Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Thursday 18 December 2014 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 15 December 2014, Everton 3 1 QPR; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1
Chelsea 16 39 +23 5.66 87.12 4.42 84.99 6.29 48.07 50.51 92.06 98.73 99.77 99.98 0.00 0.00
Man_City 16 36 +19 2.19 64.71 -0.22 84.50 5.83 51.17 47.33 92.39 99.01 99.82 99.99 0.00 0.00
Man_Utd 16 31 +12 1.24 58.25 -0.12 71.61 6.55 28.36 1.86 12.08 63.13 84.00 96.40 0.00 0.00
West_Ham 16 28 +8 5.58 83.71 7.53 57.11 6.56 5.37 0.01 0.14 2.50 9.70 35.04 0.03R 0.00
Southampton 16 26 +12 1.16 58.31 7.84 58.85 6.68 15.47 0.02 0.30 4.56 15.84 48.26 0.02R 0.00
Arsenal 16 26 +9 -2.60 31.76 -1.31 65.62 6.64 23.68 0.26 2.58 22.70 54.08 83.22 0.00R 0.00
Tottenham 16 24 -2 0.80 56.02 -3.24 56.50 6.71 1.09 0.00 0.10 2.17 8.15 31.20 0.08R 0.00
Newcastle 16 23 -4 4.26 78.77 1.30 49.29 6.46 -11.33 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.94 6.10 1.50R 0.12
Swansea 16 22 +2 -0.17 49.28 2.42 51.86 6.76 1.20 0.00 0.01 0.44 2.43 13.34 0.65R 0.04
Everton 16 21 +3 -4.83 19.07 -2.50 57.01 6.74 11.67 0.00 0.15 2.68 10.48 37.30 0.07R 0.00
Liverpool 16 21 -3 -6.31 12.87 -11.07 58.60 6.68 8.64 0.00 0.19 3.91 14.46 45.37 0.03R 0.00
Stoke 16 19 -3 -0.77 45.07 0.72 45.54 6.46 -8.61 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.20 2.13 4.76R 0.64
Aston_Villa 16 19 -10 2.66 70.24 -1.13 42.21 6.19 -21.28 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.05 0.48 13.19R 2.09
West_Brom 16 17 -5 -2.36 33.83 -0.57 42.23 6.43 -13.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.69 12.68R 2.18
Sunderland 16 16 -10 -0.86 45.11 -2.23 40.65 6.25 -19.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.24 18.91R 3.56
Crystal_Palace 16 15 -5 -1.87 37.15 2.98 37.47 6.18 -17.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.11 33.76R 8.94
Burnley 16 15 -13 -0.80 45.42 -3.77 33.91 5.99 -32.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 60.48R 23.79
QPR 16 14 -13 -0.87 44.57 -0.61 34.63 6.32 -28.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 54.96R 20.55
Hull 16 13 -8 -2.72 30.48 1.97 36.91 6.31 -17.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.08 37.53R 10.46
Leicester 16 10 -12 -6.18 12.05 -2.42 33.15 6.45 -24.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 61.34R 27.64
Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 December 2014, Birmingham 6 1 Reading; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1
Bournemouth 21 39 +20 5.67 79.89 13.24 78.90 7.54 28.65 18.57 35.99 82.14 46.71P 0.00R 0.00
Middlesbrough 21 39 +20 3.63 70.43 10.23 79.83 7.28 29.56 21.26 40.22 85.50 52.79P 0.00 0.00
Derby 21 38 +17 1.57 58.97 5.29 81.63 7.38 31.31 30.17 50.82 89.95 62.72P 0.00 0.00
Ipswich 21 38 +12 6.34 82.95 7.66 75.59 7.35 16.88 8.25 18.98 67.25 29.92P 0.00R 0.00
Brentford 21 37 +7 8.20 88.69 7.18 70.36 7.43 5.48 2.21 6.25 37.92 11.82P 0.07R 0.00
Watford 21 35 +15 -0.04 49.88 5.45 76.13 7.41 25.47 10.05 22.63 71.41 36.25P 0.00R 0.00
Norwich 21 33 +11 -2.33 36.50 1.09 74.24 7.51 21.22 6.87 15.90 61.73 29.99P 0.02R 0.00
Blackburn 21 31 +1 1.07 56.68 -0.53 67.31 7.42 3.74 0.81 2.74 24.24 7.34P 0.33R 0.01
Nott'm_Forest 21 30 +5 -0.45 47.65 2.59 66.46 7.37 8.10 0.62 2.22 21.81 6.75P 0.41R 0.02
Charlton 21 30 +1 3.26 69.51 3.70 61.37 7.07 -2.78 0.08 0.35 6.46 1.40P 2.11R 0.13
Cardiff 21 30 +0 0.20 51.56 -1.37 66.28 7.53 3.06 0.68 2.15 20.81 6.48P 0.52R 0.03
Wolverhampton 21 30 -7 1.88 61.40 -6.11 63.38 7.40 -8.45 0.23 0.89 10.88 2.90P 1.50R 0.09
Sheff_Wed 21 28 -1 0.85 55.80 0.88 60.56 7.13 -3.25 0.07 0.28 5.28 1.29P 2.89R 0.24
Fulham 21 25 -8 -4.20 27.62 -8.05 59.92 7.73 -7.70 0.07 0.31 5.71 1.57P 4.99R 0.47
Birmingham 21 25 -9 -0.14 49.87 -3.25 54.08 7.10 -17.66 0.00 0.01 0.78 0.11P 16.66R 2.22
Reading 21 25 -10 -3.77 28.90 -9.62 59.11 7.41 -10.56 0.03 0.15 3.98 1.08P 5.46R 0.48
Huddersfield 21 24 -11 0.50 54.34 -1.96 53.92 7.23 -18.06 0.01 0.04 0.74 0.14P 18.02R 2.64
Bolton 21 23 -6 -4.57 24.92 -4.13 55.86 7.24 -8.22 0.01 0.04 1.44 0.33P 10.90R 1.29
Leeds_United 21 23 -7 -2.73 34.51 -1.94 53.00 7.18 -13.68 0.00 0.01 0.60 0.10P 20.03R 2.88
Millwall 21 23 -8 -0.20 49.83 0.65 50.58 7.07 -17.97 0.00 0.00 0.23 0.02P 31.41R 5.62
Rotherham 21 21 -10 -0.37 48.90 1.44 46.12 6.98 -23.89 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 57.18R 16.51
Brighton 21 18 -8 -11.27 3.81 -8.79 52.63 7.25 -6.97 0.00 0.01 0.44 0.10P 20.15R 3.20
Wigan 21 17 -7 -12.00 2.98 -7.42 53.03 7.32 -4.38 0.00 0.01 0.64 0.18P 19.12R 2.94
Blackpool 21 13 -17 -8.36 8.36 -6.25 38.76 6.81 -29.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 88.22R 61.24
League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 December 2014, Bristol_City 1 0 Crawley_Town; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1
Bristol_City 20 42 +18 8.35 89.86 8.62 87.56 7.67 33.16 32.20 57.51 97.54 68.57P 0.00 0.00
Swindon 20 41 +19 5.94 81.65 7.52 86.76 7.56 34.14 28.18 53.66 97.24 66.40P 0.00 0.00
MK_Dons 19 38 +21 4.75 76.77 10.03 85.42 7.90 36.85 24.26 47.75 95.38 61.98P 0.00 0.00
Preston 20 38 +13 3.83 71.83 3.10 82.91 7.59 26.78 13.19 31.93 92.11 50.01P 0.00R 0.00
Sheff_Utd 20 32 +3 2.01 62.45 -0.85 71.75 7.55 9.10 0.70 2.89 47.11 13.21P 0.14R 0.01
Rochdale 20 30 +11 1.96 61.50 10.35 67.40 8.01 13.33 0.31 1.31 28.88 6.71P 1.08R 0.03
Notts_County 19 30 +5 2.90 67.52 3.44 67.71 7.94 5.98 0.28 1.21 28.44 6.53P 1.01R 0.02
Oldham 20 30 +4 3.30 69.49 4.87 64.99 7.60 3.17 0.07 0.40 17.29 3.32P 1.82R 0.04
Peterborough 20 30 +3 -1.91 38.63 -3.66 70.82 7.79 10.72 0.67 2.62 43.72 12.61P 0.31R 0.00
Bradford 20 29 +2 2.71 66.58 3.55 64.07 7.63 1.29 0.08 0.34 14.35 2.97P 2.52R 0.06
Fleetwood_Town 20 26 +1 2.52 65.83 6.41 56.54 7.54 -6.10 0.00 0.01 2.56 0.39P 15.82R 0.98
Walsall 20 26 +1 -2.22 36.66 -0.53 60.90 7.38 0.56 0.02 0.08 6.95 1.51P 5.20R 0.24
Chesterfield 20 25 -1 -0.88 45.29 1.30 58.72 7.76 -3.90 0.01 0.06 4.82 0.93P 10.54R 0.58
Coventry 20 24 -5 -2.67 34.83 -3.61 59.47 7.72 -5.53 0.01 0.07 5.36 1.05P 9.14R 0.51
Barnsley 20 23 -4 -5.57 20.83 -5.49 59.02 7.94 -3.74 0.01 0.06 5.50 1.21P 10.48R 0.74
Port_Vale 20 23 -4 -1.51 41.70 0.67 54.14 7.45 -11.10 0.00 0.00 1.18 0.20P 25.37R 2.30
Doncaster 19 23 -7 -2.44 35.86 -6.28 57.80 7.95 -10.00 0.01 0.04 3.90 0.73P 14.22R 1.04
Gillingham 20 22 -6 -1.35 42.54 0.23 52.41 7.47 -14.22 0.00 0.00 0.66 0.12P 33.61R 3.75
Scunthorpe 19 22 -9 -0.15 50.17 -2.61 52.34 7.83 -19.97 0.00 0.01 0.95 0.16P 36.00R 4.67
Crawley_Town 20 22 -11 -1.39 42.45 -5.33 52.99 7.39 -17.58 0.00 0.00 0.69 0.11P 31.52R 3.24
Yeovil 20 20 -12 -4.85 23.31 -8.34 51.85 7.68 -17.65 0.00 0.00 0.61 0.13P 37.19R 5.03
Leyton_Orient 20 19 -6 -10.99 4.56 -9.84 58.67 7.68 -0.07 0.00 0.03 4.64 1.13P 10.02R 0.65
Colchester 20 17 -13 -5.21 20.77 -4.70 47.13 7.47 -21.71 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.02P 61.45R 13.87
Crewe 20 16 -23 -2.67 34.47 -8.87 39.09 6.92 -43.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 92.55R 62.23
League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 December 2014, Burton_Albion 4 0 Hartlepool; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1
Wycombe 20 41 +17 9.71 93.47 11.13 80.72 7.52 23.17 27.44 62.47 90.83 69.45P 0.00 0.00
Burton_Albion 21 39 +7 7.94 88.52 3.60 76.46 7.28 11.93 10.11 37.84 77.83 47.43P 0.00R 0.00
Shrewsbury 20 37 +15 1.87 60.94 3.66 82.11 7.54 28.88 35.76 70.26 93.59 78.27P 0.00R 0.00
Luton 20 37 +8 7.65 88.03 4.97 74.84 7.63 11.53 8.05 30.56 69.74 39.82P 0.01R 0.00
Plymouth 20 34 +12 4.97 78.18 9.33 72.12 7.37 15.93 4.02 20.03 59.16 29.81P 0.02R 0.00
Newport_County 20 34 +9 6.39 83.94 8.73 69.74 7.47 9.18 2.25 12.40 45.08 19.41P 0.07R 0.01
Exeter 21 34 +4 3.93 72.55 2.07 69.99 7.32 6.59 2.08 12.04 45.59 19.86P 0.05R 0.01
Southend 20 34 +3 3.16 68.88 -2.19 74.21 7.39 9.85 6.40 26.98 67.05 38.59P 0.01R 0.00
Bury 20 30 +3 -0.01 50.10 -0.95 69.61 7.58 9.03 2.16 12.30 44.76 21.16P 0.10R 0.02
Morecambe 20 30 +2 3.54 71.50 3.29 64.66 7.43 0.70 0.45 3.55 20.62 7.07P 0.68R 0.15
Accrington_Stanley 20 29 -3 3.12 68.95 -0.22 62.19 7.52 -7.06 0.24 1.90 12.75 3.93P 1.67R 0.26
Cambridge_Utd 20 28 +7 1.71 60.94 8.66 61.51 7.64 4.03 0.24 1.89 12.78 4.19P 1.88R 0.37
AFC_Wimbledon 20 27 -2 2.25 64.44 2.12 59.71 7.46 -6.68 0.09 0.87 7.55 2.30P 3.27R 0.72
Portsmouth 20 26 -1 -1.99 38.17 -1.92 62.38 7.58 0.03 0.22 2.06 14.21 5.11P 1.60R 0.29
Stevenage 20 25 -2 -4.37 25.71 -4.93 63.65 7.79 2.57 0.36 3.23 19.24 7.79P 1.22R 0.22
Northampton 20 24 -1 -1.70 40.22 1.59 57.23 7.50 -4.82 0.04 0.38 4.47 1.24P 6.32R 1.63
Oxford_Utd 20 24 -3 -3.10 32.00 -2.78 58.68 7.29 -4.21 0.04 0.56 5.74 1.84P 3.92R 0.96
Cheltenham 20 24 -10 -0.24 49.17 -5.33 55.01 7.32 -16.80 0.01 0.14 1.98 0.51P 11.20R 2.91
Mansfield 20 23 -9 0.30 53.04 -2.19 53.16 7.26 -16.76 0.01 0.07 1.03 0.24P 16.55R 5.33
Dag_&_Red 20 21 -6 -3.99 27.01 -2.13 52.62 7.33 -12.21 0.00 0.06 1.04 0.30P 17.61R 5.42
York 20 19 -6 -6.84 13.67 -4.13 52.96 7.31 -8.05 0.00 0.06 1.08 0.34P 16.14R 4.83
Tranmere 20 18 -6 -10.80 4.75 -8.11 55.58 7.76 -2.82 0.03 0.29 3.23 1.17P 9.77R 2.81
Carlisle 20 18 -14 -6.83 14.84 -9.61 50.82 7.67 -18.96 0.00 0.03 0.65 0.17P 27.23R 9.72
Hartlepool 20 12 -24 -9.14 6.03 -14.66 40.30 7.17 -35.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 80.68R 64.37
Conference (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 10 December 2014, Aldershot 0 1 Macclesfield; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1
Barnet 25 52 +32 5.79 79.17 12.92 90.90 6.35 47.82 76.18 98.69 82.91P 0.00 0.00
Macclesfield 25 45 +11 7.16 83.46 5.62 75.16 6.28 13.49 1.65 39.42 8.74P 0.00 0.00
Bristol_Rovers 25 43 +8 -0.43 47.48 -5.54 79.16 6.37 18.94 5.49 64.68 23.27P 0.00 0.00
Woking 25 42 +14 4.69 74.21 9.09 73.50 6.66 18.02 1.27 32.95 7.09P 0.00 0.00
Grimsby 24 41 +20 -1.72 39.63 5.05 79.05 6.62 31.67 7.60 67.02 25.91P 0.00 0.00
Forest_Green 25 41 +8 2.05 60.94 0.75 73.12 6.45 13.20 0.92 29.02 6.98P 0.00 0.00
Torquay 25 39 +11 -4.57 26.83 -3.62 76.86 6.50 25.85 3.15 54.11 18.40P 0.00 0.00
Gateshead 24 39 +7 1.61 59.03 -0.08 72.38 6.75 11.90 0.93 26.58 6.24P 0.00R 0.00
Halifax 24 38 +10 -0.03 49.90 1.71 73.61 6.75 18.30 1.58 33.89 8.72P 0.00R 0.00
Kidderminster 24 37 +7 -0.32 48.10 -0.12 71.37 6.78 13.26 0.59 22.33 5.57P 0.00R 0.00
Eastleigh 22 36 +7 5.83 79.45 7.40 67.67 7.47 4.98 0.37 12.13 2.22P 0.04R 0.00
Wrexham 24 34 +2 -0.61 47.05 -0.71 69.20 6.64 9.78 0.23 13.02 2.82P 0.01R 0.00
Lincoln_City 23 33 +1 0.91 55.72 0.39 63.51 6.98 -0.83 0.03 3.40 0.65P 0.19R 0.00
Chester 24 33 -8 6.71 83.37 2.51 57.48 6.43 -17.53 0.00 0.26 0.01P 1.52R 0.02
Dover_Athletic 24 32 -1 2.57 64.38 4.59 59.28 6.84 -5.68 0.00 0.81 0.11P 0.83R 0.01
Aldershot 24 30 -2 -5.40 22.89 -5.84 61.38 6.59 0.13 0.01 1.22 0.26P 0.33R 0.01
Welling 25 29 -4 -2.16 38.42 0.50 55.89 6.39 -6.89 0.00 0.12 0.01P 2.29R 0.03
Altrincham 25 29 -17 4.63 75.14 -0.70 50.56 6.31 -28.84 0.00 0.02 0.00 13.02R 0.69
Braintree_Town 24 27 -2 -6.25 18.73 -2.94 57.90 6.48 -0.44 0.00 0.32 0.06P 1.24R 0.03
Southport 23 24 -13 -1.28 43.53 -2.72 49.53 6.55 -22.79 0.00 0.00 0.00P 16.67R 1.08
Alfreton_Town 25 23 -23 -3.47 31.58 -9.56 45.26 6.21 -34.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 40.13R 4.07
Dartford 24 20 -15 -5.25 21.97 -2.90 43.76 6.40 -24.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 47.59R 6.03
Nuneaton 25 18 -28 -6.63 15.82 -12.60 38.26 5.95 -41.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 83.00R 26.36
AFC_Telford 24 14 -25 -6.90 14.94 -3.20 33.58 6.35 -44.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 93.13R 61.68
