Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Thursday 12 February 2015 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 11 February 2015, Chelsea 1 0 Everton; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 25 59 +34 6.78 84.76 5.27 87.20 4.38 50.55 85.70 99.20 99.89 99.98 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 25 52 +26 0.00 48.65 -3.07 80.39 4.35 44.14 13.79 89.48 97.43 99.28 99.97 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 25 47 +19 0.04 49.64 -0.45 69.67 4.78 26.27 0.23 4.70 36.40 63.18 93.51 0.00 0.00 Southampton 25 46 +21 5.78 78.77 12.48 66.94 4.73 25.34 0.05 1.53 16.04 39.39 84.62 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 25 45 +19 -0.67 45.59 1.12 69.83 4.78 29.78 0.21 4.46 39.71 66.51 94.18 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 25 43 +5 4.94 75.22 -0.00 63.60 4.88 9.00 0.01 0.32 4.86 14.52 56.59 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 25 42 +7 -2.62 35.45 -8.78 63.80 4.76 13.27 0.00 0.31 5.54 16.33 60.49 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 25 38 +8 3.85 70.91 8.60 56.03 4.77 7.82 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.75 8.75 0.00 0.00 Swansea 25 34 -5 1.64 59.80 -1.23 50.29 4.83 -7.53 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.86 0.02R 0.00 Stoke 25 33 -5 2.80 66.69 1.53 49.82 4.77 -6.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.61 0.03R 0.00 Newcastle 25 32 -6 2.12 62.70 1.90 47.35 4.74 -10.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.20 0.21R 0.01 Everton 25 27 -4 -9.74 8.50 -7.08 47.89 4.86 0.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.22 0.19R 0.01 Crystal_Palace 25 27 -8 0.16 52.04 3.43 39.71 4.41 -16.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.32R 0.57 West_Brom 25 26 -10 -3.45 31.52 -2.11 40.19 4.53 -16.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.73R 0.72 Sunderland 25 24 -14 -2.92 34.32 -2.53 38.14 4.49 -20.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 16.70R 2.10 Hull 25 23 -11 -2.92 33.70 1.97 36.55 4.53 -17.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 25.73R 4.62 QPR 25 22 -17 -2.12 38.73 -0.07 33.60 4.42 -27.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 55.00R 16.02 Aston_Villa 25 22 -22 -1.60 41.80 -5.83 35.16 4.43 -29.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 41.97R 9.40 Burnley 25 21 -19 -3.50 31.13 -2.56 31.92 4.32 -30.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 69.89R 28.73 Leicester 25 17 -18 -8.01 11.46 -2.59 30.67 4.61 -24.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 74.18R 37.82Championship (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 11 February 2015, Nott'm_Forest 3 0 Wigan; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Middlesbrough 30 59 +28 7.37 81.94 12.70 85.27 5.45 34.22 21.99 45.53 97.30 59.98P 0.00 0.00 Bournemouth 30 58 +33 7.25 80.98 18.31 85.60 5.57 41.82 25.69 51.86 97.46 63.64P 0.00 0.00 Derby 30 58 +30 3.29 65.39 9.19 87.76 5.43 41.98 41.29 67.35 98.96 77.66P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 30 54 +18 6.98 80.26 9.39 78.52 5.57 21.78 2.65 9.03 75.65 22.84P 0.00 0.00 Watford 30 53 +25 0.99 54.43 8.15 80.04 5.61 32.85 5.46 15.74 85.32 34.59P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 30 52 +7 11.08 90.63 7.67 74.82 5.59 8.20 0.61 2.48 48.14 9.36P 0.00 0.00 Norwich 30 50 +21 -2.67 36.71 3.35 77.49 5.66 29.26 2.25 7.66 72.19 26.96P 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 30 48 +0 4.54 70.92 -3.35 69.90 5.51 -0.03 0.06 0.32 16.75 3.38P 0.00 0.00 Blackburn 30 42 +0 0.12 50.93 -0.76 65.45 5.58 2.18 0.00 0.02 5.04 0.95P 0.03R 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 30 40 +1 -2.04 40.51 0.11 62.14 5.58 1.11 0.00 0.00 1.67 0.36P 0.15R 0.00 Sheff_Wed 30 39 -5 1.34 57.66 -0.77 58.98 5.31 -7.70 0.00 0.00 0.27 0.05P 0.76R 0.00 Birmingham 30 38 -9 1.65 58.80 -1.68 56.93 5.27 -13.95 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.02P 2.20R 0.02 Bolton 30 37 -7 -2.67 37.44 -4.45 57.73 5.45 -9.06 0.00 0.00 0.20 0.04P 1.73R 0.02 Reading 30 37 -10 -3.80 32.36 -9.24 59.00 5.59 -10.24 0.00 0.00 0.28 0.05P 1.18R 0.01 Huddersfield 30 37 -12 2.05 61.05 -1.37 55.67 5.47 -17.38 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.01P 4.37R 0.06 Cardiff 30 36 -6 -3.73 33.01 -3.63 59.18 5.64 -4.20 0.00 0.00 0.42 0.09P 1.02R 0.01 Leeds_United 30 35 -8 -1.83 41.67 -1.15 55.07 5.43 -10.65 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 5.18R 0.09 Fulham 30 35 -10 -6.12 23.50 -9.11 56.66 5.69 -10.97 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.02P 3.62R 0.05 Rotherham 30 33 -9 0.11 51.47 3.68 49.98 5.28 -16.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 23.42R 0.71 Charlton 30 33 -13 -0.42 48.84 -1.97 52.17 5.39 -16.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 13.16R 0.37 Brighton 30 30 -7 -11.88 6.48 -8.30 51.76 5.45 -6.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 13.83R 0.37 Millwall 30 30 -19 -0.79 46.91 -3.10 45.75 5.11 -28.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 58.69R 3.97 Wigan 30 22 -15 -17.22 1.31 -12.42 43.00 5.45 -16.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 72.04R 11.51 Blackpool 30 20 -33 -7.06 16.71 -11.27 34.83 5.00 -44.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.62R 82.81League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 10 February 2015, Barnsley 1 2 Fleetwood_Town; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Bristol_City 28 61 +30 10.81 91.74 12.17 93.28 5.97 41.56 61.59 85.31 99.99 89.81P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 29 57 +26 5.40 74.78 8.31 87.31 5.73 36.52 18.36 50.12 99.82 66.19P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 29 56 +33 3.28 65.17 13.20 86.83 5.81 44.40 16.72 49.70 99.71 67.04P 0.00 0.00 Preston 29 53 +16 3.82 67.82 2.29 81.52 5.79 23.66 3.26 14.12 97.40 39.07P 0.00 0.00 Oldham 29 43 +1 5.20 74.42 3.85 65.09 5.71 -0.74 0.00 0.01 18.49 2.59P 0.42R 0.01 Sheff_Utd 27 42 +5 1.51 57.95 -0.19 71.85 6.16 10.55 0.06 0.58 62.50 14.01P 0.01R 0.00 Chesterfield 29 42 +4 2.21 60.65 4.01 65.58 5.93 4.32 0.00 0.04 23.17 3.90P 0.42R 0.00 Bradford 28 41 +4 2.77 64.22 4.09 65.15 5.95 3.43 0.00 0.04 21.07 3.45P 0.43R 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 30 41 +0 5.35 74.80 7.42 60.81 5.52 -2.68 0.00 0.00 5.51 0.76P 2.29R 0.03 Walsall 29 40 +1 -0.59 47.55 -0.61 62.96 5.67 0.76 0.00 0.00 10.85 2.08P 0.92R 0.01 Doncaster 28 39 +0 -1.04 45.53 -2.61 64.38 6.09 1.16 0.00 0.04 17.04 3.31P 0.89R 0.02 Rochdale 27 38 +11 -0.13 49.80 9.79 64.18 6.40 10.80 0.00 0.05 20.03 3.42P 1.14R 0.02 Peterborough 29 38 -1 -6.06 22.89 -7.33 62.30 5.80 0.43 0.00 0.00 10.01 2.07P 1.59R 0.03 Notts_County 29 38 -4 0.09 51.10 -1.27 60.45 5.77 -5.19 0.00 0.00 5.03 0.80P 3.43R 0.11 Gillingham 30 38 -5 1.37 57.12 2.20 56.83 5.49 -10.11 0.00 0.00 1.16 0.14P 10.23R 0.46 Port_Vale 30 36 -8 -0.03 50.78 0.09 55.04 5.47 -12.51 0.00 0.00 0.52 0.06P 17.69R 1.18 Barnsley 29 35 -5 -5.11 27.23 -5.35 59.05 5.97 -3.96 0.00 0.00 3.97 0.72P 6.13R 0.25 Crewe 29 35 -22 5.88 78.34 -4.97 51.24 5.38 -33.28 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.01P 44.59R 5.37 Scunthorpe 27 34 -5 0.38 52.43 0.73 57.96 6.27 -8.48 0.00 0.00 3.20 0.45P 9.87R 0.67 Coventry 30 32 -11 -6.10 23.00 -6.28 52.62 5.52 -13.03 0.00 0.00 0.18 0.03P 30.94R 3.01 Colchester 29 28 -15 -5.09 26.51 -4.60 47.31 5.64 -21.34 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 68.57R 18.01 Yeovil 30 28 -19 -7.05 19.23 -10.58 46.05 5.36 -24.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 77.89R 23.11 Crawley_Town 30 27 -27 -3.96 31.12 -11.76 43.97 5.30 -34.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 87.56R 42.64 Leyton_Orient 28 26 -9 -14.85 2.88 -12.59 51.86 6.05 -7.40 0.00 0.00 0.25 0.06P 34.97R 5.06League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 10 February 2015, Accrington_Stanley 1 0 Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Shrewsbury 30 58 +23 4.92 72.77 5.81 86.78 5.41 32.78 55.55 90.90 99.91 94.06P 0.00 0.00 Burton_Albion 30 58 +14 12.16 93.37 6.91 82.76 5.51 18.32 19.85 68.27 98.94 76.02P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 30 56 +18 10.11 89.54 10.81 80.06 5.44 21.31 10.62 51.40 97.27 63.06P 0.00 0.00 Southend 30 54 +9 6.71 80.12 -0.10 79.60 5.47 14.37 7.99 44.85 96.11 59.76P 0.00 0.00 Luton 29 52 +13 8.06 83.98 6.63 77.75 5.79 16.75 5.45 34.17 91.93 49.16P 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 30 47 +1 8.79 86.25 5.04 67.73 5.38 -0.65 0.06 1.48 34.45 7.06P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 30 46 +13 2.70 63.38 9.18 69.16 5.46 15.02 0.14 2.97 50.23 14.58P 0.00R 0.00 Bury 30 46 +6 0.67 53.48 -0.37 70.19 5.56 9.46 0.28 4.31 55.38 17.52P 0.00R 0.00 Exeter 31 43 -2 0.79 54.28 -1.60 62.93 5.29 -2.94 0.00 0.13 10.52 2.49P 0.06R 0.00 Stevenage 30 42 +1 -2.58 38.25 -4.36 66.03 5.65 4.20 0.04 1.04 26.64 7.90P 0.01R 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 29 41 +2 3.00 65.34 4.48 62.67 5.63 -0.36 0.00 0.21 11.31 2.37P 0.17R 0.02 Morecambe 30 41 +2 1.34 57.20 3.50 61.70 5.40 0.59 0.00 0.11 7.82 1.67P 0.16R 0.02 Northampton 30 40 +6 -1.56 43.00 5.25 61.41 5.46 5.21 0.00 0.08 8.16 1.85P 0.24R 0.03 Cambridge_Utd 29 37 +8 -1.32 44.16 9.88 59.88 5.77 7.56 0.00 0.06 6.02 1.30P 0.70R 0.11 Accrington_Stanley 29 36 -12 1.23 56.92 -4.22 56.71 5.67 -15.92 0.00 0.01 1.32 0.22P 3.62R 0.73 Portsmouth 29 34 -4 -5.00 26.30 -3.31 57.16 5.73 -4.10 0.00 0.01 2.02 0.49P 2.55R 0.45 Oxford_Utd 30 34 -5 -5.73 23.95 -3.56 55.19 5.40 -5.88 0.00 0.00 0.71 0.18P 4.16R 0.90 Dag_&_Red 30 34 -7 -3.51 33.60 -2.09 53.47 5.38 -10.40 0.00 0.00 0.28 0.05P 7.76R 1.82 Carlisle 30 33 -14 -4.95 28.06 -8.89 53.50 5.53 -16.34 0.00 0.00 0.27 0.05P 9.34R 2.52 Tranmere 29 31 -5 -10.95 8.44 -8.49 54.06 5.73 -4.94 0.00 0.00 0.59 0.17P 7.42R 1.74 Mansfield 29 31 -13 -1.55 43.05 -3.11 50.75 5.51 -17.67 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.01P 20.14R 6.08 Cheltenham 30 30 -19 -4.00 30.70 -8.84 47.88 5.31 -24.80 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 40.66R 13.75 York 30 29 -8 -8.89 12.68 -4.33 50.40 5.41 -8.49 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 19.78R 6.11 Hartlepool 30 24 -27 -8.11 14.65 -14.21 41.62 5.25 -33.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 83.23R 65.72Conference (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 10 February 2015, Alfreton_Town 2 2 Forest_Green; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Barnet 33 68 +38 6.89 79.52 12.61 91.81 4.86 47.30 79.61 99.76 85.64P 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 33 63 +18 11.64 91.21 8.74 82.89 4.79 21.27 5.84 87.47 21.28P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 33 61 +18 1.69 57.34 -2.60 84.24 4.74 26.20 9.34 92.57 36.98P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 33 57 +14 4.55 69.80 2.79 77.56 4.91 18.24 0.90 53.75 11.61P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 32 56 +23 0.11 50.41 4.90 80.48 5.03 30.87 3.49 78.58 26.13P 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 31 51 +14 5.05 71.98 8.99 70.32 5.49 11.83 0.07 11.73 1.99P 0.00 0.00 Woking 33 49 +14 0.42 51.92 8.78 68.20 5.05 16.03 0.00 5.10 0.95P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 32 49 +5 0.14 50.68 -2.78 69.72 5.22 7.30 0.02 7.68 1.56P 0.00 0.00 Halifax 29 48 +12 1.40 56.86 1.29 74.01 5.82 16.02 0.50 29.39 6.69P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 33 48 -3 4.43 69.92 0.17 65.81 4.97 -3.23 0.00 1.23 0.17P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 29 47 +9 1.70 58.39 0.37 72.88 5.72 12.88 0.22 22.85 4.80P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 31 46 +11 1.94 59.10 8.89 67.05 5.43 11.81 0.00 4.06 0.72P 0.00 0.00 Chester 33 46 -8 8.65 85.08 4.77 60.89 4.73 -12.77 0.00 0.06 0.01P 0.00 0.00 Altrincham 33 45 -10 7.59 81.42 2.60 59.05 4.75 -16.06 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.02R 0.00 Torquay 32 43 +7 -9.18 14.32 -5.89 68.28 5.10 16.51 0.00 4.89 1.30P 0.00 0.00 Braintree_Town 30 39 +1 -3.72 32.61 -1.56 61.04 5.39 1.48 0.00 0.23 0.04P 0.02R 0.00 Wrexham 29 38 -5 -2.06 40.09 -5.81 62.45 5.77 -3.16 0.00 0.64 0.14P 0.03R 0.00 Aldershot 32 33 -12 -9.89 11.71 -10.75 52.08 4.99 -12.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.25R 0.03 Welling 33 33 -15 -5.27 26.62 -4.16 48.04 4.74 -19.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.83R 0.28 Southport 31 31 -20 -1.59 43.01 -3.96 47.37 5.04 -26.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 15.93R 0.87 Alfreton_Town 32 31 -28 -1.94 41.74 -8.51 46.66 4.98 -34.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 21.25R 1.34 Dartford 31 24 -25 -6.11 21.38 -5.01 39.93 5.09 -32.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 71.55R 15.66 AFC_Telford 31 23 -22 -7.63 17.44 -0.19 37.64 5.09 -32.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 83.86R 26.77 Nuneaton 33 23 -36 -7.97 15.10 -13.69 35.18 4.46 -44.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 95.27R 55.07