Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Monday 16 February 2015 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 11 February 2015, Chelsea 1 0 Everton; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 25 59 +34 6.74 84.61 5.16 87.22 4.41 50.59 85.64 99.22 99.91 99.99 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 25 52 +26 -0.03 48.37 -3.04 80.38 4.35 44.13 13.88 89.33 97.40 99.33 99.97 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 25 47 +19 -0.01 49.33 -0.52 69.65 4.81 26.28 0.20 4.66 36.00 63.14 93.30 0.00 0.00 Southampton 25 46 +21 5.77 78.75 12.43 66.99 4.73 25.41 0.06 1.65 16.33 39.73 84.89 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 25 45 +19 -0.65 45.99 1.15 69.79 4.80 29.74 0.21 4.50 39.73 66.13 93.97 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 25 43 +5 4.92 75.38 -0.08 63.60 4.86 8.99 0.01 0.33 4.74 14.48 56.54 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 25 42 +7 -2.77 34.47 -8.97 63.85 4.76 13.33 0.01 0.30 5.74 16.44 60.83 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 25 38 +8 3.95 71.31 8.72 56.04 4.79 7.82 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.71 8.64 0.00 0.00 Swansea 25 34 -5 1.62 59.83 -1.30 50.39 4.84 -7.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.86 0.02R 0.00 Stoke 25 33 -5 2.91 67.15 1.63 49.69 4.75 -6.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.59 0.03R 0.00 Newcastle 25 32 -6 2.17 62.96 2.00 47.30 4.73 -10.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.16 0.24R 0.01 Everton 25 27 -4 -9.75 8.51 -7.05 47.92 4.89 0.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.22 0.24R 0.01 Crystal_Palace 25 27 -8 0.05 51.43 3.26 39.73 4.39 -16.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.23R 0.57 West_Brom 25 26 -10 -3.39 32.12 -1.98 40.14 4.57 -16.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.07R 0.77 Sunderland 25 24 -14 -2.88 34.41 -2.37 38.12 4.48 -20.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 16.75R 2.22 Hull 25 23 -11 -3.08 33.00 1.77 36.61 4.52 -17.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 25.38R 4.61 QPR 25 22 -17 -2.08 38.95 0.08 33.60 4.43 -27.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 54.69R 16.19 Aston_Villa 25 22 -22 -1.59 41.65 -5.83 35.15 4.45 -29.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 42.02R 9.52 Burnley 25 21 -19 -3.40 31.59 -2.45 31.95 4.29 -30.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 70.14R 28.17 Leicester 25 17 -18 -8.00 11.35 -2.63 30.67 4.64 -25.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 74.19R 37.93Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 February 2015, Blackpool 4 4 Nott'm_Forest; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Bournemouth 31 59 +33 6.35 77.51 17.49 84.39 5.37 40.44 18.96 41.54 96.72 55.49P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 30 59 +28 7.48 82.15 12.82 85.24 5.42 34.15 22.07 44.70 97.53 58.89P 0.00 0.00 Derby 30 58 +30 3.43 66.22 9.34 87.70 5.45 41.92 42.34 66.21 98.95 76.47P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 31 57 +19 8.43 84.27 10.18 80.26 5.33 22.98 4.48 13.60 85.66 28.01P 0.00 0.00 Watford 31 56 +26 2.09 59.31 8.14 81.66 5.37 33.89 8.55 22.31 91.76 40.87P 0.00 0.00 Norwich 31 53 +23 -2.19 39.26 3.56 78.88 5.47 30.94 3.39 10.62 81.46 32.12P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 31 52 +4 11.14 90.46 6.83 72.85 5.35 4.26 0.20 0.86 30.64 4.96P 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 31 48 -2 4.14 68.91 -3.93 68.80 5.34 -1.62 0.02 0.12 10.51 1.95P 0.00 0.00 Blackburn 30 42 +0 0.06 50.64 -0.80 65.49 5.57 2.28 0.00 0.02 4.61 0.85P 0.03R 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 31 41 +1 -2.57 38.06 -0.05 61.35 5.40 0.45 0.00 0.00 0.91 0.17P 0.20R 0.00 Sheff_Wed 31 40 -5 1.01 55.73 -0.82 58.55 5.07 -7.80 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.02P 0.74R 0.00 Leeds_United 31 38 -7 -0.49 48.03 -0.61 56.24 5.21 -10.29 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 2.73R 0.02 Birmingham 30 38 -9 1.46 57.75 -1.94 57.05 5.33 -13.78 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.01P 1.97R 0.02 Huddersfield 31 38 -12 1.91 60.04 -0.90 56.18 5.33 -15.75 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.00P 3.09R 0.02 Bolton 31 37 -8 -3.84 32.79 -4.98 56.45 5.24 -9.95 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.01P 2.59R 0.02 Reading 30 37 -10 -3.99 31.68 -9.54 59.01 5.56 -10.21 0.00 0.00 0.35 0.07P 1.17R 0.01 Cardiff 30 36 -6 -3.69 33.12 -3.59 59.17 5.65 -4.22 0.00 0.00 0.44 0.08P 1.08R 0.01 Charlton 31 36 -10 0.23 52.11 -0.39 54.32 5.19 -13.08 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 5.75R 0.07 Fulham 31 35 -11 -7.19 20.22 -9.63 55.13 5.43 -12.22 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 5.16R 0.08 Rotherham 30 33 -9 0.14 51.81 3.65 50.00 5.30 -16.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 23.52R 0.65 Brighton 31 31 -7 -12.32 6.17 -8.43 51.46 5.27 -6.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 13.84R 0.32 Millwall 31 30 -20 -1.69 42.49 -3.48 44.78 4.95 -28.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 66.55R 5.20 Wigan 30 22 -15 -17.14 1.27 -12.24 42.96 5.46 -16.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 72.75R 11.38 Blackpool 31 21 -33 -7.40 16.12 -10.69 34.89 4.83 -43.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.83R 82.21League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 February 2015, Bristol_City 1 3 Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Bristol_City 29 61 +28 10.07 89.44 11.18 91.17 5.83 38.44 62.10 84.54 99.97 89.12P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 30 57 +24 4.59 70.89 7.13 84.84 5.58 32.84 16.20 45.22 99.61 61.91P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 30 56 +31 2.21 59.90 11.64 84.43 5.59 40.82 14.92 45.13 99.46 62.88P 0.00 0.00 Preston 29 53 +16 3.91 68.41 2.43 81.56 5.78 23.68 6.39 22.42 97.57 43.99P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 28 45 +7 2.50 62.49 0.90 74.19 6.00 13.55 0.37 2.38 76.59 19.44P 0.01R 0.00 Oldham 30 43 +0 3.79 68.28 2.84 63.55 5.53 -1.97 0.00 0.01 11.68 1.72P 1.10R 0.02 Chesterfield 30 42 +3 1.26 56.41 3.76 64.06 5.74 3.04 0.00 0.03 15.48 2.62P 1.04R 0.01 Doncaster 29 42 +3 -0.76 46.58 -1.50 66.26 5.86 4.53 0.02 0.12 26.06 5.52P 0.38R 0.00 Bradford 28 41 +4 2.74 63.83 4.07 65.04 5.92 3.28 0.01 0.07 20.10 3.37P 0.73R 0.01 Peterborough 30 41 +0 -4.79 28.77 -6.79 63.75 5.60 1.16 0.00 0.01 13.48 2.91P 1.09R 0.02 Fleetwood_Town 31 41 -2 4.71 71.65 6.45 58.76 5.25 -5.65 0.00 0.00 2.07 0.24P 6.49R 0.13 Gillingham 31 41 -3 2.47 62.30 3.52 59.55 5.35 -6.44 0.00 0.00 2.95 0.41P 5.39R 0.16 Walsall 30 40 +0 -1.71 41.91 -1.28 61.24 5.43 -0.73 0.00 0.00 5.90 1.09P 2.62R 0.05 Port_Vale 31 39 -7 1.09 55.94 0.27 57.28 5.32 -10.63 0.00 0.00 1.15 0.15P 12.16R 0.57 Rochdale 28 38 +10 -1.11 45.08 9.42 62.96 6.21 10.03 0.00 0.05 14.37 2.47P 2.38R 0.05 Notts_County 29 38 -4 0.18 51.57 -1.14 60.40 5.73 -5.28 0.00 0.00 4.62 0.72P 4.97R 0.17 Crewe 30 38 -20 7.02 81.55 -3.84 53.32 5.22 -30.57 0.00 0.00 0.22 0.02P 36.80R 3.24 Scunthorpe 28 37 -3 1.37 57.49 1.75 60.74 6.09 -4.69 0.00 0.01 6.88 1.01P 5.28R 0.23 Barnsley 30 35 -9 -5.20 26.99 -7.26 56.38 5.69 -9.94 0.00 0.00 1.14 0.25P 17.10R 1.02 Coventry 30 32 -11 -6.26 22.37 -6.48 52.72 5.57 -12.91 0.00 0.00 0.21 0.03P 37.67R 4.09 Colchester 30 31 -14 -3.69 33.05 -4.06 49.45 5.50 -19.50 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00 62.78R 13.03 Crawley_Town 31 30 -23 -3.31 34.85 -9.11 46.37 5.19 -29.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 82.55R 29.76 Leyton_Orient 29 29 -8 -13.69 4.48 -12.20 53.75 5.90 -5.99 0.00 0.00 0.45 0.10P 29.92R 3.42 Yeovil 31 28 -22 -7.11 19.38 -11.71 44.54 5.19 -27.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 89.54R 44.02League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 15 February 2015, Morecambe 2 3 Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Shrewsbury 31 61 +25 5.57 75.23 6.41 87.94 5.20 34.07 62.55 94.89 99.94 96.60P 0.00 0.00 Burton_Albion 31 61 +16 12.94 94.42 7.68 84.16 5.33 20.00 23.59 78.94 99.36 83.96P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 31 56 +17 8.79 85.78 9.89 78.01 5.27 19.38 4.47 36.99 93.41 51.09P 0.00 0.00 Luton 30 55 +14 9.31 87.19 7.02 78.90 5.57 17.06 5.98 42.97 93.68 55.58P 0.00 0.00 Southend 31 54 +8 5.55 75.21 -0.91 77.28 5.24 12.03 2.67 28.88 90.03 46.37P 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 31 50 +2 10.20 89.03 5.72 70.09 5.24 1.36 0.12 3.19 45.57 10.91P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 31 49 +15 3.19 65.38 9.67 70.77 5.26 16.98 0.23 4.86 56.51 17.93P 0.00 0.00 Bury 31 49 +7 1.85 58.86 0.02 71.85 5.35 10.49 0.35 7.19 61.80 21.55P 0.00R 0.00 Stevenage 31 45 +3 -1.80 41.53 -3.56 67.86 5.43 6.44 0.04 1.80 32.78 10.17P 0.00R 0.00 Exeter 32 43 -3 -0.21 49.35 -2.06 61.70 5.08 -3.65 0.00 0.04 5.06 1.10P 0.08R 0.01 Northampton 31 41 +6 -1.73 42.18 5.51 60.98 5.24 5.15 0.00 0.06 4.82 1.07P 0.18R 0.01 Morecambe 31 41 +1 -0.09 50.04 2.51 59.88 5.19 -1.11 0.00 0.02 2.86 0.64P 0.23R 0.02 AFC_Wimbledon 30 41 +0 2.64 63.15 3.98 61.87 5.50 -1.50 0.00 0.10 6.49 1.40P 0.19R 0.01 Accrington_Stanley 30 39 -11 2.74 63.91 -3.42 59.20 5.51 -13.62 0.00 0.03 2.12 0.39P 0.91R 0.14 Cambridge_Utd 30 37 +6 -1.70 42.31 9.28 58.50 5.57 5.48 0.00 0.02 2.38 0.51P 0.95R 0.11 Portsmouth 30 37 -3 -3.99 31.46 -3.27 58.71 5.50 -3.19 0.00 0.01 2.22 0.53P 0.91R 0.07 Dag_&_Red 31 37 -6 -1.93 41.37 -1.15 55.65 5.18 -8.69 0.00 0.00 0.45 0.08P 2.69R 0.38 Oxford_Utd 31 34 -7 -6.31 22.00 -4.42 54.11 5.21 -7.50 0.00 0.00 0.18 0.04P 4.88R 0.79 Carlisle 31 33 -15 -5.54 26.00 -8.82 52.46 5.34 -16.81 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.02P 10.68R 2.40 York 31 32 -6 -8.07 15.66 -3.45 52.32 5.21 -6.08 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.01P 9.48R 1.93 Mansfield 30 32 -13 -1.74 42.16 -2.87 50.19 5.32 -17.89 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 20.45R 4.98 Tranmere 30 31 -7 -11.30 8.60 -9.13 52.35 5.54 -7.49 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.03P 10.40R 2.03 Cheltenham 31 30 -20 -5.05 26.59 -9.38 46.57 5.11 -25.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 49.23R 14.74 Hartlepool 31 24 -29 -8.92 12.35 -15.24 40.28 5.06 -35.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 88.75R 72.37Conference (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 February 2015, AFC_Telford 2 3 Dartford; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Barnet 34 68 +37 5.70 74.31 12.00 90.19 4.66 45.88 68.85 99.68 78.28P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 34 64 +19 2.93 62.75 -2.24 86.31 4.51 27.72 21.76 97.77 47.92P 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 34 64 +18 11.27 90.24 8.75 82.13 4.59 20.71 5.50 87.36 20.65P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 34 58 +14 3.83 66.87 2.29 77.03 4.65 18.00 0.73 54.27 11.57P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 33 56 +22 -1.26 43.69 3.92 78.97 4.85 29.67 2.10 73.18 23.20P 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 32 51 +13 4.32 68.59 9.03 68.90 5.21 10.75 0.02 8.08 1.35P 0.00 0.00 Halifax 30 51 +13 2.65 62.64 1.69 75.22 5.59 16.40 0.95 39.86 8.97P 0.00 0.00 Woking 34 50 +14 0.07 50.53 8.84 68.18 4.83 16.54 0.00 5.54 0.90P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 33 50 +5 -0.01 50.05 -2.44 69.00 4.99 6.79 0.01 6.29 1.25P 0.00 0.00 Chester 34 49 -7 9.99 87.87 5.14 63.09 4.53 -10.73 0.00 0.30 0.02P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 34 48 -4 3.10 64.12 -0.83 63.87 4.79 -5.15 0.00 0.55 0.07P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 30 47 +8 0.32 51.47 -0.61 70.23 5.55 9.94 0.07 12.80 2.56P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 32 46 +10 1.28 56.42 9.10 65.90 5.25 11.18 0.00 2.85 0.52P 0.00 0.00 Torquay 33 46 +8 -8.02 18.07 -5.65 69.97 4.84 17.61 0.01 9.51 2.42P 0.00 0.00 Altrincham 34 46 -10 7.23 79.60 2.60 58.98 4.51 -15.58 0.00 0.03 0.01P 0.00 0.00 Braintree_Town 31 42 +2 -2.78 36.90 -1.57 62.14 5.17 1.72 0.00 0.45 0.06P 0.00R 0.00 Wrexham 30 41 -4 -0.63 47.37 -5.13 64.48 5.52 -1.56 0.00 1.48 0.25P 0.00R 0.00 Aldershot 33 36 -11 -8.69 15.35 -10.41 53.24 4.75 -11.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.20R 0.02 Welling 34 33 -16 -6.05 24.14 -4.26 47.07 4.60 -19.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.54R 0.67 Southport 32 32 -20 -1.74 42.62 -3.77 47.25 4.84 -26.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 17.16R 1.21 Alfreton_Town 33 31 -29 -2.74 37.89 -8.71 45.76 4.78 -34.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 28.35R 2.41 Dartford 32 27 -24 -4.98 26.99 -4.79 42.09 4.91 -30.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 57.38R 9.25 Nuneaton 34 26 -35 -6.16 22.32 -12.46 37.68 4.33 -42.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 89.48R 35.20 AFC_Telford 32 23 -23 -8.69 14.46 -0.52 35.86 4.81 -34.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 91.89R 51.25