Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Sunday 18 January 2015 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 18 January 2015, Man_City 0 2 Arsenal; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 22 52 +32 5.64 81.93 5.49 86.42 5.00 52.00 77.49 97.64 99.53 99.90 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 22 47 +23 0.86 54.25 -3.24 80.84 4.91 43.33 21.47 86.48 96.20 98.97 99.98 0.00 0.00 Southampton 22 42 +21 6.51 83.58 13.20 69.02 5.40 28.20 0.33 5.07 30.02 58.51 92.87 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 22 40 +15 -0.41 46.80 -0.53 68.97 5.37 25.81 0.31 4.79 29.98 56.55 92.48 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 22 39 +14 0.06 49.92 0.40 69.86 5.33 27.82 0.39 5.57 37.49 64.28 94.39 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 22 37 +2 3.67 70.97 -2.10 60.61 5.52 4.17 0.00 0.17 2.47 7.87 40.90 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 22 36 +10 4.66 75.80 8.70 56.93 5.35 7.88 0.00 0.03 0.61 2.39 19.35 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 22 35 +4 -4.12 26.68 -9.65 61.79 5.44 11.66 0.01 0.24 3.67 11.29 53.64 0.00 0.00 Swansea 22 30 -4 1.15 57.41 -1.06 50.47 5.45 -6.48 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.12 2.48 0.18R 0.00 Stoke 22 29 -4 2.61 66.59 1.87 49.72 5.37 -5.87 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.06 1.75 0.22R 0.01 Newcastle 22 27 -9 2.08 63.48 0.41 45.88 5.39 -14.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.41 1.89R 0.14 Crystal_Palace 22 23 -8 0.02 51.52 3.38 39.33 5.05 -16.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 16.38R 2.82 Everton 21 22 -4 -9.41 7.33 -7.35 48.71 5.71 0.84 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.05 1.72 0.64R 0.06 Aston_Villa 22 22 -14 -0.62 47.29 -2.90 38.03 4.96 -23.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 25.59R 5.27 West_Brom 21 21 -9 -3.66 28.39 -2.00 39.97 5.38 -16.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 15.43R 2.98 Sunderland 22 20 -14 -2.66 34.80 -2.12 38.51 5.15 -19.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 22.45R 4.90 Burnley 22 20 -15 -2.22 37.58 -1.81 33.92 4.91 -28.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 58.23R 21.74 Hull 22 19 -10 -3.42 29.93 1.78 35.83 5.09 -17.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 38.83R 11.23 QPR 22 19 -16 -2.09 38.05 -0.26 33.25 5.01 -28.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 62.58R 27.09 Leicester 22 17 -14 -5.98 17.52 -2.22 33.55 5.17 -23.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 57.58R 23.75Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 January 2015, Brighton 0 1 Brentford; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Bournemouth 26 51 +30 6.71 81.37 16.74 84.43 6.46 39.26 32.32 53.94 94.80 63.97P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 26 50 +20 8.39 86.64 11.23 81.79 6.35 26.41 15.84 33.47 88.96 46.15P 0.00 0.00 Derby 26 48 +23 1.72 58.59 6.76 83.68 6.31 35.55 26.58 48.42 93.77 62.25P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 26 47 +23 3.51 67.71 11.50 80.01 6.19 30.95 10.81 25.10 84.45 41.19P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 26 46 +7 10.22 90.83 7.08 73.07 6.45 6.17 1.39 4.34 41.28 10.08P 0.00 0.00 Watford 26 44 +20 -0.18 48.64 6.91 77.28 6.43 29.02 5.89 15.09 71.72 30.26P 0.00 0.00 Norwich 26 43 +17 -1.84 40.07 2.94 78.09 6.43 28.49 6.54 17.39 75.56 34.91P 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 26 43 -2 6.24 79.46 -3.66 70.68 6.35 -1.55 0.54 1.85 26.79 6.58P 0.01R 0.00 Sheff_Wed 26 37 -2 3.69 69.97 0.81 62.64 6.12 -4.40 0.01 0.07 3.53 0.62P 0.26R 0.01 Blackburn 26 36 +1 -0.77 46.35 -0.49 64.88 6.37 2.86 0.03 0.17 7.62 1.66P 0.12R 0.00 Birmingham 26 35 -8 3.26 67.42 -1.81 59.10 6.14 -13.69 0.00 0.01 0.98 0.15P 1.56R 0.03 Nott'm_Forest 26 34 -1 -1.47 42.65 -0.40 61.54 6.39 -0.99 0.01 0.04 2.95 0.60P 0.63R 0.01 Cardiff 26 34 -3 -1.76 41.40 -2.83 62.61 6.45 -1.25 0.01 0.07 3.83 0.86P 0.45R 0.00 Bolton 26 33 -4 -2.18 39.05 -3.33 59.28 6.24 -5.81 0.00 0.01 1.21 0.23P 1.40R 0.03 Fulham 26 31 -8 -5.21 25.27 -8.17 59.03 6.57 -7.53 0.01 0.02 1.33 0.27P 2.11R 0.08 Charlton 26 31 -10 1.47 59.05 -1.32 54.73 6.12 -15.00 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.02P 7.00R 0.32 Huddersfield 26 31 -11 1.19 57.59 -1.09 54.85 6.26 -16.74 0.00 0.00 0.16 0.02P 7.24R 0.29 Reading 26 30 -11 -4.76 26.80 -9.33 57.96 6.42 -10.49 0.00 0.01 0.76 0.14P 2.78R 0.10 Brighton 26 26 -6 -10.70 6.96 -7.68 53.99 6.26 -4.79 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.04P 7.98R 0.41 Leeds_United 26 26 -11 -4.72 26.39 -3.07 49.95 6.20 -16.17 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 23.42R 1.99 Rotherham 26 26 -12 -0.89 46.20 1.37 46.23 6.03 -22.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 47.65R 5.75 Millwall 26 23 -19 -2.83 35.38 -3.49 42.80 5.89 -30.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 71.18R 15.36 Wigan 26 21 -9 -14.79 1.83 -9.34 48.30 6.31 -9.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 30.74R 3.54 Blackpool 26 17 -24 -8.59 10.39 -9.34 35.59 5.70 -37.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 95.48R 72.08League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 January 2015, Colchester 0 2 Walsall; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Swindon 26 54 +27 6.80 81.31 9.67 89.92 6.34 39.81 33.20 64.21 99.86 75.99P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 25 54 +26 9.70 90.35 10.80 90.94 6.59 38.32 39.41 68.88 99.88 78.35P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 24 48 +27 5.11 75.51 11.79 87.48 6.80 41.27 22.17 49.16 99.36 65.45P 0.00 0.00 Preston 25 46 +14 3.91 69.77 2.54 82.01 6.61 24.60 5.12 16.86 96.16 41.08P 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 25 37 +12 1.28 56.74 10.19 66.56 6.84 12.79 0.04 0.22 31.61 5.97P 0.67R 0.02 Bradford 25 36 +3 2.32 62.70 3.66 63.97 6.52 1.99 0.00 0.04 16.79 2.83P 1.39R 0.04 Sheff_Utd 24 36 +2 0.82 54.66 -1.46 69.88 6.78 7.47 0.05 0.44 48.16 10.98P 0.18R 0.00 Chesterfield 25 35 +2 1.32 57.52 3.01 63.84 6.74 1.94 0.00 0.03 17.57 2.88P 1.87R 0.06 Port_Vale 26 35 -4 2.75 64.77 1.45 59.50 6.30 -8.65 0.00 0.00 4.71 0.62P 6.19R 0.31 Notts_County 24 34 +0 1.46 58.52 0.69 63.64 6.83 -0.80 0.00 0.04 16.85 2.77P 2.16R 0.07 Fleetwood_Town 26 34 +0 3.59 68.85 7.22 58.14 6.29 -4.39 0.00 0.00 3.48 0.49P 8.82R 0.53 Oldham 24 34 -2 3.48 69.09 1.56 61.54 6.77 -5.89 0.00 0.02 9.79 1.33P 4.13R 0.22 Doncaster 24 34 -3 0.70 54.14 -3.82 64.56 6.92 -2.18 0.01 0.08 19.72 3.83P 1.79R 0.07 Walsall 26 33 -2 -2.36 38.13 -2.01 59.40 6.26 -3.12 0.00 0.00 4.92 0.85P 5.66R 0.28 Peterborough 25 31 -2 -6.77 18.63 -7.11 62.09 6.68 1.30 0.00 0.01 11.96 2.69P 3.04R 0.16 Barnsley 24 29 -2 -5.43 23.61 -4.11 60.46 7.02 -0.27 0.00 0.01 9.08 1.81P 5.91R 0.39 Scunthorpe 23 29 -7 1.16 57.44 -0.79 56.63 7.12 -13.60 0.00 0.01 3.27 0.46P 17.24R 2.06 Coventry 26 29 -10 -4.42 28.49 -6.31 54.93 6.41 -12.44 0.00 0.00 1.26 0.22P 21.09R 2.24 Gillingham 26 28 -9 -2.29 39.13 -0.40 50.25 6.25 -17.30 0.00 0.00 0.21 0.03P 47.05R 8.84 Leyton_Orient 25 26 -3 -12.34 4.87 -8.96 58.55 6.71 2.51 0.00 0.00 5.13 1.36P 8.69R 0.79 Crewe 25 26 -20 1.16 57.81 -4.89 46.39 6.16 -33.52 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 73.43R 26.96 Colchester 25 24 -13 -4.64 26.63 -4.29 48.18 6.46 -20.11 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.01P 60.00R 16.65 Crawley_Town 25 24 -18 -3.57 31.48 -8.06 47.76 6.37 -25.21 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 64.28R 19.08 Yeovil 25 23 -18 -5.95 21.02 -10.37 47.33 6.48 -24.51 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.00P 66.39R 21.22League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 January 2015, AFC_Wimbledon 1 3 Carlisle; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Wycombe 26 51 +19 10.65 92.70 11.89 81.72 6.28 24.02 25.35 65.27 95.65 72.83P 0.00 0.00 Burton_Albion 26 50 +11 10.79 92.60 5.58 80.79 6.37 16.24 18.88 57.20 93.31 65.75P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 26 48 +20 2.27 61.78 5.39 83.30 6.24 31.25 36.07 76.03 97.52 83.54P 0.00 0.00 Luton 25 46 +12 8.60 88.02 7.07 77.93 6.58 16.82 10.40 39.97 85.86 51.32P 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 26 46 +7 10.87 92.52 7.61 72.64 6.27 5.91 2.10 13.19 59.15 21.51P 0.00R 0.00 Southend 26 44 +5 3.88 70.09 -1.80 74.83 6.17 10.13 3.81 21.14 73.05 35.76P 0.00 0.00 Stevenage 26 41 +5 0.52 52.65 -2.33 71.96 6.42 10.37 1.87 12.33 56.97 24.98P 0.00R 0.00 Exeter 27 40 -1 2.69 64.06 -1.53 65.32 6.08 -2.04 0.10 1.31 17.43 4.76P 0.07R 0.00 Plymouth 26 39 +11 2.05 61.33 8.43 68.11 6.19 13.74 0.38 4.01 34.85 11.64P 0.02R 0.00 Bury 25 38 +5 -0.14 49.43 -0.74 69.54 6.55 9.24 0.88 6.94 42.46 16.53P 0.01R 0.00 Morecambe 26 36 +2 1.69 59.44 3.43 62.50 6.14 1.08 0.03 0.51 9.44 2.43P 0.27R 0.04 Cambridge_Utd 25 35 +10 1.49 58.68 10.96 63.47 6.55 9.76 0.08 1.19 14.42 4.09P 0.31R 0.05 AFC_Wimbledon 25 33 -1 1.30 57.77 2.93 59.31 6.42 -4.75 0.00 0.17 4.21 0.97P 1.67R 0.20 Accrington_Stanley 24 33 -6 3.15 67.53 -1.08 61.32 6.72 -8.82 0.04 0.55 7.69 1.83P 1.16R 0.13 Northampton 26 31 -1 -2.45 37.55 2.12 56.80 6.26 -3.44 0.00 0.04 1.73 0.41P 3.40R 0.50 Portsmouth 25 29 -4 -4.63 26.59 -3.31 57.68 6.55 -4.11 0.01 0.10 2.75 0.73P 3.23R 0.44 Oxford_Utd 26 29 -6 -5.18 24.60 -4.40 55.00 6.15 -7.94 0.00 0.01 0.78 0.17P 5.96R 0.94 Cheltenham 26 29 -13 -2.31 37.99 -6.87 52.07 6.12 -19.10 0.00 0.00 0.23 0.04P 15.60R 2.70 York 26 27 -5 -6.71 17.86 -2.95 53.77 6.13 -5.45 0.00 0.00 0.44 0.10P 8.39R 1.46 Mansfield 25 27 -12 -1.02 45.13 -3.13 51.04 6.27 -18.39 0.00 0.01 0.16 0.04P 20.38R 4.52 Carlisle 26 27 -15 -5.55 23.77 -9.99 51.68 6.30 -19.46 0.00 0.00 0.18 0.04P 17.89R 3.81 Tranmere 25 26 -4 -10.42 7.86 -7.34 55.86 6.63 -2.07 0.00 0.04 1.63 0.54P 5.57R 0.97 Dag_&_Red 26 26 -11 -5.04 24.83 -4.39 49.75 6.09 -16.24 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.02P 25.44R 5.86 Hartlepool 26 17 -28 -10.05 6.98 -15.54 38.33 5.95 -36.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 90.63R 78.39Conference (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 17 January 2015, Altrincham 2 1 Torquay; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Barnet 31 62 +33 5.72 75.80 11.06 89.85 5.24 44.25 71.15 99.33 79.83P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 31 57 +16 1.50 56.87 -2.99 84.30 5.18 26.02 17.05 93.08 43.17P 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 30 54 +13 9.28 87.13 7.53 78.94 5.47 17.59 3.38 67.82 15.37P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 29 50 +21 -0.88 45.11 4.24 79.24 5.69 29.83 5.21 72.86 25.38P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 30 50 +12 2.79 63.26 2.56 76.02 5.57 18.29 1.47 48.87 11.73P 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 28 47 +14 5.37 74.12 9.30 71.65 6.15 13.87 0.52 23.28 4.39P 0.00 0.00 Woking 31 46 +12 0.88 54.46 7.94 67.89 5.45 13.90 0.03 7.47 1.41P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 30 46 +5 0.04 50.54 -2.50 69.70 5.64 7.63 0.07 11.65 2.34P 0.00 0.00 Halifax 28 45 +11 0.49 52.27 1.43 72.55 6.05 15.29 0.66 27.22 6.32P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 29 45 +5 4.04 69.40 3.47 68.92 5.90 5.73 0.07 10.47 1.62P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 28 44 +8 0.65 53.39 0.28 71.20 6.00 11.83 0.32 19.76 4.27P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 29 43 +10 2.10 60.12 8.56 66.46 5.97 10.12 0.03 6.12 1.12P 0.00R 0.00 Torquay 31 42 +7 -8.78 15.14 -5.84 68.69 5.37 16.58 0.02 9.00 2.45P 0.00 0.00 Altrincham 31 42 -10 7.00 79.91 2.16 57.96 5.17 -17.32 0.00 0.05 0.01P 0.19R 0.00 Braintree_Town 30 39 +1 -3.98 31.46 -1.89 61.01 5.41 1.41 0.00 0.44 0.08P 0.05R 0.00 Wrexham 27 37 -3 -1.11 44.57 -4.85 64.23 6.17 -1.10 0.01 2.57 0.50P 0.03R 0.00 Chester 30 37 -15 5.74 77.69 1.03 54.12 5.30 -22.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.01R 0.03 Aldershot 30 33 -10 -7.57 17.45 -9.28 55.09 5.44 -9.60 0.00 0.01 0.00 1.19R 0.01 Welling 31 33 -12 -3.41 34.33 -2.69 50.75 5.18 -16.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.75R 0.17 Southport 27 31 -12 0.67 54.78 -1.42 52.50 5.95 -19.12 0.00 0.01 0.00 5.61R 0.25 Alfreton_Town 29 27 -27 -2.36 38.72 -8.91 45.76 5.60 -34.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 33.08R 3.83 Dartford 30 23 -25 -6.07 21.54 -5.62 39.69 5.26 -33.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 76.67R 21.14 Nuneaton 31 23 -33 -6.76 18.96 -12.94 36.80 4.88 -43.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 92.07R 43.99 AFC_Telford 29 22 -21 -6.64 20.07 -0.62 38.12 5.55 -34.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 83.35R 30.57