Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Friday 20 February 2015 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 11 February 2015, Chelsea 1 0 Everton; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 25 59 +34 6.78 84.61 5.30 87.14 4.39 50.49 85.36 99.23 99.91 99.98 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 25 52 +26 -0.03 48.30 -3.13 80.42 4.34 44.16 14.13 89.53 97.52 99.34 99.97 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 25 47 +19 0.07 49.85 -0.37 69.67 4.81 26.27 0.24 4.75 36.02 62.91 93.25 0.00 0.00 Southampton 25 46 +21 5.74 78.62 12.35 66.98 4.72 25.41 0.06 1.53 16.26 39.42 84.88 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 25 45 +19 -0.68 45.71 1.14 69.82 4.78 29.76 0.19 4.32 39.94 66.33 94.16 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 25 43 +5 4.92 75.31 -0.05 63.59 4.87 9.00 0.00 0.29 4.69 14.56 56.45 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 25 42 +7 -2.78 34.34 -8.95 63.88 4.74 13.39 0.01 0.34 5.56 16.75 61.09 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 25 38 +8 3.92 70.89 8.66 56.02 4.77 7.78 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.65 8.42 0.00 0.00 Swansea 25 34 -5 1.67 59.96 -1.26 50.28 4.80 -7.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.77 0.01R 0.00 Stoke 25 33 -5 2.98 67.25 1.74 49.71 4.75 -6.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.58 0.03R 0.00 Newcastle 25 32 -6 2.06 62.33 1.81 47.31 4.76 -10.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.19 0.21R 0.01 Everton 25 27 -4 -9.83 8.31 -7.15 47.93 4.90 0.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.24 0.23R 0.00 Crystal_Palace 25 27 -8 0.17 52.15 3.42 39.72 4.42 -16.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.25R 0.65 West_Brom 25 26 -10 -3.39 31.92 -1.99 40.17 4.58 -16.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.20R 0.76 Sunderland 25 24 -14 -3.00 33.65 -2.57 38.17 4.50 -19.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 16.54R 2.26 Hull 25 23 -11 -2.99 33.63 1.87 36.60 4.51 -17.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 25.22R 4.50 QPR 25 22 -17 -1.95 39.86 0.19 33.57 4.44 -27.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 55.24R 16.24 Aston_Villa 25 22 -22 -1.52 41.91 -5.68 35.12 4.42 -29.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 42.13R 9.76 Burnley 25 21 -19 -3.51 31.12 -2.56 31.94 4.33 -30.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 70.10R 28.64 Leicester 25 17 -18 -8.12 11.29 -2.77 30.73 4.62 -24.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 73.83R 37.19Championship (Latest match accounted for: Friday 20 February 2015, Wigan 0 3 Charlton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Middlesbrough 31 60 +28 6.91 79.55 12.59 84.59 5.24 33.75 20.95 42.06 97.31 57.21P 0.00 0.00 Bournemouth 31 59 +33 6.38 77.72 17.59 84.28 5.39 40.31 20.98 43.22 96.48 56.44P 0.00 0.00 Derby 31 59 +30 2.68 62.28 8.71 86.78 5.23 41.14 38.14 62.21 98.70 73.60P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 31 57 +19 8.20 83.90 9.85 80.39 5.34 23.19 5.69 15.48 86.32 30.06P 0.00 0.00 Watford 31 56 +26 2.21 60.09 8.38 81.63 5.38 33.84 10.02 24.32 91.64 42.05P 0.00 0.00 Norwich 31 53 +23 -2.07 40.03 3.81 78.84 5.44 30.86 3.95 11.54 81.73 32.39P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 31 52 +4 11.09 90.39 6.69 72.97 5.39 4.39 0.24 1.05 31.98 5.37P 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 31 48 -2 4.25 69.35 -3.75 68.71 5.34 -1.74 0.03 0.12 10.36 2.01P 0.00R 0.00 Blackburn 31 43 +0 -0.24 49.39 -0.74 65.30 5.37 2.54 0.00 0.00 3.75 0.61P 0.02R 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 31 41 +1 -2.80 37.28 -0.37 61.44 5.39 0.56 0.00 0.00 0.96 0.13P 0.20R 0.00 Sheff_Wed 31 40 -5 0.87 55.05 -1.02 58.59 5.12 -7.76 0.00 0.00 0.20 0.02P 0.74R 0.00 Charlton 32 39 -7 0.96 55.37 1.22 56.85 5.07 -8.83 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 1.68R 0.02 Birmingham 31 39 -9 1.30 56.96 -1.74 56.96 5.12 -13.39 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.00P 1.82R 0.01 Leeds_United 31 38 -7 -0.72 47.16 -0.99 56.25 5.21 -10.23 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 2.67R 0.02 Huddersfield 31 38 -12 1.95 60.37 -0.83 56.12 5.34 -15.85 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.00P 3.10R 0.03 Cardiff 31 37 -6 -4.31 30.84 -3.99 58.64 5.44 -4.43 0.00 0.00 0.16 0.03P 1.11R 0.01 Bolton 31 37 -8 -3.78 32.76 -4.91 56.43 5.24 -9.97 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 2.58R 0.03 Reading 31 37 -11 -5.00 27.52 -10.04 57.07 5.31 -12.03 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.02P 2.07R 0.02 Fulham 31 35 -11 -7.08 20.37 -9.49 55.12 5.43 -12.22 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 5.37R 0.09 Rotherham 31 34 -9 0.15 51.82 4.45 50.27 5.14 -15.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 21.34R 0.46 Brighton 31 31 -7 -12.38 6.24 -8.56 51.61 5.30 -6.66 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 13.77R 0.32 Millwall 31 30 -20 -1.55 43.11 -3.27 44.66 4.96 -28.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 68.76R 5.47 Wigan 32 25 -17 -16.20 2.08 -13.25 42.90 5.03 -18.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 75.81R 10.40 Blackpool 31 21 -33 -7.19 17.11 -10.34 34.78 4.83 -44.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.97R 83.12League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 18 February 2015, Leyton_Orient 0 2 Bradford; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Bristol_City 30 64 +30 10.70 90.71 11.69 92.79 5.51 40.45 68.26 88.78 100.00 92.08P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 31 59 +32 3.24 64.41 11.74 85.62 5.41 41.10 14.60 49.18 99.72 65.78P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 30 57 +24 4.45 70.04 6.92 84.97 5.60 33.02 12.45 40.91 99.50 58.83P 0.00 0.00 Preston 29 53 +16 3.86 67.98 2.35 81.48 5.77 23.57 4.29 18.05 97.21 41.15P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 29 48 +8 3.78 68.29 1.41 75.74 5.78 14.39 0.37 2.78 82.64 21.01P 0.00 0.00 Doncaster 30 45 +4 0.17 50.99 -1.47 67.48 5.64 4.91 0.01 0.12 29.63 6.27P 0.09R 0.00 Bradford 29 44 +6 3.66 67.95 5.04 67.30 5.77 6.17 0.01 0.12 29.82 4.87P 0.15R 0.00 Oldham 30 43 +0 3.82 68.54 2.83 63.56 5.57 -1.93 0.00 0.00 10.59 1.54P 0.98R 0.02 Chesterfield 31 42 +1 0.57 53.30 2.74 62.33 5.45 0.54 0.00 0.00 7.59 1.19P 1.44R 0.03 Peterborough 31 41 -2 -5.25 26.89 -7.41 62.42 5.40 -0.72 0.00 0.01 7.27 1.51P 1.25R 0.02 Fleetwood_Town 31 41 -2 4.55 71.50 6.26 58.83 5.25 -5.53 0.00 0.00 1.86 0.26P 5.26R 0.12 Gillingham 31 41 -3 2.38 61.73 3.39 59.55 5.35 -6.44 0.00 0.00 2.51 0.34P 4.44R 0.13 Walsall 30 40 +0 -1.51 43.12 -1.05 61.20 5.44 -0.76 0.00 0.00 4.79 0.81P 2.24R 0.06 Scunthorpe 29 40 -1 2.53 62.43 2.93 62.59 5.89 -2.29 0.00 0.00 9.44 1.44P 1.98R 0.05 Port_Vale 31 39 -7 1.30 56.91 0.58 57.14 5.31 -10.77 0.00 0.00 0.84 0.11P 10.96R 0.51 Rochdale 28 38 +10 -1.14 45.00 9.39 62.95 6.25 10.03 0.01 0.04 12.98 2.24P 2.00R 0.06 Notts_County 30 38 -5 -0.81 46.82 -1.55 59.09 5.60 -6.25 0.00 0.00 2.40 0.40P 6.27R 0.23 Crewe 31 38 -21 5.97 77.75 -4.39 52.47 5.03 -30.78 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.00P 39.36R 3.66 Barnsley 30 35 -9 -4.91 28.31 -6.78 56.26 5.73 -10.16 0.00 0.00 0.91 0.13P 15.84R 0.93 Coventry 30 32 -11 -6.14 22.84 -6.37 52.69 5.59 -12.91 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.02P 34.79R 3.79 Colchester 31 31 -15 -4.28 30.63 -3.97 48.49 5.29 -19.75 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 65.81R 15.03 Crawley_Town 31 30 -23 -3.50 34.06 -9.31 46.39 5.20 -29.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 80.43R 28.03 Leyton_Orient 30 29 -10 -14.46 3.87 -13.39 51.85 5.62 -8.78 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.01P 38.31R 5.23 Yeovil 31 28 -22 -7.00 19.82 -11.57 44.52 5.19 -27.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 88.41R 42.09League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Friday 20 February 2015, Accrington_Stanley 1 1 Cheltenham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Shrewsbury 31 61 +25 5.42 74.27 6.17 88.00 5.25 34.13 64.12 95.32 99.94 96.98P 0.00 0.00 Burton_Albion 31 61 +16 12.82 94.21 7.52 84.33 5.32 20.24 24.85 81.64 99.42 86.02P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 31 56 +17 8.89 86.20 10.03 77.99 5.25 19.34 4.52 39.79 93.66 53.37P 0.00 0.00 Luton 31 55 +13 8.14 83.56 6.33 77.19 5.35 15.61 3.07 32.87 90.18 47.22P 0.00 0.00 Southend 31 54 +8 5.49 75.02 -0.97 77.26 5.22 12.01 2.66 31.02 90.35 48.21P 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 31 50 +2 10.34 89.58 5.89 70.03 5.25 1.31 0.11 3.54 45.57 10.82P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 31 49 +15 3.35 66.32 9.82 70.73 5.22 16.90 0.23 5.40 56.88 17.99P 0.00 0.00 Bury 31 49 +7 1.83 59.12 -0.05 71.88 5.33 10.53 0.38 7.92 62.96 22.44P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 31 45 +3 -1.89 41.31 -3.65 67.92 5.44 6.56 0.05 2.10 33.85 11.02P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 32 43 -3 -0.04 50.52 -1.90 61.66 5.09 -3.73 0.00 0.07 5.09 1.11P 0.10R 0.00 Northampton 31 41 +6 -1.83 41.81 5.35 61.03 5.27 5.20 0.00 0.09 5.26 1.21P 0.23R 0.01 Morecambe 31 41 +1 -0.12 50.05 2.50 59.93 5.21 -1.01 0.00 0.03 3.05 0.66P 0.29R 0.01 AFC_Wimbledon 30 41 +0 2.73 63.91 4.11 61.83 5.50 -1.58 0.00 0.15 6.85 1.42P 0.20R 0.01 Accrington_Stanley 31 40 -11 2.48 62.49 -3.29 58.28 5.28 -14.48 0.00 0.01 1.36 0.24P 1.05R 0.13 Cambridge_Utd 30 37 +6 -1.60 42.82 9.40 58.46 5.53 5.42 0.00 0.03 2.38 0.49P 1.11R 0.15 Portsmouth 30 37 -3 -4.03 31.02 -3.31 58.68 5.52 -3.19 0.00 0.01 2.23 0.56P 1.06R 0.09 Dag_&_Red 31 37 -6 -2.04 40.66 -1.26 55.67 5.22 -8.65 0.00 0.01 0.48 0.10P 3.06R 0.41 Mansfield 31 35 -12 -0.41 48.82 -2.41 52.17 5.09 -16.41 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 12.04R 2.28 Oxford_Utd 31 34 -7 -6.33 22.02 -4.49 54.08 5.18 -7.55 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.04P 5.50R 0.95 Carlisle 31 33 -15 -5.62 25.33 -8.90 52.47 5.35 -16.79 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.02P 11.69R 2.49 York 31 32 -6 -7.96 16.25 -3.33 52.28 5.23 -6.12 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.01P 10.77R 2.17 Tranmere 30 31 -7 -11.35 8.12 -9.22 52.35 5.49 -7.47 0.00 0.00 0.16 0.03P 10.87R 2.15 Cheltenham 32 31 -20 -5.21 26.70 -9.10 46.60 4.92 -25.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 51.84R 14.45 Hartlepool 31 24 -29 -8.93 12.42 -15.23 40.25 5.05 -35.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 90.19R 74.69Conference (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 February 2015, AFC_Telford 2 3 Dartford; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Barnet 34 68 +37 5.74 74.43 12.08 90.18 4.65 45.86 68.83 99.71 78.47P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 34 64 +19 2.77 62.14 -2.52 86.28 4.51 27.73 21.78 97.79 47.76P 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 34 64 +18 11.21 89.80 8.65 82.13 4.58 20.71 5.51 87.48 20.68P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 34 58 +14 3.91 67.07 2.43 77.00 4.67 17.99 0.72 53.68 11.60P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 33 56 +22 -1.06 44.75 4.29 78.95 4.83 29.63 2.12 73.54 22.53P 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 32 51 +13 4.29 68.52 8.91 68.90 5.19 10.75 0.03 7.87 1.25P 0.00 0.00 Halifax 30 51 +13 2.61 62.15 1.64 75.23 5.59 16.42 0.91 39.95 9.09P 0.00 0.00 Woking 34 50 +14 0.15 50.89 8.92 68.17 4.80 16.52 0.00 5.50 1.05P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 33 50 +5 -0.42 48.15 -3.02 69.17 4.97 7.01 0.01 6.53 1.25P 0.00 0.00 Chester 34 49 -7 10.03 88.23 5.28 63.07 4.54 -10.79 0.00 0.27 0.01P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 34 48 -4 3.15 64.64 -0.70 63.80 4.78 -5.23 0.00 0.47 0.09P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 30 47 +8 0.35 51.68 -0.56 70.25 5.60 10.00 0.08 13.08 2.73P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 32 46 +10 1.28 56.24 9.05 65.97 5.22 11.25 0.01 2.84 0.52P 0.00 0.00 Torquay 33 46 +8 -8.15 17.52 -5.81 70.00 4.86 17.68 0.00 9.47 2.62P 0.00 0.00 Altrincham 34 46 -10 7.24 79.62 2.68 59.00 4.52 -15.60 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.02R 0.00 Braintree_Town 31 42 +2 -2.94 36.21 -1.84 62.17 5.15 1.75 0.00 0.41 0.09P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 30 41 -4 -0.60 47.60 -5.11 64.44 5.51 -1.62 0.00 1.41 0.26P 0.00R 0.00 Aldershot 33 36 -11 -8.63 15.35 -10.36 53.17 4.76 -11.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.28R 0.02 Welling 34 33 -16 -5.84 24.64 -3.96 47.01 4.53 -19.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.62R 0.72 Southport 32 32 -20 -1.90 41.66 -3.98 47.29 4.83 -26.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 16.78R 1.16 Alfreton_Town 33 31 -29 -2.65 38.38 -8.62 45.76 4.82 -34.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 28.45R 2.49 Dartford 32 27 -24 -4.72 28.20 -4.38 41.99 4.89 -30.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 58.15R 9.63 Nuneaton 34 26 -35 -6.23 22.07 -12.61 37.75 4.36 -42.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 89.02R 34.59 AFC_Telford 32 23 -23 -8.66 14.66 -0.47 35.84 4.85 -34.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 91.68R 51.40