Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 20 February 2015 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 11 February 2015, Chelsea 1 0 Everton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Chelsea          25   59  +34       6.78    84.61     5.30    87.14     4.39    50.49    85.36    99.23    99.91    99.98   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         25   52  +26      -0.03    48.30    -3.13    80.42     4.34    44.16    14.13    89.53    97.52    99.34    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          25   47  +19       0.07    49.85    -0.37    69.67     4.81    26.27     0.24     4.75    36.02    62.91    93.25     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      25   46  +21       5.74    78.62    12.35    66.98     4.72    25.41     0.06     1.53    16.26    39.42    84.88     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          25   45  +19      -0.68    45.71     1.14    69.82     4.78    29.76     0.19     4.32    39.94    66.33    94.16     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        25   43   +5       4.92    75.31    -0.05    63.59     4.87     9.00     0.00     0.29     4.69    14.56    56.45     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        25   42   +7      -2.78    34.34    -8.95    63.88     4.74    13.39     0.01     0.34     5.56    16.75    61.09     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         25   38   +8       3.92    70.89     8.66    56.02     4.77     7.78     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.65     8.42     0.00     0.00  
Swansea          25   34   -5       1.67    59.96    -1.26    50.28     4.80    -7.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.77     0.01R    0.00  
Stoke            25   33   -5       2.98    67.25     1.74    49.71     4.75    -6.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.58     0.03R    0.00  
Newcastle        25   32   -6       2.06    62.33     1.81    47.31     4.76   -10.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.21R    0.01  
Everton          25   27   -4      -9.83     8.31    -7.15    47.93     4.90     0.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.24     0.23R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   25   27   -8       0.17    52.15     3.42    39.72     4.42   -16.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.25R    0.65  
West_Brom        25   26  -10      -3.39    31.92    -1.99    40.17     4.58   -16.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.20R    0.76  
Sunderland       25   24  -14      -3.00    33.65    -2.57    38.17     4.50   -19.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.54R    2.26  
Hull             25   23  -11      -2.99    33.63     1.87    36.60     4.51   -17.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.22R    4.50  
QPR              25   22  -17      -1.95    39.86     0.19    33.57     4.44   -27.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.24R   16.24  
Aston_Villa      25   22  -22      -1.52    41.91    -5.68    35.12     4.42   -29.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.13R    9.76  
Burnley          25   21  -19      -3.51    31.12    -2.56    31.94     4.33   -30.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.10R   28.64  
Leicester        25   17  -18      -8.12    11.29    -2.77    30.73     4.62   -24.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.83R   37.19  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Friday 20 February 2015, Wigan 0 3 Charlton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Middlesbrough   31   60  +28       6.91    79.55    12.59    84.59     5.24    33.75    20.95    42.06    97.31    57.21P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     31   59  +33       6.38    77.72    17.59    84.28     5.39    40.31    20.98    43.22    96.48    56.44P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           31   59  +30       2.68    62.28     8.71    86.78     5.23    41.14    38.14    62.21    98.70    73.60P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         31   57  +19       8.20    83.90     9.85    80.39     5.34    23.19     5.69    15.48    86.32    30.06P    0.00     0.00  
Watford         31   56  +26       2.21    60.09     8.38    81.63     5.38    33.84    10.02    24.32    91.64    42.05P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich         31   53  +23      -2.07    40.03     3.81    78.84     5.44    30.86     3.95    11.54    81.73    32.39P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       31   52   +4      11.09    90.39     6.69    72.97     5.39     4.39     0.24     1.05    31.98     5.37P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   31   48   -2       4.25    69.35    -3.75    68.71     5.34    -1.74     0.03     0.12    10.36     2.01P    0.00R    0.00  
Blackburn       31   43   +0      -0.24    49.39    -0.74    65.30     5.37     2.54     0.00     0.00     3.75     0.61P    0.02R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   31   41   +1      -2.80    37.28    -0.37    61.44     5.39     0.56     0.00     0.00     0.96     0.13P    0.20R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed       31   40   -5       0.87    55.05    -1.02    58.59     5.12    -7.76     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.02P    0.74R    0.00  
Charlton        32   39   -7       0.96    55.37     1.22    56.85     5.07    -8.83     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    1.68R    0.02  
Birmingham      31   39   -9       1.30    56.96    -1.74    56.96     5.12   -13.39     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.00P    1.82R    0.01  
Leeds_United    31   38   -7      -0.72    47.16    -0.99    56.25     5.21   -10.23     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    2.67R    0.02  
Huddersfield    31   38  -12       1.95    60.37    -0.83    56.12     5.34   -15.85     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P    3.10R    0.03  
Cardiff         31   37   -6      -4.31    30.84    -3.99    58.64     5.44    -4.43     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.03P    1.11R    0.01  
Bolton          31   37   -8      -3.78    32.76    -4.91    56.43     5.24    -9.97     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    2.58R    0.03  
Reading         31   37  -11      -5.00    27.52   -10.04    57.07     5.31   -12.03     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P    2.07R    0.02  
Fulham          31   35  -11      -7.08    20.37    -9.49    55.12     5.43   -12.22     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    5.37R    0.09  
Rotherham       31   34   -9       0.15    51.82     4.45    50.27     5.14   -15.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.34R    0.46  
Brighton        31   31   -7     -12.38     6.24    -8.56    51.61     5.30    -6.66     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   13.77R    0.32  
Millwall        31   30  -20      -1.55    43.11    -3.27    44.66     4.96   -28.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.76R    5.47  
Wigan           32   25  -17     -16.20     2.08   -13.25    42.90     5.03   -18.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.81R   10.40  
Blackpool       31   21  -33      -7.19    17.11   -10.34    34.78     4.83   -44.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.97R   83.12  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 18 February 2015, Leyton_Orient 0 2 Bradford; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Bristol_City     30   64  +30      10.70    90.71    11.69    92.79     5.51    40.45    68.26    88.78   100.00    92.08P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          31   59  +32       3.24    64.41    11.74    85.62     5.41    41.10    14.60    49.18    99.72    65.78P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          30   57  +24       4.45    70.04     6.92    84.97     5.60    33.02    12.45    40.91    99.50    58.83P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          29   53  +16       3.86    67.98     2.35    81.48     5.77    23.57     4.29    18.05    97.21    41.15P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        29   48   +8       3.78    68.29     1.41    75.74     5.78    14.39     0.37     2.78    82.64    21.01P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster        30   45   +4       0.17    50.99    -1.47    67.48     5.64     4.91     0.01     0.12    29.63     6.27P    0.09R    0.00  
Bradford         29   44   +6       3.66    67.95     5.04    67.30     5.77     6.17     0.01     0.12    29.82     4.87P    0.15R    0.00  
Oldham           30   43   +0       3.82    68.54     2.83    63.56     5.57    -1.93     0.00     0.00    10.59     1.54P    0.98R    0.02  
Chesterfield     31   42   +1       0.57    53.30     2.74    62.33     5.45     0.54     0.00     0.00     7.59     1.19P    1.44R    0.03  
Peterborough     31   41   -2      -5.25    26.89    -7.41    62.42     5.40    -0.72     0.00     0.01     7.27     1.51P    1.25R    0.02  
Fleetwood_Town   31   41   -2       4.55    71.50     6.26    58.83     5.25    -5.53     0.00     0.00     1.86     0.26P    5.26R    0.12  
Gillingham       31   41   -3       2.38    61.73     3.39    59.55     5.35    -6.44     0.00     0.00     2.51     0.34P    4.44R    0.13  
Walsall          30   40   +0      -1.51    43.12    -1.05    61.20     5.44    -0.76     0.00     0.00     4.79     0.81P    2.24R    0.06  
Scunthorpe       29   40   -1       2.53    62.43     2.93    62.59     5.89    -2.29     0.00     0.00     9.44     1.44P    1.98R    0.05  
Port_Vale        31   39   -7       1.30    56.91     0.58    57.14     5.31   -10.77     0.00     0.00     0.84     0.11P   10.96R    0.51  
Rochdale         28   38  +10      -1.14    45.00     9.39    62.95     6.25    10.03     0.01     0.04    12.98     2.24P    2.00R    0.06  
Notts_County     30   38   -5      -0.81    46.82    -1.55    59.09     5.60    -6.25     0.00     0.00     2.40     0.40P    6.27R    0.23  
Crewe            31   38  -21       5.97    77.75    -4.39    52.47     5.03   -30.78     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.00P   39.36R    3.66  
Barnsley         30   35   -9      -4.91    28.31    -6.78    56.26     5.73   -10.16     0.00     0.00     0.91     0.13P   15.84R    0.93  
Coventry         30   32  -11      -6.14    22.84    -6.37    52.69     5.59   -12.91     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P   34.79R    3.79  
Colchester       31   31  -15      -4.28    30.63    -3.97    48.49     5.29   -19.75     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    65.81R   15.03  
Crawley_Town     31   30  -23      -3.50    34.06    -9.31    46.39     5.20   -29.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   80.43R   28.03  
Leyton_Orient    30   29  -10     -14.46     3.87   -13.39    51.85     5.62    -8.78     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   38.31R    5.23  
Yeovil           31   28  -22      -7.00    19.82   -11.57    44.52     5.19   -27.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.41R   42.09  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Friday 20 February 2015, Accrington_Stanley 1 1 Cheltenham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Shrewsbury           31   61  +25       5.42    74.27     6.17    88.00     5.25    34.13    64.12    95.32    99.94    96.98P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        31   61  +16      12.82    94.21     7.52    84.33     5.32    20.24    24.85    81.64    99.42    86.02P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              31   56  +17       8.89    86.20    10.03    77.99     5.25    19.34     4.52    39.79    93.66    53.37P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                31   55  +13       8.14    83.56     6.33    77.19     5.35    15.61     3.07    32.87    90.18    47.22P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             31   54   +8       5.49    75.02    -0.97    77.26     5.22    12.01     2.66    31.02    90.35    48.21P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       31   50   +2      10.34    89.58     5.89    70.03     5.25     1.31     0.11     3.54    45.57    10.82P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             31   49  +15       3.35    66.32     9.82    70.73     5.22    16.90     0.23     5.40    56.88    17.99P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 31   49   +7       1.83    59.12    -0.05    71.88     5.33    10.53     0.38     7.92    62.96    22.44P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            31   45   +3      -1.89    41.31    -3.65    67.92     5.44     6.56     0.05     2.10    33.85    11.02P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               32   43   -3      -0.04    50.52    -1.90    61.66     5.09    -3.73     0.00     0.07     5.09     1.11P    0.10R    0.00  
Northampton          31   41   +6      -1.83    41.81     5.35    61.03     5.27     5.20     0.00     0.09     5.26     1.21P    0.23R    0.01  
Morecambe            31   41   +1      -0.12    50.05     2.50    59.93     5.21    -1.01     0.00     0.03     3.05     0.66P    0.29R    0.01  
AFC_Wimbledon        30   41   +0       2.73    63.91     4.11    61.83     5.50    -1.58     0.00     0.15     6.85     1.42P    0.20R    0.01  
Accrington_Stanley   31   40  -11       2.48    62.49    -3.29    58.28     5.28   -14.48     0.00     0.01     1.36     0.24P    1.05R    0.13  
Cambridge_Utd        30   37   +6      -1.60    42.82     9.40    58.46     5.53     5.42     0.00     0.03     2.38     0.49P    1.11R    0.15  
Portsmouth           30   37   -3      -4.03    31.02    -3.31    58.68     5.52    -3.19     0.00     0.01     2.23     0.56P    1.06R    0.09  
Dag_&_Red            31   37   -6      -2.04    40.66    -1.26    55.67     5.22    -8.65     0.00     0.01     0.48     0.10P    3.06R    0.41  
Mansfield            31   35  -12      -0.41    48.82    -2.41    52.17     5.09   -16.41     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   12.04R    2.28  
Oxford_Utd           31   34   -7      -6.33    22.02    -4.49    54.08     5.18    -7.55     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.04P    5.50R    0.95  
Carlisle             31   33  -15      -5.62    25.33    -8.90    52.47     5.35   -16.79     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.02P   11.69R    2.49  
York                 31   32   -6      -7.96    16.25    -3.33    52.28     5.23    -6.12     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   10.77R    2.17  
Tranmere             30   31   -7     -11.35     8.12    -9.22    52.35     5.49    -7.47     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.03P   10.87R    2.15  
Cheltenham           32   31  -20      -5.21    26.70    -9.10    46.60     4.92   -25.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.84R   14.45  
Hartlepool           31   24  -29      -8.93    12.42   -15.23    40.25     5.05   -35.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.19R   74.69  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 February 2015, AFC_Telford 2 3 Dartford; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barnet           34   68  +37       5.74    74.43    12.08    90.18     4.65    45.86    68.83    99.71    78.47P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   34   64  +19       2.77    62.14    -2.52    86.28     4.51    27.73    21.78    97.79    47.76P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     34   64  +18      11.21    89.80     8.65    82.13     4.58    20.71     5.51    87.48    20.68P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     34   58  +14       3.91    67.07     2.43    77.00     4.67    17.99     0.72    53.68    11.60P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          33   56  +22      -1.06    44.75     4.29    78.95     4.83    29.63     2.12    73.54    22.53P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        32   51  +13       4.29    68.52     8.91    68.90     5.19    10.75     0.03     7.87     1.25P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax          30   51  +13       2.61    62.15     1.64    75.23     5.59    16.42     0.91    39.95     9.09P    0.00     0.00  
Woking           34   50  +14       0.15    50.89     8.92    68.17     4.80    16.52     0.00     5.50     1.05P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster    33   50   +5      -0.42    48.15    -3.02    69.17     4.97     7.01     0.01     6.53     1.25P    0.00     0.00  
Chester          34   49   -7      10.03    88.23     5.28    63.07     4.54   -10.79     0.00     0.27     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     34   48   -4       3.15    64.64    -0.70    63.80     4.78    -5.23     0.00     0.47     0.09P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        30   47   +8       0.35    51.68    -0.56    70.25     5.60    10.00     0.08    13.08     2.73P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   32   46  +10       1.28    56.24     9.05    65.97     5.22    11.25     0.01     2.84     0.52P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay          33   46   +8      -8.15    17.52    -5.81    70.00     4.86    17.68     0.00     9.47     2.62P    0.00     0.00  
Altrincham       34   46  -10       7.24    79.62     2.68    59.00     4.52   -15.60     0.00     0.02     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Braintree_Town   31   42   +2      -2.94    36.21    -1.84    62.17     5.15     1.75     0.00     0.41     0.09P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          30   41   -4      -0.60    47.60    -5.11    64.44     5.51    -1.62     0.00     1.41     0.26P    0.00R    0.00  
Aldershot        33   36  -11      -8.63    15.35   -10.36    53.17     4.76   -11.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.28R    0.02  
Welling          34   33  -16      -5.84    24.64    -3.96    47.01     4.53   -19.97     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.62R    0.72  
Southport        32   32  -20      -1.90    41.66    -3.98    47.29     4.83   -26.07     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.78R    1.16  
Alfreton_Town    33   31  -29      -2.65    38.38    -8.62    45.76     4.82   -34.42     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.45R    2.49  
Dartford         32   27  -24      -4.72    28.20    -4.38    41.99     4.89   -30.94     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.15R    9.63  
Nuneaton         34   26  -35      -6.23    22.07   -12.61    37.75     4.36   -42.17     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.02R   34.59  
AFC_Telford      32   23  -23      -8.66    14.66    -0.47    35.84     4.85   -34.71     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.68R   51.40