Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 3 January 2015 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 1 January 2015, Aston_Villa 0 0 Crystal_Palace; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Chelsea          20   46  +25       5.11    80.59     3.23    84.13     5.43    46.49    48.52    94.73    99.07    99.83   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         20   46  +25       2.61    66.00    -1.75    84.24     5.34    48.49    50.44    95.18    99.23    99.82    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          20   37  +14       0.19    50.62    -0.40    70.00     5.81    26.87     0.81     6.68    52.10    75.34    95.37     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      20   36  +19       3.68    71.75    11.82    64.97     5.80    24.97     0.08     1.37    18.00    42.54    82.39     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        20   34   +2       3.95    73.26    -1.37    61.37     5.95     5.66     0.02     0.27     6.11    18.01    56.78     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          20   33   +9      -1.79    38.35    -2.42    65.87     5.79    21.49     0.12     1.66    21.32    48.46    85.19     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         20   32   +7       4.44    76.03     7.26    55.41     5.76     4.32     0.00     0.02     0.83     3.41    19.60     0.01R    0.00  
Liverpool        20   29   +1      -6.13    16.63   -10.73    58.97     5.89     9.19     0.00     0.09     2.97    10.54    42.29     0.01R    0.00  
Swansea          20   29   +1       1.54    60.21     1.80    52.73     5.92    -0.69     0.00     0.00     0.29     1.42    10.25     0.10R    0.01  
Newcastle        20   27   -6       3.37    71.29     0.81    47.52     5.72   -13.78     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.16     1.87     1.51R    0.13  
Stoke            20   26   -2       1.46    60.24     2.64    48.74     5.73    -4.96     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.19     2.75     0.78R    0.05  
Aston_Villa      20   22  -11       0.85    56.86    -1.55    40.45     5.39   -20.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    16.26R    2.87  
Everton          20   21   -4      -9.21     7.25    -7.57    48.75     5.94     0.36     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.29     3.37     0.95R    0.11  
Sunderland       20   20  -12      -1.02    44.46    -1.69    40.39     5.51   -19.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    16.75R    3.24  
Hull             20   19   -6      -2.26    36.32     3.58    38.33     5.51   -14.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    25.71R    5.88  
QPR              20   19  -13      -0.76    46.26     0.46    35.61     5.49   -26.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.81R   16.43  
West_Brom        20   18  -10      -4.83    21.61    -2.27    38.51     5.62   -17.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    25.51R    6.05  
Crystal_Palace   20   17  -10      -3.01    31.17     1.76    35.21     5.43   -20.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.56R   16.07  
Burnley          20   17  -15      -2.22    36.60    -1.71    34.05     5.37   -27.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.57R   23.88  
Leicester        20   14  -14      -6.11    15.81    -1.89    33.69     5.61   -23.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.47R   25.28  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 30 December 2014, Derby 2 0 Leeds_United; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Bournemouth     24   48  +29       7.27    84.15    16.96    84.61     6.88    38.97    32.91    56.04    95.64    65.52P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         24   47  +19       8.64    88.82    10.95    81.93     6.77    26.02    17.10    36.06    91.09    48.84P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           24   45  +23       1.82    59.31     7.14    84.26     6.72    36.93    29.38    53.03    95.48    66.12P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   24   43  +21       3.26    67.21    10.91    79.31     6.63    29.90     9.74    23.87    85.14    40.49P    0.00     0.00  
Watford         24   41  +17       1.01    55.36     6.26    77.60     6.81    26.81     6.60    17.20    77.43    32.86P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       24   40   +5       7.72    84.91     6.33    69.62     6.84     3.82     0.51     1.97    29.91     6.53P    0.05R    0.00  
Norwich         24   37  +15      -4.14    28.58     2.42    74.73     6.93    26.31     3.30     9.76    63.31    26.10P    0.00R    0.00  
Wolverhampton   24   37   -5       3.92    70.60    -5.25    67.18     6.80    -4.98     0.16     0.82    17.83     4.12P    0.16R    0.00  
Blackburn       24   35   +2       0.58    53.61    -0.08    67.19     6.81     4.74     0.24     0.90    19.01     4.36P    0.15R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed       24   34   -3       3.44    69.53    -0.17    62.13     6.51    -5.73     0.02     0.11     5.10     0.96P    0.82R    0.02  
Nott'm_Forest   24   31   +0      -2.35    37.49    -0.46    61.19     6.75    -0.26     0.01     0.07     4.51     0.94P    1.38R    0.03  
Cardiff         24   31   -3      -2.23    38.26    -3.19    61.96     6.86    -1.93     0.01     0.09     5.50     1.24P    1.27R    0.04  
Charlton        24   31   -4       2.06    62.43     1.47    58.01     6.53    -8.19     0.00     0.01     1.48     0.24P    3.93R    0.12  
Birmingham      24   31  -10       2.37    63.73    -3.19    57.27     6.57   -16.55     0.00     0.01     1.10     0.17P    5.82R    0.22  
Bolton          24   29   -5      -3.00    34.45    -3.60    57.99     6.65    -6.90     0.00     0.01     1.62     0.30P    4.11R    0.15  
Reading         24   29  -10      -3.43    31.93    -8.94    59.35     6.83   -10.11     0.01     0.02     2.46     0.46P    3.33R    0.13  
Fulham          24   28   -8      -5.37    23.75    -7.99    58.75     7.03    -7.59     0.00     0.03     2.45     0.58P    4.20R    0.19  
Huddersfield    24   28  -11       0.25    52.37    -2.15    53.42     6.61   -18.67     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.04P   15.75R    0.90  
Rotherham       24   26   -9       0.53    54.25     2.49    48.43     6.47   -20.81     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   40.24R    3.93  
Leeds_United    24   24  -11      -4.15    28.32    -3.23    50.57     6.63   -16.37     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   27.03R    2.33  
Brighton        24   23   -6     -10.71     6.13    -7.22    54.07     6.63    -4.32     0.00     0.00     0.40     0.10P   11.68R    0.76  
Millwall        24   23  -16      -1.40    42.95    -2.50    45.63     6.35   -27.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.77R    9.71  
Wigan           24   20   -7     -13.54     2.48    -8.07    50.64     6.68    -6.23     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P   24.89R    2.24  
Blackpool       24   14  -23      -9.36     7.37    -8.86    34.95     6.15   -37.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.40R   79.24  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 January 2015, Fleetwood_Town 2 2 Swindon; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Swindon          24   48  +22       5.55    77.48     7.74    86.69     6.83    34.80    25.20    51.38    98.84    66.17P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_City     23   48  +20       8.67    88.87     8.24    87.34     7.06    31.82    28.38    54.04    98.86    66.60P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          23   45  +15       5.78    79.28     3.77    84.32     6.96    26.37    14.75    35.47    97.18    54.04P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          22   44  +26       4.65    74.47    11.98    87.33     7.24    42.01    31.26    56.57    98.79    70.04P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford         23   36   +5       4.45    74.05     4.81    67.54     6.97     5.18     0.09     0.52    31.66     5.84P    0.44R    0.01  
Sheff_Utd        22   33   +2       0.27    51.76    -1.84    69.07     7.17     6.74     0.18     0.91    40.41     9.80P    0.31R    0.01  
Chesterfield     23   32   +1       1.36    57.76     2.41    62.68     7.22    -0.36     0.01     0.12    13.36     2.33P    3.29R    0.16  
Port_Vale        24   32   -2       1.69    59.71     2.14    59.34     6.77    -6.50     0.00     0.02     5.13     0.77P    7.22R    0.39  
Rochdale         23   31   +8      -0.39    48.47     8.63    62.39     7.33     7.40     0.02     0.12    14.12     2.54P    3.59R    0.21  
Notts_County     22   31   +3       0.38    52.67     2.37    64.39     7.24     3.65     0.03     0.19    19.23     3.79P    1.95R    0.09  
Peterborough     23   31   +1      -4.52    26.58    -4.88    66.51     7.12     6.88     0.06     0.39    28.30     7.02P    0.88R    0.04  
Fleetwood_Town   24   31   +1       2.66    65.06     7.32    57.61     6.72    -3.83     0.00     0.01     3.28     0.48P   10.85R    0.70  
Walsall          24   30   -1      -2.78    35.24    -1.28    59.98     6.72    -0.82     0.00     0.01     6.17     1.24P    5.35R    0.26  
Oldham           22   30   -4       2.83    66.95     0.38    59.57     7.09    -8.85     0.00     0.03     5.81     0.88P    8.03R    0.50  
Doncaster        22   30   -4      -0.08    50.14    -4.14    62.85     7.31    -3.79     0.01     0.12    13.65     2.78P    3.56R    0.15  
Coventry         24   29   -5      -3.19    33.59    -3.80    58.53     6.87    -6.14     0.00     0.01     4.37     0.81P    9.19R    0.64  
Barnsley         22   26   -3      -5.30    23.13    -4.49    60.36     7.51    -1.05     0.01     0.04     9.02     1.99P    7.03R    0.61  
Scunthorpe       21   26   -8       0.98    56.51    -1.80    54.64     7.52   -17.24     0.00     0.01     2.08     0.31P   25.88R    3.81  
Leyton_Orient    23   25   -2     -10.86     6.44    -8.36    60.90     7.08     4.40     0.00     0.05     9.22     2.52P    4.94R    0.32  
Gillingham       24   25   -9      -2.63    36.54    -0.65    50.02     6.62   -17.09     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.02P   46.87R    9.02  
Crawley_Town     23   23  -15      -3.17    33.19    -7.37    49.12     6.66   -22.67     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.03P   54.20R   12.18  
Crewe            23   23  -21       0.70    55.49    -6.34    45.30     6.51   -35.76     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   76.28R   30.65  
Colchester       23   21  -13      -5.21    22.91    -4.77    47.26     6.79   -21.13     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   63.52R   18.58  
Yeovil           23   20  -17      -6.77    16.99   -10.05    46.74     6.94   -24.04     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   66.59R   21.67  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 3 January 2015, Burton_Albion 1 0 Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Wycombe              24   47  +18       9.65    91.31    11.29    80.59     6.73    23.19    24.16    61.90    92.78    69.68P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        24   46  +10      10.12    92.30     5.46    79.94     6.72    15.77    19.03    55.39    90.78    63.78P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           24   44  +17       2.37    62.60     4.37    82.38     6.68    28.83    35.05    72.76    95.89    80.75P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County       24   43  +10       9.63    91.08     9.19    73.16     6.67    10.10     4.00    19.25    63.53    27.91P    0.00R    0.00  
Luton                23   42  +11       7.43    85.54     6.36    76.02     6.94    14.98     8.68    33.86    77.60    44.73P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             24   40   +4       2.97    66.46    -2.27    73.70     6.59     9.36     3.99    20.65    66.33    33.59P    0.00R    0.00  
Plymouth             24   38  +12       3.31    68.37     8.94    69.92     6.61    14.90     1.52    10.28    46.95    19.30P    0.01R    0.00  
Bury                 24   37   +5       0.28    51.77    -0.76    70.27     6.78     9.76     1.78    11.03    47.84    20.94P    0.02R    0.00  
Exeter               25   37   +0       2.27    62.70    -0.80    65.87     6.51     0.18     0.26     2.64    22.29     7.07P    0.13R    0.01  
Stevenage            24   35   +2      -1.45    42.21    -3.33    68.57     6.89     7.19     1.11     7.32    38.13    16.05P    0.06R    0.01  
Morecambe            24   34   +2       2.44    63.87     3.51    63.19     6.59     0.94     0.13     1.27    12.95     3.77P    0.49R    0.04  
AFC_Wimbledon        23   33   +2       2.90    66.90     4.18    62.67     6.89    -0.83     0.11     1.24    12.50     3.46P    0.76R    0.07  
Accrington_Stanley   23   33   -3       3.46    69.54     0.27    62.88     6.92    -5.56     0.12     1.33    12.44     3.51P    0.83R    0.08  
Cambridge_Utd        23   29   +5       0.09    51.10     8.75    58.65     7.02     2.42     0.03     0.37     5.31     1.47P    3.08R    0.39  
Portsmouth           23   28   -3      -3.40    31.63    -2.99    59.56     6.95    -2.94     0.02     0.42     6.15     1.78P    2.42R    0.32  
Oxford_Utd           24   28   -5      -3.96    29.12    -4.05    56.91     6.54    -6.64     0.01     0.09     2.23     0.59P    4.44R    0.65  
Cheltenham           24   28  -11      -1.17    44.12    -5.78    54.40     6.59   -16.30     0.00     0.03     0.82     0.16P   10.55R    1.71  
York                 24   27   -2      -5.15    23.22    -1.42    56.82     6.56    -2.03     0.00     0.07     2.33     0.62P    4.38R    0.60  
Mansfield            23   27  -10       0.89    56.29    -2.47    53.49     6.67   -16.73     0.00     0.02     0.67     0.14P   12.95R    2.37  
Northampton          24   25   -4      -5.00    24.40     0.33    52.99     6.65    -7.44     0.00     0.02     0.66     0.15P   13.24R    2.43  
Dag_&_Red            24   25  -10      -3.62    30.69    -3.67    51.43     6.58   -15.51     0.00     0.01     0.33     0.10P   20.13R    3.96  
Carlisle             24   24  -16      -5.49    22.98   -10.41    51.03     6.73   -21.18     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.07P   23.76R    5.24  
Tranmere             23   22   -7     -10.69     6.17    -8.82    54.14     6.99    -5.68     0.00     0.05     1.20     0.37P   11.12R    2.07  
Hartlepool           24   14  -27     -11.20     4.08   -15.88    37.48     6.33   -36.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.64R   80.06  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 1 January 2015, AFC_Telford 0 0 Nuneaton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barnet           29   62  +38       6.97    81.81    13.65    93.59     5.63    50.86    87.36    99.88    91.25P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   29   53  +14       1.30    55.70    -3.66    83.75     5.62    25.15     8.63    91.58    36.67P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     29   51  +11       7.99    84.29     5.95    76.74     5.61    14.80     0.82    55.62    10.89P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          28   47  +19      -1.91    39.92     3.13    77.34     5.90    27.48     1.87    64.01    20.44P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        26   44  +12       6.38    78.94     9.40    72.13     6.59    13.03     0.40    29.81     5.32P    0.00     0.00  
Woking           29   44  +12       1.35    56.98     7.55    68.14     5.81    13.15     0.02    11.05     1.98P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     28   44   +8       1.08    55.49     0.93    72.78     5.91    14.32     0.24    31.00     6.73P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster    28   43   +6      -0.21    48.80    -1.61    70.28     6.06     9.85     0.10    18.55     4.06P    0.00R    0.00  
Halifax          27   42  +10      -0.76    46.05     0.92    71.13     6.28    14.62     0.22    23.93     5.33P    0.00R    0.00  
Torquay          29   41   +8      -6.91    19.96    -4.60    72.26     5.71    20.78     0.11    30.08     8.48P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        26   40   +6       0.34    51.93    -0.38    70.52     6.37    10.70     0.17    21.02     4.25P    0.00R    0.00  
Dover_Athletic   28   40   +5       2.85    64.25     7.25    64.41     6.10     4.54     0.01     3.79     0.70P    0.01R    0.00  
Lincoln_City     26   39   +3       2.56    63.85     2.02    66.35     6.46     2.60     0.03     7.63     1.32P    0.02R    0.00  
Wrexham          26   37   +1      -0.59    46.95    -2.01    67.86     6.31     6.41     0.04    10.69     2.29P    0.00R    0.00  
Braintree_Town   28   36   +1      -4.06    30.30    -1.69    61.14     5.81     2.07     0.00     0.85     0.17P    0.11R    0.00  
Altrincham       29   36  -13       4.65    72.85     0.80    52.71     5.45   -23.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.87R    0.03  
Chester          28   36  -14       6.70    81.87     0.81    55.46     5.71   -22.36     0.00     0.05     0.01P    1.82R    0.01  
Aldershot        28   33   -6      -6.03    22.09    -7.10    59.41     5.88    -3.20     0.00     0.40     0.08P    0.34R    0.00  
Welling          29   33   -8      -2.24    39.45    -1.37    54.02     5.59   -11.55     0.00     0.01     0.00P    2.61R    0.01  
Southport        26   30  -12       1.14    57.23    -1.20    53.39     6.10   -18.45     0.00     0.03     0.01P    4.85R    0.12  
Dartford         27   23  -18      -4.67    26.43    -3.33    43.71     5.93   -26.38     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.35R    4.35  
Alfreton_Town    27   23  -28      -4.25    28.62   -11.02    42.63     5.87   -39.15     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.76R    6.76  
Nuneaton         29   23  -29      -6.10    20.77   -12.10    38.78     5.26   -40.61     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.96R   14.86  
AFC_Telford      27   16  -26      -8.24    12.52    -2.34    31.73     5.64   -44.94     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.28R   73.86