 1.06P 0.03R 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 31 44 +1 3.98 68.87 4.67 63.71 5.32 -0.24 0.00 0.24 9.44 2.01P 0.03R 0.00 Exeter 33 43 -5 -0.62 47.73 -2.59 60.00 4.88 -6.22 0.00 0.01 1.71 0.34P 0.21R 0.01 Portsmouth 31 40 +1 -3.59 33.26 -0.96 61.10 5.33 1.83 0.00 0.06 4.27 1.01P 0.20R 0.00 Accrington_Stanley 31 40 -11 2.39 62.00 -3.27 58.29 5.29 -14.46 0.00 0.01 1.01 0.18P 0.99R 0.09 Cambridge_Utd 31 37 +2 -1.50 43.52 7.93 56.12 5.35 -0.12 0.00 0.00 0.57 0.11P 2.41R 0.35 Oxford_Utd 32 37 -4 -5.95 24.23 -3.17 55.71 5.04 -4.55 0.00 0.00 0.32 0.09P 2.13R 0.30 Dag_&_Red 32 37 -8 -2.69 37.88 -2.09 54.12 4.98 -10.99 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.02P 4.24R 0.58 Mansfield 32 35 -15 -0.70 47.46 -3.78 51.03 4.91 -19.13 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 14.89R 2.74 Tranmere 31 34 -6 -10.10 11.13 -8.74 54.43 5.32 -5.97 0.00 0.00 0.21 0.07P 4.55R 0.58 Carlisle 32 33 -16 -6.85 21.70 -9.53 50.97 5.14 -18.08 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.01P 16.06R 3.38 York 32 32 -9 -8.21 16.00 -4.72 50.83 5.03 -9.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.43R 2.97 Cheltenham 32 31 -20 -5.17 26.54 -9.01 46.61 4.92 -25.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 48.79R 12.50 Hartlepool 32 24 -30 -9.72 10.73 -15.36 39.72 4.93 -34.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 91.01R 76.51Conference (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 February 2015, Alfreton_Town 2 3 Aldershot; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Barnet 35 68 +35 4.83 70.62 10.82 88.32 4.44 43.14 52.84 99.11 66.75P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 35 67 +20 3.69 66.00 -2.44 87.04 4.31 27.38 32.08 98.16 53.99P 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 34 64 +18 11.01 89.44 8.34 82.18 4.58 20.80 7.02 83.93 21.02P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 35 61 +17 4.24 68.14 3.23 77.93 4.51 19.73 1.28 55.54 12.08P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 34 59 +24 0.06 49.78 5.35 81.14 4.58 32.48 4.81 82.93 28.63P 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 33 54 +14 5.20 71.69 8.73 70.77 4.98 12.22 0.08 9.95 1.71P 0.00 0.00 Halifax 31 54 +14 3.72 67.02 1.83 76.67 5.41 17.16 1.80 44.06 10.40P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 34 51 +5 -0.70 46.86 -2.90 68.33 4.76 6.34 0.00 2.90 0.57P 0.00 0.00 Woking 34 50 +14 0.11 50.84 8.91 68.22 4.81 16.57 0.00 3.92 0.65P 0.00 0.00 Chester 35 49 -8 9.20 85.73 4.96 61.54 4.27 -12.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 34 48 -4 3.14 64.52 -0.79 63.81 4.77 -5.20 0.00 0.32 0.05P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 33 47 +10 0.60 52.86 8.60 64.80 5.02 10.07 0.00 1.02 0.17P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 30 47 +8 0.31 51.54 -0.62 70.23 5.55 9.96 0.09 10.01 2.02P 0.00 0.00 Torquay 33 46 +8 -8.05 18.14 -5.66 69.97 4.83 17.61 0.00 6.95 1.74P 0.00 0.00 Altrincham 35 46 -11 6.73 77.81 2.89 58.43 4.35 -15.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01R 0.00 Braintree_Town 32 42 +1 -3.85 32.56 -2.23 61.09 4.97 1.19 0.00 0.11 0.02P 0.01R 0.00 Wrexham 30 41 -4 -0.56 47.54 -5.05 64.45 5.50 -1.61 0.00 1.03 0.19P 0.00R 0.00 Aldershot 34 39 -10 -7.59 19.17 -10.17 54.89 4.53 -10.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.24R 0.00 Welling 34 33 -16 -5.97 24.25 -4.18 46.97 4.55 -19.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 13.02R 0.53 Southport 33 33 -20 -1.84 42.27 -3.29 47.45 4.65 -25.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 13.14R 0.74 Alfreton_Town 34 31 -30 -3.68 33.86 -8.84 44.40 4.55 -35.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 35.59R 3.25 Dartford 32 27 -24 -4.64 28.36 -4.31 41.96 4.89 -30.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 55.44R 8.31 Nuneaton 35 27 -35 -6.33 22.08 -12.45 37.67 4.14 -41.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 88.97R 30.49 AFC_Telford 33 23 -26 -8.58 15.20 -0.73 35.01 4.64 -36.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 93.57R 56.68