Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 10 January 2015 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 January 2015, Burnley 2 1 QPR; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Chelsea          21   49  +27       5.60    82.34     3.35    84.68     5.28    46.51    55.65    95.93    99.43    99.87   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         21   47  +25       2.03    61.78    -1.83    83.34     5.12    47.51    43.23    94.31    99.02    99.82   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          20   37  +14       0.23    50.90    -0.27    69.98     5.76    26.81     0.89     6.59    53.56    76.95    96.08     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      20   36  +19       3.74    72.06    11.87    64.90     5.80    24.81     0.13     1.38    18.39    43.82    83.57     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        21   34   +1       2.70    66.04    -2.13    59.40     5.74     3.76     0.00     0.09     3.20    11.24    44.75     0.00R    0.00  
Arsenal          20   33   +9      -1.68    39.16    -2.24    65.69     5.79    21.18     0.10     1.55    21.27    48.98    85.77     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         21   33   +7       4.18    74.18     7.36    55.36     5.55     4.85     0.00     0.01     0.72     3.18    20.22     0.01R    0.00  
Liverpool        21   32   +2      -4.89    22.37   -10.25    60.20     5.64     9.67     0.00     0.13     4.15    14.56    53.03     0.00     0.00  
Swansea          21   30   +1       0.93    56.12     1.42    52.03     5.67    -1.08     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.97     8.48     0.12R    0.01  
Newcastle        21   27   -8       2.99    69.03     0.65    47.25     5.60   -13.61     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.12     1.61     1.79R    0.17  
Stoke            20   26   -2       1.39    59.60     2.48    48.86     5.73    -4.79     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.25     3.18     0.85R    0.09  
Everton          21   22   -4      -9.16     7.87    -6.93    48.74     5.70     0.94     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.23     3.18     0.90R    0.11  
Aston_Villa      21   22  -12      -0.00    51.15    -2.02    39.24     5.15   -21.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    23.47R    5.14  
West_Brom        21   21   -9      -3.58    28.76    -1.92    39.95     5.37   -16.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06    19.15R    4.18  
Crystal_Palace   21   20   -9      -1.61    40.72     2.36    37.45     5.26   -18.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    33.63R    9.77  
Sunderland       21   20  -13      -1.95    38.58    -2.16    39.29     5.29   -19.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    23.64R    5.71  
Burnley          21   20  -14      -1.14    43.84    -1.52    35.69     5.15   -26.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.21R   17.91  
Hull             21   19   -7      -3.19    30.72     3.04    37.17     5.24   -14.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    34.63R    9.75  
QPR              21   19  -14      -1.64    40.66     0.18    34.35     5.25   -27.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.72R   26.39  
Leicester        21   17  -13      -4.77    22.89    -1.45    35.10     5.37   -22.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.88R   20.78  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 January 2015, Birmingham 3 1 Wigan; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Bournemouth     25   48  +28       6.19    79.76    16.44    82.73     6.66    37.15    24.09    47.43    93.30    58.70P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           25   48  +24       3.15    66.14     7.75    86.22     6.44    38.39    44.66    68.21    97.84    77.29P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         25   47  +18       7.72    85.21    10.58    80.18     6.54    24.44    11.39    28.35    86.71    41.76P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   25   44  +21       2.69    64.22    10.67    78.91     6.40    29.82     9.13    23.33    83.87    40.01P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       25   43   +6       8.79    87.66     6.43    70.80     6.66     4.18     0.86     3.08    34.78     8.21P    0.00R    0.00  
Watford         25   41  +15       0.02    49.88     4.84    75.43     6.62    23.55     3.70    11.31    66.55    25.50P    0.00     0.00  
Norwich         25   40  +16      -2.90    34.96     2.88    76.97     6.61    28.25     5.68    15.98    75.00    34.59P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       25   37   -1       4.74    75.03     1.28    64.54     6.31    -2.64     0.04     0.25     8.80     1.68P    0.21R    0.01  
Wolverhampton   24   37   -5       4.03    70.97    -5.10    67.11     6.80    -5.10     0.23     0.95    17.36     4.12P    0.16R    0.00  
Blackburn       24   35   +2       0.70    54.24     0.08    66.98     6.79     4.44     0.17     0.79    18.18     4.37P    0.13R    0.00  
Cardiff         25   34   -2      -1.04    45.08    -2.92    63.43     6.67    -1.11     0.03     0.22     7.36     1.77P    0.52R    0.01  
Birmingham      25   34   -8       3.44    68.59    -2.06    59.21     6.37   -14.08     0.00     0.02     1.83     0.27P    2.32R    0.08  
Nott'm_Forest   25   31   -2      -3.26    33.28    -1.76    59.02     6.54    -3.46     0.00     0.02     2.09     0.41P    2.52R    0.09  
Charlton        25   31   -5       1.04    56.67     0.83    56.47     6.29    -9.43     0.00     0.00     0.67     0.13P    5.18R    0.22  
Huddersfield    25   31   -9       1.41    58.55    -0.87    55.80     6.47   -15.40     0.00     0.01     0.57     0.09P    7.36R    0.40  
Bolton          25   30   -5      -3.49    31.90    -3.84    57.14     6.34    -7.52     0.00     0.00     0.95     0.19P    4.14R    0.16  
Reading         25   30  -10      -3.82    30.43    -9.02    59.23     6.62    -9.68     0.01     0.02     1.99     0.40P    2.80R    0.10  
Fulham          25   28   -9      -6.23    20.73    -8.24    57.44     6.80    -8.47     0.00     0.01     1.33     0.31P    5.25R    0.30  
Brighton        25   26   -5      -9.46     9.07    -6.86    56.06     6.50    -2.77     0.00     0.00     0.69     0.18P    6.09R    0.38  
Rotherham       25   26  -10      -0.22    50.04     2.34    47.39     6.21   -21.13     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    44.53R    6.06  
Leeds_United    25   25  -11      -4.26    27.88    -2.94    50.66     6.46   -15.67     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   24.30R    2.68  
Millwall        25   23  -17      -2.21    38.46    -2.75    44.08     6.13   -28.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.16R   14.84  
Wigan           25   20   -9     -14.33     2.08    -9.19    48.83     6.50    -8.90     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   32.54R    4.30  
Blackpool       25   17  -22      -8.09    11.42    -8.56    36.60     5.90   -36.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.80R   70.38  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 January 2015, Barnsley 2 0 Yeovil; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Bristol_City     24   51  +24       8.95    89.26    10.12    89.50     6.84    36.66    41.54    68.74    99.63    77.79P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          24   48  +22       5.61    78.03     7.86    86.69     6.82    34.76    24.91    52.05    98.96    66.75P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          23   45  +26       3.92    70.61    11.40    86.03     7.04    40.57    23.55    50.18    98.50    65.55P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          24   45  +14       4.44    72.78     2.81    82.57     6.79    24.87     9.49    26.28    95.94    47.26P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         24   36   +4       3.43    68.67     4.37    65.74     6.77     3.55     0.05     0.26    23.30     4.26P    1.01R    0.02  
Sheff_Utd        23   36   +3       1.70    59.83    -1.15    71.25     6.97     8.44     0.35     1.61    53.88    13.20P    0.16R    0.00  
Chesterfield     24   35   +4       1.66    59.13     3.44    65.27     6.98     4.07     0.02     0.23    22.88     4.46P    1.25R    0.06  
Rochdale         24   34   +9       0.99    55.46     9.29    64.27     7.06     8.78     0.03     0.19    20.09     3.51P    1.82R    0.09  
Fleetwood_Town   25   34   +2       4.01    71.46     7.87    60.07     6.52    -1.59     0.00     0.01     6.05     0.85P    5.51R    0.35  
Port_Vale        25   32   -5       1.31    57.94     0.71    57.37     6.51   -10.46     0.00     0.00     2.48     0.39P   12.45R    0.97  
Peterborough     24   31   -1      -5.44    23.21    -6.18    64.00     6.90     3.11     0.02     0.12    17.30     4.04P    2.03R    0.10  
Notts_County     23   31   -1       0.24    51.85     0.30    62.43     7.08    -1.17     0.01     0.06    12.64     2.25P    3.66R    0.19  
Oldham           23   31   -4       2.31    63.57     0.19    59.49     6.95    -8.58     0.00     0.02     5.88     0.90P    8.41R    0.55  
Doncaster        23   31   -4      -0.43    48.09    -4.08    62.39     7.15    -3.95     0.01     0.08    12.27     2.36P    3.97R    0.23  
Walsall          25   30   -4      -3.24    33.23    -3.00    57.57     6.42    -5.35     0.00     0.01     2.63     0.49P   10.73R    0.76  
Barnsley         23   29   -1      -4.52    26.99    -3.83    62.32     7.32     1.49     0.02     0.11    13.34     3.05P    4.28R    0.28  
Scunthorpe       22   29   -5       1.78    60.69    -0.04    57.50     7.39   -12.45     0.00     0.03     4.27     0.68P   15.18R    1.70  
Coventry         24   29   -5      -3.16    33.44    -3.68    58.44     6.85    -6.30     0.00     0.01     4.24     0.77P   10.08R    0.83  
Crewe            24   26  -19       1.87    62.05    -4.96    47.51     6.38   -32.85     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P   67.51R   20.77  
Leyton_Orient    24   25   -3     -12.01     4.92    -9.01    58.74     6.91     2.26     0.00     0.01     5.25     1.39P    9.06R    0.74  
Gillingham       25   25  -11      -3.33    33.12    -1.51    47.91     6.41   -20.42     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P   62.62R   16.31  
Colchester       24   24  -11      -3.88    29.79    -3.28    49.85     6.67   -17.65     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.02P   50.19R   11.22  
Crawley_Town     24   24  -15      -3.14    33.46    -6.65    49.39     6.59   -21.71     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.02P   54.24R   12.82  
Yeovil           24   20  -19      -7.45    14.89   -11.01    45.31     6.69   -26.09     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    75.83R   32.01  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 January 2015, Burton_Albion 2 1 Mansfield; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Wycombe              25   50  +19      10.77    93.13    11.51    81.96     6.46    23.81    28.81    68.33    95.87    75.17P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        25   49  +11      11.14    93.83     5.60    80.94     6.56    15.90    21.67    59.91    93.34    67.80P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       25   46  +11      10.99    93.22     9.72    74.49     6.42    10.71     4.54    22.81    71.35    32.27P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           25   45  +17       1.96    60.23     4.34    82.09     6.47    28.86    30.95    70.83    96.16    79.79P    0.00     0.00  
Luton                24   43  +11       7.09    83.82     6.30    75.83     6.79    15.21     7.16    30.81    77.48    42.50P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             25   41   +4       2.39    63.20    -2.54    73.03     6.35     8.95     2.73    16.18    63.49    29.71P    0.01R    0.00  
Plymouth             25   39  +12       3.23    67.65     9.25    69.88     6.41    15.32     1.15     8.58    47.10    17.94P    0.01R    0.00  
Stevenage            25   38   +3      -0.46    47.80    -3.34    69.80     6.63     7.61     1.20     8.39    44.57    18.55P    0.03R    0.00  
Bury                 24   37   +5       0.51    52.88    -0.41    70.04     6.76     9.44     1.39     9.43    46.64    19.14P    0.02R    0.00  
Exeter               26   37   -2       1.47    58.23    -1.98    63.42     6.27    -3.40     0.06     0.82    12.06     3.23P    0.29R    0.02  
Morecambe            25   35   +2       1.89    60.68     3.23    62.63     6.38     0.79     0.06     0.79    10.71     2.85P    0.35R    0.04  
AFC_Wimbledon        24   33   +1       2.19    62.66     4.17    61.59     6.65    -1.28     0.06     0.72     9.02     2.37P    0.82R    0.11  
Accrington_Stanley   23   33   -3       3.27    68.53    -0.04    63.05     6.94    -5.27     0.16     1.33    13.02     3.65P    0.70R    0.10  
Cambridge_Utd        24   32   +6       1.38    58.22     9.17    60.91     6.77     4.51     0.04     0.69     8.77     2.34P    1.02R    0.17  
Oxford_Utd           25   29   -5      -4.14    28.57    -3.90    56.58     6.31    -6.53     0.00     0.06     1.71     0.42P    3.83R    0.75  
Northampton          25   28   -2      -3.73    30.64     1.71    55.47     6.43    -4.06     0.00     0.04     1.37     0.32P    6.00R    1.13  
Portsmouth           24   28   -4      -4.34    27.26    -3.43    58.33     6.77    -3.68     0.01     0.22     3.94     1.12P    2.90R    0.55  
Cheltenham           25   28  -13      -1.66    41.24    -6.56    52.50     6.31   -19.04     0.00     0.01     0.36     0.05P   14.57R    3.09  
York                 25   27   -3      -6.00    20.03    -1.81    55.74     6.37    -2.54     0.00     0.03     1.35     0.35P    5.27R    1.02  
Mansfield            24   27  -11       0.17    52.13    -2.55    52.64     6.48   -16.94     0.00     0.01     0.41     0.08P   14.47R    3.50  
Dag_&_Red            25   26  -10      -4.11    28.62    -4.01    50.90     6.31   -15.62     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.03P   20.22R    5.21  
Carlisle             25   24  -17      -6.50    19.10   -11.06    49.00     6.46   -23.19     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   32.70R   10.46  
Tranmere             24   23   -7     -10.83     6.50    -8.60    54.04     6.82    -5.33     0.00     0.02     1.04     0.30P   10.13R    2.58  
Hartlepool           25   17  -25     -10.10     6.74   -14.78    39.39     6.16   -34.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.67R   71.25  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 10 January 2015, Eastleigh 4 0 Lincoln_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barnet           30   62  +35       6.33    78.55    11.89    91.21     5.47    46.31    76.60    99.67    84.03P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   30   56  +16       1.91    58.80    -3.06    85.01     5.44    26.60    17.28    94.73    44.05P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     29   51  +11       8.15    84.63     6.23    76.57     5.66    14.53     1.33    54.34    10.98P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          28   47  +19      -1.80    40.31     3.32    77.32     5.89    27.43     2.78    63.85    20.60P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        28   47  +14       5.42    74.22     9.41    71.70     6.16    13.96     0.43    26.61     4.80P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     29   47  +11       1.45    57.21     2.03    74.29     5.75    17.16     0.64    40.59     9.49P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster    29   46   +7       0.77    53.87    -1.52    71.93     5.87    10.91     0.27    25.31     5.37P    0.00     0.00  
Woking           30   45  +12       1.23    55.99     7.91    68.10     5.67    13.70     0.03    10.31     1.92P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax          27   42  +10      -0.78    45.81     0.86    71.28     6.26    14.79     0.36    24.49     5.57P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay          30   42   +8      -7.75    17.58    -5.41    70.60     5.53    18.56     0.06    19.60     5.32P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     28   42   +2       3.36    66.71     2.01    67.20     6.04     2.59     0.02     7.93     1.22P    0.00R    0.00  
Gateshead        27   41   +6      -0.29    48.42    -0.70    69.77     6.16    10.13     0.15    16.81     3.56P    0.00     0.00  
Dover_Athletic   28   40   +5       2.93    64.66     7.32    64.16     6.15     4.11     0.00     3.74     0.65P    0.02R    0.00  
Braintree_Town   29   39   +2      -2.86    36.43    -1.30    62.67     5.58     2.86     0.00     1.33     0.29P    0.03R    0.00  
Altrincham       30   39  -11       5.62    76.01     1.65    55.56     5.32   -19.49     0.00     0.04     0.00P    0.90R    0.00  
Wrexham          26   37   +1      -0.53    47.35    -1.94    67.81     6.36     6.30     0.05    10.53     2.13P    0.00R    0.00  
Chester          29   36  -15       5.86    78.58     0.77    54.11     5.49   -23.51     0.00     0.01     0.00P    2.61R    0.05  
Aldershot        29   33   -7      -7.48    17.75    -8.25    56.79     5.67    -6.15     0.00     0.08     0.02P    0.71R    0.01  
Welling          30   33  -11      -2.26    39.72    -2.11    52.76     5.41   -14.41     0.00     0.01     0.00     3.58R    0.07  
Southport        26   30  -12       1.16    57.16    -1.18    53.39     6.17   -18.47     0.00     0.03     0.00P    4.67R    0.19  
Alfreton_Town    28   24  -28      -3.94    30.31    -9.80    43.28     5.74   -37.22     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.21R    7.52  
Dartford         28   23  -19      -5.43    23.49    -3.49    42.51     5.72   -27.12     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.31R    8.42  
Nuneaton         30   23  -31      -6.41    19.87   -12.49    37.86     5.07   -41.98     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.52R   27.36  
AFC_Telford      28   19  -25      -6.90    18.13    -2.14    34.64     5.58   -41.59     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.42R   56.39