Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Wednesday 31 December 2014 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 29 December 2014, Liverpool 4 1 Swansea; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 19 46 +27 6.38 87.48 5.30 86.31 5.61 49.44 59.74 96.09 99.47 99.93 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 19 43 +24 1.91 61.98 -0.93 84.04 5.43 50.03 39.12 93.37 98.87 99.78 99.99 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 19 36 +14 0.71 54.05 -0.17 70.79 5.92 27.48 0.84 7.02 54.30 78.93 95.98 0.00 0.00 Southampton 19 33 +17 2.73 66.90 10.84 62.92 6.02 22.26 0.04 0.62 10.22 28.61 70.47 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 19 33 +11 -0.92 43.45 -1.25 67.46 5.99 23.89 0.25 2.62 28.30 59.82 89.35 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 19 31 +7 4.98 79.25 7.47 56.42 5.95 5.31 0.00 0.02 1.08 4.63 25.57 0.01R 0.00 Tottenham 19 31 +0 2.70 67.17 -2.77 58.69 6.09 2.10 0.00 0.09 2.42 8.99 38.01 0.00R 0.00 Liverpool 19 28 +1 -5.21 19.81 -9.83 60.70 6.04 11.46 0.00 0.17 4.79 16.18 54.58 0.00 0.00 Swansea 19 28 +1 1.97 63.52 1.88 53.35 6.10 -0.29 0.00 0.00 0.35 1.88 12.64 0.09R 0.00 Newcastle 19 26 -6 3.97 75.19 0.87 48.65 5.93 -12.45 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.21 3.00 0.99R 0.08 Stoke 19 25 -2 1.55 61.08 2.20 48.78 5.91 -5.43 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.27 3.13 0.77R 0.05 Everton 19 21 -2 -8.12 9.19 -6.04 50.74 6.14 3.28 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.77 7.00 0.43R 0.03 Aston_Villa 19 21 -11 1.28 60.03 -1.45 41.21 5.65 -20.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.12 12.58R 1.96 Sunderland 19 20 -11 -0.41 48.39 -2.53 40.49 5.58 -20.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.09 14.91R 2.56 QPR 19 18 -13 -0.41 48.38 0.49 35.71 5.68 -26.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 43.49R 13.69 West_Brom 19 17 -10 -4.65 21.59 -2.50 38.23 5.80 -18.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 25.61R 6.23 Hull 19 16 -8 -3.72 26.15 1.86 36.04 5.66 -17.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 37.44R 10.85 Crystal_Palace 19 16 -10 -2.86 31.53 1.63 35.24 5.62 -20.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 44.21R 13.97 Burnley 19 16 -15 -2.07 37.04 -2.35 33.81 5.52 -28.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 57.22R 22.09 Leicester 19 13 -14 -6.13 14.93 -2.74 32.73 5.75 -25.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 62.25R 28.47Championship (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 30 December 2014, Derby 2 0 Leeds_United; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Bournemouth 24 48 +29 7.22 84.14 16.81 84.66 6.84 39.05 33.04 56.05 96.01 65.87P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 24 47 +19 8.75 88.83 11.11 81.91 6.75 25.99 16.94 36.08 91.03 48.73P 0.00 0.00 Derby 24 45 +23 1.72 58.97 7.07 84.28 6.68 36.93 29.64 53.19 95.42 66.26P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 24 43 +21 3.07 66.57 10.64 79.50 6.64 30.16 10.01 24.64 85.47 41.37P 0.00 0.00 Watford 24 41 +17 1.08 55.71 6.34 77.62 6.76 26.81 6.47 17.12 77.67 32.82P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 24 40 +5 7.76 85.22 6.39 69.57 6.89 3.72 0.54 2.02 29.68 6.37P 0.04R 0.00 Norwich 24 37 +15 -4.05 28.58 2.58 74.65 6.86 26.15 2.97 9.06 63.30 25.56P 0.01R 0.00 Wolverhampton 24 37 -5 4.19 71.81 -4.88 67.02 6.76 -5.21 0.19 0.75 17.44 3.86P 0.16R 0.00 Blackburn 24 35 +2 0.59 53.48 -0.05 67.06 6.77 4.56 0.15 0.71 18.69 4.23P 0.15R 0.00 Sheff_Wed 24 34 -3 3.47 69.39 -0.13 62.09 6.51 -5.79 0.02 0.10 4.99 0.88P 0.89R 0.02 Nott'm_Forest 24 31 +0 -2.47 36.96 -0.62 61.21 6.76 -0.19 0.01 0.07 4.52 0.88P 1.55R 0.03 Cardiff 24 31 -3 -2.33 38.29 -3.40 62.03 6.88 -1.79 0.01 0.11 5.88 1.24P 1.23R 0.04 Charlton 24 31 -4 2.09 62.66 1.50 58.05 6.53 -8.13 0.00 0.01 1.47 0.27P 3.86R 0.12 Birmingham 24 31 -10 2.47 64.34 -3.05 57.14 6.51 -16.81 0.00 0.01 1.01 0.15P 5.74R 0.20 Bolton 24 29 -5 -3.07 33.98 -3.75 58.07 6.64 -6.73 0.00 0.01 1.60 0.29P 4.04R 0.19 Reading 24 29 -10 -3.58 31.09 -9.14 59.52 6.83 -9.81 0.00 0.03 2.49 0.50P 3.17R 0.10 Fulham 24 28 -8 -5.38 23.82 -7.99 58.81 7.05 -7.50 0.00 0.04 2.46 0.55P 4.31R 0.20 Huddersfield 24 28 -11 0.32 52.50 -2.06 53.33 6.66 -18.81 0.00 0.00 0.27 0.03P 16.18R 1.15 Rotherham 24 26 -9 0.47 53.84 2.42 48.40 6.49 -20.89 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.00P 40.09R 3.84 Leeds_United 24 24 -11 -4.10 28.40 -3.12 50.56 6.63 -16.42 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.02P 26.67R 2.42 Brighton 24 23 -6 -10.74 5.98 -7.30 54.11 6.69 -4.25 0.00 0.00 0.38 0.09P 11.84R 0.73 Millwall 24 23 -16 -1.33 43.45 -2.38 45.59 6.32 -27.32 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 58.87R 9.45 Wigan 24 20 -7 -13.56 2.44 -8.11 50.64 6.70 -6.23 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.04P 24.70R 2.27 Blackpool 24 14 -23 -9.34 7.33 -8.88 34.94 6.11 -37.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 96.49R 79.23League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Monday 29 December 2014, Yeovil 0 3 Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Bristol_City 23 48 +20 8.75 89.02 8.35 87.33 7.06 31.76 26.57 52.14 98.81 64.97P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 23 47 +22 6.21 80.86 8.17 87.70 6.97 35.69 29.10 55.97 99.13 69.76P 0.00 0.00 Preston 23 45 +15 5.59 78.66 3.46 84.50 6.94 26.59 14.54 34.56 97.37 53.76P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 22 44 +26 4.64 74.62 11.97 87.31 7.19 41.96 29.29 55.05 98.77 68.84P 0.00 0.00 Bradford 23 36 +5 4.37 73.44 4.71 67.52 6.94 5.18 0.11 0.47 31.44 5.85P 0.47R 0.00 Sheff_Utd 22 33 +2 0.23 51.55 -1.93 69.19 7.14 6.90 0.19 0.84 41.02 9.81P 0.27R 0.01 Chesterfield 23 32 +1 1.36 58.02 2.39 62.61 7.11 -0.45 0.01 0.08 12.72 2.14P 3.09R 0.17 Rochdale 23 31 +8 -0.54 47.48 8.37 62.59 7.30 7.69 0.03 0.10 14.53 2.68P 3.27R 0.19 Notts_County 22 31 +3 0.39 52.57 2.36 64.30 7.26 3.59 0.04 0.20 19.16 3.69P 2.02R 0.09 Peterborough 23 31 +1 -4.40 27.14 -4.69 66.37 7.14 6.66 0.08 0.33 27.73 6.75P 0.90R 0.04 Fleetwood_Town 23 30 +1 2.88 66.92 7.01 57.14 6.82 -4.98 0.00 0.00 2.99 0.43P 12.54R 0.93 Walsall 23 30 +1 -1.93 39.27 -0.01 61.95 6.91 2.00 0.00 0.07 10.60 2.23P 3.21R 0.14 Oldham 22 30 -4 2.86 67.00 0.47 59.53 7.07 -8.93 0.00 0.01 5.70 0.88P 8.03R 0.62 Doncaster 22 30 -4 -0.00 50.57 -4.06 62.70 7.34 -3.95 0.01 0.08 13.33 2.59P 3.55R 0.19 Port_Vale 23 29 -3 0.29 52.61 1.53 57.67 6.94 -7.55 0.00 0.00 3.39 0.51P 11.54R 0.95 Barnsley 22 26 -3 -5.35 23.02 -4.54 60.43 7.47 -0.91 0.01 0.05 8.93 1.92P 6.76R 0.60 Coventry 23 26 -7 -4.33 27.44 -4.97 56.36 7.05 -8.96 0.00 0.01 2.62 0.48P 16.06R 1.60 Scunthorpe 21 26 -8 0.82 55.73 -2.09 54.85 7.46 -16.95 0.00 0.01 2.04 0.31P 24.34R 3.60 Leyton_Orient 23 25 -2 -10.81 6.53 -8.28 60.77 7.11 4.26 0.00 0.02 8.99 2.29P 5.18R 0.35 Gillingham 23 25 -8 -1.46 42.69 -0.04 51.50 6.84 -15.95 0.00 0.00 0.47 0.06P 38.36R 6.43 Crawley_Town 23 23 -15 -2.96 34.05 -7.05 49.03 6.74 -22.85 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.01P 54.43R 12.88 Crewe 23 23 -21 0.75 55.89 -6.25 45.30 6.52 -35.66 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 76.18R 30.81 Colchester 23 21 -13 -5.15 23.23 -4.71 47.16 6.79 -21.27 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.01P 63.82R 19.00 Yeovil 23 20 -17 -6.81 16.73 -10.16 46.82 6.92 -23.87 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.00P 65.98R 21.40League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 28 December 2014, AFC_Wimbledon 4 1 Exeter; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Shrewsbury 23 44 +18 3.35 68.30 4.84 84.10 6.81 30.38 45.41 79.70 97.28 85.71P 0.00 0.00 Wycombe 23 44 +17 8.73 89.46 11.31 79.75 6.89 23.33 19.68 56.98 90.30 65.16P 0.00 0.00 Burton_Albion 23 43 +9 8.75 89.85 4.86 78.11 6.87 14.51 12.69 44.85 84.26 54.34P 0.00 0.00 Luton 23 42 +11 7.46 85.47 6.36 76.07 7.00 15.05 8.46 34.15 76.61 44.65P 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 23 40 +9 8.63 89.27 9.17 71.84 6.83 9.54 2.62 15.22 54.38 23.05P 0.00R 0.00 Southend 23 39 +4 3.33 68.47 -2.29 74.09 6.76 9.40 4.32 22.57 66.84 35.07P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 23 37 +12 3.50 69.53 8.80 70.13 6.79 14.71 1.66 11.01 46.79 19.81P 0.01R 0.00 Bury 23 37 +6 1.36 57.55 -0.18 72.01 7.00 11.36 2.96 16.66 56.56 27.53P 0.01R 0.00 Exeter 24 37 +1 3.60 69.27 0.16 68.03 6.72 2.37 0.63 5.42 32.26 11.55P 0.06R 0.00 Stevenage 23 34 +2 -1.23 43.34 -3.55 68.87 7.10 7.13 1.17 8.43 38.50 16.84P 0.07R 0.01 AFC_Wimbledon 23 33 +2 2.91 66.55 4.21 62.70 6.92 -0.85 0.11 1.32 12.09 3.53P 0.69R 0.07 Morecambe 23 33 +2 2.72 65.78 3.55 63.70 6.78 1.09 0.15 1.67 14.71 4.46P 0.38R 0.03 Accrington_Stanley 22 30 -4 1.83 61.26 -0.66 60.50 7.07 -7.82 0.05 0.63 7.20 1.95P 1.84R 0.27 Cambridge_Utd 23 29 +5 -0.03 50.60 8.61 58.70 7.00 2.50 0.03 0.39 5.13 1.44P 2.72R 0.43 Portsmouth 23 28 -3 -3.37 31.76 -2.90 59.62 6.99 -2.91 0.03 0.46 6.02 1.81P 2.18R 0.35 Oxford_Utd 23 28 -4 -2.62 35.64 -3.16 59.09 6.77 -4.50 0.01 0.25 4.50 1.27P 2.37R 0.32 Mansfield 23 27 -10 0.85 55.81 -2.42 53.55 6.66 -16.70 0.00 0.02 0.67 0.13P 11.73R 2.25 York 23 26 -2 -4.76 24.73 -1.34 57.34 6.78 -1.83 0.01 0.17 2.83 0.86P 3.70R 0.66 Cheltenham 23 25 -12 -2.67 35.31 -6.49 51.87 6.74 -18.58 0.00 0.01 0.40 0.08P 17.50R 3.91 Northampton 23 24 -4 -4.56 25.89 0.43 53.19 6.83 -7.74 0.00 0.02 0.80 0.23P 12.27R 2.57 Carlisle 23 24 -15 -4.62 26.50 -10.27 52.00 6.99 -20.87 0.00 0.02 0.51 0.14P 18.47R 4.50 Tranmere 23 22 -7 -10.68 6.28 -8.81 54.19 6.98 -5.66 0.00 0.04 1.16 0.36P 9.93R 2.08 Dag_&_Red 23 22 -11 -5.15 22.91 -4.43 49.63 6.77 -16.89 0.00 0.01 0.19 0.05P 27.20R 7.31 Hartlepool 23 14 -26 -10.56 4.77 -15.81 38.09 6.48 -37.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 88.87R 75.23Conference (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 28 December 2014, Altrincham 0 1 Nuneaton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Barnet 28 59 +37 5.95 78.33 13.45 92.53 5.85 50.78 79.89 99.71 86.25P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 28 52 +14 1.97 59.48 -3.27 84.53 5.81 25.74 13.07 92.88 39.57P 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 28 48 +10 6.41 79.27 5.08 74.40 5.81 12.85 0.50 39.90 7.61P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 27 47 +20 -0.78 45.34 3.78 79.57 6.08 29.70 4.74 76.28 26.27P 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 25 43 +12 6.34 79.29 8.70 72.21 6.83 12.53 0.57 30.72 5.36P 0.00R 0.00 Woking 28 43 +12 1.81 59.42 7.65 68.65 6.05 13.35 0.06 13.62 2.27P 0.01R 0.00 Kidderminster 27 43 +8 0.67 53.46 -0.30 72.24 6.24 12.77 0.31 28.67 6.40P 0.00 0.00 Halifax 27 42 +10 -0.76 46.02 0.89 71.18 6.25 14.66 0.29 24.37 5.21P 0.00R 0.00 Forest_Green 27 41 +6 0.09 50.73 -0.04 70.36 6.10 11.14 0.10 18.93 3.84P 0.00 0.00 Torquay 28 40 +8 -6.79 20.05 -5.01 72.35 5.90 20.39 0.20 31.10 8.68P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 26 40 +6 0.14 50.74 -0.66 70.79 6.36 11.07 0.18 21.91 4.53P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 26 39 +3 2.50 63.08 1.91 66.32 6.48 2.55 0.04 7.69 1.18P 0.01R 0.00 Dover_Athletic 27 37 +3 2.02 60.54 6.52 61.98 6.31 1.31 0.00 2.05 0.35P 0.14R 0.00 Wrexham 26 37 +1 -0.44 47.88 -1.83 67.95 6.31 6.48 0.05 10.76 2.23P 0.01R 0.00 Chester 27 36 -11 7.06 83.41 2.01 57.22 5.96 -18.63 0.00 0.16 0.01P 1.13R 0.00 Braintree_Town 27 33 -2 -4.45 28.21 -2.93 59.60 6.01 -0.79 0.00 0.54 0.11P 0.38R 0.00 Aldershot 27 33 -5 -5.36 24.54 -7.15 60.20 6.03 -3.05 0.00 0.61 0.11P 0.32R 0.00 Welling 28 33 -6 -1.36 43.26 -0.11 55.84 5.83 -8.80 0.00 0.07 0.01P 1.80R 0.02 Altrincham 28 33 -16 4.38 72.54 -0.18 50.62 5.62 -27.45 0.00 0.01 0.00 10.12R 0.25 Southport 26 30 -12 1.38 58.42 -0.82 53.28 6.11 -18.63 0.00 0.03 0.01P 5.46R 0.13 Dartford 26 23 -15 -4.49 26.87 -2.28 45.14 6.14 -23.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 38.60R 3.37 Alfreton_Town 27 23 -28 -4.29 28.51 -11.07 42.43 5.82 -39.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 62.37R 8.23 Nuneaton 28 22 -29 -5.78 21.56 -11.95 38.91 5.48 -41.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 83.76R 19.25 AFC_Telford 26 15 -26 -8.04 12.52 -2.37 32.66 5.96 -44.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 95.90R 68.74