Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 10 December 2014 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 8 December 2014, Southampton 1 2 Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Chelsea          15   36  +21       5.08    84.73     4.13    84.48     6.41    47.93    49.36    92.54    98.48    99.61    99.96     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         15   33  +18       1.31    58.69    -0.11    84.16     6.03    52.72    48.67    92.99    98.72    99.72    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          15   28   +9       0.45    52.87    -1.74    69.79     6.88    24.93     1.58     9.72    53.24    74.25    92.05     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         15   27   +8       6.01    86.51     7.64    57.57     6.79     5.58     0.02     0.24     3.76    11.46    35.50     0.04R    0.00  
Southampton      15   26  +13       2.56    68.22     8.80    61.35     6.91    18.12     0.10     1.12    10.90    27.19    60.47     0.02R    0.00  
Arsenal          15   23   +6      -3.09    28.00    -2.40    64.22     6.86    20.86     0.23     2.34    19.77    44.00    75.22     0.00R    0.00  
Newcastle        15   23   -1       4.52    80.60     2.40    50.35     6.72    -8.74     0.00     0.02     0.38     1.54     8.14     1.12R    0.06  
Swansea          15   22   +3       1.13    58.91     3.19    53.74     6.97     2.93     0.00     0.04     1.25     4.70    19.00     0.33R    0.01  
Liverpool        15   21   +0      -5.79    14.01    -9.55    60.44     6.96    12.45     0.04     0.73     9.15    22.72    54.25     0.02R    0.00  
Tottenham        15   21   -3      -0.73    44.71    -4.07    54.57     6.97    -0.34     0.00     0.10     1.72     5.60    21.17     0.32R    0.02  
Aston_Villa      15   19   -9       3.49    75.85    -0.88    43.49     6.49   -20.36     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.10     0.93     9.64R    1.30  
Everton          15   18   +1      -5.44    15.79    -2.91    56.00     6.93    10.60     0.01     0.16     2.56     8.75    30.07     0.12R    0.01  
Stoke            15   18   -3      -0.41    47.75     0.74    45.72     6.67    -8.88     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.29     2.25     4.82R    0.48  
Sunderland       15   15  -10      -0.56    47.09    -2.17    40.82     6.54   -19.85     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.35    18.04R    3.17  
Crystal_Palace   15   14   -5      -1.49    39.45     2.97    37.71     6.40   -17.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07    31.68R    7.18  
West_Brom        15   14   -6      -3.57    25.18    -0.92    40.93     6.67   -13.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.40    17.12R    3.04  
QPR              15   14  -11      -0.31    48.99    -0.11    35.20     6.49   -27.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07    49.73R   15.89  
Hull             15   13   -6      -2.44    32.42     1.99    37.32     6.38   -17.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.08    33.74R    8.00  
Burnley          15   12  -14      -2.36    33.35    -4.53    31.15     6.09   -35.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.46R   37.65  
Leicester        15   10  -11      -5.50    14.58    -2.48    33.41     6.62   -25.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    58.79R   23.18  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 December 2014, Blackburn 1 2 Sheff_Wed; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Derby           20   38  +19       2.28    63.36     6.26    83.79     7.55    34.53    43.93    64.58    94.04    73.74P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         20   37  +12       6.60    84.63     7.54    75.91     7.54    16.75     9.46    22.49    69.44    33.22P    0.00R    0.00  
Bournemouth     20   36  +18       4.99    77.54    12.71    77.03     7.75    26.16    13.26    29.60    74.92    40.37P    0.01R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   20   36  +18       2.63    65.44     9.20    77.79     7.49    26.98    15.36    32.65    78.71    45.56P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       20   34   +5       7.18    86.08     6.08    68.25     7.79     2.82     1.46     4.73    30.21     9.44P    0.28R    0.01  
Watford         20   32  +14      -1.15    42.92     5.27    74.75     7.65    24.81     8.11    19.83    65.90    33.08P    0.00R    0.00  
Blackburn       20   31   +3       1.90    61.54     0.58    69.10     7.66     6.44     1.68     5.38    33.99    11.83P    0.21R    0.01  
Norwich         20   30   +6      -1.95    38.43    -0.80    71.70     7.74    14.91     3.79    10.36    49.07    21.52P    0.11R    0.00  
Cardiff         20   30   +2       0.91    55.66    -0.45    67.73     7.66     5.18     1.20     3.77    28.10     9.73P    0.34R    0.01  
Nott'm_Forest   20   29   +5       0.06    50.70     2.87    67.24     7.61     8.71     1.04     3.52    26.69     8.76P    0.40R    0.02  
Charlton        20   29   +1       3.99    74.16     4.12    62.17     7.28    -2.07     0.12     0.57     9.00     2.08P    1.69R    0.10  
Sheff_Wed       20   28   +0       2.15    63.80     1.78    62.50     7.38    -1.43     0.18     0.69     9.82     2.56P    1.47R    0.08  
Wolverhampton   20   27   -8       0.31    52.43    -6.88    61.06     7.62   -10.37     0.15     0.53     7.57     2.04P    3.24R    0.21  
Reading         20   25   -5      -3.56    29.76    -6.58    62.01     7.67    -3.22     0.19     0.74     9.41     2.76P    2.41R    0.19  
Huddersfield    20   24   -6       0.21    52.11     0.17    56.01     7.54   -11.79     0.01     0.08     2.07     0.47P   11.03R    1.29  
Leeds_United    20   23   -6      -1.74    40.20    -1.53    54.93     7.48   -11.96     0.00     0.05     1.40     0.27P   13.70R    1.73  
Bolton          20   22   -6      -4.39    25.05    -4.45    56.61     7.53    -7.68     0.01     0.11     2.44     0.60P    9.39R    1.11  
Fulham          20   22   -9      -5.73    20.06    -8.88    57.98     8.00    -9.13     0.05     0.25     4.32     1.16P    7.89R    0.94  
Birmingham      20   22  -14      -0.55    47.51    -6.58    50.69     7.25   -25.20     0.00     0.01     0.24     0.05P   31.13R    5.68  
Millwall        20   20   -9      -1.73    40.00    -0.12    47.75     7.15   -20.68     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   45.55R   10.15  
Rotherham       20   20  -10      -0.18    50.20     1.21    46.16     7.23   -24.52     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   55.51R   15.16  
Brighton        20   18   -7      -9.70     5.87    -7.58    54.78     7.44    -4.91     0.01     0.02     1.31     0.41P   12.75R    1.62  
Wigan           20   17   -6     -11.23     3.62    -7.37    54.16     7.48    -3.74     0.00     0.03     1.15     0.33P   14.72R    1.90  
Blackpool       20   12  -17      -8.17     8.24    -6.54    38.41     6.96   -30.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.17R   59.78  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 2 December 2014, Barnsley 1 1 Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Bristol_City     19   39  +17       7.39    87.27     8.60    86.50     7.91    33.09    31.15    55.77    95.98    66.76P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          19   38  +16       5.28    79.53     6.02    84.31     7.88    29.85    21.13    43.64    93.35    58.07P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons          18   37  +21       5.17    79.49    10.06    85.45     8.14    36.31    27.61    50.87    94.53    63.51P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          19   37  +13       4.43    75.61     3.40    83.07     7.83    26.48    16.68    36.38    91.15    52.37P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        19   31   +3       2.40    64.85    -0.81    72.61     7.71     9.82     1.23     4.52    50.59    15.63P    0.14R    0.00  
Oldham           19   30   +8       3.78    72.78     7.63    68.03     7.88     9.65     0.44     1.73    28.95     6.95P    0.71R    0.00  
Notts_County     18   30   +8       3.29    70.16     5.01    69.95     8.12    10.30     0.85     3.13    38.28    10.33P    0.50R    0.01  
Rochdale         19   27   +8       1.41    58.84     8.97    64.73     8.20     8.76     0.18     0.78    18.53     4.19P    2.50R    0.12  
Peterborough     19   27   +2      -3.23    31.11    -4.21    68.70     7.95     9.00     0.49     1.98    32.33     9.61P    0.69R    0.02  
Bradford         19   26   +1       1.16    57.70     2.69    62.14     7.79    -0.16     0.06     0.25     9.80     1.97P    4.42R    0.17  
Fleetwood_Town   19   25   +1       2.64    66.94     6.16    56.69     7.72    -6.33     0.01     0.04     2.63     0.44P   15.03R    1.18  
Chesterfield     19   25   +0       0.02    50.89     1.59    61.00     8.06    -1.63     0.04     0.21     8.41     1.84P    6.59R    0.35  
Walsall          19   23   -1      -3.34    30.06    -1.87    58.61     7.51    -2.24     0.01     0.06     3.89     0.85P    9.09R    0.54  
Barnsley         19   23   -2      -4.84    23.29    -4.52    61.07     8.16    -0.65     0.05     0.23     8.91     2.28P    6.47R    0.39  
Port_Vale        19   23   -2      -0.83    45.58     1.59    56.43     7.80    -7.74     0.01     0.03     2.55     0.46P   16.19R    1.35  
Doncaster        18   23   -6      -1.24    42.87    -5.54    60.15     8.25    -7.60     0.03     0.21     6.93     1.63P    8.79R    0.59  
Crawley_Town     19   22  -10      -0.60    46.88    -5.13    53.67     7.59   -17.61     0.00     0.01     0.95     0.13P   27.51R    2.98  
Coventry         19   21   -7      -3.81    28.18    -4.83    57.12     7.96    -8.65     0.01     0.05     3.05     0.62P   15.20R    1.32  
Leyton_Orient    19   19   -5      -9.97     5.96    -9.36    60.60     7.97     1.71     0.02     0.11     7.73     2.12P    6.78R    0.44  
Gillingham       19   19   -7      -2.80    33.54    -0.45    49.90     7.70   -16.53     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.04P   44.96R    7.69  
Scunthorpe       18   19  -10      -1.20    43.54    -2.63    50.87     8.12   -20.81     0.00     0.01     0.62     0.12P   41.69R    7.90  
Colchester       19   17  -10      -4.67    22.59    -3.13    49.37     7.78   -17.22     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.05P   47.56R    9.39  
Yeovil           19   17  -16      -5.25    20.51   -10.54    47.91     7.78   -25.05     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.02P   56.83R   12.99  
Crewe            19   16  -22      -1.77    39.70    -8.71    40.36     7.24   -42.74     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    88.36R   52.56  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 December 2014, Exeter 1 1 Burton_Albion; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Wycombe              19   38  +14       8.95    92.42     9.39    78.20     7.70    18.86    17.43    49.52    84.50    57.91P    0.00R    0.00  
Luton                19   37  +11       8.17    90.28     6.85    77.17     7.87    16.01    13.90    43.45    80.18    52.68P    0.00     0.00  
Shrewsbury           19   36  +15       2.50    64.76     3.94    82.83     7.82    29.38    40.13    73.23    94.41    80.21P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        20   36   +3       7.83    88.85     1.78    74.18     7.47     7.09     6.39    26.91    67.84    36.29P    0.02R    0.00  
Southend             19   34   +6       3.65    72.07    -0.35    76.43     7.60    14.06    10.99    39.23    78.11    50.59P    0.00R    0.00  
Plymouth             19   31  +11       3.55    72.00     8.61    70.00     7.55    14.31     2.51    14.07    49.40    22.85P    0.08R    0.02  
Newport_County       19   31   +7       5.36    80.46     7.66    67.61     7.75     6.51     1.49     8.72    36.34    14.44P    0.29R    0.04  
Exeter               20   31   +2       3.07    68.28     1.24    68.36     7.62     4.56     1.48     9.41    38.83    16.25P    0.25R    0.05  
Bury                 19   30   +4       1.15    57.34    -0.30    71.04     7.82    10.09     3.46    17.36    53.54    27.30P    0.13R    0.03  
Cambridge_Utd        19   27   +7       2.15    63.90     8.78    61.19     7.88     2.92     0.26     2.05    13.45     4.53P    2.64R    0.69  
Morecambe            19   27   -1       2.72    67.34     1.44    61.93     7.59    -3.79     0.19     1.92    13.20     4.21P    2.02R    0.55  
Portsmouth           19   26   +0      -0.62    46.42    -0.94    64.74     7.83     2.56     0.58     4.56    23.84     9.36P    0.98R    0.22  
Accrington_Stanley   19   26   -4       1.56    60.46    -1.21    59.62     7.72    -9.41     0.11     1.08     8.47     2.53P    4.33R    1.24  
Stevenage            19   25   +0      -3.52    29.31    -3.74    65.61     8.00     5.46     0.88     5.95    28.27    12.39P    0.85R    0.24  
Northampton          19   24   +0      -0.46    47.69     2.28    58.94     7.70    -3.13     0.08     0.93     7.78     2.36P    4.88R    1.35  
AFC_Wimbledon        19   24   -3       0.73    55.46     1.22    56.94     7.60    -9.18     0.03     0.36     4.56     1.14P    8.18R    2.50  
Cheltenham           19   23  -10      -0.11    50.23    -5.64    55.25     7.57   -16.97     0.01     0.20     2.71     0.67P   12.30R    4.13  
Mansfield            19   22   -9       0.71    55.67    -2.24    53.77     7.48   -16.34     0.01     0.11     1.63     0.40P   16.51R    6.30  
Oxford_Utd           19   21   -4      -4.43    24.14    -3.41    56.86     7.58    -5.42     0.03     0.36     4.24     1.35P    7.65R    2.54  
Dag_&_Red            19   21   -5      -2.94    32.61    -1.66    54.42     7.68   -10.52     0.01     0.20     2.48     0.70P   14.13R    4.93  
York                 19   19   -5      -5.35    19.38    -3.10    55.05     7.53    -5.85     0.01     0.16     2.58     0.72P   11.65R    3.86  
Carlisle             19   18  -12      -6.39    16.24    -9.11    52.37     8.01   -16.65     0.00     0.10     1.56     0.42P   22.89R    9.37  
Tranmere             19   15   -7     -12.02     2.66    -8.49    53.36     7.91    -4.74     0.01     0.13     2.09     0.69P   17.26R    6.77  
Hartlepool           19   12  -20      -9.19     5.73   -12.99    42.32     7.42   -29.84     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   72.97R   55.18  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 10 December 2014, Aldershot 0 1 Macclesfield; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barnet           25   52  +32       5.66    78.59    12.73    90.93     6.33    47.91    76.58    98.70    83.16P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     25   45  +11       7.07    83.54     5.48    75.28     6.29    13.65     1.70    40.28     9.10P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   25   43   +8      -0.30    47.90    -5.37    78.99     6.44    18.75     5.40    63.69    22.84P    0.00     0.00  
Woking           25   42  +14       4.69    74.23     9.11    73.48     6.65    18.02     1.29    32.87     6.97P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          24   41  +20      -1.69    39.92     5.07    79.01     6.64    31.59     7.52    66.71    25.79P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     25   41   +8       2.07    60.86     0.81    73.13     6.46    13.22     0.86    29.07     6.85P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay          25   39  +11      -4.51    27.01    -3.58    76.88     6.45    25.90     3.01    54.19    18.57P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        24   39   +7       1.56    58.53    -0.22    72.45     6.75    12.03     1.00    26.93     6.40P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax          24   38  +10       0.02    49.81     1.79    73.50     6.76    18.12     1.45    33.57     8.62P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster    24   37   +7      -0.50    47.40    -0.30    71.40     6.76    13.32     0.59    22.44     5.34P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        22   36   +7       5.72    79.02     7.29    67.79     7.41     5.12     0.35    12.22     2.27P    0.03R    0.00  
Wrexham          24   34   +2      -0.59    47.19    -0.72    69.19     6.66     9.70     0.22    13.18     3.03P    0.01R    0.00  
Lincoln_City     23   33   +1       0.99    56.25     0.53    63.38     6.95    -1.01     0.03     3.27     0.55P    0.24R    0.00  
Chester          24   33   -8       6.67    83.62     2.43    57.51     6.42   -17.42     0.00     0.26     0.03P    1.54R    0.02  
Dover_Athletic   24   32   -1       2.67    64.91     4.78    59.18     6.89    -5.84     0.00     0.86     0.14P    0.92R    0.01  
Aldershot        24   30   -2      -5.43    22.28    -5.92    61.44     6.52     0.24     0.01     1.28     0.25P    0.28R    0.00  
Welling          25   29   -4      -2.34    37.95     0.23    56.05     6.40    -6.57     0.00     0.12     0.02P    2.15R    0.03  
Altrincham       25   29  -17       4.60    74.81    -0.70    50.61     6.31   -28.84     0.00     0.01     0.00    13.08R    0.64  
Braintree_Town   24   27   -2      -6.09    19.29    -2.68    57.70     6.54    -0.73     0.00     0.35     0.07P    1.41R    0.03  
Southport        23   24  -13      -1.19    44.18    -2.61    49.46     6.58   -22.89     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.98R    1.14  
Alfreton_Town    25   23  -23      -3.34    32.43    -9.38    45.18     6.22   -34.23     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.79R    4.21  
Dartford         24   20  -15      -5.28    21.71    -3.02    43.90     6.41   -24.63     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.71R    5.88  
Nuneaton         25   18  -28      -6.59    16.20   -12.48    38.24     6.00   -41.38     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.74R   26.52  
AFC_Telford      24   14  -25      -6.90    15.08    -3.27    33.61     6.39   -44.03     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.10R   61.53