Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Saturday 3 January 2015 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 1 January 2015, Aston_Villa 0 0 Crystal_Palace; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 20 46 +25 5.11 80.59 3.23 84.13 5.43 46.49 48.52 94.73 99.07 99.83 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 20 46 +25 2.61 66.00 -1.75 84.24 5.34 48.49 50.44 95.18 99.23 99.82 99.99 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 20 37 +14 0.19 50.62 -0.40 70.00 5.81 26.87 0.81 6.68 52.10 75.34 95.37 0.00 0.00 Southampton 20 36 +19 3.68 71.75 11.82 64.97 5.80 24.97 0.08 1.37 18.00 42.54 82.39 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 20 34 +2 3.95 73.26 -1.37 61.37 5.95 5.66 0.02 0.27 6.11 18.01 56.78 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 20 33 +9 -1.79 38.35 -2.42 65.87 5.79 21.49 0.12 1.66 21.32 48.46 85.19 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 20 32 +7 4.44 76.03 7.26 55.41 5.76 4.32 0.00 0.02 0.83 3.41 19.60 0.01R 0.00 Liverpool 20 29 +1 -6.13 16.63 -10.73 58.97 5.89 9.19 0.00 0.09 2.97 10.54 42.29 0.01R 0.00 Swansea 20 29 +1 1.54 60.21 1.80 52.73 5.92 -0.69 0.00 0.00 0.29 1.42 10.25 0.10R 0.01 Newcastle 20 27 -6 3.37 71.29 0.81 47.52 5.72 -13.78 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.16 1.87 1.51R 0.13 Stoke 20 26 -2 1.46 60.24 2.64 48.74 5.73 -4.96 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.19 2.75 0.78R 0.05 Aston_Villa 20 22 -11 0.85 56.86 -1.55 40.45 5.39 -20.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 16.26R 2.87 Everton 20 21 -4 -9.21 7.25 -7.57 48.75 5.94 0.36 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.29 3.37 0.95R 0.11 Sunderland 20 20 -12 -1.02 44.46 -1.69 40.39 5.51 -19.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 16.75R 3.24 Hull 20 19 -6 -2.26 36.32 3.58 38.33 5.51 -14.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 25.71R 5.88 QPR 20 19 -13 -0.76 46.26 0.46 35.61 5.49 -26.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 47.81R 16.43 West_Brom 20 18 -10 -4.83 21.61 -2.27 38.51 5.62 -17.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 25.51R 6.05 Crystal_Palace 20 17 -10 -3.01 31.17 1.76 35.21 5.43 -20.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 47.56R 16.07 Burnley 20 17 -15 -2.22 36.60 -1.71 34.05 5.37 -27.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 58.57R 23.88 Leicester 20 14 -14 -6.11 15.81 -1.89 33.69 5.61 -23.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 58.47R 25.28Championship (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 30 December 2014, Derby 2 0 Leeds_United; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Bournemouth 24 48 +29 7.27 84.15 16.96 84.61 6.88 38.97 32.91 56.04 95.64 65.52P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 24 47 +19 8.64 88.82 10.95 81.93 6.77 26.02 17.10 36.06 91.09 48.84P 0.00 0.00 Derby 24 45 +23 1.82 59.31 7.14 84.26 6.72 36.93 29.38 53.03 95.48 66.12P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 24 43 +21 3.26 67.21 10.91 79.31 6.63 29.90 9.74 23.87 85.14 40.49P 0.00 0.00 Watford 24 41 +17 1.01 55.36 6.26 77.60 6.81 26.81 6.60 17.20 77.43 32.86P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 24 40 +5 7.72 84.91 6.33 69.62 6.84 3.82 0.51 1.97 29.91 6.53P 0.05R 0.00 Norwich 24 37 +15 -4.14 28.58 2.42 74.73 6.93 26.31 3.30 9.76 63.31 26.10P 0.00R 0.00 Wolverhampton 24 37 -5 3.92 70.60 -5.25 67.18 6.80 -4.98 0.16 0.82 17.83 4.12P 0.16R 0.00 Blackburn 24 35 +2 0.58 53.61 -0.08 67.19 6.81 4.74 0.24 0.90 19.01 4.36P 0.15R 0.00 Sheff_Wed 24 34 -3 3.44 69.53 -0.17 62.13 6.51 -5.73 0.02 0.11 5.10 0.96P 0.82R 0.02 Nott'm_Forest 24 31 +0 -2.35 37.49 -0.46 61.19 6.75 -0.26 0.01 0.07 4.51 0.94P 1.38R 0.03 Cardiff 24 31 -3 -2.23 38.26 -3.19 61.96 6.86 -1.93 0.01 0.09 5.50 1.24P 1.27R 0.04 Charlton 24 31 -4 2.06 62.43 1.47 58.01 6.53 -8.19 0.00 0.01 1.48 0.24P 3.93R 0.12 Birmingham 24 31 -10 2.37 63.73 -3.19 57.27 6.57 -16.55 0.00 0.01 1.10 0.17P 5.82R 0.22 Bolton 24 29 -5 -3.00 34.45 -3.60 57.99 6.65 -6.90 0.00 0.01 1.62 0.30P 4.11R 0.15 Reading 24 29 -10 -3.43 31.93 -8.94 59.35 6.83 -10.11 0.01 0.02 2.46 0.46P 3.33R 0.13 Fulham 24 28 -8 -5.37 23.75 -7.99 58.75 7.03 -7.59 0.00 0.03 2.45 0.58P 4.20R 0.19 Huddersfield 24 28 -11 0.25 52.37 -2.15 53.42 6.61 -18.67 0.00 0.00 0.29 0.04P 15.75R 0.90 Rotherham 24 26 -9 0.53 54.25 2.49 48.43 6.47 -20.81 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.00P 40.24R 3.93 Leeds_United 24 24 -11 -4.15 28.32 -3.23 50.57 6.63 -16.37 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.02P 27.03R 2.33 Brighton 24 23 -6 -10.71 6.13 -7.22 54.07 6.63 -4.32 0.00 0.00 0.40 0.10P 11.68R 0.76 Millwall 24 23 -16 -1.40 42.95 -2.50 45.63 6.35 -27.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 58.77R 9.71 Wigan 24 20 -7 -13.54 2.48 -8.07 50.64 6.68 -6.23 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.02P 24.89R 2.24 Blackpool 24 14 -23 -9.36 7.37 -8.86 34.95 6.15 -37.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 96.40R 79.24League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 January 2015, Fleetwood_Town 2 2 Swindon; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Swindon 24 48 +22 5.55 77.48 7.74 86.69 6.83 34.80 25.20 51.38 98.84 66.17P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_City 23 48 +20 8.67 88.87 8.24 87.34 7.06 31.82 28.38 54.04 98.86 66.60P 0.00 0.00 Preston 23 45 +15 5.78 79.28 3.77 84.32 6.96 26.37 14.75 35.47 97.18 54.04P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 22 44 +26 4.65 74.47 11.98 87.33 7.24 42.01 31.26 56.57 98.79 70.04P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 23 36 +5 4.45 74.05 4.81 67.54 6.97 5.18 0.09 0.52 31.66 5.84P 0.44R 0.01 Sheff_Utd 22 33 +2 0.27 51.76 -1.84 69.07 7.17 6.74 0.18 0.91 40.41 9.80P 0.31R 0.01 Chesterfield 23 32 +1 1.36 57.76 2.41 62.68 7.22 -0.36 0.01 0.12 13.36 2.33P 3.29R 0.16 Port_Vale 24 32 -2 1.69 59.71 2.14 59.34 6.77 -6.50 0.00 0.02 5.13 0.77P 7.22R 0.39 Rochdale 23 31 +8 -0.39 48.47 8.63 62.39 7.33 7.40 0.02 0.12 14.12 2.54P 3.59R 0.21 Notts_County 22 31 +3 0.38 52.67 2.37 64.39 7.24 3.65 0.03 0.19 19.23 3.79P 1.95R 0.09 Peterborough 23 31 +1 -4.52 26.58 -4.88 66.51 7.12 6.88 0.06 0.39 28.30 7.02P 0.88R 0.04 Fleetwood_Town 24 31 +1 2.66 65.06 7.32 57.61 6.72 -3.83 0.00 0.01 3.28 0.48P 10.85R 0.70 Walsall 24 30 -1 -2.78 35.24 -1.28 59.98 6.72 -0.82 0.00 0.01 6.17 1.24P 5.35R 0.26 Oldham 22 30 -4 2.83 66.95 0.38 59.57 7.09 -8.85 0.00 0.03 5.81 0.88P 8.03R 0.50 Doncaster 22 30 -4 -0.08 50.14 -4.14 62.85 7.31 -3.79 0.01 0.12 13.65 2.78P 3.56R 0.15 Coventry 24 29 -5 -3.19 33.59 -3.80 58.53 6.87 -6.14 0.00 0.01 4.37 0.81P 9.19R 0.64 Barnsley 22 26 -3 -5.30 23.13 -4.49 60.36 7.51 -1.05 0.01 0.04 9.02 1.99P 7.03R 0.61 Scunthorpe 21 26 -8 0.98 56.51 -1.80 54.64 7.52 -17.24 0.00 0.01 2.08 0.31P 25.88R 3.81 Leyton_Orient 23 25 -2 -10.86 6.44 -8.36 60.90 7.08 4.40 0.00 0.05 9.22 2.52P 4.94R 0.32 Gillingham 24 25 -9 -2.63 36.54 -0.65 50.02 6.62 -17.09 0.00 0.00 0.20 0.02P 46.87R 9.02 Crawley_Town 23 23 -15 -3.17 33.19 -7.37 49.12 6.66 -22.67 0.00 0.00 0.16 0.03P 54.20R 12.18 Crewe 23 23 -21 0.70 55.49 -6.34 45.30 6.51 -35.76 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 76.28R 30.65 Colchester 23 21 -13 -5.21 22.91 -4.77 47.26 6.79 -21.13 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.01P 63.52R 18.58 Yeovil 23 20 -17 -6.77 16.99 -10.05 46.74 6.94 -24.04 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.01P 66.59R 21.67League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 January 2015, Burton_Albion 1 0 Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Wycombe 24 47 +18 9.65 91.31 11.29 80.59 6.73 23.19 24.16 61.90 92.78 69.68P 0.00 0.00 Burton_Albion 24 46 +10 10.12 92.30 5.46 79.94 6.72 15.77 19.03 55.39 90.78 63.78P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 24 44 +17 2.37 62.60 4.37 82.38 6.68 28.83 35.05 72.76 95.89 80.75P 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 24 43 +10 9.63 91.08 9.19 73.16 6.67 10.10 4.00 19.25 63.53 27.91P 0.00R 0.00 Luton 23 42 +11 7.43 85.54 6.36 76.02 6.94 14.98 8.68 33.86 77.60 44.73P 0.00 0.00 Southend 24 40 +4 2.97 66.46 -2.27 73.70 6.59 9.36 3.99 20.65 66.33 33.59P 0.00R 0.00 Plymouth 24 38 +12 3.31 68.37 8.94 69.92 6.61 14.90 1.52 10.28 46.95 19.30P 0.01R 0.00 Bury 24 37 +5 0.28 51.77 -0.76 70.27 6.78 9.76 1.78 11.03 47.84 20.94P 0.02R 0.00 Exeter 25 37 +0 2.27 62.70 -0.80 65.87 6.51 0.18 0.26 2.64 22.29 7.07P 0.13R 0.01 Stevenage 24 35 +2 -1.45 42.21 -3.33 68.57 6.89 7.19 1.11 7.32 38.13 16.05P 0.06R 0.01 Morecambe 24 34 +2 2.44 63.87 3.51 63.19 6.59 0.94 0.13 1.27 12.95 3.77P 0.49R 0.04 AFC_Wimbledon 23 33 +2 2.90 66.90 4.18 62.67 6.89 -0.83 0.11 1.24 12.50 3.46P 0.76R 0.07 Accrington_Stanley 23 33 -3 3.46 69.54 0.27 62.88 6.92 -5.56 0.12 1.33 12.44 3.51P 0.83R 0.08 Cambridge_Utd 23 29 +5 0.09 51.10 8.75 58.65 7.02 2.42 0.03 0.37 5.31 1.47P 3.08R 0.39 Portsmouth 23 28 -3 -3.40 31.63 -2.99 59.56 6.95 -2.94 0.02 0.42 6.15 1.78P 2.42R 0.32 Oxford_Utd 24 28 -5 -3.96 29.12 -4.05 56.91 6.54 -6.64 0.01 0.09 2.23 0.59P 4.44R 0.65 Cheltenham 24 28 -11 -1.17 44.12 -5.78 54.40 6.59 -16.30 0.00 0.03 0.82 0.16P 10.55R 1.71 York 24 27 -2 -5.15 23.22 -1.42 56.82 6.56 -2.03 0.00 0.07 2.33 0.62P 4.38R 0.60 Mansfield 23 27 -10 0.89 56.29 -2.47 53.49 6.67 -16.73 0.00 0.02 0.67 0.14P 12.95R 2.37 Northampton 24 25 -4 -5.00 24.40 0.33 52.99 6.65 -7.44 0.00 0.02 0.66 0.15P 13.24R 2.43 Dag_&_Red 24 25 -10 -3.62 30.69 -3.67 51.43 6.58 -15.51 0.00 0.01 0.33 0.10P 20.13R 3.96 Carlisle 24 24 -16 -5.49 22.98 -10.41 51.03 6.73 -21.18 0.00 0.00 0.29 0.07P 23.76R 5.24 Tranmere 23 22 -7 -10.69 6.17 -8.82 54.14 6.99 -5.68 0.00 0.05 1.20 0.37P 11.12R 2.07 Hartlepool 24 14 -27 -11.20 4.08 -15.88 37.48 6.33 -36.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 91.64R 80.06Conference (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 1 January 2015, AFC_Telford 0 0 Nuneaton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Barnet 29 62 +38 6.97 81.81 13.65 93.59 5.63 50.86 87.36 99.88 91.25P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 29 53 +14 1.30 55.70 -3.66 83.75 5.62 25.15 8.63 91.58 36.67P 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 29 51 +11 7.99 84.29 5.95 76.74 5.61 14.80 0.82 55.62 10.89P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 28 47 +19 -1.91 39.92 3.13 77.34 5.90 27.48 1.87 64.01 20.44P 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 26 44 +12 6.38 78.94 9.40 72.13 6.59 13.03 0.40 29.81 5.32P 0.00 0.00 Woking 29 44 +12 1.35 56.98 7.55 68.14 5.81 13.15 0.02 11.05 1.98P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 28 44 +8 1.08 55.49 0.93 72.78 5.91 14.32 0.24 31.00 6.73P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 28 43 +6 -0.21 48.80 -1.61 70.28 6.06 9.85 0.10 18.55 4.06P 0.00R 0.00 Halifax 27 42 +10 -0.76 46.05 0.92 71.13 6.28 14.62 0.22 23.93 5.33P 0.00R 0.00 Torquay 29 41 +8 -6.91 19.96 -4.60 72.26 5.71 20.78 0.11 30.08 8.48P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 26 40 +6 0.34 51.93 -0.38 70.52 6.37 10.70 0.17 21.02 4.25P 0.00R 0.00 Dover_Athletic 28 40 +5 2.85 64.25 7.25 64.41 6.10 4.54 0.01 3.79 0.70P 0.01R 0.00 Lincoln_City 26 39 +3 2.56 63.85 2.02 66.35 6.46 2.60 0.03 7.63 1.32P 0.02R 0.00 Wrexham 26 37 +1 -0.59 46.95 -2.01 67.86 6.31 6.41 0.04 10.69 2.29P 0.00R 0.00 Braintree_Town 28 36 +1 -4.06 30.30 -1.69 61.14 5.81 2.07 0.00 0.85 0.17P 0.11R 0.00 Altrincham 29 36 -13 4.65 72.85 0.80 52.71 5.45 -23.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.87R 0.03 Chester 28 36 -14 6.70 81.87 0.81 55.46 5.71 -22.36 0.00 0.05 0.01P 1.82R 0.01 Aldershot 28 33 -6 -6.03 22.09 -7.10 59.41 5.88 -3.20 0.00 0.40 0.08P 0.34R 0.00 Welling 29 33 -8 -2.24 39.45 -1.37 54.02 5.59 -11.55 0.00 0.01 0.00P 2.61R 0.01 Southport 26 30 -12 1.14 57.23 -1.20 53.39 6.10 -18.45 0.00 0.03 0.01P 4.85R 0.12 Dartford 27 23 -18 -4.67 26.43 -3.33 43.71 5.93 -26.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 46.35R 4.35 Alfreton_Town 27 23 -28 -4.25 28.62 -11.02 42.63 5.87 -39.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 58.76R 6.76 Nuneaton 29 23 -29 -6.10 20.77 -12.10 38.78 5.26 -40.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 83.96R 14.86 AFC_Telford 27 16 -26 -8.24 12.52 -2.34 31.73 5.64 -44.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 97.28R 73.86