Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Wednesday 10 December 2014 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 8 December 2014, Southampton 1 2 Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 15 36 +21 5.08 84.73 4.13 84.48 6.41 47.93 49.36 92.54 98.48 99.61 99.96 0.00 0.00 Man_City 15 33 +18 1.31 58.69 -0.11 84.16 6.03 52.72 48.67 92.99 98.72 99.72 99.98 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 15 28 +9 0.45 52.87 -1.74 69.79 6.88 24.93 1.58 9.72 53.24 74.25 92.05 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 15 27 +8 6.01 86.51 7.64 57.57 6.79 5.58 0.02 0.24 3.76 11.46 35.50 0.04R 0.00 Southampton 15 26 +13 2.56 68.22 8.80 61.35 6.91 18.12 0.10 1.12 10.90 27.19 60.47 0.02R 0.00 Arsenal 15 23 +6 -3.09 28.00 -2.40 64.22 6.86 20.86 0.23 2.34 19.77 44.00 75.22 0.00R 0.00 Newcastle 15 23 -1 4.52 80.60 2.40 50.35 6.72 -8.74 0.00 0.02 0.38 1.54 8.14 1.12R 0.06 Swansea 15 22 +3 1.13 58.91 3.19 53.74 6.97 2.93 0.00 0.04 1.25 4.70 19.00 0.33R 0.01 Liverpool 15 21 +0 -5.79 14.01 -9.55 60.44 6.96 12.45 0.04 0.73 9.15 22.72 54.25 0.02R 0.00 Tottenham 15 21 -3 -0.73 44.71 -4.07 54.57 6.97 -0.34 0.00 0.10 1.72 5.60 21.17 0.32R 0.02 Aston_Villa 15 19 -9 3.49 75.85 -0.88 43.49 6.49 -20.36 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.10 0.93 9.64R 1.30 Everton 15 18 +1 -5.44 15.79 -2.91 56.00 6.93 10.60 0.01 0.16 2.56 8.75 30.07 0.12R 0.01 Stoke 15 18 -3 -0.41 47.75 0.74 45.72 6.67 -8.88 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.29 2.25 4.82R 0.48 Sunderland 15 15 -10 -0.56 47.09 -2.17 40.82 6.54 -19.85 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.35 18.04R 3.17 Crystal_Palace 15 14 -5 -1.49 39.45 2.97 37.71 6.40 -17.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07 31.68R 7.18 West_Brom 15 14 -6 -3.57 25.18 -0.92 40.93 6.67 -13.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.40 17.12R 3.04 QPR 15 14 -11 -0.31 48.99 -0.11 35.20 6.49 -27.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07 49.73R 15.89 Hull 15 13 -6 -2.44 32.42 1.99 37.32 6.38 -17.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.08 33.74R 8.00 Burnley 15 12 -14 -2.36 33.35 -4.53 31.15 6.09 -35.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 74.46R 37.65 Leicester 15 10 -11 -5.50 14.58 -2.48 33.41 6.62 -25.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 58.79R 23.18Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 December 2014, Blackburn 1 2 Sheff_Wed; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Derby 20 38 +19 2.28 63.36 6.26 83.79 7.55 34.53 43.93 64.58 94.04 73.74P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 20 37 +12 6.60 84.63 7.54 75.91 7.54 16.75 9.46 22.49 69.44 33.22P 0.00R 0.00 Bournemouth 20 36 +18 4.99 77.54 12.71 77.03 7.75 26.16 13.26 29.60 74.92 40.37P 0.01R 0.00 Middlesbrough 20 36 +18 2.63 65.44 9.20 77.79 7.49 26.98 15.36 32.65 78.71 45.56P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 20 34 +5 7.18 86.08 6.08 68.25 7.79 2.82 1.46 4.73 30.21 9.44P 0.28R 0.01 Watford 20 32 +14 -1.15 42.92 5.27 74.75 7.65 24.81 8.11 19.83 65.90 33.08P 0.00R 0.00 Blackburn 20 31 +3 1.90 61.54 0.58 69.10 7.66 6.44 1.68 5.38 33.99 11.83P 0.21R 0.01 Norwich 20 30 +6 -1.95 38.43 -0.80 71.70 7.74 14.91 3.79 10.36 49.07 21.52P 0.11R 0.00 Cardiff 20 30 +2 0.91 55.66 -0.45 67.73 7.66 5.18 1.20 3.77 28.10 9.73P 0.34R 0.01 Nott'm_Forest 20 29 +5 0.06 50.70 2.87 67.24 7.61 8.71 1.04 3.52 26.69 8.76P 0.40R 0.02 Charlton 20 29 +1 3.99 74.16 4.12 62.17 7.28 -2.07 0.12 0.57 9.00 2.08P 1.69R 0.10 Sheff_Wed 20 28 +0 2.15 63.80 1.78 62.50 7.38 -1.43 0.18 0.69 9.82 2.56P 1.47R 0.08 Wolverhampton 20 27 -8 0.31 52.43 -6.88 61.06 7.62 -10.37 0.15 0.53 7.57 2.04P 3.24R 0.21 Reading 20 25 -5 -3.56 29.76 -6.58 62.01 7.67 -3.22 0.19 0.74 9.41 2.76P 2.41R 0.19 Huddersfield 20 24 -6 0.21 52.11 0.17 56.01 7.54 -11.79 0.01 0.08 2.07 0.47P 11.03R 1.29 Leeds_United 20 23 -6 -1.74 40.20 -1.53 54.93 7.48 -11.96 0.00 0.05 1.40 0.27P 13.70R 1.73 Bolton 20 22 -6 -4.39 25.05 -4.45 56.61 7.53 -7.68 0.01 0.11 2.44 0.60P 9.39R 1.11 Fulham 20 22 -9 -5.73 20.06 -8.88 57.98 8.00 -9.13 0.05 0.25 4.32 1.16P 7.89R 0.94 Birmingham 20 22 -14 -0.55 47.51 -6.58 50.69 7.25 -25.20 0.00 0.01 0.24 0.05P 31.13R 5.68 Millwall 20 20 -9 -1.73 40.00 -0.12 47.75 7.15 -20.68 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.02P 45.55R 10.15 Rotherham 20 20 -10 -0.18 50.20 1.21 46.16 7.23 -24.52 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.01P 55.51R 15.16 Brighton 20 18 -7 -9.70 5.87 -7.58 54.78 7.44 -4.91 0.01 0.02 1.31 0.41P 12.75R 1.62 Wigan 20 17 -6 -11.23 3.62 -7.37 54.16 7.48 -3.74 0.00 0.03 1.15 0.33P 14.72R 1.90 Blackpool 20 12 -17 -8.17 8.24 -6.54 38.41 6.96 -30.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 88.17R 59.78League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 2 December 2014, Barnsley 1 1 Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Bristol_City 19 39 +17 7.39 87.27 8.60 86.50 7.91 33.09 31.15 55.77 95.98 66.76P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 19 38 +16 5.28 79.53 6.02 84.31 7.88 29.85 21.13 43.64 93.35 58.07P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 18 37 +21 5.17 79.49 10.06 85.45 8.14 36.31 27.61 50.87 94.53 63.51P 0.00 0.00 Preston 19 37 +13 4.43 75.61 3.40 83.07 7.83 26.48 16.68 36.38 91.15 52.37P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 19 31 +3 2.40 64.85 -0.81 72.61 7.71 9.82 1.23 4.52 50.59 15.63P 0.14R 0.00 Oldham 19 30 +8 3.78 72.78 7.63 68.03 7.88 9.65 0.44 1.73 28.95 6.95P 0.71R 0.00 Notts_County 18 30 +8 3.29 70.16 5.01 69.95 8.12 10.30 0.85 3.13 38.28 10.33P 0.50R 0.01 Rochdale 19 27 +8 1.41 58.84 8.97 64.73 8.20 8.76 0.18 0.78 18.53 4.19P 2.50R 0.12 Peterborough 19 27 +2 -3.23 31.11 -4.21 68.70 7.95 9.00 0.49 1.98 32.33 9.61P 0.69R 0.02 Bradford 19 26 +1 1.16 57.70 2.69 62.14 7.79 -0.16 0.06 0.25 9.80 1.97P 4.42R 0.17 Fleetwood_Town 19 25 +1 2.64 66.94 6.16 56.69 7.72 -6.33 0.01 0.04 2.63 0.44P 15.03R 1.18 Chesterfield 19 25 +0 0.02 50.89 1.59 61.00 8.06 -1.63 0.04 0.21 8.41 1.84P 6.59R 0.35 Walsall 19 23 -1 -3.34 30.06 -1.87 58.61 7.51 -2.24 0.01 0.06 3.89 0.85P 9.09R 0.54 Barnsley 19 23 -2 -4.84 23.29 -4.52 61.07 8.16 -0.65 0.05 0.23 8.91 2.28P 6.47R 0.39 Port_Vale 19 23 -2 -0.83 45.58 1.59 56.43 7.80 -7.74 0.01 0.03 2.55 0.46P 16.19R 1.35 Doncaster 18 23 -6 -1.24 42.87 -5.54 60.15 8.25 -7.60 0.03 0.21 6.93 1.63P 8.79R 0.59 Crawley_Town 19 22 -10 -0.60 46.88 -5.13 53.67 7.59 -17.61 0.00 0.01 0.95 0.13P 27.51R 2.98 Coventry 19 21 -7 -3.81 28.18 -4.83 57.12 7.96 -8.65 0.01 0.05 3.05 0.62P 15.20R 1.32 Leyton_Orient 19 19 -5 -9.97 5.96 -9.36 60.60 7.97 1.71 0.02 0.11 7.73 2.12P 6.78R 0.44 Gillingham 19 19 -7 -2.80 33.54 -0.45 49.90 7.70 -16.53 0.00 0.00 0.34 0.04P 44.96R 7.69 Scunthorpe 18 19 -10 -1.20 43.54 -2.63 50.87 8.12 -20.81 0.00 0.01 0.62 0.12P 41.69R 7.90 Colchester 19 17 -10 -4.67 22.59 -3.13 49.37 7.78 -17.22 0.00 0.00 0.29 0.05P 47.56R 9.39 Yeovil 19 17 -16 -5.25 20.51 -10.54 47.91 7.78 -25.05 0.00 0.00 0.19 0.02P 56.83R 12.99 Crewe 19 16 -22 -1.77 39.70 -8.71 40.36 7.24 -42.74 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 88.36R 52.56League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 December 2014, Exeter 1 1 Burton_Albion; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Wycombe 19 38 +14 8.95 92.42 9.39 78.20 7.70 18.86 17.43 49.52 84.50 57.91P 0.00R 0.00 Luton 19 37 +11 8.17 90.28 6.85 77.17 7.87 16.01 13.90 43.45 80.18 52.68P 0.00 0.00 Shrewsbury 19 36 +15 2.50 64.76 3.94 82.83 7.82 29.38 40.13 73.23 94.41 80.21P 0.00 0.00 Burton_Albion 20 36 +3 7.83 88.85 1.78 74.18 7.47 7.09 6.39 26.91 67.84 36.29P 0.02R 0.00 Southend 19 34 +6 3.65 72.07 -0.35 76.43 7.60 14.06 10.99 39.23 78.11 50.59P 0.00R 0.00 Plymouth 19 31 +11 3.55 72.00 8.61 70.00 7.55 14.31 2.51 14.07 49.40 22.85P 0.08R 0.02 Newport_County 19 31 +7 5.36 80.46 7.66 67.61 7.75 6.51 1.49 8.72 36.34 14.44P 0.29R 0.04 Exeter 20 31 +2 3.07 68.28 1.24 68.36 7.62 4.56 1.48 9.41 38.83 16.25P 0.25R 0.05 Bury 19 30 +4 1.15 57.34 -0.30 71.04 7.82 10.09 3.46 17.36 53.54 27.30P 0.13R 0.03 Cambridge_Utd 19 27 +7 2.15 63.90 8.78 61.19 7.88 2.92 0.26 2.05 13.45 4.53P 2.64R 0.69 Morecambe 19 27 -1 2.72 67.34 1.44 61.93 7.59 -3.79 0.19 1.92 13.20 4.21P 2.02R 0.55 Portsmouth 19 26 +0 -0.62 46.42 -0.94 64.74 7.83 2.56 0.58 4.56 23.84 9.36P 0.98R 0.22 Accrington_Stanley 19 26 -4 1.56 60.46 -1.21 59.62 7.72 -9.41 0.11 1.08 8.47 2.53P 4.33R 1.24 Stevenage 19 25 +0 -3.52 29.31 -3.74 65.61 8.00 5.46 0.88 5.95 28.27 12.39P 0.85R 0.24 Northampton 19 24 +0 -0.46 47.69 2.28 58.94 7.70 -3.13 0.08 0.93 7.78 2.36P 4.88R 1.35 AFC_Wimbledon 19 24 -3 0.73 55.46 1.22 56.94 7.60 -9.18 0.03 0.36 4.56 1.14P 8.18R 2.50 Cheltenham 19 23 -10 -0.11 50.23 -5.64 55.25 7.57 -16.97 0.01 0.20 2.71 0.67P 12.30R 4.13 Mansfield 19 22 -9 0.71 55.67 -2.24 53.77 7.48 -16.34 0.01 0.11 1.63 0.40P 16.51R 6.30 Oxford_Utd 19 21 -4 -4.43 24.14 -3.41 56.86 7.58 -5.42 0.03 0.36 4.24 1.35P 7.65R 2.54 Dag_&_Red 19 21 -5 -2.94 32.61 -1.66 54.42 7.68 -10.52 0.01 0.20 2.48 0.70P 14.13R 4.93 York 19 19 -5 -5.35 19.38 -3.10 55.05 7.53 -5.85 0.01 0.16 2.58 0.72P 11.65R 3.86 Carlisle 19 18 -12 -6.39 16.24 -9.11 52.37 8.01 -16.65 0.00 0.10 1.56 0.42P 22.89R 9.37 Tranmere 19 15 -7 -12.02 2.66 -8.49 53.36 7.91 -4.74 0.01 0.13 2.09 0.69P 17.26R 6.77 Hartlepool 19 12 -20 -9.19 5.73 -12.99 42.32 7.42 -29.84 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 72.97R 55.18Conference (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 10 December 2014, Aldershot 0 1 Macclesfield; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Barnet 25 52 +32 5.66 78.59 12.73 90.93 6.33 47.91 76.58 98.70 83.16P 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 25 45 +11 7.07 83.54 5.48 75.28 6.29 13.65 1.70 40.28 9.10P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 25 43 +8 -0.30 47.90 -5.37 78.99 6.44 18.75 5.40 63.69 22.84P 0.00 0.00 Woking 25 42 +14 4.69 74.23 9.11 73.48 6.65 18.02 1.29 32.87 6.97P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 24 41 +20 -1.69 39.92 5.07 79.01 6.64 31.59 7.52 66.71 25.79P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 25 41 +8 2.07 60.86 0.81 73.13 6.46 13.22 0.86 29.07 6.85P 0.00 0.00 Torquay 25 39 +11 -4.51 27.01 -3.58 76.88 6.45 25.90 3.01 54.19 18.57P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 24 39 +7 1.56 58.53 -0.22 72.45 6.75 12.03 1.00 26.93 6.40P 0.00 0.00 Halifax 24 38 +10 0.02 49.81 1.79 73.50 6.76 18.12 1.45 33.57 8.62P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 24 37 +7 -0.50 47.40 -0.30 71.40 6.76 13.32 0.59 22.44 5.34P 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 22 36 +7 5.72 79.02 7.29 67.79 7.41 5.12 0.35 12.22 2.27P 0.03R 0.00 Wrexham 24 34 +2 -0.59 47.19 -0.72 69.19 6.66 9.70 0.22 13.18 3.03P 0.01R 0.00 Lincoln_City 23 33 +1 0.99 56.25 0.53 63.38 6.95 -1.01 0.03 3.27 0.55P 0.24R 0.00 Chester 24 33 -8 6.67 83.62 2.43 57.51 6.42 -17.42 0.00 0.26 0.03P 1.54R 0.02 Dover_Athletic 24 32 -1 2.67 64.91 4.78 59.18 6.89 -5.84 0.00 0.86 0.14P 0.92R 0.01 Aldershot 24 30 -2 -5.43 22.28 -5.92 61.44 6.52 0.24 0.01 1.28 0.25P 0.28R 0.00 Welling 25 29 -4 -2.34 37.95 0.23 56.05 6.40 -6.57 0.00 0.12 0.02P 2.15R 0.03 Altrincham 25 29 -17 4.60 74.81 -0.70 50.61 6.31 -28.84 0.00 0.01 0.00 13.08R 0.64 Braintree_Town 24 27 -2 -6.09 19.29 -2.68 57.70 6.54 -0.73 0.00 0.35 0.07P 1.41R 0.03 Southport 23 24 -13 -1.19 44.18 -2.61 49.46 6.58 -22.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 16.98R 1.14 Alfreton_Town 25 23 -23 -3.34 32.43 -9.38 45.18 6.22 -34.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 40.79R 4.21 Dartford 24 20 -15 -5.28 21.71 -3.02 43.90 6.41 -24.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 46.71R 5.88 Nuneaton 25 18 -28 -6.59 16.20 -12.48 38.24 6.00 -41.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 82.74R 26.52 AFC_Telford 24 14 -25 -6.90 15.08 -3.27 33.61 6.39 -44.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 93.10R 61.53