Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Sunday 14 December 2014 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 14 December 2014, Man_Utd 3 0 Liverpool; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 16 39 +23 5.65 87.09 4.44 85.04 6.27 48.05 50.39 92.15 98.80 99.78 99.99 0.00 0.00 Man_City 16 36 +19 2.18 64.58 -0.24 84.54 5.85 51.24 47.22 92.30 98.89 99.78 99.99 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 16 31 +12 1.25 58.33 -0.13 71.62 6.61 28.40 2.04 12.06 63.48 84.16 96.18 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 16 28 +8 5.64 84.03 7.62 57.12 6.55 5.39 0.01 0.13 2.51 9.88 35.64 0.03R 0.00 Southampton 16 26 +12 1.14 58.01 7.81 58.88 6.64 15.51 0.03 0.33 4.50 15.96 49.05 0.01R 0.00 Arsenal 16 26 +9 -2.59 31.38 -1.35 65.57 6.63 23.60 0.29 2.55 22.43 54.12 83.30 0.00R 0.00 Tottenham 16 24 -2 0.76 55.79 -3.27 56.53 6.73 1.17 0.00 0.11 2.25 8.45 32.23 0.10R 0.01 Newcastle 16 23 -4 4.29 78.98 1.39 49.19 6.51 -11.52 0.00 0.00 0.16 0.90 6.05 1.63R 0.12 Swansea 16 22 +2 -0.17 49.03 2.39 51.91 6.73 1.21 0.00 0.02 0.47 2.51 13.81 0.59R 0.04 Liverpool 16 21 -3 -6.32 12.83 -11.08 58.72 6.73 8.82 0.01 0.24 4.26 15.24 46.58 0.03R 0.00 Stoke 16 19 -3 -0.74 45.33 0.76 45.45 6.43 -8.70 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.20 2.07 4.99R 0.62 Aston_Villa 16 19 -10 2.57 69.90 -1.34 42.34 6.22 -21.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.05 0.59 12.94R 2.11 Everton 15 18 +1 -5.45 15.37 -2.93 56.15 6.91 10.86 0.00 0.11 2.20 8.89 33.43 0.14R 0.01 West_Brom 16 17 -5 -2.44 33.35 -0.68 42.34 6.43 -13.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.67 12.68R 2.23 Sunderland 16 16 -10 -0.74 46.19 -2.07 40.47 6.21 -19.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.25 19.84R 3.81 Crystal_Palace 16 15 -5 -1.88 36.88 2.98 37.45 6.22 -17.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07 34.28R 9.09 Burnley 16 15 -13 -0.80 45.60 -3.71 33.88 5.94 -32.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 60.89R 24.26 QPR 15 14 -11 -0.41 47.99 -0.25 35.19 6.41 -27.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 51.55R 18.71 Hull 16 13 -8 -2.71 30.58 2.01 36.80 6.26 -17.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 38.33R 11.17 Leicester 16 10 -12 -6.17 12.08 -2.34 33.13 6.45 -24.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 61.95R 27.83Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 December 2014, Birmingham 6 1 Reading; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Bournemouth 21 39 +20 5.66 80.07 13.22 78.94 7.55 28.71 19.16 36.18 82.18 47.06P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 21 39 +20 3.69 70.89 10.34 79.74 7.25 29.44 20.51 39.62 85.43 52.60P 0.00 0.00 Derby 21 38 +17 1.54 58.83 5.21 81.72 7.37 31.43 30.77 51.38 90.26 63.08P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 21 38 +12 6.31 82.92 7.64 75.59 7.40 16.85 8.27 19.32 67.01 29.92P 0.01R 0.00 Brentford 21 37 +7 7.98 87.77 6.87 70.62 7.49 5.92 2.40 6.72 39.53 12.70P 0.07R 0.00 Watford 21 35 +15 0.06 50.18 5.59 75.96 7.39 25.21 9.70 21.97 70.72 35.31P 0.01R 0.00 Norwich 21 33 +11 -2.36 36.00 1.08 74.27 7.53 21.28 6.74 16.08 61.95 30.20P 0.01R 0.00 Blackburn 21 31 +1 1.15 57.03 -0.41 67.21 7.41 3.55 0.78 2.63 23.80 7.08P 0.32R 0.02 Nott'm_Forest 21 30 +5 -0.24 48.94 3.01 66.21 7.37 7.74 0.58 2.04 20.83 6.21P 0.48R 0.02 Charlton 21 30 +1 3.18 69.22 3.59 61.43 7.11 -2.67 0.09 0.34 6.56 1.50P 1.99R 0.10 Cardiff 21 30 +0 0.23 51.75 -1.34 66.25 7.52 3.01 0.65 2.06 20.75 6.47P 0.59R 0.02 Wolverhampton 21 30 -7 1.86 61.20 -6.07 63.43 7.38 -8.39 0.20 0.79 11.03 2.89P 1.45R 0.11 Sheff_Wed 21 28 -1 0.88 56.11 0.94 60.53 7.06 -3.31 0.04 0.21 5.19 1.23P 2.69R 0.17 Fulham 21 25 -8 -4.30 26.95 -8.24 60.00 7.72 -7.57 0.08 0.35 5.88 1.58P 4.84R 0.52 Birmingham 21 25 -9 -0.25 49.46 -3.47 54.17 7.19 -17.50 0.00 0.01 0.77 0.14P 16.77R 2.21 Reading 21 25 -10 -3.71 29.08 -9.49 59.00 7.46 -10.77 0.04 0.18 3.82 1.03P 5.73R 0.57 Huddersfield 21 24 -11 0.38 53.33 -2.15 54.04 7.28 -17.85 0.00 0.01 0.85 0.16P 17.48R 2.60 Bolton 21 23 -6 -4.63 24.47 -4.24 56.02 7.25 -7.98 0.00 0.05 1.50 0.37P 10.48R 1.13 Leeds_United 21 23 -7 -2.88 33.59 -2.19 53.13 7.15 -13.43 0.00 0.01 0.59 0.10P 19.45R 2.71 Millwall 21 23 -8 0.15 52.15 1.19 50.19 7.04 -18.56 0.00 0.01 0.17 0.03P 33.43R 6.04 Rotherham 21 21 -10 -0.34 49.14 1.47 46.05 6.98 -23.99 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 57.30R 16.67 Brighton 21 18 -8 -11.30 3.67 -8.80 52.62 7.25 -7.03 0.00 0.00 0.47 0.13P 20.39R 3.13 Wigan 21 17 -7 -12.17 2.91 -7.67 53.22 7.30 -4.12 0.00 0.01 0.66 0.20P 18.07R 2.71 Blackpool 21 13 -17 -8.21 8.58 -6.07 38.73 6.75 -29.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 88.46R 61.25League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 December 2014, Bristol_City 1 0 Crawley_Town; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Bristol_City 20 42 +18 8.34 89.62 8.61 87.54 7.66 33.16 32.48 57.73 97.57 68.58P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 20 41 +19 5.99 81.95 7.63 86.65 7.62 33.96 27.99 53.55 97.00 66.44P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 19 38 +21 4.84 77.48 10.17 85.26 7.90 36.57 23.63 46.86 95.05 61.12P 0.00 0.00 Preston 20 38 +13 3.88 72.16 3.15 82.94 7.64 26.80 13.78 32.67 92.04 50.56P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 20 32 +3 1.99 62.05 -0.87 71.74 7.55 9.07 0.75 2.86 47.50 13.41P 0.17R 0.00 Rochdale 20 30 +11 1.82 60.78 10.11 67.54 8.07 13.57 0.31 1.39 29.93 6.86P 1.11R 0.03 Notts_County 19 30 +5 2.79 67.14 3.26 67.88 7.90 6.22 0.32 1.32 28.98 6.50P 0.87R 0.03 Oldham 20 30 +4 3.27 69.52 4.86 65.03 7.59 3.19 0.07 0.37 17.34 3.29P 1.77R 0.05 Peterborough 20 30 +3 -1.79 39.49 -3.48 70.74 7.70 10.56 0.58 2.50 42.98 12.39P 0.28R 0.01 Bradford 20 29 +2 2.72 66.83 3.55 63.95 7.53 1.16 0.04 0.32 13.67 2.61P 2.55R 0.09 Fleetwood_Town 20 26 +1 2.59 66.22 6.54 56.57 7.57 -6.06 0.00 0.03 2.61 0.42P 15.90R 1.05 Walsall 20 26 +1 -2.31 36.34 -0.67 60.92 7.37 0.65 0.01 0.11 6.87 1.54P 5.08R 0.16 Chesterfield 20 25 -1 -0.96 44.82 1.17 58.89 7.76 -3.64 0.00 0.04 4.97 1.02P 10.08R 0.61 Coventry 20 24 -5 -2.59 35.10 -3.46 59.24 7.72 -5.89 0.01 0.08 5.07 1.05P 9.61R 0.59 Barnsley 20 23 -4 -5.57 20.48 -5.53 59.12 7.94 -3.61 0.00 0.07 5.69 1.37P 10.30R 0.66 Port_Vale 20 23 -4 -1.62 40.90 0.49 54.29 7.55 -10.88 0.00 0.01 1.31 0.25P 24.69R 2.17 Doncaster 19 23 -7 -2.35 36.63 -6.14 57.77 7.96 -10.10 0.01 0.05 3.98 0.79P 14.24R 1.07 Gillingham 20 22 -6 -1.40 42.31 0.14 52.41 7.47 -14.18 0.00 0.00 0.63 0.09P 33.65R 3.76 Scunthorpe 19 22 -9 -0.25 49.55 -2.77 52.56 7.93 -19.66 0.00 0.00 1.02 0.16P 35.23R 4.50 Crawley_Town 20 22 -11 -1.29 43.28 -5.18 52.76 7.40 -17.82 0.00 0.00 0.64 0.11P 32.83R 3.61 Yeovil 20 20 -12 -4.75 23.85 -8.17 51.78 7.66 -17.71 0.00 0.00 0.59 0.13P 37.67R 5.13 Leyton_Orient 20 19 -6 -11.00 4.57 -9.81 58.66 7.70 -0.12 0.01 0.03 4.49 1.31P 10.37R 0.68 Colchester 20 17 -13 -5.18 21.17 -4.67 47.10 7.50 -21.75 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.00P 61.18R 14.18 Crewe 20 16 -23 -2.70 34.33 -8.92 39.12 6.95 -43.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 92.44R 61.64League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 13 December 2014, Burton_Albion 4 0 Hartlepool; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Wycombe 20 41 +17 9.57 93.34 10.93 80.86 7.53 23.35 27.98 63.11 91.04 70.01P 0.00 0.00 Burton_Albion 21 39 +7 8.13 89.20 3.88 76.26 7.27 11.67 9.81 36.39 76.96 46.01P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 20 37 +15 1.93 61.37 3.74 82.06 7.52 28.79 35.33 70.29 93.46 77.94P 0.00R 0.00 Luton 20 37 +8 7.66 88.18 4.99 74.77 7.60 11.50 7.98 30.23 69.64 39.54P 0.01R 0.00 Plymouth 20 34 +12 5.06 78.74 9.46 71.99 7.40 15.75 3.97 19.56 58.17 29.01P 0.01R 0.00 Newport_County 20 34 +9 6.33 83.63 8.67 69.91 7.46 9.39 2.37 12.92 45.80 20.07P 0.08R 0.01 Exeter 21 34 +4 3.88 72.14 1.96 70.01 7.34 6.63 2.03 12.11 45.75 20.09P 0.09R 0.01 Southend 20 34 +3 3.06 68.35 -2.33 74.34 7.38 10.02 6.56 27.61 68.26 39.49P 0.01R 0.00 Bury 20 30 +3 -0.06 49.52 -1.03 69.80 7.62 9.26 2.32 12.77 45.73 21.84P 0.13R 0.01 Morecambe 20 30 +2 3.62 71.79 3.44 64.54 7.43 0.54 0.45 3.48 20.16 7.08P 0.70R 0.13 Accrington_Stanley 20 29 -3 3.05 68.69 -0.34 62.34 7.50 -6.79 0.19 1.91 13.06 4.11P 1.62R 0.29 Cambridge_Utd 20 28 +7 1.95 62.53 8.98 61.24 7.57 3.66 0.17 1.76 11.77 3.90P 1.93R 0.37 AFC_Wimbledon 20 27 -2 2.31 64.66 2.20 59.56 7.40 -6.91 0.06 0.81 7.04 2.01P 3.37R 0.68 Portsmouth 20 26 -1 -2.05 37.85 -2.02 62.46 7.62 0.14 0.25 2.22 14.71 5.22P 1.60R 0.31 Stevenage 20 25 -2 -4.36 25.83 -4.98 63.76 7.79 2.74 0.43 3.37 19.51 8.04P 1.15R 0.23 Northampton 20 24 -1 -1.64 40.71 1.68 57.17 7.50 -4.94 0.02 0.38 4.26 1.26P 6.46R 1.55 Oxford_Utd 20 24 -3 -3.22 31.24 -3.00 58.83 7.32 -3.97 0.03 0.54 5.98 1.91P 3.88R 1.00 Cheltenham 20 24 -10 -0.34 48.42 -5.44 55.08 7.37 -16.80 0.00 0.12 2.04 0.52P 10.97R 2.97 Mansfield 20 23 -9 0.27 52.72 -2.28 53.08 7.23 -16.84 0.00 0.06 0.95 0.21P 16.60R 5.35 Dag_&_Red 20 21 -6 -3.98 27.25 -2.13 52.62 7.40 -12.20 0.00 0.06 1.11 0.30P 17.92R 5.54 York 20 19 -6 -6.80 13.88 -4.08 52.87 7.35 -8.14 0.01 0.05 1.12 0.27P 16.28R 4.99 Tranmere 20 18 -6 -10.71 4.80 -7.93 55.48 7.62 -2.98 0.01 0.21 2.80 1.04P 9.54R 2.73 Carlisle 20 18 -14 -6.88 14.83 -9.68 50.86 7.66 -18.89 0.00 0.02 0.67 0.16P 26.99R 9.50 Hartlepool 20 12 -24 -9.18 5.94 -14.69 40.34 7.10 -34.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 80.68R 64.33Conference (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 10 December 2014, Aldershot 0 1 Macclesfield; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Barnet 25 52 +32 5.70 78.91 12.77 90.98 6.36 47.98 76.61 98.68 83.09P 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 25 45 +11 7.20 83.63 5.70 75.17 6.32 13.45 1.54 39.76 8.68P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 25 43 +8 -0.39 47.47 -5.49 79.17 6.44 18.98 5.51 64.72 23.68P 0.00 0.00 Woking 25 42 +14 4.77 74.54 9.27 73.46 6.65 17.95 1.26 33.00 6.69P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 24 41 +20 -1.74 39.68 5.01 79.09 6.63 31.74 7.56 67.32 26.27P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 25 41 +8 2.04 61.01 0.78 73.11 6.42 13.18 0.85 28.92 6.69P 0.00 0.00 Torquay 25 39 +11 -4.48 27.24 -3.46 76.69 6.49 25.62 2.89 53.30 18.11P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 24 39 +7 1.62 58.90 -0.04 72.34 6.77 11.83 1.02 26.40 6.23P 0.00 0.00 Halifax 24 38 +10 0.12 50.71 1.91 73.41 6.74 18.01 1.46 32.69 8.30P 0.00R 0.00 Kidderminster 24 37 +7 -0.59 46.57 -0.49 71.55 6.80 13.56 0.65 23.26 5.71P 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 22 36 +7 5.79 79.18 7.35 67.70 7.49 4.98 0.37 12.17 2.40P 0.02R 0.00 Wrexham 24 34 +2 -0.61 46.87 -0.76 69.24 6.67 9.83 0.25 13.43 3.07P 0.01R 0.00 Lincoln_City 23 33 +1 0.97 55.64 0.51 63.48 6.98 -0.96 0.03 3.41 0.52P 0.18R 0.01 Chester 24 33 -8 6.63 83.40 2.36 57.47 6.46 -17.47 0.00 0.29 0.04P 1.63R 0.02 Dover_Athletic 24 32 -1 2.59 64.41 4.62 59.26 6.83 -5.71 0.00 0.83 0.13P 0.90R 0.02 Aldershot 24 30 -2 -5.44 22.50 -5.91 61.38 6.59 0.14 0.01 1.31 0.29P 0.27R 0.00 Welling 25 29 -4 -2.20 38.60 0.45 55.97 6.37 -6.78 0.00 0.12 0.03P 2.18R 0.02 Altrincham 25 29 -17 4.59 74.88 -0.74 50.66 6.35 -28.75 0.00 0.01 0.00 12.89R 0.63 Braintree_Town 24 27 -2 -6.22 19.03 -2.91 57.83 6.54 -0.52 0.00 0.37 0.08P 1.28R 0.02 Southport 23 24 -13 -1.15 44.01 -2.51 49.44 6.59 -23.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 17.49R 1.20 Alfreton_Town 25 23 -23 -3.36 32.09 -9.42 45.17 6.23 -34.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 41.02R 4.26 Dartford 24 20 -15 -5.34 21.68 -3.13 43.94 6.43 -24.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 46.60R 5.79 Nuneaton 25 18 -28 -6.70 15.66 -12.73 38.35 6.00 -41.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 82.17R 25.71 AFC_Telford 24 14 -25 -6.82 15.28 -3.14 33.52 6.35 -44.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 93.33R 62.31