Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Saturday 10 January 2015 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 January 2015, Burnley 2 1 QPR; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 21 49 +27 5.60 82.34 3.35 84.68 5.28 46.51 55.65 95.93 99.43 99.87 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 21 47 +25 2.03 61.78 -1.83 83.34 5.12 47.51 43.23 94.31 99.02 99.82 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 20 37 +14 0.23 50.90 -0.27 69.98 5.76 26.81 0.89 6.59 53.56 76.95 96.08 0.00 0.00 Southampton 20 36 +19 3.74 72.06 11.87 64.90 5.80 24.81 0.13 1.38 18.39 43.82 83.57 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 21 34 +1 2.70 66.04 -2.13 59.40 5.74 3.76 0.00 0.09 3.20 11.24 44.75 0.00R 0.00 Arsenal 20 33 +9 -1.68 39.16 -2.24 65.69 5.79 21.18 0.10 1.55 21.27 48.98 85.77 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 21 33 +7 4.18 74.18 7.36 55.36 5.55 4.85 0.00 0.01 0.72 3.18 20.22 0.01R 0.00 Liverpool 21 32 +2 -4.89 22.37 -10.25 60.20 5.64 9.67 0.00 0.13 4.15 14.56 53.03 0.00 0.00 Swansea 21 30 +1 0.93 56.12 1.42 52.03 5.67 -1.08 0.00 0.00 0.18 0.97 8.48 0.12R 0.01 Newcastle 21 27 -8 2.99 69.03 0.65 47.25 5.60 -13.61 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.12 1.61 1.79R 0.17 Stoke 20 26 -2 1.39 59.60 2.48 48.86 5.73 -4.79 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.25 3.18 0.85R 0.09 Everton 21 22 -4 -9.16 7.87 -6.93 48.74 5.70 0.94 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.23 3.18 0.90R 0.11 Aston_Villa 21 22 -12 -0.00 51.15 -2.02 39.24 5.15 -21.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 23.47R 5.14 West_Brom 21 21 -9 -3.58 28.76 -1.92 39.95 5.37 -16.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 19.15R 4.18 Crystal_Palace 21 20 -9 -1.61 40.72 2.36 37.45 5.26 -18.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 33.63R 9.77 Sunderland 21 20 -13 -1.95 38.58 -2.16 39.29 5.29 -19.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 23.64R 5.71 Burnley 21 20 -14 -1.14 43.84 -1.52 35.69 5.15 -26.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 50.21R 17.91 Hull 21 19 -7 -3.19 30.72 3.04 37.17 5.24 -14.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 34.63R 9.75 QPR 21 19 -14 -1.64 40.66 0.18 34.35 5.25 -27.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 59.72R 26.39 Leicester 21 17 -13 -4.77 22.89 -1.45 35.10 5.37 -22.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 51.88R 20.78Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 January 2015, Birmingham 3 1 Wigan; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Bournemouth 25 48 +28 6.19 79.76 16.44 82.73 6.66 37.15 24.09 47.43 93.30 58.70P 0.00 0.00 Derby 25 48 +24 3.15 66.14 7.75 86.22 6.44 38.39 44.66 68.21 97.84 77.29P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 25 47 +18 7.72 85.21 10.58 80.18 6.54 24.44 11.39 28.35 86.71 41.76P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 25 44 +21 2.69 64.22 10.67 78.91 6.40 29.82 9.13 23.33 83.87 40.01P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 25 43 +6 8.79 87.66 6.43 70.80 6.66 4.18 0.86 3.08 34.78 8.21P 0.00R 0.00 Watford 25 41 +15 0.02 49.88 4.84 75.43 6.62 23.55 3.70 11.31 66.55 25.50P 0.00 0.00 Norwich 25 40 +16 -2.90 34.96 2.88 76.97 6.61 28.25 5.68 15.98 75.00 34.59P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 25 37 -1 4.74 75.03 1.28 64.54 6.31 -2.64 0.04 0.25 8.80 1.68P 0.21R 0.01 Wolverhampton 24 37 -5 4.03 70.97 -5.10 67.11 6.80 -5.10 0.23 0.95 17.36 4.12P 0.16R 0.00 Blackburn 24 35 +2 0.70 54.24 0.08 66.98 6.79 4.44 0.17 0.79 18.18 4.37P 0.13R 0.00 Cardiff 25 34 -2 -1.04 45.08 -2.92 63.43 6.67 -1.11 0.03 0.22 7.36 1.77P 0.52R 0.01 Birmingham 25 34 -8 3.44 68.59 -2.06 59.21 6.37 -14.08 0.00 0.02 1.83 0.27P 2.32R 0.08 Nott'm_Forest 25 31 -2 -3.26 33.28 -1.76 59.02 6.54 -3.46 0.00 0.02 2.09 0.41P 2.52R 0.09 Charlton 25 31 -5 1.04 56.67 0.83 56.47 6.29 -9.43 0.00 0.00 0.67 0.13P 5.18R 0.22 Huddersfield 25 31 -9 1.41 58.55 -0.87 55.80 6.47 -15.40 0.00 0.01 0.57 0.09P 7.36R 0.40 Bolton 25 30 -5 -3.49 31.90 -3.84 57.14 6.34 -7.52 0.00 0.00 0.95 0.19P 4.14R 0.16 Reading 25 30 -10 -3.82 30.43 -9.02 59.23 6.62 -9.68 0.01 0.02 1.99 0.40P 2.80R 0.10 Fulham 25 28 -9 -6.23 20.73 -8.24 57.44 6.80 -8.47 0.00 0.01 1.33 0.31P 5.25R 0.30 Brighton 25 26 -5 -9.46 9.07 -6.86 56.06 6.50 -2.77 0.00 0.00 0.69 0.18P 6.09R 0.38 Rotherham 25 26 -10 -0.22 50.04 2.34 47.39 6.21 -21.13 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 44.53R 6.06 Leeds_United 25 25 -11 -4.26 27.88 -2.94 50.66 6.46 -15.67 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.01P 24.30R 2.68 Millwall 25 23 -17 -2.21 38.46 -2.75 44.08 6.13 -28.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 67.16R 14.84 Wigan 25 20 -9 -14.33 2.08 -9.19 48.83 6.50 -8.90 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.01P 32.54R 4.30 Blackpool 25 17 -22 -8.09 11.42 -8.56 36.60 5.90 -36.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 94.80R 70.38League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 January 2015, Barnsley 2 0 Yeovil; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Bristol_City 24 51 +24 8.95 89.26 10.12 89.50 6.84 36.66 41.54 68.74 99.63 77.79P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 24 48 +22 5.61 78.03 7.86 86.69 6.82 34.76 24.91 52.05 98.96 66.75P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 23 45 +26 3.92 70.61 11.40 86.03 7.04 40.57 23.55 50.18 98.50 65.55P 0.00 0.00 Preston 24 45 +14 4.44 72.78 2.81 82.57 6.79 24.87 9.49 26.28 95.94 47.26P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 24 36 +4 3.43 68.67 4.37 65.74 6.77 3.55 0.05 0.26 23.30 4.26P 1.01R 0.02 Sheff_Utd 23 36 +3 1.70 59.83 -1.15 71.25 6.97 8.44 0.35 1.61 53.88 13.20P 0.16R 0.00 Chesterfield 24 35 +4 1.66 59.13 3.44 65.27 6.98 4.07 0.02 0.23 22.88 4.46P 1.25R 0.06 Rochdale 24 34 +9 0.99 55.46 9.29 64.27 7.06 8.78 0.03 0.19 20.09 3.51P 1.82R 0.09 Fleetwood_Town 25 34 +2 4.01 71.46 7.87 60.07 6.52 -1.59 0.00 0.01 6.05 0.85P 5.51R 0.35 Port_Vale 25 32 -5 1.31 57.94 0.71 57.37 6.51 -10.46 0.00 0.00 2.48 0.39P 12.45R 0.97 Peterborough 24 31 -1 -5.44 23.21 -6.18 64.00 6.90 3.11 0.02 0.12 17.30 4.04P 2.03R 0.10 Notts_County 23 31 -1 0.24 51.85 0.30 62.43 7.08 -1.17 0.01 0.06 12.64 2.25P 3.66R 0.19 Oldham 23 31 -4 2.31 63.57 0.19 59.49 6.95 -8.58 0.00 0.02 5.88 0.90P 8.41R 0.55 Doncaster 23 31 -4 -0.43 48.09 -4.08 62.39 7.15 -3.95 0.01 0.08 12.27 2.36P 3.97R 0.23 Walsall 25 30 -4 -3.24 33.23 -3.00 57.57 6.42 -5.35 0.00 0.01 2.63 0.49P 10.73R 0.76 Barnsley 23 29 -1 -4.52 26.99 -3.83 62.32 7.32 1.49 0.02 0.11 13.34 3.05P 4.28R 0.28 Scunthorpe 22 29 -5 1.78 60.69 -0.04 57.50 7.39 -12.45 0.00 0.03 4.27 0.68P 15.18R 1.70 Coventry 24 29 -5 -3.16 33.44 -3.68 58.44 6.85 -6.30 0.00 0.01 4.24 0.77P 10.08R 0.83 Crewe 24 26 -19 1.87 62.05 -4.96 47.51 6.38 -32.85 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.00P 67.51R 20.77 Leyton_Orient 24 25 -3 -12.01 4.92 -9.01 58.74 6.91 2.26 0.00 0.01 5.25 1.39P 9.06R 0.74 Gillingham 25 25 -11 -3.33 33.12 -1.51 47.91 6.41 -20.42 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.02P 62.62R 16.31 Colchester 24 24 -11 -3.88 29.79 -3.28 49.85 6.67 -17.65 0.00 0.00 0.16 0.02P 50.19R 11.22 Crawley_Town 24 24 -15 -3.14 33.46 -6.65 49.39 6.59 -21.71 0.00 0.00 0.16 0.02P 54.24R 12.82 Yeovil 24 20 -19 -7.45 14.89 -11.01 45.31 6.69 -26.09 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 75.83R 32.01League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 January 2015, Burton_Albion 2 1 Mansfield; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Wycombe 25 50 +19 10.77 93.13 11.51 81.96 6.46 23.81 28.81 68.33 95.87 75.17P 0.00 0.00 Burton_Albion 25 49 +11 11.14 93.83 5.60 80.94 6.56 15.90 21.67 59.91 93.34 67.80P 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 25 46 +11 10.99 93.22 9.72 74.49 6.42 10.71 4.54 22.81 71.35 32.27P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 25 45 +17 1.96 60.23 4.34 82.09 6.47 28.86 30.95 70.83 96.16 79.79P 0.00 0.00 Luton 24 43 +11 7.09 83.82 6.30 75.83 6.79 15.21 7.16 30.81 77.48 42.50P 0.00 0.00 Southend 25 41 +4 2.39 63.20 -2.54 73.03 6.35 8.95 2.73 16.18 63.49 29.71P 0.01R 0.00 Plymouth 25 39 +12 3.23 67.65 9.25 69.88 6.41 15.32 1.15 8.58 47.10 17.94P 0.01R 0.00 Stevenage 25 38 +3 -0.46 47.80 -3.34 69.80 6.63 7.61 1.20 8.39 44.57 18.55P 0.03R 0.00 Bury 24 37 +5 0.51 52.88 -0.41 70.04 6.76 9.44 1.39 9.43 46.64 19.14P 0.02R 0.00 Exeter 26 37 -2 1.47 58.23 -1.98 63.42 6.27 -3.40 0.06 0.82 12.06 3.23P 0.29R 0.02 Morecambe 25 35 +2 1.89 60.68 3.23 62.63 6.38 0.79 0.06 0.79 10.71 2.85P 0.35R 0.04 AFC_Wimbledon 24 33 +1 2.19 62.66 4.17 61.59 6.65 -1.28 0.06 0.72 9.02 2.37P 0.82R 0.11 Accrington_Stanley 23 33 -3 3.27 68.53 -0.04 63.05 6.94 -5.27 0.16 1.33 13.02 3.65P 0.70R 0.10 Cambridge_Utd 24 32 +6 1.38 58.22 9.17 60.91 6.77 4.51 0.04 0.69 8.77 2.34P 1.02R 0.17 Oxford_Utd 25 29 -5 -4.14 28.57 -3.90 56.58 6.31 -6.53 0.00 0.06 1.71 0.42P 3.83R 0.75 Northampton 25 28 -2 -3.73 30.64 1.71 55.47 6.43 -4.06 0.00 0.04 1.37 0.32P 6.00R 1.13 Portsmouth 24 28 -4 -4.34 27.26 -3.43 58.33 6.77 -3.68 0.01 0.22 3.94 1.12P 2.90R 0.55 Cheltenham 25 28 -13 -1.66 41.24 -6.56 52.50 6.31 -19.04 0.00 0.01 0.36 0.05P 14.57R 3.09 York 25 27 -3 -6.00 20.03 -1.81 55.74 6.37 -2.54 0.00 0.03 1.35 0.35P 5.27R 1.02 Mansfield 24 27 -11 0.17 52.13 -2.55 52.64 6.48 -16.94 0.00 0.01 0.41 0.08P 14.47R 3.50 Dag_&_Red 25 26 -10 -4.11 28.62 -4.01 50.90 6.31 -15.62 0.00 0.00 0.18 0.03P 20.22R 5.21 Carlisle 25 24 -17 -6.50 19.10 -11.06 49.00 6.46 -23.19 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.01P 32.70R 10.46 Tranmere 24 23 -7 -10.83 6.50 -8.60 54.04 6.82 -5.33 0.00 0.02 1.04 0.30P 10.13R 2.58 Hartlepool 25 17 -25 -10.10 6.74 -14.78 39.39 6.16 -34.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 86.67R 71.25Conference (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 January 2015, Eastleigh 4 0 Lincoln_City; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Barnet 30 62 +35 6.33 78.55 11.89 91.21 5.47 46.31 76.60 99.67 84.03P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 30 56 +16 1.91 58.80 -3.06 85.01 5.44 26.60 17.28 94.73 44.05P 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 29 51 +11 8.15 84.63 6.23 76.57 5.66 14.53 1.33 54.34 10.98P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 28 47 +19 -1.80 40.31 3.32 77.32 5.89 27.43 2.78 63.85 20.60P 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 28 47 +14 5.42 74.22 9.41 71.70 6.16 13.96 0.43 26.61 4.80P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 29 47 +11 1.45 57.21 2.03 74.29 5.75 17.16 0.64 40.59 9.49P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 29 46 +7 0.77 53.87 -1.52 71.93 5.87 10.91 0.27 25.31 5.37P 0.00 0.00 Woking 30 45 +12 1.23 55.99 7.91 68.10 5.67 13.70 0.03 10.31 1.92P 0.00 0.00 Halifax 27 42 +10 -0.78 45.81 0.86 71.28 6.26 14.79 0.36 24.49 5.57P 0.00 0.00 Torquay 30 42 +8 -7.75 17.58 -5.41 70.60 5.53 18.56 0.06 19.60 5.32P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 28 42 +2 3.36 66.71 2.01 67.20 6.04 2.59 0.02 7.93 1.22P 0.00R 0.00 Gateshead 27 41 +6 -0.29 48.42 -0.70 69.77 6.16 10.13 0.15 16.81 3.56P 0.00 0.00 Dover_Athletic 28 40 +5 2.93 64.66 7.32 64.16 6.15 4.11 0.00 3.74 0.65P 0.02R 0.00 Braintree_Town 29 39 +2 -2.86 36.43 -1.30 62.67 5.58 2.86 0.00 1.33 0.29P 0.03R 0.00 Altrincham 30 39 -11 5.62 76.01 1.65 55.56 5.32 -19.49 0.00 0.04 0.00P 0.90R 0.00 Wrexham 26 37 +1 -0.53 47.35 -1.94 67.81 6.36 6.30 0.05 10.53 2.13P 0.00R 0.00 Chester 29 36 -15 5.86 78.58 0.77 54.11 5.49 -23.51 0.00 0.01 0.00P 2.61R 0.05 Aldershot 29 33 -7 -7.48 17.75 -8.25 56.79 5.67 -6.15 0.00 0.08 0.02P 0.71R 0.01 Welling 30 33 -11 -2.26 39.72 -2.11 52.76 5.41 -14.41 0.00 0.01 0.00 3.58R 0.07 Southport 26 30 -12 1.16 57.16 -1.18 53.39 6.17 -18.47 0.00 0.03 0.00P 4.67R 0.19 Alfreton_Town 28 24 -28 -3.94 30.31 -9.80 43.28 5.74 -37.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 52.21R 7.52 Dartford 28 23 -19 -5.43 23.49 -3.49 42.51 5.72 -27.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 54.31R 8.42 Nuneaton 30 23 -31 -6.41 19.87 -12.49 37.86 5.07 -41.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 87.52R 27.36 AFC_Telford 28 19 -25 -6.90 18.13 -2.14 34.64 5.58 -41.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 93.42R 56.39