Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 8 February 2015 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 8 February 2015, Burnley 2 2 West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Chelsea          24   56  +33       5.94    82.00     5.23    86.46     4.59    51.05    86.70    98.89    99.83    99.97   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         24   49  +23      -0.40    46.32    -3.86    79.08     4.58    41.37    12.50    83.84    94.91    98.41    99.92     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      24   45  +21       6.34    81.63    12.68    67.88     4.95    26.18     0.14     3.79    23.07    47.67    87.99     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          24   44  +17      -0.53    46.29    -0.70    69.02     4.97    25.90     0.29     5.83    32.42    57.20    91.54     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        24   43   +6       5.83    79.50     0.14    64.59     5.06     9.36     0.02     1.02     7.91    20.31    64.90     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          24   42  +18      -1.44    41.30     1.56    69.38     4.93    30.77     0.33     6.24    37.25    62.47    92.88     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        24   39   +6      -3.75    29.38    -8.93    62.64     4.98    12.97     0.00     0.37     4.39    12.82    50.23     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         24   37   +8       4.05    72.16     8.40    55.77     4.97     6.90     0.00     0.01     0.19     0.95     8.62     0.00     0.00  
Swansea          24   34   -3       2.28    63.43    -0.39    51.98     5.05    -5.03     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.11     2.02     0.01R    0.00  
Stoke            24   33   -2       3.09    67.88     2.71    50.80     4.96    -4.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     1.20     0.03R    0.00  
Newcastle        24   31   -6       2.43    64.49     1.87    47.68     4.95   -10.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.27     0.18R    0.00  
Everton          24   27   -3      -9.12     9.55    -7.24    48.41     5.02     0.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.42     0.17R    0.01  
Crystal_Palace   24   26   -8       0.62    54.91     3.55    40.13     4.62   -16.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.71R    0.50  
Sunderland       24   24  -12      -1.93    39.76    -1.11    40.26     4.75   -16.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.97R    0.85  
West_Brom        24   23  -12      -4.56    25.53    -3.25    38.29     4.76   -18.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.17R    2.02  
Aston_Villa      24   22  -20      -0.90    45.77    -4.74    36.49     4.66   -27.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.70R    5.07  
Burnley          24   21  -17      -3.11    33.12    -2.51    32.31     4.44   -30.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.30R   21.86  
Hull             24   20  -13      -4.06    26.89     0.70    34.92     4.71   -19.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.51R    8.39  
QPR              24   19  -19      -3.29    31.33    -1.12    31.25     4.62   -30.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.85R   30.87  
Leicester        24   17  -17      -7.38    12.96    -3.00    31.11     4.72   -25.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.38R   30.43  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 February 2015, Brighton 2 3 Nott'm_Forest; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Bournemouth     29   57  +33       7.75    83.15    18.47    85.94     5.80    41.76    30.01    57.05    98.12    67.42P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           29   57  +30       3.76    68.02     9.34    87.89     5.66    41.60    43.38    69.93    99.12    79.26P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   29   56  +27       6.45    78.91    12.73    84.21     5.65    34.01    17.92    41.44    96.38    56.62P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       29   52   +8      12.13    93.06     8.10    76.21     5.80     9.16     1.41     5.37    63.44    14.37P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         29   51  +17       5.84    76.56     9.11    77.27     5.76    21.36     1.95     7.61    71.99    21.57P    0.00     0.00  
Watford         29   50  +24      -0.23    48.62     7.78    78.41     5.81    31.80     3.68    12.14    80.03    30.86P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich         29   47  +20      -3.73    32.09     3.26    76.18     5.85    28.66     1.64     6.26    68.16    25.57P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   29   45   -3       4.20    69.81    -4.53    67.59     5.70    -4.00     0.01     0.17    11.60     2.21P    0.00R    0.00  
Blackburn       29   39   -1      -0.88    45.88    -0.83    64.36     5.77     2.00     0.00     0.02     4.89     0.96P    0.08R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed       29   39   -4       2.03    61.02    -0.73    60.08     5.48    -7.06     0.00     0.00     0.89     0.19P    0.57R    0.01  
Birmingham      29   38   -8       2.69    63.78    -1.17    59.11     5.54   -11.79     0.00     0.00     0.57     0.07P    1.02R    0.01  
Nott'm_Forest   29   37   -2      -2.40    38.83    -0.96    60.25     5.77    -2.31     0.00     0.00     1.25     0.21P    0.71R    0.01  
Reading         29   37   -8      -2.95    35.84    -8.11    61.18     5.82    -7.02     0.00     0.00     1.50     0.30P    0.57R    0.00  
Huddersfield    29   37   -9       2.58    63.73     0.13    57.40     5.71   -13.72     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.04P    2.42R    0.03  
Cardiff         29   35   -6      -3.46    34.09    -3.72    59.89     5.87    -3.73     0.00     0.00     0.99     0.20P    1.01R    0.01  
Fulham          29   35   -8      -5.49    25.42    -8.37    58.26     5.86    -8.58     0.00     0.00     0.50     0.09P    2.09R    0.05  
Bolton          29   34   -9      -3.77    32.46    -5.69    56.01     5.68   -11.17     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P    3.93R    0.10  
Rotherham       29   33   -8       1.14    56.80     4.11    50.76     5.47   -16.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   19.89R    0.68  
Charlton        29   33  -12       0.47    53.31    -1.82    53.13     5.54   -16.27     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00    10.35R    0.34  
Leeds_United    29   32  -10      -2.92    36.10    -2.27    52.73     5.62   -13.72     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   12.00R    0.41  
Brighton        29   29   -7     -11.80     6.38    -8.56    51.99     5.66    -7.16     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   13.18R    0.46  
Millwall        29   27  -20      -2.38    38.45    -3.85    43.44     5.28   -30.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.93R   11.01  
Wigan           29   22  -12     -17.00     1.24   -11.05    44.60     5.63   -12.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.39R    9.01  
Blackpool       29   20  -32      -6.43    18.70   -11.36    35.69     5.13   -44.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.84R   77.86  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 February 2015, Colchester 2 3 Crewe; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Bristol_City     27   58  +28      10.08    90.89    11.66    92.03     6.18    40.08    44.72    74.47    99.97    82.50P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          28   57  +27       6.70    80.13     9.20    89.48     5.93    38.71    27.63    58.66    99.92    72.61P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          28   56  +34       4.58    71.66    14.09    88.97     5.96    46.53    25.86    58.85    99.90    73.33P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          28   50  +14       3.19    65.51     1.74    79.79     6.00    21.47     1.75     7.58    95.34    33.36P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield     28   42   +6       2.41    61.88     4.37    67.26     6.14     6.83     0.01     0.08    35.93     6.32P    0.23R    0.00  
Oldham           28   40   +0       3.46    67.39     2.75    62.68     5.94    -2.92     0.00     0.01    11.91     1.60P    1.68R    0.04  
Sheff_Utd        26   39   +2       0.99    55.37    -1.64    70.04     6.38     7.32     0.02     0.24    52.66    11.57P    0.10R    0.00  
Rochdale         26   38  +12       0.99    55.16    10.35    65.78     6.61    12.17     0.01     0.09    30.28     5.28P    0.71R    0.01  
Bradford         27   38   +3       1.29    56.96     3.28    62.82     6.11     1.40     0.00     0.02    13.70     2.19P    1.63R    0.04  
Peterborough     28   38   +0      -4.94    26.99    -6.62    64.35     6.04     2.46     0.00     0.01    19.59     4.25P    0.84R    0.02  
Fleetwood_Town   29   38   -1       4.06    70.15     6.86    58.64     5.70    -4.40     0.00     0.00     3.47     0.47P    6.36R    0.31  
Walsall          28   37   +0      -1.86    40.81    -1.13    61.02     5.86    -0.61     0.00     0.00     7.85     1.48P    2.87R    0.12  
Doncaster        27   36   -5      -0.43    48.33    -4.55    61.70     6.23    -5.29     0.00     0.00     9.62     1.73P    3.36R    0.16  
Port_Vale        29   36   -6       0.46    53.27     0.66    56.05     5.68   -11.11     0.00     0.00     1.22     0.17P   14.87R    1.18  
Barnsley         28   35   -4      -3.98    31.36    -4.72    60.87     6.17    -2.27     0.00     0.00     8.58     1.56P    3.92R    0.22  
Notts_County     28   35   -5      -1.18    44.49    -1.73    58.36     5.95    -6.92     0.00     0.00     3.26     0.47P    8.32R    0.49  
Gillingham       29   35   -6      -0.16    50.08     1.31    54.56     5.70   -12.18     0.00     0.00     0.75     0.09P   21.63R    2.26  
Scunthorpe       26   33   -5       0.83    54.93     0.76    58.23     6.51    -8.64     0.00     0.00     4.59     0.75P   10.80R    0.98  
Crewe            28   32  -23       4.39    72.88    -5.65    49.42     5.58   -34.63     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P   59.70R   14.97  
Coventry         29   31  -11      -5.69    24.37    -6.22    53.13     5.78   -12.86     0.00     0.00     0.39     0.05P   30.09R    4.02  
Colchester       28   28  -12      -4.75    27.75    -3.33    48.70     5.86   -18.18     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   60.21R   16.20  
Yeovil           29   28  -18      -5.91    22.98    -9.89    47.84     5.67   -22.91     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   67.43R   20.36  
Crawley_Town     29   27  -22      -4.22    29.51    -9.41    45.84     5.54   -28.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.17R   34.61  
Leyton_Orient    27   26   -8     -13.91     3.71   -12.16    53.75     6.28    -5.58     0.00     0.00     0.95     0.20P   26.10R    3.99  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 February 2015, AFC_Wimbledon 2 0 Newport_County; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Burton_Albion        29   57  +14      12.75    94.74     7.20    83.79     5.68    19.27    25.91    72.44    99.15    79.21P    0.00     0.00  
Wycombe              29   56  +20      11.03    91.83    12.20    82.04     5.68    24.19    19.04    63.39    98.51    72.52P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           29   55  +22       3.86    68.65     5.65    85.34     5.67    32.03    41.44    83.67    99.70    89.44P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                28   51  +13       8.79    86.86     7.10    78.54     5.97    17.34     7.38    37.29    93.11    51.25P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             29   51   +7       6.06    78.13    -0.77    78.32     5.66    12.89     5.68    33.57    93.03    50.81P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       29   46   +1       9.13    87.58     5.03    68.20     5.60    -0.51     0.09     1.89    37.67     8.06P    0.00R    0.00  
Bury                 29   45   +6       0.98    55.06    -0.47    70.28     5.71     9.07     0.31     4.17    55.37    17.29P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             29   43  +11       1.29    56.78     7.54    66.88     5.62    12.20     0.05     1.26    33.66     8.92P    0.01R    0.00  
Exeter               30   42   -2       1.21    56.27    -1.54    63.67     5.51    -2.36     0.01     0.24    14.01     3.12P    0.11R    0.01  
Stevenage            29   41   +1      -2.28    39.11    -4.42    66.86     5.87     4.83     0.06     1.35    32.39     9.65P    0.01R    0.00  
Northampton          29   40   +7      -0.37    48.60     6.01    62.95     5.67     6.44     0.01     0.29    13.16     3.02P    0.17R    0.02  
AFC_Wimbledon        28   40   +2       3.12    65.66     4.27    62.43     5.82    -1.33     0.01     0.27    11.03     2.33P    0.27R    0.03  
Morecambe            29   38   +1       0.02    50.49     2.94    60.44     5.59     0.15     0.00     0.07     5.78     1.33P    0.44R    0.03  
Cambridge_Utd        28   36   +8      -0.91    45.95     9.96    59.81     5.96     6.91     0.00     0.07     6.41     1.46P    0.91R    0.10  
Oxford_Utd           29   34   -4      -4.81    27.37    -3.10    56.62     5.61    -4.84     0.00     0.00     1.55     0.36P    2.84R    0.40  
Portsmouth           28   33   -4      -4.79    27.37    -3.54    57.33     5.94    -4.38     0.00     0.02     2.52     0.60P    2.88R    0.37  
Dag_&_Red            29   33   -7      -3.00    35.68    -1.78    54.04     5.61   -10.15     0.00     0.00     0.45     0.10P    7.48R    1.31  
Carlisle             29   33  -13      -4.23    30.69    -8.90    54.75     5.73   -15.53     0.00     0.00     0.68     0.13P    7.22R    1.36  
Accrington_Stanley   28   33  -13       0.05    51.05    -4.42    55.01     5.83   -17.10     0.00     0.01     0.73     0.13P    7.25R    1.28  
Mansfield            28   31  -12      -0.54    47.93    -2.58    51.75     5.70   -17.13     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.04P   16.96R    3.71  
Tranmere             28   30   -5     -10.70     8.42    -8.64    54.33     5.96    -5.13     0.00     0.00     0.82     0.22P    7.76R    1.32  
Cheltenham           29   30  -17      -3.64    32.31    -8.29    48.90     5.53   -23.36     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   34.26R    8.44  
York                 29   28   -8      -8.82    12.36    -4.76    50.30     5.59    -9.05     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P   21.57R    5.42  
Hartlepool           29   21  -28      -9.50     9.64   -14.69    39.78     5.50   -34.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.84R   76.21  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 February 2015, Alfreton_Town 4 2 Southport; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barnet           33   68  +38       6.79    79.03    12.40    91.90     4.92    47.43    80.03    99.77    86.15P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   33   61  +18       1.40    56.12    -3.06    84.42     4.76    26.43     9.56    92.91    37.98P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     32   60  +17      10.57    89.15     8.57    81.93     4.97    21.22     4.48    83.08    19.35P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          32   56  +23      -0.01    49.58     4.74    80.53     5.06    30.96     3.68    78.92    25.45P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     32   56  +14       4.86    71.63     2.69    78.49     5.12    19.07     1.48    61.47    13.73P    0.00     0.00  
Woking           33   49  +14       0.46    52.42     8.84    68.20     5.01    15.97     0.00     5.07     0.89P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster    32   49   +5       0.22    51.24    -2.61    69.74     5.23     7.30     0.02     7.75     1.58P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        30   48  +13       3.69    66.66     8.40    68.85     5.70    10.99     0.03     8.17     1.32P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax          29   48  +12       1.53    57.40     1.45    73.97     5.79    15.98     0.47    29.10     6.34P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     33   48   -3       4.38    69.80     0.07    65.88     5.02    -3.14     0.00     1.35     0.18P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        29   47   +9       1.75    58.55     0.52    72.76     5.71    12.69     0.24    22.15     4.73P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   31   46  +11       2.01    59.35     9.02    66.99     5.49    11.73     0.01     4.32     0.81P    0.00     0.00  
Chester          33   46   -8       8.53    84.86     4.57    60.94     4.77   -12.68     0.00     0.12     0.01P    0.00R    0.00  
Altrincham       32   45   -9       8.29    83.65     2.55    59.77     4.94   -16.03     0.00     0.08     0.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Torquay          32   43   +7      -8.99    15.18    -5.57    68.25     5.11    16.47     0.00     4.92     1.33P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   30   39   +1      -3.88    31.61    -1.76    61.05     5.36     1.53     0.00     0.27     0.04P    0.02R    0.00  
Wrexham          29   38   -5      -1.96    40.83    -5.63    62.31     5.76    -3.33     0.00     0.57     0.09P    0.03R    0.00  
Aldershot        32   33  -12      -9.71    12.03   -10.53    51.98     4.98   -12.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.57R    0.04  
Welling          33   33  -15      -5.19    26.86    -4.07    48.05     4.74   -19.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.97R    0.30  
Southport        30   31  -19      -0.56    48.16    -3.46    48.75     5.29   -25.54     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.49R    0.58  
Alfreton_Town    31   30  -28      -1.49    43.56    -8.48    46.51     5.19   -35.07     0.00     0.00     0.00    23.40R    1.55  
Dartford         31   24  -25      -6.13    21.57    -4.93    39.89     5.09   -32.70     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.54R   15.71  
AFC_Telford      31   23  -22      -7.61    17.68    -0.18    37.65     5.09   -32.89     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.45R   26.67  
Nuneaton         33   23  -36      -7.86    15.55   -13.57    35.13     4.46   -44.78     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.51R   55.15