Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Friday 23 January 2015 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 19 January 2015, Everton 0 0 West_Brom; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 22 52 +32 5.60 81.82 5.50 86.42 5.03 51.95 76.91 97.67 99.56 99.92 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 22 47 +23 0.68 53.10 -3.52 80.92 4.94 43.40 21.93 86.70 96.31 99.03 99.98 0.00 0.00 Southampton 22 42 +21 6.63 83.98 13.38 68.96 5.39 28.17 0.37 4.84 30.01 57.98 92.68 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 22 40 +15 -0.45 46.61 -0.62 69.01 5.35 25.86 0.35 4.85 30.20 56.97 92.67 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 22 39 +14 0.01 49.65 0.36 69.80 5.35 27.75 0.43 5.47 37.12 63.83 94.20 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 22 37 +2 3.59 70.54 -2.18 60.65 5.51 4.20 0.00 0.17 2.30 7.95 41.31 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 22 36 +10 4.79 76.47 8.91 56.88 5.40 7.80 0.00 0.02 0.63 2.48 19.39 0.00R 0.00 Liverpool 22 35 +4 -4.19 26.20 -9.76 61.82 5.47 11.68 0.01 0.28 3.85 11.59 54.29 0.00 0.00 Swansea 22 30 -4 1.30 58.46 -0.78 50.37 5.48 -6.63 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.17 2.52 0.22R 0.01 Stoke 22 29 -4 2.67 66.92 1.96 49.65 5.35 -5.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 1.66 0.28R 0.02 Newcastle 22 27 -9 2.09 63.57 0.43 45.92 5.39 -14.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.38 2.00R 0.14 Everton 22 23 -4 -9.99 6.63 -7.64 47.46 5.49 -0.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.89 0.87R 0.07 Crystal_Palace 22 23 -8 -0.11 50.48 3.19 39.44 5.07 -16.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 16.15R 2.76 West_Brom 22 22 -9 -3.59 29.34 -1.50 40.26 5.23 -15.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 13.47R 2.30 Aston_Villa 22 22 -14 -0.62 47.35 -2.93 38.00 4.93 -23.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 25.68R 5.28 Sunderland 22 20 -14 -2.70 34.50 -2.28 38.56 5.15 -19.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 22.52R 4.84 Burnley 22 20 -15 -2.20 37.69 -1.78 33.91 4.90 -28.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 58.36R 22.19 Hull 22 19 -10 -3.53 29.18 1.61 35.87 5.07 -17.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 38.61R 11.21 QPR 22 19 -16 -2.08 38.05 -0.35 33.28 5.02 -28.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 62.87R 26.98 Leicester 22 17 -14 -5.81 18.37 -1.98 33.46 5.10 -23.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 58.97R 24.18Championship (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 21 January 2015, Brighton 3 2 Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Bournemouth 27 51 +29 5.75 77.00 16.42 82.34 6.25 37.11 23.49 43.63 91.66 55.19P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 27 50 +24 4.41 71.70 11.47 81.26 6.05 31.41 16.44 34.18 89.28 49.70P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 27 50 +19 7.31 82.84 10.63 80.36 6.20 25.28 12.49 27.77 85.30 40.46P 0.00 0.00 Derby 26 48 +23 1.75 58.88 6.77 83.64 6.35 35.52 29.97 50.79 93.92 64.05P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 26 46 +7 10.30 90.86 7.20 72.99 6.43 6.02 1.67 4.80 41.53 10.51P 0.00R 0.00 Watford 26 44 +20 -0.25 48.38 6.81 77.42 6.32 29.24 7.08 16.78 73.32 32.16P 0.00 0.00 Norwich 26 43 +17 -1.85 40.07 2.97 78.07 6.47 28.49 8.15 19.38 76.14 36.48P 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 26 43 -2 6.16 78.94 -3.73 70.66 6.40 -1.59 0.62 2.22 27.24 6.98P 0.01R 0.00 Sheff_Wed 26 37 -2 3.70 70.03 0.76 62.72 6.11 -4.29 0.02 0.08 3.65 0.71P 0.28R 0.00 Blackburn 26 36 +1 -0.75 46.44 -0.46 64.81 6.36 2.79 0.05 0.23 7.68 1.74P 0.17R 0.00 Birmingham 26 35 -8 3.18 66.80 -1.87 59.19 6.13 -13.57 0.00 0.01 1.11 0.14P 1.71R 0.05 Nott'm_Forest 27 34 -2 -2.59 37.27 -0.88 60.43 6.17 -1.59 0.00 0.02 1.85 0.36P 0.98R 0.02 Cardiff 27 34 -4 -2.51 37.73 -2.89 61.59 6.29 -1.78 0.01 0.04 2.62 0.56P 0.83R 0.01 Fulham 27 34 -7 -4.17 30.27 -8.08 60.57 6.37 -6.66 0.00 0.04 2.13 0.50P 1.22R 0.03 Bolton 26 33 -4 -2.17 39.08 -3.31 59.26 6.24 -5.86 0.00 0.02 1.18 0.23P 1.67R 0.04 Charlton 26 31 -10 1.45 59.13 -1.35 54.76 6.10 -14.97 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.02P 7.69R 0.29 Huddersfield 26 31 -11 1.07 56.73 -1.22 54.97 6.29 -16.60 0.00 0.00 0.21 0.02P 8.05R 0.39 Reading 26 30 -11 -4.81 26.41 -9.46 58.06 6.43 -10.38 0.00 0.00 0.78 0.16P 3.22R 0.12 Brighton 27 29 -5 -9.26 10.87 -6.91 55.76 6.10 -3.65 0.00 0.00 0.20 0.04P 4.98R 0.15 Leeds_United 27 29 -10 -3.25 33.74 -2.36 52.15 6.01 -14.23 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 14.74R 0.80 Rotherham 26 26 -12 -0.72 47.24 1.60 46.07 5.93 -23.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 51.68R 5.99 Millwall 26 23 -19 -2.93 34.50 -3.63 42.82 5.93 -30.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 73.32R 15.53 Wigan 26 21 -9 -14.83 1.98 -9.37 48.26 6.31 -9.22 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 33.32R 3.64 Blackpool 26 17 -24 -8.51 10.72 -9.12 35.57 5.70 -37.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 96.13R 72.93League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 20 January 2015, Doncaster 0 0 Notts_County; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Swindon 26 54 +27 6.77 81.39 9.63 89.94 6.34 39.81 33.76 65.72 99.83 77.27P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 25 54 +26 9.75 90.83 10.84 90.94 6.57 38.29 40.07 69.94 99.88 78.92P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 24 48 +27 5.14 76.12 11.79 87.52 6.77 41.34 22.52 50.48 99.42 66.62P 0.00 0.00 Preston 26 47 +14 3.36 67.17 2.32 80.94 6.40 23.50 3.53 12.98 95.52 37.97P 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 25 37 +12 1.15 56.33 10.01 66.50 6.86 12.73 0.03 0.23 31.98 5.85P 0.63R 0.02 Bradford 25 36 +3 2.28 62.71 3.65 63.96 6.60 1.97 0.00 0.05 17.95 3.09P 1.56R 0.05 Sheff_Utd 24 36 +2 0.76 54.43 -1.51 69.84 6.79 7.38 0.06 0.44 49.01 10.95P 0.14R 0.00 Chesterfield 25 35 +2 1.28 57.02 2.99 63.86 6.73 2.05 0.01 0.05 18.09 3.26P 1.81R 0.08 Notts_County 25 35 +0 1.17 56.67 0.74 63.37 6.61 -0.60 0.00 0.03 15.62 2.66P 1.96R 0.06 Doncaster 25 35 -3 0.56 53.46 -3.58 63.86 6.62 -2.60 0.00 0.03 16.48 3.21P 1.66R 0.06 Port_Vale 26 35 -4 2.77 64.59 1.46 59.55 6.30 -8.58 0.00 0.00 5.11 0.71P 6.22R 0.31 Fleetwood_Town 26 34 +0 3.56 69.10 7.19 58.19 6.30 -4.33 0.00 0.00 3.69 0.51P 8.68R 0.57 Oldham 24 34 -2 3.42 68.59 1.41 61.64 6.76 -5.79 0.00 0.02 10.36 1.49P 4.18R 0.20 Walsall 26 33 -2 -2.42 37.92 -2.14 59.48 6.25 -2.97 0.00 0.01 5.36 1.01P 5.54R 0.27 Peterborough 25 31 -2 -6.73 18.45 -7.08 61.99 6.70 1.20 0.00 0.01 12.19 2.56P 3.24R 0.14 Barnsley 24 29 -2 -5.44 23.60 -4.13 60.47 7.07 -0.26 0.00 0.02 9.47 1.97P 6.09R 0.46 Scunthorpe 23 29 -7 1.17 57.15 -0.83 56.58 7.11 -13.63 0.00 0.00 3.47 0.48P 17.47R 2.10 Coventry 26 29 -10 -4.33 28.64 -6.22 54.92 6.42 -12.46 0.00 0.00 1.18 0.20P 21.11R 2.38 Gillingham 26 28 -9 -2.26 38.85 -0.33 50.23 6.20 -17.34 0.00 0.00 0.19 0.02P 47.54R 8.91 Leyton_Orient 25 26 -3 -12.25 5.02 -8.82 58.49 6.70 2.40 0.00 0.00 4.99 1.22P 8.89R 0.77 Crewe 25 26 -20 1.01 57.06 -5.17 46.43 6.14 -33.41 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 73.47R 27.52 Colchester 25 24 -13 -4.44 27.55 -4.06 48.11 6.43 -20.21 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.02P 60.77R 17.27 Crawley_Town 25 24 -18 -3.56 31.65 -8.04 47.83 6.35 -25.10 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.01P 64.26R 19.44 Yeovil 26 24 -18 -6.16 20.60 -10.11 47.67 6.31 -23.39 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.01P 64.80R 19.37League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 January 2015, AFC_Wimbledon 1 3 Carlisle; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Wycombe 26 51 +19 10.62 92.34 11.83 81.76 6.30 24.06 25.67 65.87 95.72 73.25P 0.00 0.00 Burton_Albion 26 50 +11 10.95 93.01 5.87 80.68 6.31 16.05 18.48 56.50 93.27 65.23P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 26 48 +20 2.28 61.70 5.42 83.30 6.25 31.26 36.35 75.98 97.53 83.66P 0.00 0.00 Luton 25 46 +12 8.57 87.87 7.04 77.89 6.58 16.73 10.29 39.85 85.77 51.20P 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 26 46 +7 10.84 92.44 7.57 72.63 6.23 5.88 2.06 13.00 59.34 21.68P 0.00 0.00 Southend 26 44 +5 3.85 70.08 -1.80 74.89 6.15 10.20 3.76 21.68 73.66 36.22P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 26 41 +5 0.47 52.66 -2.37 71.95 6.45 10.36 1.87 12.43 57.27 25.14P 0.00R 0.00 Exeter 27 40 -1 2.68 64.04 -1.58 65.37 6.12 -1.99 0.11 1.34 17.62 4.88P 0.08R 0.00 Plymouth 26 39 +11 2.30 62.63 8.80 67.93 6.14 13.52 0.35 3.73 33.32 10.85P 0.01R 0.00 Bury 25 38 +5 -0.09 49.89 -0.72 69.48 6.55 9.17 0.87 6.90 41.99 16.36P 0.02R 0.00 Morecambe 26 36 +2 1.74 59.94 3.52 62.47 6.16 1.04 0.04 0.57 9.38 2.30P 0.32R 0.03 Cambridge_Utd 25 35 +10 1.43 58.17 10.89 63.51 6.59 9.83 0.10 1.27 14.83 4.22P 0.30R 0.04 AFC_Wimbledon 25 33 -1 1.30 57.68 2.92 59.32 6.44 -4.78 0.01 0.18 4.17 1.00P 1.60R 0.22 Accrington_Stanley 24 33 -6 3.13 67.55 -1.11 61.40 6.73 -8.69 0.03 0.53 7.99 1.93P 1.02R 0.13 Northampton 26 31 -1 -2.57 37.03 1.94 56.84 6.26 -3.41 0.00 0.04 1.85 0.44P 3.32R 0.46 Portsmouth 25 29 -4 -4.85 25.20 -3.58 57.79 6.56 -3.94 0.01 0.08 2.80 0.74P 3.14R 0.50 Oxford_Utd 26 29 -6 -5.22 24.32 -4.46 55.06 6.13 -7.87 0.00 0.01 0.73 0.17P 5.91R 0.99 Cheltenham 26 29 -13 -2.22 38.59 -6.79 52.04 6.09 -19.08 0.00 0.00 0.20 0.03P 15.44R 2.71 York 26 27 -5 -6.68 18.20 -2.85 53.70 6.14 -5.54 0.00 0.00 0.47 0.11P 8.82R 1.59 Mansfield 25 27 -12 -0.91 45.93 -2.96 50.98 6.27 -18.52 0.00 0.00 0.17 0.03P 20.85R 4.85 Carlisle 26 27 -15 -5.57 23.82 -10.08 51.74 6.31 -19.35 0.00 0.00 0.19 0.03P 18.07R 3.96 Tranmere 25 26 -4 -10.53 7.58 -7.54 55.89 6.63 -2.05 0.00 0.04 1.67 0.53P 5.68R 1.02 Dag_&_Red 26 26 -11 -4.86 25.81 -4.14 49.67 6.10 -16.35 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.00P 25.78R 6.16 Hartlepool 26 17 -28 -10.26 6.45 -15.81 38.47 6.03 -36.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 89.65R 77.32Conference (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 20 January 2015, Aldershot 0 1 Kidderminster; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Barnet 31 62 +33 5.84 76.18 11.26 89.79 5.25 44.16 70.44 99.34 79.07P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 31 57 +16 1.51 56.92 -2.95 84.32 5.18 26.05 17.29 92.60 43.34P 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 30 54 +13 9.14 86.90 7.29 79.07 5.45 17.79 3.60 67.47 15.64P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 29 50 +21 -0.92 44.98 4.14 79.25 5.72 29.81 5.52 71.90 25.43P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 30 50 +12 2.76 62.90 2.54 76.04 5.55 18.29 1.43 47.57 11.02P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 31 49 +6 1.50 57.20 -1.75 71.55 5.45 8.93 0.18 17.41 3.54P 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 28 47 +14 5.45 74.36 9.52 71.54 6.21 13.68 0.46 22.52 4.26P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 30 46 +12 2.99 63.77 9.37 68.19 5.72 12.37 0.04 8.72 1.63P 0.00 0.00 Woking 31 46 +12 0.86 54.23 7.94 67.91 5.43 13.87 0.03 7.10 1.40P 0.00 0.00 Halifax 28 45 +11 0.40 52.01 1.28 72.52 6.06 15.23 0.62 25.96 6.01P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 29 45 +5 3.88 68.69 3.28 68.91 5.86 5.74 0.06 9.92 1.61P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 28 44 +8 0.65 53.18 0.32 71.28 5.96 11.92 0.31 19.42 4.39P 0.00 0.00 Torquay 31 42 +7 -8.90 14.95 -6.03 68.70 5.34 16.64 0.03 8.46 2.34P 0.00 0.00 Altrincham 31 42 -10 7.03 80.26 2.25 58.02 5.18 -17.25 0.00 0.06 0.01P 0.22R 0.00 Braintree_Town 30 39 +1 -3.81 32.61 -1.65 60.92 5.41 1.34 0.00 0.37 0.08P 0.05R 0.00 Wrexham 28 37 -5 -1.74 41.56 -5.77 62.66 5.99 -3.40 0.00 1.16 0.23P 0.05R 0.00 Chester 30 37 -15 5.68 77.27 1.00 54.13 5.31 -22.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.98R 0.03 Aldershot 31 33 -11 -8.71 14.48 -10.03 53.61 5.26 -10.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.15R 0.02 Welling 31 33 -12 -3.48 34.19 -2.77 50.77 5.22 -16.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.71R 0.18 Southport 27 31 -12 0.90 56.04 -1.10 52.38 5.91 -19.29 0.00 0.01 0.00 5.57R 0.25 Alfreton_Town 29 27 -27 -2.40 38.76 -8.96 45.83 5.56 -34.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 32.12R 3.61 Dartford 30 23 -25 -5.98 21.83 -5.51 39.66 5.26 -33.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 76.37R 21.28 Nuneaton 31 23 -33 -6.76 18.66 -12.99 36.79 4.83 -43.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 92.37R 43.95 AFC_Telford 29 22 -21 -6.64 20.41 -0.69 38.12 5.55 -34.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 83.41R 30.69