Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 27 January 2015 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 19 January 2015, Everton 0 0 West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Chelsea          22   52  +32       5.67    82.19     5.65    86.40     5.02    51.88    77.11    97.65    99.54    99.91   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         22   47  +23       0.83    53.93    -3.22    80.84     4.92    43.27    21.77    86.62    96.25    99.04    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      22   42  +21       6.59    83.58    13.37    68.95     5.40    28.11     0.36     4.94    29.87    58.11    92.84     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          22   40  +15      -0.41    47.00    -0.51    68.92     5.34    25.67     0.30     4.67    30.00    56.36    92.46     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          22   39  +14       0.02    49.80     0.34    69.84     5.34    27.79     0.45     5.66    37.35    64.42    94.40     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        22   37   +2       3.80    71.51    -1.90    60.56     5.54     4.11     0.00     0.17     2.49     7.79    40.76     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         22   36  +10       4.57    75.34     8.58    56.92     5.38     7.90     0.00     0.02     0.51     2.33    19.54     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        22   35   +4      -4.21    26.12    -9.74    61.88     5.44    11.76     0.01     0.27     3.95    11.80    54.64     0.00     0.00  
Swansea          22   30   -4       1.27    58.17    -0.84    50.40     5.48    -6.57     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.15     2.48     0.17R    0.00  
Stoke            22   29   -4       2.67    66.82     1.94    49.61     5.34    -6.01     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     1.59     0.25R    0.01  
Newcastle        22   27   -9       2.06    63.58     0.36    45.96     5.40   -14.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.36     1.96R    0.15  
Everton          22   23   -4     -10.06     6.45    -7.74    47.46     5.51    -0.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.93     0.92R    0.09  
Crystal_Palace   22   23   -8      -0.09    50.61     3.18    39.38     5.11   -16.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    17.02R    3.01  
West_Brom        22   22   -9      -3.58    29.28    -1.51    40.29     5.23   -15.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    13.16R    2.23  
Aston_Villa      22   22  -14      -0.64    46.91    -2.94    38.09     4.96   -23.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.76R    5.30  
Sunderland       22   20  -14      -2.73    34.46    -2.27    38.55     5.14   -19.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.54R    4.97  
Burnley          22   20  -15      -2.23    37.40    -1.94    33.99     4.91   -28.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.92R   21.64  
Hull             22   19  -10      -3.48    29.38     1.69    35.79     5.04   -17.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.30R   11.13  
QPR              22   19  -16      -1.99    38.61    -0.21    33.22     5.02   -28.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.28R   27.80  
Leicester        22   17  -14      -5.97    17.59    -2.29    33.60     5.15   -23.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.72R   23.68  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 27 January 2015, Derby 2 0 Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Bournemouth     27   51  +29       5.65    76.62    16.35    82.35     6.22    37.16    22.20    42.01    91.64    54.35P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           27   51  +25       2.55    62.68     7.57    84.86     6.07    36.86    35.35    57.46    96.16    69.66P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   27   50  +24       4.53    72.04    11.63    81.24     6.06    31.44    15.21    32.71    88.82    48.14P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         27   50  +19       7.40    83.26    10.77    80.32     6.13    25.28    11.11    26.16    84.91    39.32P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       27   49   +8      11.78    93.39     8.02    75.75     6.25     8.86     3.10     8.98    59.31    16.73P    0.00     0.00  
Watford         27   47  +25      -0.59    46.60     8.36    78.84     6.22    33.97     9.46    21.90    79.94    38.33P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   27   44   -2       5.70    76.99    -3.90    69.65     6.12    -2.42     0.32     1.21    21.05     4.88P    0.00R    0.00  
Norwich         27   43  +16      -3.08    34.29     2.14    75.58     6.27    25.78     3.22     9.38    61.69    25.24P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       27   38   -2       3.04    66.20     0.33    61.96     5.92    -4.84     0.00     0.02     2.41     0.46P    0.38R    0.00  
Blackburn       27   36   -1      -1.31    44.00    -1.16    63.89     6.21     1.52     0.02     0.09     5.13     1.10P    0.20R    0.00  
Birmingham      27   36   -8       3.19    66.77    -1.50    58.99     5.96   -13.36     0.00     0.01     0.80     0.13P    1.60R    0.02  
Nott'm_Forest   27   34   -2      -2.54    37.62    -0.79    60.43     6.17    -1.65     0.00     0.02     1.71     0.33P    1.05R    0.01  
Cardiff         27   34   -4      -2.65    37.36    -3.05    61.67     6.30    -1.62     0.00     0.03     2.64     0.57P    0.70R    0.01  
Fulham          27   34   -7      -4.06    30.90    -7.93    60.46     6.37    -6.88     0.01     0.02     1.96     0.46P    1.31R    0.02  
Huddersfield    27   34  -10       2.56    64.11    -0.54    57.39     6.11   -14.30     0.00     0.00     0.48     0.05P    3.35R    0.08  
Bolton          27   33   -6      -3.04    34.87    -4.43    57.52     6.00    -8.52     0.00     0.00     0.49     0.10P    2.76R    0.05  
Charlton        27   32  -10       1.39    58.38    -1.04    54.93     5.95   -14.14     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.03P    6.91R    0.18  
Reading         27   31  -11      -5.28    24.74    -9.65    57.42     6.20   -10.74     0.00     0.00     0.44     0.09P    3.62R    0.06  
Brighton        27   29   -5      -9.39    10.32    -7.08    55.87     6.06    -3.49     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.05P    4.72R    0.12  
Leeds_United    27   29  -10      -3.17    34.04    -2.21    52.02     6.00   -14.36     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   15.65R    0.62  
Rotherham       27   29  -10       0.20    52.33     2.83    48.32     5.83   -20.35     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   36.13R    1.90  
Millwall        27   24  -19      -3.29    32.87    -3.77    42.67     5.69   -30.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.54R   11.99  
Wigan           27   21  -10     -16.22     1.30   -10.39    46.16     6.08   -11.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.95R    4.98  
Blackpool       27   17  -29      -8.05    12.01   -10.56    34.34     5.50   -42.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.11R   79.96  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 27 January 2015, Chesterfield 3 0 Crawley_Town; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Swindon          26   54  +27       6.75    81.53     9.64    90.03     6.32    39.94    34.19    65.44    99.90    77.09P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     25   54  +26       9.73    90.72    10.90    90.81     6.59    38.13    38.94    68.79    99.87    78.32P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          26   52  +29       5.21    75.03    12.06    87.79     6.41    41.73    23.24    51.86    99.63    67.50P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          26   47  +14       3.24    66.34     2.18    80.98     6.39    23.62     3.53    12.98    95.57    37.70P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield     26   38   +5       1.60    58.29     4.05    65.94     6.60     5.67     0.01     0.09    28.05     5.16P    0.71R    0.01  
Rochdale         25   37  +12       1.11    56.04     9.99    66.40     6.84    12.61     0.02     0.22    31.86     5.70P    0.73R    0.02  
Fleetwood_Town   27   37   +1       4.67    73.59     7.34    59.92     6.09    -3.13     0.00     0.00     5.74     0.79P    4.92R    0.17  
Bradford         25   36   +3       2.22    62.15     3.52    64.00     6.55     2.07     0.00     0.04    18.23     3.20P    1.47R    0.03  
Sheff_Utd        24   36   +2       0.86    55.00    -1.48    69.86     6.79     7.42     0.08     0.47    49.42    11.13P    0.20R    0.00  
Notts_County     26   35   -1       0.22    51.60     0.39    61.92     6.41    -1.77     0.00     0.01    10.61     1.75P    3.20R    0.15  
Doncaster        25   35   -3       0.54    53.33    -3.59    63.85     6.60    -2.60     0.00     0.05    16.75     3.21P    1.86R    0.06  
Port_Vale        27   35   -5       1.72    59.62     0.85    57.51     6.13   -10.52     0.00     0.00     2.40     0.30P   11.13R    0.66  
Peterborough     26   34   -1      -5.44    24.13    -6.51    63.70     6.44     2.29     0.00     0.02    16.82     3.68P    1.64R    0.07  
Oldham           25   34   -3       2.39    63.35     0.99    59.96     6.55    -7.27     0.00     0.01     6.49     1.02P    6.48R    0.33  
Walsall          26   33   -2      -2.38    38.14    -2.08    59.47     6.27    -2.98     0.00     0.00     5.29     0.96P    6.07R    0.35  
Gillingham       27   31   -8      -0.91    46.20     0.31    52.14     6.01   -15.97     0.00     0.00     0.35     0.06P   36.60R    5.09  
Scunthorpe       24   30   -7       1.29    57.94    -0.04    56.69     6.92   -12.66     0.00     0.00     3.19     0.45P   17.39R    1.96  
Coventry         27   30  -10      -4.50    28.56    -6.04    54.35     6.19   -12.70     0.00     0.00     0.88     0.15P   24.21R    2.61  
Barnsley         25   29   -4      -5.86    22.46    -4.66    59.03     6.84    -2.30     0.00     0.00     6.19     1.23P    9.07R    0.74  
Crewe            26   29  -19       2.45    64.07    -4.64    48.72     6.01   -31.29     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   62.54R   16.90  
Colchester       26   27  -11      -3.41    32.88    -3.00    50.75     6.26   -16.60     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.03P   45.71R    8.94  
Leyton_Orient    26   26   -5     -13.27     3.83   -10.27    56.33     6.51    -0.79     0.00     0.00     2.40     0.57P   15.11R    1.66  
Yeovil           27   25  -18      -6.36    20.60   -10.07    47.37     6.08   -23.25     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   68.35R   21.23  
Crawley_Town     27   24  -22      -4.77    26.25    -9.85    44.73     5.90   -29.65     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    82.60R   39.02  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 27 January 2015, Accrington_Stanley 0 1 Bury; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Wycombe              27   52  +19      10.26    91.76    11.92    81.17     6.05    23.75    21.01    61.93    95.73    70.32P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           27   51  +21       3.21    65.98     5.34    84.59     6.05    31.82    44.71    82.15    98.78    87.99P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        27   51  +11      10.63    91.85     5.87    80.48     6.13    16.28    16.07    54.99    93.58    64.50P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                26   47  +12       8.19    86.49     7.03    77.41     6.33    16.56     8.09    36.08    85.39    48.77P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             27   47   +6       5.16    75.31    -1.27    76.81     5.96    11.58     6.07    30.39    83.70    45.27P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       27   46   +4      10.45    91.37     6.08    70.99     6.02     2.48     0.97     7.67    48.60    14.71P    0.00R    0.00  
Bury                 27   44   +7       2.23    61.49    -0.19    72.43     6.13    10.65     1.62    12.20    60.58    24.69P    0.00     0.00  
Stevenage            27   41   +4      -0.43    47.89    -2.73    71.09     6.28    10.09     1.06     9.32    52.61    21.60P    0.01R    0.00  
Exeter               28   41   -1       2.56    63.02    -1.14    65.23     5.91    -1.66     0.07     1.02    16.73     4.30P    0.05R    0.00  
Plymouth             27   40  +11       1.67    59.04     8.47    67.18     6.02    12.97     0.22     2.70    29.07     9.18P    0.01R    0.00  
Morecambe            27   37   +2       1.54    58.63     3.66    62.47     5.99     1.51     0.02     0.40     8.87     2.14P    0.20R    0.01  
Cambridge_Utd        26   36  +10       0.88    54.99    10.60    62.55     6.36     8.99     0.06     0.72    11.19     3.05P    0.26R    0.01  
AFC_Wimbledon        26   36   +0       2.45    63.32     3.19    60.76     6.17    -4.01     0.02     0.22     5.67     1.28P    0.65R    0.08  
Northampton          27   34   +2      -1.96    40.47     3.46    58.84     6.08     0.15     0.01     0.09     3.14     0.75P    1.44R    0.15  
Accrington_Stanley   26   33   -8       1.15    56.80    -1.93    58.46     6.27   -10.94     0.00     0.08     2.71     0.55P    2.23R    0.30  
Oxford_Utd           27   30   -6      -5.83    22.27    -4.77    54.50     5.95    -8.17     0.00     0.00     0.57     0.13P    6.04R    0.99  
Cheltenham           27   30  -13      -2.50    37.37    -6.68    51.78     5.90   -18.99     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.05P   15.30R    2.94  
Portsmouth           26   29   -5      -5.82    21.62    -4.01    56.06     6.30    -5.49     0.00     0.02     1.34     0.31P    4.60R    0.81  
York                 27   28   -5      -7.05    17.21    -2.93    53.38     5.93    -5.54     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.07P    8.62R    1.64  
Mansfield            26   28  -12      -1.23    43.90    -3.02    50.82     6.08   -18.15     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.02P   20.22R    4.62  
Tranmere             26   27   -4     -11.21     6.62    -7.95    54.74     6.40    -3.17     0.00     0.02     0.95     0.29P    6.75R    1.06  
Dag_&_Red            27   27  -11      -4.93    25.77    -3.75    49.82     5.92   -15.58     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   23.53R    5.76  
Carlisle             27   27  -16      -6.28    21.21    -9.95    50.80     6.12   -19.67     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.03P   20.68R    5.11  
Hartlepool           27   18  -28     -10.27     6.95   -15.30    38.82     5.82   -35.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.41R   76.51  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 27 January 2015, AFC_Telford 0 1 Halifax; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barnet           32   65  +37       5.69    75.51    12.33    90.95     5.04    47.42    73.70    99.67    81.87P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     31   57  +16       9.66    87.76     8.64    80.78     5.24    20.90     4.12    77.75    17.87P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   31   57  +16       1.64    57.44    -2.77    84.27     5.15    26.03    12.59    92.19    38.89P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          31   56  +24       1.05    54.93     5.31    82.02     5.27    32.09     7.70    86.47    31.17P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     30   50  +12       2.94    63.94     2.86    75.87     5.55    18.07     0.89    44.63     9.79P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster    32   49   +5       0.40    51.82    -2.40    69.68     5.20     7.17     0.02     8.71     1.76P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax          29   48  +12       1.44    56.99     1.38    73.97     5.80    15.93     0.59    31.76     6.99P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        29   47  +13       4.37    69.74     8.92    70.19     5.93    12.73     0.14    14.40     2.57P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   30   46  +12       2.95    63.65     9.37    68.45     5.70    12.82     0.03     8.47     1.47P    0.00     0.00  
Woking           31   46  +12       0.97    54.95     8.12    67.73     5.42    13.67     0.01     6.20     1.07P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     31   45   -2       3.62    66.97     0.37    65.18     5.43    -2.95     0.00     1.82     0.25P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        28   44   +8       0.43    52.23    -0.09    71.37     5.95    12.07     0.19    18.69     3.99P    0.00     0.00  
Chester          32   43  -10       7.40    81.95     3.42    58.72     4.92   -15.60     0.00     0.04     0.00P    0.09R    0.00  
Torquay          31   42   +7      -8.93    14.72    -6.04    68.78     5.31    16.73     0.01     7.89     2.09P    0.00     0.00  
Altrincham       31   42  -10       6.99    80.20     2.19    57.93     5.15   -17.41     0.00     0.06     0.00P    0.19R    0.00  
Braintree_Town   30   39   +1      -3.95    31.75    -1.87    61.13     5.37     1.61     0.00     0.33     0.06P    0.03R    0.00  
Wrexham          28   37   -5      -1.67    41.93    -5.68    62.67     5.92    -3.39     0.00     0.92     0.14P    0.05R    0.00  
Aldershot        31   33  -11      -8.77    14.20   -10.09    53.46     5.20   -10.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.79R    0.02  
Welling          31   33  -12      -3.51    33.78    -2.86    50.81     5.18   -16.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.76R    0.12  
Southport        28   31  -16       1.12    56.95    -2.28    51.29     5.72   -22.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.57R    0.31  
Alfreton_Town    29   27  -27      -2.30    39.03    -8.76    45.92     5.56   -34.56     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.13R    2.65  
Dartford         30   23  -25      -6.10    21.09    -5.67    39.69     5.25   -33.46     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.23R   17.32  
Nuneaton         32   23  -35      -7.28    17.28   -13.72    35.74     4.63   -45.12     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.68R   48.02  
AFC_Telford      30   22  -22      -7.31    17.87    -0.67    37.07     5.25   -34.62     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.50R   31.55