Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Monday 12 January 2015 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 11 January 2015, Arsenal 3 0 Stoke; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 21 49 +27 5.57 82.54 3.26 84.67 5.28 46.43 55.62 96.39 99.28 99.87 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 21 47 +25 1.97 61.54 -2.02 83.39 5.12 47.67 43.73 95.16 98.97 99.77 99.99 0.00 0.00 Southampton 21 39 +20 5.44 79.82 12.93 67.30 5.59 27.06 0.25 2.79 30.35 58.30 91.33 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 21 37 +13 -1.28 41.34 -1.38 67.78 5.59 24.50 0.21 3.00 33.88 60.40 92.00 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 21 36 +12 -1.32 41.52 -1.27 67.09 5.57 23.98 0.18 2.38 29.26 55.55 90.34 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 21 34 +1 2.72 66.28 -2.05 59.37 5.71 3.70 0.00 0.09 3.15 9.62 42.57 0.00R 0.00 West_Ham 21 33 +7 4.28 74.88 7.47 55.25 5.50 4.67 0.00 0.00 0.57 2.51 18.15 0.01R 0.00 Liverpool 21 32 +2 -4.94 22.30 -10.34 60.28 5.67 9.76 0.00 0.18 4.37 12.91 51.95 0.00 0.00 Swansea 21 30 +1 1.02 56.85 1.54 51.94 5.68 -1.22 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.74 7.62 0.12R 0.01 Newcastle 21 27 -8 3.01 69.25 0.72 47.19 5.57 -13.68 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.07 1.35 1.84R 0.19 Stoke 21 26 -5 1.26 59.13 1.43 47.77 5.58 -7.30 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.09 1.71 1.27R 0.12 Everton 21 22 -4 -9.30 7.24 -7.11 48.79 5.68 1.05 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.18 2.88 0.90R 0.10 Aston_Villa 21 22 -12 0.08 51.78 -1.92 39.20 5.16 -21.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 23.80R 5.15 West_Brom 21 21 -9 -3.66 28.50 -1.99 40.03 5.42 -16.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 19.02R 4.31 Crystal_Palace 21 20 -9 -1.52 41.12 2.52 37.39 5.25 -18.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 34.25R 9.58 Sunderland 21 20 -13 -1.98 38.41 -2.22 39.32 5.29 -19.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 23.05R 5.47 Burnley 21 20 -14 -1.00 44.83 -1.33 35.64 5.16 -26.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 50.35R 18.12 Hull 21 19 -7 -3.08 31.45 3.20 37.17 5.29 -14.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 34.52R 10.01 QPR 21 19 -14 -1.75 39.78 0.13 34.37 5.27 -27.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 59.64R 26.36 Leicester 21 17 -13 -4.88 22.11 -1.57 35.17 5.39 -22.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 51.24R 20.58Championship (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 11 January 2015, Blackburn 0 1 Wolverhampton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Bournemouth 25 48 +28 6.17 79.43 16.42 82.80 6.67 37.27 24.54 47.71 93.40 59.21P 0.00 0.00 Derby 25 48 +24 3.18 66.40 7.82 86.09 6.46 38.16 44.00 67.73 97.75 77.21P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 25 47 +18 7.70 85.28 10.60 80.21 6.52 24.44 11.62 28.50 87.08 41.78P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 25 44 +21 2.80 64.62 10.83 78.87 6.44 29.74 9.25 23.62 83.50 40.18P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 25 43 +6 8.85 87.58 6.55 70.65 6.64 3.97 0.77 2.93 34.15 7.98P 0.01R 0.00 Watford 25 41 +15 0.13 50.45 5.04 75.33 6.62 23.41 3.71 11.04 65.92 25.05P 0.00 0.00 Norwich 25 40 +16 -2.82 35.02 2.99 76.87 6.66 28.07 5.51 15.85 74.67 34.40P 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 25 40 -4 5.63 77.54 -4.19 69.20 6.59 -3.35 0.42 1.70 25.69 6.28P 0.05R 0.00 Sheff_Wed 25 37 -1 4.80 75.13 1.36 64.52 6.36 -2.59 0.04 0.27 9.05 1.77P 0.21R 0.00 Blackburn 25 35 +1 -0.60 47.20 -0.83 65.04 6.57 2.59 0.07 0.33 11.07 2.45P 0.24R 0.01 Cardiff 25 34 -2 -1.05 44.84 -3.00 63.47 6.66 -1.05 0.03 0.20 7.45 1.68P 0.61R 0.01 Birmingham 25 34 -8 3.58 69.06 -1.84 59.15 6.38 -14.19 0.01 0.03 1.82 0.28P 2.53R 0.09 Nott'm_Forest 25 31 -2 -3.19 33.95 -1.61 58.94 6.54 -3.57 0.00 0.03 2.02 0.42P 2.53R 0.11 Charlton 25 31 -5 1.05 56.66 0.88 56.46 6.34 -9.48 0.00 0.01 0.69 0.11P 5.36R 0.24 Huddersfield 25 31 -9 1.50 58.99 -0.81 55.75 6.47 -15.48 0.00 0.01 0.54 0.10P 7.67R 0.42 Bolton 25 30 -5 -3.66 31.29 -4.10 57.34 6.40 -7.21 0.00 0.01 1.05 0.23P 4.01R 0.17 Reading 25 30 -10 -3.83 30.43 -9.05 59.25 6.63 -9.62 0.00 0.02 2.03 0.44P 2.81R 0.12 Fulham 25 28 -9 -6.34 20.44 -8.40 57.48 6.77 -8.36 0.00 0.01 1.39 0.27P 5.04R 0.29 Brighton 25 26 -5 -9.33 9.55 -6.69 55.93 6.47 -2.98 0.00 0.00 0.64 0.14P 6.16R 0.31 Rotherham 25 26 -10 -0.32 49.58 2.11 47.47 6.26 -20.94 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 44.58R 5.92 Leeds_United 25 25 -11 -4.32 27.70 -3.02 50.71 6.45 -15.57 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.01P 24.40R 2.63 Millwall 25 23 -17 -2.34 37.45 -3.06 44.19 6.13 -28.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 66.84R 14.75 Wigan 25 20 -9 -14.43 1.84 -9.34 48.91 6.48 -8.78 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 32.13R 4.32 Blackpool 25 17 -22 -8.10 11.43 -8.64 36.65 5.91 -36.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 94.82R 70.59League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Monday 12 January 2015, Coventry 0 3 Swindon; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Swindon 25 51 +25 6.04 79.31 9.03 88.52 6.59 38.11 31.64 61.36 99.55 73.70P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 24 51 +24 8.93 88.98 10.08 89.58 6.86 36.77 38.17 65.93 99.63 75.83P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 23 45 +26 3.83 70.11 11.30 86.12 7.05 40.73 21.65 47.22 98.57 63.63P 0.00 0.00 Preston 24 45 +14 4.58 73.45 3.01 82.47 6.80 24.70 8.22 23.39 95.94 44.97P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 24 36 +4 3.37 68.19 4.26 65.87 6.76 3.71 0.02 0.18 23.98 4.39P 0.91R 0.02 Sheff_Utd 23 36 +3 1.69 59.74 -1.17 71.22 6.94 8.43 0.22 1.21 53.88 12.93P 0.13R 0.00 Chesterfield 24 35 +4 1.75 59.55 3.59 65.22 7.02 3.97 0.02 0.21 22.85 4.29P 1.27R 0.03 Rochdale 24 34 +9 0.82 54.53 8.96 64.40 7.05 8.98 0.02 0.16 20.64 3.68P 1.65R 0.06 Fleetwood_Town 25 34 +2 3.97 71.01 7.79 60.10 6.57 -1.54 0.00 0.01 6.32 0.95P 5.30R 0.25 Port_Vale 25 32 -5 1.21 57.17 0.55 57.42 6.53 -10.40 0.00 0.00 2.68 0.38P 12.30R 0.87 Peterborough 24 31 -1 -5.43 23.08 -6.18 64.00 6.90 3.12 0.01 0.09 17.60 4.02P 1.88R 0.08 Notts_County 23 31 -1 0.30 52.24 0.41 62.31 7.08 -1.35 0.00 0.07 12.33 2.12P 3.81R 0.20 Oldham 23 31 -4 2.39 63.69 0.33 59.47 6.97 -8.59 0.00 0.01 5.76 0.82P 8.46R 0.62 Doncaster 23 31 -4 -0.36 48.58 -3.95 62.20 7.13 -4.22 0.00 0.04 11.73 2.32P 4.09R 0.28 Walsall 25 30 -4 -3.37 32.77 -3.15 57.59 6.48 -5.32 0.00 0.00 2.75 0.55P 10.76R 0.75 Barnsley 23 29 -1 -4.33 27.95 -3.52 62.18 7.29 1.25 0.01 0.08 13.23 2.89P 4.12R 0.24 Scunthorpe 22 29 -5 1.68 59.94 -0.24 57.69 7.30 -12.21 0.00 0.01 4.49 0.68P 14.16R 1.59 Coventry 25 29 -8 -3.29 33.39 -4.77 56.77 6.63 -9.75 0.00 0.00 2.29 0.40P 14.47R 1.31 Crewe 24 26 -19 1.92 62.12 -4.86 47.51 6.40 -32.89 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.01P 67.30R 20.76 Leyton_Orient 24 25 -3 -12.05 4.97 -9.09 58.80 6.93 2.33 0.00 0.01 5.33 1.36P 8.60R 0.77 Gillingham 25 25 -11 -3.33 32.88 -1.52 47.85 6.40 -20.47 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.01P 62.23R 16.79 Colchester 24 24 -11 -3.84 30.16 -3.19 49.80 6.68 -17.70 0.00 0.00 0.21 0.04P 49.96R 11.36 Crawley_Town 24 24 -15 -3.19 33.03 -6.71 49.58 6.57 -21.46 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.02P 52.64R 11.91 Yeovil 24 20 -19 -7.45 14.72 -10.97 45.24 6.67 -26.21 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01P 75.97R 32.12League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 January 2015, Burton_Albion 2 1 Mansfield; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Wycombe 25 50 +19 10.91 93.53 11.77 81.89 6.47 23.72 28.71 67.89 95.69 74.81P 0.00 0.00 Burton_Albion 25 49 +11 10.99 93.80 5.37 81.06 6.54 16.08 22.45 61.05 93.52 68.81P 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 25 46 +11 10.71 92.79 9.29 74.72 6.44 11.01 4.93 23.76 72.44 33.23P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 25 45 +17 2.15 61.37 4.58 81.93 6.48 28.62 30.03 69.88 95.85 78.86P 0.00 0.00 Luton 24 43 +11 7.14 84.03 6.38 75.72 6.80 15.05 6.99 30.21 76.74 41.88P 0.00 0.00 Southend 25 41 +4 2.71 64.75 -2.14 72.81 6.35 8.68 2.54 15.37 62.30 28.37P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 25 39 +12 3.15 67.45 9.14 70.00 6.43 15.50 1.29 9.01 47.57 18.60P 0.01R 0.00 Stevenage 25 38 +3 -0.43 47.78 -3.28 69.74 6.66 7.55 1.20 8.35 44.42 18.35P 0.02R 0.00 Bury 24 37 +5 0.30 52.07 -0.74 70.24 6.74 9.73 1.51 9.98 47.84 20.02P 0.02R 0.00 Exeter 26 37 -2 1.48 58.30 -1.94 63.36 6.24 -3.44 0.06 0.80 11.90 3.18P 0.30R 0.02 Morecambe 25 35 +2 1.96 61.37 3.29 62.59 6.35 0.72 0.06 0.75 10.60 2.78P 0.36R 0.06 AFC_Wimbledon 24 33 +1 2.13 62.45 4.04 61.69 6.65 -1.11 0.05 0.64 9.14 2.39P 0.87R 0.11 Accrington_Stanley 23 33 -3 3.28 68.47 0.00 62.97 6.88 -5.34 0.12 1.33 12.72 3.53P 0.66R 0.08 Cambridge_Utd 24 32 +6 1.24 57.59 8.97 61.05 6.76 4.68 0.04 0.64 8.94 2.41P 0.95R 0.14 Oxford_Utd 25 29 -5 -4.06 29.20 -3.85 56.50 6.34 -6.61 0.00 0.06 1.74 0.50P 3.91R 0.74 Northampton 25 28 -2 -3.67 31.34 1.80 55.43 6.48 -4.16 0.00 0.05 1.36 0.34P 6.09R 1.34 Portsmouth 24 28 -4 -4.35 27.25 -3.46 58.32 6.75 -3.70 0.01 0.17 3.77 1.03P 2.95R 0.50 Cheltenham 25 28 -13 -1.73 40.91 -6.64 52.58 6.34 -18.93 0.00 0.01 0.38 0.10P 14.26R 3.02 York 25 27 -3 -6.06 19.84 -1.89 55.84 6.40 -2.47 0.00 0.03 1.46 0.37P 5.13R 1.01 Mansfield 24 27 -11 0.21 52.26 -2.51 52.60 6.44 -16.99 0.00 0.00 0.37 0.07P 14.46R 3.39 Dag_&_Red 25 26 -10 -4.09 28.77 -3.98 50.93 6.33 -15.55 0.00 0.00 0.17 0.03P 20.19R 5.26 Carlisle 25 24 -17 -6.44 19.26 -10.92 48.95 6.50 -23.28 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.02P 32.84R 10.37 Tranmere 24 23 -7 -10.80 6.34 -8.57 53.93 6.77 -5.44 0.00 0.02 0.99 0.31P 10.27R 2.47 Hartlepool 25 17 -25 -10.07 6.63 -14.71 39.33 6.11 -34.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 86.72R 71.50Conference (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 January 2015, Eastleigh 4 0 Lincoln_City; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Barnet 30 62 +35 6.47 79.11 12.10 91.12 5.45 46.19 76.28 99.68 83.69P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 30 56 +16 1.98 59.39 -2.97 85.00 5.41 26.58 17.19 94.77 43.88P 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 29 51 +11 8.12 84.52 6.15 76.65 5.67 14.63 1.33 54.75 10.95P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 28 47 +19 -1.98 39.37 3.11 77.42 5.91 27.54 3.06 64.46 21.06P 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 28 47 +14 5.33 73.88 9.20 71.77 6.20 14.08 0.46 26.89 5.18P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 29 47 +11 1.60 57.88 2.26 74.24 5.74 17.10 0.67 40.07 9.02P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 29 46 +7 0.92 54.64 -1.25 71.80 5.83 10.70 0.24 24.37 5.16P 0.00 0.00 Woking 30 45 +12 1.17 56.04 7.86 68.13 5.65 13.77 0.05 10.20 1.89P 0.00 0.00 Halifax 27 42 +10 -0.72 46.39 0.97 71.27 6.26 14.79 0.42 24.38 5.53P 0.00 0.00 Torquay 30 42 +8 -7.77 17.65 -5.41 70.62 5.58 18.52 0.04 19.93 5.62P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 28 42 +2 3.45 67.24 2.13 67.07 6.12 2.34 0.03 7.75 1.18P 0.00R 0.00 Gateshead 27 41 +6 -0.38 48.22 -0.84 69.82 6.15 10.19 0.14 17.08 3.71P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 28 40 +5 2.99 64.75 7.44 64.16 6.13 4.13 0.01 3.68 0.60P 0.03R 0.00 Braintree_Town 29 39 +2 -2.90 36.01 -1.35 62.67 5.60 2.89 0.00 1.39 0.27P 0.01R 0.00 Altrincham 30 39 -11 5.67 76.03 1.65 55.64 5.33 -19.37 0.00 0.04 0.01P 0.95R 0.00 Wrexham 26 37 +1 -0.66 46.64 -2.10 67.83 6.35 6.32 0.06 10.42 2.24P 0.00R 0.00 Chester 29 36 -15 5.72 77.61 0.51 54.21 5.53 -23.31 0.00 0.02 0.00 2.53R 0.03 Aldershot 29 33 -7 -7.39 17.56 -8.12 56.74 5.65 -6.24 0.00 0.08 0.01P 0.69R 0.00 Welling 30 33 -11 -2.27 39.24 -2.23 52.71 5.40 -14.48 0.00 0.00 0.00P 3.52R 0.06 Southport 26 30 -12 1.16 57.47 -1.17 53.32 6.15 -18.53 0.00 0.03 0.00P 4.80R 0.18 Alfreton_Town 28 24 -28 -4.00 30.22 -9.99 43.37 5.73 -37.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 51.58R 7.44 Dartford 28 23 -19 -5.43 23.23 -3.32 42.43 5.73 -27.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 54.78R 8.82 Nuneaton 30 23 -31 -6.30 20.23 -12.35 37.83 5.05 -42.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 87.79R 27.46 AFC_Telford 28 19 -25 -7.04 17.79 -2.29 34.69 5.58 -41.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 93.32R 56.01