Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Monday 2 February 2015 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 1 February 2015, Arsenal 5 0 Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 23 53 +32 5.13 78.98 5.38 85.77 4.76 51.48 75.97 97.34 99.56 99.92 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 23 48 +23 0.56 52.18 -3.04 80.95 4.69 44.18 22.65 86.97 96.73 99.22 99.97 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 23 43 +17 -0.01 49.34 -0.54 69.74 5.17 26.41 0.50 5.35 32.97 61.40 93.07 0.00 0.00 Southampton 23 42 +20 5.18 77.29 12.29 66.85 5.16 26.05 0.12 1.77 14.80 38.35 84.33 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 23 42 +19 -0.14 48.75 2.35 71.07 5.15 32.31 0.73 7.98 47.60 73.27 95.87 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 23 40 +5 4.30 73.56 -0.67 62.72 5.26 7.95 0.02 0.27 3.77 12.47 52.14 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 23 38 +6 -3.32 30.81 -8.94 62.94 5.19 12.88 0.00 0.30 4.26 13.82 56.51 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 23 36 +8 4.16 73.07 8.04 55.86 5.16 6.41 0.00 0.01 0.23 1.09 10.97 0.00 0.00 Swansea 23 33 -3 2.86 67.06 -0.04 52.89 5.29 -4.28 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.34 3.79 0.01R 0.00 Stoke 23 32 -2 3.37 70.11 2.70 51.05 5.15 -4.31 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.09 1.96 0.02R 0.00 Newcastle 23 30 -6 2.96 68.00 2.18 48.07 5.18 -10.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.56 0.26R 0.01 Everton 23 26 -3 -8.77 9.76 -7.25 48.84 5.24 0.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.82 0.16R 0.01 Crystal_Palace 23 23 -9 -1.19 43.99 2.54 38.20 4.84 -17.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 16.56R 2.64 Sunderland 23 23 -12 -1.77 40.31 -1.32 40.11 4.94 -17.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 9.79R 1.30 West_Brom 23 22 -12 -4.06 27.37 -3.02 38.55 4.97 -18.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 16.05R 2.84 Aston_Villa 23 22 -19 -0.36 49.13 -5.08 37.10 4.80 -27.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 26.33R 5.25 Burnley 23 20 -17 -2.71 34.89 -2.48 32.60 4.66 -30.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 62.50R 23.69 Hull 23 19 -13 -4.20 25.95 -0.27 33.91 4.79 -21.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 47.47R 14.55 QPR 23 19 -18 -2.48 35.83 -0.60 32.09 4.80 -30.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 65.53R 28.41 Leicester 23 17 -16 -6.26 17.07 -2.25 32.95 5.00 -24.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 55.32R 21.30Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 31 January 2015, Birmingham 0 0 Norwich; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Bournemouth 28 54 +31 6.63 79.95 17.33 84.14 6.03 39.42 26.61 50.95 96.25 62.62P 0.00 0.00 Derby 28 54 +27 3.43 66.89 8.43 86.65 5.87 39.09 42.41 67.35 98.51 76.91P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 28 53 +25 5.84 77.34 12.20 82.89 5.81 32.43 17.50 39.32 94.74 55.11P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 28 51 +19 6.75 80.44 10.40 79.44 5.92 24.50 6.36 18.71 84.19 33.68P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 28 49 +7 10.80 90.78 7.56 74.22 6.04 7.62 1.20 4.35 52.41 11.76P 0.00 0.00 Watford 28 47 +23 -1.31 42.96 7.65 77.26 6.00 31.64 4.13 12.60 75.65 30.08P 0.00R 0.00 Wolverhampton 28 45 -2 5.32 74.90 -3.90 69.60 5.91 -2.04 0.19 0.86 22.22 4.82P 0.01R 0.00 Norwich 28 44 +16 -3.47 32.97 2.27 74.79 6.03 25.12 1.58 5.72 60.21 21.81P 0.00 0.00 Blackburn 28 39 +0 -0.09 49.82 -0.81 65.38 5.96 2.32 0.01 0.11 8.30 1.79P 0.09R 0.00 Sheff_Wed 28 38 -4 2.53 63.47 -0.57 60.55 5.70 -6.88 0.00 0.00 1.47 0.25P 0.75R 0.00 Birmingham 28 37 -8 2.90 65.20 -1.51 58.94 5.71 -12.72 0.00 0.01 0.77 0.11P 1.74R 0.03 Nott'm_Forest 28 34 -3 -3.88 31.18 -1.76 58.03 5.94 -4.07 0.00 0.00 0.77 0.14P 2.50R 0.07 Cardiff 28 34 -6 -2.99 35.93 -3.55 59.92 6.03 -4.20 0.00 0.01 1.42 0.28P 1.38R 0.04 Bolton 28 34 -6 -3.48 33.34 -4.57 56.94 5.84 -8.84 0.00 0.00 0.41 0.08P 3.65R 0.11 Fulham 28 34 -8 -5.12 26.71 -8.42 59.29 6.13 -7.50 0.00 0.01 1.21 0.25P 2.11R 0.05 Reading 28 34 -9 -4.38 29.05 -8.79 59.10 5.96 -8.62 0.00 0.01 0.96 0.21P 1.99R 0.04 Huddersfield 28 34 -11 1.47 58.47 -1.11 55.51 5.87 -16.05 0.00 0.00 0.24 0.03P 6.78R 0.25 Charlton 28 33 -10 0.74 54.89 -1.46 54.19 5.72 -14.66 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.01P 9.35R 0.38 Leeds_United 28 32 -9 -1.72 41.86 -1.50 54.21 5.81 -12.58 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.02P 9.67R 0.45 Rotherham 28 30 -10 0.07 51.40 3.05 48.32 5.66 -19.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 39.29R 3.41 Brighton 28 29 -6 -10.48 8.35 -7.75 53.84 5.87 -5.38 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.01P 9.81R 0.43 Millwall 28 27 -18 -1.66 42.03 -3.05 45.26 5.55 -27.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 63.35R 9.47 Wigan 28 22 -10 -16.22 1.49 -9.96 46.26 5.88 -10.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 50.88R 8.10 Blackpool 28 20 -28 -6.62 17.79 -10.16 36.59 5.38 -40.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 96.66R 77.16League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 1 February 2015, Bristol_City 2 0 Fleetwood_Town; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Bristol_City 26 57 +28 10.47 91.80 11.51 92.24 6.41 39.89 47.66 76.72 99.96 83.78P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 27 55 +34 4.97 73.59 13.93 89.50 6.20 46.87 30.67 65.32 99.87 77.28P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 27 54 +25 6.04 78.16 8.62 87.94 6.18 36.80 20.30 50.58 99.75 66.84P 0.00 0.00 Preston 27 47 +13 2.04 60.06 1.42 78.49 6.19 20.99 1.23 6.27 91.41 30.57P 0.00 0.00 Chesterfield 27 39 +5 1.23 56.49 4.06 65.52 6.37 5.60 0.00 0.08 24.23 4.40P 0.60R 0.01 Sheff_Utd 25 39 +4 1.98 60.54 -0.15 72.17 6.57 10.36 0.11 0.74 63.16 14.89P 0.03R 0.00 Rochdale 26 38 +12 0.78 54.11 10.09 65.95 6.64 12.42 0.02 0.14 28.51 5.19P 0.62R 0.02 Bradford 26 37 +3 1.68 59.20 3.33 63.37 6.29 1.68 0.00 0.02 14.64 2.55P 1.44R 0.03 Oldham 26 37 +0 2.99 65.95 2.53 62.30 6.41 -3.23 0.00 0.03 11.25 1.76P 2.58R 0.12 Peterborough 27 37 +0 -4.31 29.49 -6.24 64.99 6.27 2.81 0.00 0.05 21.26 4.63P 0.80R 0.02 Fleetwood_Town 28 37 -1 4.28 71.23 6.77 58.70 5.92 -4.87 0.00 0.00 3.41 0.44P 6.50R 0.31 Doncaster 26 36 -3 0.13 51.21 -3.61 63.73 6.41 -2.35 0.00 0.03 15.07 3.00P 1.69R 0.07 Notts_County 27 35 -4 -0.29 48.97 -1.31 59.85 6.19 -5.79 0.00 0.01 5.23 0.88P 5.52R 0.27 Port_Vale 28 35 -6 0.60 53.77 0.28 56.36 5.89 -11.20 0.00 0.00 1.34 0.19P 13.79R 0.95 Walsall 27 34 -2 -2.84 35.73 -2.24 58.90 6.04 -3.24 0.00 0.00 3.85 0.69P 6.25R 0.35 Scunthorpe 25 33 -4 1.75 59.82 1.20 59.91 6.73 -7.22 0.00 0.01 7.03 1.01P 7.06R 0.55 Barnsley 26 32 -3 -4.73 27.59 -4.33 60.59 6.60 -1.39 0.00 0.00 8.34 1.58P 4.90R 0.30 Gillingham 28 32 -8 -1.26 44.55 0.29 52.11 5.83 -15.48 0.00 0.00 0.24 0.04P 35.60R 5.01 Coventry 28 31 -10 -4.88 27.37 -5.98 54.04 5.97 -12.64 0.00 0.00 0.56 0.08P 24.55R 2.67 Crewe 27 29 -24 3.01 66.99 -6.21 47.12 5.74 -36.67 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 72.15R 25.22 Colchester 27 28 -11 -3.65 32.03 -2.86 50.62 6.08 -16.29 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.02P 45.65R 9.07 Crawley_Town 28 27 -21 -3.25 33.98 -8.97 47.22 5.77 -27.39 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 70.18R 23.11 Leyton_Orient 27 26 -8 -13.80 3.70 -11.98 53.76 6.27 -5.61 0.00 0.00 0.70 0.18P 24.97R 3.52 Yeovil 28 25 -19 -7.06 18.27 -10.15 46.13 5.86 -24.04 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 75.14R 28.39League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 31 January 2015, Accrington_Stanley 1 5 Northampton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Shrewsbury 28 54 +22 4.37 71.00 5.78 86.21 5.86 32.74 51.31 87.47 99.66 91.81P 0.00 0.00 Burton_Albion 28 54 +12 11.81 93.44 6.22 81.96 5.96 17.03 18.04 62.61 97.48 71.24P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 28 53 +19 9.55 88.89 11.37 80.34 5.90 23.08 13.80 54.24 96.20 65.30P 0.00 0.00 Luton 27 50 +13 9.26 88.48 7.25 78.77 6.22 17.19 8.86 42.03 92.04 54.24P 0.00 0.00 Southend 28 50 +7 6.25 79.23 -0.98 78.22 5.84 12.33 6.77 36.21 91.19 51.93P 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 28 46 +3 9.72 89.46 5.91 69.68 5.84 1.62 0.30 4.15 45.73 11.48P 0.00R 0.00 Bury 28 44 +6 1.46 57.42 -0.29 71.15 5.97 9.78 0.65 7.36 58.56 20.76P 0.00R 0.00 Stevenage 28 41 +2 -1.01 45.41 -3.54 68.48 6.05 6.25 0.16 3.48 40.37 13.51P 0.01R 0.00 Exeter 29 41 -2 1.38 57.05 -1.82 63.56 5.69 -3.10 0.02 0.32 12.81 3.05P 0.12R 0.01 Plymouth 28 40 +10 0.40 52.26 7.63 65.58 5.87 11.62 0.07 1.15 24.52 6.90P 0.04R 0.00 Morecambe 28 38 +2 0.96 55.71 3.33 61.72 5.83 0.97 0.00 0.21 8.47 1.90P 0.35R 0.03 Northampton 28 37 +6 -1.60 42.36 5.57 61.49 5.90 5.68 0.00 0.21 8.72 2.14P 0.45R 0.08 AFC_Wimbledon 27 37 +0 2.07 61.05 3.11 60.76 6.04 -3.47 0.00 0.17 6.87 1.45P 0.69R 0.10 Cambridge_Utd 27 36 +9 0.03 50.85 10.38 61.40 6.19 8.21 0.01 0.34 9.63 2.33P 0.56R 0.07 Oxford_Utd 28 33 -4 -4.65 27.83 -3.44 57.15 5.78 -4.62 0.00 0.02 1.82 0.47P 2.58R 0.42 Accrington_Stanley 27 33 -12 0.96 55.81 -4.00 56.03 6.01 -16.62 0.00 0.02 1.26 0.25P 5.54R 1.26 Tranmere 27 30 -3 -9.89 9.88 -7.47 56.78 6.21 -1.55 0.00 0.02 2.24 0.63P 3.89R 0.68 Portsmouth 27 30 -5 -5.81 22.28 -3.58 56.19 6.17 -4.74 0.00 0.01 1.74 0.43P 4.90R 1.05 Dag_&_Red 28 30 -9 -4.14 29.98 -2.96 51.66 5.81 -13.28 0.00 0.00 0.17 0.03P 16.09R 4.36 Carlisle 28 30 -15 -5.19 26.11 -9.78 52.09 5.90 -19.16 0.00 0.00 0.18 0.05P 16.21R 4.55 Cheltenham 28 30 -15 -3.06 34.82 -7.47 50.44 5.76 -21.02 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.03P 23.47R 6.27 York 28 28 -6 -8.02 14.47 -3.44 52.33 5.79 -6.13 0.00 0.00 0.19 0.04P 12.89R 3.39 Mansfield 27 28 -13 -2.06 39.79 -3.28 49.65 5.90 -18.84 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.02P 27.96R 8.85 Hartlepool 28 21 -27 -8.84 11.24 -14.52 40.86 5.73 -34.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 84.27R 68.88Conference (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 31 January 2015, Dartford 2 2 Bristol_Rovers; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Barnet 32 65 +37 5.90 76.20 12.64 90.85 5.06 47.29 75.80 99.64 83.13P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 32 58 +16 0.94 53.72 -3.33 83.19 4.96 25.05 9.13 89.47 35.45P 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 31 57 +16 9.77 87.96 8.77 80.73 5.22 20.86 4.24 77.23 18.02P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 31 56 +24 0.93 54.21 5.18 82.07 5.24 32.17 8.43 86.12 32.15P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 31 53 +13 3.85 67.63 2.64 76.61 5.35 17.68 1.17 48.69 10.97P 0.00 0.00 Woking 32 49 +15 1.20 55.71 8.81 69.02 5.19 16.10 0.02 8.07 1.41P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 32 49 +5 0.41 52.19 -2.31 69.68 5.20 7.23 0.02 8.41 1.59P 0.00 0.00 Halifax 29 48 +12 1.42 57.11 1.30 73.98 5.80 15.97 0.68 31.02 6.90P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 32 48 -1 4.86 71.98 0.70 66.76 5.18 -1.92 0.00 2.64 0.38P 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 29 47 +13 4.39 70.01 8.92 70.20 5.93 12.75 0.13 13.94 2.43P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 29 47 +9 1.81 58.85 0.57 72.76 5.75 12.70 0.37 23.71 5.07P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 31 46 +11 1.99 59.49 9.05 66.96 5.40 11.70 0.00 4.57 0.89P 0.00 0.00 Chester 33 46 -8 8.71 85.05 4.86 60.80 4.71 -12.86 0.00 0.09 0.01P 0.01R 0.00 Torquay 32 43 +7 -9.14 14.29 -5.82 68.23 5.09 16.43 0.00 5.38 1.44P 0.00 0.00 Altrincham 31 42 -10 6.91 79.63 2.10 58.02 5.15 -17.26 0.00 0.05 0.00P 0.13R 0.00 Braintree_Town 30 39 +1 -3.79 32.17 -1.69 61.10 5.38 1.58 0.00 0.30 0.04P 0.02R 0.00 Wrexham 29 38 -5 -2.01 40.28 -5.71 62.38 5.74 -3.26 0.00 0.68 0.10P 0.01R 0.00 Aldershot 31 33 -11 -8.84 14.15 -10.26 53.62 5.22 -10.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.35R 0.01 Welling 32 33 -14 -4.49 29.66 -4.18 48.84 4.95 -19.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.84R 0.23 Southport 29 31 -17 0.23 52.27 -2.70 50.10 5.49 -23.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.75R 0.37 Alfreton_Town 30 27 -30 -2.43 38.62 -9.56 44.75 5.38 -37.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 34.62R 3.43 Dartford 31 24 -25 -6.24 20.99 -5.24 40.07 5.07 -32.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 68.99R 14.20 Nuneaton 33 23 -36 -8.01 15.03 -13.81 35.20 4.50 -44.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 94.70R 51.74 AFC_Telford 30 22 -22 -7.47 17.43 -0.92 37.16 5.29 -34.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 84.59R 30.02