Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 12 February 2015 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 11 February 2015, Chelsea 1 0 Everton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Chelsea          25   59  +34       6.78    84.76     5.27    87.20     4.38    50.55    85.70    99.20    99.89    99.98   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         25   52  +26       0.00    48.65    -3.07    80.39     4.35    44.14    13.79    89.48    97.43    99.28    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          25   47  +19       0.04    49.64    -0.45    69.67     4.78    26.27     0.23     4.70    36.40    63.18    93.51     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      25   46  +21       5.78    78.77    12.48    66.94     4.73    25.34     0.05     1.53    16.04    39.39    84.62     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          25   45  +19      -0.67    45.59     1.12    69.83     4.78    29.78     0.21     4.46    39.71    66.51    94.18     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        25   43   +5       4.94    75.22    -0.00    63.60     4.88     9.00     0.01     0.32     4.86    14.52    56.59     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        25   42   +7      -2.62    35.45    -8.78    63.80     4.76    13.27     0.00     0.31     5.54    16.33    60.49     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         25   38   +8       3.85    70.91     8.60    56.03     4.77     7.82     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.75     8.75     0.00     0.00  
Swansea          25   34   -5       1.64    59.80    -1.23    50.29     4.83    -7.53     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.86     0.02R    0.00  
Stoke            25   33   -5       2.80    66.69     1.53    49.82     4.77    -6.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.61     0.03R    0.00  
Newcastle        25   32   -6       2.12    62.70     1.90    47.35     4.74   -10.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.21R    0.01  
Everton          25   27   -4      -9.74     8.50    -7.08    47.89     4.86     0.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.22     0.19R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   25   27   -8       0.16    52.04     3.43    39.71     4.41   -16.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.32R    0.57  
West_Brom        25   26  -10      -3.45    31.52    -2.11    40.19     4.53   -16.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.73R    0.72  
Sunderland       25   24  -14      -2.92    34.32    -2.53    38.14     4.49   -20.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.70R    2.10  
Hull             25   23  -11      -2.92    33.70     1.97    36.55     4.53   -17.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.73R    4.62  
QPR              25   22  -17      -2.12    38.73    -0.07    33.60     4.42   -27.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.00R   16.02  
Aston_Villa      25   22  -22      -1.60    41.80    -5.83    35.16     4.43   -29.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.97R    9.40  
Burnley          25   21  -19      -3.50    31.13    -2.56    31.92     4.32   -30.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.89R   28.73  
Leicester        25   17  -18      -8.01    11.46    -2.59    30.67     4.61   -24.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.18R   37.82  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 11 February 2015, Nott'm_Forest 3 0 Wigan; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Middlesbrough   30   59  +28       7.37    81.94    12.70    85.27     5.45    34.22    21.99    45.53    97.30    59.98P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     30   58  +33       7.25    80.98    18.31    85.60     5.57    41.82    25.69    51.86    97.46    63.64P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           30   58  +30       3.29    65.39     9.19    87.76     5.43    41.98    41.29    67.35    98.96    77.66P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         30   54  +18       6.98    80.26     9.39    78.52     5.57    21.78     2.65     9.03    75.65    22.84P    0.00     0.00  
Watford         30   53  +25       0.99    54.43     8.15    80.04     5.61    32.85     5.46    15.74    85.32    34.59P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       30   52   +7      11.08    90.63     7.67    74.82     5.59     8.20     0.61     2.48    48.14     9.36P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich         30   50  +21      -2.67    36.71     3.35    77.49     5.66    29.26     2.25     7.66    72.19    26.96P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   30   48   +0       4.54    70.92    -3.35    69.90     5.51    -0.03     0.06     0.32    16.75     3.38P    0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       30   42   +0       0.12    50.93    -0.76    65.45     5.58     2.18     0.00     0.02     5.04     0.95P    0.03R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   30   40   +1      -2.04    40.51     0.11    62.14     5.58     1.11     0.00     0.00     1.67     0.36P    0.15R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed       30   39   -5       1.34    57.66    -0.77    58.98     5.31    -7.70     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.05P    0.76R    0.00  
Birmingham      30   38   -9       1.65    58.80    -1.68    56.93     5.27   -13.95     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P    2.20R    0.02  
Bolton          30   37   -7      -2.67    37.44    -4.45    57.73     5.45    -9.06     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.04P    1.73R    0.02  
Reading         30   37  -10      -3.80    32.36    -9.24    59.00     5.59   -10.24     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.05P    1.18R    0.01  
Huddersfield    30   37  -12       2.05    61.05    -1.37    55.67     5.47   -17.38     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    4.37R    0.06  
Cardiff         30   36   -6      -3.73    33.01    -3.63    59.18     5.64    -4.20     0.00     0.00     0.42     0.09P    1.02R    0.01  
Leeds_United    30   35   -8      -1.83    41.67    -1.15    55.07     5.43   -10.65     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    5.18R    0.09  
Fulham          30   35  -10      -6.12    23.50    -9.11    56.66     5.69   -10.97     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P    3.62R    0.05  
Rotherham       30   33   -9       0.11    51.47     3.68    49.98     5.28   -16.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.42R    0.71  
Charlton        30   33  -13      -0.42    48.84    -1.97    52.17     5.39   -16.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.16R    0.37  
Brighton        30   30   -7     -11.88     6.48    -8.30    51.76     5.45    -6.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   13.83R    0.37  
Millwall        30   30  -19      -0.79    46.91    -3.10    45.75     5.11   -28.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.69R    3.97  
Wigan           30   22  -15     -17.22     1.31   -12.42    43.00     5.45   -16.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.04R   11.51  
Blackpool       30   20  -33      -7.06    16.71   -11.27    34.83     5.00   -44.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.62R   82.81  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 10 February 2015, Barnsley 1 2 Fleetwood_Town; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Bristol_City     28   61  +30      10.81    91.74    12.17    93.28     5.97    41.56    61.59    85.31    99.99    89.81P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          29   57  +26       5.40    74.78     8.31    87.31     5.73    36.52    18.36    50.12    99.82    66.19P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          29   56  +33       3.28    65.17    13.20    86.83     5.81    44.40    16.72    49.70    99.71    67.04P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          29   53  +16       3.82    67.82     2.29    81.52     5.79    23.66     3.26    14.12    97.40    39.07P    0.00     0.00  
Oldham           29   43   +1       5.20    74.42     3.85    65.09     5.71    -0.74     0.00     0.01    18.49     2.59P    0.42R    0.01  
Sheff_Utd        27   42   +5       1.51    57.95    -0.19    71.85     6.16    10.55     0.06     0.58    62.50    14.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Chesterfield     29   42   +4       2.21    60.65     4.01    65.58     5.93     4.32     0.00     0.04    23.17     3.90P    0.42R    0.00  
Bradford         28   41   +4       2.77    64.22     4.09    65.15     5.95     3.43     0.00     0.04    21.07     3.45P    0.43R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town   30   41   +0       5.35    74.80     7.42    60.81     5.52    -2.68     0.00     0.00     5.51     0.76P    2.29R    0.03  
Walsall          29   40   +1      -0.59    47.55    -0.61    62.96     5.67     0.76     0.00     0.00    10.85     2.08P    0.92R    0.01  
Doncaster        28   39   +0      -1.04    45.53    -2.61    64.38     6.09     1.16     0.00     0.04    17.04     3.31P    0.89R    0.02  
Rochdale         27   38  +11      -0.13    49.80     9.79    64.18     6.40    10.80     0.00     0.05    20.03     3.42P    1.14R    0.02  
Peterborough     29   38   -1      -6.06    22.89    -7.33    62.30     5.80     0.43     0.00     0.00    10.01     2.07P    1.59R    0.03  
Notts_County     29   38   -4       0.09    51.10    -1.27    60.45     5.77    -5.19     0.00     0.00     5.03     0.80P    3.43R    0.11  
Gillingham       30   38   -5       1.37    57.12     2.20    56.83     5.49   -10.11     0.00     0.00     1.16     0.14P   10.23R    0.46  
Port_Vale        30   36   -8      -0.03    50.78     0.09    55.04     5.47   -12.51     0.00     0.00     0.52     0.06P   17.69R    1.18  
Barnsley         29   35   -5      -5.11    27.23    -5.35    59.05     5.97    -3.96     0.00     0.00     3.97     0.72P    6.13R    0.25  
Crewe            29   35  -22       5.88    78.34    -4.97    51.24     5.38   -33.28     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P   44.59R    5.37  
Scunthorpe       27   34   -5       0.38    52.43     0.73    57.96     6.27    -8.48     0.00     0.00     3.20     0.45P    9.87R    0.67  
Coventry         30   32  -11      -6.10    23.00    -6.28    52.62     5.52   -13.03     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.03P   30.94R    3.01  
Colchester       29   28  -15      -5.09    26.51    -4.60    47.31     5.64   -21.34     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   68.57R   18.01  
Yeovil           30   28  -19      -7.05    19.23   -10.58    46.05     5.36   -24.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.89R   23.11  
Crawley_Town     30   27  -27      -3.96    31.12   -11.76    43.97     5.30   -34.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.56R   42.64  
Leyton_Orient    28   26   -9     -14.85     2.88   -12.59    51.86     6.05    -7.40     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.06P   34.97R    5.06  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 10 February 2015, Accrington_Stanley 1 0 Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Shrewsbury           30   58  +23       4.92    72.77     5.81    86.78     5.41    32.78    55.55    90.90    99.91    94.06P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        30   58  +14      12.16    93.37     6.91    82.76     5.51    18.32    19.85    68.27    98.94    76.02P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              30   56  +18      10.11    89.54    10.81    80.06     5.44    21.31    10.62    51.40    97.27    63.06P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             30   54   +9       6.71    80.12    -0.10    79.60     5.47    14.37     7.99    44.85    96.11    59.76P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                29   52  +13       8.06    83.98     6.63    77.75     5.79    16.75     5.45    34.17    91.93    49.16P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       30   47   +1       8.79    86.25     5.04    67.73     5.38    -0.65     0.06     1.48    34.45     7.06P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             30   46  +13       2.70    63.38     9.18    69.16     5.46    15.02     0.14     2.97    50.23    14.58P    0.00R    0.00  
Bury                 30   46   +6       0.67    53.48    -0.37    70.19     5.56     9.46     0.28     4.31    55.38    17.52P    0.00R    0.00  
Exeter               31   43   -2       0.79    54.28    -1.60    62.93     5.29    -2.94     0.00     0.13    10.52     2.49P    0.06R    0.00  
Stevenage            30   42   +1      -2.58    38.25    -4.36    66.03     5.65     4.20     0.04     1.04    26.64     7.90P    0.01R    0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        29   41   +2       3.00    65.34     4.48    62.67     5.63    -0.36     0.00     0.21    11.31     2.37P    0.17R    0.02  
Morecambe            30   41   +2       1.34    57.20     3.50    61.70     5.40     0.59     0.00     0.11     7.82     1.67P    0.16R    0.02  
Northampton          30   40   +6      -1.56    43.00     5.25    61.41     5.46     5.21     0.00     0.08     8.16     1.85P    0.24R    0.03  
Cambridge_Utd        29   37   +8      -1.32    44.16     9.88    59.88     5.77     7.56     0.00     0.06     6.02     1.30P    0.70R    0.11  
Accrington_Stanley   29   36  -12       1.23    56.92    -4.22    56.71     5.67   -15.92     0.00     0.01     1.32     0.22P    3.62R    0.73  
Portsmouth           29   34   -4      -5.00    26.30    -3.31    57.16     5.73    -4.10     0.00     0.01     2.02     0.49P    2.55R    0.45  
Oxford_Utd           30   34   -5      -5.73    23.95    -3.56    55.19     5.40    -5.88     0.00     0.00     0.71     0.18P    4.16R    0.90  
Dag_&_Red            30   34   -7      -3.51    33.60    -2.09    53.47     5.38   -10.40     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.05P    7.76R    1.82  
Carlisle             30   33  -14      -4.95    28.06    -8.89    53.50     5.53   -16.34     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.05P    9.34R    2.52  
Tranmere             29   31   -5     -10.95     8.44    -8.49    54.06     5.73    -4.94     0.00     0.00     0.59     0.17P    7.42R    1.74  
Mansfield            29   31  -13      -1.55    43.05    -3.11    50.75     5.51   -17.67     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   20.14R    6.08  
Cheltenham           30   30  -19      -4.00    30.70    -8.84    47.88     5.31   -24.80     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    40.66R   13.75  
York                 30   29   -8      -8.89    12.68    -4.33    50.40     5.41    -8.49     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   19.78R    6.11  
Hartlepool           30   24  -27      -8.11    14.65   -14.21    41.62     5.25   -33.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.23R   65.72  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 10 February 2015, Alfreton_Town 2 2 Forest_Green; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barnet           33   68  +38       6.89    79.52    12.61    91.81     4.86    47.30    79.61    99.76    85.64P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     33   63  +18      11.64    91.21     8.74    82.89     4.79    21.27     5.84    87.47    21.28P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   33   61  +18       1.69    57.34    -2.60    84.24     4.74    26.20     9.34    92.57    36.98P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     33   57  +14       4.55    69.80     2.79    77.56     4.91    18.24     0.90    53.75    11.61P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          32   56  +23       0.11    50.41     4.90    80.48     5.03    30.87     3.49    78.58    26.13P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        31   51  +14       5.05    71.98     8.99    70.32     5.49    11.83     0.07    11.73     1.99P    0.00     0.00  
Woking           33   49  +14       0.42    51.92     8.78    68.20     5.05    16.03     0.00     5.10     0.95P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster    32   49   +5       0.14    50.68    -2.78    69.72     5.22     7.30     0.02     7.68     1.56P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax          29   48  +12       1.40    56.86     1.29    74.01     5.82    16.02     0.50    29.39     6.69P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     33   48   -3       4.43    69.92     0.17    65.81     4.97    -3.23     0.00     1.23     0.17P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        29   47   +9       1.70    58.39     0.37    72.88     5.72    12.88     0.22    22.85     4.80P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   31   46  +11       1.94    59.10     8.89    67.05     5.43    11.81     0.00     4.06     0.72P    0.00     0.00  
Chester          33   46   -8       8.65    85.08     4.77    60.89     4.73   -12.77     0.00     0.06     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Altrincham       33   45  -10       7.59    81.42     2.60    59.05     4.75   -16.06     0.00     0.02     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Torquay          32   43   +7      -9.18    14.32    -5.89    68.28     5.10    16.51     0.00     4.89     1.30P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   30   39   +1      -3.72    32.61    -1.56    61.04     5.39     1.48     0.00     0.23     0.04P    0.02R    0.00  
Wrexham          29   38   -5      -2.06    40.09    -5.81    62.45     5.77    -3.16     0.00     0.64     0.14P    0.03R    0.00  
Aldershot        32   33  -12      -9.89    11.71   -10.75    52.08     4.99   -12.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.25R    0.03  
Welling          33   33  -15      -5.27    26.62    -4.16    48.04     4.74   -19.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.83R    0.28  
Southport        31   31  -20      -1.59    43.01    -3.96    47.37     5.04   -26.50     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.93R    0.87  
Alfreton_Town    32   31  -28      -1.94    41.74    -8.51    46.66     4.98   -34.21     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.25R    1.34  
Dartford         31   24  -25      -6.11    21.38    -5.01    39.93     5.09   -32.65     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.55R   15.66  
AFC_Telford      31   23  -22      -7.63    17.44    -0.19    37.64     5.09   -32.93     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.86R   26.77  
Nuneaton         33   23  -36      -7.97    15.10   -13.69    35.18     4.46   -44.72     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.27R   55.07