Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Tuesday 9 December 2014 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 8 December 2014, Southampton 1 2 Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 15 36 +21 5.02 84.56 4.02 84.55 6.37 48.00 49.24 92.69 98.56 99.68 99.97 0.00 0.00 Man_City 15 33 +18 1.22 57.88 -0.27 84.29 5.98 52.93 48.91 93.59 98.93 99.77 99.99 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 15 28 +9 0.56 53.69 -1.56 69.70 6.86 24.82 1.47 9.28 52.71 74.10 92.09 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 15 27 +8 6.04 86.52 7.69 57.58 6.79 5.64 0.01 0.25 3.78 11.55 35.64 0.03R 0.00 Southampton 15 26 +13 2.52 67.95 8.77 61.22 6.92 17.93 0.11 1.08 10.60 26.52 59.85 0.00R 0.00 Arsenal 15 23 +6 -3.17 27.54 -2.56 64.36 6.80 21.09 0.21 2.18 20.54 44.69 75.81 0.00 0.00 Newcastle 15 23 -1 4.56 80.75 2.47 50.34 6.70 -8.80 0.00 0.02 0.35 1.57 7.99 1.11R 0.06 Swansea 15 22 +3 1.14 58.88 3.23 53.65 6.98 2.82 0.00 0.06 1.29 4.69 19.01 0.35R 0.02 Liverpool 15 21 +0 -5.77 14.27 -9.47 60.45 6.93 12.46 0.05 0.66 9.13 22.94 54.38 0.03R 0.00 Tottenham 15 21 -3 -0.71 44.82 -4.02 54.52 6.97 -0.39 0.00 0.05 1.56 5.50 21.31 0.31R 0.02 Aston_Villa 15 19 -9 3.43 75.84 -0.96 43.56 6.42 -20.19 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.10 0.92 9.12R 1.13 Everton 15 18 +1 -5.42 15.71 -2.85 55.96 6.89 10.57 0.00 0.13 2.50 8.56 29.98 0.16R 0.01 Stoke 15 18 -3 -0.37 48.22 0.78 45.70 6.67 -8.89 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.27 2.06 5.03R 0.50 Sunderland 15 15 -10 -0.55 47.19 -2.16 40.83 6.48 -19.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.36 18.02R 3.13 Crystal_Palace 15 14 -5 -1.45 39.88 3.05 37.64 6.42 -17.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.09 31.95R 7.45 West_Brom 15 14 -6 -3.63 24.69 -1.02 40.90 6.60 -14.06 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.39 17.25R 3.05 QPR 15 14 -11 -0.30 49.37 -0.12 35.23 6.50 -27.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 49.65R 15.97 Hull 15 13 -6 -2.44 32.69 1.99 37.35 6.43 -17.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.11 33.64R 8.18 Burnley 15 12 -14 -2.47 32.59 -4.65 31.30 6.18 -34.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 73.69R 36.98 Leicester 15 10 -11 -5.42 14.66 -2.36 33.36 6.57 -26.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 59.65R 23.52Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 December 2014, Blackburn 1 2 Sheff_Wed; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Derby 20 38 +19 2.33 63.22 6.34 83.73 7.54 34.38 43.72 64.22 93.82 73.32P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 20 37 +12 6.57 84.42 7.48 75.99 7.62 16.89 9.76 22.97 69.47 33.43P 0.01R 0.00 Bournemouth 20 36 +18 5.03 77.86 12.77 76.92 7.72 25.98 13.01 28.90 74.88 39.89P 0.01R 0.00 Middlesbrough 20 36 +18 2.67 65.70 9.26 77.78 7.47 26.95 15.30 32.33 78.86 45.56P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 20 34 +5 7.05 85.57 5.86 68.37 7.68 2.97 1.38 4.72 30.31 9.28P 0.25R 0.01 Watford 20 32 +14 -1.08 43.51 5.35 74.67 7.69 24.72 8.17 19.98 65.16 32.82P 0.01R 0.00 Blackburn 20 31 +3 1.92 61.55 0.65 69.04 7.59 6.38 1.72 5.19 33.67 11.55P 0.20R 0.01 Norwich 20 30 +6 -2.03 38.08 -0.91 71.72 7.83 14.93 3.93 10.83 49.35 22.24P 0.07R 0.00 Cardiff 20 30 +2 0.80 55.00 -0.64 67.92 7.68 5.49 1.29 4.19 29.01 10.16P 0.31R 0.01 Nott'm_Forest 20 29 +5 0.03 50.62 2.82 67.24 7.63 8.72 1.06 3.55 26.79 8.87P 0.35R 0.01 Charlton 20 29 +1 4.00 74.06 4.14 62.10 7.34 -2.18 0.16 0.67 8.98 2.14P 1.76R 0.12 Sheff_Wed 20 28 +0 2.00 62.85 1.58 62.64 7.33 -1.19 0.15 0.68 9.93 2.65P 1.56R 0.11 Wolverhampton 20 27 -8 0.39 52.76 -6.76 61.01 7.62 -10.47 0.11 0.47 7.38 1.96P 3.24R 0.22 Reading 20 25 -5 -3.67 28.82 -6.76 62.06 7.64 -3.07 0.15 0.73 9.56 2.78P 2.31R 0.19 Huddersfield 20 24 -6 0.34 53.20 0.31 55.96 7.55 -11.84 0.01 0.10 2.00 0.44P 11.32R 1.31 Leeds_United 20 23 -6 -1.66 40.55 -1.47 54.93 7.51 -11.95 0.01 0.05 1.43 0.34P 13.78R 1.58 Bolton 20 22 -6 -4.37 24.99 -4.38 56.54 7.43 -7.80 0.01 0.08 2.24 0.55P 9.07R 0.94 Fulham 20 22 -9 -5.63 20.46 -8.75 57.90 7.97 -9.33 0.06 0.26 4.08 1.19P 8.08R 0.89 Birmingham 20 22 -14 -0.52 47.78 -6.55 50.77 7.22 -25.05 0.00 0.01 0.31 0.07P 30.53R 5.39 Millwall 20 20 -9 -1.69 40.24 0.00 47.73 7.19 -20.75 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.01P 45.55R 10.32 Rotherham 20 20 -10 -0.15 50.61 1.27 46.05 7.29 -24.72 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.01P 56.02R 15.84 Brighton 20 18 -7 -9.81 5.59 -7.73 54.87 7.44 -4.81 0.01 0.03 1.34 0.37P 12.66R 1.45 Wigan 20 17 -6 -11.23 3.68 -7.38 54.18 7.55 -3.68 0.01 0.04 1.24 0.37P 14.71R 2.07 Blackpool 20 12 -17 -8.16 8.23 -6.51 38.41 6.95 -30.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 88.21R 59.52League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 2 December 2014, Barnsley 1 1 Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Bristol_City 19 39 +17 7.46 87.52 8.69 86.49 7.89 33.05 30.43 55.15 96.20 66.33P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 19 38 +16 5.32 79.64 6.03 84.25 7.89 29.78 20.48 42.65 93.03 56.92P 0.00R 0.00 MK_Dons 18 37 +21 5.09 79.19 9.91 85.63 8.10 36.47 28.27 51.47 94.79 64.05P 0.00 0.00 Preston 19 37 +13 4.23 74.53 3.10 83.39 7.80 26.97 17.55 37.72 91.83 53.59P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 19 31 +3 2.55 65.75 -0.62 72.48 7.72 9.61 1.17 4.37 49.62 15.06P 0.13R 0.00 Oldham 19 30 +8 3.78 72.37 7.62 68.03 7.85 9.66 0.36 1.62 29.02 7.02P 0.66R 0.01 Notts_County 18 30 +8 3.19 69.43 4.88 70.11 8.10 10.48 0.86 3.11 38.91 10.46P 0.41R 0.01 Rochdale 19 27 +8 1.38 58.78 8.96 64.67 8.24 8.65 0.19 0.85 18.22 4.22P 2.74R 0.10 Peterborough 19 27 +2 -3.32 30.23 -4.36 68.79 7.95 9.07 0.52 1.95 32.78 9.88P 0.63R 0.01 Bradford 19 26 +1 1.20 58.24 2.78 62.07 7.77 -0.25 0.03 0.21 9.53 1.94P 4.36R 0.17 Fleetwood_Town 19 25 +1 2.81 67.96 6.44 56.51 7.75 -6.52 0.01 0.02 2.62 0.41P 15.49R 1.23 Chesterfield 19 25 +0 0.03 50.79 1.66 60.92 8.13 -1.74 0.04 0.17 8.27 1.72P 6.91R 0.41 Walsall 19 23 -1 -3.24 30.30 -1.77 58.47 7.51 -2.42 0.01 0.06 3.83 0.93P 9.25R 0.55 Barnsley 19 23 -2 -4.91 23.03 -4.64 61.13 8.15 -0.51 0.04 0.26 8.90 2.23P 6.29R 0.36 Port_Vale 19 23 -2 -0.85 45.61 1.62 56.47 7.81 -7.70 0.00 0.03 2.68 0.52P 16.25R 1.43 Doncaster 18 23 -6 -1.23 42.69 -5.51 60.21 8.19 -7.50 0.03 0.19 6.95 1.61P 8.39R 0.60 Crawley_Town 19 22 -10 -0.58 47.22 -5.13 53.66 7.55 -17.66 0.00 0.00 0.86 0.14P 27.40R 2.87 Coventry 19 21 -7 -3.67 28.60 -4.63 56.97 7.95 -8.88 0.00 0.03 2.99 0.59P 15.37R 1.34 Leyton_Orient 19 19 -5 -9.93 6.02 -9.29 60.48 7.96 1.57 0.01 0.11 7.45 2.12P 6.88R 0.44 Gillingham 19 19 -7 -2.92 32.84 -0.64 49.94 7.64 -16.46 0.00 0.00 0.38 0.07P 44.84R 7.58 Scunthorpe 18 19 -10 -1.35 42.48 -2.82 51.00 8.15 -20.61 0.00 0.01 0.67 0.11P 41.04R 7.66 Colchester 19 17 -10 -4.68 23.05 -3.09 49.46 7.79 -17.15 0.00 0.00 0.30 0.05P 47.07R 8.97 Yeovil 19 17 -16 -5.28 20.32 -10.56 47.94 7.75 -25.00 0.00 0.00 0.16 0.03P 56.91R 13.04 Crewe 19 16 -22 -1.71 40.00 -8.61 40.25 7.10 -42.93 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 88.99R 53.21League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 December 2014, Exeter 1 1 Burton_Albion; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Wycombe 19 38 +14 8.96 92.47 9.41 78.20 7.66 18.86 17.49 49.50 84.49 58.14P 0.00R 0.00 Luton 19 37 +11 8.13 90.14 6.76 77.25 7.92 16.10 14.21 44.09 80.44 53.13P 0.00R 0.00 Shrewsbury 19 36 +15 2.51 65.18 3.97 82.86 7.76 29.41 40.38 73.50 94.39 80.49P 0.00 0.00 Burton_Albion 20 36 +3 7.85 88.96 1.85 74.08 7.50 6.92 6.31 26.82 67.35 36.14P 0.01R 0.00 Southend 19 34 +6 3.67 72.46 -0.29 76.28 7.54 13.87 10.58 38.31 77.85 50.12P 0.00R 0.00 Plymouth 19 31 +11 3.64 72.51 8.74 69.96 7.57 14.24 2.42 14.15 49.53 22.96P 0.11R 0.03 Newport_County 19 31 +7 5.41 80.53 7.71 67.52 7.74 6.38 1.46 8.61 35.88 14.14P 0.30R 0.04 Exeter 20 31 +2 3.07 68.50 1.23 68.29 7.52 4.48 1.31 9.11 38.56 15.82P 0.20R 0.04 Bury 19 30 +4 1.08 56.88 -0.40 71.14 7.74 10.23 3.47 17.52 53.96 27.27P 0.07R 0.01 Cambridge_Utd 19 27 +7 2.12 63.56 8.71 61.32 7.82 3.10 0.28 2.10 13.42 4.45P 2.47R 0.62 Morecambe 19 27 -1 2.84 68.17 1.62 61.73 7.62 -4.08 0.21 1.84 12.84 4.02P 2.30R 0.66 Portsmouth 19 26 +0 -0.58 46.68 -0.91 64.77 7.78 2.60 0.60 4.56 23.99 9.34P 0.88R 0.21 Accrington_Stanley 19 26 -4 1.53 60.13 -1.26 59.70 7.73 -9.21 0.13 1.15 8.66 2.68P 4.26R 1.22 Stevenage 19 25 +0 -3.75 28.17 -4.07 65.73 8.00 5.68 0.98 6.29 28.96 12.84P 0.79R 0.18 Northampton 19 24 +0 -0.48 47.56 2.23 59.01 7.71 -3.04 0.07 0.86 7.82 2.35P 4.93R 1.37 AFC_Wimbledon 19 24 -3 0.76 55.63 1.25 56.94 7.57 -9.21 0.02 0.34 4.39 1.14P 8.00R 2.50 Cheltenham 19 23 -10 -0.13 50.04 -5.68 55.32 7.58 -16.83 0.01 0.20 2.76 0.70P 12.34R 4.10 Mansfield 19 22 -9 0.74 55.89 -2.15 53.75 7.46 -16.37 0.01 0.11 1.69 0.40P 16.90R 6.20 Oxford_Utd 19 21 -4 -4.41 24.04 -3.39 56.78 7.50 -5.55 0.02 0.35 4.25 1.25P 7.61R 2.55 Dag_&_Red 19 21 -5 -2.84 32.87 -1.49 54.34 7.62 -10.69 0.01 0.17 2.35 0.63P 14.31R 5.12 York 19 19 -5 -5.45 18.66 -3.21 55.11 7.52 -5.76 0.02 0.19 2.74 0.82P 11.34R 3.77 Carlisle 19 18 -12 -6.41 16.05 -9.21 52.48 7.92 -16.47 0.01 0.11 1.60 0.43P 22.27R 9.05 Tranmere 19 15 -7 -12.02 2.67 -8.50 53.33 7.92 -4.72 0.01 0.13 2.06 0.72P 17.51R 6.63 Hartlepool 19 12 -20 -9.15 5.55 -12.90 42.28 7.33 -29.92 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 73.36R 55.70Conference (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 9 December 2014, AFC_Telford 1 2 Welling; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Barnet 25 52 +32 5.69 78.58 12.79 90.93 6.42 47.93 75.69 98.53 82.45P 0.00 0.00 Bristol_Rovers 25 43 +8 -0.22 48.56 -5.27 79.00 6.44 18.72 5.40 63.07 22.79P 0.00 0.00 Woking 25 42 +14 4.75 74.60 9.26 73.27 6.70 17.65 1.33 31.77 6.79P 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 24 42 +10 5.65 78.55 4.83 73.04 6.51 11.76 0.84 28.25 5.96P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 24 41 +20 -1.63 40.46 5.19 78.95 6.64 31.58 7.37 66.03 25.43P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 25 41 +8 2.06 60.79 0.83 73.13 6.44 13.23 0.94 28.69 6.87P 0.00 0.00 Torquay 25 39 +11 -4.77 25.97 -3.98 76.99 6.52 26.14 3.30 54.88 18.97P 0.00 0.00 Halifax 24 38 +10 0.00 49.98 1.75 73.45 6.76 18.07 1.63 32.96 8.52P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 23 38 +7 2.31 63.09 0.40 73.96 6.93 13.78 1.85 34.71 8.57P 0.00R 0.00 Kidderminster 24 37 +7 -0.39 47.88 -0.16 71.33 6.78 13.22 0.58 21.92 5.38P 0.00 0.00 Eastleigh 21 36 +8 6.84 84.18 7.79 69.68 7.70 7.00 0.79 18.30 3.69P 0.02R 0.00 Wrexham 24 34 +2 -0.66 46.70 -0.78 69.30 6.67 9.91 0.22 13.44 3.21P 0.00R 0.00 Lincoln_City 23 33 +1 1.02 56.09 0.61 63.23 6.89 -1.29 0.02 2.99 0.51P 0.15R 0.00 Chester 24 33 -8 6.54 83.03 2.22 57.64 6.45 -17.28 0.00 0.29 0.02P 1.28R 0.01 Dover_Athletic 24 32 -1 2.55 64.11 4.57 59.24 6.81 -5.74 0.00 0.74 0.11P 0.67R 0.01 Aldershot 23 30 -1 -4.23 27.18 -5.14 63.45 6.80 2.15 0.03 3.00 0.65P 0.13R 0.00 Welling 25 29 -4 -2.18 38.76 0.51 55.94 6.38 -6.81 0.00 0.13 0.02P 1.84R 0.03 Altrincham 25 29 -17 4.66 75.29 -0.69 50.51 6.29 -28.97 0.00 0.01 0.00 11.51R 0.56 Braintree_Town 24 27 -2 -6.21 18.97 -2.83 57.75 6.51 -0.72 0.00 0.30 0.05P 1.21R 0.02 Southport 22 23 -13 -1.24 43.46 -3.25 48.92 6.74 -24.59 0.00 0.01 0.00P 17.82R 1.49 Dartford 24 20 -15 -5.25 22.09 -3.04 43.96 6.39 -24.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 42.29R 5.52 Alfreton_Town 24 20 -24 -4.80 24.32 -10.13 43.34 6.41 -35.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 49.70R 7.01 Nuneaton 25 18 -28 -6.49 16.47 -12.36 38.16 5.99 -41.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 81.07R 25.32 AFC_Telford 24 14 -25 -6.88 14.81 -3.12 33.54 6.31 -44.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 92.30R 60.05