Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 14 December 2014 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 14 December 2014, Man_Utd 3 0 Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Chelsea          16   39  +23       5.65    87.09     4.44    85.04     6.27    48.05    50.39    92.15    98.80    99.78    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         16   36  +19       2.18    64.58    -0.24    84.54     5.85    51.24    47.22    92.30    98.89    99.78    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          16   31  +12       1.25    58.33    -0.13    71.62     6.61    28.40     2.04    12.06    63.48    84.16    96.18     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         16   28   +8       5.64    84.03     7.62    57.12     6.55     5.39     0.01     0.13     2.51     9.88    35.64     0.03R    0.00  
Southampton      16   26  +12       1.14    58.01     7.81    58.88     6.64    15.51     0.03     0.33     4.50    15.96    49.05     0.01R    0.00  
Arsenal          16   26   +9      -2.59    31.38    -1.35    65.57     6.63    23.60     0.29     2.55    22.43    54.12    83.30     0.00R    0.00  
Tottenham        16   24   -2       0.76    55.79    -3.27    56.53     6.73     1.17     0.00     0.11     2.25     8.45    32.23     0.10R    0.01  
Newcastle        16   23   -4       4.29    78.98     1.39    49.19     6.51   -11.52     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.90     6.05     1.63R    0.12  
Swansea          16   22   +2      -0.17    49.03     2.39    51.91     6.73     1.21     0.00     0.02     0.47     2.51    13.81     0.59R    0.04  
Liverpool        16   21   -3      -6.32    12.83   -11.08    58.72     6.73     8.82     0.01     0.24     4.26    15.24    46.58     0.03R    0.00  
Stoke            16   19   -3      -0.74    45.33     0.76    45.45     6.43    -8.70     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.20     2.07     4.99R    0.62  
Aston_Villa      16   19  -10       2.57    69.90    -1.34    42.34     6.22   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.59    12.94R    2.11  
Everton          15   18   +1      -5.45    15.37    -2.93    56.15     6.91    10.86     0.00     0.11     2.20     8.89    33.43     0.14R    0.01  
West_Brom        16   17   -5      -2.44    33.35    -0.68    42.34     6.43   -13.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.67    12.68R    2.23  
Sunderland       16   16  -10      -0.74    46.19    -2.07    40.47     6.21   -19.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.25    19.84R    3.81  
Crystal_Palace   16   15   -5      -1.88    36.88     2.98    37.45     6.22   -17.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07    34.28R    9.09  
Burnley          16   15  -13      -0.80    45.60    -3.71    33.88     5.94   -32.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    60.89R   24.26  
QPR              15   14  -11      -0.41    47.99    -0.25    35.19     6.41   -27.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    51.55R   18.71  
Hull             16   13   -8      -2.71    30.58     2.01    36.80     6.26   -17.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06    38.33R   11.17  
Leicester        16   10  -12      -6.17    12.08    -2.34    33.13     6.45   -24.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.95R   27.83  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 December 2014, Birmingham 6 1 Reading; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Bournemouth     21   39  +20       5.66    80.07    13.22    78.94     7.55    28.71    19.16    36.18    82.18    47.06P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   21   39  +20       3.69    70.89    10.34    79.74     7.25    29.44    20.51    39.62    85.43    52.60P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           21   38  +17       1.54    58.83     5.21    81.72     7.37    31.43    30.77    51.38    90.26    63.08P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         21   38  +12       6.31    82.92     7.64    75.59     7.40    16.85     8.27    19.32    67.01    29.92P    0.01R    0.00  
Brentford       21   37   +7       7.98    87.77     6.87    70.62     7.49     5.92     2.40     6.72    39.53    12.70P    0.07R    0.00  
Watford         21   35  +15       0.06    50.18     5.59    75.96     7.39    25.21     9.70    21.97    70.72    35.31P    0.01R    0.00  
Norwich         21   33  +11      -2.36    36.00     1.08    74.27     7.53    21.28     6.74    16.08    61.95    30.20P    0.01R    0.00  
Blackburn       21   31   +1       1.15    57.03    -0.41    67.21     7.41     3.55     0.78     2.63    23.80     7.08P    0.32R    0.02  
Nott'm_Forest   21   30   +5      -0.24    48.94     3.01    66.21     7.37     7.74     0.58     2.04    20.83     6.21P    0.48R    0.02  
Charlton        21   30   +1       3.18    69.22     3.59    61.43     7.11    -2.67     0.09     0.34     6.56     1.50P    1.99R    0.10  
Cardiff         21   30   +0       0.23    51.75    -1.34    66.25     7.52     3.01     0.65     2.06    20.75     6.47P    0.59R    0.02  
Wolverhampton   21   30   -7       1.86    61.20    -6.07    63.43     7.38    -8.39     0.20     0.79    11.03     2.89P    1.45R    0.11  
Sheff_Wed       21   28   -1       0.88    56.11     0.94    60.53     7.06    -3.31     0.04     0.21     5.19     1.23P    2.69R    0.17  
Fulham          21   25   -8      -4.30    26.95    -8.24    60.00     7.72    -7.57     0.08     0.35     5.88     1.58P    4.84R    0.52  
Birmingham      21   25   -9      -0.25    49.46    -3.47    54.17     7.19   -17.50     0.00     0.01     0.77     0.14P   16.77R    2.21  
Reading         21   25  -10      -3.71    29.08    -9.49    59.00     7.46   -10.77     0.04     0.18     3.82     1.03P    5.73R    0.57  
Huddersfield    21   24  -11       0.38    53.33    -2.15    54.04     7.28   -17.85     0.00     0.01     0.85     0.16P   17.48R    2.60  
Bolton          21   23   -6      -4.63    24.47    -4.24    56.02     7.25    -7.98     0.00     0.05     1.50     0.37P   10.48R    1.13  
Leeds_United    21   23   -7      -2.88    33.59    -2.19    53.13     7.15   -13.43     0.00     0.01     0.59     0.10P   19.45R    2.71  
Millwall        21   23   -8       0.15    52.15     1.19    50.19     7.04   -18.56     0.00     0.01     0.17     0.03P   33.43R    6.04  
Rotherham       21   21  -10      -0.34    49.14     1.47    46.05     6.98   -23.99     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   57.30R   16.67  
Brighton        21   18   -8     -11.30     3.67    -8.80    52.62     7.25    -7.03     0.00     0.00     0.47     0.13P   20.39R    3.13  
Wigan           21   17   -7     -12.17     2.91    -7.67    53.22     7.30    -4.12     0.00     0.01     0.66     0.20P   18.07R    2.71  
Blackpool       21   13  -17      -8.21     8.58    -6.07    38.73     6.75   -29.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.46R   61.25  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 December 2014, Bristol_City 1 0 Crawley_Town; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Bristol_City     20   42  +18       8.34    89.62     8.61    87.54     7.66    33.16    32.48    57.73    97.57    68.58P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          20   41  +19       5.99    81.95     7.63    86.65     7.62    33.96    27.99    53.55    97.00    66.44P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          19   38  +21       4.84    77.48    10.17    85.26     7.90    36.57    23.63    46.86    95.05    61.12P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          20   38  +13       3.88    72.16     3.15    82.94     7.64    26.80    13.78    32.67    92.04    50.56P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        20   32   +3       1.99    62.05    -0.87    71.74     7.55     9.07     0.75     2.86    47.50    13.41P    0.17R    0.00  
Rochdale         20   30  +11       1.82    60.78    10.11    67.54     8.07    13.57     0.31     1.39    29.93     6.86P    1.11R    0.03  
Notts_County     19   30   +5       2.79    67.14     3.26    67.88     7.90     6.22     0.32     1.32    28.98     6.50P    0.87R    0.03  
Oldham           20   30   +4       3.27    69.52     4.86    65.03     7.59     3.19     0.07     0.37    17.34     3.29P    1.77R    0.05  
Peterborough     20   30   +3      -1.79    39.49    -3.48    70.74     7.70    10.56     0.58     2.50    42.98    12.39P    0.28R    0.01  
Bradford         20   29   +2       2.72    66.83     3.55    63.95     7.53     1.16     0.04     0.32    13.67     2.61P    2.55R    0.09  
Fleetwood_Town   20   26   +1       2.59    66.22     6.54    56.57     7.57    -6.06     0.00     0.03     2.61     0.42P   15.90R    1.05  
Walsall          20   26   +1      -2.31    36.34    -0.67    60.92     7.37     0.65     0.01     0.11     6.87     1.54P    5.08R    0.16  
Chesterfield     20   25   -1      -0.96    44.82     1.17    58.89     7.76    -3.64     0.00     0.04     4.97     1.02P   10.08R    0.61  
Coventry         20   24   -5      -2.59    35.10    -3.46    59.24     7.72    -5.89     0.01     0.08     5.07     1.05P    9.61R    0.59  
Barnsley         20   23   -4      -5.57    20.48    -5.53    59.12     7.94    -3.61     0.00     0.07     5.69     1.37P   10.30R    0.66  
Port_Vale        20   23   -4      -1.62    40.90     0.49    54.29     7.55   -10.88     0.00     0.01     1.31     0.25P   24.69R    2.17  
Doncaster        19   23   -7      -2.35    36.63    -6.14    57.77     7.96   -10.10     0.01     0.05     3.98     0.79P   14.24R    1.07  
Gillingham       20   22   -6      -1.40    42.31     0.14    52.41     7.47   -14.18     0.00     0.00     0.63     0.09P   33.65R    3.76  
Scunthorpe       19   22   -9      -0.25    49.55    -2.77    52.56     7.93   -19.66     0.00     0.00     1.02     0.16P   35.23R    4.50  
Crawley_Town     20   22  -11      -1.29    43.28    -5.18    52.76     7.40   -17.82     0.00     0.00     0.64     0.11P   32.83R    3.61  
Yeovil           20   20  -12      -4.75    23.85    -8.17    51.78     7.66   -17.71     0.00     0.00     0.59     0.13P   37.67R    5.13  
Leyton_Orient    20   19   -6     -11.00     4.57    -9.81    58.66     7.70    -0.12     0.01     0.03     4.49     1.31P   10.37R    0.68  
Colchester       20   17  -13      -5.18    21.17    -4.67    47.10     7.50   -21.75     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.00P   61.18R   14.18  
Crewe            20   16  -23      -2.70    34.33    -8.92    39.12     6.95   -43.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.44R   61.64  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 December 2014, Burton_Albion 4 0 Hartlepool; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Wycombe              20   41  +17       9.57    93.34    10.93    80.86     7.53    23.35    27.98    63.11    91.04    70.01P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        21   39   +7       8.13    89.20     3.88    76.26     7.27    11.67     9.81    36.39    76.96    46.01P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           20   37  +15       1.93    61.37     3.74    82.06     7.52    28.79    35.33    70.29    93.46    77.94P    0.00R    0.00  
Luton                20   37   +8       7.66    88.18     4.99    74.77     7.60    11.50     7.98    30.23    69.64    39.54P    0.01R    0.00  
Plymouth             20   34  +12       5.06    78.74     9.46    71.99     7.40    15.75     3.97    19.56    58.17    29.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Newport_County       20   34   +9       6.33    83.63     8.67    69.91     7.46     9.39     2.37    12.92    45.80    20.07P    0.08R    0.01  
Exeter               21   34   +4       3.88    72.14     1.96    70.01     7.34     6.63     2.03    12.11    45.75    20.09P    0.09R    0.01  
Southend             20   34   +3       3.06    68.35    -2.33    74.34     7.38    10.02     6.56    27.61    68.26    39.49P    0.01R    0.00  
Bury                 20   30   +3      -0.06    49.52    -1.03    69.80     7.62     9.26     2.32    12.77    45.73    21.84P    0.13R    0.01  
Morecambe            20   30   +2       3.62    71.79     3.44    64.54     7.43     0.54     0.45     3.48    20.16     7.08P    0.70R    0.13  
Accrington_Stanley   20   29   -3       3.05    68.69    -0.34    62.34     7.50    -6.79     0.19     1.91    13.06     4.11P    1.62R    0.29  
Cambridge_Utd        20   28   +7       1.95    62.53     8.98    61.24     7.57     3.66     0.17     1.76    11.77     3.90P    1.93R    0.37  
AFC_Wimbledon        20   27   -2       2.31    64.66     2.20    59.56     7.40    -6.91     0.06     0.81     7.04     2.01P    3.37R    0.68  
Portsmouth           20   26   -1      -2.05    37.85    -2.02    62.46     7.62     0.14     0.25     2.22    14.71     5.22P    1.60R    0.31  
Stevenage            20   25   -2      -4.36    25.83    -4.98    63.76     7.79     2.74     0.43     3.37    19.51     8.04P    1.15R    0.23  
Northampton          20   24   -1      -1.64    40.71     1.68    57.17     7.50    -4.94     0.02     0.38     4.26     1.26P    6.46R    1.55  
Oxford_Utd           20   24   -3      -3.22    31.24    -3.00    58.83     7.32    -3.97     0.03     0.54     5.98     1.91P    3.88R    1.00  
Cheltenham           20   24  -10      -0.34    48.42    -5.44    55.08     7.37   -16.80     0.00     0.12     2.04     0.52P   10.97R    2.97  
Mansfield            20   23   -9       0.27    52.72    -2.28    53.08     7.23   -16.84     0.00     0.06     0.95     0.21P   16.60R    5.35  
Dag_&_Red            20   21   -6      -3.98    27.25    -2.13    52.62     7.40   -12.20     0.00     0.06     1.11     0.30P   17.92R    5.54  
York                 20   19   -6      -6.80    13.88    -4.08    52.87     7.35    -8.14     0.01     0.05     1.12     0.27P   16.28R    4.99  
Tranmere             20   18   -6     -10.71     4.80    -7.93    55.48     7.62    -2.98     0.01     0.21     2.80     1.04P    9.54R    2.73  
Carlisle             20   18  -14      -6.88    14.83    -9.68    50.86     7.66   -18.89     0.00     0.02     0.67     0.16P   26.99R    9.50  
Hartlepool           20   12  -24      -9.18     5.94   -14.69    40.34     7.10   -34.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.68R   64.33  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 10 December 2014, Aldershot 0 1 Macclesfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barnet           25   52  +32       5.70    78.91    12.77    90.98     6.36    47.98    76.61    98.68    83.09P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     25   45  +11       7.20    83.63     5.70    75.17     6.32    13.45     1.54    39.76     8.68P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   25   43   +8      -0.39    47.47    -5.49    79.17     6.44    18.98     5.51    64.72    23.68P    0.00     0.00  
Woking           25   42  +14       4.77    74.54     9.27    73.46     6.65    17.95     1.26    33.00     6.69P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          24   41  +20      -1.74    39.68     5.01    79.09     6.63    31.74     7.56    67.32    26.27P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     25   41   +8       2.04    61.01     0.78    73.11     6.42    13.18     0.85    28.92     6.69P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay          25   39  +11      -4.48    27.24    -3.46    76.69     6.49    25.62     2.89    53.30    18.11P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        24   39   +7       1.62    58.90    -0.04    72.34     6.77    11.83     1.02    26.40     6.23P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax          24   38  +10       0.12    50.71     1.91    73.41     6.74    18.01     1.46    32.69     8.30P    0.00R    0.00  
Kidderminster    24   37   +7      -0.59    46.57    -0.49    71.55     6.80    13.56     0.65    23.26     5.71P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        22   36   +7       5.79    79.18     7.35    67.70     7.49     4.98     0.37    12.17     2.40P    0.02R    0.00  
Wrexham          24   34   +2      -0.61    46.87    -0.76    69.24     6.67     9.83     0.25    13.43     3.07P    0.01R    0.00  
Lincoln_City     23   33   +1       0.97    55.64     0.51    63.48     6.98    -0.96     0.03     3.41     0.52P    0.18R    0.01  
Chester          24   33   -8       6.63    83.40     2.36    57.47     6.46   -17.47     0.00     0.29     0.04P    1.63R    0.02  
Dover_Athletic   24   32   -1       2.59    64.41     4.62    59.26     6.83    -5.71     0.00     0.83     0.13P    0.90R    0.02  
Aldershot        24   30   -2      -5.44    22.50    -5.91    61.38     6.59     0.14     0.01     1.31     0.29P    0.27R    0.00  
Welling          25   29   -4      -2.20    38.60     0.45    55.97     6.37    -6.78     0.00     0.12     0.03P    2.18R    0.02  
Altrincham       25   29  -17       4.59    74.88    -0.74    50.66     6.35   -28.75     0.00     0.01     0.00    12.89R    0.63  
Braintree_Town   24   27   -2      -6.22    19.03    -2.91    57.83     6.54    -0.52     0.00     0.37     0.08P    1.28R    0.02  
Southport        23   24  -13      -1.15    44.01    -2.51    49.44     6.59   -23.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    17.49R    1.20  
Alfreton_Town    25   23  -23      -3.36    32.09    -9.42    45.17     6.23   -34.24     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.02R    4.26  
Dartford         24   20  -15      -5.34    21.68    -3.13    43.94     6.43   -24.55     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.60R    5.79  
Nuneaton         25   18  -28      -6.70    15.66   -12.73    38.35     6.00   -41.17     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.17R   25.71  
AFC_Telford      24   14  -25      -6.82    15.28    -3.14    33.52     6.35   -44.12     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.33R   62.31