Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Tuesday 27 January 2015 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 19 January 2015, Everton 0 0 West_Brom; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 22 52 +32 5.67 82.19 5.65 86.40 5.02 51.88 77.11 97.65 99.54 99.91 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 22 47 +23 0.83 53.93 -3.22 80.84 4.92 43.27 21.77 86.62 96.25 99.04 99.97 0.00 0.00 Southampton 22 42 +21 6.59 83.58 13.37 68.95 5.40 28.11 0.36 4.94 29.87 58.11 92.84 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 22 40 +15 -0.41 47.00 -0.51 68.92 5.34 25.67 0.30 4.67 30.00 56.36 92.46 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 22 39 +14 0.02 49.80 0.34 69.84 5.34 27.79 0.45 5.66 37.35 64.42 94.40 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 22 37 +2 3.80 71.51 -1.90 60.56 5.54 4.11 0.00 0.17 2.49 7.79 40.76 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 22 36 +10 4.57 75.34 8.58 56.92 5.38 7.90 0.00 0.02 0.51 2.33 19.54 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 22 35 +4 -4.21 26.12 -9.74 61.88 5.44 11.76 0.01 0.27 3.95 11.80 54.64 0.00 0.00 Swansea 22 30 -4 1.27 58.17 -0.84 50.40 5.48 -6.57 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.15 2.48 0.17R 0.00 Stoke 22 29 -4 2.67 66.82 1.94 49.61 5.34 -6.01 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.05 1.59 0.25R 0.01 Newcastle 22 27 -9 2.06 63.58 0.36 45.96 5.40 -14.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.36 1.96R 0.15 Everton 22 23 -4 -10.06 6.45 -7.74 47.46 5.51 -0.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.93 0.92R 0.09 Crystal_Palace 22 23 -8 -0.09 50.61 3.18 39.38 5.11 -16.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 17.02R 3.01 West_Brom 22 22 -9 -3.58 29.28 -1.51 40.29 5.23 -15.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 13.16R 2.23 Aston_Villa 22 22 -14 -0.64 46.91 -2.94 38.09 4.96 -23.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 25.76R 5.30 Sunderland 22 20 -14 -2.73 34.46 -2.27 38.55 5.14 -19.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 22.54R 4.97 Burnley 22 20 -15 -2.23 37.40 -1.94 33.99 4.91 -28.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 57.92R 21.64 Hull 22 19 -10 -3.48 29.38 1.69 35.79 5.04 -17.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 39.30R 11.13 QPR 22 19 -16 -1.99 38.61 -0.21 33.22 5.02 -28.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 63.28R 27.80 Leicester 22 17 -14 -5.97 17.59 -2.29 33.60 5.15 -23.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 57.72R 23.68Championship (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 27 January 2015, Derby 2 0 Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Bournemouth 27 51 +29 5.65 76.62 16.35 82.35 6.22 37.16 22.20 42.01 91.64 54.35P 0.00 0.00 Derby 27 51 +25 2.55 62.68 7.57 84.86 6.07 36.86 35.35 57.46 96.16 69.66P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 27 50 +24 4.53 72.04 11.63 81.24 6.06 31.44 15.21 32.71 88.82 48.14P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 27 50 +19 7.40 83.26 10.77 80.32 6.13 25.28 11.11 26.16 84.91 39.32P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 27 49 +8 11.78 93.39 8.02 75.75 6.25 8.86 3.10 8.98 59.31 16.73P 0.00 0.00 Watford 27 47 +25 -0.59 46.60 8.36 78.84 6.22 33.97 9.46 21.90 79.94 38.33P 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 27 44 -2 5.70 76.99 -3.90 69.65 6.12 -2.42 0.32 1.21 21.05 4.88P 0.00R 0.00 Norwich 27 43 +16 -3.08 34.29 2.14 75.58 6.27 25.78 3.22 9.38 61.69 25.24P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 27 38 -2 3.04 66.20 0.33 61.96 5.92 -4.84 0.00 0.02 2.41 0.46P 0.38R 0.00 Blackburn 27 36 -1 -1.31 44.00 -1.16 63.89 6.21 1.52 0.02 0.09 5.13 1.10P 0.20R 0.00 Birmingham 27 36 -8 3.19 66.77 -1.50 58.99 5.96 -13.36 0.00 0.01 0.80 0.13P 1.60R 0.02 Nott'm_Forest 27 34 -2 -2.54 37.62 -0.79 60.43 6.17 -1.65 0.00 0.02 1.71 0.33P 1.05R 0.01 Cardiff 27 34 -4 -2.65 37.36 -3.05 61.67 6.30 -1.62 0.00 0.03 2.64 0.57P 0.70R 0.01 Fulham 27 34 -7 -4.06 30.90 -7.93 60.46 6.37 -6.88 0.01 0.02 1.96 0.46P 1.31R 0.02 Huddersfield 27 34 -10 2.56 64.11 -0.54 57.39 6.11 -14.30 0.00 0.00 0.48 0.05P 3.35R 0.08 Bolton 27 33 -6 -3.04 34.87 -4.43 57.52 6.00 -8.52 0.00 0.00 0.49 0.10P 2.76R 0.05 Charlton 27 32 -10 1.39 58.38 -1.04 54.93 5.95 -14.14 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.03P 6.91R 0.18 Reading 27 31 -11 -5.28 24.74 -9.65 57.42 6.20 -10.74 0.00 0.00 0.44 0.09P 3.62R 0.06 Brighton 27 29 -5 -9.39 10.32 -7.08 55.87 6.06 -3.49 0.00 0.00 0.22 0.05P 4.72R 0.12 Leeds_United 27 29 -10 -3.17 34.04 -2.21 52.02 6.00 -14.36 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 15.65R 0.62 Rotherham 27 29 -10 0.20 52.33 2.83 48.32 5.83 -20.35 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 36.13R 1.90 Millwall 27 24 -19 -3.29 32.87 -3.77 42.67 5.69 -30.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 75.54R 11.99 Wigan 27 21 -10 -16.22 1.30 -10.39 46.16 6.08 -11.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 47.95R 4.98 Blackpool 27 17 -29 -8.05 12.01 -10.56 34.34 5.50 -42.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.11R 79.96League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 27 January 2015, Chesterfield 3 0 Crawley_Town; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Swindon 26 54 +27 6.75 81.53 9.64 90.03 6.32 39.94 34.19 65.44 99.90 77.09P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 25 54 +26 9.73 90.72 10.90 90.81 6.59 38.13 38.94 68.79 99.87 78.32P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 26 52 +29 5.21 75.03 12.06 87.79 6.41 41.73 23.24 51.86 99.63 67.50P 0.00 0.00 Preston 26 47 +14 3.24 66.34 2.18 80.98 6.39 23.62 3.53 12.98 95.57 37.70P 0.00 0.00 Chesterfield 26 38 +5 1.60 58.29 4.05 65.94 6.60 5.67 0.01 0.09 28.05 5.16P 0.71R 0.01 Rochdale 25 37 +12 1.11 56.04 9.99 66.40 6.84 12.61 0.02 0.22 31.86 5.70P 0.73R 0.02 Fleetwood_Town 27 37 +1 4.67 73.59 7.34 59.92 6.09 -3.13 0.00 0.00 5.74 0.79P 4.92R 0.17 Bradford 25 36 +3 2.22 62.15 3.52 64.00 6.55 2.07 0.00 0.04 18.23 3.20P 1.47R 0.03 Sheff_Utd 24 36 +2 0.86 55.00 -1.48 69.86 6.79 7.42 0.08 0.47 49.42 11.13P 0.20R 0.00 Notts_County 26 35 -1 0.22 51.60 0.39 61.92 6.41 -1.77 0.00 0.01 10.61 1.75P 3.20R 0.15 Doncaster 25 35 -3 0.54 53.33 -3.59 63.85 6.60 -2.60 0.00 0.05 16.75 3.21P 1.86R 0.06 Port_Vale 27 35 -5 1.72 59.62 0.85 57.51 6.13 -10.52 0.00 0.00 2.40 0.30P 11.13R 0.66 Peterborough 26 34 -1 -5.44 24.13 -6.51 63.70 6.44 2.29 0.00 0.02 16.82 3.68P 1.64R 0.07 Oldham 25 34 -3 2.39 63.35 0.99 59.96 6.55 -7.27 0.00 0.01 6.49 1.02P 6.48R 0.33 Walsall 26 33 -2 -2.38 38.14 -2.08 59.47 6.27 -2.98 0.00 0.00 5.29 0.96P 6.07R 0.35 Gillingham 27 31 -8 -0.91 46.20 0.31 52.14 6.01 -15.97 0.00 0.00 0.35 0.06P 36.60R 5.09 Scunthorpe 24 30 -7 1.29 57.94 -0.04 56.69 6.92 -12.66 0.00 0.00 3.19 0.45P 17.39R 1.96 Coventry 27 30 -10 -4.50 28.56 -6.04 54.35 6.19 -12.70 0.00 0.00 0.88 0.15P 24.21R 2.61 Barnsley 25 29 -4 -5.86 22.46 -4.66 59.03 6.84 -2.30 0.00 0.00 6.19 1.23P 9.07R 0.74 Crewe 26 29 -19 2.45 64.07 -4.64 48.72 6.01 -31.29 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.01P 62.54R 16.90 Colchester 26 27 -11 -3.41 32.88 -3.00 50.75 6.26 -16.60 0.00 0.00 0.22 0.03P 45.71R 8.94 Leyton_Orient 26 26 -5 -13.27 3.83 -10.27 56.33 6.51 -0.79 0.00 0.00 2.40 0.57P 15.11R 1.66 Yeovil 27 25 -18 -6.36 20.60 -10.07 47.37 6.08 -23.25 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.00P 68.35R 21.23 Crawley_Town 27 24 -22 -4.77 26.25 -9.85 44.73 5.90 -29.65 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 82.60R 39.02League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 27 January 2015, Accrington_Stanley 0 1 Bury; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Wycombe 27 52 +19 10.26 91.76 11.92 81.17 6.05 23.75 21.01 61.93 95.73 70.32P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 27 51 +21 3.21 65.98 5.34 84.59 6.05 31.82 44.71 82.15 98.78 87.99P 0.00 0.00 Burton_Albion 27 51 +11 10.63 91.85 5.87 80.48 6.13 16.28 16.07 54.99 93.58 64.50P 0.00 0.00 Luton 26 47 +12 8.19 86.49 7.03 77.41 6.33 16.56 8.09 36.08 85.39 48.77P 0.00 0.00 Southend 27 47 +6 5.16 75.31 -1.27 76.81 5.96 11.58 6.07 30.39 83.70 45.27P 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 27 46 +4 10.45 91.37 6.08 70.99 6.02 2.48 0.97 7.67 48.60 14.71P 0.00R 0.00 Bury 27 44 +7 2.23 61.49 -0.19 72.43 6.13 10.65 1.62 12.20 60.58 24.69P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 27 41 +4 -0.43 47.89 -2.73 71.09 6.28 10.09 1.06 9.32 52.61 21.60P 0.01R 0.00 Exeter 28 41 -1 2.56 63.02 -1.14 65.23 5.91 -1.66 0.07 1.02 16.73 4.30P 0.05R 0.00 Plymouth 27 40 +11 1.67 59.04 8.47 67.18 6.02 12.97 0.22 2.70 29.07 9.18P 0.01R 0.00 Morecambe 27 37 +2 1.54 58.63 3.66 62.47 5.99 1.51 0.02 0.40 8.87 2.14P 0.20R 0.01 Cambridge_Utd 26 36 +10 0.88 54.99 10.60 62.55 6.36 8.99 0.06 0.72 11.19 3.05P 0.26R 0.01 AFC_Wimbledon 26 36 +0 2.45 63.32 3.19 60.76 6.17 -4.01 0.02 0.22 5.67 1.28P 0.65R 0.08 Northampton 27 34 +2 -1.96 40.47 3.46 58.84 6.08 0.15 0.01 0.09 3.14 0.75P 1.44R 0.15 Accrington_Stanley 26 33 -8 1.15 56.80 -1.93 58.46 6.27 -10.94 0.00 0.08 2.71 0.55P 2.23R 0.30 Oxford_Utd 27 30 -6 -5.83 22.27 -4.77 54.50 5.95 -8.17 0.00 0.00 0.57 0.13P 6.04R 0.99 Cheltenham 27 30 -13 -2.50 37.37 -6.68 51.78 5.90 -18.99 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.05P 15.30R 2.94 Portsmouth 26 29 -5 -5.82 21.62 -4.01 56.06 6.30 -5.49 0.00 0.02 1.34 0.31P 4.60R 0.81 York 27 28 -5 -7.05 17.21 -2.93 53.38 5.93 -5.54 0.00 0.00 0.28 0.07P 8.62R 1.64 Mansfield 26 28 -12 -1.23 43.90 -3.02 50.82 6.08 -18.15 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.02P 20.22R 4.62 Tranmere 26 27 -4 -11.21 6.62 -7.95 54.74 6.40 -3.17 0.00 0.02 0.95 0.29P 6.75R 1.06 Dag_&_Red 27 27 -11 -4.93 25.77 -3.75 49.82 5.92 -15.58 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.01P 23.53R 5.76 Carlisle 27 27 -16 -6.28 21.21 -9.95 50.80 6.12 -19.67 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.03P 20.68R 5.11 Hartlepool 27 18 -28 -10.27 6.95 -15.30 38.82 5.82 -35.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 89.41R 76.51Conference (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 27 January 2015, AFC_Telford 0 1 Halifax; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Barnet 32 65 +37 5.69 75.51 12.33 90.95 5.04 47.42 73.70 99.67 81.87P 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 31 57 +16 9.66 87.76 8.64 80.78 5.24 20.90 4.12 77.75 17.87P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 31 57 +16 1.64 57.44 -2.77 84.27 5.15 26.03 12.59 92.19 38.89P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 31 56 +24 1.05 54.93 5.31 82.02 5.27 32.09 7.70 86.47 31.17P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 30 50 +12 2.94 63.94 2.86 75.87 5.55 18.07 0.89 44.63 9.79P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 32 49 +5 0.40 51.82 -2.40 69.68 5.20 7.17 0.02 8.71 1.76P 0.00 0.00 Halifax 29 48 +12 1.44 56.99 1.38 73.97 5.80 15.93 0.59 31.76 6.99P 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 29 47 +13 4.37 69.74 8.92 70.19 5.93 12.73 0.14 14.40 2.57P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 30 46 +12 2.95 63.65 9.37 68.45 5.70 12.82 0.03 8.47 1.47P 0.00 0.00 Woking 31 46 +12 0.97 54.95 8.12 67.73 5.42 13.67 0.01 6.20 1.07P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 31 45 -2 3.62 66.97 0.37 65.18 5.43 -2.95 0.00 1.82 0.25P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 28 44 +8 0.43 52.23 -0.09 71.37 5.95 12.07 0.19 18.69 3.99P 0.00 0.00 Chester 32 43 -10 7.40 81.95 3.42 58.72 4.92 -15.60 0.00 0.04 0.00P 0.09R 0.00 Torquay 31 42 +7 -8.93 14.72 -6.04 68.78 5.31 16.73 0.01 7.89 2.09P 0.00 0.00 Altrincham 31 42 -10 6.99 80.20 2.19 57.93 5.15 -17.41 0.00 0.06 0.00P 0.19R 0.00 Braintree_Town 30 39 +1 -3.95 31.75 -1.87 61.13 5.37 1.61 0.00 0.33 0.06P 0.03R 0.00 Wrexham 28 37 -5 -1.67 41.93 -5.68 62.67 5.92 -3.39 0.00 0.92 0.14P 0.05R 0.00 Aldershot 31 33 -11 -8.77 14.20 -10.09 53.46 5.20 -10.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.79R 0.02 Welling 31 33 -12 -3.51 33.78 -2.86 50.81 5.18 -16.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.76R 0.12 Southport 28 31 -16 1.12 56.95 -2.28 51.29 5.72 -22.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.57R 0.31 Alfreton_Town 29 27 -27 -2.30 39.03 -8.76 45.92 5.56 -34.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 29.13R 2.65 Dartford 30 23 -25 -6.10 21.09 -5.67 39.69 5.25 -33.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 75.23R 17.32 Nuneaton 32 23 -35 -7.28 17.28 -13.72 35.74 4.63 -45.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 94.68R 48.02 AFC_Telford 30 22 -22 -7.31 17.87 -0.67 37.07 5.25 -34.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 87.50R 31.55