Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Sunday 8 February 2015 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 8 February 2015, Burnley 2 2 West_Brom; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 24 56 +33 5.94 82.00 5.23 86.46 4.59 51.05 86.70 98.89 99.83 99.97 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 24 49 +23 -0.40 46.32 -3.86 79.08 4.58 41.37 12.50 83.84 94.91 98.41 99.92 0.00 0.00 Southampton 24 45 +21 6.34 81.63 12.68 67.88 4.95 26.18 0.14 3.79 23.07 47.67 87.99 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 24 44 +17 -0.53 46.29 -0.70 69.02 4.97 25.90 0.29 5.83 32.42 57.20 91.54 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 24 43 +6 5.83 79.50 0.14 64.59 5.06 9.36 0.02 1.02 7.91 20.31 64.90 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 24 42 +18 -1.44 41.30 1.56 69.38 4.93 30.77 0.33 6.24 37.25 62.47 92.88 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 24 39 +6 -3.75 29.38 -8.93 62.64 4.98 12.97 0.00 0.37 4.39 12.82 50.23 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 24 37 +8 4.05 72.16 8.40 55.77 4.97 6.90 0.00 0.01 0.19 0.95 8.62 0.00 0.00 Swansea 24 34 -3 2.28 63.43 -0.39 51.98 5.05 -5.03 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.11 2.02 0.01R 0.00 Stoke 24 33 -2 3.09 67.88 2.71 50.80 4.96 -4.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 1.20 0.03R 0.00 Newcastle 24 31 -6 2.43 64.49 1.87 47.68 4.95 -10.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.27 0.18R 0.00 Everton 24 27 -3 -9.12 9.55 -7.24 48.41 5.02 0.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.42 0.17R 0.01 Crystal_Palace 24 26 -8 0.62 54.91 3.55 40.13 4.62 -16.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.71R 0.50 Sunderland 24 24 -12 -1.93 39.76 -1.11 40.26 4.75 -16.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.97R 0.85 West_Brom 24 23 -12 -4.56 25.53 -3.25 38.29 4.76 -18.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 15.17R 2.02 Aston_Villa 24 22 -20 -0.90 45.77 -4.74 36.49 4.66 -27.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 28.70R 5.07 Burnley 24 21 -17 -3.11 33.12 -2.51 32.31 4.44 -30.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 64.30R 21.86 Hull 24 20 -13 -4.06 26.89 0.70 34.92 4.71 -19.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 36.51R 8.39 QPR 24 19 -19 -3.29 31.33 -1.12 31.25 4.62 -30.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 70.85R 30.87 Leicester 24 17 -17 -7.38 12.96 -3.00 31.11 4.72 -25.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 69.38R 30.43Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 February 2015, Brighton 2 3 Nott'm_Forest; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Bournemouth 29 57 +33 7.75 83.15 18.47 85.94 5.80 41.76 30.01 57.05 98.12 67.42P 0.00 0.00 Derby 29 57 +30 3.76 68.02 9.34 87.89 5.66 41.60 43.38 69.93 99.12 79.26P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 29 56 +27 6.45 78.91 12.73 84.21 5.65 34.01 17.92 41.44 96.38 56.62P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 29 52 +8 12.13 93.06 8.10 76.21 5.80 9.16 1.41 5.37 63.44 14.37P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 29 51 +17 5.84 76.56 9.11 77.27 5.76 21.36 1.95 7.61 71.99 21.57P 0.00 0.00 Watford 29 50 +24 -0.23 48.62 7.78 78.41 5.81 31.80 3.68 12.14 80.03 30.86P 0.00 0.00 Norwich 29 47 +20 -3.73 32.09 3.26 76.18 5.85 28.66 1.64 6.26 68.16 25.57P 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 29 45 -3 4.20 69.81 -4.53 67.59 5.70 -4.00 0.01 0.17 11.60 2.21P 0.00R 0.00 Blackburn 29 39 -1 -0.88 45.88 -0.83 64.36 5.77 2.00 0.00 0.02 4.89 0.96P 0.08R 0.00 Sheff_Wed 29 39 -4 2.03 61.02 -0.73 60.08 5.48 -7.06 0.00 0.00 0.89 0.19P 0.57R 0.01 Birmingham 29 38 -8 2.69 63.78 -1.17 59.11 5.54 -11.79 0.00 0.00 0.57 0.07P 1.02R 0.01 Nott'm_Forest 29 37 -2 -2.40 38.83 -0.96 60.25 5.77 -2.31 0.00 0.00 1.25 0.21P 0.71R 0.01 Reading 29 37 -8 -2.95 35.84 -8.11 61.18 5.82 -7.02 0.00 0.00 1.50 0.30P 0.57R 0.00 Huddersfield 29 37 -9 2.58 63.73 0.13 57.40 5.71 -13.72 0.00 0.00 0.32 0.04P 2.42R 0.03 Cardiff 29 35 -6 -3.46 34.09 -3.72 59.89 5.87 -3.73 0.00 0.00 0.99 0.20P 1.01R 0.01 Fulham 29 35 -8 -5.49 25.42 -8.37 58.26 5.86 -8.58 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.09P 2.09R 0.05 Bolton 29 34 -9 -3.77 32.46 -5.69 56.01 5.68 -11.17 0.00 0.00 0.17 0.03P 3.93R 0.10 Rotherham 29 33 -8 1.14 56.80 4.11 50.76 5.47 -16.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 19.89R 0.68 Charlton 29 33 -12 0.47 53.31 -1.82 53.13 5.54 -16.27 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00 10.35R 0.34 Leeds_United 29 32 -10 -2.92 36.10 -2.27 52.73 5.62 -13.72 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 12.00R 0.41 Brighton 29 29 -7 -11.80 6.38 -8.56 51.99 5.66 -7.16 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.01P 13.18R 0.46 Millwall 29 27 -20 -2.38 38.45 -3.85 43.44 5.28 -30.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 73.93R 11.01 Wigan 29 22 -12 -17.00 1.24 -11.05 44.60 5.63 -12.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 60.39R 9.01 Blackpool 29 20 -32 -6.43 18.70 -11.36 35.69 5.13 -44.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 97.84R 77.86League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 February 2015, Colchester 2 3 Crewe; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Bristol_City 27 58 +28 10.08 90.89 11.66 92.03 6.18 40.08 44.72 74.47 99.97 82.50P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 28 57 +27 6.70 80.13 9.20 89.48 5.93 38.71 27.63 58.66 99.92 72.61P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 28 56 +34 4.58 71.66 14.09 88.97 5.96 46.53 25.86 58.85 99.90 73.33P 0.00 0.00 Preston 28 50 +14 3.19 65.51 1.74 79.79 6.00 21.47 1.75 7.58 95.34 33.36P 0.00 0.00 Chesterfield 28 42 +6 2.41 61.88 4.37 67.26 6.14 6.83 0.01 0.08 35.93 6.32P 0.23R 0.00 Oldham 28 40 +0 3.46 67.39 2.75 62.68 5.94 -2.92 0.00 0.01 11.91 1.60P 1.68R 0.04 Sheff_Utd 26 39 +2 0.99 55.37 -1.64 70.04 6.38 7.32 0.02 0.24 52.66 11.57P 0.10R 0.00 Rochdale 26 38 +12 0.99 55.16 10.35 65.78 6.61 12.17 0.01 0.09 30.28 5.28P 0.71R 0.01 Bradford 27 38 +3 1.29 56.96 3.28 62.82 6.11 1.40 0.00 0.02 13.70 2.19P 1.63R 0.04 Peterborough 28 38 +0 -4.94 26.99 -6.62 64.35 6.04 2.46 0.00 0.01 19.59 4.25P 0.84R 0.02 Fleetwood_Town 29 38 -1 4.06 70.15 6.86 58.64 5.70 -4.40 0.00 0.00 3.47 0.47P 6.36R 0.31 Walsall 28 37 +0 -1.86 40.81 -1.13 61.02 5.86 -0.61 0.00 0.00 7.85 1.48P 2.87R 0.12 Doncaster 27 36 -5 -0.43 48.33 -4.55 61.70 6.23 -5.29 0.00 0.00 9.62 1.73P 3.36R 0.16 Port_Vale 29 36 -6 0.46 53.27 0.66 56.05 5.68 -11.11 0.00 0.00 1.22 0.17P 14.87R 1.18 Barnsley 28 35 -4 -3.98 31.36 -4.72 60.87 6.17 -2.27 0.00 0.00 8.58 1.56P 3.92R 0.22 Notts_County 28 35 -5 -1.18 44.49 -1.73 58.36 5.95 -6.92 0.00 0.00 3.26 0.47P 8.32R 0.49 Gillingham 29 35 -6 -0.16 50.08 1.31 54.56 5.70 -12.18 0.00 0.00 0.75 0.09P 21.63R 2.26 Scunthorpe 26 33 -5 0.83 54.93 0.76 58.23 6.51 -8.64 0.00 0.00 4.59 0.75P 10.80R 0.98 Crewe 28 32 -23 4.39 72.88 -5.65 49.42 5.58 -34.63 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.00P 59.70R 14.97 Coventry 29 31 -11 -5.69 24.37 -6.22 53.13 5.78 -12.86 0.00 0.00 0.39 0.05P 30.09R 4.02 Colchester 28 28 -12 -4.75 27.75 -3.33 48.70 5.86 -18.18 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 60.21R 16.20 Yeovil 29 28 -18 -5.91 22.98 -9.89 47.84 5.67 -22.91 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 67.43R 20.36 Crawley_Town 29 27 -22 -4.22 29.51 -9.41 45.84 5.54 -28.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 79.17R 34.61 Leyton_Orient 27 26 -8 -13.91 3.71 -12.16 53.75 6.28 -5.58 0.00 0.00 0.95 0.20P 26.10R 3.99League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 February 2015, AFC_Wimbledon 2 0 Newport_County; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Burton_Albion 29 57 +14 12.75 94.74 7.20 83.79 5.68 19.27 25.91 72.44 99.15 79.21P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 29 56 +20 11.03 91.83 12.20 82.04 5.68 24.19 19.04 63.39 98.51 72.52P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 29 55 +22 3.86 68.65 5.65 85.34 5.67 32.03 41.44 83.67 99.70 89.44P 0.00 0.00 Luton 28 51 +13 8.79 86.86 7.10 78.54 5.97 17.34 7.38 37.29 93.11 51.25P 0.00 0.00 Southend 29 51 +7 6.06 78.13 -0.77 78.32 5.66 12.89 5.68 33.57 93.03 50.81P 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 29 46 +1 9.13 87.58 5.03 68.20 5.60 -0.51 0.09 1.89 37.67 8.06P 0.00R 0.00 Bury 29 45 +6 0.98 55.06 -0.47 70.28 5.71 9.07 0.31 4.17 55.37 17.29P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 29 43 +11 1.29 56.78 7.54 66.88 5.62 12.20 0.05 1.26 33.66 8.92P 0.01R 0.00 Exeter 30 42 -2 1.21 56.27 -1.54 63.67 5.51 -2.36 0.01 0.24 14.01 3.12P 0.11R 0.01 Stevenage 29 41 +1 -2.28 39.11 -4.42 66.86 5.87 4.83 0.06 1.35 32.39 9.65P 0.01R 0.00 Northampton 29 40 +7 -0.37 48.60 6.01 62.95 5.67 6.44 0.01 0.29 13.16 3.02P 0.17R 0.02 AFC_Wimbledon 28 40 +2 3.12 65.66 4.27 62.43 5.82 -1.33 0.01 0.27 11.03 2.33P 0.27R 0.03 Morecambe 29 38 +1 0.02 50.49 2.94 60.44 5.59 0.15 0.00 0.07 5.78 1.33P 0.44R 0.03 Cambridge_Utd 28 36 +8 -0.91 45.95 9.96 59.81 5.96 6.91 0.00 0.07 6.41 1.46P 0.91R 0.10 Oxford_Utd 29 34 -4 -4.81 27.37 -3.10 56.62 5.61 -4.84 0.00 0.00 1.55 0.36P 2.84R 0.40 Portsmouth 28 33 -4 -4.79 27.37 -3.54 57.33 5.94 -4.38 0.00 0.02 2.52 0.60P 2.88R 0.37 Dag_&_Red 29 33 -7 -3.00 35.68 -1.78 54.04 5.61 -10.15 0.00 0.00 0.45 0.10P 7.48R 1.31 Carlisle 29 33 -13 -4.23 30.69 -8.90 54.75 5.73 -15.53 0.00 0.00 0.68 0.13P 7.22R 1.36 Accrington_Stanley 28 33 -13 0.05 51.05 -4.42 55.01 5.83 -17.10 0.00 0.01 0.73 0.13P 7.25R 1.28 Mansfield 28 31 -12 -0.54 47.93 -2.58 51.75 5.70 -17.13 0.00 0.00 0.17 0.04P 16.96R 3.71 Tranmere 28 30 -5 -10.70 8.42 -8.64 54.33 5.96 -5.13 0.00 0.00 0.82 0.22P 7.76R 1.32 Cheltenham 29 30 -17 -3.64 32.31 -8.29 48.90 5.53 -23.36 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 34.26R 8.44 York 29 28 -8 -8.82 12.36 -4.76 50.30 5.59 -9.05 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.02P 21.57R 5.42 Hartlepool 29 21 -28 -9.50 9.64 -14.69 39.78 5.50 -34.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 89.84R 76.21Conference (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 February 2015, Alfreton_Town 4 2 Southport; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Barnet 33 68 +38 6.79 79.03 12.40 91.90 4.92 47.43 80.03 99.77 86.15P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 33 61 +18 1.40 56.12 -3.06 84.42 4.76 26.43 9.56 92.91 37.98P 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 32 60 +17 10.57 89.15 8.57 81.93 4.97 21.22 4.48 83.08 19.35P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 32 56 +23 -0.01 49.58 4.74 80.53 5.06 30.96 3.68 78.92 25.45P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 32 56 +14 4.86 71.63 2.69 78.49 5.12 19.07 1.48 61.47 13.73P 0.00 0.00 Woking 33 49 +14 0.46 52.42 8.84 68.20 5.01 15.97 0.00 5.07 0.89P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 32 49 +5 0.22 51.24 -2.61 69.74 5.23 7.30 0.02 7.75 1.58P 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 30 48 +13 3.69 66.66 8.40 68.85 5.70 10.99 0.03 8.17 1.32P 0.00 0.00 Halifax 29 48 +12 1.53 57.40 1.45 73.97 5.79 15.98 0.47 29.10 6.34P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 33 48 -3 4.38 69.80 0.07 65.88 5.02 -3.14 0.00 1.35 0.18P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 29 47 +9 1.75 58.55 0.52 72.76 5.71 12.69 0.24 22.15 4.73P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 31 46 +11 2.01 59.35 9.02 66.99 5.49 11.73 0.01 4.32 0.81P 0.00 0.00 Chester 33 46 -8 8.53 84.86 4.57 60.94 4.77 -12.68 0.00 0.12 0.01P 0.00R 0.00 Altrincham 32 45 -9 8.29 83.65 2.55 59.77 4.94 -16.03 0.00 0.08 0.01P 0.01R 0.00 Torquay 32 43 +7 -8.99 15.18 -5.57 68.25 5.11 16.47 0.00 4.92 1.33P 0.00 0.00 Braintree_Town 30 39 +1 -3.88 31.61 -1.76 61.05 5.36 1.53 0.00 0.27 0.04P 0.02R 0.00 Wrexham 29 38 -5 -1.96 40.83 -5.63 62.31 5.76 -3.33 0.00 0.57 0.09P 0.03R 0.00 Aldershot 32 33 -12 -9.71 12.03 -10.53 51.98 4.98 -12.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.57R 0.04 Welling 33 33 -15 -5.19 26.86 -4.07 48.05 4.74 -19.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.97R 0.30 Southport 30 31 -19 -0.56 48.16 -3.46 48.75 5.29 -25.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 11.49R 0.58 Alfreton_Town 31 30 -28 -1.49 43.56 -8.48 46.51 5.19 -35.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 23.40R 1.55 Dartford 31 24 -25 -6.13 21.57 -4.93 39.89 5.09 -32.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 72.54R 15.71 AFC_Telford 31 23 -22 -7.61 17.68 -0.18 37.65 5.09 -32.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 84.45R 26.67 Nuneaton 33 23 -36 -7.86 15.55 -13.57 35.13 4.46 -44.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 95.51R 55.15