Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Saturday 31 January 2015 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 31 January 2015, Chelsea 1 1 Man_City; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 23 53 +32 5.12 78.59 5.41 85.74 4.76 51.43 76.18 97.34 99.47 99.91 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 23 48 +23 0.55 52.29 -3.00 80.85 4.71 43.93 22.29 86.53 96.25 99.03 99.97 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 23 43 +17 -0.03 49.09 -0.60 69.78 5.21 26.45 0.55 5.51 33.16 59.45 93.14 0.00 0.00 Southampton 22 42 +21 6.55 83.50 13.27 68.98 5.35 28.23 0.47 4.76 27.84 54.55 90.87 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 23 40 +5 4.28 73.25 -0.70 62.69 5.29 7.89 0.01 0.33 3.91 11.94 51.31 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 22 39 +14 0.15 50.50 0.57 69.77 5.33 27.67 0.48 5.15 34.42 60.05 92.65 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 23 38 +6 -3.52 29.94 -9.23 63.08 5.23 13.14 0.02 0.38 4.68 13.89 56.91 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 23 36 +8 4.20 73.20 8.13 55.80 5.15 6.37 0.00 0.01 0.23 0.97 10.45 0.00 0.00 Stoke 23 32 -2 3.46 70.23 2.77 50.93 5.15 -4.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 1.63 0.03R 0.00 Swansea 22 30 -4 1.31 58.32 -0.78 50.31 5.46 -6.72 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.13 1.65 0.09R 0.00 Newcastle 23 30 -6 2.77 66.96 1.87 48.24 5.22 -10.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.60 0.28R 0.01 Everton 23 26 -3 -8.85 9.66 -7.35 48.87 5.26 0.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.82 0.21R 0.01 Crystal_Palace 23 23 -9 -1.03 44.82 2.68 38.17 4.86 -17.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 17.55R 2.79 Sunderland 23 23 -12 -1.71 40.83 -1.16 40.08 4.94 -17.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.22R 1.42 West_Brom 23 22 -12 -4.13 27.02 -3.17 38.52 4.97 -18.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 17.09R 2.99 Aston_Villa 22 22 -14 -0.62 47.13 -2.94 38.08 4.96 -23.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.57R 3.68 Burnley 23 20 -17 -2.65 35.23 -2.48 32.66 4.65 -30.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 63.38R 24.13 Hull 23 19 -13 -4.12 26.37 -0.15 33.92 4.80 -21.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 48.51R 15.01 QPR 23 19 -18 -2.55 35.39 -0.82 32.17 4.79 -30.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 65.66R 28.27 Leicester 23 17 -16 -6.29 16.92 -2.32 33.01 5.03 -23.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 56.39R 21.68Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 31 January 2015, Birmingham 0 0 Norwich; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Bournemouth 28 54 +31 6.79 80.37 17.56 84.02 6.03 39.22 26.05 50.15 96.07 61.64P 0.00 0.00 Derby 28 54 +27 3.37 66.04 8.34 86.68 5.86 39.17 42.92 67.47 98.48 77.24P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 28 53 +25 5.81 77.22 12.12 82.91 5.78 32.45 17.26 39.41 94.82 54.75P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 28 51 +19 6.76 80.46 10.44 79.48 5.96 24.58 6.65 18.83 84.16 33.80P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 28 49 +7 10.74 90.90 7.51 74.29 6.09 7.69 1.29 4.52 52.51 12.08P 0.00 0.00 Watford 28 47 +23 -1.33 42.93 7.57 77.31 6.00 31.74 4.04 12.75 75.39 30.24P 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 28 45 -2 5.15 74.23 -4.13 69.65 5.95 -1.95 0.19 0.87 22.48 4.93P 0.00R 0.00 Norwich 28 44 +16 -3.56 32.49 2.13 74.82 6.02 25.15 1.59 5.88 60.59 22.25P 0.00 0.00 Blackburn 28 39 +0 -0.06 50.10 -0.74 65.28 5.96 2.21 0.02 0.11 8.12 1.64P 0.07R 0.00 Sheff_Wed 28 38 -4 2.55 63.57 -0.53 60.47 5.72 -6.97 0.00 0.00 1.34 0.23P 0.83R 0.01 Birmingham 28 37 -8 2.94 65.43 -1.43 58.93 5.78 -12.77 0.00 0.00 0.85 0.13P 1.77R 0.03 Nott'm_Forest 28 34 -3 -3.86 31.36 -1.72 58.07 5.98 -4.04 0.00 0.00 0.73 0.14P 2.65R 0.05 Cardiff 28 34 -6 -3.11 35.31 -3.76 60.00 6.05 -4.05 0.00 0.01 1.40 0.27P 1.47R 0.03 Bolton 28 34 -6 -3.42 33.49 -4.43 56.95 5.82 -8.85 0.00 0.00 0.38 0.08P 3.78R 0.12 Fulham 28 34 -8 -4.94 27.28 -8.12 59.13 6.14 -7.78 0.00 0.01 1.17 0.26P 2.27R 0.09 Reading 28 34 -9 -4.38 29.31 -8.80 59.07 6.01 -8.69 0.00 0.00 0.99 0.19P 2.05R 0.06 Huddersfield 28 34 -11 1.43 58.38 -1.15 55.54 5.91 -16.02 0.00 0.00 0.20 0.05P 6.80R 0.27 Charlton 28 33 -10 0.86 55.59 -1.31 54.18 5.69 -14.62 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.01P 9.13R 0.40 Leeds_United 28 32 -9 -1.72 41.74 -1.56 54.20 5.82 -12.57 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.02P 9.48R 0.41 Rotherham 28 30 -10 0.01 51.16 2.92 48.35 5.62 -19.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 39.20R 3.33 Brighton 28 29 -6 -10.48 8.51 -7.70 53.87 5.90 -5.35 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.02P 9.83R 0.42 Millwall 28 27 -18 -1.68 42.07 -3.07 45.26 5.55 -27.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 63.25R 9.62 Wigan 28 22 -10 -16.30 1.33 -10.08 46.28 5.86 -10.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 50.73R 7.65 Blackpool 28 20 -28 -6.51 18.30 -10.05 36.60 5.38 -40.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 96.70R 77.51League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 31 January 2015, Barnsley 2 1 Port_Vale; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 MK_Dons 27 55 +34 4.93 73.67 13.96 89.58 6.23 46.97 34.41 67.20 99.88 78.30P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 25 54 +26 9.73 90.41 10.84 90.95 6.62 38.34 41.17 71.35 99.88 80.03P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 27 54 +25 5.96 77.66 8.53 87.95 6.19 36.87 22.61 52.88 99.74 68.31P 0.00 0.00 Preston 27 47 +13 1.85 59.36 1.15 78.69 6.19 21.30 1.65 7.35 91.81 31.81P 0.00R 0.00 Chesterfield 27 39 +5 1.24 56.56 4.11 65.50 6.37 5.52 0.00 0.06 23.89 4.30P 0.70R 0.02 Sheff_Utd 25 39 +4 2.03 61.04 -0.11 72.14 6.56 10.32 0.13 0.86 62.58 14.99P 0.05R 0.00 Rochdale 26 38 +12 0.70 53.74 9.96 65.99 6.65 12.50 0.02 0.16 28.35 5.21P 0.56R 0.01 Bradford 26 37 +3 1.83 60.12 3.51 63.31 6.30 1.57 0.00 0.04 14.22 2.40P 1.54R 0.02 Fleetwood_Town 27 37 +1 4.70 73.36 7.35 59.81 6.10 -3.30 0.00 0.00 5.26 0.70P 4.83R 0.19 Oldham 26 37 +0 3.16 66.39 2.78 62.16 6.38 -3.43 0.00 0.02 10.26 1.56P 2.65R 0.09 Peterborough 27 37 +0 -4.44 28.63 -6.44 65.08 6.22 2.95 0.00 0.04 21.14 4.64P 0.78R 0.01 Doncaster 26 36 -3 0.38 52.52 -3.31 63.56 6.47 -2.56 0.01 0.03 14.50 2.81P 1.82R 0.07 Notts_County 27 35 -4 -0.18 49.64 -1.16 59.79 6.21 -5.90 0.00 0.00 5.03 0.76P 5.63R 0.28 Port_Vale 28 35 -6 0.52 53.39 0.23 56.38 5.91 -11.19 0.00 0.00 1.37 0.19P 13.93R 0.92 Walsall 26 33 -2 -2.29 38.09 -1.94 59.49 6.24 -2.97 0.00 0.00 5.01 0.97P 5.68R 0.32 Scunthorpe 25 33 -4 1.88 60.52 1.42 59.79 6.77 -7.46 0.00 0.01 6.83 0.99P 7.50R 0.60 Barnsley 26 32 -3 -4.95 26.34 -4.73 60.78 6.62 -1.10 0.00 0.01 8.54 1.74P 4.87R 0.29 Gillingham 27 31 -8 -1.00 45.45 0.23 52.08 6.02 -16.04 0.00 0.00 0.29 0.03P 36.52R 5.45 Coventry 28 31 -10 -5.02 26.59 -6.15 54.10 6.02 -12.49 0.00 0.00 0.57 0.08P 24.21R 2.60 Crewe 27 29 -24 2.97 67.14 -6.34 47.17 5.75 -36.56 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 72.22R 24.91 Colchester 27 28 -11 -3.51 33.05 -2.66 50.50 6.07 -16.48 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.02P 46.62R 9.65 Crawley_Town 28 27 -21 -3.25 34.08 -8.95 47.28 5.72 -27.30 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 70.04R 22.36 Leyton_Orient 27 26 -8 -13.82 3.79 -12.03 53.76 6.26 -5.57 0.00 0.00 0.68 0.14P 24.90R 3.55 Yeovil 28 25 -19 -7.12 17.96 -10.24 46.16 5.87 -23.99 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 74.95R 28.66League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 31 January 2015, Accrington_Stanley 1 5 Northampton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Shrewsbury 28 54 +22 4.34 70.91 5.67 86.25 5.87 32.81 51.51 87.51 99.70 91.82P 0.00 0.00 Burton_Albion 28 54 +12 11.65 93.19 5.97 82.11 5.94 17.25 18.63 63.60 97.44 71.99P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 28 53 +19 9.64 89.54 11.56 80.26 5.88 22.97 13.34 53.57 96.00 64.39P 0.00 0.00 Luton 27 50 +13 9.16 88.28 7.09 78.82 6.17 17.25 8.75 42.45 92.30 54.87P 0.00 0.00 Southend 28 50 +7 6.40 79.76 -0.80 78.16 5.82 12.22 6.62 35.68 91.31 51.57P 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 28 46 +3 9.81 89.42 6.05 69.62 5.80 1.52 0.23 3.97 45.22 11.24P 0.00R 0.00 Bury 28 44 +6 1.21 56.18 -0.63 71.23 5.95 9.90 0.63 7.32 58.82 20.93P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 28 41 +2 -1.15 44.28 -3.77 68.54 6.08 6.34 0.21 3.58 41.09 13.94P 0.01R 0.00 Exeter 29 41 -2 1.41 57.45 -1.77 63.58 5.70 -3.08 0.01 0.32 12.87 2.89P 0.13R 0.01 Plymouth 28 40 +10 0.33 52.09 7.52 65.64 5.84 11.75 0.05 1.12 24.96 6.97P 0.03R 0.01 Morecambe 28 38 +2 1.08 56.12 3.52 61.59 5.78 0.81 0.01 0.18 7.96 1.88P 0.39R 0.05 Northampton 28 37 +6 -1.51 42.52 5.70 61.50 5.88 5.65 0.00 0.17 8.63 2.10P 0.41R 0.05 AFC_Wimbledon 27 37 +0 2.28 62.29 3.42 60.65 6.01 -3.64 0.01 0.15 6.53 1.34P 0.74R 0.07 Cambridge_Utd 27 36 +9 0.12 51.18 10.47 61.46 6.20 8.29 0.01 0.30 9.79 2.32P 0.53R 0.08 Oxford_Utd 28 33 -4 -4.55 27.91 -3.22 57.09 5.82 -4.70 0.00 0.01 1.71 0.40P 2.65R 0.51 Accrington_Stanley 27 33 -12 0.76 54.75 -4.32 56.14 6.04 -16.51 0.00 0.01 1.27 0.23P 5.42R 1.24 Tranmere 27 30 -3 -9.84 10.28 -7.37 56.73 6.22 -1.66 0.00 0.03 2.22 0.66P 3.75R 0.75 Portsmouth 27 30 -5 -5.87 22.20 -3.60 56.10 6.15 -4.87 0.00 0.01 1.49 0.32P 4.98R 1.17 Dag_&_Red 28 30 -9 -4.25 29.29 -3.11 51.72 5.74 -13.15 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.02P 15.83R 4.19 Carlisle 28 30 -15 -5.21 26.12 -9.81 52.10 5.96 -19.13 0.00 0.00 0.20 0.03P 16.46R 4.59 Cheltenham 28 30 -15 -2.97 35.21 -7.34 50.35 5.70 -21.14 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.01P 24.03R 6.46 York 28 28 -6 -7.93 14.68 -3.35 52.37 5.79 -6.09 0.00 0.00 0.22 0.06P 12.68R 3.39 Mansfield 27 28 -13 -2.13 39.19 -3.35 49.68 5.89 -18.82 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.01P 27.63R 8.55 Hartlepool 28 21 -27 -8.79 11.29 -14.52 40.84 5.69 -33.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 84.33R 68.89Conference (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 31 January 2015, Dartford 2 2 Bristol_Rovers; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Barnet 32 65 +37 5.91 75.75 12.64 90.89 5.07 47.37 76.11 99.56 83.22P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 32 58 +16 0.91 53.96 -3.35 83.26 4.96 25.15 9.21 89.75 35.85P 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 31 57 +16 9.79 88.18 8.81 80.75 5.23 20.86 4.36 77.16 18.37P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 31 56 +24 1.18 55.23 5.57 81.94 5.26 32.00 7.89 86.10 31.24P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 31 53 +13 3.74 67.28 2.54 76.62 5.36 17.70 1.19 48.40 10.84P 0.00 0.00 Woking 32 49 +15 1.31 56.21 9.03 68.99 5.18 16.07 0.01 7.92 1.45P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 32 49 +5 0.33 51.73 -2.47 69.77 5.19 7.32 0.03 8.40 1.71P 0.00 0.00 Halifax 29 48 +12 1.43 57.03 1.33 73.94 5.84 15.90 0.72 30.93 6.94P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 32 48 -1 4.80 71.70 0.57 66.75 5.18 -1.94 0.01 2.63 0.38P 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 29 47 +13 4.54 70.64 9.15 70.12 5.90 12.61 0.15 13.56 2.41P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 29 47 +9 1.69 58.48 0.42 72.81 5.70 12.77 0.32 24.20 5.00P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 31 46 +11 2.15 60.03 9.21 66.88 5.45 11.58 0.01 4.51 0.84P 0.00 0.00 Chester 33 46 -8 8.52 84.96 4.59 60.89 4.72 -12.75 0.00 0.10 0.02P 0.00R 0.00 Torquay 32 43 +7 -9.33 14.02 -6.03 68.29 5.10 16.56 0.00 5.77 1.58P 0.00 0.00 Altrincham 31 42 -10 7.17 80.71 2.46 57.90 5.13 -17.45 0.00 0.04 0.00P 0.13R 0.00 Braintree_Town 30 39 +1 -4.08 30.86 -2.08 61.17 5.36 1.73 0.00 0.30 0.06P 0.01R 0.00 Wrexham 29 38 -5 -2.05 40.11 -5.78 62.36 5.73 -3.28 0.00 0.66 0.10P 0.02R 0.00 Aldershot 31 33 -11 -8.83 14.04 -10.17 53.59 5.21 -10.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.43R 0.02 Welling 32 33 -14 -4.38 30.30 -3.98 48.80 4.92 -19.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.62R 0.16 Southport 29 31 -17 0.11 51.62 -2.88 50.23 5.50 -23.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.52R 0.32 Alfreton_Town 30 27 -30 -2.62 37.54 -9.90 44.85 5.38 -37.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 33.50R 3.39 Dartford 31 24 -25 -6.22 21.19 -5.24 40.00 5.11 -32.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 69.85R 14.22 Nuneaton 33 23 -36 -7.91 15.23 -13.61 35.13 4.50 -44.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 94.83R 52.33 AFC_Telford 30 22 -22 -7.39 17.81 -0.83 37.14 5.26 -34.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 85.08R 29.57