Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 9 December 2014 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 8 December 2014, Southampton 1 2 Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Chelsea          15   36  +21       5.02    84.56     4.02    84.55     6.37    48.00    49.24    92.69    98.56    99.68    99.97     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         15   33  +18       1.22    57.88    -0.27    84.29     5.98    52.93    48.91    93.59    98.93    99.77    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          15   28   +9       0.56    53.69    -1.56    69.70     6.86    24.82     1.47     9.28    52.71    74.10    92.09     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         15   27   +8       6.04    86.52     7.69    57.58     6.79     5.64     0.01     0.25     3.78    11.55    35.64     0.03R    0.00  
Southampton      15   26  +13       2.52    67.95     8.77    61.22     6.92    17.93     0.11     1.08    10.60    26.52    59.85     0.00R    0.00  
Arsenal          15   23   +6      -3.17    27.54    -2.56    64.36     6.80    21.09     0.21     2.18    20.54    44.69    75.81     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        15   23   -1       4.56    80.75     2.47    50.34     6.70    -8.80     0.00     0.02     0.35     1.57     7.99     1.11R    0.06  
Swansea          15   22   +3       1.14    58.88     3.23    53.65     6.98     2.82     0.00     0.06     1.29     4.69    19.01     0.35R    0.02  
Liverpool        15   21   +0      -5.77    14.27    -9.47    60.45     6.93    12.46     0.05     0.66     9.13    22.94    54.38     0.03R    0.00  
Tottenham        15   21   -3      -0.71    44.82    -4.02    54.52     6.97    -0.39     0.00     0.05     1.56     5.50    21.31     0.31R    0.02  
Aston_Villa      15   19   -9       3.43    75.84    -0.96    43.56     6.42   -20.19     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.10     0.92     9.12R    1.13  
Everton          15   18   +1      -5.42    15.71    -2.85    55.96     6.89    10.57     0.00     0.13     2.50     8.56    29.98     0.16R    0.01  
Stoke            15   18   -3      -0.37    48.22     0.78    45.70     6.67    -8.89     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.27     2.06     5.03R    0.50  
Sunderland       15   15  -10      -0.55    47.19    -2.16    40.83     6.48   -19.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.36    18.02R    3.13  
Crystal_Palace   15   14   -5      -1.45    39.88     3.05    37.64     6.42   -17.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.09    31.95R    7.45  
West_Brom        15   14   -6      -3.63    24.69    -1.02    40.90     6.60   -14.06     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.39    17.25R    3.05  
QPR              15   14  -11      -0.30    49.37    -0.12    35.23     6.50   -27.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    49.65R   15.97  
Hull             15   13   -6      -2.44    32.69     1.99    37.35     6.43   -17.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11    33.64R    8.18  
Burnley          15   12  -14      -2.47    32.59    -4.65    31.30     6.18   -34.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.69R   36.98  
Leicester        15   10  -11      -5.42    14.66    -2.36    33.36     6.57   -26.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    59.65R   23.52  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 December 2014, Blackburn 1 2 Sheff_Wed; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Derby           20   38  +19       2.33    63.22     6.34    83.73     7.54    34.38    43.72    64.22    93.82    73.32P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         20   37  +12       6.57    84.42     7.48    75.99     7.62    16.89     9.76    22.97    69.47    33.43P    0.01R    0.00  
Bournemouth     20   36  +18       5.03    77.86    12.77    76.92     7.72    25.98    13.01    28.90    74.88    39.89P    0.01R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   20   36  +18       2.67    65.70     9.26    77.78     7.47    26.95    15.30    32.33    78.86    45.56P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       20   34   +5       7.05    85.57     5.86    68.37     7.68     2.97     1.38     4.72    30.31     9.28P    0.25R    0.01  
Watford         20   32  +14      -1.08    43.51     5.35    74.67     7.69    24.72     8.17    19.98    65.16    32.82P    0.01R    0.00  
Blackburn       20   31   +3       1.92    61.55     0.65    69.04     7.59     6.38     1.72     5.19    33.67    11.55P    0.20R    0.01  
Norwich         20   30   +6      -2.03    38.08    -0.91    71.72     7.83    14.93     3.93    10.83    49.35    22.24P    0.07R    0.00  
Cardiff         20   30   +2       0.80    55.00    -0.64    67.92     7.68     5.49     1.29     4.19    29.01    10.16P    0.31R    0.01  
Nott'm_Forest   20   29   +5       0.03    50.62     2.82    67.24     7.63     8.72     1.06     3.55    26.79     8.87P    0.35R    0.01  
Charlton        20   29   +1       4.00    74.06     4.14    62.10     7.34    -2.18     0.16     0.67     8.98     2.14P    1.76R    0.12  
Sheff_Wed       20   28   +0       2.00    62.85     1.58    62.64     7.33    -1.19     0.15     0.68     9.93     2.65P    1.56R    0.11  
Wolverhampton   20   27   -8       0.39    52.76    -6.76    61.01     7.62   -10.47     0.11     0.47     7.38     1.96P    3.24R    0.22  
Reading         20   25   -5      -3.67    28.82    -6.76    62.06     7.64    -3.07     0.15     0.73     9.56     2.78P    2.31R    0.19  
Huddersfield    20   24   -6       0.34    53.20     0.31    55.96     7.55   -11.84     0.01     0.10     2.00     0.44P   11.32R    1.31  
Leeds_United    20   23   -6      -1.66    40.55    -1.47    54.93     7.51   -11.95     0.01     0.05     1.43     0.34P   13.78R    1.58  
Bolton          20   22   -6      -4.37    24.99    -4.38    56.54     7.43    -7.80     0.01     0.08     2.24     0.55P    9.07R    0.94  
Fulham          20   22   -9      -5.63    20.46    -8.75    57.90     7.97    -9.33     0.06     0.26     4.08     1.19P    8.08R    0.89  
Birmingham      20   22  -14      -0.52    47.78    -6.55    50.77     7.22   -25.05     0.00     0.01     0.31     0.07P   30.53R    5.39  
Millwall        20   20   -9      -1.69    40.24     0.00    47.73     7.19   -20.75     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.01P   45.55R   10.32  
Rotherham       20   20  -10      -0.15    50.61     1.27    46.05     7.29   -24.72     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   56.02R   15.84  
Brighton        20   18   -7      -9.81     5.59    -7.73    54.87     7.44    -4.81     0.01     0.03     1.34     0.37P   12.66R    1.45  
Wigan           20   17   -6     -11.23     3.68    -7.38    54.18     7.55    -3.68     0.01     0.04     1.24     0.37P   14.71R    2.07  
Blackpool       20   12  -17      -8.16     8.23    -6.51    38.41     6.95   -30.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.21R   59.52  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 2 December 2014, Barnsley 1 1 Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Bristol_City     19   39  +17       7.46    87.52     8.69    86.49     7.89    33.05    30.43    55.15    96.20    66.33P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon          19   38  +16       5.32    79.64     6.03    84.25     7.89    29.78    20.48    42.65    93.03    56.92P    0.00R    0.00  
MK_Dons          18   37  +21       5.09    79.19     9.91    85.63     8.10    36.47    28.27    51.47    94.79    64.05P    0.00     0.00  
Preston          19   37  +13       4.23    74.53     3.10    83.39     7.80    26.97    17.55    37.72    91.83    53.59P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd        19   31   +3       2.55    65.75    -0.62    72.48     7.72     9.61     1.17     4.37    49.62    15.06P    0.13R    0.00  
Oldham           19   30   +8       3.78    72.37     7.62    68.03     7.85     9.66     0.36     1.62    29.02     7.02P    0.66R    0.01  
Notts_County     18   30   +8       3.19    69.43     4.88    70.11     8.10    10.48     0.86     3.11    38.91    10.46P    0.41R    0.01  
Rochdale         19   27   +8       1.38    58.78     8.96    64.67     8.24     8.65     0.19     0.85    18.22     4.22P    2.74R    0.10  
Peterborough     19   27   +2      -3.32    30.23    -4.36    68.79     7.95     9.07     0.52     1.95    32.78     9.88P    0.63R    0.01  
Bradford         19   26   +1       1.20    58.24     2.78    62.07     7.77    -0.25     0.03     0.21     9.53     1.94P    4.36R    0.17  
Fleetwood_Town   19   25   +1       2.81    67.96     6.44    56.51     7.75    -6.52     0.01     0.02     2.62     0.41P   15.49R    1.23  
Chesterfield     19   25   +0       0.03    50.79     1.66    60.92     8.13    -1.74     0.04     0.17     8.27     1.72P    6.91R    0.41  
Walsall          19   23   -1      -3.24    30.30    -1.77    58.47     7.51    -2.42     0.01     0.06     3.83     0.93P    9.25R    0.55  
Barnsley         19   23   -2      -4.91    23.03    -4.64    61.13     8.15    -0.51     0.04     0.26     8.90     2.23P    6.29R    0.36  
Port_Vale        19   23   -2      -0.85    45.61     1.62    56.47     7.81    -7.70     0.00     0.03     2.68     0.52P   16.25R    1.43  
Doncaster        18   23   -6      -1.23    42.69    -5.51    60.21     8.19    -7.50     0.03     0.19     6.95     1.61P    8.39R    0.60  
Crawley_Town     19   22  -10      -0.58    47.22    -5.13    53.66     7.55   -17.66     0.00     0.00     0.86     0.14P   27.40R    2.87  
Coventry         19   21   -7      -3.67    28.60    -4.63    56.97     7.95    -8.88     0.00     0.03     2.99     0.59P   15.37R    1.34  
Leyton_Orient    19   19   -5      -9.93     6.02    -9.29    60.48     7.96     1.57     0.01     0.11     7.45     2.12P    6.88R    0.44  
Gillingham       19   19   -7      -2.92    32.84    -0.64    49.94     7.64   -16.46     0.00     0.00     0.38     0.07P   44.84R    7.58  
Scunthorpe       18   19  -10      -1.35    42.48    -2.82    51.00     8.15   -20.61     0.00     0.01     0.67     0.11P   41.04R    7.66  
Colchester       19   17  -10      -4.68    23.05    -3.09    49.46     7.79   -17.15     0.00     0.00     0.30     0.05P   47.07R    8.97  
Yeovil           19   17  -16      -5.28    20.32   -10.56    47.94     7.75   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.03P   56.91R   13.04  
Crewe            19   16  -22      -1.71    40.00    -8.61    40.25     7.10   -42.93     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    88.99R   53.21  



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 6 December 2014, Exeter 1 1 Burton_Albion; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Wycombe              19   38  +14       8.96    92.47     9.41    78.20     7.66    18.86    17.49    49.50    84.49    58.14P    0.00R    0.00  
Luton                19   37  +11       8.13    90.14     6.76    77.25     7.92    16.10    14.21    44.09    80.44    53.13P    0.00R    0.00  
Shrewsbury           19   36  +15       2.51    65.18     3.97    82.86     7.76    29.41    40.38    73.50    94.39    80.49P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        20   36   +3       7.85    88.96     1.85    74.08     7.50     6.92     6.31    26.82    67.35    36.14P    0.01R    0.00  
Southend             19   34   +6       3.67    72.46    -0.29    76.28     7.54    13.87    10.58    38.31    77.85    50.12P    0.00R    0.00  
Plymouth             19   31  +11       3.64    72.51     8.74    69.96     7.57    14.24     2.42    14.15    49.53    22.96P    0.11R    0.03  
Newport_County       19   31   +7       5.41    80.53     7.71    67.52     7.74     6.38     1.46     8.61    35.88    14.14P    0.30R    0.04  
Exeter               20   31   +2       3.07    68.50     1.23    68.29     7.52     4.48     1.31     9.11    38.56    15.82P    0.20R    0.04  
Bury                 19   30   +4       1.08    56.88    -0.40    71.14     7.74    10.23     3.47    17.52    53.96    27.27P    0.07R    0.01  
Cambridge_Utd        19   27   +7       2.12    63.56     8.71    61.32     7.82     3.10     0.28     2.10    13.42     4.45P    2.47R    0.62  
Morecambe            19   27   -1       2.84    68.17     1.62    61.73     7.62    -4.08     0.21     1.84    12.84     4.02P    2.30R    0.66  
Portsmouth           19   26   +0      -0.58    46.68    -0.91    64.77     7.78     2.60     0.60     4.56    23.99     9.34P    0.88R    0.21  
Accrington_Stanley   19   26   -4       1.53    60.13    -1.26    59.70     7.73    -9.21     0.13     1.15     8.66     2.68P    4.26R    1.22  
Stevenage            19   25   +0      -3.75    28.17    -4.07    65.73     8.00     5.68     0.98     6.29    28.96    12.84P    0.79R    0.18  
Northampton          19   24   +0      -0.48    47.56     2.23    59.01     7.71    -3.04     0.07     0.86     7.82     2.35P    4.93R    1.37  
AFC_Wimbledon        19   24   -3       0.76    55.63     1.25    56.94     7.57    -9.21     0.02     0.34     4.39     1.14P    8.00R    2.50  
Cheltenham           19   23  -10      -0.13    50.04    -5.68    55.32     7.58   -16.83     0.01     0.20     2.76     0.70P   12.34R    4.10  
Mansfield            19   22   -9       0.74    55.89    -2.15    53.75     7.46   -16.37     0.01     0.11     1.69     0.40P   16.90R    6.20  
Oxford_Utd           19   21   -4      -4.41    24.04    -3.39    56.78     7.50    -5.55     0.02     0.35     4.25     1.25P    7.61R    2.55  
Dag_&_Red            19   21   -5      -2.84    32.87    -1.49    54.34     7.62   -10.69     0.01     0.17     2.35     0.63P   14.31R    5.12  
York                 19   19   -5      -5.45    18.66    -3.21    55.11     7.52    -5.76     0.02     0.19     2.74     0.82P   11.34R    3.77  
Carlisle             19   18  -12      -6.41    16.05    -9.21    52.48     7.92   -16.47     0.01     0.11     1.60     0.43P   22.27R    9.05  
Tranmere             19   15   -7     -12.02     2.67    -8.50    53.33     7.92    -4.72     0.01     0.13     2.06     0.72P   17.51R    6.63  
Hartlepool           19   12  -20      -9.15     5.55   -12.90    42.28     7.33   -29.92     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   73.36R   55.70  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 9 December 2014, AFC_Telford 1 2 Welling; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Barnet           25   52  +32       5.69    78.58    12.79    90.93     6.42    47.93    75.69    98.53    82.45P    0.00     0.00  
Bristol_Rovers   25   43   +8      -0.22    48.56    -5.27    79.00     6.44    18.72     5.40    63.07    22.79P    0.00     0.00  
Woking           25   42  +14       4.75    74.60     9.26    73.27     6.70    17.65     1.33    31.77     6.79P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     24   42  +10       5.65    78.55     4.83    73.04     6.51    11.76     0.84    28.25     5.96P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          24   41  +20      -1.63    40.46     5.19    78.95     6.64    31.58     7.37    66.03    25.43P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     25   41   +8       2.06    60.79     0.83    73.13     6.44    13.23     0.94    28.69     6.87P    0.00     0.00  
Torquay          25   39  +11      -4.77    25.97    -3.98    76.99     6.52    26.14     3.30    54.88    18.97P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax          24   38  +10       0.00    49.98     1.75    73.45     6.76    18.07     1.63    32.96     8.52P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        23   38   +7       2.31    63.09     0.40    73.96     6.93    13.78     1.85    34.71     8.57P    0.00R    0.00  
Kidderminster    24   37   +7      -0.39    47.88    -0.16    71.33     6.78    13.22     0.58    21.92     5.38P    0.00     0.00  
Eastleigh        21   36   +8       6.84    84.18     7.79    69.68     7.70     7.00     0.79    18.30     3.69P    0.02R    0.00  
Wrexham          24   34   +2      -0.66    46.70    -0.78    69.30     6.67     9.91     0.22    13.44     3.21P    0.00R    0.00  
Lincoln_City     23   33   +1       1.02    56.09     0.61    63.23     6.89    -1.29     0.02     2.99     0.51P    0.15R    0.00  
Chester          24   33   -8       6.54    83.03     2.22    57.64     6.45   -17.28     0.00     0.29     0.02P    1.28R    0.01  
Dover_Athletic   24   32   -1       2.55    64.11     4.57    59.24     6.81    -5.74     0.00     0.74     0.11P    0.67R    0.01  
Aldershot        23   30   -1      -4.23    27.18    -5.14    63.45     6.80     2.15     0.03     3.00     0.65P    0.13R    0.00  
Welling          25   29   -4      -2.18    38.76     0.51    55.94     6.38    -6.81     0.00     0.13     0.02P    1.84R    0.03  
Altrincham       25   29  -17       4.66    75.29    -0.69    50.51     6.29   -28.97     0.00     0.01     0.00    11.51R    0.56  
Braintree_Town   24   27   -2      -6.21    18.97    -2.83    57.75     6.51    -0.72     0.00     0.30     0.05P    1.21R    0.02  
Southport        22   23  -13      -1.24    43.46    -3.25    48.92     6.74   -24.59     0.00     0.01     0.00P   17.82R    1.49  
Dartford         24   20  -15      -5.25    22.09    -3.04    43.96     6.39   -24.54     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.29R    5.52  
Alfreton_Town    24   20  -24      -4.80    24.32   -10.13    43.34     6.41   -35.49     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.70R    7.01  
Nuneaton         25   18  -28      -6.49    16.47   -12.36    38.16     5.99   -41.48     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.07R   25.32  
AFC_Telford      24   14  -25      -6.88    14.81    -3.12    33.54     6.31   -44.22     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.30R   60.05