Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Friday 6 February 2015 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 1 February 2015, Arsenal 5 0 Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1
Chelsea 23 53 +32 5.12 79.04 5.36 85.76 4.78 51.54 75.95 97.16 99.50 99.91 100.00 0.00 0.00
Man_City 23 48 +23 0.58 52.38 -2.99 80.91 4.70 44.09 22.51 87.13 96.71 99.17 99.97 0.00 0.00
Man_Utd 23 43 +17 -0.02 49.24 -0.51 69.69 5.19 26.36 0.50 5.37 32.76 61.67 93.21 0.00 0.00
Southampton 23 42 +20 5.23 77.60 12.44 66.79 5.17 25.93 0.16 1.88 14.89 38.00 84.24 0.00 0.00
Arsenal 23 42 +19 -0.19 48.27 2.25 71.02 5.15 32.23 0.85 7.83 47.34 73.06 95.87 0.00 0.00
Tottenham 23 40 +5 4.43 74.05 -0.45 62.59 5.29 7.74 0.00 0.28 3.87 12.19 51.48 0.00 0.00
Liverpool 23 38 +6 -3.40 30.66 -9.04 62.96 5.24 12.92 0.02 0.34 4.66 14.49 56.89 0.00 0.00
West_Ham 23 36 +8 4.17 73.06 8.10 55.83 5.16 6.38 0.00 0.01 0.23 1.16 10.94 0.00 0.00
Swansea 23 33 -3 2.92 67.46 0.05 52.87 5.26 -4.29 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.26 4.05 0.01R 0.00
Stoke 23 32 -2 3.46 70.62 2.81 51.01 5.15 -4.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 1.93 0.02R 0.00
Newcastle 23 30 -6 2.94 67.82 2.17 48.14 5.20 -10.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.58 0.27R 0.01
Everton 23 26 -3 -8.77 9.73 -7.26 48.85 5.26 0.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.85 0.16R 0.01
Crystal_Palace 23 23 -9 -0.97 45.08 2.81 38.13 4.85 -17.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 17.30R 2.82
Sunderland 23 23 -12 -1.72 40.51 -1.26 40.10 4.93 -17.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.92R 1.37
West_Brom 23 22 -12 -4.20 26.52 -3.29 38.66 4.97 -18.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 16.05R 2.63
Aston_Villa 23 22 -19 -0.32 49.16 -4.98 37.06 4.80 -27.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 26.55R 5.43
Burnley 23 20 -17 -2.84 33.93 -2.68 32.70 4.65 -30.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 61.91R 23.65
Hull 23 19 -13 -4.22 25.83 -0.26 33.95 4.78 -21.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 47.67R 14.90
QPR 23 19 -18 -2.63 34.97 -0.94 32.27 4.88 -30.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 64.32R 27.60
Leicester 23 17 -16 -6.33 16.61 -2.34 32.98 5.03 -24.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 55.81R 21.60
Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 31 January 2015, Birmingham 0 0 Norwich; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1
Bournemouth 28 54 +31 6.61 79.63 17.30 84.11 6.01 39.40 26.21 50.71 96.11 62.11P 0.00 0.00
Derby 28 54 +27 3.44 66.57 8.44 86.67 5.90 39.15 42.42 67.08 98.44 76.96P 0.00 0.00
Middlesbrough 28 53 +25 5.80 77.29 12.14 82.93 5.81 32.47 17.85 39.86 94.76 55.13P 0.00 0.00
Ipswich 28 51 +19 6.99 81.40 10.76 79.32 5.96 24.35 6.24 18.20 83.61 32.86P 0.00 0.00
Brentford 28 49 +7 10.78 90.93 7.52 74.29 6.06 7.73 1.34 4.52 52.62 12.09P 0.00 0.00
Watford 28 47 +23 -1.32 43.13 7.57 77.24 6.02 31.63 4.07 12.46 75.40 30.58P 0.00 0.00
Wolverhampton 28 45 -2 5.26 74.48 -3.96 69.54 5.99 -2.10 0.17 0.84 22.18 4.89P 0.00R 0.00
Norwich 28 44 +16 -3.60 32.48 2.08 74.89 6.05 25.23 1.68 6.20 61.06 22.37P 0.00 0.00
Blackburn 28 39 +0 -0.12 49.65 -0.84 65.35 5.95 2.26 0.02 0.12 8.30 1.68P 0.10R 0.00
Sheff_Wed 28 38 -4 2.56 63.56 -0.50 60.45 5.71 -7.04 0.00 0.01 1.50 0.25P 0.72R 0.01
Birmingham 28 37 -8 2.76 64.49 -1.76 59.06 5.73 -12.54 0.00 0.00 0.79 0.10P 1.65R 0.03
Nott'm_Forest 28 34 -3 -3.91 31.16 -1.84 58.12 5.96 -4.00 0.00 0.00 0.79 0.12P 2.41R 0.06
Cardiff 28 34 -6 -2.98 35.86 -3.59 59.91 6.05 -4.16 0.00 0.00 1.39 0.25P 1.50R 0.02
Bolton 28 34 -6 -3.44 33.49 -4.41 56.90 5.85 -8.94 0.00 0.00 0.41 0.06P 3.75R 0.09
Fulham 28 34 -8 -5.04 26.86 -8.26 59.26 6.13 -7.57 0.00 0.00 1.22 0.27P 2.13R 0.08
Reading 28 34 -9 -4.35 29.19 -8.75 59.08 5.96 -8.66 0.00 0.00 0.94 0.18P 2.04R 0.06
Huddersfield 28 34 -11 1.54 58.77 -1.04 55.49 5.89 -16.07 0.00 0.00 0.20 0.03P 6.83R 0.28
Charlton 28 33 -10 0.81 55.25 -1.40 54.16 5.72 -14.67 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.01P 9.45R 0.35
Leeds_United 28 32 -9 -1.74 41.66 -1.62 54.25 5.82 -12.47 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.02P 9.40R 0.45
Rotherham 28 30 -10 -0.05 50.93 2.82 48.44 5.63 -19.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 38.72R 3.16
Brighton 28 29 -6 -10.53 8.29 -7.78 53.86 5.87 -5.36 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.03P 9.80R 0.39
Millwall 28 27 -18 -1.47 43.27 -2.75 45.12 5.55 -27.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 64.32R 10.07
Wigan 28 22 -10 -16.27 1.41 -10.05 46.31 5.88 -10.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 50.45R 7.60
Blackpool 28 20 -28 -6.58 18.11 -10.11 36.61 5.36 -40.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 96.73R 77.36
League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 3 February 2015, Barnsley 1 0 Oldham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1
Bristol_City 26 57 +28 10.39 91.66 11.46 92.34 6.43 40.03 47.63 76.89 99.95 84.00P 0.00 0.00
MK_Dons 27 55 +34 4.80 73.16 13.72 89.70 6.19 47.12 31.03 65.70 99.88 77.39P 0.00 0.00
Swindon 27 54 +25 6.03 77.88 8.62 87.87 6.22 36.73 19.91 49.68 99.73 66.39P 0.00 0.00
Preston 27 47 +13 1.92 59.74 1.24 78.63 6.18 21.21 1.27 6.57 92.05 30.92P 0.00 0.00
Chesterfield 27 39 +5 1.16 56.03 3.99 65.57 6.36 5.62 0.01 0.07 24.99 4.38P 0.62R 0.01
Sheff_Utd 25 39 +4 2.10 61.37 -0.01 72.08 6.62 10.23 0.13 0.85 62.47 14.57P 0.04R 0.00
Rochdale 26 38 +12 0.83 54.43 10.16 65.83 6.65 12.28 0.01 0.14 28.53 5.15P 0.73R 0.02
Bradford 26 37 +3 1.87 60.13 3.57 63.23 6.30 1.50 0.00 0.03 14.25 2.48P 1.50R 0.05
Peterborough 27 37 +0 -4.28 29.35 -6.19 64.94 6.27 2.75 0.00 0.04 21.22 4.57P 0.84R 0.02
Oldham 27 37 -1 2.32 62.29 2.50 60.73 6.16 -4.48 0.00 0.01 6.90 0.98P 4.03R 0.19
Fleetwood_Town 28 37 -1 4.43 72.08 6.96 58.67 5.90 -4.90 0.00 0.00 3.52 0.51P 6.73R 0.29
Doncaster 26 36 -3 0.25 51.77 -3.47 63.65 6.42 -2.49 0.00 0.02 15.03 2.93P 1.77R 0.04
Barnsley 27 35 -2 -3.64 33.22 -4.21 62.31 6.37 -0.21 0.00 0.01 11.80 2.36P 2.65R 0.10
Notts_County 27 35 -4 -0.31 49.06 -1.38 59.96 6.19 -5.66 0.00 0.00 5.50 0.93P 5.29R 0.26
Port_Vale 28 35 -6 0.66 54.16 0.40 56.30 5.86 -11.29 0.00 0.00 1.35 0.17P 13.98R 0.98
Walsall 27 34 -2 -2.87 35.76 -2.26 58.92 6.03 -3.24 0.00 0.00 4.10 0.83P 6.06R 0.30
Scunthorpe 25 33 -4 1.82 60.32 1.31 59.79 6.76 -7.42 0.00 0.01 6.91 1.12P 7.31R 0.49
Gillingham 28 32 -8 -1.21 44.78 0.33 52.02 5.82 -15.63 0.00 0.00 0.25 0.03P 36.61R 5.10
Coventry 28 31 -10 -5.03 26.63 -6.15 54.11 5.96 -12.50 0.00 0.00 0.63 0.11P 24.11R 2.70
Crewe 27 29 -24 2.89 66.47 -6.45 47.20 5.74 -36.49 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00 71.88R 25.02
Colchester 27 28 -11 -3.59 32.50 -2.79 50.59 6.08 -16.33 0.00 0.00 0.18 0.02P 45.97R 9.07
Crawley_Town 28 27 -21 -3.27 34.05 -8.95 47.24 5.81 -27.35 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 70.14R 23.24
Leyton_Orient 27 26 -8 -13.84 3.61 -12.07 53.79 6.26 -5.55 0.00 0.00 0.73 0.16P 24.97R 3.67
Yeovil 28 25 -19 -7.19 17.87 -10.36 46.18 5.87 -23.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 74.75R 28.45
League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 31 January 2015, Accrington_Stanley 1 5 Northampton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1
Shrewsbury 28 54 +22 4.26 70.71 5.62 86.24 5.85 32.82 51.71 87.69 99.66 91.98P 0.00 0.00
Burton_Albion 28 54 +12 11.88 93.68 6.33 81.96 5.92 17.03 17.97 62.52 97.46 71.02P 0.00 0.00
Wycombe 28 53 +19 9.67 89.49 11.54 80.25 5.88 22.97 13.52 53.79 96.03 64.41P 0.00 0.00
Luton 27 50 +13 9.22 88.57 7.19 78.79 6.19 17.24 8.88 42.30 92.28 54.69P 0.00 0.00
Southend 28 50 +7 6.27 79.36 -0.94 78.18 5.81 12.25 6.65 36.09 91.38 52.01P 0.00 0.00
Newport_County 28 46 +3 9.79 89.44 5.99 69.65 5.86 1.57 0.29 4.36 45.59 11.58P 0.00R 0.00
Bury 28 44 +6 1.47 57.44 -0.28 71.08 5.96 9.68 0.63 6.98 57.86 20.59P 0.00 0.00
Stevenage 28 41 +2 -1.20 44.24 -3.86 68.67 6.08 6.51 0.25 3.71 41.72 14.32P 0.01R 0.00
Exeter 29 41 -2 1.54 58.22 -1.61 63.49 5.69 -3.21 0.01 0.39 12.68 2.98P 0.09R 0.01
Plymouth 28 40 +10 0.44 52.71 7.66 65.57 5.85 11.61 0.06 1.15 24.27 6.78P 0.04R 0.00
Morecambe 28 38 +2 0.90 55.03 3.25 61.76 5.76 1.03 0.01 0.24 8.36 1.91P 0.34R 0.04
Northampton 28 37 +6 -1.56 42.43 5.66 61.40 5.92 5.52 0.00 0.17 8.50 2.05P 0.50R 0.07
AFC_Wimbledon 27 37 +0 2.28 62.14 3.41 60.73 6.06 -3.53 0.01 0.20 6.88 1.42P 0.74R 0.11
Cambridge_Utd 27 36 +9 0.01 50.46 10.33 61.44 6.18 8.28 0.01 0.34 9.75 2.37P 0.54R 0.09
Oxford_Utd 28 33 -4 -4.49 28.47 -3.19 57.11 5.77 -4.68 0.00 0.01 1.67 0.35P 2.62R 0.50
Accrington_Stanley 27 33 -12 1.02 56.01 -3.92 55.85 5.98 -16.90 0.00 0.01 1.12 0.24P 5.84R 1.32
Tranmere 27 30 -3 -9.93 9.93 -7.43 56.83 6.22 -1.55 0.00 0.03 2.34 0.76P 3.78R 0.70
Portsmouth 27 30 -5 -5.87 22.16 -3.67 56.25 6.20 -4.64 0.00 0.01 1.73 0.40P 4.90R 1.07
Dag_&_Red 28 30 -9 -4.13 29.96 -2.99 51.69 5.78 -13.25 0.00 0.00 0.18 0.02P 15.95R 4.46
Carlisle 28 30 -15 -5.20 26.43 -9.76 52.06 5.93 -19.17 0.00 0.00 0.18 0.04P 16.54R 4.69
Cheltenham 28 30 -15 -3.01 35.13 -7.46 50.48 5.72 -20.97 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.02P 23.42R 6.31
York 28 28 -6 -8.02 14.32 -3.50 52.32 5.84 -6.11 0.00 0.00 0.22 0.06P 13.30R 3.47
Mansfield 27 28 -13 -2.31 38.19 -3.65 49.81 5.88 -18.60 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.01P 27.04R 8.46
Hartlepool 28 21 -27 -8.92 11.08 -14.71 40.93 5.70 -33.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 84.34R 68.69
Conference (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 31 January 2015, Dartford 2 2 Bristol_Rovers; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1
Barnet 32 65 +37 5.84 76.05 12.48 90.88 5.08 47.36 76.04 99.54 83.20P 0.00 0.00
Bristol_Rovers 32 58 +16 0.78 53.34 -3.60 83.32 4.94 25.25 9.22 90.03 35.93P 0.00 0.00
Macclesfield 31 57 +16 9.80 88.27 8.87 80.74 5.21 20.87 4.40 77.26 18.00P 0.00 0.00
Grimsby 31 56 +24 1.24 55.78 5.57 81.89 5.24 31.93 8.06 85.51 31.52P 0.00 0.00
Forest_Green 31 53 +13 3.85 67.66 2.67 76.61 5.34 17.65 1.15 48.67 10.98P 0.00 0.00
Woking 32 49 +15 1.12 55.47 8.73 69.09 5.22 16.19 0.02 8.58 1.53P 0.00 0.00
Kidderminster 32 49 +5 0.22 51.28 -2.61 69.79 5.21 7.36 0.04 8.52 1.82P 0.00 0.00
Halifax 29 48 +12 1.50 57.19 1.42 73.89 5.80 15.80 0.61 30.60 6.82P 0.00 0.00
Lincoln_City 32 48 -1 4.55 70.90 0.17 66.85 5.21 -1.78 0.01 2.78 0.39P 0.00 0.00
Eastleigh 29 47 +13 4.51 70.33 9.15 70.14 5.94 12.64 0.14 13.87 2.46P 0.00 0.00
Gateshead 29 47 +9 1.95 59.34 0.82 72.70 5.77 12.65 0.32 23.52 4.86P 0.00 0.00
Dover_Athletic 31 46 +11 1.98 59.25 9.01 66.95 5.45 11.67 0.00 4.66 0.83P 0.00 0.00
Chester 33 46 -8 8.63 85.00 4.70 60.86 4.73 -12.82 0.00 0.09 0.01P 0.01R 0.00
Torquay 32 43 +7 -9.13 14.75 -5.78 68.19 5.10 16.37 0.00 5.39 1.48P 0.00 0.00
Altrincham 31 42 -10 7.04 80.16 2.24 57.98 5.17 -17.31 0.00 0.05 0.00P 0.14R 0.00
Braintree_Town 30 39 +1 -4.09 30.99 -2.06 61.18 5.38 1.69 0.00 0.32 0.05P 0.02R 0.00
Wrexham 29 38 -5 -2.08 39.93 -5.81 62.42 5.72 -3.17 0.00 0.61 0.12P 0.02R 0.00
Aldershot 31 33 -11 -8.75 14.40 -10.12 53.58 5.24 -10.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.43R 0.02
Welling 32 33 -14 -4.12 31.17 -3.61 48.72 4.91 -19.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.77R 0.20
Southport 29 31 -17 -0.02 50.94 -3.07 50.28 5.51 -23.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.29R 0.32
Alfreton_Town 30 27 -30 -2.43 38.56 -9.55 44.74 5.36 -37.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 34.39R 3.45
Dartford 31 24 -25 -6.32 20.87 -5.38 40.07 5.08 -32.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 68.85R 13.95
Nuneaton 33 23 -36 -7.83 15.39 -13.50 35.10 4.47 -44.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 95.09R 52.34
AFC_Telford 30 22 -22 -7.35 17.78 -0.73 37.11 5.24 -34.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 85.00R 29.72
